2016 northeast gas association 11-3-16.pdf
TRANSCRIPT
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Northeast Gas Association November 3, 2016
Coralie Carter Sculley
Tennessee Gas Pipeline
Marcellus Shale
Utica Shale
Southeast
Northeast
EagleFord Shale
Haynesville Shale
2
Tennessee Gas Pipeline
11,900 miles of pipeline 96 Bcf of storage capacity ~9.6 Bcf/d – design capacity Abundant & Growing Supply
System Overview
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System Flows – 2016
800 Line
500 Line
200 Line
300 Line
100 Line
200 Line
Long Haul to the south
Sta 87
Marcellus ~3.5 Bcf/d Utica ~1.3 Bcf/d ~1.9-2.0 Bcf/d South flow at Sta 87 Consistent exports to Mexico and Canada High system utilization
TGP Operations
4
TGP Increasing Annual Deliveries
*YTD through September
MD
th/d
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD
Zone 6
Zone 5
Zone 4
Zone 3
Zone 2
Zone 1
Zone L
Zone 0
+6%
+12%
+1%
Winter Look Back Summary
Peak Day Deliveries ~10.3 Bcfd on Jan 19, 2016 Storage (withdrawal) ~1.3 Bcfd on Jan 22, 2016 – Power Plant Load ~1.9 Bcfd on Feb 9, 2016
Winter OFO count
2015/2016 Zones 5 & 6 - 21 vs 11 in 2014/2015 8 OFO’s were directed at power plants (Dec/Jan) vs 5 in 2014/15
Storage Inventories remained at high levels
29% higher than the levels for 2014/15 and 45% higher than 2013/14.
Continuous communication between Commercial, Scheduling and Gas
Control Groups
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Winter Northeast Market Deliveries
2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 % Change
LDC 1,467 1,511 1,180 -22%
Power 274 315 327 +4%
Interconnects 1,316 1361 1,485 +9%
TOTAL 3,057 3,187 2,992 -6%
Volumes are MDth/d
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016
Wright
Utica
Shelton
Rex
Marcellus
Distrigas
Dracut
Broad Run
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Winter North Supply Analysis
Winter Period (Nov-Mar) Average MDth/d
+41%
+17%
+16%
MD
th/d
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Scheduled Volumes Winter Period (Nov-Mar)
MD
th/d
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
11/1/2015 12/1/2015 1/1/2016 2/1/2016 3/1/2016 4/1/2016
Segment 321
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
11/1/2015 12/1/2015 1/1/2016 2/1/2016 3/1/2016 4/1/2016
Segment 245
MD
th/d
Days % Restricted
Nov-Mar 2016 Apr-Oct 2016
10
System-Wide Storage Percent Full
SUMMER
WINTER
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|June 2014|
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Winter Readiness - Operations
• Scheduled Maintenance – All routine compressor station maintenance in the Market Area shall be completed by
early November. Examples include: • Station/Unit Protective Devices
• Compressor maintenance
• Borescope Inspections
• Device Calibration/Testing
• Test run units (as applicable)
– All routine pipeline and meter station maintenance in the Market Area shall be completed by early November. Examples include:
• Annual Valve Maintenance
• Auto Closure Checks
• Boiler Maintenance
• Device Calibration/Meter Tests (Ongoing)
• Winter Event Preparation – Check/Test run emergency equipment (i.e. generators, heaters, etc)
– Field Operations will be on site at key compressor stations during significant winter events.
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Possible Scheduling Processes Implemented during Winter
No delivery nominations allowed at Receipt Meters No receipt nominations allowed at Delivery Meters No meter bounces allowed at Power Plants Meters held to EPSQ Restriction locations adjusted as capacity utilization
changes Limitations of Storage Services/Linepack Services Imbalance Warnings Monthly OFOs Daily OFOs Meter Specific OFOs Hourly OFOs
TAKE-AWAYS
TGP’s portal site: http://webapps.elpaso.com/portalui/ Customer Information/Presentations
Appendix Includes: Progressive OFO chart OFO Matrix Dramatic flow changes from Dracut and Distrigas
Continuous communication between Commercial, Scheduling
and Gas Control Groups
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APPENDIX
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Operational Flow Orders
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17
DISTRIGAS SCHEDULED FLOWS 2013/14 vs 2014/15 vs 2015/16 (DTH)
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
2,000,000
NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
18
18
MARITIMES DRACUT SCHEDULED FLOWS 2013/14 vs 2014/15 vs 2015/16 (DTH)
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
8,000,000
9,000,000
NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16