2020 reviewed interim results€¦ · record-breaking market moves; first quarter of 2020 sharp...
TRANSCRIPT
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FOR THE PERIOD ENDED 31 MARCH 2020
2020 Reviewed Interim Results
26 May 2020
Anton Pillay, CEO
Mary-Anne Musekiwa, CFO
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Agenda
Economic environment
Highlights
AUM and financial results
Business update
Good corporate citizenship
Questions
Annexure A
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Economic environment
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NO ONE COULD HAVE FORESEEN THE POSSIBILITY OR PREPARED FOR THE IMPACT OF COVID-19
Global & SA macro overview
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-2
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1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 2019
GLOBAL: REAL GDP, % (IMF, APRIL 2020)
World Advanced economies Emerging markets
Source: IMFSource: IRESS & Bloomberg
At the end of 2019, geopolitical tensions eased and world markets began to recover
Record-breaking market moves; first quarter of 2020 sharp declines, only to recover with equal speed
Policymakers implementing extraordinary measures to limit economic meltdown - deep rate cuts, quantitative easing & fiscal stimulus
We expect developed markets will recover reasonably quickly due to demand and stimulus
Concerned about low-income emerging countries: lack of ability to finance households & SMMEs; no social safety nets; uncoordinated responses
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70
80
90
100
110
120
09/2019 10/2019 11/2019 12/2019 01/2020 02/2020 03/2020 04/2020
MARKET MOVEMENT
ALSI (in Rand) MSCI-ACW (NET) MSCI-EMU (NET)MSCI-ACW (US$) MSCI-EMU (US$)
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Highlights
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THROUGH ACTIVE ASSET MANAGEMENT
Singular focus on clients
Total AUM
R508bn
Total dividend per share
178.0c
INVESTMENT
PERFORMANCE
Very encouraging outperformance by our clients’ portfolios in 2019, supporting continued long-term outperformance
REVENUE R1.8 bnIncrease due to improved performance
COSTS 5.2%Increase in operating costs
HEADLINE
EARNINGS PER
SHARE
178.3cIncrease of 10%Diluted HEPS increase of 12% (excl. IFRS 9 effect)
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AUM & financial results
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AUM REFLECTIVE OF MARKET CONDITIONS
Assets under management
47 57 7592
122 113144
188223
299
407
461 469444 438 424 406
348
7 77
9
12 12
11
15
24
40
85
127141
155176
163164
160
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Sept2003
Sept2004
Sept2005
Sept2006
Sept2007
Sept2008
Sept2009
Sept2010
Sept 2011
Sept2012
Sept2013
Sept2014
Sept2015
Sept2016
Sep2017
Sep2018
Sep2019
Mar2020
Local Rbn International Rbn Avg AUM Rbn 588
155125134
10182
6454
203
247
339
492
610599 614
571587
508
36%
22%
7%
1%
27%
4% 3%
Equity Local
Fixed Interest Local
Cash Local
Other Local (UT’s, Hedge, Pooled)
Equity Foreign
Fixed Interest Foreign
Cash Local
Source: Coronation
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Market performance and net flows
-5,2%
-3,4%
-7,5%
-3,8%
1,3%
3,7%
5,4%
-6,9% 400,0
420,0
440,0
460,0
480,0
500,0
520,0
540,0
560,0
580,0
600,0
-8,0%
-6,0%
-4,0%
-2,0%
0,0%
2,0%
4,0%
6,0%
8,0%
2018 Mar-19 2019 Mar-20
Total Flows as % of opening AUM Capital and Currency as a % of opening AUM Closing AUM
NET FLOWS IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS
Source: Coronation
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STRONG PERFORMANCE OVER SIX MONTHS
Revenue
Change
March
2020
March
2019
Revenue (from fund
management)8% R1 769m R1 632m
Profit (from fund
management)10% R834m R758m
Profit after tax 8% R624m R578m
Cost-to-income
ratio53.5% 54.0%
Source: Coronation
NET FEE MARGIN
0 bps
10 bps
20 bps
30 bps
40 bps
50 bps
60 bps
70 bps
80 bps
90 bps
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VARIABLE COST MODEL CONTINUES TO PROVE ITS STRENGTH
Cost control
Change
March
2020
March
2019
Fixed costs 11% R402m R362m
Variable costs* 1% R533m R527m
Operating costs 5% R935m R889m
Other costs** R15m R2m
*Includes distribution costs of R75m
**Includes Share-based payment expense and foreign exchange losses
Source: Coronation
Cost-to-income (excl. IFRS 9)
-40,00%
-25,00%
-10,00%
5,00%
20,00%
35,00%
50,00%
65,00%
80,00%
-
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2,50
2015 (Q2) 2016 (Q2) 2017 (Q2) 2018 (Q2) 2019 (Q2) 2020 (Q2)
REVENUE AND COSTS
Total Costs (R'bn) Total Revenue (R'bn) Cost to Income RatioCost-to-income Ratio
