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    1990-2000a

    LaboratoryofHydraulics,Hydrology and Glaciology

    oftheSwissFederal InstituteofTechnology, Zurich

    for World

    In

    Copingstudyon

    DISASTER RESILIENT

    INFRASTRUCTURECornmissioned by the

    Secretariat for the International Decade for

    Natural Disaster Reduction

    for the

    Forum 1999

    "Partnershipsfor safer world in the 21 century"

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    ...-

    PREFACE

    In December 1998 an agreement was signed to provide support for the organization ofIDNDRProgram Forum to be held in July 1999 and its preparatory process through undertaking acoping studyonthe themeDisaster Resilient InfrastructurebyVersuchsanstalt fr Wasserbau,Hydrologie und Glaziologie(VAW)ofETHZurich withintheproject "Coping StudiesonResearch Needs for Future Disaster Reduction". These coping studies implemented andcoordinated bytheGraduate Institute of International Studies, Geneva, the Programme for theStudyofInternational Organizations

    VAWisdoing research only in some fields of natural hazardsimpulse waves and ice avalanches. Therefore, it was necessaryto

    floods, debris flow,partners to contributeto

    this report. Fortunately it was possible to find experts in each field of natura! hazard that werewilling to write a chapterofthis report.Itake this opportunity to all authors for theirvaluable conmbutions.Adetailed list of authorsisprovided.

    To to the study wasachalienge. It is not easytosummarize the essentialsonsuch limited space.Andifthe report gets too voluminous it would be toodifficulttcread. 1hopethatthe right equilibriumwasfound and this report introducesthereaderonthe main

    problems,risks,butalso research needs and necessary activities to be taken in relationtonatural hazards.

    IwanttothankDr. Warner, DirectorofPIIO,the project coordinator for the excellentcooperation and Dr. forhavingcoordinated asaproject head.

    Prof. Dr. H.-E. Minor

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    -v-

    Contributing Authors

    Ammann, Walter

    Boll, Albert

    Bonnard, Christophe

    Dr., Head, Swiss Federal Institute forSnowand AvalancheResearch (SLF), Flelastrasse11,7260Davos Dorf

    WSL, Abtl. Wasser-, Erd- und Felsbewegungen,8903

    SoilMechanics Laboratory,SwissFederal InstituteofTechnology (EPFL,),1015

    Conedera, Marco FNPSottostazioneSud Alpi, Via 22,6504

    Descoeudres,

    M.E.

    Funk,Martin

    Prof. Dr., Rock Mechanics Laboratory, Swiss Federal Instituteof Technology(EPFL),1015Lausanne

    Dr.,Swiss Federal Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research(SLF), Flelastrasse 11,7260 Davos Dorf

    Dr., Laboratory for Hydraulics, Hydrology and Glaciology(VAW),SwissFederal InstituteofTechnology8092 Zrich

    Ger ber, Erd- Felsbewegungen,8903

    Prof.DI-.,LaboratoryforHydraulics, Hydrology and Glaciology(VAW),Swiss Federal Institute of Technology

    8092 Ziirich

    Lnbiouse, Vincent Dr., Rock Mechanics Laboratory, Swiss Federal Instituteof Technology (EPFL), 1015 Lausanne

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    -1-

    CONTENTS

    GENERALREMARKANDSUMMARY

    1.

    5

    9

    1.1

    1.2

    1.3

    1.4

    Introduction

    Static and dynamic wind loads

    Codes

    Possibilitiestoprevent disasters

    9

    9

    10

    10

    1.4.21.4.31.4.41.4.5

    1.4.7

    1.4.8

    RoofsExterior walls and

    and tentsScaffolding and cranesTanks, vesselsandcooling towers

    and stacksBridges

    Erection stages

    10

    11111313

    131314

    Reference

    2.SNOWAVALANCHES

    15

    17

    2.1 Introduction 17

    2.2 Avalanche and damage scenarios 18

    2.3 Avalanche protection measures 19

    2.3.12.3.22.3.32.3.4

    Avalanche forecastinghazard mapping

    Technicalf

    1919

    222325

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    4.ROCKFALLS 37

    4.1

    4.2

    tion

    Rockfallresilient infrastructure

    37

    38

    4.2.14.2.2

    methodsProtecting measures

    3838

    4.3 Wire net rockfall barriers 39

    4.3.1

    4.3.2

    4.3.4

    IntroductionFull-scale testingofrockfall barriersForces and design criteria

    Summaryand outlook

    394041

    424.4 Rocksheds 43

    4.4.14.4.24.4.34.4.4

    4.4.6

    IntroductionDescriptionofproblemTest deviceQuantitative evaluation of forcesInclined impactsConclusions

