2021 crop budgets and the new agricultural budget

22
Glennis McClure Agricultural Economist [email protected] 402-472-0661 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget Calculator Program

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Page 1: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Glennis McClureAgricultural Economist

[email protected]

2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Calculator Program

Page 2: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Today’s Presentation

vWhy is it important to know your cost of production?

vUNL Crop Budgets- 2021 Updates- Components of the crop budgets

vKey data utilized in enterprise budgeting

vThe New Ag Budget Calculator Program (ABC)

Page 3: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

FARM.UNL.EDU

•UNL CROP BUDGETS •UNL LIVESTOCK BUDGETS•UNL CUSTOM RATES REPORT

Page 4: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Know Your Cost of Production – WHY?

Determine Production practices and inputs used

Compare Profitability of various enterprises

Use In marketing and cost control

Page 5: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Nebraska Crop Budgets

• 83 UNL Crop Budgets Representing 15 crops

• Modify the Budgets using Excel

• Added to New Ag Budget Calculator

Page 6: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

cropwatch.unl.edu/budgets

Page 7: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

2021 Crop Budget Updates

Fuel Prices – decreased*Lower machinery operation costs *Lower some material costs herbicides

and fertilizer

Some material /products added or use changes

Land prices were adjusted slightly up

RE Tax rate decreased .10% - Nebraska RE Tax Credits

Overhead costs per acre increased $5/acre

Page 8: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Spring Wheat Budget #74 Added74-Wheat-Spring, Southwest, No Till, Wheat after Row Crop, 40-bushel Yield, Dryland

Cash Cost per bushel $4.25Total Cost per bushel $6.00

Photo by Kai Pilger on Unsplash

Page 9: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

2021 Crop Budget Averages

UNL Crop Averages

Average Yield Est.

Cash Cost /bu

Economic Cost /bu

2021 Dryland Corn 150 bu $2.35 $3.49

2021 Irrigated Corn 242 bu $2.26 $3.16

2021 Dryland Soybean 45 bu $5.39 $8.17

2021 Irrigated Soybean 73 bu $4.64 $7.75

2021 Dryland Wheat 66 bu $4.88 $3.22

2021 Irrigated Wheat 98 bu $4.20 $3.11

Page 10: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Budget Cost per Unit Comparisons 2020 & 2021 Projections

2020 Cash Cost per bushel

2021 Cash Cost per bushel

2020 Total Cost per bushel

2021 Total Cost per bushel

Dryland Wheat #75 $3.24 $3.15 $4.48 $4.42Irrigated Wheat #80 $2.87 $2.66 $3.88 $3.66

Dryland Soybeans #59 $5.41 $5.30 $7.98 $8.08Irrigated Soybeans #63 $5.21 $4.89 $8.55 $8.35

Dryland Corn #16 $2.77 $2.54 $3.95 $3.83Irrigated Corn #33 $2.08 $1.99 $2.90 $2.85

Page 11: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Crop Budget SegmentsExample Soybean #63

Unit Power Imp. Power Imp.Spray Burndown Herbicide 1 0.95 0.14 0.35 0.60 1.03 1.08 4.15Plant Narrow Row 1 3.00 0.45 1.16 2.91 3.39 4.05 14.96Spray Herbicide 1 0.95 0.14 0.35 0.60 1.03 1.08 4.15Aerial Spray CustomAerial Spray CustomPivot D 125' Lift 6 ai 5.21 19.21 2.06 10.38 3.91 5.70 46.47Combine Irr SB 1 4.58 3.02 11.16 2.21 11.93 4.38 37.28Truck Custom

Total for Field Operations 14.69 22.96 15.08 16.70 21.29 16.29 107.01

Field OperationsTimes or Qty

Labor @ $25.00

/HrFuel @ $1.50

and Lube

Repairs

Total

Ownership̂

Materials & Services Rate Unit Total Glyphosate 5# w/Surfactant 1 100% 32 ounce 0.09 3.002,4-D Ester LV4 1 100% 1 pint 2.00 2.0021-0-0-24S 1 100% 1.7 pound 0.31 0.53Fierce MTZ 1 100% 1.25 pint 18.00 22.50RR2 Soybeans Treated 2 100% 1 bag 62.00 62.00Roundup WeatherMax 3 100% 48 ounce 0.23 11.2521-0-0-24S 3 50% 1.7 pound 0.31 0.26Aerial Spray 4 20% 1 acre 10.00 2.00Warrior II/Zeon 4 20% 1.6 ounce 2.50 0.80Aerial Spray 5 20% 1 acre 10.00 2.00Priaxor 5 20% 4 ounce 4.69 3.75Haul Grain Bushels 8 100% 64 bushel 0.11 7.04Scouting Irrigated Soybeans 100% 1 acre 12.00 12.00

