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UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR GEOLOGICAL SURVEY REVIEW OF EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITY AND CURRENT STATUS OF SEISMIC MONITORING IN THE REGION OF THE BRADLEY LAKE HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT, SOUTHERN KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA: NOVEMBER 27, 1980 - NOVEMBER 30, 1981 by Christopher D. Stephens, John C. Lahr, and John A. Rogers Submitted to U.S. Department of the Amy Alaska District, Corps of Engineers Post Office Box 7002 Anchorage, A1 aska 9951 0 Open-Fi 1e Report 82-41 7 This report is preliminary and has not been reviewed for conformity with U. S. Geological Survey editorial standards and stratigraphic nomenclature. Any use of trade names i s for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U. S. Geol ogi cal Survey. Menlo Park, California 1982

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Page 1: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR GEOLOGICAL SURVEY

R E V I E W OF EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITY AND CURRENT STATUS OF SEISMIC MONITORING

I N THE REGION OF THE BRADLEY LAKE HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT, SOUTHERN K E N A I PENINSULA, ALASKA:

NOVEMBER 27, 1980 - NOVEMBER 30, 1981

by Chr is topher D. Stephens, John C. Lahr, and John A. Rogers

Submit ted t o U.S. Department of t h e A m y

Alaska D i s t r i c t , Corps o f Engineers Post O f f i c e Box 7002

Anchorage, A1 aska 9951 0

Open-Fi 1 e Report 82-41 7

Th i s r e p o r t i s p r e l i m i n a r y and has not been reviewed f o r c o n f o r m i t y w i t h U. S. Geo log ica l Survey e d i t o r i a l standards and s t r a t i g r a p h i c nomenclature. Any use o f t r a d e names i s f o r d e s c r i p t i v e purposes o n l y and does no t i m p l y endorsement by t h e U. S. Geol og i c a l Survey.

Menlo Park, C a l i f o r n i a 1982

Page 2: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

HIGHLIGHTS OF RECENT RESULTS

Over 900 earthquakes were l o c a t e d near t h e southern Kenai Peninsu la d u r i n g

t h e p e r i o d November 27, 1980 - November 30, 1981. O f these earthquakes, 127

were 1 ocated a t depths o f 20 km o r sha l lower and c o n f i r m t h e presence of

a c t i v e f a u l t s w i t h i n t he c r u s t . Al though many o f t he earthquakes occur c l ose

t o t h e p r i n c i p a l mapped f a u l t s and may i n d i c a t e a c t i v i t y on p o r t i o n s o f these

f a u l t s , o t h e r as y e t unmapped and p o s s i b l y b u r i e d f a u l t s must be a c t i v e t o

account f o r t h e observed d i s t r i b u t i o n o f sha l low s e i s m i c i t y . The 1 a rges t

earthquake t h a t occur red i n t h e s t u d y area d u r i n g t h i s t i m e had a

coda-durat ion magnitude 4.8 ( 5.1mb), and was l oca ted a t 106 km depth beneath

western Cook I n l e t . For ty - two events had coda-dura t ion magnitudes o f 3 o r

l a r g e r , b u t a l l of these earthquakes were l oca ted a t depths o f 40 km o r

g rea te r , i n t he B e n i o f f zone beneath t h e southern Kenai, Pen insu la and Cook

I n l e t . The l a r g e s t sha l low earthquake w i t h i n 25 km o f Brad ley Lake had a

coda-durat ion magnitude o f 2.1.

There i s no s t r o n g c o r r e l a t i o n of t h e sha l low s e i s m i c i t y w i t h mapped f a u l t

t races . Focal mechanisms determined f o r s e l e c t e d shal low earthquakes near

Brad ley Lake a re compatable w i t h p redominan t l y normal f a u l t i n g c o n t r o l l e d by

east-west t o southeast -nor thwest o r i e n t e d t ens ion .

A s t rong-mot ion acce lerograph was i n s t a l l e d near t h e main Brad ley Lake

h i gh -ga in se ismic s t a t i o n , b u t t o da te has n o t been t r i g g e r e d by an

earthquake.

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INTRODUCTION

The A1 aska D i s t r i c t , Corps o f Engineers p lans t o c o n s t r u c t a h y d r o e l e c t r i c

f a c i l i t y on t h e sou thern Kenai Peninsu la , Alaska. The p r o j e c t i n v o l v e s

damming Brad ley Lake, which i s l o c a t e d i n t h e Kenai Mountains a t an e l e v a t i o n

o f 1,090 f e e t , and f e e d i n g t h e water th rough a tunne l t o a power p l a n t a t sea

l e v e l . I n t h i s r e g i o n o f t e c t o n i c i n t e r a c t i o n between t h e P a c i f i c and N o r t h

h e r i c a n p l a t e s ( F i g u r e I ) , t h e p o t e n t i a l f o r s t r o n g earthquakes needs t o be

addressed so t h a t t h e hazards t h e y c o u l d pose can be minimized, The most

s e r i o u s e f f e c t o f earthquakes on man-made s t r u c t u r e s i s s t r u c t u r a l damage due

t o s t r o n g shaking. Other p o t e n t i a l l y damaging aspects o f earthquakes i n c l u d e

sur face f a u l t i n g as we1 1 as shak ing - i nduced e f f e c t s such as l i q u e f a c t i o n ,

1 andsl i d e s , d i f f e r e n t i a l s e t t l i n g , and se iches.

The Corps o f Engineers has asked t h e U.S. Geo log ica l Survey, O f f i c e of

Earthquake S tud ies (USGS-OES) t o i n v e s t i g a t e t h e problem o f se ismic hazards i n

t h e B r a d l e y Lake r e g i o n . T h i s e n t a i l s c o l l e c t i n g and a n a l y z i n g ear thquake

d a t a i n t h e r e g i o n of t h e proposed Brad ley Lake H y d r o e l e c t r i c P r o j e c t i n o r d e r

t o develop a more d e t a i l e d model f o r t h e t e c t o n i c framework. P a r t i c u l a r

emphasis i s be ing p laced on t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f sha l low c r u s t a l earthquakes

and t h e i r re1 a t i onsh i p t o mapped o r i n f e r r e d f a u l t s .

The purpose o f t h i s r e p o r t i s t o summarize t h e work completed t o date,

i n c l u d i n g t h e o p e r a t i o n o f t h e se ismic s t a t i o n s and a r e v i e w o f t h e se ismic

da ta c o l l e c t e d between November 27, 1980 (when t h e Brad ley Lake network was

i n s t a l l e d ) and November 30, 1981. P a r t o f t h e d a t a presented i n t h i s r e p o r t

was d iscussed i n an e a r l i e r r e p o r t ( L a h r and Stephens, 1981 ) a long w i t h o t h e r

a v a i l a b l e d a t a f r o m t h e USGS-OES network t h a t has been o p e r a t i n g i n sou thern

A laska s i n c e 1971. The d a t a p resen ted i n t h i s r e p o r t g e n e r a l l y conform t o t h e

Page 4: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

F i g u r e 1. Upper- Curren N o r t h American p l a t e , and 61°w. R o t a t i o n o f p l a t e about t h i s p o l e i E p i c e n t e r s o f t h e 1958, Lower- Enlargement o f - s e t t i n g o f B r a d l e y Lake vo lcanoes are i n d i c a t e d

~t m o t i o n of P a c i f i c p l a t e w i t h r e s p e c t t o P r o j e c t i o n i s o b l i q u e M e r c a t o r u s i n g a p o l e a t t h e P a c i f i c p l a t e w i t h respect t o t h e Not t h Am€ s e q u i v a l e n t t o v e r t i c a l t r a n s l a t i o n i n t h i s f i

1964, and 1979 ear thquakes a r e shown. t h e area o u t l i n e d i n upper f i g u r e , showing t h e . The l o c a t i o n s o f Spurr , Redoubt, and I l i a m n a . M o d i f i e d f r om Woodward-Clyde C o n s u l t a n t s ( 19

54'~ ! r i c a n gu re .

