24.3 indication of “do nothing” case traffic...
TRANSCRIPT
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24.3 INDICATION OF “DO NOTHING” CASE TRAFFIC ASSIGNMENT
“Do-nothing” case traffic assignment (2030 traffic demand assigned to present road network) shows the following:
Traffic congestion is expected on the following roads;
- Cebu North Road up to Compostela - Cebu South Road up to Naga - Cebu Coastal Road from Jct. with Cebu North Road to Jct. with UN Ave. - Both First and Second Mandaue-Mactan Bridges - Road section between First and Second Mandaue-Mactan Bridges in Mactan Island - Other City Streets in Cebu, Mandaue and Talisay Cities
24.4 PROPOSED HSH NETWORK
Based on the urban center distribution, regional/urban development strategies, distribution of economic zones and tourist attraction points, topographical constraints and traffic conditions, HSH network was proposed as shown in Figure 24.4-1. Major concepts are as follows; Highly Urbanized Area
Three (3) transport axes are formed;
- Cebu Central Transport Axis (Cebu North Road and Cebu South Road) - Cebu Central Transport Axis (road constructed on the reclamation land). It is extended
up to Liloan (new road). - Cebu Hillside Transport Axis (new road along the hillside and functions as a
circumferential road for traffic distribution) Northern Area
Cebu North Transport Axis is formed consisting of Cebu North Road and its parallel road (new road).
Southern Area
Cebu South Transport Axis is formed consisting of Cebu South Road and its parallel road (new road).
Mactan Island
Mactan Island Tourism Development Transport Axis (or Mactan Island circumferential road) is formed.
Connection between Cebu Main Island and Mactan Island is strengthened.
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FIGURE 24.4-1 (1/2) PROPOSED HSH NETWORK: METRO CEBU
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FIGURE 24.4-1(2/2) PROPOSED HSH NETWORK: HIGHLY URBANIZED AREA
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24.5 IDENTIFIED HSH PROJECTS
Identified HSH projects and their implementation targets are shown in Table 24.5-1, and graphically shown in Figures 24.5-1 and 24.5-2.
TABLE 24.5-1 IDENTIFIED HSH PROJECTS Implementation Target Project Name By 2020 By 2030
(1) Extension of Cebu Coastal Road up to Liloan
Construction of a 4-lane road
(2) Construction of Cebu Hillside Road and its Connector Roads
Construction of a 2-lane road
Widening to a 4-lane road
Highly Urbanized Area
(3) Flyover construction along Cebu North Road, Cebu South Roads and Coastal Road
Construction of 4 flyovers
Construction of 5 flyovers
(4) Widening of Cebu North Road
Widening to a 4-lane road from Mandauae/ Liloan boundary to Danao City
Northern Area
(5) Construction of Cebu North Parallel Road
Construction of a 2-lane road
(6) Widening of Cebu South Road from Naga to Carcar
Widening to a 4-lane road
Southern Area
(7) Construction of Cebu South Parallel Road
Construction of a 2-lane road
Widening to a 4-lane road
(8) Improvement of Mactan Circumferential Road
Improvement of existing road
Mactan Island
(9) Widening of First Mandaue-Mactan Bridge and its Approach Roads
Widening to a 4-lane bridge including approach roads
(10) Construction of 3rd Bridge and its Approach Road
Construction of a 4-lane bridge and its Approach Road
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FIGURE 24.5-1 (1/2) PROPOSED 2020 HSH NETWORK: METRO CEBU
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FIGURE 24.5-1 (2/2) PROPOSED 2020 HSH NETWORK:
HIGHLY URBANIZED AREA
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FIGURE 24.5-2 (1/2) PROPOSED 2030 HSH NETWORK: METRO CEBU
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FIGURE 24.5-2 (2/2) PROPOSED 2030 HSH NETWORK: HIGHLY URBANIZED AREA
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24.6 TRAFFIC ASSIGNMENTS ON 2020 NETWORK AND 2030 NETWORK In this section, the result of traffic assignment that shows the estimated traffic volumes on each road section is displayed for the year of both 2020 and 2030. Figure 24.6-1 shows the result of the do-nothing case and the proposed network case in 2020 and Figure 24.6-2 shows the result of that in 2030.
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FIGURE 24.6-1 TRAFFIC ASSIGNMENT RESULT OF “DO NOTHING ” CASE AND “PROPOSED” CASE IN 2020
DO NOTHING CASE PROPOSED NETWORK CASE
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FIGURE 24.6-2 TRAFFIC ASSIGNMENT RESULT OF “DO NOTHING ” CASE AND “PROPOSED” CASE IN 2030
DO NOTHING CASE PROPOSED NETWORK CASE
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24.7 IMPACT OF PROPOSED HSH PROJECTS
An impact of the proposed HSH network plan is analyzed by comparing network performance indicators of “Do-Nothing” case and “Proposed” case, in this section.
Table 24.7-1 summarizes the network performance indicators by traffic assignment case. The performance indicators of highway network include daily travel distance (vehicle*km), daily travel time (vehicle*hour), average volume capacity ratio, average travel speed. The following formulas describe the definition of each indicator.
Total travel distance: ∑ ⋅=k
kk lVTD
Total travel time: ∑ ⋅=k k
kk s
lVTT
Volume capacity ratio: ∑ ⋅=
kkk lQ
TDVCR
Average travel speed: TTTDTS =
Where, kV : Assigned traffic volume on link k
kl : Length of link k
ks : Average travel speed of assigned traffic on link k
kQ : Capacity of link k
The impact of the proposed HSH network plan can be summarized as follows: The total travel distance of “Proposed” case indicates 8.5 million PCU*km. By comparing
this value with that of “Do-Nothing” case, travel distance is shortened by 4%. This implicates that 4% of wasteful detour travel may be improved.
The impact on the improvement of travel time is more remarkable than travel distance. It
would be improved by 22% in 2020, and 40% in 2030 (222 thousand for “Proposed” case and 374 thousand for “Do-Nothing” case)
Average travel speed indicates the improvement of about 62%.
TABLE 24.7.1 NETWORK PERFORMANCE BY ASSIGNMENT CASE
2020 2030
Item Do-Nothing Case
Proposed Case
Do-Nothing
Case
Proposed Case
Total Travel Distance (1000 PCU*km) 6,721 6,442 8,800 8,442
Total Travel Time (1000 PCU*hour) 241 189 374 222
Average Volume Capacity Ratio(volume/capacity) 0.82 0.64 1.04 0.74
Average Travel Speed (km/h) 27.9 34.2 23.5 38.1
PART IV
TAGUM - DAVAO - GEN. SANTOS (TDG) CORRIDOR
CHAPTER 25
GENERAL PROFILE OF TDG
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CHAPTER 25 GENERAL PROFILE OF TDG
25.1 PHYSICAL PROFILE 25.1.1 Topography
As shown in Figure 25.1.1-1, Mindanao Island can be divided into eight (8) topographical divisions, namely (i) Diwata Cordillera, (ii) Agusan Plain, (iii) Davao Upland, (iv) Bukidnon Plateau, (v) Cotabato Plain, (vi) Tiruray Upland, (vii) Lanao Plateau, and (viii) Zamboanga Upland. The Diwata Cordillera is a tightly folded mountain range which runs in an almost N-S orientation. It is located east of the Agusan River. The highest mountain in the range, with an elevation of 1,837 meters above sea level (masl) is Mt. Hilonghilong. Mt. Apo, the highest peak in the Philippines, with an altitude of 2,954 masl, is found in the Davao Upland.
FIGURE 25.1.1-1 TOPOGRAPHICAL DIVISIONS OF MINDANAO ISLAND
The Elevation Map of Mindanao Island presented in Figure 25.1.1-2 corroborates the topographic features mentioned above. As shown in the map, Lanao and Bukidnon plateaus, as well as the Davao and Tiruray Uplands have topographic highs with minimum elevation ranging from 500-750 masl. There are only two areas, namely the Cotabato Plain and the Agusan Valley Plain that can be considered as lowland, with elevations ranging from 0 – 250 masl. These topographic lows correspond to two (2) of the nine (9) sedimentary basins found within the Philippine Mobile Belt.
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FIGURE 25.1.1-2 ELEVATION MAP OF MINDANAO ISLAND
25.1.2 Location
The Tagum-Davao-General Santos corridor traverses two regions and is located at the southeastern portion of the Mindanao Island. Davao del Norte, where Tagum locates, is situated in between latitudes 6o05’00”N and 8o00’00”N and longitudes between 125o18’25”E and 125o55’75”E.. Davao del Sur, where Digos locates, is situated in latitudes 5o22’42”N and longitudes between 125o05’42”E and 125o17’E.. General Santos City locates in between latitudes 5o58’N and 6o20’N and between longitudes 125o01’E and 125o17’E. Davao City and General Santos City are Chartered City and politically and administratively independent from provinces. These cities are also located in strategic positions of the provinces with natural harbors and typhoon-free climate.
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FIGURE 25.1.2-1 MAP OF REGION XI AND XII
25.1.3 Topographic Features
(1) Soil Types
Davao del Norte Tagum area is mainly Alluvium type rocks and located on major sedimentary basins in the Philippines. Other major soil type observed in the area is those developed form either alluvium washed from the uplands or from materials originating from igneous or sedimentary rocks. Most of the province’s soil types are the Camansa clay loam and Cabangan clay loam: the former is mainly found in hilly and mountainous area and the latter is in near the gulf. Other soil types that are observed in the region are San Miguel silty loam, Bolinao clay, Cabantian clay, hydrosols and undifferentiated mountain soils. Almost all the land with slope greater than 8% tends to be eroded. Davao City area Davao City consists of three major soil types: (1) soils of the plains and valleys; (2) soils in the intermediate uplands; (3) soil of hills and mountains. Type (1) is composite of San Miguel silty clay loam and Mitina clay loam which is originated from Alluvium parents rock. Type (2) is composite of various types of clays which is originated from igneous rock, soft corraline lime stone, and soft shales with mixtures of weathered gravels and pebbles. Type (3) is composite of Camansa sandy clay loam and mountain soils which is originated from shales and sandstones
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with weathered gravel and sand, and various kinds of igneous and metamorphic rocks. Davao del Sur Most part of Sta.Cruz and Digos are located in Mt. Apo range and alluvium land. The portion of Mt. Apo range is steep formed with rocks agglomerated with volcanic flows and pyroclastic rocks. This is Pliocene-Quaternary rock formation and essentially composed of rock fragments of basillic andesite and pyroxene andesite cmented by tuffaceous matrix. Beds of tuff are horizontal to moderately dipping and are composed chiefly of consolidated volcanic ash and some tuffaceous materials. The existing national highway is running on the strip of the Alluvium formation along a sandy beach. General Santos City Area The land of General Santos City area is a mixture of many different types of landforms: Coastal, Broad Alluvial plain, Minor Alluvial plain, Residual terraces, Footslopes (Piedmont), Plateau, Hills. Major soil types are land clay loam, sand, and sandy loam. Total area of upland soil classified under Class B is 12,905 ha (24%) of the City.