    434343454646

    References

    5 .LANDSLIDES

    46

    49

    5.1 Introduction 49

    5.2

    5.3

    Mainfactors

    Slide resilient

    landslide resilient infrastructure 49

    50

    5.3.1

    5.3.25.3.3

    Modificationofslope geometry 50

    515152

    5 4 Debris flow 53

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    7.EARTHQUAKES 65

    7.1 Characteristics and damages 657.2

    7.3

    Importanceofinfrastructure for disaster response

    Vulnerabilityofinfrastructure

    rehabilitation 66

    66

    7.3.17.3.27.3.3

    characteristicsofVulnerabilityofVulnerabilityof

    systems

    components

    67

    67

    68

    7.4 Risk mitigation 68

    8 .FORESTFIRES 71

    8.1

    8.2

    8.3

    8.4

    8.5

    8.6

    8.7

    8.8

    Introduction

    Forest fire data bases

    Fire history

    Effectsofforest fires

    Fire risk prediction

    Fire

    Fire

    Conclusions

    71

    71

    71

    72

    73

    73

    74

    74

    References 75

    9.FLOOD9.1

    9.2

    ANDINFRASTRUCTURALDEFENSEpower

    anddisposalplants,transportation schemes

    77

    77

    78

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    GENERAL REMARK AND SUMMARY

    Minor

    Economic losses attributable to natural hazardsrisesteadily as the figuresofMunichReensurance demonstrate. And eacn yearanotable ofpersonsare ordisplaced atleastforsometime from their homeareas.Thereare reasons for the increaseofimpactby natural hazards:

    Extensionofsettlementsincluding the corresponding infrastructure and productive plantsiscontinuing. Not only the growing numberofpeopleisa reason but also the steadyimprovement of the built environment. Globalizationandthepronounced divisionoflabor

    in world economy add even moreinthefuture.

    There is and will bemore infrastructurein the future that canbedamaged;itscost is increasing.

    Human activities withitssettlements and infrastructure spread into endangered areassometimes brcause no other spaceisavailable. Thisisconvenient just onashort sight.

    at flood plains for examplearelower than on hilly ground.Sincefloodsoccurnotevery year, larger floods more than five years ago are normaly forgotten.

    Sports-activities andtourismalso push into more extreme areas and addtotheinfrastructure.

    All these are exposed to a highriskbut at the time theyareexpectedtowithstand disastrous impacts during natural hazards. This is not always possible. Man mustrealize that100% doesnot exist,especiallynotif structures are exposed consciouslytonatural hazard. They cannot be made safe against all possible impacts of natural hazards.some cases itissimply not possible because of lackoftechnical means whileitwouldbemuch

    tooexpensive in other situations.

    Another approach istodefinehazard zones.In the most critical zones with a high hazardpotential construction couldbeprohibited,inthe second zone with a potential hazard,

    i i h ld b d i h l h d d i hi d

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    scenario, but all natural hazards of a site should be investigated atthesametimedefinethecombinedriskof endangered areas.

    In this context it must be mentioned that different hazardsaretreated separately by thecorresponding specialist. However, two or more hazards mayin teractand the expertshavetocome up with a common definitionofsolution.Futureresearch has to takethisaspectalsointo account.

    The different chapters of this report aimtopresent the specific research needs in more detailordefine the necessary activitiestobeas regarded by the authors.

    outtomake infrastructure more disaster resilient,

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    Table1Possibilities of hazard intervention

    Hazard

    Lone

    snowavalanches

    iceavalanches

    landslides debris flow impulse wave: earthquake forestfires

    or slope geometry, check dams instructures, retaining and scour

    measures,

    stabilize

    slides,

    nonerelease ofavalanches, none ment,

    asforlandslide draw downreservoir,

    none none

    silviculture,reforestation

    drainage.

    Large, steepslopes

    cannotstabilized

    controlslide velocity

    I

    deviation structures to protection dams RetentionI

    little,retaining

    divertavalanche

    variousstructures none

    tokeepdebris

    of nonebasins,flood

    vortexshedding retarding

    away from to holdbrick

    vaiunerablestructures

    reservoir

    structures

    of

    Japanese trap anddriftwood

    increaseimpact landslides vcry limited designof river capacity,

    state structures limited rock arccsscntially structures, flooddykes,of thedesign

    not able to resistlands-

    lide

    butalso more spaceforriver,increaseerosion

    resistance