3q16 results3q16 results announcement of list price increase in china to us$530/ton (oct/2016)...
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3Q16 Results
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2
Disclaimer
The statements in this presentation constitute projections or forward-looking
statements. Such statements are subject to known and unknown risks and
uncertainties that could cause the expectations expressed to not materialize
or the actual results to differ materially from the expected results. These risks
include changes in future demand for the Company’s products, changes in
factors that affect domestic and international product prices, changes in cost
structures, changes in the seasonality of markets, pricing actions by
competitors, foreign currency fluctuations and changes in the political and
economic environments in Brazil, in emerging markets or internationally.
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Adjusted EBITDA LTM² (R$ billion)
2.5
4.6 4.9 4.94.2
Dec/14 Dec/15 Mar/16 Jun/16 Sep/16
1.5
3.5 3.7 3.83.1
Dec/14 Dec/15 Mar/16 Jun/16 Sep/16
Operating Cash Generation¹ LTM² (R$ billion)
¹ Adjusted EBITDA – Sustaining Capex² Last twelve months
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
I N D I C A T O R U S E D T O
M A N A G E
S U Z A N OW H I C H M A I N D R I V E R I S
Operating Cash Generation
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External Factors
FX Pulp Price
Lower
pulp sales volume
Delay in Shipment
Volumes booked in 4Q16
Lower Pulp Production
Scheduled maintenance downtimes
(Mucuri and Suzano)
Slower Production Pace (Imperatriz)
_ Inadequate return (pulp price)
_ Operational issue
3 Q 1 6 R E S U L T S
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3 Q 1 6 R E S U L T S
Announcement of list price
increase in China to
US$530/ton (Oct/2016)
Healthy demand
PULP
4% price increase in Latin America (ex Brazil) effective as of October 2016
Braziliandemand weakening
PAPER
Positive results
in paper segment
in the domestic
market
Market share
gain in domestic
market, with flat
prices
Remains downward trend
CASH COST
(Inflation +8.5%)
Pulp Cash Cost Ex-Maintenance Downtime (R$/ton)
-4.7%
668
706
654636 637
3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16
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6
SupplyDiscipline
Capital Discipline
Cost Discipline
R E S I L I E N T
B A L A N C E S H E E T A N D R E S U L T S
Financial Discipline
ADDITIONAL PULP SUPPLY
THREATENS INDUSTRY'S RETURNS
Product Portfolio
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P O T E N T I A L PRODUCTION ADJUSTMENT
in 2017 based on market conditions
P O S T P O N E M E N T O F P R O J E C T 5 . 1 in Mucuri to 2018 Return from capacity expansion affected by market conditions
SUZANO IS MANAGED BASED ON RETURN ON
INVESTED CAPITAL (ROIC), NOT EBITDA
Supply Discipline
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EFFICIENCY GAINS
ALLOW FOR THE EVOLUTION OF
COSTS BELOW
INFLATION
177 178
9M15 9M16
+0.1%
SG&A / Sales
Volume(R$/ton)
INFLATION: +8.5%
COGS / Sales
Volume
1,330 1,399
9M15 9M16
+5.2%
INFLATION: +8.5%
(R$/ton)
Cost Discipline
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100% of supply
guaranteed with own
wood + supported
producers
Reduction in Forest
CAPEX over coming years
Potential demobilization of
forests located further from
the mill
Shorter average distance and
higher supply from own forests
REDUCTION IN STRUCTURAL COST
ADVANTAGES
W O O D S U P P L Y I N I M P E R A T R I Z M I L L
Acquisition of Land and Forests: US$ 245 million
Average Distance: 176 km
75 k ha of Total Area
40 k ha of Planted Area
L A S T M I L E S T O N E T O R E A C H T H E O P T I M A L S T R U C T U R A L C O S T B Y 2 0 2 1 / 2 0 2 2
BRL 475/ton
Cost Discipline
¹ Values in BRL in 2016.
Region with high productivity (Mean Annual Increment - MAI)
¹
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CAPEX FLEXIBILITY
Adjacent Businesses 0.2
0.3Project 5.1
Sustaining 1.1
Others 0.1
Subtotal 1.7
Acquisition of Land and Forests 0.8
Total 2.5
R$ billion
R$ 0.9 bi
R$ 2.4 bi
2016 revised Capex
R$ 2.1 bi R$ 1.9 bi
R$ 1.14 bi
2017 estimated Capex
> >
>
Capital Discipline
Project 5.1 revised Capex
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Financial Discipline
B A L A N C E S H E E T
R O B U S T
prepares Suzano for the future
Dollarization of 100% of
Net Debt
Higher Liquidity
(R$4 billion in cash) with
low financing cost
(4.6% p.a.)
Lengthening average
debt term to 3.5 years
(Sep/2016)
Dividends based on
cash generation
Nominal reduction in
Net Debt
Leverage¹ affected by
lower EBITDA
(2.1 times to 2.4 times)
¹ Net Debt/Adjusted EBITDA
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L O W E R V O L A T I L I T YOF PAPE R SE G ME NT SUPPORTS
MORE RES IL IENCE OF CASH
GENERA TION
Products Portfolio1Q
12
2Q
12
3Q
12
4Q
12
1Q
13
2Q
13
3Q
13
4Q
13
1Q
14
2Q
14
3Q
14
4Q
14
1Q
15
2Q
15
3Q
15
4Q
15
1Q
16
2Q
16
3Q
16
Suzano’s Average Net Price (R$/ton)
Pulp Paper
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CASH FLOW YIELD IS THE BEST INDICATOR TO COMPARE VALUE CREATION FOR SHAREHOLDERS ...
¹ Operating Cash Generation LTM/EV ² Data from 09/30/2016
¹
2
And Suzano has been posting the best number in the industry:
14.3%