25 june 200716th conference on atmospheric and oceanic fluid dynamics potential vorticity dynamics...
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25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
Potential vorticity dynamics of a tropopause polar vortex
Steven M. Cavallo
and Gregory J. Hakim
University of Washington
Department of Atmospheric Sciences
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
Outline
• Tropopause polar vortices (TPVs)
• Ertel Potential Vorticity (EPV)
• Mechanisms for vortex intensity changes
• November 2005 TPV
Overview and observations
Potential vorticity analysis
PV budget
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
What are tropopause polar vortices (TPVs)?
• Vortices that occur north and away from jet stream
• Based on tropopause
• Cold core
Vortices defined by closed contours of a materially conserved field such as PV
Changes in strength equivalent to changes in fluid properties within closed contours
Disturbances wave-like along jet stream
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
Why do we care about TPVs?
• Formation and intensity changes are not well understood
• Are often long-lived
Can have lifetimes > 1 month
• Trigger surface cyclones, such as in the image above
Eventually drift into midlatitudes and jet stream, impacting the weather
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
Ertel Potential Vorticity (EPV)
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
What EPV changes can we expect with a cloud?
Latent heating Heating rate
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
What EPV changes can we expect with a cloud?
Latent heating EPV changes
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
What EPV changes can we expect with a cloud?
Radiation Heating rate
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
What EPV changes can we expect with a cloud?
Latent heating EPV changes
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
What EPV changes can we expect with a cloud?
Radiation + Latent heating
Net EPV changes (radiation > latent heating)
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
What EPV changes can we expect with a cloud?
Radiation + Latent heating
Net EPV changes (radiation < latent heating)
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
November 2005 TPV: Observations
GFS analysis tropopause pressure Coral Harbour, NT sounding
21 November 2005 at 00 UTC
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
November 2005 TPV: Observations
GFS analysis tropopause pressure Coral Harbour, NT sounding
22 November 2005 at 00 UTC
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
November 2005 TPV
WRF (V. 2.1.2) simulations:
• X = 30 km, Nz = 31
• 5-class microphysics, RRTM longwave radiation
• GFS initial conditions, boundaries updated every 3 hours
GFS Tropopause Analysis
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
November 2005 TPV
WRF (V. 2.1.2) simulations:
• X = 30 km, Nz = 31
• 5-class microphysics, RRTM longwave radiation
• GFS initial conditions, boundaries updated every 3 hours
GFS Tropopause Analysis
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
November 2005 TPV: Strengthening
PV Budget: Time mean vertical profiles for Siberia segment
All EPV components Diabatic components
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
November 2005 TPV: Strengthening
Time-height: Diabatic components Diabatic components
PV Budget
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
November 2005 TPV: Strengthening
Time-height: Radiation and cloud Diabatic components
PV Budget
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
November 2005 TPV: Strengthening
Time-height: Latent heat + Radiation Diabatic components
PV Budget
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
November 2005 TPV: Weakening
PV Budget: Time mean vertical profiles for Hudson Bay segment
All EPV components Diabatic components
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
Summary
•TPV strengthening from cloud-top radiational cooling in November 2005 TPV
•TPV weakening processes not clear, but strengthening no longer appears to occur when latent heating effects dominate the radiational effects.
• Is radiation always the key driver? What dynamics control weakening?
Work is underway involving idealized experiments to isolate the dynamics responsible for TPV intensity changes.
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
25 June 2007 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
What can we expect from a cloud?