3g broadband and beyond 082108 qualcomm

Upload: djordjebeg

Post on 06-Apr-2018

220 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    1/34

    3G Broadband and Beyond A SuccessStorySeptember 2008

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    2/34

    2

    3G Offers Mobile Broadband Today

    All trademarks, names of other companies, logos, products and services may be the property of their respective owners

    Global Mobile Broadband connections have risen by more than 850 percent year-on-year (Q1 CY07 Q1 CY08), driven primarily from 3G (EV-DO and HSPA) Wireless Intelligence

    HSPA helped drive mobile data revenue growth of 46.1 per cent and wireless broadband revenuegrowth of 205 per cent in the first half of 2007/08. -Dr. Hugh Bradlow, CTO, Telstra

    StarHub consumer and corporate customers will now be able to experience high-speed access inSingapore of up to 7.2Mbps downlink and up to 1.9Mbps uplink with the use of HSDPA and HSUPAtechnologies respectively. -3G.co.uk, 2nd August, 2007

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    3/34

    3G Offers Fixed/Nomadic Broadband Today

    Source: 2

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    4/34

    4

    3G Operators Provide a Wide Range of Services

    All trademarks, names of other companies, logos, products and services may be the property of their respective owners

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    5/345

    Source: Wireless Intelligence, Dec 2007

    Q1 2007 saw the first decline in GSM net additions in Western EuropeQ1 2007 saw the first decline in GSM net additions in Western Europe

    Western Europe Net Subscriber Additions by Quarter

    -2 million-2 million

    14.6million

    14.6million

    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    Q1

    2004

    Q2

    2004

    Q3

    2004

    Q4

    2004

    Q1

    2005

    Q2

    2005

    Q3

    2005

    Q4

    2005

    Q1

    2006

    Q2

    2006

    Q3

    2006

    Q4

    2006

    Q1

    2007

    Q2

    2007

    Q3

    2007

    Q4

    2007

    WCDMA

    GSM

    Millions

    Western Europe sees surge in WCDMA subscriber growth, while GSMcontinues to decline

    Growth of 3G is Surpassing That of 2G

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    6/346

    Convergence of Computing,

    Communication, & CE

    Multimode devices

    Mobile Device EvolutionMobile Device Evolution

    Trends from wired to

    wireless

    Same rich IP apps

    everywhere

    Network EvolutionNetwork Evolution

    Co-existence of multiple

    wireless technologies

    Common IP-based core

    networks

    Service EvolutionService Evolution

    Wireless Broadband Evolution Trends

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    7/347

    Verizon is a registered trademark of Verizon. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.Note: Products sold for use in U.S. are in compliance with recent ITC and Federal Court rulings.

    Convergence of Computing, Communication and CE

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    8/348

    CE Market Opportunities are Here Today

    Computing Gaming Books User-GeneratedContent

    Entertainment

    Samsungs Q1 Ultra UMPC Amazons Kindle &

    Polymer Visions Librofonino

    Nintendos DS Samsungs VLUU i70 Cowons Q5 PMP

    All trademarks, names of other companies, logos, products and services may be the property of their respective owners.

    S i t & A B k

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    9/349

    Sprint & Amazon eBook Example of a New Service ModelKindle

    Launched in November, 2007 Service

    - A wireless portable reading device providing access tobooks, blogs, magazines, and newspapers using high-speed

    EV-DO network.- Over 300 newspapers, blogs, and magazines, and 90,000

    books are available and can be downloaded in less than aminute.

    - Delivers new content wirelessly, without a PC, Wi-Fi hot

    spot, or syncing.- No monthly subscriptions or commitments for the service.

    - Built in dictionary and Wikipedia.

    Price:

    - $9.99 per book

    - $399 for the device

    - Subscriptions:

    -Kindle magazines: $1.25 - $3.49 per month

    -Kindle newspapers: $5.99 - $14.99 per month

    -Blogs - 99 each per month

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    10/3410

    Convergence of Devices & Services

    3G & Beyond2G1G

    PHONE EVOLUTION

    MobileCommunication Information Entertainment / CE

    RichCommunication

    User Generated Content/Social Networking Computing

    + + + + +

    PC EVOLUTION

    User GeneratedContent/ Social

    Networking

    ComputingSimple

    Communication Information EntertainmentRich

    Communication

    + + + + +

    CONVERGENCE

    OF DEVICES& SERVICES

    Connected Applications Rich Content Computing Applications High-Speed Access

    Connected Devices Bluetooth Headsets Multi-Function CE Mobile Computing

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    11/3411

    Choice of Layered Networks with Common IP Core

    High-performance 3G-WANs, with greatest coverage & scale,will provide ubiquitous broadband to billions of users