Page 5: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

e s s e n t i a1 f e a t u r e s of t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n of ea r thquake hypocen te rs and

magni tudes d e s c r i b e d i n t h e e a r l i e r r e p o r t . The g r e a t e r q u a n t i t y o f

h igh-qua1 i t y d a t a now a v a i l a b l e a1 lows us t o make more r e 1 i a b l e e s t i m a t e s o f

such parameters as t h e depth t o t h e Benio f f zone beneath B r a d l e y Lake and t h e

l o c a t i o n o f areas t h a t a r e c u r r e n t l y e x p e r i e n c i n g h i g h r a t e s o f s h a l l o w

s e i s m i c i t y . I n a d d i t i o n , new d a t a a re p resen ted about t h e s t y l e of f a u l t i n g

and c u r r e n t s t a t e of s t r e s s i n t h e c r u s t as i n f e r r e d f r o m f o c a l mechanisms

determined from P-wave f i r s t - m o t i o n s .

SEISMOTECTONIC FRAMEWORK : CURRENT STATE OF KNOWLEDGE

The B r a d l e y Lake r e g i o n i s l o c a t e d i n t h e t e c t o n i c zone o f i n t e r a c t i o n

between t h e N o r t h American p l a t e and t h e r e 1 a t i v e l y northwestward-moving

P a c i f i c p l a t e ( F i g u r e 1) . The average r a t e o f convergence n e a r t h e s o u t h e r n

Kenai P e n i n s u l a ove r t h e p a s t 3 m.y. i s 6.5 cm ly r ( M i n s t e r and Jordan, 1978).

D i r e c t ev idence f o r c o n t i n u e d convergent mo t ion comes f r o m s t u d i e s o f r e c e n t

1 arge earthquakes a long p o r t i o n s o f t h e P a c i f i c - N o r t h American p l a t e boundary

a d j a c e n t t o t h e Gul f of Alaska. For example, t h e 1964 A laska ear thquake

r e s u l t e d from d i p s l i p m o t i o n of about 12 m ( H a s t i e and Savage, 1970) on t h e

p o r t i o n of t h e A l e u t i a n megathrust e x t e n d i n g f r o m P r i n c e W i l l i a m Sound t o

s o u t h e r n Kodiak I s l a n d and d i p p i n g no r thwes tward beneath t h e c o n t i n e n t .

The s e i s m i c i t y a s s o c i a t e d w i t h t h e processes of convergent p l a t e mot ion i n

A laska may g e n e r a l l y be d i v i d e d i n t o f i v e s p a t i a l l y d i s t i n c t groups:

1. Earthquakes which occur on t h e g e n t l y d i p p i n g A l e u t i a n mega th rus t

( t h e i n t e r f a c e zone between t h e P a c i f i c and N o r t h American P l a t e s ) ;

2. Earthquakes which occur i n t h e wedge of c r u s t above t h e a c t i v e

megathrus t zone;

Page 6: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

3. Earthquakes which occur w i t h i n t h a t p o r t i o n o f t h e P a c i f i c p l a t e

which has been t h r u s t beneath Alaska ( B e n i o f f zone events) ;

4. Earthquakes w i t h i n t h e P a c i f i c p l a t e seaward o f t h e A l e u t i a n

megathrust ;

5. Shal low earthquakes near t h e a c t i v e volcanoes.

The Brad ley Lake r e g i o n i s most d i r e c t l y a f f e c t e d by t he f i r s t t h r e e types of

events .

INSTRUMENTATION

Dur ing most o f t h e pas t year t h e h i gh -ga in se ismic s t a t i o n s a t t he f i v e

B rad ley Lake s i t e s ( F i g u r e 2 ) operated s a t i s f a c t o r i l y . Several o f t h e

s t a t i o n s were n o t o p e r a t i n g f o r severa l weeks between l a t e A p r i l and e a r l y

J u l y 1981, as a r e s u l t o f unexpected env i ronmenta l problems. An unusual i c e

problem and f l o o d i n g almost dest royed t h e main Brad ley Lake s i t e (BRLK). The

i c e snapped t h e c o a x i a l cab les i n s i d e o f t h e antenna masts and t h e h i g h water

d ischarged t h e b a t t e r i e s . The i n s t r u m e n t a t i o n was moved t o t he t o p of a sma l l

k n o l l t o p rov i de f o r b e t t e r drainage. To inc rease r e l i a b i l i t y , t h e r a d i o

r epea te r f o r BRNW, BRNE, and BRSE was separated f rom t h e l o c a l three-component

seismograph. Th i s i nvo l ved i n s t a l l i n g another antennalmast as w e l l as b a t t e r y

c u l v e r t . I n a d d i t i o n , a l l mast guys were anchored t o t h e rocks us i ng a rock

d r i l l and concrete anchors.

BRSE and BRSW were i n good c o n d i t i o n . A t BRNW t h e b a t t e r i e s drowned; new

b a t t e r i e s were i n s t a l l e d on a r a i s e d base. A t BRNE t h e l i d had blown o f f t h e

c u l v e r t and was l o s t i n 2 f e e t o f snow. The e l e c t r o n i c s were undamaged and a

new l i d was p u t on t h e c u l v e r t .

On a l a t e r v i s i t an SMAl acce lerograph was i n s t a l l e d a t t h e main Brad ley

Page 7: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

Figure 2 Map of t h e study area in t h e Bradley Lake region. Symbols represent seismograph stations funded by t h e U.S. Geological Survey (diamonds), the Corps of Engineers (circles), and the University of Alaska (triangles). Heavy sol id 1 ines indicate principle faults, after Beikrnan (1980), Plafker (1969), Tysdal and Case (1979)~ and Plafker and others (1977). Locat ion of Bradley Lake i s indicated by small oval next to station BRLK near center of map.

Page 8: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

Lake s i t e . Our s tandard f r e e - f i e l d i n s t a l l a t i o n was used except t h a t a new

charge r e g u l a t o r c i r c u i t was added t o t r i c k l e charge t h e SMAl b a t t e r i e s f r om

t h e h i gh -capac i t y a i r c e l l b a t t e r i e s used t o power t h e h i gh -ga in seismograph.

Thus t h e need t o change t h e S M A l b a t t e r i e s has been reduced f r om every year t o

every 5 years .

A t Diamond Ridge t h e RF-2 r e c e i v e r was re tuned and a pre-amp1 i f i e r

i n s t a l l e d . An A l V C O was a l s o i n s t a l l e d a t t h e l o c a l Homer s t a t i o n , HOM

( F i g u r e Z ) , operated by t h e U n i v e r s i t y of Alaska, so t h a t t h e da ta cou ld be

recorded on the USGS Develocorder f i l m s i n Palmer.

DATA PROCESSING TECHNIQUES

The da ta recorded f rom USGS-OES se ismic s t a t i o n s i n the Brad ley Lake

reg ion a re ma i led weekly f r om Palmer, Alaska, t o Menlo Park , C a l i f o r n i a , where

t h e y are processed us i ng t h e f o l l o w i n g m u l t i - s t e p r o u t i n e :

1. P r e l i m i n a r y scanning: The paper records o f BRLK and BRSW a r e scanned

t o i d e n t i f y and no te t imes o f se ismic events w i t h i n t he Brad ley Lake

network and t h e sur round ing area.

2. F i n a l scanning: The events no ted i n p r e l i m i n a r y scanning are found on

t h e Develocorder f i l m r e c o r d and any event w i t h a P- t o S-phase t ime

i n t e r v a l o f l e ss than o r equal t o 10 seconds a t one of t he Brad ley

Lake s t a t i o n s i s noted f o r subsequent t im ing .

3. T iming: For each of t h e i d e n t i f i e d events t h a t has been recorded on

t h e 16-mm f i l m s a t four o r more s t a t i o n s i n t h e Brad ley Lake r e g i o n

t h e f o l l o w i n g da ta a re read f r om each s t a t i o n : P- and 5-phase a r r i v a l

t imes; d i r e c t i o n of f i r s t mot ion o f t h e P wave; d u r a t i o n o f s i g n a l i n

excess of 1 cen t ime te r t h r e s h o l d ampl i tude; and p e r i o d and amp l i tude

Page 9: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

o f maximum recorded s i g n a l .

