3q 2016 - hilco global
TRANSCRIPT
3Q 2016
DEAL VOLUME DIVES AGAIN AS BLOCKBUSTERS DRIVE DEAL VALUE PG 5
M&A by deal size & sector
PG 8
IT & energy spotlights
PGs 12-13
3Q league tablesPG 16
S P O N S O R E D B Y
V A L U A T I O N | M O N E T I Z A T I O N | A D V I S O R Y hilcoglobal.com
The Hilco Global platform offers innovative services and capital solutions to help facilitate successful M&A transactions, create liquidity and enhance the value of portfolio companies.
Our vast and deep understanding of business asset values, our appetite for acquiring assets across a broad spectrum, and our proven ability to optimize the value of unwanted assets, enables Hilco Global to deliver the right strategic solutions for private equity firms and hedge funds. We are truly invested in your success.
Connect with Gary Epstein, CMO/EVP 847.418.2712 or [email protected]
Credits & ContactPitchBook Data, Inc.
JOHN GABBERT Founder, CEO
ADLEY BOWDEN Vice President,
Market Development & Analysis
ContentNIZAR TARHUNI Senior Analyst
DYLAN COX Analyst
BRYAN HANSON Data Analyst
JENNIFER SAM Senior Graphic Designer
Contact PitchBook pitchbook.com
RESEARCH
EDITORIAL
SALES
COPYRIGHT © 2016 by PitchBook Data, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form or by any means—graphic, electronic, or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, taping, and information storage and retrieval systems—without the express written permission of PitchBook Data, Inc. Contents are based on information from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Nothing herein should be construed as any past, current or future recommendation to buy or sell any security or an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. This material does not purport to contain all of the information that a prospective investor may wish to consider and is not to be relied upon as such or used in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment.
Introduction 4
Overview 5-7
M&A by Sector & Size 8
Q&A: Hilco Global 9-10
Spotlight: B2C 11
Spotlight: IT 12
Spotlight: Energy 13
Private Equity 14-15
3Q 2016 League Tables 16
Contents
3 PITCHBOOK 3Q 2016 M&A REPORT
L ARGER CORPORATE ACCQUISITIONS BUT TRESS DE AL VALUEOverview
Volume of completed transactions saw another steep plunge
M&A activity
Corporate acquisitions leap in size
Median transaction size ($M) by transaction type
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
Global M&A seemed to have peaked
in 2015 when we saw record deal
flow, higher valuations and companies
looking to scratch out a little bit of
growth in any way they could. Since
then, the number of deals coming to
market has slowed considerably while
the value of those deals continues to
grow. In the face of macroeconomic
and political uncertainty, but armed
with plenty of excess cash on the
balance sheet, corporate acquirers
are chasing larger companies, paying
higher multiples, and putting up more
equity to complete transactions.
Over 3,000 deals were completed in
3Q 2016, representing a stark decrease
from previous quarters. Typically,
our datasets tend to inch higher as
we continue to collect retrospective
data, yet the trend is still clear: Deal
flow has slowed considerably each of
the last three quarters. As the M&A
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
Acquisition Add-On Platform Buyout
$165
$226
$274
$242
$187
$404
$265
$256
$259
$308
$253
$363
$204
$346
$293
$382
$327
$362
$435
$529
$581
$457
$496
$526
$572
$645
$465
3,677
3,286
4,761
4,259
4,707 4,430 4,593 4,648
5,556 5,3155,956 5,899 5,472
3,134
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Deal Value ($B) Deal Count
5 PITCHBOOK 3Q 2016 M&A REPORT
Median deal size over $200M
Average & median deal size ($M)
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
Debt usage slides again
Median debt & equity percentages of M&A
cycle continues to wind down, there
are fewer quality companies coming
to market, but the ones that do show
up tend to be sought after more and
are commanding outsized multiples.
Thus, aggregate deal value remains
high despite the slowdown. While the
value of M&A deals decreased quarter
over quarter (QoQ) in 3Q, the first
three quarters combined have seen
$1.7 trillion in activity, which represents
a 9.7% increase over the same period
last year. This value is increasingly
made up of transactions with EVs of
over $1 billion, which accounted for
81% of deal value in 3Q 2016.
