2012 total telecom

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Andreas Bernstroms' presentation from Total Telecom, Nov 2012

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Page 1: 2012 total telecom
Page 2: 2012 total telecom
Page 3: 2012 total telecom

Second20 million

2 billion96.8%

$90 million60%

Largest mobile VoIP companyRebtel usersPaid MinutesApproval RateRev.Run Rate end-2012of new users through viral

Who We Are

Page 4: 2012 total telecom

Apps for smartphones, PC and tablets

98% savings on international calls

Seamless call interception

Wi-Fi/3G to PSTN step-up

Free Rebtel-to-Rebtel calls over data

API’s for IOS, Android developers

What We Do

Page 5: 2012 total telecom

The past, current and future of voice, OTTs and operators

Page 6: 2012 total telecom

The fastest-growing mega industry

Mobile $1 trillion 2012

A few dominant players

6 billion accounts

Page 7: 2012 total telecom

Vodafone

439$11bn profits

Telefonica

232$14bn profits

America Movil

246

Telenor

150Verizon

108

China Mobile

667$10bn profits

Bharti Airtel

261

VimpelCom

209China Unicom

222

Reliance

183

MTN

139

* Subscribers (millions)

TeliaSonera

170Orange

175

Incumbents

Page 8: 2012 total telecom

toCost to call from !"!

#"$#%

%"!&SEK 10

%"!&

Page 9: 2012 total telecom

Why So Pricey?

Investment in network

Because they can - Oligopoly

Huge amounts of staff

Subsidized handsets & physical stores

Post-pay business model

Haven’t embraced opportunity of digital

Page 10: 2012 total telecom

Value

Then

Page 11: 2012 total telecom

Convenient

Value

User friendly

Cheaper

Easier

Now

(and mobile)

Page 12: 2012 total telecom

Viber

100$0m rev.

Skype

668 $860m rev.

Rebtel

20$85m rev.

* Users (millions)

Kakao Talk

50Kik

19 Nimbuzz

100

Tencent

50

WhatsApp

100textPlus

17

Voxer

50$0m rev.

Tango

45Disruptors

Page 13: 2012 total telecom

Cloud/Open Source Technology

Digital Distribution

No Physical Presence

Low Margins

Organic Growth

Strong UI/UX Focus

Why So Cheap?

Page 14: 2012 total telecom

Mobile VoIP$36 billion

500 million users by 2016 Frost & Sullivan 2011

Page 15: 2012 total telecom

Voice and Text have remained the same for decades

The latest operator-driven innovation?Interoperability

Chetan Sharma

Page 16: 2012 total telecom

12%

32%52%

4%

US

11%

24%

61%

4%

UK

...50% of all mobile users have a smartphone and70% of all phones sold are smartphones

Both in UK and US...

Page 17: 2012 total telecom

US Mobile Data Growth Curve

*Chetan Sharma Consulting

2,000

02006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

peta

byte

s pe

r yea

r

Page 18: 2012 total telecom

iTunes Top Social Networking Free Apps

More than half are

OTT Voice - Text - Video

Page 19: 2012 total telecom

According to senior operators execs, telco SMS revenue will decline on average by 40% in four years time

25%

In three years time, in your geography, how much willtotal mobile carrier messaging revenues have

declined from today?

0-9%10-19% 30-39% 50-59% 70-79%

20-29% 40-49% 60-69% over 80%

*Delegate Vote, New Digital Economics Executive Brainstorm, November 2011

Page 20: 2012 total telecom

*Delegate Vote, New Digital Economics Executive Brainstorm, November 2011

25%

In three years time, in your geography, how much willtotal mobile carrier voice revenues have

declined from today?

0-4%5-9% 15-19% 25-29% 35-39% 45-49%

over 50%10-14% 20-24% 30-34% 40-44%

According to senior operators execs, telco voice revenue will decline on average by 20% in four years time

Page 21: 2012 total telecom

“The magnitude of upcoming change will be stunning. We are still in spring training” - Mary Meeker

Page 22: 2012 total telecom

“The Times They Are A-Changin’” - Bob Dylan

ThenNow

Provide access Control device

Control service

Own billing relationshipOwn address book

Page 23: 2012 total telecom

So, what’s the game plan?

Page 24: 2012 total telecom

Bullying?

Blocking VoIP-based OTT services

Applying Traffic Shaping

Lobbying against net-neutrality

Page 25: 2012 total telecom
Page 26: 2012 total telecom

DIY - Do It Yourself

Page 27: 2012 total telecom

Digital Innovation Hubs

Page 28: 2012 total telecom

&

&&

Partnerships

&

Page 29: 2012 total telecom

&

&

&

Acquisitions

&

Page 30: 2012 total telecom

=

Speed to market?Single purpose?New and innovative?Free? Fast iteration?

Linked in

Personalisedadvertising

Presence

Man to machinecommunication

Network addressbooks and groups

Socialcommunities

Chat

Videoenrichments

File sharing

Enhancedphonebook None of the above

RSC - Joyn

Page 31: 2012 total telecom

Diversify

*Chetan Sharma Consulting

Subscriber Penetration

Voice

Net R

even

ue

Messaging

AccessVAS / OTT

VoIP IP MessagingCloud

Advertising

Page 32: 2012 total telecom

Embrace data based revenue model

Understand customer needs

Learn from, embrace and work with OTT

Transfer to digital model

Be simple, honest and open

Page 33: 2012 total telecom

Run! These guys are crazy...

Page 34: 2012 total telecom

Andreas Bernstrom, CEO, Rebtel@AndreasCB