4. I n i t i a l computer process ing: The da ta read f r om t h e f i l m s a re ba t ch

processed by computer us i ng t h e program HYPOELLIPSE (Lahr , 1980) t o

o b t a i n t h e o r i g i n t ime, hypocenter, magnitude, and f i r s t - m o t i o n p l o t

f o r each earthquake.

5. Review of i n i t i a l computer r e s u l t s : Each hypocent ra l s o l u t i o n i s

checked f o r l a r g e t r a v e l t i m e r e s i d u a l s and f o r a poor s p a t i a l

d i s t r i b u t i o n o f s t a t i o n s . A r r i v a l t imes t h a t produce l a r g e r e s i d u a l s

a re re- read, For shocks w i t h a poor azimuthal d i s t r i b u t i o n of

s t a t i o n s , read ings f rom a d d i t i o n a l s t a t i o n s are sought.

6. F i n a l computer p rocess ing : The da ta f o r those events w i t h poor

hypocent ra l s o l u t i o n s a re r e r u n w i t h c o r r e c t i o n s and t h e new s o l u t i o n s

are checked once again f o r l a r g e r e s i d u a l s t h a t m igh t be due t o

rema in ing e r r o r s .

ANALYS I S OF HYPOCENTER QUALITY

Two types o f e r r o r s en te r i n t o t he de te rm ina t i on o f hypocenters :

sys temat i c e r r o r s l i m i t i n g t h e accuracy and random e r r o r s l i m i t i n g t h e

p r e c i s i o n . Systemat ic e r r o r s a r i s e p r i n c i p a l l y f rom i n c o r r e c t model ing of t h e

se ismic v e l o c i t y w i t h i n t h e ea r t h . Random e r r o r s r e s u l t f rom e f f e c t s such as

random t i m i n g e r r o r s , and t h e i r e f f e c t on each earthquake i s es t imated through

t h e use o f s tandard s t a t i s t i ca1 techniques.

The magnitude of t h e sys temat i c e r r o r s can be g r e a t l y reduced by c l ose

spac ing o f seismographic s t a t i o n s w i t h i n t h e area of i n t e r e s t , as t h e

hypocen t ra l s o l u t i o n i n t h i s s i t u a t i o n i s much l e s s s e n s i t i v e t o t h e v e l o c i t y

model assumed f o r t h e ea r t h . For t h i s reason, t h e earthquakes loca ted i n t h e

Page 10: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

Bradley Lake r e g i o n s i nce t h e i n s t a l l a t i o n o f t h e a d d i t i o n a l f i v e s t a t i o n s i n

l a t e 1980 a re expected t o have sma l l e r systemat ic o f f s e t s than those l oca ted

e a r l i e r w i t h t h e l e s s dense r e g i o n a l network.

For each earthquake t h e l eng ths and o r i e n t a t i o n s o f t h e p r i n c i p a l axes o f

t h e j o i n t con f idence e l l i p s o i d are ca l cu l a ted . The one-s tandard -dev ia t ion

con f idence e l l i p s o i d descr ibes t h e r e g i o n o f space w i t h i n which one i s

68 percent c o n f i d e n t t h a t t h e hypocenter l i e s , assuming t h a t t h e o n l y source

o f e r r o r i s t h e es t imated random read ing e r r o r . The s i z e and o r i e n t a t i o n o f

t h e e l l i p s o i d i s a f u n c t i o n of t h e s t a t i o n geometry. For earthquakes w i t h i n

t h e network, t h e l eng ths of t h e e l l i p s o i d axes a re g e n e r a l l y on t h e o rder o f 2

t o 3 km.

To f u l l y eva lua te t h e q u a l i t y o f a hypocenter, bo th t h e s i z e and

o r i e n t a t i o n of t h e conf idence e l l i p s o i d , t h e r o o t mean square (RMS) r e s i d u a l

f o r t h e s o l u t i o n , and t h e s t a t i o n geometry must be considered.

RESULTS

The ep i cen te r s o f 907 earthquakes t h a t occur red between November 27, 1980,

and November 30, 1981, and were l o c a t e d near t h e southern Kenai Pen insu la are

shown i n F i gu re 3. Most of these events occurred w i t h i n t h e northwestward-

d i pp ing B e n i o f f zone t h a t u n d e r l i e s t h e southern Kenai Pen insu la and Cook

I n l e t (F i gu re 4 ) . The l a r g e s t ear thquake t h a t occurred d u r i n g t h i s t ime

p e r i o d was an event of coda-durat ion magnitude 4.8 (5 .1mb) which was l oca ted

a t a depth of 106 km near t h e nor thwes t p a r t of t h e s t udy area nea r I l i a m n a

volcano. For ty - two earthquakes had coda-durat ion magnitudes o f 3 or l a r g e r

(Tab le 1 and F i g u r e 5 ) , b u t a l l o f these events had computed depths o f 40 km

o r more which would p lace them i n t h e Beniof f zone. E i g h t o f t h e l a r g e s t

earthquakes were r e p o r t e d i n t h e P r e l i m i n a r y De te rmina t ion of Ep icen te rs as

Page 11: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

e- .- C m V , . N L a, U E a - K A a, +

0 0 L C .-a no 2 a, ro E m b m u C 7- w Al .- W m L L + J hi La, rU

W O L C c c u m a - - I .- 3 m a , r a, W T >

r u a m a ~ 2 2 ," .-L -0 0 I% E .- *- In - Y W -

0 c o I . m m w !n m - E 0 - 0 003 > I . - - c m m o -

7 m m m n n w E a, - c - u m u o m a, m m m - L > U - m u 9 0 L U C - a, a, m - 0

u . - 7 a, I n E m L 3 - a , a , u c r m m A - G U m _ o a .- .- =I& C E T - 0 0- . - A @ C

IW a .- +J c m o a L m f u T * \ m V, m v E -- fll .. -

Page 12: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

F i g u r e 4 Hypocenters of F i g u r e 3 p r o j e c t e d o n t o v e r t i c a l p l a n e a long A - A ' . P l o t t i n g symbol i s p r o p o r t i o n a l t o magni tude as i n d i c a t e d i n F i g u r e 3. E x t e n t o f B r a d l e y Lake ne twork i s shown a t t o p o f f i g u r e . Nor thwestward d i p p i n g zone o f s e i s m i c i t y be low 3 5 krn depth i s t h e B e n i o f f zone, w h i c h i s i n f e r r e d t o l i e w i t h i n subducted P a c i f i c p l a t e . S o l i d l i n e a t 3 5 km dep th be low B r a d l e y Lake n e t w o r k i n d i c a t e s t o p o f S e n i o f f zone.

Page 13: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

TABLE 1

F A L T t - C J A K F r , :IT C:i l3A-OUFAT IOCJ M A G N I T U D F 3 AND L A R G C K N E A P SOOTHEUN K F N A I P E N I V S U L A NGV'M;3EH 7 7 . 1 9 8 0 - NOVEMBI I k 30. 1 9 6 1

C L I u I N T l 4 ' L A T h L O N G b DEPTH MAG M 3 NU N S G 4 P D 7 R M 5 E R H 1 4 3 3 Hk UP. SiC at(, F I N D E G M I N K M DtG K M S E C ICY

N!,V 2 7 lE 51 54.6 b O 6.5 1 5 2 5 1 . 6 l l R . 7 3.3 1 8 5 8 5 R 3 O . 5 Y 3.1 2u 1 7 44 4 . 2 6 0 1 7 . 1 I S 2 1 3 . 3 €44.5 3.6 4.6 28 5 55 5 b 0.4b 1.1

3 C C I 1 2 7 1 1 3.7 6 0 2.8 1 5 2 3V.9 9 1 . 1 3.8 24 3 7 4 76 0.38 1.5 F E L T i 1 1 4 T K F N A I hND S U L D C T N A

2t 1 7 2 44.8 6 0 4 . 7 1 5 2 55.6 1 1 6 . 6 3.3 2 4 9 7 3 f R 0 . 6 9 1.3 1 9 s l

