3 advanced flag patterns trading techniques
TRANSCRIPT
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Descending
Price action
1
2 3
Ascending
Price Action
1
32
Three (3) opportunities to enter(1) - Best, (2) - Highest Risk, (3) -Confirmation
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3. Sideways Topping Action
1. Sideways Bottoming Action1. Sideways Bottoming Action
Use Fib levels forBUY signals
Use Fib levels for
SHORT signals
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B
A
C
Flags
Parallel
12
3
Can also include the category of chart patterns pennants
Very common chart pattern found in existing trending price
action
Represent a pause or consolidation of price action to
determine whether to continue or reverse movement
Always proceed a dramatic or sharp price action moveAmong the most reliable of continuation patterns
Rarely produce a trend reversal
Easily identifiable by parallel lower and upper boundary of
support and resistance; respectively
Relatively short term countertrend movement in price
action
Technical analysis measurements can be applied to project
future price action continuations
More rapid development in downtrends
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In up trends
The advance in price action often has solid volume and the is strong, which forms
the initial thrust in price actionoften referred to as a flagpole.
The consolidation (i.e., pause & resting period) and slight retracement is narrowprice action with a slight descending movement or is horizontal (but no upward
movement) with volume often contracting during the flag portion of the pattern.
The flag portion of the pattern has highs and lows which can be connected by small
upper and lower trend lines which are parallel, giving the flag portion the look of a
small channel.
Often a measured move method is used to project the price action breakout and
preliminary target area.
Similar commentary for the downtrend
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B
A
C
Flags
Parallel
1
2
3
Signal
2B/3B Candlestick Reversals Crossing MAs RSI Short/Sell signals Stochastic Oversold signals MACD Down trending histogram Volume decreasing Divergence No Upside Follow Thru
Measured move creates the following projections of Leg 1 on to Leg 3
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B
AC
Flags
Parallel3 Basic break down
entry signals
Preliminarytarget
Initial Stop
2
1
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B
A
C
Flags
Parallel
1
2
3Basic break down
entry signal
Preliminarytarget
Initial Stop
Risk2/3 Bar Reversal
patterns
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B
A
C
Flags
1
2
3
Basic break downentry signal
Preliminarytarget
Initial StopFibonacciRetracements
2/3 Bar Reversalpatterns
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B
A
C
Flags
1
2
3
Better entrysignal
Preliminarytarget
Initial StopFibonacciRetracements
2/3 Bar Reversalpatterns
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Basic break downentry signalsB
A
C
Flags
Parallel
1
2
3
Preliminarytarget
Initial Stop
Risk
Reversal Patterns &momentum changes
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B
AC
Flags
Parallel3
Drop down to lowertimeframe to see
moreprice action
Preliminarytarget
Initial Stop
2
1
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Notice the higher low and lower high as price actionbreaks out and down respectively
ENTRY
PriceAction
HH
HH
HL
HL
HH
2/3 BarReversal patterns
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Ideal tradingsituation
ENTRY
LONG Entry Up trend Higher Highs & Higher Lows
PriceAction
4
4
4
4
4
4
Natural pullbacks
in price action
Trade # 1 Trade #2 Trade #3
Profit Lose Lose
2R 1R 1R
Setups &Entries ?