    Opportunities abound for many technologies in the broadband future

    4G Is Less about Performance than Ubiquitous Broadband Experienc4G Is Less about Performance than Ubiquitous Broadband Experience ande and

    Seamless Interoperability between Successful Wireless TechnologiSeamless Interoperability between Successful Wireless Technologieses

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    12/34

    EconomicsEcosystem Evolution

    Successful mass-market mobile broadband technologies excel at the 3 Es

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    13/34

    A thriving ecosystemincludes successful

    operators generatingrevenue for theirservices, and innovative

    vendors/developers creatingproducts/services that meetoperators needs and fuel

    customer demand.

    1) Ecosystem

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    14/34

    14

    Source: Wireless Intelligence

    670 Million+ Subscribers on 3G Networks Today

    492 Commercial Networks127 EV-DO (35 Rev. A)276 CDMA2000 1X

    194 HSDPA (34 HSUPA)216 WCDMA

    Growth of 3G Broadband Subscribers Is Explosive

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    15/34

    15

    24

    67

    176

    551

    825

    332307

    261

    138

    181

    91

    218

    4 1525 40

    60

    8

    3G HSPA Family

    3G EV-DO Family

    WiMAX

    Others, including TD-SCDMA, LTE and UMB

    2007 2008

    Growth of 3G Broadband Subscribers Is Explosiveand Accelerating

    3G will drive the majority of mobile broadbandconnections well into the next decade

    20102009 2011 2012

    25%

    67% 5%

    3G will command92% of the MobileBroadband market

    in 2012

    Sources: Strategy Analytics, July 2007; Informa, September 2007.

    HSPA Family includes HSDPA, HSUPA & HSPA+. EV-DO Family includes Rel. 0, Rev. A and Rev. B.

    Vendors and Operators Are Realizing Significant

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    16/34

    16

    Vendors and Operators Are Realizing SignificantRevenues from 3G

    Sources: Blended forecast from Strategy Analytics (2006), Gartner (2006) and Forward Concepts (2005)

    2009 Worldwide Revenue Estimates (Billions)

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    17/34

    17

    3G Offers Great Diversity Across All Segments

    535 EV-DO devices / 107 vendors; 420 HSPA devices / 94 vendors

    Handsets and PC cards Consumer Electronics

    Ultra mobile devices

    Embedded laptops

    Desktops

    Mobile/Nomadic/Fixed

    Enterprise/Consumer

    Ethernet/Cable/DSL-Class

    Performance

    Sources: CDG, GSA.

    All Device Segments

    All Market Segments

    2) E i

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    18/34

    As operators evaluate

    options for rolling outwireless data services,they carefully assesseach competingtechnologys potential tomaximize revenue whileminimizing cost.

    2) Economics

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    19/34

    19

    3G Supports the Entire Range of IP Services

    Video/Music

    Telco-quality VoIP

    Low-Latency Gaming

    Push to Talk / Push to Media

    Multimedia Upload/Exchange

    High-Speed Web Browsing

    Streaming/Downloads

    Video Telephony

    Service Tiering

    Multicasting

    Enabled by 3Gs Integrated Quality of Service (QoS) support,high capacity and low latency

    O W ld id Sh D Y Y G h

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    20/34

    20

    Operators Worldwide Show Data YoY Growth

    Source: Verizon, Vodafone Group, AT&T, Telstra

    3G D i C t D li i S l I

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    21/34

    21

    $191$195

    $407

    $290

    $228

    $198

    $221

    $341

    $290 $295

    $270

    $197

    $231

    $181$176

    $217

    $270$254

    $272

    $287

    $311

    $367

    $141$129

    $141$128 $128

    $135

    $105$124

    $50

    $150

    $250

    $350

    $450

    1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07

    Lowest 10% Lowest Price

    $28

    $23$26

    $35

    $37

    $49

    $59

    $68

    $77

    $83$82

    $70

    $55

    $43$41

    $20$20$24$24

    $35

    $51$49

    $55

    $50

    $57

    $69$68

    $48

    $42

    $35

    $10

    $30

    $50

    $70

    $90

    1 Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1 Q0 6 2Q06 3Q06 4 Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07

