2013 quarterly results analyst call on q1 - gfk · 2013 quarterly results – analyst call on q1...
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© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 1
2013 QUARTERLY RESULTS –
ANALYST CALL ON Q1 Matthias Hartmann, CEO
Pamela Knapp, CFO
May, 15th 2013
© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 2
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completeness and the information contained herein should not be deemed as a guarantee in this respect.
The information contained in this presentation may be supplemented, amended and updated. Certain statements made herein may
express future expectations, which are based on current opinions and assumptions of the management and are subject to foreseeable
and unforeseeable risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance and events may differ considerably from the statements
expressed in the present information, partly due to changing business or market conditions and to the growth prospects forecast by the
management of GfK SE. These and other factors may have an unfavorable impact on the results and financial consequences described
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future events or for other reasons. You should not rely on statements made about future developments, which simply express
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© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 3
1. Highlights of Q1 2013
Matthias Hartmann, CEO
2. Financial results of Q1
Pamela Knapp, CFO
3. Q&A
Matthias Hartmann, CEO
Pamela Knapp, CFO
Agenda
© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 5
1) Consumer Insight segment isolated. WPPs Consumer Insight segment comprises of Kantar, TNS, Millward Brown, and The Futures Company, amongst others.<
Financial Performance in Q1 2013
Total Organic At constant FX rates
-5,3 -2,7
29.0
3,2
1,0
2,5 3,1
0
4,0
Nielsen does not report
organic growth. 1)
Sales growth in % for Q1 2013
Consumer Insight segment
Ipsos does not report
constant FX rates growth.
In EUR million Q1 2012 Q1 2013
Sales 345.1 347.9
Adjusted operating income 33.5 23.0
End of Q1: Order Book 57.5% 55.1%
0,8 0,6
1,7
© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 6
Key Operational Highlights in Q1
Slow start with clear
uptick in March,
positive momentum in
April
• January and February below expectations
• Strong March order intake
• April indications strong for CC
Emerging markets drive
strong organic growth • APAC and returned strength in CEE / META drive healthy organic growth
Margin impacted
by delayed bookings
and transformation
cost
• CE impacted by slow order intake in first 2 months while cost base is fixed
(e.g. Consumer Panel)
• CC with better start on Consumer Electronics, but strong order intake in
April with Q2 impact
• Formation of global operations centers started
• Audience Measurement new business pipeline up by factor 4 year on year
• Continue rollout of digital platforms
Progress on mid-term
growth levers
© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 7
In Retail Tracking, we keep growing the Retailer base
Cooperation worldwide not including North-America
• 128.000 retailers worldwide with 425,000 shops (+ 14,4% in 2012), representing a universe
of 2,3 million shops, deliver data every month / week
• Excellent coverage of online shops since 2006 in Western Europe: strong and constant
enlargement of the online sample for Pure Players and Click & Mortars
• Weekly reporting now on 30% of clients
Top 50 Cooperating Retailers - Example
© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 9
62
2
Good sales growth in CEE/META and APAC
Sales in EUR million
Total Growth
Organic Growth
FX Effect
Northern Europe
142 140
0 0
2012 2013
-1.4%
-1.3%
-0.6%
North America
63 64
0 0
2012 2013
+1.9%
-2.8%
+0.7%
CEE/META
27 30
0 0
2012 2013
+12.6%
+10.9%
-1.2%
Southern and Western Europe
65 64
0 0
2012 2013
-1.7%
-1.7%
Latin America
15 14
2012 2013
Asia and the Pacific
34 36
0 0
2012 2013
+6.1%
+10.6%
-4.5%
-4.5%
+1.3%
-5.8% No FX effect
© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 10
Rounding differences possible
