3-dr lim methods to assess se impacts of cc 28-29.1.2008 (lim)

7/27/2019 3-DR LIM Methods to Assess SE Impacts of CC 28-29.1.2008 (Lim)

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Proposed Methodology to Assess theSocio-Economic Impacts of Changes

in Biodiversity (Arising from ClimateChange)

Lim Hin Fui & Mohd Parid Mamat

Environmental sociologistForest Research Institute Malaysia

28-29 January 2008Workshop for Working Group onVulnerability & Adaptation, Second NationalCommunication (NC2)

Awana Hotel, Genting Highlands


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Outline of Presentation1. The Context

2. The Biodiversity Sector

3. The Proposed Methodology


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The Context 1994 - Malaysia ratified both the United Nations

Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)

2002 Malaysia ratified Kyoto Protocol.

2002 - Malaysia submitted its Initial NationalCommunication (INC) with the support from UNDP/GEF.

Current Second National Communication (NC2) is acontinual step towards further implementation of theUNFCCC at national level which aims to generate acomprehensive report on climate change related issues in

Malaysia.


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NC2 Project

PSC

Project Mgt Group

GHG InventoryWG

Vulnerability &Adaptation WG

agriculture, forestry, biodiversity, water resources, coastaland marine resources, public health and energy

Mitigation WG

Climate ProjectionSupport Group

So c i o - e co n om i c I m p a c t s an d

Re sp o n s e Su p p o r t G r o u p


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The Context

3 Main Working Groups under Second NationalCommunication (NC2)

(a) National Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Inventory(b) Vulnerability and Adaptation (chaired by NAHRIM)(c) Mitigation (PTM)

The Vulnerability and Adaptation Working Group (WG)To undertake assessment of potential impacts of

climate change on several vulnerable sectors and to

formulate corresponding adaptation measures.To fulfil its task, this WG sets up 7 sub-working

groups for 7 sectors i.e. agriculture, forestry,biodiversity, water resources, coastal and marineresources, public health and energy.


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The Context

Under Vulnerability and Adaptation Working Group (WG)(a) Climate Projection Support Group (SG)

(b) Socio-Economic & Responses Support Group (SP)led by LESTARI

Socio-Economic & Responses Support Group (SP)To strengthen the inputs from the seven sectors for

climate change impact assessment at the socio-economiclevel.

While waiting Biodiversity Sector to make analysisbased on input from Climate Projection Support Group,this Support Group is to develop the methodology toassess the socio-economic impacts of climate change.


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The Biodiversity Sector Biodiversity means the variety of

ecosystems and the range of types andvariability of animals, plants andmicroorganisms within them.

Biodiversity of trees, orchids, birds, fish,ferns, fungi, insects, etc.

Ecosystem diversity is evaluated through

measures of the diversity of the componentspecies at the local level.


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The Proposed Methodology Assumption: when there is a

significant change in biodiversityresources caused by climate change

Methodology here concerns findingout the socio-economic impacts


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Objective To assess the socio-economic impacts

of change in biodiversity resourcesarising from climate change


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Literature Review Land use change & its impacts on

biodiversity Socio-economic change & its impact on

land use

Climate change leads to flood, drought, soilerosion & degradation

affects agriculture sectors socio-economic

impacts Socio-economic impacts related to change

in water resources


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Subjects for study1. Local biodiversity dependent

community2. Biodiversity resource traders

3. Biodiversity product value-addedprocessing industries

4. Tourist operators


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How to reach the subjects of study

Identifying the extent of the 4

subjects (local community, traders,industries, tourist operators)

Selecting the number to be study

(a) Small number of subject census

(b) Big number of subject sampling

based on some knowledge of thecharacteristics of the population beingsampled


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Key Variables, Measurement & Data

Collection

Local biodiversity dependent communities1. Occupation (harvesters)

2. Employment status (employer, self-employed,3. employee, unpaid family worker)4. Use of biodiversity resources (subsistence, sale or both)5. Yield of products (Quantity) & Price (RM/unit)

6. Income (cash & non-cash)7. Rural-urban migration (number of out-migrants)8. Remittance (RM)9. Poverty (per capita income poverty line)10. Loss of traditional knowledge (frequency use of medicine)

Method of data collection: Socio-economic survey & fieldobservation on community as a whole & households


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Collection

Biodiversity product traders

1. Yield of products (Quantity)

2. Price (RM/unit)

3. Gross income (RM)4. Net profit (RM)

Method of data collection: Socio-economic survey on traders


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Collection

Resource-dependent down-stream processingindustries

1. Employment (number of workers employed)

2. Biodiversity materials supplied (quantity) & price (RM)

3. Annual sale (RM)

4. Net profit (RM)5. Income per worker (RM)

Method of data collection: Socio-economic survey on(a) biodiversity resource processing industries

(b) workers


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Collection

Local tourist operators

1. Employment (Number of workers employed)

2. Visitors (Number of visitors)

3. Annual sale (RM)

4. Net profit of operators (RM)

5. Income tourism guides (RM)

Method of data collection: Socio-economic survey & field

observation on(a) tourist operators

(b) tourist guides


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Reference periodOption 1:

If there is a base year data, use it to compare with thecurrent research data, where appropriate.

Option 2:

If there is no relevant base year data, then gather time

series data (actual or estimated) from the socio-economic survey

Option 3:

If time is not a constraint, make comparison between

current year data with data to gather in the future,assuming that climate change is expected tocontinually affecting biodiversity change.


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Thank You

MAY ALL OF US BE HAPPY &HEALTHY so that we cancontinue contributing toClimate Change R & Dactivities for the benefits ofmankind.

3-dr lim methods to assess se impacts of cc 28-29.1.2008 (lim)

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