20110722 usvc portfolio_english
DESCRIPTION
We analyze each portfolio of the selected US venture capitals. In doing so, we sort those startups into some categories based on technologies such as Renewable Energy and Energy Management. We then evaluate opportunities for Japanese cleantech startups.TRANSCRIPT
ⓒ 2011 insprout Corporation.
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An Analysis of US Venture Capital Investment Trends in
Cleantech Startups
July 22, 2011
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Table of Contents
1. What is Smart Grid?
2. Smart Grid Associated Technologies
3. US Venture Capitals
• Investment Trends
• Portfolio Analysis
4. Implications for Japanese Cleantech Startups
5. Conclusion
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Introduction
Purpose
We analyze each portfolio of the selected US venture capitals. In
doing so, we sort those startups into some categories based on
technologies such as Renewable Energy and Energy Management.
We then evaluate opportunities for Japanese cleantech startups.
Conclusion
1. VC investment concentrates on “Energy production”, “Egergy
Management Systems (EMS)”, and “Batteries.”
2. For Japanese cleantech startups, it seems that “Demand Side” of
Smart Grid presents more business opportunities than Supply side
due to the following three reasons: direct contact to consumers,
technological overlaps, and required capital.
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1. Smart Grid’s Concept
Source: Toshiba Home Page
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1. A Defenition of Smart Grid
�A “smart grid” is a set of software and hardware tools that enable
generators to route power more efficiently, reducing the need for
excess capacity and allowing two-way, real time information
exchange with their customers for real time demand side management
(DSM).*SMART 2020: "Enabling the low carbon economy in theinformation age" Global Sustainability Initiative
From a business perspective, we need to divide the composition
elements of smart grid into some meaningful classifications.
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2.Technical Domains of Smart Grid
TransmissionTransmission DistributionDistributionGenerationGeneration ConsumptionConsumption
Renewable EnergiesRenewable Energies
Alternative EnergiesAlternative Energies
Energy Production
Wide Area Monitoring SystemWide Area Monitoring System
Monitoring&Control of System Power Supply
Distribution AutomationDistribution Automation
Superconducting TransmissionSuperconducting Transmission
Effective Operation of System Power Supply
Power Electronics Applied EquipmentPower Electronics Applied Equipment
AMI・Smart MeterAMI・Smart Meter
Advanced Interface Technologies
Power Conditioner TechnologiesPower Conditioner Technologies
EMSEMS
EVEV
Energy Consumption
Energy Storage TechnologiesEnergy Storage Technologies
Energy Storage6
1 2 3
4
5
RecycleRecycleFossil Fuel EfficiencyFossil Fuel Efficiency
Energy SavingEnergy Saving
※Classifications are based on Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) “Renewable Energy Technology White Paper 2010.”
1)
2)
3)
4) 5) 6)
7)
8)
9)10)
11)
12)
13)
14)
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2. Six Main Technological Domains of Smart Grid(LEV1)
Technological
Domain
Technological
Domain
①Energy Production
②Monitoring&Control
of System Power Supply
③Energy
Consumption
④Effective Operation
of System Power
Supply
⑤Advanced Interface
Technologies
⑥Energy Storage
DescriptionDescription
Includes renewable energies and bio fuels. It also includes fossil fuel
efficiency. Difference in business structures such as manufacturing solar
panels and operating a power plant are not taken into account.
Refers to monitoring & control technology used at central load dispatching
center and local transformer substations.
Refers to various technologies that control energy consumption of consumers.
It includes HEMS, FEMS, BEMS, and Demand Response. It also includes
EVs and affiliated technologies such as V2G.
Refers to technologies that concern effective and flexible operation of system
power supply. It includes such technologies as superconducting transmission,
ultra‐high voltage power transmission, and power electronics.
Refers to advanced interface technologies that connect between distributed
generation and system power supply. It deals with sending & receiging
information and include such things as smart meters power conditioners.
Refers to energy storage technologies such as batteries.
CompaniesCompanies
Sharp, Kyocera
BrightSource Energy
Altarock Energy
Toshiba, GE,
SIEMENS
IBM, EnerNOC、Tendrill, Opower,
Tesla
Sumitomo Electric,
ABB
Siver Spring Networks,
Itron, Landis+Gyr,
Mitsubishi Electric
Panasonic,
NGK Insulators
※Classifications are based on Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) “Renewable Energy Technology White Paper 2010.”
