2016 isle of man census - isle of man government€¦ · 2016 retired and elderly population •...
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2016 Isle of Man Census
Detailed Census Analysis
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0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+
2011
2016
2016 vs 2011 Population Profile
Under 50 population has fallen by 8% since 2011
Over 50 population has increased by 9% since 2011
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0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+
2011
2016
Births on the Isle of Man
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000
1050
1100
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Number of births 2005-2016
Birth are at their lowest since 1987
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0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+
2011
2016
Unique Inward Migration
The 2016 5-9 cohort is the only group to show net inward migration since 2011, with an increase in the cohort population of 99 in the 2011 0-4 year olds.
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0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+
2011
2016
Emigration of Young adults
The 2016 20-24 cohort shows that whilst there has been inward migration of 331, there has been outward migration of 1,017 individuals in the past 5 years. However the Island has more 20-21 year olds in full time education, at 34%, compared with the UK of 26%. There has been a significant downward trend of under 29s leaving home and living on their own. In 1996, 39% of 15-29 years olds lived away from home, compared with 29.9% in 2016.
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0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+
2011
2016
Life cycle at prime working age
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54
Looks after home and family in four largest census districts
RAMSEY DOUGLAS ONCHAN PEEL
There has been limited net outward migration in the 30-49 cohort, so whilst the Island has attracted 2,105 individuals, 2,312 have left in the past 5 years.
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0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+
2011
2016
Early exit from the work force
There is a significant proportion of individuals exiting the work force early within the 50 – 64 cohort: • 25% of men aged 60-64 have
retired from paid work
• 11% of women and 8.4% of men aged 55-59 have retired from paid work
• 6.3% of 50 – 64 year olds are unable to work due to long term sickness or disability
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0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+
2011
2016
Retired and Elderly Population
• The over 65 population on the Island now makes up 21% of the Island’s resident population, compared with 18% in 2011.
• 20% of 65 – 69 year olds are still in employment, with 6.5% of those over 70 still in employment
• Deaths for 2016 were 852, which is the highest since 2003.
• Inward migration is the lowest for those 65 and over, however 581 persons have moved to the Island since 2011.
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0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+
2011
2016
Over 95 Population
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100
120
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160
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200
220
240
1996 2001 2006 2011 2016
Increase in 95+ Population
Since 1996, the over 95 population has increased by 188%
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2015
Scotland
England
Wales
Ireland
N Ireland
Jersey
Guernsey
Isle of Man
Dependency Ratios
Cohort Movement
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
2006 - 2011 2011 - 2016
Young Adult Migration
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
2006 - 2011
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
2011 - 2016
Movement in Core (25-54) Working Age Population
33,152
4,384 4,815
-2,611
-5,243
34,497 34,497
4,719
3,022
-3,689 -6,054
32,495
-10,000
-5,000
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Core Working Age
Population
New Comers Migrants In Migrants Out Leavers New Core Working
Age Population
2011
2016
2006
Working population by Economic Sector
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2011 2016
Changing nature of jobs undertaken
-2,000
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
Managers,directors and
senior officials
Professionaloccupations
(e.g. Scientists,Engineers,Doctors &Teachers)
Associateprofessional
and technicaloccupations(e.g. PoliceConstables,Pilots, DataAnalysts &Trainers)
Administrativeand secretarial
occupations
Skilled tradesoccupations
Caring, leisureand other
serviceoccupations
Sales andcustomer
serviceoccupations
Process, plantand machine
operatives
Elementaryoccupations(unskilled)
2011 to 2016
Economic Sector by Place of Birth and Year of Residency
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2011 - 2016
2000 - 2010
Pre 2000
% IOM
Economic Sector by Age
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
55+
40-54
25-39
16-24
Migrant Working Population by Sector
Medical and health
services 25%
Other Financial and
Business Services
25%
Miscellaneous services
18%
Construction 16%
Retail distribution
16%
Largest 5 Sectors for Migrants – Pre 2011 Arrival
Medical and health
services 34%
ICT (includes Egaming)
18%
Miscellaneous services
17%
Entertainment and catering
16%
Other Financial and
Business Services
15%
Largest 5 Sectors for Migrants - Post 2011 Arrival
Employment by Age Group
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
15-24 25-39 40-54 55-64
Self-Employed - Not Employing Others
Self-Employed - Employing Others
Part Time - More than one employer
Part Time
Full Time
Internal Migration by Working Population
North: Lezayre, Jurby, Andreas, Bride and Maughold South: Malew, Arbory and Rushen East: Braddan, Lonan, Marown and Santon West: Michael, German and Patrick Parishes have been grouped based on their categorisation in the Area Plans.
Resident Pop Net Daily
Migration Day Time Population % Movement
Douglas 26,997 10,243 37,240 38%
Ramsey 7,845 -507 7,338 -6%
Peel 5,374 -1,257 4,117 -23%
Castletown 3,216 -122 3,094 -4%
Port Erin 3,484 -785 2,699 -23%
Port St Mary 1,916 -414 1,502 -22%
Laxey 1,676 -387 1,289 -23%
Onchan 9,128 -2,754 6,374 -30%
North 5,848 -1,610 4,238 -28%
South 6,251 -838 5,413 -13%
East 7,446 -748 6,698 -10%
West 4,133 -1,208 2,925 -29%
Off Island 387
Reason for Not being in Work (16-64)
0
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4000
Is at school orfull-time
education
Looks after homeor family (soley)
Is unable to workdue to long term
sickness
Is unable to workdue to
permanent, longterm disability
Unemployedlooking for work
Retirement Other
2011
2016
Reason for Not being in Work by Age
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
16-24 25-39 40-54 55-64
Other
Unemployed, looking for work
Is unable to work due to permanent long termsickness or disability
Looks after home or family (solely)
Is retired
Is at school or in full time education
• Significant emigration of 20-29 year olds
• Increasing numbers of over 95s
• Falling birth rate
• Changing nature of the jobs undertaken
• Growth employment areas are those with the highest levels of immigration.
Key Points