To date, 2016 has been the year of
the mega-deal. Led by InBev’s $113
billion acquisition of SABMiller and
Charter Communications’ $79 billion
acquisition of Time Warner Cable, a
total of 31 deals with an EV of at least
$10 billion have closed through the
third quarter. That is more than the
entirety of 2015, which saw 23 deals
of that size, or 2014, which had just 16
deals over the $10 billion threshold.
3Q 2016 alone saw eight of these
mega-deals, the most prominent of
which was the $60 billion take-private
of technology company EMC by Dell,
whose financial sponsors included
Silver Lake and MSD Capital. Most
recently, but definitely not least, AT&T
is looking to acquire Time Warner for
$85.4 billion.
Along with these blockbuster deals
comes a corresponding rise in deal
size across global M&A. Median deal
size more than doubled QoQ to
$210 million. Interestingly, strategic
acquisitions represented the only deal
type we feature in this report that
jumped on a QoQ basis. The median
deal size of such transactions climbed
to $42 million in 3Q, up from $26
million in 2Q.
As the average deal size rises, debt
usage on those deals has done
quite the opposite. Median debt as a
percentage of EV fell to 46.9% in 3Q
2016, representing the third quarter in
a row that debt percentage has been
under 50%. Prior to this year, we had
experienced three consecutive years in
which no quarter had a reported debt
usage of less than 50%. Consequently,
acquirers are having to provide more
cash and stock to complete these
transactions than at any time in the last
few years. Despite the current low-
interest-rate environment, borrowers
and lenders are not able to realistically
pencil out the same percentage of
debt to EV given lofty valuations and
sluggish earnings growth. Additionally,
the prevalence of bolt-on strategies
in recent years along with increased
concern around the current state of
the business cycle could be causing
companies to be more conservative
with their capital structures in case
they are in need of future debt
financing—either to stay solvent in
tougher times or to make a quick
acquisition if the opportunity arises.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016Debt % Equity %
$22
$25
$25
$32
$30
$31
$35
$42
$33
$28
$35
$33
$132
$85
$207
$335
$256 $3
04
$274
$268 $3
14
$412
$430
$365
$364
$306
$587
$866
$210
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
Median Average
6 PITCHBOOK 3Q 2016 M&A REPORT
Transaction multiples
Source: PitchBook. Note: Any discrepancy between total valuation and debt/equity figures is due to rounding.
3.4x 3.9x 4.
6x
4.1x
3.9x 5.
1x
4.9x
4.3x
3.8x 4.3x 4.7x
4.2x 4.7x
4.2x 4.6x
4.6x 5.
3x 5.8x
4.1x 5.
0x
4.3x 4.8x 5.0x 5.5x
4.6x
4.3x 4.7x
4.2x
2.9x
3.6x
3.7x
4.0x
3.6x
3.9x
3.6x
3.9x 3.4x 3.
7x
3.2x 2.
9x
2.7x 3.
6x 4.0x 3.
9x
2.5x
4.1x 3.
8x
4.3x
3.6x 4.
4x 3.9x
4.6x
4.8x 5.
3x
7.6x8.3x 7.9x
8.8x
7.7x8.4x
7.6x8.2x
9.2x
8.1x8.7x
9.4x 9.2x10.0x
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Debt/EBITDA Equity/EBITDA Valuation/EBITDA
M&A activity in EuropeM&A activity in North America
$139
$167
$168
$276
$210
$238
$263
$369
$347
$317
$342
$389
$382
$393
$328
2,284
2,466
3,029 2,9643,245 3,174
2,807
1,813
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
Deal Value ($B)
Deal Count
Source:
PitchBook
$65
$179
$124
$106
$117
$124
$172
$160
$234
$140
$155
$137
$190
$252
$138
2,309
2,182
2,527
2,351
2,711 2,725 2,665
1,321
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
Deal Value ($B) Deal Count
Source: PitchBook
Turning now to transaction multiples,
median EV-to-EBITDA figures in the
third quarter jumped to 10.0x, up from
9.1x in 2Q, and the highest tally in at
least the last five years. Some of this
change, however, can be attributed
to the size of deals coming to market.
In 3Q 2016, 17.5% of completed
transactions had an EV in excess of
$250 million, compared to 15.3% in 2Q
and between 13% and 14% during the
entirety of 2015.
