2017 budget presentation.9.5.16...*sponsored agencies: cornell cooperative extension, tcpl, rural...
TRANSCRIPT
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The 2017 Recommended BudgetThe 2017 Recommended Budget
Tompkins County, New York
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• Low growth budgetg g– Spending up less than 1%
3% i i t lThe Short
• 3% increase in tax levy– 1.5% to offset sales tax loss
Story – 0.5% for capital
– 1.0% for all else1.0% for all else
• 1.5% decrease in tax rated– 3rd Straight Decrease
– Lowest since 2011
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• Resources aligned with
The Short priorities– Adaptation to climate change
Storyp g
– Regulatory Compliance
Recruitment and Retention– Recruitment and Retention
– ATI’s/Re‐entry
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Factors Affecting the BudgetFactors Affecting the Budget
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Factors Affecting the BudgetFactors Affecting the Budget
The Economy
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July Unemployment, Tompkins County
The Economy6 0%
7.0%
y
5.0%
6.0%
4.6%• July unemployment at pre‐recession
3 0%
4.0%4.0%
at pre recession levels
2.0%
3.0%
0.0%
1.0%2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
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July Inflation (CPI) Rate
The Economy5.0%
6.0%
3.0%
4.0%• Inflation at 0.8%
2.0%
0.0%
1.0%
8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
‐2.0%
‐1.0% 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
‐3.0%
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Consumer Sentiment, U.S., January 2008‐July 2016
The Economy100
120
• Consumer confidence strong 80
100
confidence strong (but wavering)
60
40
0
20
0
Jan‐08
Sep‐08
May‐09
Jan‐10
Sep‐10
May‐11
Jan‐12
Sep‐12
May‐13
Jan‐14
Sep‐14
May‐15
Jan‐16
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Dow Jones Average, 2001‐Present
The Economy16,500
18,500
12,500
14,500 • Stock market at record high
8 500
10,500
12,500 record high
4 500
6,500
8,500
2,500
4,500
500
3/30
/200
110
/31/20
015/31
/200
212
/31/20
027/31
/200
32/27
/200
49/30
/200
44/29
/200
511
/30/20
056/30
/200
61/31
/200
78/31
/200
73/31
/200
810
/31/20
085/29
/200
912
/31/20
097/30
/201
02/28
/201
19/30
/201
14/30
/201
211
/30/20
126/30
/201
31/30
/201
48/30
/201
43/30
/201
510
/30/20
155/30
/201
6
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Mid‐Year Taxable Sales, Tompkins County (millions)
The Anomaly $750
y ( )
$700 • Decline in local consumer spending
$
$650 consumer spending on taxable goods
• January‐June
$550
$600 y
spending down nearly 4% from 2014
$500
$550
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
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Factors Affecting the BudgetFactors Affecting the Budget
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Factors Affecting the BudgetFactors Affecting the Budget
Programmatic Indicators of NeedNeed
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P iTompkins County SNAP
Cases, January 2008‐June 2016Programmatic Trends 5,000
5,500
, y
• SNAP (food stamp) caseloads declining 3 500
4,000
4,500
caseloads declining
2,500
3,000
3,500
1,500
2,000
500
1,000
‐
Feb‐08
Aug‐08
Feb‐09
Aug‐09
Feb‐10
Aug‐10
Feb‐11
Aug‐11
Feb‐12
Aug‐12
Feb‐13
Aug‐13
Feb‐14
Aug‐14
Feb‐15
Aug‐15
Feb‐16
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P iFamily Assistance Cases, January
2008‐June 2016Programmatic
Trends 450
500
• Family Assistance cases continue to 350
400
cases continue to decline
250
300
150
200
50
100
0
Jan‐08
Jul‐0
8
Jan‐09
Jul‐0
9
Jan‐10
Jul‐1
0
Jan‐11
Jul‐1
1
Jan‐12
Jul‐1
2
Jan‐13
Jul‐1
3
Jan‐14
Jul‐1
4
Jan‐15
Jul‐1
5
Jan‐16
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P iSafety Net Cases, January 2008‐
June 2016Programmatic Trends
600
700June 2016
• Safety Net cases remain above
500
600
remain above recession levels
• Recent increases in 300
400
caseload200
0
1008 8 9 0 0 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 6
Jan‐0
Sep‐0
May‐0
Jan‐1
Sep‐1
May‐1
Jan‐1
Sep‐1
May‐1
Jan‐1
Sep‐1 4
May‐1
Jan‐1
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2017 Budgetary Goals2017 Budgetary Goals
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Maintain Current Levels of Service
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Sustain the Investment in Facilities and Infrastructure
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Maintain fiscal strength and resiliencyresiliency
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Address Evolving Priorities• Adaptation to Climate Change• Adaptation to Climate Change• Compliance• Alternatives to Incarceration/Re‐Entry• Recruitment and Retention
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Major Budget Driversj g
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• Sales TaxMajor Budget
• Labor CostsBudget Drivers • Mandates
• Capital Investment• Capital Investment
• Agency Funding g y g
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• Declines in 5 of past 6 quarters
Sales Tax
Declines in 5 of past 6 quarters
• Worst performance in 20 yearsSales Tax• Projecting:
Drop of 1 5% in 2016– Drop of 1.5% in 2016
– Increase of 1.4% in 2017
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$37.6 $38
County Sales Tax Revenue (mil.)