J A N 7 0 1 9 47.6 6 0 9.5 1 5 2 5 7 . 4 2 3 . 3 R 2 209 126 0 . 2 0 3 . 4 2 3 1: 39 42.2 519 5 7 . 7 152 53.6 1 1 2 . 0 3 . 6 2 4 5 5 9 74 0 .50 1.4 2t 1 2 4 6 0 0.5 1 5 3 75.0 4 8 . 1 3.2 4.0 35 8 99 5 1 0 .54 1.0

F F t l 2' I 3 1 H.R b 9 1 4 . 5 1 5 0 2 7 . 6 40 .2 3.8 4.H 32 1 Q 5 55 O.4B 1 .4 F E L T I b AT K E N A I v HOMFU* MOCSF P A S S * AND SEWAQD

W A F - t L 4 A 33.5 h O 5 . 2 15.2 22.3 7 9 . 1 3 .1 4.6 ? 5 7 5 5 7 2 0 . 3 1 1.3 A D C 2 2 3 1 a e . 3 b o 21.0 152 r7.9 1 1 8 . 1 3.7 25 3 8 1 9 3 0 . 2 6 1.8

24 7 52 55.5 5 9 2C.3 1 5 1 51.9 4 9 . 4 3.4 4 . 0 2 3 6 134 95 0.38 1.8 Ft.LT 4 7 HiJHER

7 1 2 4 45.7 6 0 28.3 152 49.G 1 2 7 - 4 3.2 4 . 0 2 2 R 6 7 89 0.39 1.6 Y A Y 1 5 1 4 7 2b.l b O 0 . 1 1 5 3 32.6 3 O . R 3 . 0 2 3 6 1 1 3 6 1 0 . 5 5 1 .6

1 7 P 5 1 9. 7 5 0 2 J . l 1 5 2 2 7 . 7 9 7 . 8 3.0 23 5 7 9 1 0 8 O . & b 1 .B 2 1 20 2q 3 0 . 3 59 4 6 . 1 1 5 2 56.5 1 0 ? . 9 4.1 4 6 7 0 1 1 4 2 95 0 .30 2.9

F E L T O F K E N A I P E Y I h S U L A A N D A T ANCHORAGE 2 7 F 1 9 2 e 1 s 9 3 2 1 2 4 4

JUL 1 7 7 7

2 1 3 1 7 AUG 1 1 42

5 1 C 2 1 7 1 1 3 1

1 1 7 1 2 f 2 4 1 3

5 t F 7 c 57 G I H 3

2 7 1: I > O C T 3 1 3

1 1 4 21 I3 2' 1' 1 4 1 1 3 lr; - 1 1 - L C 1" 21 1 t' I T 3t,

ERZ 0 KM

2.8 h 2 -8 H 3.5 8

1.8 A

2.6 d 3.2 9 2.6 H 2-8 9

2.0 A 3 .8 6 3.3 a

3.3 n 4.7 4 3.4 9 4.3 kl

53 5b.3 152 54.4 9 8 . 8 3.1 23 11 8 3 76 0 . 3 4 1 .2 1.b A 59 2 4 . 7 1 5 1 5P.b 5 3 . 1 .4* 1 2 5 5 1 1 6 66 0.38 1 . 7 2-0 A

F E L T 1 1 1 4 T HOMER PND S E L D O V I A 59 17 .0 152 18.1 74.2 3.5 4.5 28 7 1 2 1 96 0 . 2 4 1.5 3.1 H h 3 3.5 152 57.4 106.3 4.e 5 .1 2 8 2 1 1 3 t a 0.39 1 . 0 4 . 1 o

F F L T I V I N AYCHO"AGF-HOMFP AOEA

. . . - - F E L T I r A T noucu

b O 15 .0 1 5 1 32.7 65.2 4.3 4 - 7 3 5 2 54 5 7 0 . 4 8 1. 1 2.7 d FELT I V AT K E Y A ! . HGUER. N I N I L C U ~ K I S L O O T N A . C L A 4 GULCH. CaOpFR L A N D I N G * TYO"lErC. S T E R L I N G . R A S I L O F * A N D GIR3WOL)D; ALSO FELT I 1 I A f ANCYO2AGE.

C F f G I N T I M E : U Y I V E R S f i L T I M E ( U f ) . T O CONVERT TO A L A S K A S T A N D A R D T I M E S U B T R A C T 10 HR. M A C . C3*>4-O3R h f 1Clt.I M A C N I T U D F YE: t C D Y l A V t Y A G Y I T U C E L I S T E D I N THE P R E L l M f N 4 R 7 D E T E R M I N A T I O N O F E P l C E N T E U S NP: hUMt3ch OF P - W A V k A k R f V A L S U S E C I N L O C A T I N G T H F E A U T H O U A K E NS: ~ L M Y E R rn s-WAVE LRRIVALS USEC IY LOCATING THE EARTHOUAKF G A P : L A s L E S T A Z I U Y T t I A L S t P A q A T I U h I r D f GHEFS H E T W E F N S T A T I O N S 03: E P f C E N T Y A L D I S T A Y C F . I N K I L C M E T E H S T U T H E T H I M D C L O S E S T S T A T I O N b W S : F 0 3 T - M E A Y - S 9 U A R E I N SECONDS C F T R A V E L T I Y E R E S I D U A L S E R H : L A R G F S T H O i i l Z O N T Y D E V I A T I O N F R O M T H E H V P O C E N T E R r ITHIN THE O N E - S T A N O A R > - D E V I A T I O r j

COUF IDErJCE E L L I P C 0 1 7 . T H I S Q U A N T I T Y IS A MEASURE OF THE E P I C E N T R 4 L ORECIS I O N * € H Z : L A R , ~ S ~ V E P T I C A L D E V l A T t O N F C G U T H F W P O C E N T E k * I T l i f N THE O N E - S f A N D A R D - D E V I A T I O N

C L W I D E ' 4 C E F L L I P S O l l m T H I S O U 4 N T I T Y I S A MEASURE OF T H E D E P T H PRECI S t O V . 9: a u b L l r Y OF T H = HYPCCEUTFR. THIS LNOEX IS A MFIASWE OF THE P R E C I S I O N U F THF

I - Y g O C F k T E h 4N3 I S C A L C U L A T E D FROM ERb AND E U X AS FOLLOWS:

E R H

F t C R OF T E P H I Y A T I O N S O F T H E O A R A M T E R E S M A Y R E S U T FROM RANDOM ERRORS PRESFlvT f N T H E PhASE D A T A . 09 F R O Y S Y S T E M A T I C ERQORS I h f R O O U C E O E I T H E R B Y THE V F L O C I T Y M O D E L S U S E D 3 K A Y THF L E L P T I V F P O S I T I O N S O F THE TRUE H Y F O C E N T E R A N D T H E S T A T I O N S USED I N THE S O L U T I O N . ONE SHUbLO BE P A M T I C U L A R L Y C A U T I O U S U S I N G S O L U T I D N S T H A T H A V E G A P S 1 8 0 DEGREES. NP 5 . h S = 01 03 * 75 KM. R V S b 0 . 7 5 s ERH ' 5 K Y , OH ERZ 1 0 KM. S O L U T I O N S W I T H A A N D B Q U A L I T Y A R E G E N E R A L L Y MOQE R E L I A B L E * B U T T H I S DOES NUT G U A R A N T E E T H A T THE ACCURACY C F THE S O L U T I O N S IS m I T H I N T H E L f W I T S I M P L I E D BY ERH A N 0 E R Z -

FELT R E P O P T S A R E T A K E h FROM THE P R E L I M I N A F V D E T E R M I N A T I O h OF E P I C E N T E R S . A COPY OF I h T E h S l T Y S C A L E C W R E h T L Y I N USE B Y N E l S I S L I S T E D I N T H E A P P E N O I X .

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F i g u r e 5 Map o f e p i c e n t e r s f o r 42 ear thquakes from F i g u r e 3 w i t h c o d a - d u r a t i o n magni tude 3 or l a r g e r . Hypocenter parameters o f t h e s e even ts a r e l i s t e d i n Tab le 1 . Note t h a t s h a l l o w e s t even t o c c u r r e d a t 40 km dep th . P l o t t i n g symbols a r e d e s c r i b e d i n F i g u r e 3 . Heavy s o l i d l i n e s co r respond t o mapped f a u l t t r a c e s i d e n t i f i e d i n F i g u r e 2 . Locat i o n o f B r a d l e y Lake i s i n d i c a t e d by s o l i d o v a l a t c e n t e r o f map.