While some of the recent price
increases can be attributed to the
change in the size of companies
coming to market, we continue to see
more buyers than sellers in the market,
resulting in elevated prices. Further,
the premiums buyers must pay to
appeal to the large shareholder bases
of publicly traded companies should
also be noted. The recent Marriott
acquisition of Starwood Hotels and
Resorts, which closed in September,
was drawn out by a rather dramatic
bidding war between Marriott and
Anbang Insurance Group, who was
backed by J.C. Flowers & Co and
Primavera Capital Group. Similarly,
the price that Microsoft has agreed to
pay for LinkedIn, a deal announced in
June but not yet closed, was hiked by
interest from Salesforce and others.
These deals exemplify the increased
competition we’ve seen lately between
acquirers, both strategic and financial.
With record amounts of cash on
corporate balance sheets and similarly
high levels of dry powder in PE funds,
there is simply too much capital to be
deployed across too few companies.
7 PITCHBOOK 3Q 2016 M&A REPORT
M&A activity ($B) by sector
M&A deals ($B) by deal size
M&A activity (#) by sector
M&A deals (#) by deal size
Source: PitchBook
The percentage of deal value in transactions with EV of at least $1 billion remains historically high: 81% in 3Q 2016.
IT deal value accounted for 30% of all M&A in the third quarter.
OVERALL VOLUME DROP SM&A by sector & size
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
$5B+
$1B-$5B
$500M-$1B
$250M-$500M
$100M-$250M
Under$100M
Source: PitchBook
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
Materials &Resources
IT
Healthcare
FinancialServices
Energy
B2C
B2B
Source: PitchBook
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
Materials &Resources
IT
Healthcare
FinancialServices
Energy
B2C
B2B
Source: PitchBook
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
$5B+
$1B-$5B
$500M-$1B
$250M-$500M
$100M-$250M
Under$100M
8 PITCHBOOK 3Q 2016 M&A REPORT
Given the recent slowdown in M&A
transactions, what impediments to
dealmaking do you come across most
frequently?
Overall market conditions remain
reasonably strong for a continued
healthy dealmaking environment as we
head into the fourth quarter of 2016
and fiscal year 2017. Companies will
continue to seek ways to supplement
slow organic growth by actively
hunting for solid M&A opportunities
that can improve margins and
take advantage of potential sector
synergies. These factors, combined
with the availability of relatively low-
cost capital to finance the deals, are
just some of the key forces behind
a continued desire to execute M&A
transactions as a vehicle for growth
and expansion.
That said, there is little doubt that
significant challenges exist in today’s
complex global M&A marketplace that
are making it more difficult to find and
close transactions. Among the many
impediments that have slowed the
rate of M&A deals this year we have
identified several which we have seen
frequently:
• Recognition that a broader
range of deal structures brings
new complexity and cost to
the completion of a deal. While
creativity and thought leadership
in the capital markets are
meant to be enablers of closing
transactions, an unintended
consequence is that the market
remains over-served at all levels.
Hilco Global
There is a glut of capital chasing
deals, bid/ask spreads are wide,
financial institutions are trying
to stretch within regulatory
boundaries to win mandates, and
professional service providers
and advisors are competing
very aggressively. Due to
increased uncertainty in winning
a deal, the upfront investment
is materially more significant
for all stakeholders. Such high
investment, coupled with relatively
low deal conversion, has led to
a significant level of sunk costs
resulting in a less productive
marketplace.
• Investors have realized that the
benefits of integration of assets
outside of a company’s traditional
core segment have become less
tangible and clear. Financial
markets are more skeptical that
M&A deals will deliver on their
stated strategic and financial
objectives. This sentiment has
generated a negative investor
climate for many mega-mergers
and acquisitions. Weighing on
future M&A transactions has
been the recent negative reaction
that acquirers have seen in their
stock price following a deal
announcement. This may be partly
due to companies paying more
on average to buy companies this
year than they did last year.
• Increased economic uncertainty,
market volatility and negativity
have impacted deal completion
and have led to a more cautious
approach to M&A. In addition to
slow growth in the US and weak
conditions in Europe and Asia, the
ongoing political rhetoric during
this US and UK election year has
undoubtedly created concern
over increasing nationalism
and a possible restriction on
globalization and trade between
countries. Britain’s vote to leave
the EU has eroded the confidence
of corporate boards and the
new US government restrictions
on inversions have resulted in a
climate of caution, particularly on
cross-border deals.