$36.3
$
$37
Sales Tax $34 0
$35.2 $35
$36
Sales Tax $34.0
$34.0
$33.4 $33 3$33
$34
$$32.9
$33.3
$31
$32
$30
$31
2014 2015 2016 20172014 2015 2016 2017
Normal Actual/Projected
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$37.6 $38
County Sales Tax Revenue (mil.)
$36.3
$
$37
Sales Tax $34 0
$35.2 $35
$36
$4.3 millionSales Tax $34.0
$34.0
$33.4 $33 3$33
$34
$$32.9
$33.3
$31
$32
$30
$31
2014 2015 2016 20172014 2015 2016 2017
Normal Actual/Projected
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Sales Tax • $694,000 Budget‐to‐Budget decline in sales tax addsSales Tax decline in sales tax adds 1.5% to property tax levy
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• Most contracts settledLabor Costs
• Most contracts settled through 2017
Wage Growth • All settled contracts at 2.25%
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• Increase of 10.8 FTEs
Labor Costs • Most created in 2016 and self funded by grants andWorkforce self‐funded by grants and earned revenue
• 1.7 new FTEs proposed in Budget
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800Budgeted FTEs
775.8
731 5750
800
FTE History 720.7
731.5
700 FTE History650
600
550
Roster down 6% since 2009
500 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
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• Up slightlyLabor Costs
• Up slightly
• Health costs down $209,000Fringe
• Pension rate reduced to 15 3%15.3%
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• Salary and fringe up 1 3%Labor Costs
• Salary and fringe up 1.3%
• $831,000 total Overall
• $613,000 local dollars
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Mandates • Local costs down $144,000Mandates Local costs down $144,000
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2nd ti d li• 2nd consecutive decline
– PreK Special Ed and Early
MandatesIntervention down by $394,000Mandates
– DSS flat
Assigned Counsel up– Assigned Counsel up $100,000
– Mental Health Psychiatric up $76,000
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Change in Local Costs of Mandated Programs, 2016‐2017
$300,000
g ,
Mandates $100,000
$200,000
Mandates$‐
$ ,
J A M P M J S O M S C F D E P
$(100,000)
D Care
Assigned Counse
Medicaid
Psychiatric
Medical Exam
ine
ail Medical/B.O
Safety Net
Outside Colleges
Medical Assistan
State Training
Child Care
Family Asst
Day Care
EI PreK
$(200,000)
el er . s nce
$(300,000)
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Medicaid Costs, 2001‐2016
$12
$14 $12.40
$11.58
Mandates $10
$12
Mandates
$
$8 Millions
$4
$6 M
$2
$0 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
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• Light 2015‐16 winter = $250 000 savings in 2017
Snow Plow $250,000 savings in 2017 payments to towns
Contracts • Half of savings re‐purposed to highway materialsg y
• Mitigates tax impact when normal winter returnsnormal winter returns
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• Levy increase of 0.5%, or $233 318 for capital
Capital R i
$233,318, for capital improvements
Reinvestment • New $200,000/year Natural Infrastructure Programf g
– Ongoing program funded with cash rather than debtwith cash rather than debt
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Projected Capital Expense vs. Available Funding 2016‐26
8,000,000
9,000,000
Funding, 2016 26
Capital R i t t
6,000,000
7,000,000
Reinvestment4,000,000
5,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
‐
1,000,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20262016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capital Levy Capital Expense
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• TC3 flatSponsored and Partner
• $50,000 Onetime for TCAT (same as 2016)and Partner
Agencies(same as 2016)
• $125,000 shift from property tax to room tax support for TCAD
*Sponsored Agencies: Cornell Cooperative Extension, TCPL, Rural Libraries, Soil & Water, The History Center, Human Services Coalition and Agencies, TCAction, SPCA, Recreation Partnership
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Sponsored and Partner
• 2% ($117,200) target increase to agenciesand Partner
Agencies • $194,000 in Onetime OTRs
*Sponsored Agencies: Cornell Cooperative Extension, TCPL, Rural Libraries, Soil & Water, The History Center, Human Services Coalition and Agencies, TCAction, SPCA, Recreation Partnership
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• Up by $230,000
Contingency• Mitigates risks of:
Contingency– Sales tax
– Jail board‐outs
– Assigned Counsel eligibility
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E i F dEnterprise Funds
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• Year 3 of 3 year plan to
Airport
• Year 3 of 3‐year plan to forego County administrative charges to airportAirport charges to airport
• $126,000 in savings to airport
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Solid Waste• Adapts to lower prices for recycled commoditiesSolid Waste recycled commodities
• Annual Fee remains at $55
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Major Over Target Requests Funded in Recommended Budget
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$Major Funded OTRs
• $78,000 to Personnel to increase recruitment capacity Funded OTRs
(Target) and employee engagement