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2. Fourteen Sub Technological Domains of Smart Grid(LEV2-1)
DescriptionDescriptionTechnological
Domain
Technological
DomainCompaniesCompanies
①Energy Production
1) Renewable Energies
Renewable enegies(photovoltaic generation, solar thermal power, wind power, geothermal
power, etc). Business structures such as manufacturing solar panels and operating a
power plant are not taken into account.
Bio Fuels (ie. Ethanol), and their affiliated businesses
Fossil fuel efficiency technologies such as decreasing CO2 emission, and conversion
technologies to natural gas.
②Monitoring&Control
of System Power Supply
4) WASA
Monitor & control of system power supply such as PMU (Pharos Measurement Unit)collectsdata of electric current & voltage and thus monitoring the conditions of system power supply.
It controls system power supply optimally, and deters & prevents the system’s collapse.
Monitos electric current and voltage running through distribution lines and electric
power substations, automatically controls the swich of distribution lines, and therefore
increases the reliability of distribution lines as well as softening maintenance work.
③Energy Consumption
6) EMS Techonologies
Process of managing the consumption of energy, generally to optimize available and
planned generation resources. It includes HEMS, BEMS, FEMS, and Demand Response.
Sharp, Kyocera
BrightSource Energy
Altarock Energy
Amyris Biotechnologies
Mascoma, Gevo, KiOR
GreatPoint Energy
Luca Technologies
Toshiba, GE, Siemens
EnerNOC, Tendrill,
Opower
①Energy Production
2) Alternative Energies
①Energy Production
3) Fossil Fuel Efficiency
Toshiba, GE, Siemens
③Energy Consumption
7) EVRefers to EVs. It also includes affiliated technologis such as V2G and G2V.
Tesla, Fisker Automotive
Better Place
②Monitoring&Control
of System Power Supply
5) Distribution Automation
※Classifications are based on Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) “Renewable Energy Technology White Paper 2010.”
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DescriptionDescriptionTenonological
Domain
Tenonological
DomainCompaniesCompanies
④Effective Operation
of System Power Supply
10) Superconducting
Transmission
Uses direct current for the bulk transmission of electrical power, in contrast
with the more common alternating current systems. For long-distance
transmission, it may be less expensive and suffer lower electrical losses.
Refers to Electric voltage control by reactive power control and Electric
current control of distribution lines by impedance changes in distribution
lines.
Monitors & measures electricity demand, send the data using IT
technologies periodically. Sometimes equipped with the capability to
control household appliances.
⑤Advanced Interface
Technologies
13) Power Conditioner
Conversion technologies from DC to AC.
We expect to see the rise of this technology along with the increase in
distributed generation.
⑥Energy Storage
14) Batteries
Used both sides of smart grid: both supply side and demand side need
batteries to even out generation.
Sumitomo Electric, ABB
Sharp, Kyocera
④Effective Operation
of System Power Supply
11) Power Electronics
⑤Advanced Interface
Technologies
12) AMI
Panasonic,
NGK Insulators
Siver Spring Networks,
Itron, Landis+Gyr
③Energy Consumption
8) RecycleVarious recycling technoclogies, including financial services.
Lehigh Technologies,
RecycleBank
③Energy Consumption
9) Energy Saving
Various energy saving devices & services such as LED lighting.
It also includes improving existing automobiles (development of low CO2
emission engines).
Luminus Devices
SeaMicro, Caitin
2. Fourteen Sub Technological Domains of Smart Grid(LEV2-2)
※Classifications are based on Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) “Renewable Energy Technology White Paper 2010.”
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3. US Venture Capitals’ Investments
Source: National Venture Capital Association
Between 2006 and 2010, Cleantech Investments increased at CAGR 22%
*In Q1 2011, investment equals that of Web companies
$1,647
$2,605
$3,987$3,668
$1,038
$2,122
6.30%
8.59%
13.91%10.95%
17.67%
15.77%
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
$4,500
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
Amount Invested (Cleantech) Cleantech % in Overall Invest
(Unit:
Million)
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3. Venture Capitals Active in Cleantech Investment
Source: Cleantech Group
We select these three firms,
plus Nth Power specialized
in cleantech investment for
our research.