• There is a new reluctance among
dealmakers to take on meaningful
regulatory risk or to pursue
unsolicited transactions that may
have previously provided tax and
other financial benefits because of
the string of very public “broken
deals” in the last two years. There
is no doubt that the number of
high-profile deals that fell apart
in 2016 due to antitrust rulings,
tax law restrictions and national
security issues has generated
a high level of caution among
company executives as they
contemplate complex deals that
may attract much greater scrutiny,
costing significant time and
money.
What trends do you identify as having
shaped lending markets lately?
The tightening of credit from regulated
institutions is continuing to accelerate
the shift to nontraditional lending
strategies. This type of lending will
continue to play an increasingly
important role, filling the gap left by
the retreat of BDCs and traditional
bank lenders. Nontraditional lenders
are providing a viable and often
successful option given the current
regulatory environment that has
pushed talent, ideas and capital out
of traditional banking segment. This
shadow lending industry continues to
chase highly levered, more challenging,
higher-yielding structures.
Given that traditional banks will face
ongoing regulatory scrutiny about
how much leverage they can supply
to PE transactions, it is likely that
their reluctance to lend on PE-backed
deals will continue. Capital constraints
and shareholder activism are putting
pressure on publicly traded BDCs. And
CLO (collateralized loan obligation)
9 PITCHBOOK 3Q 2016 M&A REPORT
issuances are decreasing because of
risk retention regulations. Clearly, the
climate is more challenging today for
dealmakers and buyers that are trying
to close transactions.
The reality is that a number of
traditional capital providers have
pulled back from the market, which
allowed the nontraditional sources of
capital to fill the void. Interestingly,
while in some cases PE firms have
found it difficult obtain the financing
needed to close very large deals, these
same firms can often swallow the
entire deal and look for financing later.
The substantial level of “dry powder”
in the PE sector has enabled marquee
shops to raise the capital themselves
and complete the deal on their own.
While PE firms are using dry powder
to complete deals, many BDCs are
not raising money right now. Instead,
they are recycling money and tend
to be a lot more cautious. Activist
shareholders are aggressively pushing
BDCs to change board members,
reduce fees, and sell assets, among
other changes. The CLO market is
facing extensive new compliance rules
and regulation changes which will
undoubtedly impact their strategies
as well as they navigate a much more
complex marketplace today.
These factors point to a lending
environment where nontraditional
lenders will continue to lend using
permanent capital funding structures
that are not impacted by market
conditions. Unlike more traditional
sources of debt, these nontraditional
sources of capital are working with the
advantages of serving as a one-stop
shop with the ability to work quickly
and the flexibility to speak to multiple
tranches in the capital structure on
even the most difficult deals.
What differences are there in the ways
that corporate acquirers and buyout
firms have responded to the high
valuation multiples we’ve seen lately?
Part of the solution is still on the
equity side, such as increasing deal
equity and stretching payment
horizons through earnouts and other
deferred payment structures. However,
because of the sustained competition
for funding levered deals, especially
among unregulated debt providers,
leverage multiples remain high in order
to bridge the higher valuations and
the equity check acquirers are willing
to write. Publicly traded corporate
acquirers have the luxury of using their
own stock as currency.
How does the current M&A landscape
differ across those regions? Have you
seen any changes in cross-border
M&A strategies?
A low-GDP environment worldwide,
geopolitical concerns and the
rise of nationalism have resulted
in a climate that has made cross-
border investments more complex
and challenging. Worldwide
macroeconomic conditions including
everything from currency fluctuations
to declining trade between nations
has resulted in a deep level of concern
shared by global executives seeking to
complete cross-border transactions.
Of note, we’re seeing a slowdown
in the number of M&A transactions
overall across all major geographic
regions around the world. This appears
to reflect the ongoing uncertainty
about global economic conditions,
especially in the wake of the UK
Brexit vote; the volatility in capital
markets; the unusual nature of the US
presidential race; ongoing pressure
with commodity prices; and, continued
concern around the economic
pressures faced by the Chinese.
Currently we believe that the US,
China, Germany, Canada and France
are still solid markets for dealmaking.
While global uncertainty has made for
a challenging and highly competitive
environment for cross-border deal
flow, we expect the US and European
M & A market to remain relatively
strong.
Also, China will continue to be a major
outbound acquirer having made
investments in dozens of nations
around the world in 2016. Chinese
bidders are also teaming up with local-
market joint venture partners that are
highly skilled in deal execution and
allow for more successful outcomes.
We expect this trend to continue.