    Lowest 10% Lowest priced

    CDMA2000 Handsets Costs

    WCDMA Handset Costs

    193267

    351

    454

    565

    683730

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    WCDMA & CDMA2000Worldwide Handset Shipments

    3G Device Cost Declining as Scale Increases

    (Millions)

    53%*

    22%*

    * Percentage of total handset shipments

    Source: Average of Gartner Group (Dec 2006), Strategy Analytics (Oct 2006), ABI (Q1 2007),IDC (Dec 2006) and Yankee Group (Dec 2006) handset forecasts

    Mi i i i N b f Sit I I t t

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    22/34

    22

    Internet Interconnect

    Utilities

    Spares

    Training

    Operations

    RF Eng / Test Equip

    Installation/Shipping

    Project Mgt.

    Site Acquisition

    Ancillary Equipment

    Backhaul

    Software Upgrade

    BTS

    BSC

    MSC

    Core Netw ork

    Other

    Site Rental

    Minimizing Number of Sites Is Important

    Notes:

    Urban morphology (10K Pops/SqKm)

    Wireless penetration: 50%

    Operator market share: 25%

    Local call termination charges and long distancetransport costs are not included in the networkexpense calculations

    Spectrum available: 2X10MHz @ 800MHz

    Cost of each cell site is similar for all broadband technologies

    Technologies requiring fewer sites have lower overall network cost

    3G Network Example: Fixed/Nomadic Voice + Data Service

    CapitalExpenses

    OperatingExpenses

    600 MOU /Sub/Month

    1000 MB /Sub/Month

    Capital(% of Total Network Expense) 38%

    Ancillary Equipment 1%Installation/Shipping 11%

    Site Acquisition 1%Project Management 0%RF Eng / Test Equip 1%BTS 12%BSC 8%MSC 0%Core Network 3%Other 1%Operating Expense(% of Total Network Expense) 62%

    Site Rental 12%Operations 13%Utilities 3%Spares 2%Training 1%Software Upgrade 1%Backhaul 25%Internet Interconnect 5%

    3) Evolution

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    23/34

    As with precedinggenerations, 3G

    technologies will continueto evolve, with timelyimprovements for greater

    capacity, lower cost, andhigher data rates tosupport a myriad of voice

    and data services.

    3) Evolution

    3G Technologies Have Strong Evolution Paths

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    24/34

    24

    3G Technologies Have Strong Evolution Paths

    EV-DO

    Rev A

    Rel-6 (HSUPA)

    DO Advanced

    Rel-9 & Beyond

    Rel-9

    Created 7/01/08

    UMB

    LTE

    1x Advanced

    Rev BPhase I

    HSPA+ (HSPA Evolved)Rel-7 Rel-8

    Rev BPhase II

    EV-DO

    Rel-8

    EV-DO

    OFDMA complements 3G

    Leverages wider bandwidths

    EV-DO

    Rel 0

    CDMA2000

    1X

    HSPAWCDMARel-99 Rel-5 (HSDPA)

    Excellent Mobile BroadbandVoice and Full Range of IP Services

    Enhanced User ExperienceImproved voice and data capacity

    Backward and forward compatibilityCost effective upgrades that leverage existing assets

    Peak Data Rates Achievable in Optimal Conditions

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    25/34

    25

    Peak Data Rates Achievable in Optimal Conditions

    Shared channel(downlink and uplink)

