2011 - jcr evaluation form€¦ · 41 type 6 0 11/19 - 12/11 reduced price cow/calf 45 type 4 0...

Total: 15.70% 16.40%

Proposed change in post-season population: -0.80% -2.90%

Males ≥ 1 year old: 29.30% 27.20%

Juveniles (< 1 year old): 6.70% 6.50%

Proposed harvest rates (percent of pre-season estimate for each sex/age group):JCR Year Proposed

Females ≥ 1 year old: 13.30% 15.10%

Percent population is above (+) or below (-) objective: 22%Number of years population has been + or - objective in recent trend: 11Model Date: 2/24/2012

Management Strategy: Recreational

Days Per Animal: 18.2 18.1 18.3Males per 100 Females 23 32

Juveniles per 100 Females 42 47

Population Objective: 3,000

Active License Percent: 41% 41% 41%Recreation Days: 11,444 12,530 13,000

Hunter Success: 42% 42% 42%Active Licenses: 1,523 1,687 1,720

Harvest: 630 691 710Hunters: 1,517 1,655 1,700

2006 - 2010 Average 2011 2012 ProposedPopulation: 3,612 3,650 3,560

HUNT AREAS: 41-42, 45-46

2011 - JCR Evaluation FormSPECIES: Elk

HERD: EL211 - MEDICINE LODGEPERIOD: 6/1/2011 - 5/31/2012

PREPARED BY: TOM EASTERLY

255

Ylg Adult Total % Total % Total % Ylng Adult TotalConf Int

100 Fem

Conf Int

100 Adult

2006 3660 206 155 361 14% 1,525 61% 619 25% 2,505 513 14 10 24 ± 1 41 ± 1 332007 3460 133 145 278 15% 1,150 63% 390 21% 1,818 405 12 13 24 ± 1 34 ± 2 272008 3630 151 170 321 15% 1,303 60% 565 26% 2,189 570 12 13 25 ± 1 43 ± 2 352009 3630 212 207 419 13% 1,914 61% 798 25% 3,131 543 11 11 22 ± 1 42 ± 1 342010 3680 155 134 289 12% 1,430 60% 684 28% 2,403 506 11 9 20 ± 1 48 ± 2 402011 3650 245 215 460 18% 1,453 56% 686 26% 2,599 582 17 15 32 ± 1 47 ± 2 36

Ylg Adult Total% of

sample #% of

sample #% of

sample

Juv to

Fem.

Male to

Fem.Yrlg to Fem.

Juv to Adult

41 27 90 117 27% 220 51% 98 23% 435 45 53 12 2942 148 72 220 17% 764 57% 350 26% 1,334 46 29 19 3645 70 53 123 15% 469 57% 238 29% 830 51 26 15 40

TOTAL 245 215 460 18% 1,453 56% 686 26% 2,599 47 32 17 41

2011 Postseason Classification Reportfor Elk Herd EL211 - MEDICINE LODGE

Hunt Area

Males Female Juvenile Total sample

Herd Ratios per 100

2006 - 2011 Postseason Classification Summaryfor Elk Herd EL211 - MEDICINE LODGE

MALES FEMALES JUVENILES Males to 100 Females Young perYear Post Pop

Tot Cls Cls Obj

259

41 Type 6 0 11/19 - 12/11 Reduced Price cow/calf

45 Type 4 0 11/16 - 11/30 Full Priced Antlerless



45 Type 1 350 10/15 - 11/04 Any

41 42 Type 9 125 09/01 - 09/30 Archery Only

41 42 Type 4 400 10/15 - 11/04 Full Priced Antlerless


45 Type 9 150 09/01 - 09/30 Archery Only

41 42 Type 6 75 10/10 - 11/04 Reduced Price cow/calf

41 42 Type 1 375 10/15 - 11/04 Any

41 42 ARCH 09/15 - 09/30 Refer to Section 3 of this Chapter


EL211 - MEDICINE LODGE

2011 HUNTING SEASONS

Hunt Area Add'l Hunt Areas Type Quota Season Dates Limitations

260

Area Type HuntersActive

Lic Bull Spike Cow Calf Total SuccessDays/

Harvest DaysLicenses

Sold

41 NORTH MEDICINE LODGEType 1 304 78 18 22 4 122 40.1% 16.1 1964 376Type 4 290 0 0 92 18 110 37.9% 16.1 1767 400Type 6 60 0 0 25 6 31 51.7% 15.8 489 75Type 9 104 15 5 0 0 20 19.2% 51.8 1036 125