Despite the volatile market conditions
faced by global companies today,
the demand for growth and return on
investment is greater than ever which
will most likely drive a modest increase
in M&A activity and cross-border deals
well into 2017.
10 PITCHBOOK 3Q 2016 M&A REPORT
DE ALMAKERS ADAP T TO CHANGING CONSUMERSpotlight: B2C
After strong 2Q, B2C deal value drops to historical norm
B2C deal flow by quarter
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
Representing about 20% of both
the count and value of overall
M&A transactions, the B2C sector is
among the most diverse, featuring
companies such as hotel operators,
furniture manufacturers, fashion
retailers, and movie producers. Each of
these companies, however, is adapting
to a changing landscape. Retailers
continue to address their ecommerce
strategies, as selling online is
becoming synonymous with selling just
about anything. In addition, consumers’
tastes are changing. Millennials
increasingly prefer experience-based
products and services such as those
within the travel and leisure segment,
while simultaneously buying fewer
luxury goods.
Similarly to the larger M&A landscape,
the number of deals in this consumer-
facing sector has decreased in the last
two quarters, with a notable uptick in
the percentage of deals completed
by PE firms as opposed to corporate
acquirers. The value of those deals,
however, remains relatively strong.
$89 billion in B2C M&A deals were
completed in 3Q 2016, in a 30% QoQ
decrease by count, but total value is
still well above the historical mean.
This is more a function of the larger
M&A cycle slowing down, and we
expect B2C companies to continue
pursuing M&A strategies.
There has been plenty of appetite
in the hospitality industry lately
as traditional hotels compete with
sharing economy models like Airbnb.
In September, Marriott International
closed its acquisition of Starwood
Hotels and Resorts to form a truly
behemoth hotel company that will
soon combine its consumer rewards
programs. Additionally, Anbang
Insurance Group acquired Strategic
Hotels and Resorts after it dropped out
of the Starwood deal.
Average & median B2C deal size ($M) B2C M&A (#) by acquirer type
$24
$23
$24
$45
$28
$45
$30
$46
$38
$36
$38
$27
$29
$57
$39
$260
$283
$276 $3
80
$206 $2
75
$419
$319
$316
$333 $4
19
$193
$362
$1,2
25
$551
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
Median Average
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
Sponsor-backed Corporate M&A
Source: PitchBook
$49
$60
$61
$97
$52
$85
$113
$84
$83
$95
$139 $5
7
$89
$253
$89
990 988
1,236 1,1161,263 1,321
1,184
617
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
Deal Value ($B) Deal Count
11 PITCHBOOK 3Q 2016 M&A REPORT
IT M& A ON A RECORD-SET TING PACE Spotlight: IT
IT deal flow by quarter
Average & median IT deal size ($M)
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
IT has been the strongest sector in
terms of M&A activity in the last
few quarters, due to big-box deals
struck by both strategic acquirers
and PE investors. The two largest
transactions to close in the third
quarter were Dell’s $60 billion buyout
of EMC and Softbank’s $32 billion
purchase of semiconductor company
ARM Holdings, both contributing to a
deal value of $138 billion in the third
quarter alone. Through 3Q 2016, total
deal value was more than $367 billion,
a 169% increase over the same period
last year.
As previously mentioned, mega-deals
are driving much of the deal value in
M&A this year, and the IT sector is no
exception. Median deal size jumped
to $47 million in 3Q 2016, with an
average deal size over $1 billion, no
doubt due to the aforementioned
purchases of EMC and ARM, amongst
others. Purchase price is no longer as
much of an issue for tech acquisitions,
exemplified by Salesforce’s recent
interest in acquiring Adobe Systems,
who has a market cap of $54 billion to
Salesforce’s $50 billion.
Further, industry incumbents have no
shortage of cash to spend on other
companies. As many existing tech
stalwarts have experienced declines
in some of their legacy businesses,
corporate development teams are
assiduously examining the markets
for companies that can give them
the exposure they need to emerging
technologies, a trend that will help
support IT M&A moving forward..
