2nd east-west innovation forum floods: danger, strategies, solutions 5-6 june 2003, warsaw, poland

E u r o p e a n C o m m i s s i o n

Community Research

Global Change and Ecosystems - Water cycle and Soil-related aspects

2nd EAST-WEST Innovation ForumFloods: Danger, Strategies, Solutions

5-6 June 2003, Warsaw, Poland

Panagiotis BalabanisDG Research

[email protected]

The research on floods supported by The research on floods supported by the European Commission up to datethe European Commission up to date


Community Research


Three decades of EU flood related Three decades of EU flood related researchresearch

Flooding was a major component of successive EU environmental research programmes

Earlier programmes were focussed on understanding the causes of natural disasters and the development of protection methods

Recent programmes (FP4,FP5 and FP6) give more and more emphasis on integrated approaches for flood management within the context of sustainability


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EC supported flood research projectsEC supported flood research projects

FP2 - 6 projects FP3 - 12 projects FP4 - 22 projects FP5 - 18 projects Other (IC) - 4 projects

EC Funding over €58 Million


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RIBAMOD Principles (1997)RIBAMOD Principles (1997)Pre-flood preparedness

risk mapping and reduction spatial planning flood defence infrastructure contingency planning

Operational flood management warning and emergency response

Post-flood recovery relief, review, regeneration


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RIBAMOD ConclusionsRIBAMOD ConclusionsInvolvement of the public as well as politicians and

professionals in the sustainable development of river basins.

Need a catchment view of flood defence activities, integrated with environmental effects rather than a collection of unconnected, individual measures

Need to understand the effects of environmental change on flood risk


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RIBAMOD ConclusionsRIBAMOD ConclusionsNeed multidisciplinary working between

meteorologists and hydrologists to improve flood forecasting and

between engineers, planners and ecologists for the design of flood defences

Risk is the framework for managing and communicating the effects of flooding.

Incorporate “human” factors in flood defence planning – how to present information to achieve the desired action.


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EUROTASEUROTASIntegrated catchment modellingProcedure for risk assessmentProcedure for environmental change

Land use and climate impactProcedure for river engineering measuresPrototype Decision SupportTechnology implemented in UK strategic flood

defence planning - MDSF


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Advances in FP3 and FP4Advances in FP3 and FP4

Radar precipitation and hydrology Integration of data sourcesUse of LAM in flood forecastingFloods with debris (mountain areas) Integrated catchment modellingFlood risk assessment

Hazards, exposure and vulnerability


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Flood research in the context of FP5Flood research in the context of FP5

Key Action “Sustainable Management and Quality of Water” emphasis on flood forecasting and early warning systems

Key Action “Lobal Change, Climate and Biodiversity” emphasis on major natural and technological hazards


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FloodManFloodMan

Near real time flood forecasting, warning and management system based on satellite radar images, hydrological and hydraulic models and in-situ data.

Coordinator: Dr. Tore Guneriussen, NORUT, Tromsø, Norway


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FloodMan ObjectivesFloodMan Objectives

The main objective of this project is to

develop, demonstrate and validate a prototype information system for cost effective near-real time flood forecasting, warning and management using EO data, in particular space borne Synthetic Aperture Radar data, hydrological and hydraulic models and in-situ data.

.


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Real-time Flood Decision Support System Integrating Hydrological, Meteorological and Radar Technologies

Michael ButtsWater Resources Division DHI Water & Environment

FLOODRELIEFFLOODRELIEF


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Main ObjectivesMain Objectives

The FLOODRELIEF project aims

to develop and demonstrate a new generation of flood forecasting methodologies which will advance present capabilities and accuracies

to make the forecasting information and results more readily accessible both to flood managers and those threatened by floods.


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Critical Assessment of available Radar Precipitation Estimation techniques and

Development of Innovative approaches for Environmental Management


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Project ObjectivesProject Objectives

CARPE DIEM aims to improve the quality of flood forecasting for small and medium size catchments developing an innovative methodology to exploit radar data (Doppler moment, reflectivity and polarisation information) in order to enhance rainfall estimation and prediction.

Improve the techniques for assimilation of radar data in NWP models, with emphasis on the forecasting of flooding events and on nowcasting.

Improve the quality of radar rain retrieving techniques.

Improve the quality of the rainfall field inputs to hydrological models.

Improve the useful lead-time and reliability of forecasted floods.