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INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & SYSTEMS SPEND TO DRIVE EFFICIENCY & MANAGE RISKS
Fixed costs
Change
March
2020
March
2019
Total fixed costs 11% R402m R362m
- Employee costs 6% R195m R183m
- Information systems &
technology43% R100m R70m
- Professional fees* 28% R32m R25m
- Marketing (12%) R34m R39m
Employee complement 333 339
*Includes MiFD Research Costs
Source: Coronation
49%
8%
25%
10%
8%
Employee costs
Professional fees
Information services & technology
Other business
Marketing
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100% OF DILUTED HEADLINE EARNINGS PER SHARE DECLARED
Dividend declared reflects cash earnings
Change
March
2020
March
2019
Diluted HEPS
(cents)8% 178.3c 165.1c
Interim dividend
per share (cents)8% 178.0c 165.0c
94,0%
96,0%
98,0%
100,0%
102,0%
104,0%
106,0%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Interim
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Business update
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26 YEARS OF INTEGRATED STEWARDSHIP OF CLIENT ASSETS
Our business
1Asset-weighted, mandates with >10-year history2Assets invested in our rand-denominated unit trust funds
An active manager with a singular focus on long-term investing
We put our clients first
We focus on growing the value of
client assets over the long term
rather than growing the pool of
assets under our management
Closed institutional strategies for
five years
Strong symmetry & value for
money: fees aligned with client
outcomes
Continue to ensure clients are kept
abreast of market, company and
investment strategy developments
Do not target AUM or share price,
only alpha
Long-term performance our true measure of success
Long-term investment performance
remains compelling across our
entire fund range
Investment approach unchanged –
encouraged by excellent
outperformance in 2019
97% of institutional client assets1
have outperformed their
benchmarks since inception
98% of our retail assets2 have
outperformed peers since inception
Active Corporate Citizen
Response to COVID-19 by business
to support affected communities
Active participants of CEO
Initiative, BSA, BLSA & ASISA
Transformation of industry &
company remains a key focus
Implement good corporate
citizenship initiatives to ensure
inclusive society and financial
services sector
ESG analysis integrated into our
investment process to allow for
collaboration and engagement
Creating a sustainable global business
Cyclical nature of business means
we need to manage for the long
term
Committed to investment in
organic growth
Employee ownership level
maintained at 25%
Cash-generative business with
strong balance sheet
Seed new products with own cash
Employ and retain the best people
Diverse product range
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A SIGNIFICANT MANAGER OF INSTITUTIONAL ASSETS IN SA AND A GROWING NUMBER OF GLOBAL CLIENTS
Institutional business
Total client AUM
R292bn
Local client AUM
R224bn
Global client AUM
R68bn
Local Clients
Future focus:
Maintaining our world-class client service
Continued focus on enhancing ESG
integration
Build out relationships with key allocators
& look to maintain existing clients
Future focus:
Confident in the long-term outlook for our
global strategies as well as our value
proposition to clients through active
management
Continued focus on enhancing ESG
integration
Build out relationships with key allocators
Global Clients
Client outflows totalling 5.8% of opening
balance in line with prior year’s flows; we
expect to see continued outflows
Client outflows totalling 0.2% of opening
balance
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CORONATION REMAINS ONE OF SA’S FOREMOST MANAGERS OF RETAIL SAVINGS AT R216BN AUM
Retail business
Industry remains under pressure due to tough
economic conditions and muted medium-term
returns
- We expect industry flows to remain under pressure for
the foreseeable future
Coronation unit trust net outflows 2.5% of opening
CIS AUM
- Coronation net flow mix similar to industry experience
We remain focused on client outcomes
- Long-term performance remains excellent
- Service clients across the wealth spectrum
- Continuing to invest in client service infrastructure
vs all active
single managers
(-2.5%) and
industry overall
(-2.1%)
vs all active
single managers
(-6.4%) and
industry overall
(-7.0%)
-2.5% -7.3%R240bn R216bn
Source: Morningstar as at 31 March 2020. All fund categories included. Overall
CFM CIS assets adjusted for institutional clients in line with SENS disclosure.