(2) Slopes and Elevations
Davao del Norte The topography of Tagum is generally flat with certain rolling portions in the northern side (e.g. Nueva Fuerza, San Agustin, New Balamban, Pandapan and Magdum barangys) and coastal roads in the southern portion (along barangays Liboganon, Busaon and Madaum). One hundred percent (100%) of Tagum and Carmen and 80% of Panabo City are classified as “Alienable and Disposable Lands”. The rest of Panabo city (20%) is “forestlands”. TABLE 25.1.3-1 SLOPE DENSITY OF CITIES LOCATED IN BETWEEN TAGUM
AND DAVAO CITY IN DAVAO DEL NORTE PROVINCE % Slope and area (km2) “Alienable and disposable” “Forestlands” 0-3% 3-8% 8-18% 18-30% 30-50% >50%
Total Area (km2)
Tagum 168.923 10.510 2.658 0 0 0 182.09 Panabo City 130.235 37.950 49.650 1.245 36.095 0 255.18 Carmen 141.965 0.165 0.52 0 0 0 142.65
Source: PAG-ASA Agromet Station, Hijo Plantation, Madaum, Tagum City More than 80% of total land areas in Panabo city and Carmen and 92% of Tagum are elevation less than 100m (“very low”). In Davao del Norte province itself does not have a municipality with elevation greater than 2,000m and more than 50% of land are within elevation ranged between 0m and 300m( “very low” to “low”) while about 35% are considered to be “moderately high”(500-1000m). TABLE 25.1.3-2 ELEVATIONS OF CITIES LOCATED IN BETWEEN TAGUM AND
DAVAO CITY IN DAVAO DEL NORTE PROVINCE Areas for different elevations (km2) 0-100m 100-300m 300-500m 500-1000m >1000m
Total (km2)
Tagum 18,007 347 1,226 - - 19,580 Panabo City 15,735 3,383 222 - - 19,340 Carmen 23,669 4,439 142 - - 28,250
Source: PAG-ASA Agromet Station, Hijo Plantation, Madaum, Tagum City
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Davao City A substantial part of Davao City is mountainous, characterized by extensive mountain ranges with uneven distribution of plateaus and lowlands. The mountain range which delimits the western boundary of the city extends as far down to South Cotabato. This mountain range nurses the highest peak in the Philippines, which is Mt. Apo located at the boundaries of North Cotabato, Davao del Sur and Davao City. Mt. Apo has an elevation of about 3,144 m above sea level. It has been considered as semi-active volcano. Davao del Sur Lands are classified into two major classes by degree of slopes on the Presidential Decree 705: alienable and disposable (A&D) and forestlands. The A&D is land with slope between 0 and 18% and the rests are for the forestland. Slopes in the concerned municipalities, Digos and Sta. Cruz of Davao der Sur province are summarized in the table below.
TABLE 25.1.3-3 SLOPE DENSITY OF DIGOS AND STA. CRUZ IN DAVAO DEL SUR PROVINCE
% Slope and area (km2) “Alienable and disposable” “Forestlands” 0-3% 3-8% 8-18% 18-30% 30-50% >50%
Total Area (km2)
Digos 73.32 9.75 34.87 11.66 90.67 47.59 267.87 Sta. Cruz 51.35 20.94 28.29 34.78 57.95 84.31 277.6 Source: Provincial development and physical framework plan, 2007-2013: Davao del Sur
Areas with critical slope (gradient of greater than 40%) are defined as Environmentally Critical Areas (ECAs) and subject to EIS and ECC for an Environmentally Critical Projects (ECPs) such as road and bridge constructions. The areas with the slope greater than 50% (“very steep”) for Digos and Sta. Cruz are 18% and 30% of total areas respectively. More than 50% of total land areas of both municipalities are areas with slope greater than 30%(“steep” to “very steep”). Existing road running through Sta. Cruz from Digos to Davao is located on a narrow strip of land laying in between foot of steep mountains and built-up area of substandard-houses and plantations along sandy beaches.
TABLE 25.1.3-4 ELEVATION OF DIGOS AND STA. CRUZ
IN DAVAO DEL SUR PROVINCE Areas for different elevations (km2) 0-200m 200-500m 500-1000m 1000-1500m >1500m
Total (km2)
Digos 121.17 49.10 49.97 34.07 13.54 267.8 Sta. Cruz 71.58 49.60 73.81 74.25 8.46 277.7
Source: Provincial development and physical framework plan, 2007-2013: Davao del Sur Digos and Sta.Cruz municipalities are mountainous and steep: about 55% of Digos and 74% of Sta, Cruz are situated at elevation greater than 200m. About 18% of Digos and 30% of Sta.Cruz are located at elevation greater than 1000m. General Santos City General Santos City is located in a flood plain in Sarangani Bay area. About 36% of the land (19,040 ha) is slope of 0 to 3% that is used for residential and commercial purposes. About 42% (22,996ha) is slope between 3 and 15% that is used for agricultural purpose. More than 80% of land is classified as “Alienable and disposable”. Less than remaining 20% is classified as “forestlands” and used for raising live stocks and miscellaneous use.
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25.1.4 Geology
(1) Seismic fault lines The Philippine Mobile Belt The Philippine Mobile Belt (PMB) is an actively deforming zone located between the Philippine Sea Plate and the eastern margin of the Eurasian Plate, where a complex system of subduction zones, collision zones and marginal sea basin openings are located. The subduction zones surrounding the Philippine Mobile Belt are with opposing polarities; i.e., subduction zones east of the mobile belt have westward vergence while those on the west are subducting eastward (Figure 25.1.4-1).
(adopted from Aurelio, 1992. Source: Geology and Mineral Resources of the Philippines, Vol. 1, Revised Edition 2004.) FIGURE 25.1.4-1 SIMPLIFIED TECTONIC
MAP OF THE PHILIPPINES West-dipping subduction zones consist of the Philippine Trench (PT) and the East Luzon Trough (LT), whereas the Manila Trench (MT), Negros Trench (NT), and Cotabato Trench (CT) comprise the East-dipping zones.
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The Agusan-Davao Basin Among the sedimentary basins of the Philippine Mobile Belt, the Agusan-Davao basin has the thickest sedimentary fill, in places attaining a thickness of more than 12,000 m (Ranneft and others, 1960). It is formed over a mixed basement composed of ophiolitic and metamorphic rocks of unknown age, of pre-Oligocene arcs and Eocene limestones. The sedimentary fill is composed of Upper Oligocene - Lower Miocene limestones, followed by alternating layers of conglomerates, sandstones, shales and sometimes thin Middle Miocene carbonaceous layers (Figure 25.1.4-2). The Pliocene-Holocene cover is dominated by shallow marine deposits upgrading into fluviatile facies. The Agusan Davao-Basin follows a North-South trending axis and is traversed longitudinally by the Philippine Fault.
(Hawkins et al. 1985. Geology and Mineral Resources of the Philippines, Vol. 1, Revised Edition 2004.)
FIGURE 25.1.4-2 SCHEMATIC SECTION ACROSS THE AGUSAN-DAVAO BASIN SHOWING THE PHILIPPINE FAULT
ZONE AS A TERRANE BOUNDARY The Cotabato Basin The Cotabato Basin is another sedimentary basin in the island of Mindanao. It is located between the active volcanic arcs of Cotabato and central Mindanao. The general stratigraphy is similar to that of the Agusan-Davao Basin, except that the Upper Miocene - Pleistocene portion is more exposed. This layer of the basin is composed mainly of relatively undeformed shallow marine deposits dominated by conglomerates, sandstones and shales, grading into deltaic and fluviatile characters towards the south. The more deformed lower sequence is principally composed of volcaniclastics with minor intercalations of limestones. Ranneft and others (1960) put the thickness of the sedimentary fill at about 8,000 m.
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(Source: Letouzey et al, 1987, Pubellier, unpublished data, Geology and Mineral Resources of the Philippines, Vol. 1, Revised Edition 2004) FIGURE 25.1.4-3 SCHEMATIC SECTION ACROSS THE COTABATO BASIN FLANKED TO THE WEST BY THE DAGUMA RANGE AND
TO THE EAST BY THE CENTRAL MINDANO VOLCANIC ARC The Philippine Fault and Other Active Faults The term "Philippine Fault" refers to a fault zone cutting almost the whole length of the archipelago. It has long been the subject of discussion especially regarding its exact trace, the rate at which it is moving and its geodynamic significance. The fault and its branches traverse the Philippines from Luzon to the north to Mindanao southwards, cutting across Bicol and the Visayas. As it traverses the whole length of the archipelago, the Philippine Fault presents at least three varying structural regimes. Consequently, three major segments can be distinguished according to structural character and data availability. These are (i) Northern Segment – NW Luzon to Lamon Bay, (ii) Central Segment – Bondoc Peninsula to Leyte, and (iii) Southern Segment – Mindanao and the Moluccas. The Southern Segment of the Philippine Fault – Mindanao and the Moluccas The existence and character of the Philippine Fault in Mindanao are up to present very controversial. Field studies coupled with remote sensing data (Pubellier et.al, 1991) show that the fault bounds the eastern flank of the Agusan-Davao Basin. In Surigao, the fault strikes N10-20°W. In Davao, it strikes practically N-S. In Surigao, a relay zone between two branches of the fault gives rise to a pull-apart feature expressed by the present-day Lake Mainit. South of the lake, the Lianga Fault branches out southeastwards towards the Philippine Trench. Further south in Davao del Norte, the southeast-trending Mati Fault serves as the southern most branch of the fault. Recent GPS measurements (Aurelio, 2001) indicate a southward decrease in slip rate along the fault from around 2.4 cm/yr in Surigao to about 1.0 cm/yr in Davao. Extensive structural investigations by Quebral (1994) show that the Philippine Fault traverses a sedimentary basin (Agusan-Davao) developed over a single pre-Oligocene volcanic arc. This observation is inconsistent with the hypothesis that considers the Philippine Fault as having been inherited from an old suture zone allegedly arising from the collision of two volcanic arcs (Roeder, 1977; Silver and Moore, 1978 a and b; Moore and Silver, 1983; Hawkins et. al, 1985; Florendo, 1987). It appears instead that in Mindanao, the fault reactivates old normal faults related to the formation of the Agusan-Davao Basin and that further to the south, it traverses the basin, the basement and the old volcanic arcs.
