28 november, 2007 ružomberok, slovakia...sources: emge woodfree forecast report; october 2007 for...
TRANSCRIPT
MONDI INVESTOR AND ANALYST PRESENTATION
28 November, 2007 Ružomberok, Slovakia
PAGE 1
Agenda
Overview Adrian Fowler
Strategic drivers Adrian Fowler
Market overview Michael Sablatnig
Productive capability Michael Sablatnig
Summary Michael Sablatnig
Wood dynamics Rinat Starkov
Step project Rinat Starkov
OVERVIEW
PAGE 3
UNCOATED FINE PAPER HISTORY
1995
2007
Pre 1995Mondi
companies in Austria and
South Africa
1995 96 97 98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
2006Disposal of
Dunaújváros / Hungary
1995Acquisition of Szolnok / Hungary
1997Acquisition of Dunaújváros / Hungary
2000
Acquisition of Ružomberok / Slovakia
1999Acquisition of Hadera Paper / Israel
2002Acquisition of Syktyvkar / Russia
PAGE 4
UNCOATED FINE PAPER – OVERVIEW
Total paper production capacity 2.3 m tons15 PMs at 7 sites in 6 countries
Total pulp production capacity 1.9 m tons 4 sites in 4 countries
Number of employees YE 2006 14,077
Turnover 2006 € 1,889 M
EBITDA & Margin 2006 € 237 M / 13%
Turnover HY 2007 € 966 M
EBITDA & Margin HY 2007 € 149 M / 15%
PAGE 5
PRODUCTS AND MARKET POSITIONS
1 Based on production capacity (Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting)Sources: Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting, Mondi
No. 2 in Uncoated Woodfree (UCWF) in Europe1
No. 1 in Office Paper in Europe & Africa1
No. 1 in UCWF in Africa1
Universal Segment
~ 82% of paper salesUniversal products
Office Paper – Multifunctional office paperOffset– Folio/reel
Speciality Segment
~ 18% of paper salesSpeciality products
Office Paper– Colour laser paper– Tinted paper– Recycled paperOffset– Recycled folio/reel
Products Positions
PAGE 6
TOTAL PRODUCTION CAPACITIES (per mill)
Paper Pulp
Total production: 2.3 m tons Total production: 1.9 m tons
16.7%
22.4% 24.4%
Israel(PM7)Hungary
(PM8)
Austria(PM3, PM4PM5, PM6)
5.8%5.4%
Slovakia(PM16, PM17,
PM18)
South Africa(PM31, PM32,PM33)
Russia(PM11, PM14, PM15)
25.3% 22.5%
38.5%
36.4%Russia
South Africa
Slovakia
2.6%Austria
PAGE 7
EXPERIENCED MANAGEMENT TEAM
CFO (from Jan 1, 2008)Gerhard Kornfeld
38 years old
1 year of paper industry experienceFD MP Paper (since 1.10.2006)CEO (6 y.) and CFO (2y.) VATECH CZ Controller (3y.) and FD (3y.) ABB
Director wood & pulp procurement, Logistics, Hungary & Israel
Rinat Starkov 38 years old
5 years of paper industry experienceMD Mondi Russia -SyktyvkarDirector Martin Bauer (AO ‘Krasnogorskleksredstva’)
Technical Director –Uncoated Fine Paper
Thomas Reibelt49 years old
22 years of paper industry experienceMill Managing Director Stora EnsoMill Manager Koehler KehlVP of Manufacturing PWA Decor Process Engineer Feldmühle
Marketing & Sales Director –Uncoated Fine Paper
Michael Sablatnig50 years old
22 years of paper industry experienceVarious positions in Marketing & Sales - MondiController ElinSales Representative Bizerba
CEO Peter Machacek
55 years old
28 years of paper and packaging experienceCEO Mondi Packaging PaperSales Director Paper Mill FrantschachSales & Marketing Manager Tetra Pak Austria
CFO (until Dec 31,2007)Adrian Fowler
39 years old
2 years of paper industry experienceCFO Anglo Coal South AfricaGroup OptimisationMgr Anglo Platinum Mgmt. Consultant (co-owner)
PAGE 8
FINANCIAL INDICATORS
Note: ROCE for the year 2004 not available (change of accounting principles from 2003 to 2004).