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Major Funded OTRs
• $49,000 to hire a half‐time Inspector in Weights and Funded OTRs
(Target) Measures
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Major Funded OTRs
• $125,000 to re‐purpose a portion of town plowing Funded OTRs
(Target) savings for road work
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Major Funded OTRs
• $408,000 in major highway equipmentFunded OTRs
(Onetime) • (From Highway Fund Balance)
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• $172 000 for conventionalMajor Funded OTRs
• $172,000 for conventional equipment in Sheriff’s Office
Funded OTRs(Onetime) – Jail appliances
– Desks in Civil UnitDesks in Civil Unit
– Bullet Proof Vests
– In‐car computers and radar
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• $102 000 in AssessmentMajor Funded OTRs
$102,000 in Assessment technology
Funded OTRs(Onetime) • $50,000 for records
digitization
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• $70 500 for staffMajor Funded OTRs
$70,500 for staff development and training
Funded OTRs(Onetime) • $10,000 for employee
recognition
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Major Funded OTRs
• $50,000 in continued support for TCAT (same as 2016)Funded OTRs
(Onetime)
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• 1st year of 3‐year plan forMajor Funded OTRs
• 1 year of 3‐year plan for countywide performance measuresFunded OTRs
(Onetime) • Results Based Accountability
• $52,890
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• $30,000 for public use Major
Funded OTRs
$ , pcomputers at Library
$15 000 f blFunded OTRs(Onetime)
• $15,000 for new tables at Borg Warner Room
• $7,500 for e‐content services at rural libraries
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OutcomesOutcomes
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Goal:Maintain No reduction in serviceMaintain Services
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Goal: • Fully funds projects inGoal:Maintain C i l
Fully funds projects in Updated CIP
Capital Investment
• New natural infrastructure program dealing with effects of climate change
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G l • Sustains ATIs including re‐Goal:Adapt to
Sustains ATIs including reentry
Addi i l DSS iEvolving Priorities
– Additional DSS commitment to housing assistance, jail evals and Family TreatmentPriorities evals, and Family Treatment Court
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G l lGoal:Adapt to
• Incorporates compliance management initiatives bEvolving
Priorities
begun in 2016
Priorities
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G lGoal:Adapt to
• Funding for diversity recruitment, employee
Evolving Priorities
recognition, staff development and training
Priorities
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G lGoal:Adapt to • Natural infrastructure
initiativeEvolving Priorities
initiative
Priorities
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• Recommended levy upGoal:Stay within
• Recommended levy up 3%
Stay within 3% Levy • Tax Cap projected at
2 22%Limit
2.22%
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RisksRisks
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• Sales Tax
• Jail CostsRisks • Assigned Counsel
Eligibility ThresholdsEligibility Thresholds
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Structuring the Budget within Fiscal Parameters
Financial Summary
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Recommended Levy GrowthRecommended Levy Growth
3%3%
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Recommended Levy GrowthRecommended Levy Growth
$1 4 million$1.4 million
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Over Target RequestsOver Target Requests
Total Revenue Reserves Levyy
Requested $3.14 mil. $0.07 mil. $1.50 mil. $1.58 mil.
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Over Target RequestsOver Target Requests
Total Revenue Reserves Levyy
Requested $3.14 mil. $0.07 mil. $1.50 mil. $1.58 mil.
Recom. $1.74 mil. $0.03 mil. $1.38 mil. $0.33 mil.
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Over Target RequestsOver Target Requests
Total Revenue Reserves Levyy
Requested $3.14 mil. $0.07 mil. $1.50 mil. $1.58 mil.
Recom. $1.74 mil. $0.03 mil. $1.38 mil. $0.33 mil.
Difference ‐$1.41 mil. ‐$0.03 ‐$0.12 mil. ‐$1.25 mil.
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2017 $173.0
Total Budget2016 $171.7
g(millions) $ Change $ 1.4
% Ch 0 8%% Change 0.8%
2016 Modified Budget. Excludes sales taxes distributed to municipalities
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2017 $84.7
Local Budget2016 $84.1
g(millions) $ Change $ 0.7
% Ch 0 9%% Change 0.9%
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2017 $48.06
Tax Levy2015 $46.66
y(millions) $ Change $ 1.40
% Ch 3 00%% Change 3.00%
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2017 $6.63
Tax Rate2016 $6.73
per $1,000 $ Change ($0.10)
% Ch (1 5%)% Change (1.5%)
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2017 $1,160
Average Tax Bill($
2016 $1,143($175,000 median in 2017,
$170,000 in 2016) $ Change $ 16
% Ch 1 4%% Change 1.4%
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The 2017 Recommended BudgetThe 2017 Recommended Budget
Tompkins County, New Yorkwww.tompkinscountyny.govp y y g