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The Mindanao Fault The Mindanao Fault is a prominent NW-trending linear fracture zone on the western third of Mindanao Island. It has two distinct segments, including that which separates the Daguma Range from the Cotabato Basin corresponding to the Cotabato Fault segment. This segment is highly linear and has features suggestive of normal faulting although it may have been a left lateral strike slip fault during its early history. The Quaternary Mt. Parker volcano is located at the western end of this fault and, on radar images, seems to be cut by the fault. Terraces formed by Quaternary limestone mark the Daguma Range. These, together with the young morphology of incised river valleys, suggests a young age for the fault along which the Daguma Range was uplifted. Although Quaternary in age, it still has to be ascertained whether the fault is active or not (Quebral, 1994). The Sindangan Fault segment represents the northern continuation of the fault towards northern Zamboanga. Focal mechanism solutions of earthquakes offshore and narrow shear zones transecting recent gravel deposits suggest active left-lateral faulting (Pubellier et. al, 1991).
(2) Present Day Plate Motions in the Philippines Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements performed every two years since 1994 over a 42-station network distributed in Southeast Asia under the Project GEODYSSEA (Geodynamics of South and Southeast Asia) provided data for the analysis of the present-day motion of tectonic blocks in and around the Philippines. Motion vectors in the archipelago and vicinity are in the order of a few to several cm/yr. When micro-continental Palawan is held fixed, the slowest movements can be detected in Zamboanga at less than 2 ± 0.15 cm/yr westwards. Virac Island moves the fastest at over 7 ± 0.17 cm/yr northwestwards. Slower but comparable rates are detected between Surigao, Davao and Zamboanga. The largest extensional strain rate is detected on a NW-SE direction in NW Panay.
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(Source: Aurelio et al., 1998. Geology and Mineral Resources of the Philippines, Vol. 1, Revised Edition 2004.)
FIGURE 25.1.4-4 MOTION VECTORS IN THE PHILIPPINES DEDUCED FROM
GPS MEASUREMENTS
FIGURE 25.1.4-5 ACTIVE FAULTS IN GENERAL SANTOS AND DAVAO
AREA IN REGION XI
Fault lines are identified in Sta.Cruz, where the proposed HSH runs through, and other municipalities in Davao del Sur province. In an event of volcanic eruption of Mt.Apo Sta.Cruz and Digos City would be affected as well as Bansalan.
Southern Philippines A strong westerly relative plate motion component is observed on the southernmost station in Davao. This direction is almost perpendicular to the Philippine Fault and Cotabato Trench but oblique to the Cotabato Fault Zone. While this may imply frontal subduction along the trench, the computed motion vector may also mean that there is practically no lateral movement along the Philippine Fault along this segment. Further north in Nabunturan town, however, there are clear indications of recent activity along the fault (e.g. overturned Holocene alluvial deposits, Pleistocene anticlines cut by fault) while to the south in Mati and offshore Pujada, earthquakes possibly generated by a branch of the fault there, have been recorded for the past 100 years. From the Surigao station in the north of Mindanao Island, a significant movement of the Philippine Fault in the order of 2 cm/yr is registered. To the west, it is interesting to note the occurrence of the Cotabato Fault, a prominent NW-SE trending structure also believed to be a left-lateral strike-slip fault (Pubellier et al., 1991; 1993),
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located behind the east-dipping Cotabato Trench. Seismicity along this subduction area is fairly high, although it is only known to occur on the northern segments of the Cotabato Fault Zone. Active Volcanoes in the Philippines Volcanic activity has been continuously active since Cretaceous times as suggested by the presence of magmatic belts of Cretaceous, Eocene, Oligo-Miocene and Plio-Holocene ages. At present, the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology lists 22 active volcanoes and 27 inactive ones in the archipelago. Apo and Balut are two volcanic mountains in Davao area.
25.1.5 Rainfall and Temperature
Based on a recent study by PAGASA, about 50% of the annual average rainfall in the Philippines is attributed to the occurrence of tropical cyclones in its vicinities. Wettest parts consist of the northernmost part of Cagayan, Infanta, Polilio Island, eastern coasts of Leyte Island, Siargao Island, and Surigao del Sur with annual average rainfall of more than 4,000 mm. On the other hand, driest are the valleys in the Cordillera and the Sierra Madre ranges, the Central Plains of Luzon, Bataan, Batangas, Palawan, most parts of Region VII (southern portion of Cebu, most parts or Negros Oriental, and Bohol), the entire southern part of Mindanao including the southern tip of Zamboanga provinces and Basilan, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental and parts of Misamis Oriental. Average monthly and annual rainfall and temperatures obtained from various weather stations in the Study Area are presented in Table 25.1.5-1.
TABLE 25.1.5-1 AVERAGED MONTHLY AND ANNUAL RAINFALL AND
TEMPERATURES FOR DAVAO DEL NORTE, GENERAL SANTOS, AND DAVAO DEL SUR
Precipitation (mm) Temperature (oC )
Gen San Tagum Davao del Sur Gen San
Davao del Norte
(inc.Tagum) Davao del SurPeriod
1971-2000 1996-2005 2007 1971-2000 2001-2004 2007 Jan 67 235.03 74 27.5 27.4 32.9Feb 60.6 167.64 14 27.7 26.7 32.9Mar 41.7 203.17 37 28.3 27.5 33.6Apr 55.4 171.67 40 28.6 28.2 35.3May 65.9 221.87 177 28.3 28.2 34.4Jun 114.5 178.23 210 27.4 27.7 33.7Jul 101.4 168.06 104 27 27.7 32.8Aug 82 186.54 66 27.1 27.6 32.5Sep 85.4 231.07 122 27.3 27.5 34.2Oct 101.8 229.93 50 27.5 27.9 34.1Nov 82.2 173.84 56 27.7 27.8 34.2Dec 67.7 177.55 132 27.6 27.3 34Cumm. 925.6 2,344.6 1,082 N/A N/A N/AMax 114.5 229.93 210 28.6 28.2 35.3Min 41.7 167.64 14 27.1 26.7 32.5Average 77.1 195.38 90.2 27.67 27.63 33.72Sources: Source :PAG-ASA Agromet Station
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Davao del Norte The climate of Davao del Norte province is type IV that no pronounced wet and dry season but has steady rain falls throughout a year. Typhoon does not affect this area due to preferable physical location of the region. Cumulative amount of precipitation is 2344.6 mm on average in Tagum City. According to Regional NDER’s report1 the wettest months in the province typically occur from November to February. Monthly average of precipitation observed for five years is about 176mm/mo for the province while that of Tagum City is 195.38mm/mo. Davao del Sur Davao del Sur is located in the same climate zone as Davao del Norte. Amount of precipitation in this province is about half of Davao del Norte, 90.2mm/mo on average. Ambient temperature is very steady throughout a year with an annual average of 33.7oC, which is about 6 degree higher than Davao del Norte. General Santos City General Santos City is also located in type IV climate zone. Amount of precipitation in this province is even lower than Davao del Sur, 77.1mm/mo on average. Ambient temperature is relatively stable year round; the averaged annual temperature of 27.7oC, close to that of Davao del Norte.
25.1.6 Watershed and Flood Prone Area
Davao del Norte 15 rivers and 12 creeks traverse the province, such as the Lasang, Tuganay, Libuganon and Saug Rivers. All these rivers flow into Davao Gulf. The province has plenty of water which contributes to economic growth while it also negatively impact to local economy when floods. Flooding can be classified as slight, moderate and severe. About 85% of the total provincial lands are subjected to slight flooding. This occurs mostly in the municipalities of Asuncion, Kapalong, St. Tomas, and the Island Garden City of Samal. A total of 17,743 ha (4.63 % of the province) experiences moderate flooding which largely occurs in Asuncion, New Corella, Tagum City and St. Tomas. Severe flooding affects an area of 39,565 hectares or 10.32 percent of the total area, and typically occurs in Asuncion, Carmen, Kapalong, Tagum City and Panabo City2. Tagum River, which is the main drainage of Saug and Libuganon Rivers, Magugpo, Mankilam and Cuambogan Creeks, and Hijo River locate in Tagum city area (Figure 25.1.6-1(ii)). Flood prone areas which are considered environmentally critical areas locate in barangays Cuambogan, San Miguel, Canocotan, Pagsabangan, Bincungan, Libuganon and Madaum. It was reported that the total area that flood frequently is about 7,000 hectors. The causes of flood are both natural and manmade: the path and shape of the rivers, continuous precipitation, sedimentation, high tidal level, and denuded upland/deforestation. Severe flooding affects an area of 39,565 hectares or 10.32 percent of the total area, and is known to occur in Asuncion, Carmen, Kapalong, Tagum City and Panabo City. The area along the last 36km stretch of the Tagum-Libuganon River, which is located to the southwest of Tagum City, is predicted to be a frequent flooding area (Figure 25.1.6-1(iii)).