$14
$46
$60
$87
$29
$78
$44
$137
$39
$52
$45
$111
$132
$98
$138
666
633
773 767
892 881833
585
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
Deal Value ($B) Deal Count
$17
$22
$25
$28
$24
$23
$25
$29
$22
$20
$29
$35
$30
$23 $47$9
5
$261 $3
46
$442
$168
$423
$261
$635
$169 $2
63
$201
$458
$743
$550
$1,0
13
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
Median Average
IT M&A (#) by acquirer type
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
Sponsor-backed Corporate M&A
Source: PitchBook
12 PITCHBOOK 3Q 2016 M&A REPORT
ENGERY TRYING TO SURVIVE AMID LOWER PRICESSpotlight: Energy
Energy deal flow by quarter
Source: PitchBook
The energy sector, ever volatile and
exposed to changes in commodity
prices (namely crude oil and natural
gas), saw a large uptick in 3Q deal
value. Led by the acquisitions of two
natural gas providers/distributors,
AGL Resources and Colombia Pipeline
Group, M&A deal value in the energy
sector totaled $46 billion in 3Q 2016,
more than doubling the $19 billion
seen in 2Q, but still much lower than
investment figures seen during much
of the last few years. Through 3Q,
however, the value of energy M&A is
just $3 billion (1.9%) behind the same
period last year.
Only 127 deals were completed in
3Q, and we continue to see lackluster
transaction figures in the energy
sector. However, as we discussed in
last quarter’s report, some of this
decrease can be attributed to the type
of transactions happening in the space.
The majority of companies in this
industry have a fairly complex capital
stack involving high debt usage to
finance their operations. As oil prices
have remained low for the last two
years, bankruptcies and the need for
restructurings increased, opening the
door for distressed debt investment
by PE firms, a type of investment that
does not show up in the M&A figures
here.
Further, crude oil prices have
stayed low far past many investors’
expectations, creating an
uncomfortable mismatch between
buyer and seller expectations given
the uncertainty of future oil prices. As
oil prices have recently reached the
$50 per barrel mark, however, some
would-be sellers may be reevaluating
their chances of staying solvent, and
erasing any thoughts of selling to one
of their competitors. If oil prices stay
in their current range, we could see
deal flow continue to move forward in
coming quarters.
Average & median energy deal size ($M)
Source: PitchBook
$31 $9
4
$102
$84
$50
$75 $1
25
$77 $1
38
$40
$27 $1
20
$58
$75
$67
$237
$444
$371
$398 $4
74
$285 $3
81
$852
$674
$704
$270
$749
$1,2
43
$282
$787
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2013 2014 2015 2016
Median Average
$13
$62
$45
$38
$20
$35
$29
$59
$95
$72
$30
$44
$19
$37
$37
$42
$38
$29
$43
$111
$62
$63
$22
$72
$80
$19
$46
180162
252
209
230205
188
239 225 256 226
188 168
127
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Deal Value ($B) Deal Count
13 PITCHBOOK 3Q 2016 M&A REPORT
PE activity is down overall, but now makes up a larger portion of M&A transactions
PE activity (#) as % of overall M&A
Source: PitchBook
*As of 9/30/2016
Source: PitchBook
PE firms keep adding on at a record pace
Add-ons as percentage of buyouts by year Even as deal flow slows in the wider
M&A market, PE firms are showing
resilience in their ability to source and
execute deals. Usually accounting
for about a quarter of M&A activity,
sponsor-backed deals accounted for
31% of total M&A transactions in 3Q
2016, the highest proportion in at least
the last five years. That figure has seen
two consecutive quarterly increases
and shows that the slowdown in overall
deal count is having more effect on
strategic rather than financial buyers,
likely due to the time constraints and
near-requisite capital deployment that
comes with running a PE fund. Though
to be clear, the number of PE-backed
M&A transactions through 3Q has
decreased by 19% year over year.
As we’ve touched on in previous
reports, add-on transactions have
made up a larger portion of total PE
deal flow in recent years. Through 3Q
2016, 56% of PE transactions were
SECONDARY BUYOUTS KE Y AS PE DISPL AYS REL ATIVE STRENGTHPrivate equity
1822 23
65
2446
2407 29
70
3264
2038
1971
2158
2220
2080
2500 25
42
1574
48%52% 52% 54% 54% 56% 56%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*
Add-On Non Add-On Add-On %
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Sponsor-backed Corporate M&A Sponsor-backed %
14 PITCHBOOK 3Q 2016 M&A REPORT
Strategics have held off more often than not as of late
PE-backed exits (#) by type
Source: PitchBook
add-ons, up from 48% in 2010. With
higher EBITDA multiples and fewer
quality targets available in recent
years, PE firms that have traditionally
been focused solely on operations are
now seeing add-ons as a must-have in
creating alpha.