Pooled Total 726 (758)* 93 23 139 28 283 39.0% (37.3%)* 18.6 5256Pooled Resident 620 70 23 121 19 233 37.6% 19.8 4608Pooled Nonresiden 106 23 0 18 9 50 47.2% 13 648

42 MEDICINE LODGEType 1 87 19 4 0 4 27 31.0% 22 594 0Type 4 147 0 0 42 9 51 34.7% 14.7 751 0Type 6 2 0 0 0 2 2 100.0% 1.5 3 0Type 9 20 0 0 0 0 0 0.0% 0 122 0

Pooled Total 256 (256)* 19 4 42 15 80 31.2% (31.2%)* 18.4 1470Pooled Resident 215 13 4 42 11 70 32.6% 17.8 1244Pooled Nonresiden 41 6 0 0 4 10 24.4% 22.6 226

45 PAINTROCK CREEKType 1 326 112 17 20 0 149 45.7% 15.4 2288 350Type 4 168 0 0 46 6 52 31.0% 22.8 1186 176Type 5 165 0 0 58 13 71 43.0% 14.1 1001 171Type 9 152 34 10 7 4 55 36.2% 24.2 1332 153

Pooled Total 811 (811)* 146 27 131 23 327 40.3% (40.3%)* 17.8 5807Pooled Resident 692 103 23 121 21 268 38.7% 19 5104Pooled Nonresiden 119 43 4 10 2 59 49.6% 11.9 703

2011 Hunt Area To 1793 (1825)* 258 54 312 66 690 38.5% (37.8%)* 18.2 12533 18262011 Herd Total 1655 (1687)* 258 54 312 66 690 41.7% (40.9%)* 18.2 12533 1826*Active Licenses

2011 Harvest Data by Hunt AreaMedicine Lodge Elk (E211)

261

Res

Ht

rsNr

es

Htrs

%

NRes

Tota

l Ht

rsAc

t Li

cYl

g M

ale

Adu

lt M

ale

Tota

l M

ale

% M

ale

Fem

%

Fem

Juv

%

Juv

Tot

Harv

Hntr

sA

ct L

icH

ntr

Day

s

Days

to

H

arv

2006

1,14

322

416

%1,

367

1,36

728

284

312

50%

261

42%

478%

620

45%

45%

9,49

415

.320

071,

293

243

16%

1,53

61,

536

4129

333

451

%28

543

%37

6%65

643

%43

%11

,760

17.9

2008

1,26

422

615

%1,

490

1,49

020

234

254

48%

221

42%

499%

524

35%

35%

11,4

5621

.920

091,

314

242

16%

1,55

61,

556

5129

334

452

%24

337

%74

11%

661

42%

42%

11,5

7317

.520

101,

412

224

14%

1,63

61,

664

4925

230

144

%32

747

%62

9%69

042

%41

%12

,936

18.7

2011

1,40

824

715

%1,

655

1,68

754

258

312

45%

312

45%

6610

%69

042

%41

%12

,533

18.2

Year

Ju

v1

% *

2 ^

% *

*

To

t A

ge

d

++

No

t A

ge

d

++

+U

nk

To

t C

hk

dJ

uv

1%

*2

^%

**

To

t A

ge

d

++

No

t A

ge

d

++

+U

nk

To

t C

hk

d

2006

63

4%54

95%

6314

178

91

2%23

96%

3332

166

144

2007

15

12%

2784

%33

104

471

37%

1986

%23

195

4794

2008

36

9%27

82%

3633

170

33

7%8

73%

1431

348

118

2009

56

10%

1165

%22

453

707

623

%1

14%

1419

740

110

2010

415

33%

938

%28

2218

684

416

%2

33%

1019

2049

117

2011

16

14%

3686

%43

03

468

12%

4898

%57

012

6911

5* ^ ** ++ +++

Perc

ent o

f age

d an

imal

s (in

clud

ing

unag

ed a

dults

but

exc

ludi

ng ju

veni

les)