Venture Investor # deals
Draper Fisher Partners 16Chrysalix Energy Venture
Capital16
Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers 12
Carbon Trust Investment Partners 12
Element Partners 12
Emerald Technology Ventures 10
RockPort Capital Partners 10
Good Energies AG 10
Vantage Point Venture Partners 10
Khosla Ventures 8
SET Venture Partners 8
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60
31
13
3 2 0
1518
40 2 0 0 0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Energ
y P
rodu
cti
on
Energ
yC
onsu
mpt
ion
Energ
y S
tora
ge
Adv
anced
Inte
rfac
eTechnolo
gy
Eff
ecti
ve O
pera
tion
of
Sys
tem
Pow
er
Supp
ly
Monit
ori
ng&
Contr
ol
of
Sys
tem
Power
Supp
ly
Oth
ers
12
3. Investment Analysis Based on Technological Domains of
Smart Grid (LEV1-1)
Source: From VCs’ publicly available portfolios.
�Energy Consumption takes up about 50% of VC investment.
�Almost zero investment in System Power Supply.
(Unit: Deal)
:# of deals
:# of deals over $100M
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�No noticeable differences among VCs and their investment trends at LEV 1.
�Investment deals for energy production tends to be big! About 30% of Energy
Production deals are over $100M deals (cumulative amount of capital raised).
3. Investment Analysis Based on Technological Domains of
Smart Grid (LEV1-2)
LEV1 KPCB Nth DFJ Khosla KPCB Nth DFJ Khosla # Invest # Over $100M
Energy Production 16 11 14 19 8 0 4 6 60 18
Energy Consumption 8 7 11 5 2 0 2 0 31 4
Energy Storage 3 0 6 4 0 0 0 0 13 0
Advanced Interface Technology 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 3 2
Effective Operation of System Power Supply 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0
Monitoring&Control of System Power Supply 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Others 0 5 1 9 0 0 0 0 15 0
Total 30 23 33 38 11 0 7 6 124 24
Number of Investment Number of Investment Over $100M LEV 1 Total
Source: From VCs’ publicly available portfolios.
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30
20
10
16
84 3
13
2 1 02
0 0
15
86
41 1 0
20
20 0 0 0 0 0
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Rene
wable
Ene
rgies
Alte
rnat
ive E
nerg
ies
Foss
il Fue
l Effi
cienc
y
EMS
Ener
gy S
aving
Recy
cling EV
Batt
eries
AMI/
Smar
t Met
ers
Powe
r Con
dition
er
Supe
rcon
duct
ing
Tran
smiss
ion
Powe
r Ele
ctro
nics
WAS
A
Dist
ribut
ion A
utom
ation
Other
s
14
VCs’ investment concentrates in Energy Production, EMS, Batteries,
taking up 72% of the overall investment.
(Unit:Deal) :# of deals
:# of deals over $100M
Source: From VCs’ publicly available portfolios.
3. Investment Analysis Based on Technological Domains of
Smart Grid (LEV2-1)
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�Noticeable differences among VCs and their investment areas.→Khosla clearly focuses on energy production while zero investment in the area of EMS.
�Very few over $100M deals for investments in EMS and batteries. (1 out of 29 deals)
3. Investment Analysis Based on Technological Domains of
Smart Grid (LEV2-2)
LEV1 LEV2 KPCB Nth DFJ Khosla KPCB Nth DFJ Khosla # Invest # Over $100M
Energy Production Renewable Energies 7 7 8 8 4 0 3 1 30 8
Alternative Energies 5 2 4 9 2 0 0 4 20 6
Fossil Fuel Efficiency 4 2 2 2 2 0 1 1 10 4
Energy Consumption EMS 5 6 5 0 1 0 0 0 16 1
Energy Saving 0 1 2 5 0 0 1 0 8 1
Recycling 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0
EV 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 3 2
Energy Storage Batteries 3 0 6 4 0 0 0 0 13 0
Advanced Interface Technology AMI/Smart Meters 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 2
Power Conditioner 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Effective Operation of System Superconducting Transmission 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Power Supply Power Electronics 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0
Monitoring&Control of System WASA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Power Supply Distribution Automation 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Others Others 0 5 1 9 0 0 0 0 15 0
Total Total 30 23 33 38 11 0 7 6 124 24
Number of Investment Number of Investment Over $100M LEV 1 Total
Source: From VCs’ publicly available portfolios.
