2016 annual general meeting - norbord · 2019. 2. 20. · 2016 annual general meeting . april 29,...

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2016 Annual General Meeting April 29, 2016

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  • 2016 Annual General Meeting April 29, 2016

  • Peter Gordon Chair

  • Peter Wijnbergen President & Chief Executive Officer

  • Forward-Looking Statements

    • All financial references are expressed in US$ unless otherwise noted.

    • This presentation contains forward-looking statements and estimates.

    • Actual company results could differ materially from a conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information.

    • Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information.

    • Additional information can be found in the Company’s annual information form, annual MD&A, and on Norbord’s website (www.norbord.com) about the material factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information, and the material factors or assumptions that were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information.

    • During the course of this presentation, certain non-IFRS financial information will be presented. Definitions and reconciliation of terms can be found in the Company’s annual and quarterly MD&A.

    4

  • Agenda

    5

    2015 in Review

    The State of the Company

    Favourable Market Conditions in North America

    Accelerating Demand Growth in Europe

  • 2015 in Review

  • Created North American leader in OSB

    Announced European growth plans

    Strong operational performance

    Five mills OSHA recordable incident free

    NYSE listing – ‘OSB’ ticker symbol

    2015 Highlights

    7

  • Norbord Begins Trading on the New York Stock Exchange

    8

    Photo credit: NYSE/Valerie Caviness

  • 2014 2015

    North Central OSB Price (US$/Msf-7/16”) $218 $209

    Adjusted EBITDA (US$ millions) $115 $122

    Shipments (MMsf-3/8”) 6,929 7,237

    Adjusted EPS, basic and diluted (US$) $(0.20) $(0.17)

    Captured Synergies (annualized, US$ millions) n/a $27

    Dividends Paid per Share (C$) $2.40 $0.70

    2015 Financial Highlights

    9

    +4%

    -4%

    Note: 2014 comparatives restated to reflect Ainsworth merger

    +6%

  • 0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    $0

    $100

    $200

    $300

    $400

    2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018F

    Analyst Forecast

    Encouraging Demand and Price Outlook

    10

    North Central OSB Price vs OSB Demand

    Source: Random Lengths, Analyst reports and Forest Economics Advisors, LLC

    OSB Demand Bsf 3/8” Basis

    Annual avg. NC OSB Price

    US$ per Msf 7/16"

    Demand

    Price

  • The State of the Company

  • “Best in Class Margins”

    12

    37

    28

    56

    9 14

    29

    16

    25 23

    0

    24

    43

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Margin Improvement Program Gains ($ millions) In Control of Our Controllables

    “…the consistency and the magnitude of [Norbord’s] outperformance [versus peers] is impressive.”

    (Mark Wilde/Ketan Mamtora, BMO Capital Markets, March 16, 2016)

  • Track Record of Disciplined Capital Allocation

    13

    Countercyclical M&A

    • Ainsworth merger (2015)

    • Acquired Genk, Belgium mill (2004)

    • Acquired remaining 50% of Bemidji, Minnesota mill (2004)

    • Acquired Texas and Georgia mills (2002)

    Investment in capacity

    • Modernization / expansion of Inverness mill (2016-17)

    • Twinned Cordele, Georgia line (2006)

    Disciplined capital expenditure

    • $25 million annual maintenance capex

    • Additional investment to debottleneck capacity and lower manufacturing costs

  • 1 10 20 30 40 50 60

    Inverness Fines Screening Paid Back in Less Than One Year

    14

    Capital Investment

    Cumulative Savings

    Savings (Lower Raw Material Use)

    Time (weeks)

    < 1 year payback

  • 0x

    3x

    6x

    9x

    12x

    $0

    $25

    $50

    $75

    $100

    Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16F Q3 16F Q4 16F

    Leverage Metrics Improving Rapidly

    15

    Adjusted EBITDA vs Net Debt

    Analyst Forecast

    Quarterly Adj. EBITDA

    Net Debt to LTM Adj. EBITDA

    Source: Analyst reports

    11.7x

    4.8x

    3.4x

  • Setting the Record Straight

    16

    Lower oil prices mean lower costs

    Weaker Canadian dollar means lower costs

    OSB not exposed to Chinese slowdown

    Softwood Lumber Agreement does not affect OSB

  • Favourable Market Conditions in North America

  • US Housing in 7th Year of Recovery

    18

    US Housing Starts and Underlying Demand

    Source: US Census Bureau and Forest Economics Advisors, LLC (FEA)

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018F

    Millions

    FEA Forecast

    Underlying Demand

    Pent-up demand > 3.5 million homes

  • 2015 Future

    Specialty Products Will Drive Substitution Growth

    19

    Specialty

    Value added

    Commodity

    New home construction

    Repair & remodel

    Industrial & export

    • Reduced dependence on new home construction • More predictable, stable margins over business cycle

  • Commodity OSB: The Core of Our Business

    20

    Standard OSB sold into new home construction,

    repair & remodel

  • Value Added Products Save Builders Money

    21

    OSB enhanced for higher value proposition

  • Growth Opportunity in Specialty Products

    22

    Upholstered furniture

    Utility trailer

    Container flooring

  • Accelerating Demand Growth in Europe

  • Europe Earlier on Substitution Curve Than North America

    24 Source: Forest Economics Advisors, LLC and Norbord estimates

    OSB Share of Structural Panels

    0%

    25%

    50%

    75%

    1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

    Europe

    North America

    66%

    43%

  • Inverness: Expanding to Meet Growing Demand

    25

  • Reposition Business

    Grow European OSB

    Grow NA specialty volume

    Increase stability

    Strategic Repositioning Differentiates Norbord

    26

    Optimize Existing Operations

    Deliver merger synergies Return to full capacity

    Improve margins

    Increase EBITDA

  • 27

    “Best in class margins”

    Prudent allocators of capital

    Improving financial metrics

    Favourable market fundamentals

    Strategy for long-term value creation

    Great Time to be Invested in Norbord

  • Questions

    2016 Annual General MeetingPeter Gordon�ChairPeter Wijnbergen�President & Chief Executive OfficerForward-Looking StatementsAgendaSlide Number 62015 HighlightsNorbord Begins Trading on the New York Stock Exchange2015 Financial HighlightsEncouraging Demand and Price OutlookSlide Number 11“Best in Class Margins”Track Record of Disciplined Capital AllocationInverness Fines Screening Paid Back in Less Than One YearLeverage Metrics Improving RapidlySetting the Record StraightSlide Number 17US Housing in 7th Year of RecoverySpecialty Products Will Drive Substitution GrowthCommodity OSB: The Core of Our BusinessValue Added Products Save Builders MoneyGrowth Opportunity in Specialty ProductsSlide Number 23Europe Earlier on Substitution Curve Than North AmericaInverness: Expanding to Meet Growing DemandStrategic Repositioning Differentiates NorbordGreat Time to be Invested in NorbordSlide Number 28