1
Davao del Norte: Profile 2001. Department of Environment and Natural Resources, Provincial Environment and Natural Resource Office. 2 Socio-economic profile, Davao del Norte
25-13
Davao del Sur The province of Davao del Sur has total of 40 watersheds which include three major watersheds locating in Sta.Cruz, Digos, and Padada. The largest watershed is the Padada Mainit River watershed with a total catchment area of 1,220 km2. Several flood prone areas were identified in the Padada Mainit River watershed that is located in the south of Digos (Figure 25.1.6-1(v)). Balutakay River watershed, the second major watershed, contains Digos. Sibulan River watershed, the third largest, and Digos River watershed cover both Digos and Sta. Cruz. General Santos City There is no official comprehensive yearly record of flood event and damage in the City. The Study Team identified that a flood plain forming on last 2km of the Buayan-Malungun River in Sarangani Bay area and a 5 km-stretch section of about 10km-upper stream of the river as flood prone areas (Figure 25.1.6-1(vi)).
(i) Davao area: The Davao River Basin (ii) Tagum area: The Hijo River Basin
FIGURE 25.1.6-1 ESTIMATED FLOOD POTENTIAL AREAS
25-14
(iii) The Tagum-Libuganon River Basin (iv) Tagum area: The Maco River Basin
(v) Digos area: The Padada Mainit River Basin
(South of Digos) (vi) General Santos/Sarangani Bay area: the
Buayan-Malungun River basin Source: The Study team
FIGURE 25.1.6-1 ESTIMATED FLOOD POTENTIAL AREAS
25-15
25.1.7 Protected Area Protected areas in Region XI is shown in Figure 25.1.7-1.
Source: “Map Showing Protected areas in Region 11”. The Department of Environment and Natural Resources
FIGURE 25.1.7-1 PROTECTED AREAS IN REGION XI
Davao del Norte For Davao del Norte, an only identified protected area is the Samal Island Mangrove Swamp Reserve (Proposed Babak Protected Landscape and Seascape). The protected landscape and coastline forms a part of Davao Gulf. Ten (10) hectares of open area are being considered for rehabilitation. Some reforested small mangrove colonies were observed from the existing national highway in between Tagum and Davao cities. Indigenous people (“IP”) and cultural communities are found mostly in the forest area including Ata, Manobo, Dibabawon, Mandaya, Isamal, Mansaka and Mangguwangan. The IPs’ rights and mandates are protected by the Indigenous People’s Rights Act (IPRA) Law on October 27, 1997. Government programs under the control of DENR shall only be implemented in an ancestral domain if there is consent from majority of the recognized leaders of the community. A total of 102 Certificates of Ancestral and Domain Claims (CADC) covering an area of 65,683 hectares have been awarded to 1,656 beneficiaries (Ata-Manobo Tribe) of Talaingod.
25-16
Davao del Sur Two national parks(NPs), one wildness area, three watershed forest reserves, and one mangrove swamp forests reserve locate in the region XI Mainit hot spring NP and Mt. Apo NP are located in Compostela and in Sta. Cruz area of Davao del Sur respectively. The wildness area is located in Davao gulf and on island of Pandasan. Makagos watershed reservation is in Davao City and other two watershed, Mati and Banganga watersheds are in Davao Orient, off the scope of the proposed HSH route. The mangrove swamp area is laying from Baculin point to Lakud point, Tanuip point to Kinablangan Island, and the island of Samal. None of the mangrove forests are located on the proposed HSH area.
General Santos City One game range and bird sanctuary, three watershed forests, eight national parks, two watershed reserves, and one mangrove forests reserve are located in Region XII. Sarangani Bay is also included in protected areas based on NIPAS law. Although no environmentally protected area is located in the land of General Santos City, several eco-parks, caves, falls, beaches, resorts areas and El Minit Geyser, which is the only the geyser in the Philippines, are located in and around the City. Some Mangrove swam is located along the shoreline of Bula, Baluan, Lbangal and Tambler bagangais. Moreover activities on the land eventually affect status and quality of Sarangani Bay. Integrated Social Forestry Program is undertaken by DENR in Upper labay, Conel, Olympag, San Jose, Sinawal, mabuhay, and Bawung barangays in the City. Other tourists’ destinations are Pedro St., Barangay Lagao, and Sarangani Highlands in Barangay Tambler, a few beaches (Dolores Tropicana Resort, Water Gran Beach Resort, London Beach Resort, Maharlika Beach Resort, T’boli Beach Resort, Rajah Beach Resort and Family Beach Resort) and spring resorts (Lagare Swimming Resort, and Olaer Swimming Resort).
25.2 PRESENT REGIONAL AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT
Similar to this project’s study areas in Luzon and Central Visayas, the Tagum-Davao-GenSan corridor is considered to be a growing economic belt in Mindanao. It connects two of the developing regions in Mindanao, Southern Mindanao (Davao region or Region XI) and Central Mindanao (SOCCSKSARGEN or Region XII). The former is considered as the gateway of Mindanao, while the latter is among the country’s growing regions in terms of regional economic development. Apart from agricultural resources, both regions have mineral resources that are regarded as contributing to the national economy. These define the respective land use patterns of the two regions. Basically, the two regions are contiguous and to some extend complement each other. There were instances in the past that some provinces of Central Mindanao were part of the Southern Mindanao region. Primarily, the Tagum-Davao-GenSan corridor passes through predominantly agricultural (including forest), tourism, highly urbanized Davao City, and industrial areas from Compostela Valley, Davao del Sur to South Cotabato. Similarly, the corridor is adjacent to areas that have potential mineral resources development in both regions. Likewise, the proximity of the corridor to coastal areas is another economic source or stimulus for the two regions. For this note, the corridor can be defined as a growing economic belt in Mindanao. The tourism areas are composed of nature-rich tourism products in the mountain, forest, aquatic and coastal areas. As such, the tourism development of the corridor can be categorized as agri-eco-tourism and coastal tourism that is supported by indigenous cultural heritage. Furthermore, agricultural development is anchored not only on cultivated products but also forest,
25-17
aquatic and marine developments. The corridor is situated where marine fishery is abundant, such as tuna. The corridor is also part of the BIMP-EAGA subregion and as such plays an important role in the subregional economic cooperation among Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines. This is also one positive point that needs to be considered.
25.3 SOCIO-ECONOMIC PROFILE 25.3.1 Demographic Trend
Past demographic trend of Regions in Mindanao is shown in Table 25.3.1-1. Average annual population growth rate of Regions XI and XII, Davao City and Gen. Santos City is shown in Figure 25.3.1-1.
1.77
2.112.20
Davao City
4.71
5.50
2.482.51 2.50
2.502.64
3.45
3.48 3.36
2.22.31
5.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
1.0
19
90
19
95
20
00
20
07
Gen. Santos City
Region XII
Philippines
Region XI
Source: NSO, 2007
FIGURE 25.3.1-1 AVERAGE ANNUAL POPULATION GROWTH RATE OF REGIONS XI, XII, DAVAO CITY AND GENERAL SANTOS CITY
25-18
Land
Are
a19
9019
9520
0020
07(s
q km
)19
9019
9520
0020
0719
90-1
995
1995
-200
020
00-2
007
60,7
03,2
06
68,6
16,5
36
76,5
04,0
77
88,5
74,6
14
340,
575
178
20
1
225
26
0
2.
48
2.
20
2.
11
2,
221,
382
2,56
7,65
1
2,
831,
412
3,23
0,09
4
17
,047
130
15
1
166
18
9
2.
941.
971.
902,
811,
646
3,19
7,05
9
3,
505,
558
3,95
2,43
7
20
,496
137
15
6
171
19
3
2.
601.
861.
732,
933,
743
3,28
8,82
4
3,
676,
163
4,15
6,65
3
20
,357
144
16
2
181
20
4
2.
312.
251.
77C
ompo
stel
a V
alle
y46
6,28
6
520,
110
58
0,24
4
637,
366
4,
480
10
4
116
13
0
142
2.21
2.21
1.35
Dav
ao (D
avao
del
Nor
te)
590,
015
67
1,33
3
743,
811
84
7,44
0
3,42
7
172
19
6
217
24
7
2.
622.
071.
88D
avao
del
Sur
632,
798
67
7,06
9
758,
801
82
2,40
6
6,77
1
93
10
0
112
12
1
1.
362.
311.
16D
avao
Orie
ntal
394,
697
41
3,47
2
446,
191
48
6,10
4
5,68
0
69
73
79
86
0.
931.
531.
23D
avao
City
849,
947
1,
006,
840
1,14
7,11
6
1,
363,
337
2,21
1
384
45
5
519
61
7
3.
452.
642.
502,
399,
953
2,84
6,96
6
3,
222,
169
3,82
9,08
1
22
,513
107
12
6
143
17
0
3.
482.
512.
50C
otab
ato(
Nor
th C
otab
ato)
763,
995
86
2,66
6
958,
643
1,
121,
974
9,00
9
85
96
106
12
5
2.
462.
132.
27Sa
rang
gani
283,
141
36
7,00
6
410,
622
47
5,51
4
3,60
1
79
10
2
114
13
2
5.
332.
272.
12So
uth
Cot
abat
o53
9,45
8
621,
155
69
0,72
8
767,
254
4,
429
12
2
140
15
6
173
2.86
2.15
1.51
Sulta
n K
udar
at43
5,90
5
522,
187
58
6,50
5
675,
644
5,
298
82
99
11
1
128
3.68
2.35
2.04
Cot
abat
o C
ity12
7,06
5
146,
779
16
3,84
9
259,
153
17
6
72
2
834
93
1
1,47
2
2.93
2.22
6.77
Gen
. San
tos C
ity25
0,38
9
327,
173
41
1,82
2
529,
542
42
3
59
2
773
97
4
1,25
2
5.50
4.71
3.66
1,76
4,29
7
1,
942,
687
2,09
5,36
7
2,
293,
480
21,4
78
82
90
98
107
1.95
1.52
1.30
2,07
5,23
8
2,
362,
300
2,80
3,04
5
4,
120,
795
33,5
11
62
70
84
123
2.63
3.48
5.66
14,2
06,2
59
16,2
05,4
87
18,1
33,7
14
21,5
82,5
40
135,
403
662
75
6
842
98
6
Phili
ppin
es
AR
MM
Min
adan
ao T
otal
9 Z
ambo
anga
Pen
insu
la10
Nor
ther
n M
inda
nao
11 D
avao
12 S
occs
ksar
gen
13 C
AR
AG
A
TA
BL
E 2
5.3.