NCCF% MVM%AUM O/B AUM C/B
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Investment performance
Source: Coronation as at 31 March 2020; asset weighted basis
Since inception figure refers to strategies with a 10-year+ track record
66%
93%98% 97%
34%
7%2% 3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
5 years 10 years 15 years Since Inception
% INSTITUTIONAL FUNDS OUTPERFORMING
% Outperforming % Underperforming
QUINTILE RANKINGS FOR UNIT TRUST RANGE
10 Years
89%
3%
8%
5 Years
19%
6%
67%
8%
15 Years
90%
5%4%
Since Inception
98%
As at 31 March 2020. Asset-weighted performance of 18 funds representing 97% of rand-denominated CIS funds included above. 5 specialist
funds with less than five comparable funds in the industry excluded. Source: Morningstar using primary share classes and formal ASISA
categories for all funds, except Global Managed, compared to Global – MA – Flexible & High Equity Categories combined and Market Plus,
compared to SA – MA – Flexible. Numbers may not add up due to rounding.
1st Quintile 2nd Quintile 3rd Quintile 4th Quintile 5th Quintile
98% of rand-denominated retail assets have
outperformed peers since inception
97% of institutional client assets
outperformed benchmark since inception
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Good corporate citizenship
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Established 3
independent black
businesses:
+ African Harvest Fund Managers
+ Kagiso Asset Management
+ Intembeko Investment
Administrators
A HOMEGROWN SOUTH AFRICAN BUSINESS COMMITTED TO TRANSFORMING FROM WITHIN & THE BROADER INDUSTRY
120black IFA practices
through the ASISA IFA
Development
Programme
29analysts through the
Vunani Securities
Training Academy
Transforming our business and industry
50%
of our employees are female
* As measured by the revised Financial Sector Code
All figures are as at 31 March 2020, unless otherwise stated.
78%
of our Board members are black
Since 2006 we have
allocated:
>R300min brokerage to black stockbrokers
through the Coronation Business
Support Programme
Transforming our
business from within
We are a proud South African business
Advancing
transformation in
our industryPre-dating BEE legislation in South Africa,
we pioneered corporate initiatives that have
contributed to meaningful transformation
and the development of skills in the
financial services industry
56%
of our employees are black
>R225bn1
of total AUM managed by black investment professionals1As at 30 September 2019
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Education programmes
CONTINUED FOCUS ON EDUCATION
Meaningful social impact
>190 000Learners
5 167Small-scale farmers
446Schools
5 961Educators
Education support Consumer financial education
Sponsor and mentor
Young Investor Programme students via South African universities
>300Young girls reached by staff mentorship
>200Students awarded study opportunities
67Internships placed since 2015
2043
3710
1953
545
664
1296
2674
1975
2172
Limpopo
Western Cape
Eastern Cape
KZNNorthern Cape
North West Gauteng
Mpumalanga
Free State
>17,000participants (2019)
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FOCUS ON ENSURING DELIVERY & SUPPORT NOW… WHILE KEEPING AN EYE ON THE FUTURE
Our response to Covid-19
Enabling employees Ensuring clients
continue to be
serviced
Reducing the impact
on society
Contributing to the
way forward
85% seamlessly working
from home
Well equipped to work from
home, including access to
support
Preventative measures in
office environment
No retrenchments or
furloughs
Increased communications
Focus on fulfilling our
primary commitment
Uninterrupted service
Continue to focus on
investment excellence
Committed support to 3rd
party service providers
Company, non-executive
directors & 30% of
employees contributed total
of R10m to Solidarity Fund
Matched staff charitable
contributions
SMME payments expedited
Community support
programmes including
feeding schemes
Gender & child abuse
prevention programmes
Engage with government
and regulators
Participate in industry
structures and initiatives
including:
- ASISA
- BLSA
- CEO Initiative
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ONGOING FOCUS AND COMMITMENT TO INVESTMENT EXCELLENCE FOR OUR CLIENTS GLOBALLY
Closing comments
Covid-19 epidemic an unforecastable event & unprecedented in modern times
- with many unknowns and no immediate solutions, there remains large-scale uncertainty in global economies
Responsible continuity of business and engagement
- we are fully operational
- full compliance with lockdown regulations
- continue to invest in the business
Active management has a significant role to play
- encouraged by outperformance across our range of portfolios
- in times of volatility, in-depth research and quick decision making is key
- our focus is on making the right long-term decisions during this crisis; we believe that the quality of our decision-making can only be assessed three- to five years from now
- our long-term performance remains the true measure of our ultimate success on behalf of our clients and stakeholders
We are optimistic about the opportunities that key markets present and believe that clients should see better returns in the next five years