1 Sales figures include inter-segment revenues.2 ROCE is an annualised measure based on operating profit before special items plus net profit from associates divided by average trading capital employed for the period.3 EBITDA is operating profit of subsidiaries and joint ventures before special items, interests, taxes, depreciation and amortisationSource: Mondi
Profitability (HY 2007)
EBITDA3
EBITDAMargin
ROCE2
Capital Employed
Sales1 (EUR B) / ROCE2 (in %)
€149M €114M +31%
15% 12% +29%
€1.9B €1.9B +1%
7,3% 5,7% +28%
7
65
6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1,77
2004
1,75
2005
1,89
2006
0,96
2006 HY
0,97
1,0
0,0
1,5
2,0
0,5
Sales(EUR B)
ROCE(%)
2007 HY
2007 2006
STRATEGIC DRIVERS
PAGE 10
UNCOATED FINE PAPER STRATEGIC DRIVERS
Integrated value chainLow-cost upstream paper production in Russia, Slovakia and South Africa
Comprehensive Business Excellence programmesProven M&A/integration track record
Contributes to Mondi Group’s outperformance of peers measured by ROCE
Continued focus on performance and low-cost positionDisciplined approach to capital allocation
Leading market positions in European UCWF marketHigh exposure to fastest growing product segments and geographies
Strong asset base
Focus on performance
Outperforming its peers
Value creation
Strong market position
PAGE 11
MARKET SHARES IN EUROPE AND EMERGINGEUROPE PER SEGMENT
Leading market position in European UCWF market
Strong market position
Notes: Market share is based on European 2007 capacities (Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting) and forecast of 2007 market capacity (EMGE).Sources: Pöyry World Market Analysis for Uncoated Woodfree Paper - 2007 update; EMGE Western European Woodfree Forecast Report December 2006
Top 5 Uncoated Woodfree Top 5 Office Paper
Stora Enso
M-Real
Mondi
IP
Portucel
Mondi
IP
Stora Enso
M-Real
Portucel
16%
11%
13%
10%
10%
17%
14%
16%
13%
11%
Mondi Uncoated Fine Paper generates approximately 65% of UCWF sales in faster
growing Office Paper segment
PAGE 12
Integrated value chain
Strong asset base
Strong market position
BENEFITING FROM INTEGRATED VALUE CHAIN
1 Regardless of whether sold externally or used for internal demand. 2 Forestry figures are based on total annual allowable cut without firewood (theoretical capacity). 3 2.3mt including newsprint.Note: Own supply figures do not include 1.9 mm³ wood and 0.5Mt pulp that are supplied internally to other Mondi businesses, mainly to MP.Source: Mondi
Mondi’s Own Availability1
Mondi’s Own Demand
Potential Self Sufficiency
PaperPulpForestry
89%
5.4 Mm3 2)
6.0 Mm3
77%
1.4 M tons
1.8 M tons
2.1 M tons3
UCWF
PAGE 13
Integrated value chainLow-cost upstream paper production (I)
Strong asset base
Strong market position
LOW-COST POSITION
1 Not totally focused on universal segment. Notes: The supply curve covers only MBP sites that are focused on universal segment.