1-1
PA
ST D
EM
OG
RA
PHIC
TR
EN
D:
MIN
DA
NA
O
Reg
ion
Prov
ince
Act
ual P
opul
atio
nD
ensi
ty (p
erso
ns/s
q km
)Pa
st A
nnua
l PG
R
25-19
Region XI ● Population in 2007 was 4.2 million. ● Population density was 2.04 persons/ha. which is lower than the national average. ● Population growth rate has been lower than the national average for the period from 2000 to
2007. Davao City ● Population reached to 1.4 million in 2007. ● Population density was 6.17 persons/ha. which is higher by about 2.4 times than the national
average. ● Population growth rate has been higher than the national average due to in-migration of
people to the city. Region XII ● Population reached to 3.8 million in 2007. ● Population density was 1.70 persons/ha. in 2007 which is less than the national average. ● Higher population growth rate than that of the country was recorded since 1990 to 2007. Gen. Santos City ● Population of the city in 2007 was 0.5 million. ● Population density was higher than the national average by about 4.8 times. ● Quite high population growth rate was recorded since 1990 to 2007. In-migration of people
to the city has been continuing. 25.3.2 Economic Trend
GDP and GRDP of Region XI and XII and the industrial structure and growth rate is shown in Table 25.3.2-1 and 25.3.2-2, respectively. Region’s GRDP and sectoral growth rate is shown in Figure 25.3.2-1 to 25.3.2-4.
25-20
2003
204
2005
2006
2007
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
4,31
6.4
4,87
1.6
5,44
4.0
6,03
2.8
6,64
8.2
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Regi
on X
I18
7.3
215.
424
0.2
263.
729
5.4
4.3%
4.4%
4.4%
4.4%
4.4%
Regi
on X
II13
9.2
160.
717
4.9
195.
522
0.3
3.2%
3.3%
3.2%
3.2%
3.3%
Sub-
tota
l32
6.5
376.
141
5.1
459.
251
5.7
7.5%
7.7%
7.6%
7.6%
7.7%
SOU
RCE:
200
8 Ph
ilipp
ine
Stat
istic
al Y
earb
ook 2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
49.9
53.3
55.5
57.9
61.8
(100
%)
(100
%)
(100
%)
(100
%)
(100
%)
Prim
ary
13.9
14.9
15.2
15.7
16.0
Sect
or(2
7.9%
)(2
8.0%
)(2
7.4%
)(2
7.1%
)(2
5.9%
)Se
cond
ary
15.8
16.6
17.4
17.9
20.1
Sect
or(3
1.7%
)(3
1.1%
)(3
1.4%
)(3
0.9%
)(3
2.5%
)Te
rtiar
y20
.221
.822
.824
.225
.7Se
ctor
(40.
5%)
(40.
9%)
(41.
1%)
(41.
8%)
(41.
6%)
41.0
43.4
44.4
47.5
51.4
(100
%)
(100
%)
(100
%)
(100
%)
(100
%)
Prim
ary
16.8
17.9
17.5
18.6
20.0
Sect
or(4
1.0%
)(4
1.2%
)(3
9.4%
)(3
9.2%
)(3
9.1%
)Se
cond
ary
13.7
14.6
15.4
16.7
18.7
Sect
or(3
3.4%
)(3
3.6%
)(3
4.7%
)(3
5.2%
)(3
6.4%
)Te
rtiar
y10
.410
.911
.512
.112
.7Se
ctor
(25.
4%)
(25.
1%)
(25.
9%)
(25.
5%)
(24.
7%)
TA
BL
E 2
5.3.
2-1
GD
P A
ND
GR
DP
: R
EG
ION
XI
AN
D R
EG
ION
XII
TA
BL
E 2
5.3.
2-2
IN
DU
STR
IAL
ST
RU
CT
UR
E A
ND
GR
OW
TH
RA
TE
11.6
0
4.74
4.97
5.79
5.13
4.64
4.89
8.92
8.36
4.97
6.13
-2.2
96.
427.
87
2.16
6.95
Reg
ion
XII
Tota
l10
.50
6.07
23.4
06.
82
11.9
0
6.08
7.53
4.50
6.43
5.91
5.04
2.78
7.20
2.58
3.02
2.06
4.13
4.30
GDP
& G
RDP
in B
illio
n Pe
sos
at C
urre
nt P
rice
Regi
onal
Sha
re (%
)
Reg
ion
XI
Tota
l6.
046.
63
6.62
5.00
6.73
5.48
Regi
onSe
ctor
Sect
oral
GRD
P (B
illio
n Pe
sos
at C
onst
ant P
rice)
Sect
oral
Eco
nom
ic G
row
th R
ate
GDP
GRD
P
25-21
6.95
2.16
6.07
10.5
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
-1%
-2%
-3%
-5%
-4%
0%
4.30
4.95
6.386.63
4.13
6.04
4.93
5.40
7.18
6.73
8.36
Philippines
Region XIRegion XII
3.70
6.42
2.58
5.184.97
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
-1%
-2%
-3%
-5%
-4%
0%
3.02
-2.29
6.13
7.20
2.00
5.48
3.76
4.92
2.06
7.87
Philippines
Region XIRegion XII
FIGURE 25.3.2-1 GDP AND GRDP (REGIONS XI & XII) GROWTH RATE
FIGURE 25.3.2-2 PRIMARY SECTOR GROWTH RATE (REGIONS XI & XII)
6.476.12
5.135.79
7.53
4.74
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
-1%
-2%
-3%
-5%
-4%
0%
6.437.00
4.97
7.73
4.50
6.08
4.64
5.91
8.13
Philippines
Region XIRegion XII
FIGURE 25.3.2-3 SECONDARY SECTOR GROWTH RATE (REGIONS XI & XII)
FIGURE 25.3.2-4 TERTIARY SECTOR GROWTH RATE (REGIONS XI & XII)
Source: Data of all above figures were taken from NSCB, 2008
11.611.9
5.045.21
5.00
4.00
6.62
4.81
8.92
23.4
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
-1%
-2%
-3%
-5%
-4%
0%
2.78
4.89
6.82
3.78
7.09
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
17%
18%
19%
20%
21%
22%
23%
24%
Philippines
Region XIRegion XII
25-22
Region XI ● Region XI shares about 4.4% of the country’s economic output. ● Region’s economic growth followed more or less the country’s performance with slightly
lower level than the country. ● Industrial structure of the Region is as follows; Primary Sector - - - - - - - - - - 26% Secondary Sector - - - - - - - - - - 32% Tertiary Sector - - - - - - - - - - 42% ● Primary sector economic growth recorded higher level than the country in 2003, 2004, and
2005, but recorded lower level in recent 2 years (2006 and 2007). ● Secondary sector growth rates showed decreasing trend from 2003 to 2006, but drastically
recovered in 2007 and recorded much higher growth rate the country in 2007. ● Tertiary sector made steady growth from 2003 to 2007, but with lower level than the country. Region XII ● Region XII’s economic output shares about 3.3% of the country. ● Region XII made higher economic growth than the country, except year 2005. ● Industrial structure of the Region is as follows; Primary Sector - - - - - - - - - - 39% Secondary Sector - - - - - - - - - - 36% Tertiary Sector - - - - - - - - - - 25% ● Primary sector recorded negative growth in 2005, however, it made quite high growth in
other years. ● Secondary sector made quite high growth from 2003 to 2007. ● Tertiary sector’s growth was steady from 2003 to 2007, however, growth rate was lower than
the country. 25.3.3 Employment
(1) Employed Persons by Major Industrial Group Employed persons by major industrial group is shown in Table 25.3.3-1 and summarized as shown in Table 25.3.3-2.
25-23
TABLE 25.3.3-1 EMPLOYED PERSONS BY MAJOR INDUSTRY: MINDANAO
Year 2007 Year 2005
Major Industry Philippines Region XI
Region XII Philippines Region
XI Region
XII Industry 33,672 1,686 1,477 32,875 1,655 1,511 Agriculture, Hunting
and Forestry 10,768 721 738 10,763 685 755
Fishing 1,393 41 62 1,408 39 64 Sub - Total (Primary) 12,161 762 800 12,171 724 819 Mining and Quarrying 135 36 3 116 21 4 Manufacturing 3,060 95 80 3,043 95 84 Electricity, Gas and
Water 141 4 1 108 7 6
Construction 1,740 67 29 1,616 62 33 Sub - Total (Secondary) 5,076 202 113 4,883 185 127
Wholesale and Retail, Repair of Motor Vehicles, *
6,176 301 237 6,215 330 233
Hotel and Restaurants 907 37 24 871 35 19 Transport, Storage and
Communication 2,600 102 93 2,471 95 83
Financial Intermediation 384 17 11 337 16 9
Real Estate, Renting and Business Activities 881 27 15 736 25 28
Public Administration & Defense, Compulsory Social Security
1,569 69 72 1,494 72 64
Education 1,043 40 37 989 50 44 Health & Social Work 396 18 9 362 11 12 Other Community,
Social & Personal Service Activities
779 37 22 781 35 28
Private Household With Employed Persons 1,699 74 47 1,561 74 44
Extraterritorial Organizations & Bodies 3 1 - 3 1 -
Sub - Total (Tertiary) 16,437 723 567 15,820 744 564 Source: National Statistics Office, 2008
25-24
TABLE25.3.3-2 SUMMARY OF EMPLOYED PERSONS BY MAJOR INDUSTRIAL GROUP
Unit: 1,000 persons Philippines Region XI Region XII 2005 2007 2005 2007 2005 2007
Primary Sector 12,171 (1.00)
12,161 (1.00)
724 (1.00)
762 (1.05)
819 (1.00)
800 (0.98)
Secondary Sector
4,883 (1.00)
5,076 (1.04)
185 (1.00)
202 (1.09)
127 (1.00)
113 (0.89)
Tertiary Sector 15,820 (1.00)
16,437 (1.04)
723 (1.00)
744 (1.03)
564 (1.00)
567 (1.00)
Total 32,875 (1.00)
33,672 (1.02)
1,655 (1.00)
1,686 (1.02)
1,511 (1.00)
1,477 (0.98)
Source: National Statistics Office
(2) Number of Establishments
Table 25.3.3-3 shows number of establishments and number of employed persons at establishments.