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ENTRY
PriceAction
4
4
4
4
4
4 Natural pullbacks
in price action
B
A
C
Flags
Parallel
1 2
3
Higher highs and higherlows provide evidence of
uptrend
Major Up Trend Higher Highs & Higher Lows
2/3 Bar Reversalpatterns
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200 MA
20 MA
B
A
C
Flag
Trading against the major trend
12
3
Setup
Signal
2B/3B Candlestick Reversals Crossing MAs RSI Short/Sell signals Stochastic Oversold signals MACD Down trending histogram Volume decreasing Divergence No Upside Follow Thru
Major Trend Higher timeframe uptrend
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200 MA
20 MA
HigherTimeframeDowntrend
SHORT
B
AC
Flags
Parallel1
2
3
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200 MA
20 MA
HigherTimeframeDowntrend
SHORT
RISK
TARGET
ENTRY
STOP
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200 MA
20 MA
Consider
STOP - Trailing 20 MA
HigherTimeframe
Phase 4
SHORT
RISK
TARGET
ENTRY
STOP
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Ideal tradingsituation
ENTRY
LONG Entry Up trend Higher Highs & Higher Lows
PriceAction
Higher
Opening Ranges
B
A
C
Flags
Parallel
1 2
3
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Candlestick ReversalPatterns
CandlestickReversal patterns
(1R)
(1R)Flag Pattern Entry
Flag Pattern Entry
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Learn to use the Best Chart Patterns as opportunities for Free Trades
When price action moves in your favor
There is initially a profit of some size
Initial stop can be moved to minimize or eliminate the initial risk; hence a free trade
The potential target is at risk of being hit
Eliminates the hidden trading-barriers that block you from reaping real trading profits
consistently
Teaches you about the current price action movements and find answers to how you cangenerate consistent profits that have been constantly eluding you
Allows you to accept the natural price action movement (i.e., pullbacks and rallies) and
determine whether to risk some if not all of the profits in order to trade directional trends.
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What are some of these not -so-obvious features offlag patterns?
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Traditional signals (i.e., breakouts/breakdowns) usually are late entries
Often the first breakout/breakdown bar will be a wide range bar making it to late to use a flag
pattern setup strategy
Can use Fibonacci retracement analysis to dramatically improve entries, stops and targets
hence better profits
Higher timeframe location is critical to the opportunity/rewards of flag pattern
Is often a variation of a measure move
Very good confirmation and divergence indicator of trending price action with other technical
signalsCan easily incorporate volume analysis to improve odds of setups
Small and overlapping candlestick bars are a very good characteristic of quality flag patterns
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Scaling-In is the best alternative for trading success! Small incremental positions
Most of the time markets are trading sideways and direction is hard to determine; so we usescaling-in as a risk measure to mitigate error of entries
Use the Market Cycle to identify whether price action is trending or non-trending
Easier to trade more efficiently and effectively with small more frequent positionsDevelops good trading habits for adding to winning trade setups
Scaling-In reduces risk with initial entry
Look for prior pivot highs/lows, flag patterns, broadening patterns and/or triangles forconfirmation of prior move to assist with Scaling-In method.
All-In-At-Once method is considered by traders often too early in their trading careers
Optimal entry for using All-In-At-Once method is at the point of transitions for the beginning ofthe uptrend.
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Learn To Use Simple trading techniques for scalp trading versus complicated Charts Analysis
Have to be able to track and measure performance in real-time constantly
Focus only on trending markets / move in both futures and stocks
Use simple (3) Charts for Trade Analysis consistently on all charts
Identify Market cycles on all (3) timeframes (i.e., 15/5/2 minute charts)
How long has price action been in the current phase?
Is there congruency in the multiple timeframe charts?
Is there congruency between the (4) e-mini futures and/or your stock on same timeframes?
Learn to trade in increments of 2 to 3 trades in same direction at most
Unless you have clear CONFIRMATION of a dominant uptrend on all time frames
MUST keep loses SMALL
MUST have solid RISK and MONEY MANAGEMENT otherwise you WILL have trouble with
trading style!
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Analyzing Flag PatternsReview the average daily trading range to determine if price action isincreasing/decreasing.
Conduct volume analysis to determine whether volume is diverging with price action.Lack of volume to support potential breakout should reduce position size or waitfor breakout confirmation
Review price action on multiple time frames to determine the macro trend.
Trade on the side of the major trend to avoid low odds trades.
Review support and resistance to find risk and reward parameters for setups & entriesat support or resistance.
Look for congruency with E-mini futures for trading opportunities and setups.
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Transition Among Phases
1
32
1
2 3
B
AC
FlagsParallel 12
3
B
A
CFlags
1 2
3
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3. Sideways Topping Action
1. Sideways Bottoming Action1. Sideways Bottoming Action
Transition Among Phases
Indicator provides
signalBuy ShortSOH SOH
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Transition Among Phases
Indicator provides
signalBuy ShortSOH SOH
B
AC
FlagsParallel 12
3
B
A
CFlags
1 2
3