Not included are sites that serve only domestic markets. Source: Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
0 500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2.500 3.000 3.500 4.000
Universal Grades (Office Paper) Delivered Cash Cost
Mondi Paper Machines Cumulative capacity (K tons/a)
1
EUR/tons
91% of Mondi Universal Office Paper Capacity
PAGE 14
Integrated value chainLow-cost upstream paper production (II)
Strong asset base
Strong market position
SUPERIOR ACCESS TO LOW-COST WOOD
Note: The numbers are based on the Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting Q2 2007 wood cost comparison. Sources: Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting
Average Hardwood and Softwood Costs (EUR/m3, Q2 2007)
~ 68% of Mondi Uncoated Fine Paper wood consumption from Russia and South Africa
Russian and South African costs are largely under our own control. Therefore, future wood costs are largely controllable
47
3030
25
3942
3733
2625
Brazil
Russia
South
Africa
Chile
Austra
liaPola
ndPort
ugal
Sweden
Finlan
dFran
ce
PAGE 15
90%
95%
85%2006
90.3% 90.6%
2004
91.1% 91.5%
2005
91.2%
89.9%
CONTINUOUS PROFITABILITY IMPROVEMENTS (I)
Strong asset base
Focus on performance
Leading market position
Strong asset base
Focus on performance
Strong market position
ComprehensiveBusinessExcellenceprogrammes
∆ 0.4%∆ 0.6%
∆ 0.4%
Benchmark Mondi
Mondi exceeds benchmark –despite rebuilds in these years (2006 efficiency excluding PM31 rebuild project = 92.8%)
Technological challenges in emerging markets well managed
Example: Time Efficiency
Sources: Metso Benchmark Study; Mondi
PAGE 16
PERFORMANCE IMPROVEMENTSIN ACQUIRED COMPANIES
Strong asset base
Focus on performance
Strong market position
ComprehensiveBusinessExcellenceprogrammesProven M&A/ integration track record
Site acquired in 2000
Integrated operations
PM18 is world class leader in productivity3
Ruzomberok (Slovakia)
1 CAGR 2 Forestry workers included 3 Metso Benchmark on paper machine net production measured as km²/meter deckle width Note: Tons per capita based on employees year average.Source: Mondi
Syktyvkar (Russia)²
100150200250300350
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
%
Volume per capita
20% p.a.¹
13% p.a.( ¹)
100
120
140
160
180
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
%
Volume per capita Management control
acquired in 2002
Integrated operations
PAGE 17
INNOVATION – A WAY OF LIFE
1967
2007
67 68 69
197072 73 74 75 76 77 78 7971
198081 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89
199091 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
200001 02 03 04 05 06 07
1967World's first copy paper for dry toner machines
1978World's first small-format cutter installed at MONDI
1989World's firstchlorine-free bleached copy paper BIO TOP 3
1995World's first and onlythree-layer copy paper TRIOTEC
2000World's first FSC-certified copy paper ROTA-TRIM
2005
2007World's firstnano-hybrid paper neox
World's firstbiodegradable ream packaging
World's firstFSC-certified laser copy paper COLOR COPY
Products ProcessMethodsProducts ProcessMethods
Mona Lisa 2
Mona Lisa 1
Color NanoTech
OPTONAN
Crystallinity
Nano Coated Fillers
OWL
neox offset
neox laser
HANS
Fun Fibres
NILE EMILIE
Fun Fillers
ADF
SurFunC ell
Until 2012
Until 2009
Implemented 2007
NOA/DigiQ
EMR
LaBaCuS
Nano Dust Tester
Fall Flat
Innovation Road-map for the future secures Innovation leadership in the future
MARKET OVERVIEW
PAGE 19
UNCOATED FINE PAPER
Merchants Office Suppliers and Retailers
Original Equipment Manufacturers