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be ing f e l t w i t h maximum i n t e n s i t i e s r ang ing f r om about I 1 t o I V (Tab le 1 and

Appendix) i n t he Kenai-Anchorage area.

Other f ea tu res o f t h e s e i s m i c i t y t h a t were noted i n an e a r l i e r r e p o r t

(Lahr and Stephens, 1981 ) and which can be observed i n t h e da ta presented here

a r e t h a t t h e B e n i o f f zone s e i s m i c i t y d i es ou t near Brad ley Lake (near 115 km

a long t h e s e c t i o n i n F i gu re 4), t h a t t h e sha l low c r u s t a l a c t i v i t y i s

concent ra ted eas t o f Cook I n l e t , and t h a t few events were l oca ted a long t h e

A l e u t i a n megathrust .

B e n i o f f zone earthquakes a re g e n e r a l l y assumed t o occur w i t h i n a subducted

p l a t e and near i t s upper sur face. A t sha l low depths t h e upper l i m i t of t he

B e n i o f f zone a c t i v i t y w i l l be near and p o s s i b l y co i nc i de w i t h t h e zone o f

t h r u s t con tac t between t h e p l a t e s . Thus t h e maximum depth t o t h e t h r u s t zone

beneath Brad ley Lake i s 35 - + 5 km based on t h e abrupt inc rease i n t h e r a t e of

a c t i v i t y a t t h i s depth ( F i g u r e 4) .

Dur ing t h e t ime p e r i o d o f t h i s study, f i v e earthquakes t h a t occur red

beneath t he Brad ley Lake s t a t i o n a r r a y were l o c a t e d a t depths between 20 and

30 km. The n a t u r e o f t h i s in te rmed ia te -dep th se ismic a c t i v i t y i s unce r t a i n ;

i t may i n d i c a t e t h a t some f a u l t s i n t h e upper c r u s t ex tend down i n t o t h e lower

c r u s t , o r a l t e r n a t i v e l y i t may be assoc ia ted w i t h t h e zone o f t h r u s t con tac t

between t h e two converg ing p l a t e s . F u r t h e r work, i n c l u d i n g a d d i t i o n a l data,

i s needed t o h e l p r e s o l v e t h i s ques t ion .

PATTERN OF SHALLOW EARTHQUAKES

Shal low (dep th l ess than 20 km) earthquakes (F i gu re 6) occur w i t h i n t h e

c r u s t and c o n f i r m t h e presence o f a c t i v e f a u l t s w i t h i n t h e c r u s t . O f t h e

l oca ted sha l low earthquakes, t h e s m a l l e s t had coda-durat ion magnitudes of 0.3,

and t h e two l a r g e s t had coda-dura t ion magnitudes o f 2.8. The l a r g e s t sha l low

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F i g u r e 6 Map o f e p i c e n t e r s o f 127 s h a l l o w ( d e p t h <20km) ear thquakes t h a t o c c u r r e d near t h e s o u t h e r n Kenai P e n i n s u l a between November 2 7 , 1980, and November 30, 1981. Smal l s o l i d c i r c l es i n d i c a t e s e l e c t e d even ts f o r w h i c h foca l mechanisms from F i g u r e s 7 A and 7B a r e shown. Event numbers co r respond t o t h o s e i n F i g u r e 7 and T a b l e 2. Foca l mechanisms a r e lower hemisphere p r o j e c t i o n s w i t h compress iona l quadran ts shaded. Heavy s o l i d l i n e s co r respond t o mapped f a u l t t r a c e s i d e n t i f i e d i n F i g u r e 2.

Page 17: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

TABLE 2

SELECTED SHALLOW EARTHQUAKES FOR WHICH FOCAL MECHANISMS HAVE BEEN DETERMINED

ORIGIN T I M E , UT NUMBER W

1 81 02 0 8 11 43 35.9

2 81 02 17 00 26 32.7

3 81 06 1 0 13 40 15.5

4 81 10 22 04 15 14.7

5 81 02 02 04 38 37.4

6 81 05 29 04 10 48.6

7 81 09 04 16 2 0 02.6

8 81 11 24 14 40 04.5

LAT, , N E r n

LONG., W E r n

151 0.83

151 0.77

151 4.56

150 38.75

149 9.4

149 18.58

DEPTH -KM

CODA MAG

Page 18: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

earthquake t h a t occur red w i t h i n 25 km e p i c e n t r a l d i s t ance from Brad ley Lake

was an event o f coda-durat ion magnitude 2.1.

Most of t h e c r u s t a l a c t i v i t y occur red beneath t h e Kenai Pen insu la and

southeast o f t h e Border Ranges f a u l t . I t should be noted, however, t h a t t h e

magnitude d e t e c t i o n t h r e s h o l d f o r l o c a t i n g events i s no t un i form across t h e

s tudy area, which p a r t i a l l y accounts f o r t h e apparent concen t ra t i on o f

s e i s m i c i t y near t h e Brad ley Lake s t a t i o n s . I n general t h e r e i s no t a s t r o n g

c o r r e l a t i o n o f t h e earthquakes w i t h t h e t r aces of t he mapped f a u l t s , b u t t he

e p i c e n t e r s do t end t o c l u s t e r s p a t i a l l y . Some of t h e more prominent c l u s t e r s

are: one t h a t s t r a d d l e s t h e p o r t i o n o f an unnamed f a u l t t h a t runs a long t h e

south o f Kachemak Bay; two t h a t occur a few k i l o m e t e r s west o f t h e Eagle R i v e r

f a u l t , about 15 km n o r t h and 20 km sou th of B rad ley Lake; a more d i f f u s e

c l u s t e r t h a t occurs eas t o f t h e Eagle R i v e r f a u l t about, 30 km no r t heas t o f

Brad ley Lake; and one near t h e southern end of t h e P lace r R i v e r f a u l t and

Kenai l ineament . It i s i n t e r e s t i n g t o no te t h a t numerous earthquakes a re

l o c a t e d o n l y a few k i l o m e t e r s west of t he Eagle R i ve r f a u l t f rom about 15 km

no r t heas t o f Brad ley Lake t o t h e p o i n t where t h e f a u l t i s t r unca ted by t h e

lower map boundary. Th i s s e i s m i c i t y p a t t e r n f o l l ows a major d e v i a t i o n of t h e

f a u l t a long i t s leng th . One p o s s i b l e exp lana t i on f o r t h i s p a t t e r n i s t h a t t h e

earthquakes a re o c c u r r i n g a long t h e down-dip ex tens ion o f t he Eagle R i v e r

f a u l t . Whether o r no t t h i s c o r r e l a t i o n i s s i g n i f i c a n t w i l l be i n v e s t i g a t e d

f u r t h e r as a d d i t i o n a l da ta become avai 1 able.

As d iscussed p r e v i o u s l y b y Lahr and Stephens (1981), t h e c u r r e n t p a t t e r n

of s e i s m i c i t y may be s t r o n g l y i n f l uenced by t h e s t r e s s r e d i s t r i b u t i o n

f o l l o w i n g t h e 1964 earthquake, and t h i s p a t t e r n may change s l o w l y over tens of

years as s t r esses b u i l d up p r i o r t o another l a r g e earthquake.