TABLE 25.3.3-3 NUMBER OF EMPLOYMENTS AND ESTABLISHMENTS BY REGION/PROVINCE: MINDANAO
2005 2006 2007 2005 2006 2007PHILIPPINES 782,980 783,065 783,869 5,479,297 4,984,883 5,187,793 9 ZAMBOANGA PENINSULA 25,277 25,278 25,281 112,334 90,746 90,965 10 NORTHERN MINDANAO 29,419 29,403 29,378 174,557 156,560 157,755 11 DAVAO REGION 36,704 36,708 36,732 247,294 224,083 232,736 DAVAO DEL NORTE 6,821 6,820 6,822 56,981 50,766 50,135 DAVAO DEL SUR 23,751 23,754 23,771 164,911 152,080 159,843 DAVAO ORIENTAL 2,891 2,892 2,893 11,323 9,106 8,993 COMPOSTELA VALLEY 3,241 3,242 3,246 14,079 12,131 13,765 12 SOCCSKSARGEN 26,625 26,610 26,622 156,526 139,101 150,997 NORTH COTABATO 8,287 8,281 8,281 32,176 27,128 24,616 SOUTH COTABATO 10,889 10,879 10,889 91,636 84,504 98,984 SULTAN KUDARAT 3,826 3,825 3,824 15,072 12,124 12,185 SARANGANI 2,034 2,036 2,037 8,506 7,234 7,157 MAGUINDANAO (Cotabato City) 1,589 1,589 1,591 9,136 8,111 8,055 13 CARAGA 13,560 13,549 13,558 66,985 57,748 59,244 AUTONOMOUS REGION IN MUSLIM MINDANAO 8,280 8,280 8,274 36,363 29,500 27,132 MINDANAO TOTAL 826,829 826,910 827,712 5,662,175 5,134,263 5,332,513 Source :
NATIONAL STATISTICS OFFICEIndustry and Trade Statistics DepartmentStatistical Sampling and Operations Division2000 List of Establishments
REGION/PROVINCENo. of Establishments No. of Employments
25.3.4 Per Capita GDP and GRDP
Per capita GDP and GRDP at current price and at constant price is shown in Table 25.3.4-1 and 25.3.4-2, respectively.
25-25
TABLE 25.3.4-1 PER CAPITA GRDP IN CURRENT PRICE: 2003 – 2007 unit: Peso
Region 2003 2004 2005 2006 200752,718 58,149 63,556 69,365 74,947 1.00
NCR National Capital Region 148,743 165,814 184,758 205,117 223,332 2.98CAR Cordillera Administrative 66,749 71,247 75,556 82,523 85,319 1.14Region I Ilocos 27,943 30,725 33,405 35,996 38,063 0.51Region II Cagayan Valley 26,829 30,474 30,369 33,799 36,605 0.49Region III Central Luzon 39,407 42,256 45,789 49,469 52,351 0.70Region IV-A CALABARZON 50,997 55,213 59,320 63,640 67,466 0.90Region IV-B MIMAROPA 36,538 38,710 43,406 45,420 49,331 0.66Region V Bicol 21,991 24,277 26,316 27,983 31,314 0.42Region VI Western Visayas 42,556 46,875 51,872 56,523 61,382 0.82Region VII Central Visayas 48,573 54,008 59,272 64,261 69,797 0.93Region VIII Eastern Visayas 25,743 29,225 31,223 33,480 33,645 0.45Region IX Zamboanga Peninsula 31,946 34,678 38,386 41,899 45,864 0.61Region X Northern Mindanao 52,436 58,329 62,850 69,197 75,883 1.01Region XI Davao Region 48,176 54,419 59,971 64,520 71,100 0.95Region XII SOCCSKSARGEN 39,960 45,019 47,826 52,384 57,708 0.77Region XIII Caraga 12,193 14,050 15,161 32,493 40,012 0.53ARMM Muslim Mindanao 24,531 26,449 28,194 16,303 16,829 0.22Source: National Statistical Coordination Board.
Philippines
TABLE 25.3.4-2 PER CAPITA GRDP IN CONSTANT PRICE: 2003 - 2007 unit: Peso
Region Growth Rate2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2003-200713,252 13,789 14,186 14,681 15,429 3.87
NCR National Capital Region 31,730 33,867 35,742 37,856 40,252 6.13CAR Cordillera Administrative 17,848 18,111 17,919 18,208 19,120 1.74Region I Ilocos 7,209 7,442 7,727 7,988 8,286 3.54Region II Cagayan Valley 7,590 8,228 7,649 8,122 8,511 2.91Region III Central Luzon 11,092 11,054 11,142 11,448 11,904 1.78Region IV-A CALABARZON 13,853 14,068 14,159 14,439 14,891 1.82Region IV-B MIMAROPA 12,120 12,284 12,735 12,603 13,431 2.60Region V Bicol 6,214 6,442 6,632 6,691 7,067 3.27Region VI Western Visayas 11,699 12,347 12,825 13,100 13,842 4.29Region VII Central Visayas 12,419 13,010 13,518 13,917 14,829 4.54Region VIII Eastern Visayas 6,362 6,555 6,678 6,846 6,922 2.13Region IX Zamboanga Peninsula 9,482 9,672 10,159 10,147 10,679 3.02Region X Northern Mindanao 13,904 14,587 14,829 15,651 16,537 4.43Region XI Davao Region 12,842 13,455 13,892 14,157 14,866 3.73Region XII SOCCSKSARGEN 11,112 11,487 11,477 11,982 12,505 3.00Region XIII Caraga 6,516 6,589 6,690 6,994 7,452 3.41ARMM Muslim Mindanao 3,290 3,382 3,433 3,479 3,582 2.15Source: National Statistical Coordination Board.
Per Capita GRDP
Philippines
Per capita GRDP of Region XI and Region XII is lower than the national average. Growth rate of per capita GRDP of Region XI and Region XII is also lower than that of the country.
CHAPTER 26
PRESENT TRAFFIC CONDITIONS OF TDG
26-1
CHAPTER 26 PRESENT TRAFFIC CONDITIONS OF TDG
26.1 DISTRIBUTION OF TRAFFIC GENERATION SOURCES
26.1.1 Distribution of Population
Figure 26.1.1-1 reflects the distribution of population of the Tagum-Davao-Gen. Santos City Corridor. Davao city is the most populated city in the study area followed by General Santos city and then by Tagum City. In between these major urban centers are small and medium cities with population of between 50,000 to 200,000.
FIGURE 26.1.1-1 DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION
26-2
26.1.2 Major Transport Facilities
(1) International Ports There are two (2) international ports within the study area, namely Davao (or Sasa) Port and Gen. Santos Port. Port statistics are shown in Table 26.1.2-1 and graphically presented in Figure 26.1.2-1 to 26.1.2-3.
TABLE 26.1.2-1 PORT STATISTICS (2007) Davao Port Gen. Santos Port
Domestic 538 1,150 Foreign 373 410 No. of Ship calls Total 911 1,560 Domestic 1,655 501 Foreign 1,652 134 Cargo Traffic
(1,000 M. T.) Total 3,307 635
No. of Passengers (1,000) 1,557 119 Source: Port Interview by JICA Study Team
FIGURE 26.1.2-1 NUMBER OF SHIP
CALLS
FIGURE 26.1.2-2 CARGO TRAFFIC
Gen. Santos Port
Legends: 500 Domestic Foreign
Davao Port
Legends: 1,000(‘000 MT) Domestic ForeignGen. Santos Port
Davao Port
26-3
FIGURE 26.1.2-3 NUMBER OF
PASSENGERS
(2) Airports
There are two (2) major airports within the Study Area, namely Davao International Airport and Gen. Santos Airport. Airport statistics are shown in Table 26.1.2-2 and graphically shown in Figures 26.1.2-4 to 26.1.2-6.
TABLE 26.1.2-2 AIRPORT STATISTICS (2007) Davao International
Airport Gen. Santos
Airport Domestic 11,314 2,326 Foreign 1,126 - No. of Flights Total 12,440 2,326 Domestic 1,480 309 Foreign 54 - No. of Passengers
(in 1,000) Total 1,534 309 Domestic 45,536 10,014 Foreign - - Cargo Traffic
(M.T.) Total 45,536 10,014
Source: Airport Interview by JICA Study Team
Legend: 0.5 Million Domestic
Davao Port
Gen. Santos Port
26-4
FIGURE 26.1.2-4 NUMBER OF FLIGHTS FIGURE 26.1.2-5 NUMBER
OF PASSENGERS
FIGURE 26.1.2-6 CARGO T RAFFIC
Legend: 5 (‘000 MT) Domestic
Davao Airport
Gen. Santos Airport
Legends: 1 Million Domestic Foreign
Davao Airport
Gen. Santos Airport
Davao Airport
Gen. Santos Airport
Legends: 5,000 Domestic Foreign
26-5
26.1.3 Location of Economic Zones, Major Shopping Malls, Interest Spots Figure 26.1.3-1 shows the distribution of economic zone / industrial parks in the Tagum-Davao-Gen. Santos City corridor based on the records of Philippine Economic Zone Authority (PEZA). Of the four (4) ecozones in Davao, three ecozones are related to Information Technology (I.T.) and their sizes are relatively small when compared to that located in Luzon’s (for instance, land area of Damosa I.T. Parks is just 22,983 sq. m.). Shopping malls, beaches and other interest spots were also plotted as shown in Figure 26.1.3-2. As shown in the figure, the places of interest are located mostly in and around Davao City.
Source: Prepared by the Study Team based on the data of Philippine Economic Zone Authority (PEZA), 2008
FIGURE 26.1.3-1 ECONOMIC ZONES / INDUSTRIAL PARKS
Source: Various maps and Department of Tourism (DOT) dataFIGURE 26.1.3-2 DISTRIBUTION OF
INTEREST SPOTS
26-6
26.2 ROAD TRAFFIC CONDITIONS 26.2.1 Road Conditions
The number of lanes of the existing Tagum-Davao-Gen. Santos road corridor is shown in Figure 26.2.1-1. As seen in the Figure, the corridor has basically 2-lanes with some sections having four (4) lanes in the city and town centers.