Note: Mondi estimate based on sales data.Source: Mondi
~14%~78% ~8%
STRONG DISTRIBUTION NETWORK ACROSS ALL SALES CHANNELS
PAGE 20
EUROPEAN UCWF MARKET AROUND € 9 bn –OFFICE PAPER SEGMENT EXPERIENCED GOOD GROWTH
European UCWF Market 2000–20061 European Office Paper Market 2000–20061
100%€ 9 B
Office Paper
Other UCWF(e.g. Offset)
2006
55%
45%
1 Translation of volume in t to value in EUR estimated. 2 Volume growth based on 2000-2006 demand estimates by Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting. 3 Volume growth based on 2005-2006 demand estimates by Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting.Source: Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting, Mondi
CAGR2
3%
2%
4%
100%€ 4B
West Europe
East Europe
2006
18%
82%
CAGR2
4%
7%3
2%
PAGE 21
UCWF 2006 - 2011 demand growth (in %)1
FORECASTED EUROPEAN DEMAND AND OPERATING RATES
Sources: EMGE Woodfree Forecast Report; October 2007 for Western and Eastern Europe. World Paper markets, Pöyry 2005 Edition for CIS. CIS market growth from 2004 - 2010
9,8
6,6
1,3
WE EE CIS
West Europe 16
East Europe 14
7.8807.7057.5557.6457.4957.405
0
5.000
10.000
020406080100
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
1,3%Operating Rate (%)Demand (k tons)
Operating ratesDemand
1.1901.1101.035995915865
0500
1.0001.500
2.000
020406080100
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
6,6%Demand (k tons) Operating Rate (%)
PRODUCTIVE CAPABILITY
PAGE 23
Uncoated Fine Paper
OVERVIEW OF MONDI UCWF PRODUCTION
1 Own wood availability include wood for pulp production attributed to Mondi Packaging and include wood for all usages (pulp/woodchips production, firewood,…).2 The Syktyvkar and Richards Bay pulp mill capacities include 185 kt and 270 kt of pulp attributed to Mondi Packaging
Non / Partly Integrated Mills Integrated Mills
30% of total UCWF capacity 70% of total UCWF capacity
Theresienthal/ Kematen(Austria)
Szolnok(Hungary)
Hadera(Israel)
Ruzomberok(Slovakia)
Syktyvkar(Russia)
Merebank/ Richards Bay(South Africa)
∑ 1 870 kt
∑ 2 102 kt(2 294 kt incl.
newsprint)
Pulp Capacity
Paper Capacity
MainProducts
• Tints• Color Laser• Recycled• A+ , B+
• B+• C+
• B+• C+• Offset
• C+• Offset
• C+• Offset
• B+• C+• Offset
49 kt
4 PMs384 kt
1 PM125 kt
1 PM132 kt
421 kt
3 PMs513 kt
680 kt2
2 PMs 388 kt1 PM 192 kt(newsptint)
720 kt2
3 PMs560 kt
Own Wood availability 3.2 mm³ 1 4.4 mm³ 1 ∑ 7.6 mm³ (1)
PAGE 24
AUSTRIA
Mills Hausmening,Kematen
Management Board Karl Grill, Gerhard Schwiegk
Number of employees ~800 YE 2006
Paper production capacity 384,000 tons
Pulp production capacity 49,000 tons
PAGE 25
HUNGARY
Mills Szolnok
Management Board Gábor Ferencz, Thomas Rost
Number of employees ~400 YE 2006
Paper production capacity 125,000 tons
PAGE 26
ISRAEL
Mills Hadera
Management Board Avner Solel,Yehonatan Roash,David Muhlgay,Dror Cohen,Lior Peretz
Number of employees ~300 YE 2006
Paper production capacity 132,000 tons
PAGE 27
SLOVAKIA
Mills Ružomberok
Management Board Eliaz Amar, Richard Zigmund, Dusan Simo, Franz Aigner
Number of employees ~1,800 YE 2006
Paper production capacity 513,000 tons
Pulp production capacity 421,000 tons
PAGE 28
RUSSIA
Mills Syktyvkar
Management Board Andrey Dribny, Maxim Smirnov
Number of employees ~8,4001
YE 2006
Paper production capacity 580,000 tons1
Pulp production capacity 680,000 tons2
Own wood availability 3.2 M m³(annual allowable cut)
1 Excludes the board business (PM 21), which is managed by Mondi Packaging, but legally incorporated in MBP Syktyvkar. Total number of employees including the board business amounted to ~10.600 employees .