7.00 7.00

Total Materials & Services 136.13

Custom

AdditiveCustom

InsecticideCustom

Fungicide

Herbicide

Operation Index

Percent Acres

Applied

Application Applied Price

HerbicideHerbicideAdditiveHerbicide

Seed

ScoutingCrop Insurance

Total listed costs for Field Operations and Materials and Services 243.14Interest on Operations Capital 205.56$ 5.50% for 6.0 mo. 5.65

Total Operating and Use Related Ownership Costs 248.79

Overhead (accounting, liability insurance, vehicle cost, office expense) 25.00Real Estate Opportunity^ 6,125$ 3.00% 183.75Real Estate Taxes 6,125$ 1.25% 76.56Total Cost per Acre Including Overhead 534.10

Pivot (State) per acre @per acre @

cash expense @

Cash Cost per bushel ^Ownership and RE Opportunity not included in cash costs. 4.89Cost of production per bushel 8.35

FIELD OPERATIONS

INTEREST, OVERHEAD & R.E. COSTS

MATERIALS & SERVICES

Page 12: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Ownership Costs – Machinery and LandMachinery & Equipment Ownership Costs include Depreciation + Opportunity Interest Cost

Annual Depreciation = (Purchase Price – Salvage) / UseDepreciation per Hour or Acre = Annual Depreciation /Hour or AcreAfter the power unit and an implement is added in an operation, Depreciation per Acre is calculated.

Depreciation per Acre: Hourly Depreciation Rate / Coverage Rate of Associated Implement *Salvage Value Formula are from the American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers D497.7, Section 6.1

+Annual Opportunity Cost Interest: (Purchase price + salvage)/2) x Opportunity Cost Percentage

Land Opportunity Cost

Value of Land Per Acre x Opportunity Cost Percentage

Or

Cash Rental Value Per Acre

Page 13: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

2021 Irrigated No Till Soybeans – UNL Budget #63 Cost of Production Estimate Per Acre

Labor

Fuel

Machine

Ownership

Overhead

Seed

Herbicide

Repairs

Real Estate Taxes

Real Estate

Opportunity

Costs

SeedHerbicideOther PesticidesCrop InsuranceOther Materials & ServicesLaborFuelRepairsMachine OwnershipReal Estate TaxesReal Estate Opportunity CostsOverheadOperating Interest

Seed & Pesticide: 20%Field Operations: 20%Land Costs: 49%All Other Costs: 11%

Total Cash Costs: $313 / acreTotal All Costs: $534 / acre 64 Bushel Yield

Cash Costs / Bu = $4.89 / buEconomic Costs /Bu = $8.35 / bu

Page 14: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

2021 Dryland No Till Corn – UNL Budget #23 Cost of Production Estimate Per Acre

Other Materials & Services

Overhead

Seed

Ferti

lizer Herbicide

Crop Insurance

Labor

Repairs

Real Estate

Taxes &

Opportunity

CostsSeedFertilizerHerbicideOther PesticidesCrop InsuranceOther Materials & ServicesLaborFuelRepairsMachine OwnershipReal Estate Taxes & Opportunity CostsOverheadOperating Interest

Seed & Pesticide: 27%Fertilizer 9%Field Operations: 16%Land Costs: 29%All Other Costs: 19%

Total Cash Costs: $330 / acreTotal All Costs: $462 / acre 145 Bushel Yield

Cash Costs / Bu = $2.28 / buEconomic Costs /Bu = $3.19 / bu

Page 15: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Key Data Utilized inEnterprise Budgeting

§ Cropping system information OR§ Livestock system & how many head § Annual rates and prices§ Field operations including machinery

and implement costs§ Irrigation system expenses § Material inputs and service costs (feed)§ General farm overhead expenses§ Yield and revenue projections

Page 16: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

farm.unl.edu/abc

Page 17: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget
Page 18: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Enter Your Own Machinery & Equipment

Page 19: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Enter Your Material Inputs and Application Rates

Page 20: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Additional Features of the Ag Budget Calculatorq Create or Customize Your Own Budgetsq Revenue Section – Risk Moduleq Reconciliation of Overhead Expensesq Livestock Enterprise Budgetingq Whole Farm Reportsq Cash Flow

go.unl.edu/dec14budgets

Page 21: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

TAKE HOME POINTS

• Using enterprise budgets to project cost of production is a critical part of effective management.

• Knowing your costs and your break-even levels provides a foundation in managing costs and developing marketing plans.

• The Ag Budget Calculator (ABC) program will be a new resource to figure crop enterprise budgets for 2021 and beyond with added features in the works. Learn more at: farm.unl.edu/abc

Page 22: 2021 Crop Budgets and the New Agricultural Budget

Questions?

Bob KleinWestern Nebraska Crop [email protected]

Glennis McClureAgricultural [email protected]

ABC Program Virtual Workshop – December 14th go.unl.edu/dec14budgets