Traditionally, strategic acquisitions
make up the majority of buyers for PE
exits, however, portfolio companies
are increasingly being sold to other
financial buyers. Continuing the trend
from last quarter, about half of PE exits
came from secondary buyouts in 3Q
2016. As PE firms increasingly pursue
add-on strategies, many of their
targets are already backed by fellow
PE funds, contributing to this increase.
There have already been 195 public-
to-private deals completed through
3Q, more than we recorded in all of
2015. However, just 26% of take-private
transactions have been backed by
sponsors thus far in 2016, compared
to 36% last year and 38% in 2014. More
often, public companies are being
acquired by firms who may straddle
the line between strategic and financial
buyers. Take, for example, Berkshire
Hathaway’s recent acquisition of
industrial giant Precision Castparts, or
semiconductor producer Broadcom,
which was acquired by industry rival
Avago Technologies, which itself
received financial sponsorship from
various PE firms. These two cases
exemplify the difficulty in classifying
such deals.
.
Public-to-private deals by acquirer type
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Secondary Buyout Strategic Acquisition
42%
58%
40%
60%
38%
62%
36%
64%
26%
74%
Financial Buyer
Strategic Buyer
20122013201420152016*
Source: PitchBook
*As of 9/30/2016
15 PITCHBOOK 3Q 2016 M&A REPORT
Kirkland & Ellis 79
Latham & Watkins 71
Jones Day 61
DLA Piper 57
Goodwin Procter 34
Shearman & Sterling 32
Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom 31
Sidley Austin 29
Weil, Gotshal & Manges 28
Orrick Herrington & Sutcliffe 26
Ropes & Gray 26
Stikeman Elliott 25
White & Case 24
Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati 23
Allen & Overy 21
Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison 21
CMS Cameron McKenna 20
Morgan, Lewis & Bockius 20
Paul Hastings 20
Debevoise & Plimpton 19
Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher 19
Simpson Thacher & Bartlett 19
Blake Cassels & Graydon 18
Hogan Lovells 17
Morrison & Foerster 17
Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz 17
Cooley 16
Squire Patton Boggs 16
Willkie Farr & Gallagher 16
Most active law firms by deal count
LEAGUE TABLES 3Q 2016
PricewaterhouseCoopers 71
The Goldman Sachs Group 42
Ernst & Young 41
Houlihan Lokey 37
KPMG 37
Bank of America 34
BDO 32
J.P. Morgan 29
Morgan Stanley 28
Deloitte 27
RBC Capital Markets 27
Rothschild & Co. 26
Lazard 24
William Blair & Company 24
Moelis & Company 23
Deutsche Bank 22
Evercore Group 22
Stifel 22
Raymond James Financial 21
Lincoln International 20
Piper Jaffray 20
Barclays 19
Sandler O’Neill & Partners 19
Citigroup 18
FTI Consulting 17
Robert W. Baird & Co. 17
UBS 17
Credit Suisse 16
Most active advisors by deal count
Source: PitchBook. Note: these league tables are based on both PitchBook data and verified reporting, and consequently may be subject to
updates for up to one week after the original date of publication. They are based on deal counts where the target company was based in North
America or Europe.
Source: PitchBook
Source: PitchBook
16 PITCHBOOK 3Q 2016 M&A REPORT
K E E P I N G I T S I M P L EO U R M & A R E S E A R C H M E T H O D O LO GY
We define M&A as a transaction in which
one company purchases a controlling stake
in another company which is based in North
America or Europe. Other information
providers include non-control deals,
announced or rumored transactions, etc.—
we cut through the noise by analyzing only
completed control transactions.
Here are our qualifiers for this report:
Eligible transaction types include control acquisitions,
leveraged buyouts (LBOs), corporate divestitures,
reverse mergers, mergers of equals, spin-offs, asset
divestitures and asset acquisitions
We don’t include debt restructuring or any other
liquidity, self-tenders or internal reorganizations
In controlling stake transactions, more than 50% of
the company must be acquired
We don’t include minority stake transactions (less
than a 50% stake in a company purchased)
The target company (the entity being acquired)
must be headquartered in either North America or
Europe
We don’t base involvement on the location of the
acquirer, seller, or either parent company
We count completed deals, not announced,
rumored or cancelled
Transactions must involve small-to-medium
enterprises or corporations
Small business transactions are not included in this
report
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