2 The Syktyvkar pulp mill capacity includes 185 kt of pulp attributed to Mondi Packaging
PAGE 29
SOUTH AFRICA
Mills Merebank, Richards Bay
Management Board Ron Traill, Rory Sharp, Viv McMenamin
Number of employees ~2,200 YE 2006
Paper production capacity 560,000 tons
Pulp production capacity 720,000 tons1
Own wood availability 4.4 M m³
1 The Richards Bay pulp mill capacity includes 270 kt of pulp attributed to Mondi Packaging
SUMMARY
PAGE 31
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE LAST 18 MONTHS
Maintaining of strong positions of key brands & market positions in key markets
Top rating of Color Copy brand by EMGE2nd place ranking of Mondi in mill performance
Strengthenlow-cost position & market positioning
Improvements realized in industry operational efficiency benchmarksThe resolution of the PM31 technical issuesContinued focus on comprehensive Business Excellence programs
Awards received in the innovation & environmental arenasThe launch of Neox (Nano Technology Paper)
Efficiency Improvements & comprehensive Business Excellence programmes
Develop value-added growth options (e.g. modernisation and expansion project in Syktyvkar)
Disciplined approach to capital allocation
Strong asset base
Focus on performance
Outperforming its peers
Value creation
Strong market position
STEPSTEP
Panda-Award 2006
Panda-Award 2006
Source: Mondi
PAGE 32
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE NEXT 18 MONTHS
Source: Mondi
Strengthening position in the fast growing office supply retail channelsMaintain strong market positions in key marketsDelivering on the targets of taking out complexity and costsConcluding the plans for the high complexity / high cost operationsStrengthening Mondi’s fibre position
Strengthenlow-cost position & market positioning
Continuing the safety path to Target 0 Continued focus on comprehensive Business Excellence programmes
Efficiency Improvements & comprehensive Business Excellence programmes
Delivering the Syktyvkar modernisation and expansion project to planContinue to evaluate value generating growth opportunities
Disciplined approach to capital allocation
Strong asset base
Focus on performance
Outperforming its peers
Value creation
Strong market position
STEPSTEP
YTD 2007
0.16
2006
0.19
2005
0.18
2004
0.35
2001 2002
2.30
0.71
2003
0.62
Lost time injury frequency ratein LTI / 200,000 working hrs employees + contractors
WOOD DYNAMICS
PAGE 34
INTEGRATED VALUE CHAIN COMBINED WITH ACCESS TO LOW-COST WOOD
Control over wood resources due to the wood dynamics increasingly becoming a key competitive factor Mondi benefiting from an integrated value chain combined with access to low-cost wood with Russian and South African costs largely under our own control giving Mondi a competitive advantage
1 Regardless of whether sold externally or used for internal demand. 2 Forestry figures are based on total annual allowable cut without firewood (theoretical capacity). 3 2.3mt including newsprint.Note: Own supply figures do not include 1.9 mm³ wood and 0.5Mt pulp that are supplied internally to other Mondi businesses, mainly to MP.Source: Mondi
Mondi’s Own Availability1
Mondi’s Own Demand
Potential Self Sufficiency
PaperPulpForestry
89%
5.4 Mm3 2)
6.0 Mm3
77%
1.4m tons
1.8m tons
2.1 m tons3
UCWF
Average Hardwood and Softwood Costs (EUR/m3, Q2 2007)
~ 68% of Mondi Uncoated fine Paper wood consumption from Russia and South AfricaRussian and South African costs are largely under our own control. Therefore, future wood costs are largely controllable.
47
3030
25
3942
3733
2625
Brazil
Russia
South
Africa
Chile
Austra
liaPola
ndPort
ugal
Sweden
Finlan
dFran
ce
Note: The numbers are based on the Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting Q2 2007 wood cost comparison. Sources: Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting
PAGE 35
WOOD DYNAMICS
Recently a number of studies have been conducted on wood availability and pulp wood prices in the European region.
The results show that the wood processing industry in Western Europe is under pressure from increased fibre demand and bio-mass burning for energy and is forecasted to experience increasing wood shortages.
Eastern European countries and Russia are less affected by this trend.
Russia is influencing the market via the introduction of potentially prohibitive customs duties.
The wood market is still a regional one, as transportation costsare high.