Slight increase in sales combined with higher cost base did hurt
the profit in both sectors
In EUR million Sales Growth rate in % AOI Margin in %
Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Total Organic Acqui-
sitions Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2012 Q1 2013
Consumer
Experiences 205.6 206.8 0.6 -0.4 1.9 7.9 2.4 3.8 1.2
Consumer
Choices 137.8 139.8 1.4 2.2 0.1 27.2 23.0 19.7 16.5
Other 1.6 1.3 - - - -1.6 -2.5 - -
Total 345.1 347.9 0.8 0.6 1.2 33.5 23.0 9.7 6.6
© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 11
Margin has been impacted by costs for structural changes
and delayed order intake
Volume/Cost/
Sales Mix Effect
Companies on
“watch-list” SCOPE CE ramp-up CC ramp-up
Operational
Severance
9.7
6.6
Turkey
Q1 2012 Q1 2013
-0.5 clean-up -1.2 ramp-up -1.4 under-
performance
Q1 2012 AOI-margin compared to Q1 2013 (in pps)
-0.2 -0.3 -0.6 -0.2
-0.4 +0.2
-1.6
© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 12
Personnel cost increased significantly compared to Q1 2012
4.0
172.8
Other
4.2
Special Effects
0.7
Restructuring
1.1
Business
Ramp up
1.9
Acquisitions
and Newly
Consolidated
160.9
Q1 2012 Q1 2013
Increase + 2.5% + 1.2% + 0.7% + 0.4% + 2.6% + 7.4%
Ramp up in personnel already occurred in 2012 (average FTE: 12,224 / year end FTE: 12,678)
Average personnel cost Q2-Q4/2012: EUR 175m per quarter
Strong cost containment measures are being implemented in order to balance further personnel cost
increase
FTE
11,821
FTE
12,880
© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 13
Rounding differences possible
Q1 Profit and Loss
In EUR million Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Change
in %
Sales 345.1 347.9 +0.8
Gross income from sales 105.5 98.9 -6.3
EBITDA 41.2 32.2 -21.8
Adjusted operating income 33.5 23.0 -31.5
AOI Margin in per cent1) 9.7 6.6
EBIT 27.4 18.8 -31.3
Other financial income / expenses -4.3 -5.1 -18.5
Tax on income from ongoing business
activity -8.7 -4.9 +44.1
Tax ratio in per cent 37.7 35.5
Consolidated total income 14.4 8.8 -38.5
© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 14
Rounding differences possible
Highlighted Items down by 2.2 million
In EUR million Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Change
in EUR m
Write-ups and write-downs of additional assets identified on
acquisitions -2.8 -2.5 +0.3
Regular amortization of additional assets from acquisitions -2.8 -2.5 +0.3
Impairment (incl. reversal) of additional assets from acquisitions 0.0 0.0
Income and expenses in connection with share and asset deals +0.2 -0.1 -0.3
Income and expenses in connection with reorganization and
improvement projects -1.2 -1.8 -0.6
Personnel expenses for share-based incentive payments -2.3 -0.7 +1.6
Currency conversion differences -0.5 +0.6 +1.1
Income and expenses related to one-off effects and other exceptional
circumstances -0.1 0.0 +0.1
Highlighted items -6.7 -4.5 +2.2
© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 15
Rounding differences possible
Operating Cash flow improves to 9.5 million Euro thanks to a strong
decrease in working capital
In EUR million Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Change in
EUR m
Consolidated total income 14.4 8.8 -5.6
Amortization (incl. reversal) 13.8 13.4 -0.4
Changes in inventories, receivables, payables 2.2 25.9 +23.7
Others (non-cash items) -34.3 -43.2 -8.9
Interest result 5.0 4.6 -0.4
Cash flow from operating activity +1.0 +9.5 +8.5
Capital Expenditure -13.0 -14.5 -1.5
Free cash flow before acquisitions, other investments
and asset disposals -11.9 -5.0 +6.9
Acquisitions, other investments and asset disposals -75.1 -27.3 +47.8
Free cash flow after acquisitions, other investments and
asset disposals -87.0 -32.3
+54.7
© GfK 2013 | 2013 Q1 Results| May 15th 2013 16
Guidance for 2013 and 2015 (end of year)
2013
2015
• Organic sales growth of 3 – 4%
• AOI margin of around 13% (around +60 bps)
• End of March 2013, the order book showed 55.1% (2012: 57.5%)
of expected sales for 2013
• Positive order intake trend of March continued in April
• 1.9 – 2bn EUR sales
• This includes sales from future acquisitions (2013 – 2015) of around EUR 100m
• AOI margin in the range of 15 – 16%