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MANTISSA

Microwave Attenuation as a New Tool for Improving Stormwater Supervision Administration

Professor Chris Collier, University of Salford, United Kingdom


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MANTISSAMANTISSA

ObjectivesObjectives

To evaluate the applicability of microwave links as a tool for improved rain measurements in urban and rural catchments.

To improve the management of stormwater flows including flash floods in rural and urban catchments.


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EURAINSATEURAINSAT

European Satellite Rainfall Analysis and Monitoring at the

Geostationary

V. Levizzani, National Council of Research, Institute of Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, Italy


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EURAINSATWhat is the main purpose?Develop new satellite rainfall estimation methods at the geostationary scale for an operational use in short and very short range weather monitoring and forecasting.

Who are the key target users?The project is very much application-oriented and natural users are to be found among:National and regional met services,Basin authorities,International agencies (WMO, FAO, …),National and international space agencies,National agencies for civil and environmental protection,Institutions for the protection against hydrogeological risks,Air traffic control centers,Research institutions,Industry, agriculture, …


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MUSIC - Multi-sensor precipitation MUSIC - Multi-sensor precipitation measurements integration, measurements integration,

calibration and flood forecastingcalibration and flood forecasting

Improving the reliability of rainfall estimation techniques based on radar and Meteosat, by combining them, in an objective and optimal way, with the traditional rain-gauge observations.

Communicate and disseminate results to the authorities involved in real-time flood forecasting and management


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EFFS - A European Flood EFFS - A European Flood Forecasting SystemForecasting System

To take advantage of currently available Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (4 - 10 days) to produce reliable flood warnings beyond the current flood warning period of approximately 3 days.

To design a Medium-Range Flood Forecasting System for Europe that will produce flood warnings on the basis of the Medium Range Weather Forecasts.

To produce flood forecasts in regions where at present no flood forecasts are made on the basis of the newly developed system.


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MITCHMITCH

Mitigation of Climate Induced Natural Hazards

Paul Samuels, HR Wallingford Ltd, United Kingdom


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MITCHMITCH

Objectives

To provide a forum for discussion and debate. To assist hazard planning and management by

disseminating start-of-the-art research. To match end user needs with research community

capability. To seek implementation pathways for research results.


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MITCHMITCHThe MITCH Workshops (http://www.mitch-

ec.net/news_events.htm)

'Floods, Droughts and Landslides - Management in a Changing Climate, December 2001

Advances in Flood Forecasting, Flood Warning & Emergency Management, June 2002

Floods, Droughts and Landslides - Who Plans, Who Pays? November 2002


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ACTIF - ACTIF - Achieving Technological Innovation in Flood Forecasting

To actively consolidate and disseminate FP5 research advances in flood forecasting

To derive and disseminate additional benefits from these projects to facilitate the implementation of technological innovations already achieved in the research. Convening of two scientific workshops and promotion of an

international conference Preparation of Guidelines of best European Practice in three aspects of

flood forecasting technology Preparation of guidelines on the access to high quality, site specific,

data for further research and analysis


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ECOFLOOD - Towards Natural Flood Reduction Strategies

The ECOFLOOD accompanying measure will support a series of workshops and a conference to reduce the gap between the research community and the stakeholders and to elaborate a manual for stimulating the idea of natural floods defence strategies International Conference, Warsaw, 6-13 September

2003 (http://levis.sggw.waw.pl/ecoflood/)


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ConclusionsConclusions11

Past and ongoing research activities provide important insights for the sustainable management of floods

It will never be possible to guarantee absolute safety and therefore a change of paradigm towards non-structural flood protection measures, such as floodplain management, flood forecasting and warning systems, risk assessment, economic instruments, awareness raising and improving information is needed


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Flash-floods have been significantly less studied than floods occurring in basins larger than 500 km2

Implications of climate variability and climate change have not been fully considered in current water policy and decision-making frameworks and need to receive proper attention

Dissemination of research results to end users and the establishment of closer links between researchers and operational agencies is of paramount importance


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A more concerted EU research action is needed to integrate various fragmented activities in the field of flood risk assessment at catchment and regional scale, in the context of climate change and variability, land-use change, urbanisation and population growth, making use of recent technological advances (radar, satellite, modeling etc.) and improving the opportunities of floodplain management to manage the variability of extreme events

2nd east-west innovation forum floods: danger, strategies, solutions 5-6 june 2003, warsaw, poland

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