PAGE 36
TOTAL HARVESTING EASTERN EUROPE & WEST RUSSIA
Source: Pöyry: Wood availability outlook in Eastern Europe & Russia (Aug. '07)
Million m3 Million m3
0
5
10
15
20
0
30
60
90
120
150
Rom
ania
Ukr
aine
Latv
ia
Est
onia
Slo
vaki
a
Bel
arus
Lith
uani
a
Hun
gary
Bul
garia
Cro
atia
Bos
nia
Ser
bia
Slo
veni
a
W R
ussi
a0
5
10
15
20
0
30
60
90
120Fuelwood
Industrial wood
HW
SW
PAGE 37
CEE1 (excl. Russia) demand / supply – 2020 (in Mm3)
EASTERN EUROPE (EXCL. RUSSIA): STABLE DEMAND/SUPPLY SITUATION
1 The following countries were analysed: Belarus, Bosnia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, UkraineSource: Pöyry: Wood availability outlook in Eastern Europe & Russia (Aug. '07), BCG analysis
Currently, demand and supply balanced to a great extentFuture domestic demand and supply pushed by prospering economic growthLimited growth of exports (to WE), as
domestic prices expected to grow in line with WE pricesthus keeping price differential to WE more or less at current levelthus levelling incentive to export
CEE1 (excl. Russia) demand / supply – 2005 (in Mm3)
12
7
151
Local demand Net exports
33
163
Supply
Other
Pulpwood
Expected Wood Availability in CEE1 (excl. Russia)
8
5
Supply
Other
Pulpwood
110
Local demand Net exports
18
118
PAGE 38
Increase of Russian demand / supply balance, as:Establishing of export duties, aiming to foster domestic value creation, causing decrease of exports High distances to WE potentially do not lead to an increase of exports
Potentially, Russia with large unutilised suppliesNot used due to export duties and high transport distances to WE
West Russian demand / supply – 2005 (in Mm3)
West Russian demand / supply – 2020 (in Mm3)
West Russian theoretical supply – 2020 (in Mm3)
Source: Pöyry: Wood availability outlook in Eastern Europe & Russia (Aug. '07), BCG analysis
26
21
96
Local demand
Supply
Other
122
Pulp-wood
Net exports
67
5
38
Local demand
Net exports
49
172
Other
167
Pulp-wood
Supply
112
172
Used supply
Unused supply
284
Theoretical supply
Expected Wood Availability in Western Russia
WEST RUSSIA: INCREASINGLY BALANCED DEMAND/ SUPPLY SITUATION, BUT STILL HOLDING A CONSIDERABLE RESERVE OF WOOD
PAGE 39
MARKET WOOD PRICES INCREASED IN RECENT QUARTERS
Pressure from energy sector combined with warm winter and lack of infrastructure (e.g. in Russia) caused increases of wood market prices
Source: Wood Resources International LLC (WRI): Wood resource quarterly report, 2007
05
101520253035404550556065707580859095
100105
4q/2005
1q/2006
2q/2006
US South
4q/2006
1q/2007
2q/2007
3q/2007
US Northwest
Canada West
Finland
3q/2006
Sweden Germany NW Russia Brazil
1q/2005
2q/2005
3q/2005
US$/m³Delivered to local
Pulp mills
05
101520253035404550556065707580859095
100105
US$/m³Delivered to local
Pulp mills
US South US Northwest
Finland Sweden Germany NW Russia Brazil Indonesia
Market Softwood prices (USD/m³) Market Hardwood prices (USD/m³)
PAGE 40
CONCLUSIONS FROM RECENT WOOD / BIO ENERGY STUDIES
General raw material demand, combined with bio-energy demand is increasing pressure on fibre supply.
Bio-energy subsidies do seem to be slowing.
Overall European fibre supply is considered to remain tight with further cost increases anticipated,
Eastern European demand and supply is balanced to a large extent,Only Western Russia holds considerable wood reserves, which duties are now confining to domestic producers.
Consequently wood prices are likely to increase further in the coming years.
As forests in Russia and South Africa are managed, future wood availability and costs are largely under our control.