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3. Summary of US VCs’ Investment Trends
�Investment concentrates in Energy Production, EMS, and Batteries.�Energy Production:Various policies and governmental aids enacted to create demands for such energies.
�EMS: US smart grid was envisioned to avoid huge investment required to replace old
distribution lines, emphasizing demand control.
�Batteries: Batteries are used all phases of smart grid: Generation-Transmission-Consumption.
�On the other hand, almost zero investment was made into such technological domains as
Monitoring&Control of System Power Supply or Superconducting Transmission.�Dominated by large companies such as GE, Siemens and Toshiba with long history of joint development
with electric companies.
�While investments deals in energy production tend to require huge capital (over
$100M), this is not the case for those of EMS and batteries.�30% of investment deals in energy production are over $100M deals.
�Only 1 deal out 29 is an over $100M deals in EMS and batteries.
¹State of California mandates that 33% of electricity must be produced by renewable energies by 2020.
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4. Implications for Japanese Cleantech Startups
Supply Side((((Generation-
Transmission-Distribution))))Technological Domains
Supply Side((((Generation-
Transmission-Distribution))))Technological Domains
Demand Side((((Consumption))))Technological Domains
Demand Side((((Consumption))))Technological Domains
�Renewable Energies
�Alternative Energies
�Fossil Fuels Efficiency
�WAMS
�Distribution Automation
�Superconducting Transmission
�Batteries
�Power Electronics
�Power Conditioners
�EMS
�AMI・Smart Meters
�EV
�Recycle
�Energy Saving
�Batteries
<
Hypothesis: Demand side of smart grid (especially red-fonted
domains) may present more business opportunities for
startups than supply side of smart grid.
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4. Analysis of Hypothese ~1~
Smart Grid = Internet of Power Network
Especially technological & service domains of EMS are those
directly contact with consumers.
�Power shift from supply side to demand side would occur, once every consumer in
would produce and consume energy, becoming so-called prosumers of energy.
Nega-watt (savings from energy saving) and Posi-watt (generation from renewable
such as PV) would connect to EMS, enabling electricity trade. This new
environment, so-called “You Energy (everyone can produce & consume energy)”
would create a new paradigm that would foster innovation, growth and
employment, incentivizing businesses¹.
¹Source: Toshiharu Kato, “Smart Grid Revolutuon.”
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Engineering skill sets needed in the Demand Side overlap with those in IT industry.
Most IT companies can enter the Demand side with marketing strategies tailored for
the energy industry.
Backgrounds of Executives in Smart
Grid Companies
IT Hardware30%
IT Software25%
Energy19%
Finance6%
Telecom8%
Others12%
Majority have IT industry backgrounds
Necessary skill sets of
Smart Grid Engineers
Renewable Energies ((((PV, wind power、、、、Geothermal power))))
Electrical Engineering ((((circuit, etc))))
Network Technology ((((WAN, LAN, etc ))))
Control & Communication Technology of Smart Appliance
WEB Application Technology
((((e-commerce, power consumption management software)
Skill sets that
IT engineers
already have
Additional
skills
Similar technological skill sets
Source:http://engineer.typemag.jp/slive/2011/05/-se5.phpSource:Greentech Grid “Smart Grid2.0: the Soft Grid”
http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/smart-grid-2.0-
the-soft-grid1/
4. Analysis of Hypothese ~2~
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�Supply side businesses such as Energy Production tend to require
large amount of capital.
�Average investment size of Japanese VCs is between $1M and $3M, raising the
financial bar for Japanese startups to enter the supply side of smart grid.
4. Analysis of Hypothese ~2~
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5. Conclusion
�US VCs’ investment concentrates in the three technological
domains: Energy Production (renewable & alternative energies,
fossil fuel efficiency), EMS, Batteries. On the other hand, some
domains receive no investment, a great split.
�About 30% of Energy Production are over $100M deals,
requiring huge amount of money to run business. This is not the
case in the other two domains, EMS and Batteries.
�Demand side of smart grid seem to present more business
opportunities than supply side due to the following three reasons:
“direct connections to consumers,” “technological affinity with IT
technology,” and “required capital.
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TO BE CONTINUED
We will analyze in detail various EMS technologies and
companies in those domains