Source: DPWH Atlas, 2007
FIGURE 26.2.1-1 NUMBER OF LANES OF TAGUM-DAVAO- GEN. SANTOS CORRIDOR
26-7
26.2.2 Traffic Conditions
(1) Traffic Volume The traffic volume on the Tagum – Davao – Digos – Gen. Santos corridor is presented in Figure 26.2.2-1. Taking into account traffic between cities, high vehicle volumes are observed in the following sections: Carmen – Panabo, Panabo – Davao City and Davao City – Digos. Traffic volume inside Davao City is observed to be high especially at the Quirino Avenue where local traffic merges with regional traffic coming from as far as Cotabato City and General Santos City. Traffic at the diversion road is quite significant also almost as high as the traffic registered at MacArthur Highway which runs parallel to the diversion road. City traffic of General Santos on the hand is rather low compared to that in Davao City. City streets with significant traffic are: Pioneer Avenue, P. Acharon Boulevard, Davao – Gen. Santos City road, and Gen. Santos – Cotabato City road.
(2) Hourly Variation of Traffic The hourly variation of traffic is available from Figure 26.2.2-2 to Figure 26.2.2-4 (see Annex 26.1 for hourly traffic variation of other traffic survey stations). Traffic in the Surigao – Davao road is observed to peak at 8AM and considerable traffic is still observed at 8PM as shown in Figure 26.2.2-2. Traffic in the Davao – Gen. Santos road and Gen. Santos – Cotabato corridors, on the other hand, have their peak hour starts earlier at 7AM and sharp decline of traffic is observed as early as 5PM. Although both are inter-city traffics, the difference in traffic characteristics might have to do with the peace and order in the area. Perhaps motorists leaving from Davao to northern towns are quite comfortable traveling in the evening due to relatively peaceful environment. On the other hand, travelers from Davao City to Gen. Santos City and from Gen. Santos to Cotabato City are trying to avoid night time journey for security reasons. Hourly variation of traffic to city traffic of Davao is available in Annex 26.1. Traffic at the MacArthur Highway has almost the same volume in both directions and the high volume of traffic is almost continuous throughout the daytime. The same traffic characteristics are observed on the traffic recorded in the city of Gen. Santos (see Annex 26.1 for the graph).
(3) Travel Time Observed travel speed is along the Tagum – Davao – Digos corridor is depicted in Figure 26.2.2-5. Travel speed inside Davao City on the other hand is presented in Figure 26.2.2-6 while Figure 26.2.2-7 shows travel speed in Gen. Santos City. Details on each route are discussed below:
Route 1 – Travel speed in this route is rather good except for the sections approaching the diversion road of Davao City and the inside the Tagum city.
Route 2 – There is no major interruption to vehicular movements in this route except those motorists entering Davao City where they are expected to experience traffic congestions at the section before the diversion road.
Route 3 – Congested section in this route is between Gabantian Road and D. Quiniones Road where travel speed is expected to just higher than 20 km/hr.
Route 4 – This is a very congested route where slow vehicular movement is experienced from the approach section of the diversion road until Ecoland drive. Except to the Roxas Avenue – Agdavo Avenue Section, all other sections have travel speed of between 20 km/hr to 30 km/hr.
Route 5 – This is the most congested route where motorists’ movement is expected to be interrupted from Agdao Ave. to Ma-a road.
Route 6 – Generally, this route has no major traffic problem except to the section of Cahisot – Bula Amao road of the P. Acharon Boulevard.
26-8
FIGURE 26.2.2-1 TRAFFIC VOLUME AT TAGUM-DAVAO-DIGOS-GEN.
SANTOS CORRIDOR
26-9
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
06:0
0-07
:00
07:0
0-08
:00
08:0
0-09
:00
09:0
0-10
:00
10:0
0-11
:00
11:0
0-12
:00
12:0
0-13
:00
13:0
0-14
:00
14:0
0-15
:00
15:0
0-16
:00
16:0
0-17
:00
17:0
0-18
:00
18:0
0-19
:00
19:0
0-20
:00
20:0
0-21
:00
21:0
0-22
:00
22:0
0-23
:00
23:0
0-24
:00
24:0
0-1:
00
1:00
-2:0
0
2:00
-3:0
0
3:00
-4:0
0
4:00
-5:0
0
5:00
-6:0
0
Davao City to Panabo
Panabo to Davao City
Total
FIGURE 26.2.2-2 HOURLY TRAFFIC VARIATION OF
DAVAO - SURIGAO ROAD
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
06:0
0-07
:00
07:0
0-08
:00
08:0
0-09
:00
09:0
0-10
:00
10:0
0-11
:00
11:0
0-12
:00
12:0
0-13
:00
13:0
0-14
:00
14:0
0-15
:00
15:0
0-16
:00
16:0
0-17
:00
17:0
0-18
:00
18:0
0-19
:00
19:0
0-20
:00
20:0
0-21
:00
21:0
0-22
:00
22:0
0-23
:00
23:0
0-24
:00
24:0
0-1:
00
1:00
-2:0
0
2:00
-3:0
0
3:00
-4:0
0
4:00
-5:0
0
5:00
-6:0
0
Malungon to Gen. Santos
Gen. Santos to Malungon
Total
FIGURE 26.2.2-3 HOURLY TRAFFIC VARIATION OF
DAVAO-GEN. SANTOS ROAD
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
06:0
0-07
:00
07:0
0-08
:00
08:0
0-09
:00
09:0
0-10
:00
10:0
0-11
:00
11:0
0-12
:00
12:0
0-13
:00
13:0
0-14
:00
14:0
0-15
:00
15:0
0-16
:00
16:0
0-17
:00
17:0
0-18
:00
18:0
0-19
:00
19:0
0-20
:00
20:0
0-21
:00
21:0
0-22
:00
22:0
0-23
:00
23:0
0-24
:00
24:0
0-1:
00
1:00
-2:0
0
2:00
-3:0
0
3:00
-4:0
0
4:00
-5:0
0
5:00
-6:0
0
Gen. Santos to Polomolok
Polomolok to Gen. Santos
Total
4
FIGURE 26.2.2-4 HOURLY TRAFFIC VARIATION OF
GEN. SANTOS - COTABATO ROAD
26-10
30km ~ 40km/hrOver 40km/hr
L E G E N D
Less than 20km/hr
20km ~ 30km/hr
Digos ‐ Cotabato Road
Diversion Road
Diversion Road
Tagum ‐ Mawab Boundary
Route 1
Route 2
FIGURE 26.2.2-5 TRAVEL SPEED ON TAGUM – DAVAO – DIGOS CORRIDOR
26-11
Maharlika Highway Junction
Airport Exit
Gabantian Road
D. Quiniones Rod
Ma‐a Rod
Shrine Hills Entrance
Airport Road
MacArthur ‐ Maharlika
MacArthur ‐ Maharlika
Agdao Ave.
Magsaysay Ave.
Roxas Ave.
Ecoland DriveMalina ‐ Aplaya Road
Agdao Ave.
JP Laurel Ave.
Ma‐a Road
30km ~ 40km/hrOver 40km/hr
L E G E N D
Less than 20km/hr
20km ~ 30km/hr
Route 3
Route 4Route 5
FIGURE 26.2.2-6 TRAVEL SPEED IN DAVAO CITY
26-12
Route 6
30km ~ 40km/hrOver 40km/hr
L E G E N D
Less than 20km/hr
20km ~ 30km/hr
FIGURE 26.2.2-7 TRAVEL SPEED IN GEN. SANTOS CITY
(4) Vehicle Composition
The shares of each vehicle type are shown in Figure 26.2.2-8 and Figure 26.2.2-9. Number of traffic sharply increases at the urban center as observed from the two figures. Traffic recorded at the border between Carmen and Tagum is less than 10,000 vehicles but this number increases to almost double (18,944) at the center of the municipality. Most of the traffic, however, is local traffic (tricycles) which has a share of 44%. The same can be said of Figure 26.2.2-16 where traffic at the border of Carmen and Tagum is just 9,511 vehicles, but this number increases to almost 25,000 at the urban center of Tagum City. Again, most of the traffic registered is local traffic (tricycles) which accounted for 62% to the total traffic. The accumulation of a large volume of traffic on the national road at the urban center creates a chaos where local and through traffic is competing for road space. This seriously affects the movement of vehicles especially the through traffic that intends to reach Davao City. Improving the vehicle flow at the urban center requires serious efforts such as enhancement of traffic signals and perhaps even construction of bypass roads to separate regional traffic (or through traffic) from the local traffic.
26-13
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
Carmen to Davao City Inside Carmen Carmen to Tagum
No.
of V
ehic
les
Tricycle
Truck
Bus
Jeepney
Car
FIGURE 26.2.2-8 TRAFFIC COMPOSITION AT REGIONAL URBAN CENTERS
(CARMEN): PAN PHILIPPINE HIGHWAY - (BUTUAN – DAVAO ROAD)
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Carmen to Tagum Inside Tagum City Tagum to Maw ab
No.
of V
ehic
les
Tricycle
Truck
Bus
Jeepney
Car
FIGURE 26.2.2-9 TRAFFIC COMPOSITION AT REGIONAL URBAN CENTERS (TAGUM CITY): PAN PHILIPPINE HIGHWAY - (BUTUAN – DAVAO ROAD)
26-14
Total; 1384 Trucks
26.3 FREIGHT MOVEMENT AND LOGISTICS CORRIDORS 26.3.1 Port/Airport Related Freight Movement
The truck OD survey was carried-out at Davao (Sasa) Port, Gen. Santos Port, Davao International Airport and Gen. Santos Airport. Desire line maps of trucks related to ports/Airports were prepared as shown in Figure 26.3.1-1 (see Annex 26.2 for individual desire line of port and airport). ● Number of trucks related to ports/airports is still small. ● Both ports in Davao City and Gen. Santos City have rather limited service areas. ● Davao International Airport has wide service areas. ● Gen. Santos Airport has very limited service area.
FIGURE 26.3.1-1 PORT/AIRPORT RELATED
TRUCK MOVEMENTS
26-15
26.3.2 Logistic Corridors of Manufacturing Companies
Officials of manufacturing companies were interviewed to obtain information on the source of their raw materials as well as destination of their final products. Through this survey, routes utilize by these companies were identified. Results of an interviewed company are shown in Figures 26.3.2-1 (see Annex 26-3 for routes of other manufacturing companies). Based on the said interview, logistics corridors are as follows; ● Pan Philippine Highway (Davao-Butuan) ● Davao – Cagayan de Oro Road ● Davao – Digos – Cotabato Road ● Davao – Digos – Gen. Santos Road
26.3.3 Comments on Problems Made by Manufacturing Companies, Trucking / Logistics Companies The problems identified by interviewed manufacturing companies and trucking and logistics companies related to transportation of their cargoes are summarized below: Manufacturing Companies
Frequent delayed arrival of vessels Late delivery to clients due to poor road condition, traffic congestion, and poor traffic
regulations Parked vehicles on road shoulders (on-street parking) is causing traffic congestion
Trucking Companies
There is heavy traffic congestion on highways passing public markets. Relocation of these markets is necessary.