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Questions
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About Coronation Fund Managers
Founded in Cape Town, South Africa, in 1993 with zero assets under management
Listed in 2003
25% employee-owned
An independent fund manager with no safety net of inhouse assets
Singular focus on asset management, outsourcing non-core components of business
An active manager with a long-term valuation-driven investment approach
A single global investment team and process
SA-based business with offices in Cape Town, Johannesburg, Durban, Pretoria, London and Dublin
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MARKET PERFORMANCE
Annexure A:
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Capital markets
Economic group
3 months
%
6 months
%
12 months
%
All Share (ZAR) -21.38% -17.74% -18.42%
CAPI -22.86% -19.09% -20.15%
Resources -25.27% -14.97% -18.50%
All Property -48.07% -47.47% -48.92%
Industrials -8.44% -8.44% -7.18%
Financials -39.48% -37.77% -38.82%
USD/ZAR -21.58% -15.22% -18.82%
AF Money Market/CASH 1.68% 3.42% 7.13%
CPI 1.64% 1.99% 4.20%
Small Cap -32.55% -32.06% -33.03%
MSCI Emerging Markets (USD) -23.60% -14.55% -17.69%
MSCI All Country World Net USD -21.37% -14.33% -11.26%
FTSE/JSE All Africa ex SA 30 Index (USD) -28.12% -22.64% -21.30%
MSCI Frontier Markets NET USD -26.59% -21.73% -18.96%
MSCI World (USD) -21.05% -14.30% -10.39%
*Alexander Forbes Money Market
Returns as at end March 2020
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Disclaimer
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on current information and expectations, and involve a number
of risks and uncertainties. Although Coronation Fund Managers Limited believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no
assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in such statements due to various
factors, including but not limited to changes in economic and market conditions, changes in regulatory environment, fluctuations in security prices and exchange rates, and
business and operational risk management. Coronation Fund Managers Limited is under no obligation to update these statements once it has been posted or released.
Coronation Asset Management (Pty) Limited, Coronation Investment Management International (Pty) Limited and Coronation Alternative Investment Managers (Pty) Limited
are authorised Financial Services Providers regulated by the Financial Sector Conduct Authority of South Africa. Coronation Asset Management (Pty) Limited, Coronation
Investment Management International (Pty) Limited and Coronation Alternative Investment Managers (Pty) Limited are subsidiary companies of Coronation Fund Managers
Ltd, a company incorporated in South Africa and listed on the JSE (ISIN:ZAE000047353). The Information is for information purposes only and does not constitute or form part
of any offer to the public to issue or sell, or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase an investment, nor shall it or the fact of its distribution form the basis
of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract for investment. Opinions expressed in this document may be changed without notice at any time after publication.
Nothing in this document shall constitute advice on the merits of buying and selling an investment. Coronation Investment Management International (Pty) Ltd is an
investment adviser registered with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). An investment adviser’s registration with the SEC does not imply a certain
level of skill or training. Additional information about Coronation Investment Management International (Pty) Limited is also available on the SEC’s website at
www.adviserinfo.sec.gov.The information in this document has not been approved or verified by the SEC or by any state securities authority. Unit trusts should be
considered a medium-to long-term investment. The value of units may go down as well as up, and is therefore not guaranteed. Past performance is not necessarily an
indication of future performance. Note that individual investor performance may differ as a result of the actual investment date, the date of reinvestment of distributions
and dividend withholding tax where applicable. Where foreign securities are included in a fund it may be exposed to macroeconomic, settlement, political, tax, reporting or
illiquidity risk factors that may be different to similar investments in the South African markets. Fluctuations or movements in exchange rates may cause the value of
underlying investments to go up or down. Coronation Management Company (RF) (Pty) Ltd is a Collective Investment Schemes Manager approved by the Financial Sector
Conduct Authority of South Africa in terms of the Collective Investment Schemes Control Act. Unit trusts are traded at ruling prices set on every trading day. Unit trusts are
allowed to engage in scrip lending and borrowing. Coronation Fund Managers Limited is a Full member of the Association for Savings & Investment SA (ASISA).
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Thank you
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