STEP PROJECT – RUSSIA
PAGE 42
SYKTYVKAR MODERNISATION AND EXPANSION PROJECT
Modernisation and expansion of low-cost Pulp and paper millin Syktyvkar, RussiaCapex: EUR 525 m
PAGE 43
WOOD RESOURCES
Annual Allowable Cut (in M m3)
Russia offers an abundant, high quality fibre resource that Mondi is well positioned to take advantage of, to supply the tight global market for wood products
The STEP Project will augment Mondi’s access to existing and future forestry rights in the Komi Republic
Actual cut in Komi Republic amounts to 27% of AAC
7
250
16
550
Russia
26
Rep. of Komi
Actual cutin Komi
3.2
Mondicontrolled
3.0
ActualMondi
demand
4.0
Mondidemand
incl. STEP
Totalvolume
Eco-nomical
viablevolume
PAGE 44
Average Hardwood and Softwood Costs (EUR/m3, Q2 2007)
Wood costs of Russia rank at the bottom of the international wood cost benchmark from Pöyry
Future wood costs largely depend on efficiency of our own operations
WOOD COSTS
Note: The numbers are based on the Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting Q2 2007 wood cost comparison. Sources: Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting
47
3030
25
3942
3733
2625
Brazil
Russia
South
Africa
Chile
Austra
liaPola
ndPort
ugal
Sweden
Finlan
dFran
ce
PAGE 45
Universal Business Paper Cost Curve
The Syktyvkar mill enjoys an excellent cost position on the cost curve.
The STEP Project will take Mondi further down the cost curve by expanding production in the lowest cost environment
COST POSITIONING
Note: The graph shows manufacturing cash cost.Source: Pöyry Forest Industry Consulting.
Syktyvkar PM14
EUR t Cost level 2006/III
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000Cumulative capacity (1 000 t/a)
PAGE 46
MARKET FORECAST
1 Based on Mondi ResearchSource: Pöyry (World Paper Markets up to 2020); Mondi Analysis
Source: Pöyry (White-top Kraftliner and White-top Testlinercost competitiveness and Market Outlook); February 2007
UCWF / Cut size Paper Demand Forecast
The STEP Project will enable Mondi to benefit from the strong growth in demand for UCWF and containerboard in the domestic Russian market
White-top liner Demand Forecast
3.1
2.6
1.7
2010 20152004
CAGR5.7%
CEE incl. Russia, M tons
0.80.7
0.70.6
20102008 20092007
CAGR8.7%
CIS cutsize (C+ Grade)1
275
195
115
2005 2010 2015
CAGR9.1%
Russia, k tons
PAGE 47
SYKTYVKAR OPERATIONAL ACHIEVEMENTS
1 CAGR. 2 Forestry workers included.Note: Tons per capita based on employees year average.Source: Mondi
The Russian operation Syktyvkar has been a success story for Mondi, outperforming in the areas of safety, productivity, costs and environmental management
In the process Mondi has developed highly valued relationships with the local government and stakeholders, which in conjunction with the above, positions Mondi uniquely to fully utilize this attractive value creating opportunity
Syktyvkar (Russia)²
13% p.a.( ¹)
100
120
140
160
180
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
%
Volume per capita Management control
acquired in 2002
Integrated operations
PAGE 48
STEP PROJECT – PROJECT SCOPE
Wood handling facilities
Recovery boiler and turbine
Evaporation of Black Liquor
Limekiln
New and expanded
Two chemical pulp lines
PM14 UCWF machine
PM21 containerboard machine
Upgraded / Rebuilt
Lower operating costs
Improved efficiencies
Expanded electricity generating capacity
190,000 tpa increase in pulp production capacity
52,000 tpa increase in UCWF production capacity
46,000 tpa increase in containerboard
Reduced environmental footprint
Benefits include
PAGE 49
MILESTONES OF THE PROJECT
Q1Q4 Q1 Q4Q3 Q2Q2 Q1Q4Q3Q3 Q22010200920082007
Q3 Q4
Start construction
Main equipmentvendors chosen
July / August 2007
April 2008
Mid 2010Project completion
Q & A