National road from Digos City to General Santos is in poor condition and with potholes. These cause road accidents.
Plenty of potholes along Mabini Street and other city roads of Davao City which creates traffic congestion
There is also heavy traffic congestion between Paracan and Tibungco in Davao City which affect transportation of cargoes
Long waiting time of trucks inside the port due to frequent delayed arrival of vessels Heavy congestion is experienced at the port’s access road during morning and afternoon rush
hours
26-16
FIGURE 26.3.2-1 (24-25) MANUFACTURING COMPANY – ROUTES AND DESTINATION OF PRODUCTS
LEGEND
Incoming to Company
Outgoing from Company
Manufacturing Company
Sea Port
24-25 MANUFACTURING
PRODUCT
Detergent Powder
& Liquid, Soaps,
Fabric Softener,
Food Supplement OUTPUT 13 mt/mo
75% of Products Shipped via Sasa
AGUSAN/ SURIGAO
DAVAO
NORTH COTABATO
SOUTH COTABATO
DAVAO SUR
GEN. SANTOS
BUKIDNON/ MISAMIS
COMPOSTELA VALLEY
CHAPTER 27
FUTURE SOCIO-ECONOMIC FRAMEWORK AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT SCENARIO
OF TDG
27-1
CHAPTER 27 FUTURE SOCIO-ECONOMIC FRAMEWORK
AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT SCENARIO OF TDG 27.1 FUTURE SOCIO-ECONOMIC FRAMEWORK 27.1.1 Future Population
The same methodology as described in Section 10.1.1 was adopted. Population growth rate adopted for Regions XI and XII is shown in Figure 27.1.1-1 and 27.1.1-2, respectively. Projected population is shown in Table 27.1.1-1.
TABLE 27.1.1-1 POPULATION PROJECTION: MINDANAO (thousands)
2009 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2030/2009
92,171 94,024 103,201 112,276 121,013 129,213 1.409 Zamboanga Peninsula 3,354 3,418 3,746 4,095 4,466 4,859 1.4510 Northern Mindanao 4,089 4,159 4,522 4,909 5,304 5,693 1.3911 Davao 4,303 4,378 4,765 5,169 5,566 5,971 1.39
Compostela Valley 655 664 709 757 807 859 1.31Davao (Davao del Norte) 879 895 980 1,072 1,172 1,279 1.46Davao del Sur 841 851 900 951 1,004 1,059 1.26Davao Oriental 498 504 536 569 604 641 1.29Davao City 1,430 1,464 1,640 1,820 1,980 2,133 1.49
12 Soccsksargen 4,013 4,109 4,613 5,162 5,774 6,417 1.60Cotabato(North Cotabato) 1,173 1,199 1,337 1,487 1,650 1,826 1.56Saranggani 496 506 562 622 689 762 1.54
South Cotabato 790 802 864 930 1,000 1,075 1.36Sultan Kudarat 703 717 791 873 962 1,060 1.51Cotabato City 283 296 360 427 495 561 1.98Gen. Santos City 568 589 699 823 977 1,133 1.99
13 CARAGA 2,351 2,381 2,527 2,676 2,826 2,977 1.27ARMM 4,543 4,770 4,770 4,770 4,770 4,770 1.05Source: JICA Study Team.
Population Projection
Philippines
Region/Province
27-2
FIGURE 27.1.1-1 POPULATION GROWTH RATE PROJECTION: REGION XI
FIGURE 27.1.1-2 POPULATION GROWTH RATE PROJECTION: REGION XII
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0
Population Projection (by NSO on YR 2000 base figure)Proposed Population Projection (adjustment based on YR 2007 census figure applying the same NSO growth rate)
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR REGION XII
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
2007
(0.11)
2.45
2.37
2.39
2.22
2.00
1.77
1.56
2.26
2.09
1.87
1.64
1.43
(0.17)
(0.22)
(0.23)
(0.21)
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0
Population Projection (by NSO on YR 2000 base figure)Proposed Population Projection (adjustment based on YR 2007 census figure applying the same NSO growth rate)
POPULATION PROJECTION FOR REGION XI
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
2007
(0.03)
1.77
1.68
1.74
1.63
1.47
1.23
1.00
1.651.54
1.38
1.14
0.91
(0.11)
(0.16)
(0.20)
(0.22)
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27.1.2 Economic Framework Discussed in Section 10.1.2 of Chapter 10.
27.1.3 Employment at Job Site The same methodology as described in Section 10.1.3 of Chapter 10 was adopted. Projected employment at job site is shown in Table 27.1.3-1.
TABLE 27.1.3-1 PROJECTED EMPLOYMENT AT JOB SITE: MINDANAO
2009 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030PHILIPPINES 22,881 23,443 26,524 29,645 32,730 35,696 1.56 9 ZAMBOANGA PENINSULA 569 575 605 636 662 682 1.20 10 NORTHERN MINDANAO 1,007 1,034 1,251 1,481 1,698 1,895 1.88 11 DAVAO REGION 968 998 1,197 1,368 1,616 1,819 1.88 DAVAO DEL NORTE 215 221 263 300 352 395 1.84 DAVAO DEL SUR 652 671 808 927 1,099 1,240 1.90 DAVAO ORIENTAL 40 41 49 55 65 73 1.83 COMPOSTELA VALLEY 62 64 77 86 100 111 1.79
DAVAO CITY 502 517 622 714 846 955 1.90 12 SOCCSKSARGEN 719 743 897 1,036 1,238 1,413 1.97 NORTH COTABATO 132 136 163 189 225 256 1.94 SOUTH COTABATO 457 472 572 663 795 910 1.99 SULTAN KUDARAT 58 60 72 83 98 110 1.89 SARANGANI 34 35 42 48 57 65 1.92 MAGUINDANAO (Cotabato Ci 38 39 48 54 63 72 1.89
GENERAL SANTOS CITY 2,002 2,066 2,493 2,873 3,423 3,893 1.94 13 CARAGA 676 685 724 765 800 828 1.23 ARMM 237 241 254 269 281 291 1.23MINDANAO TOTAL 4,176 4,276 4,928 5,554 6,294 6,927 1.66
Region/City/Municipality Employment Projection (thousands) 2030/2009
27.2 REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT SCENARIO 27.2.1 Trend and Direction of Regional Development
Chapter 25 has provided a position of socioeconomic development of the regions traversed by the Tagum-Davao-GenSan corridor. It is expected that there will be no major shift in the comprehensive development approach for Central and Southern Mindanao. Their regional development will not have significant makeover but instead more focused on their strengths that are inclined on agricultural development, coastal development, agri-forestry and mineral development with major tourism development. Clustering development approach is one facet of regional development in the two regions, same as in the other study areas. Furthermore, Davao City and General Santos City will still continue to expand their urbanization. Metropolitanization is now being promoted for Davao City and its environs. General Santos City, together with the other provinces in the region adheres to clustering development and corridor growth approach. Tourism development is toward the advantage of the two regions’ coastal and forest areas and indigenous cultural heritage. Their cultural heritage is manifested by the presence of tri-people (Muslims, Lumads and Christian settlers) influence. Same as in the two study areas, clustering of tourism spots are encouraged being encouraged.
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Urban and regional development initiatives by the private sector have started and are expected to continue. Finally, subregional cooperation in the context of the BIMP-EAGA is another factor in the two regions’ comprehensive development framework.
27.2.2 Regional Development Scenario
Characteristics of the Corridor, Metro Davao and Mero Gen. Santos can be summarized as follows; The Corridor ● The corridor except Metro Davao and Metro Gen. Santos is basically for agro-fishery
production and agro-fishery based industry. ● Food supply from the corridor to Luzon and Visayas Regions is expected to be the major role
of the corridor. ● Export oriented agro-fishery based industry is expected to grow in this area. ● To provide efficient and reliable means of transportation of agri-fishery products is a key to
support the agri-fishery industry. Metro Davao ● Metro Davao is the center of business/commercial/finance and education of entire Mindanao. ● Metro Davao is the core center of BIMP-Eastern ASEAN Growth Area (EAGA). ● In order to achieve integrated development of Mindanao, improvement of connection/linkage
between Metro Davao and other urban centers of Mindanao such as Metro Gen. Santos, Metro Cagayan de Oro, Metro Butuan, Metro Cotabato and Metro Zamboanga is a key.
● Metro Davao has been developed at the narrow coastal plain. Topographical constraints
force the concentration of socio-economic activities at the narrow coastal areas. ● Metro Davao has rich tourist attraction resources which should be further developed. ● Metro Davao is the base for exporting, agricultural products such as bananas, coconut oils,
etc. Metro General Santos ● Metro Gen. Santos is basically the base of export of fishery products and agricultural
products such as tunas, pineapples, rice, etc. ● Metro Gen. Santos is the center of regional urban growth. Based on the above characteristics of the corridor, the development strategy was established as shown in Figure 27.2.2-1.
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FIGURE 27.2.2-1 DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY: TAGUM-DAVAO-GEN. SANTOS CORRIDOR
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● Metro Davao shall grow as the business, commercial, industrial and educational core of the entire Mindanao.
● In order to achieve the integrated development of Mindanao, the linkage/connection between
Metro Davao and other major urban centers in Mindanao shall be strengthened. ● To strongly support the development of agri-fishery industry in Mindanao, transport axes
connecting major urban centers with Metro Davao shall developed.
- Davao-North Mindanao development axis - Davao-Region X development axis - Davao-Cotabato development axis - Davao-Gen. Santos development axis - Gen. Santos-Cotabato development axis
● As the core center of BIMP-EAGA, Metro Davao’s urban function shall be further developed. ● As the regional urban center, Metro Gen. Santos’ urban function shall be further developed.