Page 19: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

FOCAL ME CHAN ISMS

P r e l i m i n a r y f o c a l mechanisms were determined f r om P-wave f i r s t mot ions o f

se lec ted , we1 1 - recorded s h a l l ow earthquakes throughout t h e southern Kenai

Peninsu la (F i gu res 6, 7A, and 7B) . Cons ider ing t h e g e n e r a l l y poor coverage of

t h e f o c a l sphere f o r many of t h e events, t h e r e i s a reasonable cons is tency i n

t h e t y p e o f f a u l t i n g i n d i c a t e d by t h e mechanisms. The f i v e events near t h e

cen te r o f F i g u r e 6 (even ts 1-4 and 8) a1 1 i n d i c a t e o r a re c o n s i s t e n t w i t h

p redominan t l y normal f a u l t i n g . For t h r e e of these events (2 , 4, and 8) t h e

s t r i k e o f a t l e a s t one o f t h e nodal p lanes i s reasonably w e l l cons t ra ined t o

be o r i e n t e d between NNE-SSW and NE-SW, s u b p a r a l l e l t o t he t r e n d of nearby

mapped f a u l t t r aces . The t ens ion axes o f these t h r e e mechanisms a re o r i e n t e d

e i t h e r east-west o r southeast -nor thwest . T h i s o r i e n t a t i o n o f s t resses i s

c o n t r a r y t o what m igh t be expected i n a zone o f no r t hwes t -d i r ec ted p l a t e

convergence and indeed i s suggested by t h e r e g i o n a l geology. However, some

t h e o r e t i c a l s t ud ies ( f o r example, Melosh and F l e i t o u t , 1982; Bischke, 1974)

suggest t h a t p o r t i o n s o f t h e o v e r r i d i n g p l a t e ad jacen t t o a subduc t ion zone

may be i n t ens i on d u r i n g t h e e a r l y p a r t o f t h e se ismic c y c l e f o l l o w i n g a l a r g e

earthquake ( i n t h i s case t h e 1964 earthquake), and t h a t these zones change t o

compression p r i o r t o t h e nex t l a r g e earthquake.

The t h r e e mechanisms ( 5 , 6, 7) i n t h e no r t heas t p a r t of F i g u r e 6 suggest

t h a t t h e l o c a l s t r e s s p a t t e r n i n t h i s area may be ve ry compl icated. One event

( 6 ) i n d i c a t e s normal f a u l t i n g , w h i l e t h e o t h e r two are t h r u s t mechanisms. The

d i f f e rence between mechanisms 5 and 7 i s supported by bo th events hav ing

seve ra l s t a t i o n s r e p o r t i n g i n common, b u t w i t h oppos i t e p o l a r i t i e s . F u r t h e r

work i s needed t o r e s o l v e these comp lex i t i e s .

Page 20: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

F igu re 7A P-wave f i r s t - m o t i o n p l o t s f o r se l ec ted sha l low (dep th 420krn) earthquakes t h a t occur red near t h e southern Kenai Peninsu la . Compressions and d i l a t a t i o n s a r e i n d i c a t e d by s o l i d and open symbols, r e s p e c t i v e l y , and l a r g e r symbol s i z e corresponds t o more r e l i a b l e readings. Nodal compressions and d i l a t a t i o n s a r e i n d i c a t e d by ' + I and ' - ' s igns . An ' x ' i n d i c a t e s two o r more readings o f oppos i t e p o l a r i t y a t t h e same p o i n t . The axes o f maximum and l e a s t compressive s t r e s s a r e represented by the symbols P and T . Symbols a r e p l o t t e d on equal -area p r o j e c t ions of t h e lower hemi sphere.

Page 21: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

810904 16:20 81 1124 14:40

F i g u r e 7B F i g u r e d e s c r i p t i o n same as f o r F i g u r e 7 A .

Page 22: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FUTURE WORK

The ope ra t i on o f t h e Brad ley Lake network has proved h i g h l y success fu l t o

date. Hi gh-qua1 i t y hypocenter and P-wave f i r s t - m o t i o n data, p a r t i c u l a r l y f o r

earthquakes i n t h e c r u s t and sha l low p a r t o f t h e B e n i o f f zone, a r e h e l p i n g t o

r e f i n e our unders tanding o f t h e t e c t o n i c processes a c t i v e i n t h e Brad ley Lake

reg ion . Earthquake a c t i v i t y be1 ow Brad ley L a k e i n d i c a t e s t h a t t he maximum

depth t o t h e megathrust zone between t h e P a c i f i c and o v e r r i d i n g No r th American

p l a t e s i s 35 - + 5 km. If t h e megathrust i s a t 35 km depth, then t h e events

l o c a t e d a t depths between 20 and 30 km may i n d i c a t e t h a t some f a u l t s i n t h e

upper c r u s t ex tend down i n t o t h e lower c r u s t . A l t e r n a t i v e l y , t h e zone of

megathrust i n t e r a c t i o n may be sha l lower than 35 km and i n v o l v e a complex zone

o f s p l a y f a u l t i n g . The w e l l - l o c a t e d sha l low earthquakes c o n f i r m t h e presence

o f a c t i v e f a u l t s i n t h e upper 10-15 km o f t h e c rus t . The p a t t e r n o f c r u s t a l

a c t i v i t y revea led b y c u r r e n t l y a v a i l a b l e da ta i s i n s u f f i c i e n t t o determine

whether o r n o t t he p r e v i o u s l y mapped f a u l t s a re a c t i v e , a l though t h e r e i s a

suggest ion o f s e i s m i c i t y c l o s e l y p a r a l l e l i n g 100 km of t h e Eagle R i v e r f a u l t ,

Focal mechanisms determined f o r s e l e c t e d sha l low c r u s t a l events w i t h 35 km of

B rad ley Lake a re compatable w i t h normal f a u l t i n g i n response t o east-west t o

southeast -nor thwest tens ion . A d d i t i o n a l da ta and r e l o c a t i o n of c u r r e n t da ta

w i t h r e l a t i v e l o c a t i o n techniques may h e l p c l a r i f y t h e n a t u r e o f t h e sha l low

earthquakes.

Page 23: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

We thank Robert Page f o r h e l p f u l comments t o improve t h e manuscr ip t , and

J. P. Eaton and W. H. K. Lee f o r t h e i r t e c h n i c a l rev iews o f t h e manuscr ip t .

Kent Fogleman, Jan Meln ick , Roy Tam, Jane F re i be rg , and Paula Brown

a s s i s t e d i n much o f t h e da ta r e d u c t i o n and ana l ys i s .

We a l s o thank t h e s t a f f of t h e NOAA Tsunami Warning Center f o r t h e i r

ass is tance i n m a i n t a i n i n g our r e c o r d i n g equipment i n Palmer, Alaska.

L a r r y Gedney k i n d l y p rov i ded read ings f o r an event recorded by U n i v e r s i t y

o f A l a s k a se ismic s t a t i o n s .

Page 24: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

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Beikman, H. M., comp i le r , 1980, Geologic map o f Alaska: U.S. Geo log ica l

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Bischke, R. E., 1974, A model o f convergent p l a t e marg ins based on t h e r e c e n t

t e c t o n i c s o f Shikoku, Japan, Journa l o f Geophysical Research, v. 79,

p. 4845-4857.

Hast ie , L. M., and Savage, J. C., 1970, A d i s l o c a t i o n model f o r t h e 1964 Alaska

earthquake, B u l l e t i n o f t h e Se ismo log ica l S o c i e t y of America, v. 60, no. 4,

p. 1389-1392.

Lahr, J. C., 1980, HY POELLI PSE/MULTICS, A computer program f o r d e t e r m i n i n g

l o c a l ear thquake hypocen t ra l parameters, magnitude, and f i r s t - m o t i o n

p a t t e r n , U.S. Geo log ica l Survey Open-Fi le Repor t 80-59, 59 p.

Lahr, J. C., and Stephens, C. D., 1980, Review o f ear thquake a c t i v i t y and

c u r r e n t s t a t u s o f se ismic m o n i t o r i n g i n t h e r e g i o n o f t h e B r a d l e y Lake

H y d r o e l e c t r i c P r o j e c t , Kenai Peninsula, A1 aska, U.S. Geo log ica l Survey

Open-F i le Repor t 81-736, 33 p.

Melosh, H. J., and F l e i t o u t , L., 1982, The ear thquake c y c l e i n subduct ion

zones, Geophysical Research L e t t e r s , v. 9, p. 21-24.

P l a f k e r , George, 1969, Tec ton ics of t h e March 27, 1964, Alaska earthquake,

U.S. Geo log ica l Survey Pro fess iona l Paper 543-1, 74 p.

