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  • 8/2/2019 4 Earned Value

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    Steve Barron 20041

    Earned Value

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    Steve Barron 20042

    Ex

    pendit

    ure

    Time

    Actual

    Planned

    Measuring Performance

    Endvu

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    28/03/2012

    Steve Barron: Project Management (inPractice)3

    Assigning Value

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    Steve Barron: Project

    Management (in Practice)4

    50/50 technique

    50% of planned value earned at start 50% of planned value earned at end

    short duration activities (no more than 3reporting periods)

    AgnnVu

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    Steve Barron: Project

    Management (in Practice)5

    0/100 Technique

    No value earned at start

    100% of planned value earned at end activities that start and end in one reporting

    period

    AgnnVu

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    Steve Barron: Project

    Management (in Practice)6

    Milestones

    %age of value assigned to achievement of

    each milestone within activity activities having a duration of 3 or more

    reporting periods

    AgnnVu

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    Steve Barron: Project

    Management (in Practice)7

    Percentage complete

    estimate of work complete at point in time

    longer duration activities - most easilyperformed in production environment

    AgnnVu

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    Steve Barron: Project

    Management (in Practice)8

    Level of effort

    based on passage of time management & supervision activities

    AgnnVu

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    Steve Barron 20049

    Expenditure

    Time

    Planned Cost

    Actual Cost

    Earned Value

    Earned Value (Completed Cost)

    BCWS

    ACWP

    BCWP

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200410

    BCWS

    Budgeted Cost for Work Scheduledi.e. planned budgetACWPActual Cost for Work Performedi.e. actual costs incurredBCWPBudgeted Cost for Work Performedi.e. Earned Value

    Planned

    Actual

    Earned Value

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200411

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    Activity1

    Activity2

    Activity3

    Activity4

    Activity5

    Activity6

    50/50

    0/100

    50/50

    0/100

    Milestones

    0/100

    M1

    M2

    M3

    M4

    M5M6

    M7

    M8

    M9

    M10

    Consider this planned schedule

    EVTechnique

    3

    4

    3

    2

    58

    3

    8

    8

    4

    Value of Milestone

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200412

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    The Planned plot planned time and planned value

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    M1 3

    M2 4

    7

    M3 3

    M4 2

    M5 5

    10

    17

    M6 8

    8

    25

    M7 8

    M8 3

    M9 4

    15

    40

    M10 8

    8

    48

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200413

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    Activity1

    Activity2

    Activity3

    Activity4

    Activity5

    Activity6

    50/50

    0/100

    50/50

    0/100

    Milestones

    0/100

    M1

    M2

    M3

    M4

    M5M6

    M7

    M8

    M9

    M10

    EVTechnique

    3

    4

    3

    2

    58 3

    8

    8

    4

    Value of Milestone

    4

    The actual events occurred as follows

    M2 4

    M33

    3

    M5

    6

    M64

    On time!

    M9

    4

    M10

    10

    7

    Actual Valueof Milestone

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200414

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    Activity1

    Activity2

    Activity3

    Activity4

    Activity5

    Activity6

    50/50

    0/100

    50/50

    0/100

    Milestones

    0/100

    M1

    M2

    M3

    M4

    M5M6

    M7

    M8

    M9

    M10

    The actual events occurred as follows

    EVTechnique

    4

    4

    3

    3

    67

    4

    8

    10

    4

    Actual Valueof Milestone

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200415

    7

    17

    25

    40

    48

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    The Actual plot actual time and actual value

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    M1 4

    M3 3

    7

    M2 4

    M4 3

    7

    14

    M5 6

    6

    20

    M6 7

    M7 8

    M8 4

    19

    39

    M9 4

    4

    M1010

    10

    53

    43

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200416

    Earned Value

    Planned

    Actual

    Time Cost

    Plan Plan

    PlanActual

    Actual Actual

    Planned

    Actual

    Earned Value

    Milestone: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

    Period 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 6 PlanValue 3 4 3 2 5 8 8 3 4 8 Plan EV

    Period 2 3 2 3 4 5 5 5 6 7 Act EV

    Value 4 4 3 3 6 7 8 4 4 10 Act

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200417

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    The Earned Value plot actual time and planned value

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    M1 3

    M3 3

    6

    M2 4

    M4 2

    6

    12

    M5 5

    5

    17

    M6 8

    M7 8

    M8 3

    19

    36

    M9 4

    4

    M10 8

    8

    48

    40

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200418

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    All three plots for milestones 1 - 10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    EV

    Planned

    Actual

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200419

    Planned

    Actual

    Earned Value

    EV - Actual = CV, Cost Variance

    EV - Planned = SV, Schedule VarianceVariances of zero indicate the project is proceeding as plannedNegative variances are unfavourable

    CV

    SV

    Variances

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200420

    Interpretation of VariancesCV SV Status

    BCWP-ACWP BCWP-BCWS

    Project:

    -ve cost more

    +ve overachieving

    Spend:

    ACWP>BCWP>BCWS overspent

    Project:

    -ve cost more

    -ve underachieving

    Spend:

    BCWS>ACWP>BCWP overspent

    Planned

    Actual

    EVCV

    SV

    CV

    SV

    Planned

    Actual

    EV

    CV = Cost Variance SV = Schedule Variance

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200421

    CPI (Cost Performance Index) = BCWP / ACWP

    SPI (Schedule Performance Index) = BCWP / BCWS

    Indices greater than one are favourable

    Planned

    Actual

    EV

    Indices of Performance

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200422

    Estimate to Completion (EtC)

    (BAC - EV) / CPIwhere BAC = Budget at Completion

    CPI = Cost Performance Index (i.e. BCWP/ACWP)

    Planned

    Actual

    EV

    BAC

    BAC - EV

    1/CPI

    Time nowCompletion

    Prediction of projectexpenditure from nowto completionbased upon pastperformance

    Endvu

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    Steve Barron 200423

    Estimate at Completion

    Actual + (BAC - EV) / CPIor Actual + EtC

    where BAC = Budget at Completion

    CPI = Cost Performance Index (i.e. EV/Actual)

    EtC = Estimate to Completion

    Planned

    Actual

    EV

    BAC

    BAC - BCWP

    Endvu

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    Earned Value - Trends

    Steve Barron 200424

    Cost

    Variance

    positive

    negative

    variance

    Management

    Reserve

    Schedule

    Variance

    In the early stages of the project, the Cost Variance is above theSchedule Variance, indicating that the project is overspent, but themain problem is that it is underachieveing. Management reserve hasbeen pumped into the project to help recover the schedule.

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    Earned Value - Trends

    Steve Barron 200425

    Cost

    Variance

    positive

    negative

    variance

    Management

    Reserve

    Schedule

    Variance

    As the project progresses and the schedule initially recovers, theCost Variance becomes more negative, indicating that costs aregoing out of control, even though more management reserve is beinginvested. Finally, the Schedule Variance falls lower still, indicatingmore delays and costs are drastically increasing.