1 1

/2 y

ears

old

Num

ber o

f ani

mal

s tw

o ye

ars

old

and

olde

r. An

imal

s ag

ed o

lder

than

two

(exc

ludi

ng u

nage

d ad

ults

) are

lum

ped

into

this

two

plus

cat

egor

y

Perc

ent o

f age

d an

imal

s (n

ot in

clud

ing

juve

nile

s or

una

ged

adul

ts) t

wo

year

s ol

d or

old

er

incl

udes

juve

nile

s

Una

ged

adul

ts -

unag

ed a

nim

als

olde

r tha

n ye

arlin

gs

2006

- 20

11 H

arve

st A

ge S

truc

ture

for E

lk H

erd

EL2

11 -

ME

DIC

INE

LO

DG

E

Mal

esFe

mal

esH

erd

Tota

l

2006

- 20

11 H

arve

st S

umm

ary

for E

lk H

erd

EL2

11 -

ME

DIC

INE

LO

DG

E

HUNT

ERS

HAR

VEST

SUC

CES

SYe

ar

262

2012 Proposed HUNTING SEASONS Medicine Lodge Elk Herd Unit (E211)

HUNT Season Dates AREA TYPE OPENS CLOSES LIMITATIONS 41, 42 1 Oct 15 Nov 4 Limited Quota; 375 licenses any elk 4 Oct 15 Nov 4 Limited Quota; 400 licenses antlerless elk Nov 19 17 Dec 11 9 Unused Area 41, 42 Type 4 licenses valid in Area

41 Areas 41 and 42 6 Oct 10 Nov 4 Limited Quota; 75 licenses cow or calf Nov 19 17 Dec 11 9 Unused Area 41, 42 Type 6 licenses valid in Area

41 Areas 41 and 42 9 Sept 1 Sept 30 Limited Quota; 125 licenses any elk, archery only 45 1 Oct 15 Nov 4 Limited Quota; 350 licenses any elk 4 Oct 15 Nov 15 Limited Quota; 175 licenses antlerless elk Nov 16 Nov 30 Unused Area 45 Type 4 licenses valid off national

forest 5 Oct 1 Oct 9 Limited Quota; 175 licenses antlerless elk valid in

that portion of Area 45 off national forest Oct 10 Nov 15 Unused Area 45 Type 5 licenses valid in the entire

area 9 Sept 1 Sept 30 Limited Quota; 150 licenses any elk, archery only ARCHERY: 41, 42, 45 Sept 15 Sept 30 Refer to Section 4 of this Chapter

SUMMARY OF PROPOSED CHANGES

Area Type Change from 2011

41,42 4, 6 Change in dates, valid for both hunt areas

JUSTIFICATION We propose to use the split season again in Area 41; dates for the split season were adjusted to re-open and close on weekends. The Type 4 and Type 6 licenses are proposed to also be valid for Area 42 in 2012. To harvest more antlerless elk and move the population toward objective, we are proposing a new additional cow/calf license for Areas 41, 42 valid in September for archery only. This license type will provide more archery hunting opportunity and harvest more elk while not greatly adding to existing crowded conditions. No changes are proposed for Hunt Area 45. The Medicine Lodge elk herd remains over objective despite increased harvest of cows. The population objective for this herd is 3,000 elk. The POP-II model was revised slightly this year. The initial population was increased slightly to better align simulated and observed bull:cow ratios. The new version of the POP-II model estimated there were 3650 elk in the Medicine Lodge herd, post-season 2011. Calf:cow ratios have remained above 40:100 for the past four years and in the upper 40s:100 for the past two (47:100 in 2011). High calf recruitment suggests this population should be increasing.

263

Justification – supplemental

More elk are observed during classification surveys (2006-11 range=1827–3131) than are required for 80% confidence intervals around sex and age ratios. During the 2011 classification flight, 2599 elk were observed. Flight time spent searching for groups of elk has remained about 4-5 hours; however, flight time in each hunt area has not always been consistent. The amount of flight time should not be reduced or observed numbers of elk, especially bulls, will decrease. Elk do not always winter in the same locations based on weather and snow accumulation. For this herd, total elk counted during classification surveys should not be used as an indication to population trend due to differing levels of effort per hunt area. Trend surveys have not been flown in this herd unit since 2008. Number of bulls observed during classification surveys may not accurately reflect true bull numbers in this population. Bulls are often not observed during surveys and there is not enough flight time to search all possible locations. Overall trends in bull:cow ratios, however do suggest increasing number of bulls in the population. During the 1990s, total bull (yearling and adult) to cow ratios ranged from 9 to 21 total bulls per 100 cows (average 15:100). The average was also 15:100 during 2000-04. Between 2005-10, bull:cow ratios averaged 24:100. In 2011, we observed 32 bulls:100 cows; the mature bull ratio was higher than ever observed (15:100). We should continue this level of hunting pressure for a few more years to determine if this increasing trend is real and continues. Bull hunting opportunity could be increased, but overcrowding is already the number one complaint from most big game (elk and deer) hunters on the Bighorns. Calf:cow ratios have remained above 40:100 for the past four years and in the upper 40s:100 for the past two (47:100 in 2011). High calf recruitment suggests this population should be increasing. According to the POP-II model, this population has remained relatively stable over at least the past 7 years (average=3620 elk), with high calf recruitment and harvest between 300-400 cows/calves. Cow hunting opportunity should remain at current levels to maintain the population at current levels. For 2012, we proposed more opportunity to harvest cows to work toward lowering the population. The segment of this population in Area 41 has been increasing for several years due to elk remaining on private land during most of the hunting season. Closing, then re-opening the hunting season for antlerless elk (Type 4) and cow/calf (Type 6) licenses the past two years has increased harvest levels on those elk. Winter storms have occurred immediately prior to the season re-opening and elk had moved to public land at lower elevation. We propose to continue the split season strategy and to include Area 42 on the extended season for 2012. Last year, late season hunting pressure pushed many elk to Area 42 and over 1300 elk wintered there. For the past two years, Type 9 archery hunters in Area 41 and 45, have expressed concern about over-crowding during late September. In the 1980s, Type 9 licenses were created in these hunt areas to increase hunter numbers but not increase crowding. Type 9 licenses have been valid during only the month of September. Type 1 (and other rifle license) hunters were still allowed to obtain a special archery permit and hunt Sept 15-30. In 2004, we conducted a survey of Type 9 and Type 1 hunters in these Areas. Approximately 12% of Type 1 license holders took advantage of the archery