P l a f k e r , George, Jones, D. L., and Pessegno, E. A., Jr., 1977, A Cretaceous

a c c r e t i o n a r y f l y s c h and melange t e r r a n e a long t h e Gul f o f A laska margin,

i n The U.S. Geo log ica l Survey i n A laska: Accomplishments d u r i n g 1976: - U.S. Geo log ica l Survey C i r c u l a r 751-B, p. B41-042.

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Tysda l , R. G., and Case, J. E., 1979, Geo log ic map o f t h e Seward and B l y i ng

Sound quadrangles, A laska : U.S. G e o l o g i c a l Survey Map 1-1 150,

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Woodward-Clyde Consu l tan ts , 1979, Reconnaissance geo logy B r a d l e y Lake

H y d r o e l e c t r i c P r o j e c t : s u b m i t t e d t o Department o f t h e Army, A laska

D i s t r i c t , Corps o f Eng ineers , Anchorage, A1 aska, 1979.

Page 26: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

A P P E N D I X : INTENSITY SCALE USED BY NEIS

MODIFIED MERCALLI INTENSITY SCALE OF 1931

Adap ted f rom S i e b e r g ' s M e r c a l l i - C a n c a n i s c a l e , m o d i f i e d a n d c o n d e n s e d .

I . N o t f e l t - o r , e x c e p t r a r e l y u n d e r e s p e c i a l l y f a v o r a b l e c i r - c u m s t a n c e s . Under c e r t a i n c o n d i - t i o n s , a t a n d o u t s i d e t h e boun- d a r y o f t h e a r e a i n wh ich a g r e a t s h o c k is f e l t : s o m e t i m e s b i r d s , a n i m a l s , r e p o r t e d u n e a s y o r d i s - t u r b e d : s o m e t i m e s d i z z i n e s s or n a u s e a e x p e r i e n c e d ; s o m e t i m e s t r ees , s t r u c t u r e s , l i q u i d s , bodies of w a t e r , may sway--doors may s w i n g , v e r y s l o w l y .

11. F e l t i n d o o r s by few, e s p e c i a l l y o n u p p e r f l o o r s , o r by s e n s i t i v e , o r n e r v o u s p e r s o n s . A l s o , a s i n g r a d e I , b u t o f t e n more n o t i c e - a b l y : s o m e t i m e s h a n g i n g o b j e c t s may s w i n g , e s p e c i a l l y when d e l i - c a t e l y s u s p e n d e d : some t imes t r e e s , s t r u c t u r e s , l i q u i d s , b o d i e s of w a t e r , may sway , d o o r s may s w i n g , v e r y s l o w l y ; s o m e t i m e s b i r d s , a n i m a l s , r e p o r t e d u n e a s y o r d i s t u r b e d : s o m e t i m e s d i z z i n e s s o r n a u s e a e x p e r i e n c e d .

111. F e l t i n d o o r s b y s e v e r a l , m o t i o n u s u a l l y r a p i d v i b r a t i o n . Some- times n o t r e c o g n i z e d t o b e a n e a r t h q u a k e at f i r s t . D u r a t i o n e s t i m a t e d i n some c a s e s . V i b r a - t i o n l i k e t h a t d u e t o p a s s i n g o f l i g h t , or l i g h t l y l o a d e d t r u c k s , o r h e a v y t r u c k s some d i s t a n c e away. Hang ing o b j e c t s may s w i n g s l i g h t l y . Movements may b e a p p r e c i a b l e o n u p p e r l e v e l s of t a l l s t r u c t u r e s . Rocked s t a n d i n g m o t o r c a r s s l i g h t l y .

I V . F e l t i n d o o r s by many, o u t d o o r s by f ew. Awakened f e w , e s p e c i a l l y l i g h t s l e e p e r s . F r i g h t e n e d n o o n e , u n l e s s a p p r e h e n s i v e f r o m p r e v i o u s e x p e r i e n c e . V i b r a t i o n l i k e t h a t d u e t o p a s s i n g o f h e a v y or h e a v i l y l o a d e d t r u c k s . S e n s a - t i o n like h e a v y body s t r i k i n g b u i l d i n g or f a l l i n g o f h e a v y o b j e c t s i n s i d e . R a t t l i n g o f d i s h e s , windows, doors; g l a s s w a r e and c r o c k e r y c l i n k and clash. C r e a k i n g o f v a l l s , f r a m e , e s p e - c i a l l y i n t h e u p p e r r a n g e of t h i s g r a d e . Hang ing o b j e c t s s u u n g , i n numerous i n s t a n c e s . D i s t u r b e d l i q u i d s i n o p e n v e s s e l s s l i g h t l y . Rocked s t a n d i n g m o t o r c a r s n o t i c e a b l y .

V. F e l t i n d o o r s by p r a c t i c a l l y a l ! o u t d o o r s by many or m o s t : o u t - d o o r s d i r e c t i o n e s t i m a t e d . Awak- e n e d many, o r m o s t . F r i g h t e n e ( ; f e w - - s l i g h t e x c i t e m e n t , a f ew r a t , o u t d o o r s . B u i l d i n g s t r e m b l e ? t h r o u g h o u t . B r o k e dlshe. g l a s s w a r e , t o some e x t e n t . C r a c k e d windows-- in some c a s e s , b u t n o t g e n e r a l l y . O v e r t u r n e d v a s e s , s m a l l or u n s t a b l e o b l e c t s , i n many i n s t a n c e s , w i t h o c c a - s i o n a l f a l l . Hang ing o h l e c t s , d o o r s , s w i n g g e n e r a l l y o r c o n s i d - e r a b l y . Knocked p i c t u r e s a g a i n s t w a l l s , or swung them o u t o f p l a c e . Opened , o r c l o s e d , d o o r s , s h u t t e r s , a b r u p t l y . Pendulum c l o c k s s t o p p e d , s t a r t e d or r an f a s t , o r s l o w . Moved s m a l l o b j e c t s , f u r n i s h i n g s , the l a t t e r t o s l i g h t e x t e n t , S p i l l e d l i q u i d s i n s m a l l a m o u n t s f r o m w e l l - f i l l e d o p e n c o n t a i n e r s - T r e e s , b u s h e s , s h a k e n s l i g h t l y .

VI . F e l t by a l l , i n d o o r s a n d o u t - d o o r s . F r i g h t e n e d many, e x c i t e - ment g e n e r a l , some a l a r m , many r a n o u t d o o r s . Awakened a l l . P e r s o n s made t o move u n s t e a d i l y . T r e e s , b u s h e s , s h a k e n s l i g h t l y t o m o d e r a t e l y . L i q u i d s e t i n s t r o n g m o t i o n . S m a l l b e l l s r ang- - c h u r c h , c h a p e l , s c h o o l , e t c . Damage s l i g h t i n p o o r l y b u i l t b u i l d i n g s . F a l l o f p l a s t e r i n s m a l l amoun t . C r a c k e d p l a s t e r somewha t , e s p e c i a l l y f i n e c r a c k s c h i m n e y s i n some i n s t a n c e s . Broke d i s h e s , g l a s s w a r e , i n con- s i d e r a b l e q u a n t i t y , a l s o s o m c windows . F a l l o f k n i c k - k n a c k s , b o o k s , p i c t u r e s . Overturne? f u r - n i t u t e i n many i n s t a n c e s . V ~ u v e d f u r n i s h i n g s o f m o d e r a t e l y h+.av;j k i n d .