    16/64QAMHigher order Modulation

    2x2 MIMOMultiple Input Multiple

    Output

    Wider bandwidthMulti carrier

    and/or OFDMA

    Combinationsof HOM, MIMO and

    Multi carrier

    Even Higher orderMIMO and HOM

    Peak Data RateEnhancements EV-DO

    Rev. A

    UMB

    LTE

    DO AdvancedRev. BPhase I

    HSPA+ (HSPA Evolved)HSPA

    Rel-6 (HSUPA) Rel-7 Rel-8 Rel-9 & Beyond

    Rev. BPhase II

    EV-DO

    Rel-8 Rel-9

    DL: 71 - 135 Mbps6

    DL: 3.1 Mbps

    DL: 71 - 143 Mbps6

    14.7 Mbps2 DL: 34.4 Mbps3

    DL: 1.8-14.4 Mbps DL: 28 Mbps DL: 42 Mbps4 DL: 84 Mbps5

    DL: 9.3 Mbps1

    1Peak rate for 3 EV-DO carriers supported by initial implementation.2Peak rate for 3 EV-DO carriers with 64 QAM in the DL. Standard supports up to15 aggregated Rev. A carriers.3DO Advanced peak rate for 4 EV-DO carriers as expected for initialimplementation, assumes 2x2 MIMO and 64QAM in the DL.4R8 will reach 42 Mbps by combining 2x2 MIMO and HOM (64 QAM) in 5MHz, orby utilizing HOM (64 QAM) and multi carrier in 10 MHz.5R9 and beyond may utilize combinations of multi carrier and MIMO to reach 84Mbps peak rates.6Peak rates for 10 and 20 MHz FDD using 2x2 MIMO, the standard supports 4x4MIMO enabling peak rates of 278 Mbps for LTE and 288 Mbps for UMB. TDDrates are a function of up/downlink asymmetry

    Enhancements available to both CDMA and OFDMA

    Created 7/1/08

    10 MHz to 20 MHz

    10 MHz to 20 MHz

    5 MHz 5 MHz 10 MHz

    5 MHz 5 MHz >5 MHz

    Many Technologies Needed to Economically Deliver

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    26/34

    26

    Broadband Experience Everywhere

    LTE Complements Existing 3G Networks

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    27/34

    27

    LTE

    LTE Complements Existing 3G Networks

    3G Coverage (HSPA/HSPA+ or EV-DO Rev A/B)

    Address high-traffic areas with LTE 3G provides ubiquitous coverage

    Seamless service continuity with 3G Seamless handoffs through multimode devices

    Evolved 3G provides similar user experience

    outside the LTE coverage

    LTE

    HSPA+Multimode

    LTERev. B

    Multimode

    Industrys first LTE/3Gmultimode solutions

    LTEHSPA+/Rev. B

    Multimode

    Qualcomm Business Model

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    28/34

    28

    Qualcomm Business Model

    Qualcomm Invests Significantly in a Complete

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    29/34

    29

    Technology Roadmap

    Qualcomm Yearly R&D Expenditures

    Qualcomm Has Helped to Enable a $350+B Industry

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    30/34

    30

    Qualcomm Has Helped to Enable a $350 B Industry

    Industry:

    - CDMA/WCDMA Infrastructure Revenues

    - CDMA/WCDMA Handset Revenues

    - CDMA/WCDMA Service Revenues

    Sources:

    Qualcomm Revenues Company reports

    Handset, Infrastructure and Service Revenues Strategy Analytics, 2007

    Qualcomm Provides Broadest Solutions

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    31/34

    31

    Industry leader in modem technology

    Best-in-class RF & PMIC

    Highest level of system integration

    Modem, Multimedia, RF, PMIC, Software Leading-edge process & packaging

    TECHNOLOGY

    Single ChipEntry Level

    Mainstream MMBroadcastQVGA/WQVGA

    MSM6K

    QSC

    MSM

    7K

    HLOS PhonesVGA/WVGA

    Wireless & ConsumerConvergence

    QSD

    CUSTOMERS

    for Every Mobile Device Segment

    Over 50 customers

    Launched ~300 devices in 2007

    More than 350 devices in designand production

    Launching >30 phones per month

    Highly-Integrated Chip Solutions

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    32/34

    32

    Memory

    Micro-Processor

    GSM/GPRS,Edge, WCDMA,HSPA

    DSP

    GPS

    3D Graphics

    Video

    Audio

    Imaging

    CDMA, DO

    DSP

    SmallerForm Factor

    Longer Battery

    Life

    Lower OverallCosts

    Highly Integrated Chip Solutions

    Software

    +

    Summary

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    33/34

    33

    y

    3G has a strong evolution pathHigher capacity, peak and user data rates, enhanced user experience

    3G offers excellent wireless broadband todaySupports all services, market/device segments with excellent economics

    CDMA and OFDMA will provide similar performanceTopology will provide gains beyond technology

    LTE complements 3G and its evolutionLeverages new and wider spectrum up to 20 MHz

    Qualcomm is a key contributor to 3G and beyondSignificant investments in EV-DO, HSPA(+), LTE, 1X-Advanced

  • 8/3/2019 3G Broadband and Beyond 082108 Qualcomm

    34/34

    Thank You