Page 27: 27, 1980 1981 the 0

: Y I 1 F r i g h t e n e d a l l - - g e n e r a l a l a r m , *- a l l r a n o u t d o o r s . Some, or many,

f o u n d i t d i f f i c u l t t o r t a n d . F ' N o t i c e d by p e r s o n s d r i v i n g m o t o r i c a r s . T r e e s a n d b u s h e s s h a k e n

m o d e r a t e l y t o s t r o n g l y . Waves o n p o n d s , l a k e s , and r u n n i n g w a t e r . W a t e r t u r b i d f r o m mud s t i r r e d u p . I n c a v i n g t o some e x t e n t o f s a n d or g r a v e l s t r e a m b a n k s . Rang l a r g e c h u r c h b e l l s , e t c . S u s p e n d e d o b j e c t s made to q u i v e r . Damage n e g l i g i b l e i n b u i l d i n g s o f good d e s i g n a n d c o n s t r u c t i o n , s l i g h t t o m o d e r a t e i n w e l l - b u i l t o r d i n a r y b u i l d i n g s , c o n s i d e r a b l e i n p o o r l y b u i l t o r b a d l y d e s i g n e d b u i l d i n g s , a d o b e h o u s e s , o l d v a l l s ( e s p e c i a l l y w h e r e l a i d u p w i t h o u t m o r t a r ) , s p i r e s , etc. C r a c k e d c h i m n e y s t o c o n s i d e r a b l e e x t e n t , r a l l s t o some e x t e n t . F a l l o f p l a s t e r i n c o n s i d e r a b l e t o l a r g e a m o u n t , a l s o some s t u c c o . Broke numerous windows , f u r n i t u r e t o some e x t e n t . s h o o k down l o o s e n e d b r i c k w o r k and t i l e s . B r o k e weak c h i m n e y s a t t h e r o o f - l i n e ( s o m e t i m e s damaq i n g r o o f s ) . F a l l o f c o r n i c e s f rom t o w e r s and h i g h b u i l d i n g s . D i s l o d g e d b r i c k s and s t o n e s . O v e r t u r n e d h e a v y f u r n i t u r e , w i t h damage f r o m b r e a k i n 9 . Damage c o n s i d e r a b l e t o c o n c r e t e i r r i g a - t i o n d i t c h e s .

V ' T I I . F r i g h t g e n e r a l - - a l a r m a p p r o a c h e s p a n i c . D i s t u r b e d p e r s o n s d r i v i n g m o t o r c a r s . T r e e s s h a k e n s t r o n g l y - - b r a n c h e s , t r u n k s , b r o - k e n o f f , e s p e c i a l l y pa lm t r e e s . E j e c t e d s a n d and mud i n s m a l i a m o u n t s . C h a n g e s : t e m p o r a r y , p e r m a n e n t ; i n f l o w o f s p r i n g s a n d w e l l s ; d r y wells renewed f l o w : i n t e m p e r a t u r e o f s p r i n g a n d w e l l w a t e r s . Damage s l i g h t i n s t r u c - t u r e s ( b r i c k ) b u i l t e s p e c i a l l y t o w i t h s t a n d e a r t h q u a k e s . C o n s i d e r - a b l e i n o r d i n a r y s u b s t a n t i a l b u i l d i n g s , p a r t i a l c o l l a p s e : r a c k e d , t u m b l e d down, wooden h o u s e s i n some c a s e s : t h r e w o u t p a n e l w a l l s i n f r a m e s t r u c t u r e s , b r o k e o f f d e c a y e d p i l i n g . F a l l o f w a l l s . C r a c k e d , b r o k e , s o l i d s t o n e w a l l s s e r i o u s l y . W e t g r o u n d t o some e x t e n t , a l s o g r o u n d on s t e e p s l o p e s . T w i s t - i n g , f a l l , o f c h i m n e y s , c o l u m n s , monuments , a l s o f a c t o r y s t a c k s . t o w e r s . noved c o n s p i c u o u s l y , o v e r t u r n e d , v e r y h e a v y f u r n i t u r e .

Z X . P a n i c g e n e r a l . C r a c k e d g r o u n d c o n s p i c u o u s l y . Damage c o n s i d e r - a b l e i n ( m a s o n r y ) s t r u c t u r e s b u i l t e s p e c i a l l y t o w i t h s t a n d e a r t h q u a k e s : T h r e v o u t o f p lumb some wood-f rame h o u s e s b u i 1 t e s p e c i a l l y t o w i t h s t a n d e a r t h - q u a k e s ; g r e a t i n s u b s t a n t i a l ( m a s o n r y ) b u i l d i n g s , some c o l - l a p s e i n l a r q e p a r t ; or w h o l l y s h i f t e d f r a m e b u i l d i n g s o f f f o u n - d a t i o n s , racked f r a m e s : s e r i o u s t o r e s e r v o i r s ; u n d e r q r o u n d p i p e s s o m e t i m e s b r o k e n .

X . Cracked g r o u n d , e m p e c i a l l y when l o o s e a n d w e t , up t o w i d t h s o f s e v e r a l i n c h e s : fisaures u p t o a y a r d i n w i d t h r a n p a r a l l e l t o c a n a l a n d s t r e a m b a n k s . L a n d s l i d e s c o n s i d e r a b l e f r o m r i v e r b a n k s a n d s teep c o a s t s . S h i f t e d sand a n d mud h o r i z o n t a l l y o n b e a c h e a a n d f l a t l a n d . Changed l e v e l o f w a t e r i n w e l l s . Threw w a t e r on b a n k s o f c a n a l s , l a k e s , r i v e r s , e t c . Damaqe s e r i - o u s t o dams, d i k e s , embankmen t s , S e v e r e t o w e l l - b u i l t wooden s t r u c t u r e s a n d b r i d g e s , some d e s - t r o y e d . Deve loped d a n g e r o u s c r a c k s i n e x c e l l e n t b r i c k w a l l s . D e s t r o y e d most masonry a n d f r a m e s t r u c t u r e s , a l s o t h e i r f o u n d a - t ions. B e n t r a i l r o a d r a i l s s l i g h t l y . T o r e a p a r t , o r c r u s h e d e n d w i s e , p i p l i n e s b u r i e d i n e a r t h . Open c r a c k s and broad wavy f o l d s i n c e m e n t p a v e m e n t s a n d a s p h a l t r o a d s u r f a c e s .

X I . D i s t u r b a n c e s i n g r o u n d many a n d w i d e s p r e a d , v a r y i n q r i t h g r o u n d m a t e r i a l . Broad f i s s u r e s , e a r t h s l u m p s , a n d l a n d s l i p s i n s o f t , w e t g r o u n d . E j e c t e d w a t e r i n l a r g e a m o u n t s c h a r g e d w i t h s a n d a n d mud. Caused sea -waves ( " t i d a l * w a v e s ) o f s i g n i f i c a n t m a g n i t u d e . Damage s e v e r e t o wood-f rame s t r u c t u r e s , e s p e c i a l l y n e a r shock c e n t e r s . G r e a t t o dams, d i k e s , embankments o f t e n f o r l o n g d i s t a n c e s . Few, i f a n y ( m a s o n r y ) s t r u c t u r e s r e m a i n e d s t a n d i n g . D e s t r o y e d l a r q e well- b u i l t b r i d g e s by t h e w r e c k i n g o f s u p p o r t i n g p i e r s , or p i l l a r s . A f f e c t e d y i e l d i n g wooden b r i d g e s l e s s . B e n t r a i l r o a d r a i 1 s g r e a t l y , and t h r u s t them e n d w i s e . P u t p i p e l i n e s b u r i e d i n e a r t h c o m p l e t e l y o u t o f s e r v i c e .

XII. Damage t o t a l - - p r a c t i c a l l y a l l w o r k s o f c o n s t r u c t i o n damaged g r e a t l y o r d e s t r o y e d . D i s t u r - b a n c e s i n g r o u n d g r e a t and v a r i e d , numerous s h e a r i n g c r a c k s . L a n d s l i d e s , f a l l s o f rock of s i g - n i f i c a n t c h a r a c t e r , s l u m p i n g o f r i v e r b a n k s , e t c . , numerous and e x t e n s i v e . Wrenched l o o s e , t o r e o f f , l a r g e r o c k m a s s e s . F a u l t s l i p s i n f i r m r o c k , w i t h n o t a b l e h o r i z o n t a l and v e r t i c a l o f f s e t d i s p l a c e m e n t s . W a t e r c h a n n e l s , s u r f a c e and u n d e r g r o u n d , d is- t u r b e d a n d m o d i f i e d g r e a t l y . Dammed l a k e s , p r o d u c e d w a t e r - f a l l s , d e f l e c t e d r i v e r s , e t c . Waves s e e n o n g r o u n d s u r f a c e s ( a c t u a l l y s e e n , p r o b a b l y , i n some c a s e s ) . D i s t o r t e d l i n e s of s i g h t a n d l e v e l . Threw o b j e c t s upward i n t o t h e a i r .