264

pre-season. Twenty-seven percent of Type 9 licenses holders responded that they felt crowding was a concern. Crowding in these Areas, particularly 41,42, continues to be a problem for many of the Type 9 hunters. We need to discuss the archery pre-season internally and at public meetings to determine if the pre-season should be eliminated. Since archery pre-seasons are not advertised in the application book, there is no opportunity to notify Type 1 hunters if/when that change may be made. Modifications to the application packet (section 14c) could be made to include those hunt areas with archery pre-seasons.

265

Data Set: E211.GN1 02/24/2012 08:43 am Page 1 Medicine Lodge Elk herd unit Data from 2000 to 2012 Simulation from 2005 to 2012 Age Init Pop Prop Presn Mort% Postsn Mort% Effort Set 1 Effort Set 2 Class Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 0 691 691 30.0 30.0 10.0 10.0 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1 355 355 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 0.80 1.00 0.30 1.00 2 234 296 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 3 106 173 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 4 74 283 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 5 30 228 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 6 22 198 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 7 15 181 2.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 8 7 136 2.0 1.0 10.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 9 4 117 2.0 1.0 20.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 10 1 106 2.0 1.0 30.0 5.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 11 1 78 2.0 1.0 50.0 5.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 12 0 57 5.0 1.0 60.0 5.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 13 0 39 5.0 1.0 70.0 10.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 14 0 32 5.0 1.0 80.0 10.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 15 0 19 5.0 1.0 90.0 10.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 16 0 6 5.0 1.0 95.0 30.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 17 0 2 5.0 1.0 95.0 60.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 18 0 0 5.0 1.0 95.0 80.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 19 0 0 5.0 1.0 95.0 90.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 20 0 0 5.0 1.0 100.0 100.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sum = 4537.0 Estimated Sum = 4700 Subadults: Ages 0 to 0 Data Set: E211.GN1 02/24/2012 08:43 am Page 2 MSI Function is Linear Effort Bio- Preseason Harvest//Des. Pop Size in NA Postseason & Wound Year MSI Subadults# Males# Females# MSI Set Used ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2000 1.02 92 310 517 0.95 2 2001 1.35 74 274 477 0.95 2 2002 1.90 94 217 263 0.95 2 2003 1.48 43 229 315 0.95 1 2004 1.43 64 259 280 0.71 1 2005 0.99 50 281 222 0.96 1 2006 1.18 47 312 261 1.00 2 2007 1.57 37 334 285 1.00 2 2008 1.10 49 254 221 1.00 2 2009 1.10 74 344 243 1.00 2 2010 0.87 62 301 327 1.10 2 2011 0.90 66 313 312 1.00 2 2012 1.00 60 300 350 1.00 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Set 1 Wounding Loss 10.% 10.% 10.% Yearling Male 10.% Set 1 Wounding Loss 10.% 10.% 10.% Yearling Male 10.%

266

Data Set: E211.GN1 02/24/2012 08:43 am Page 3 Bio- Young/100 Fems Young/100 Fems Young/100 Fems Sex Ratio: Year Age 1 - 1 Age 2 - 2 Age 3 - 20 50 : 50 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2001 0.0 20.0 80.0 2002 0.0 20.0 80.0 2003 0.0 20.0 80.0 2004 0.0 20.0 80.0 2005 0.0 20.0 80.0 2006 0.0 20.0 80.0 2007 0.0 20.0 80.0 2008 0.0 20.0 80.0 2009 0.0 20.0 80.0 2010 0.0 20.0 80.0 2011 0.0 20.0 80.0 2012 0.0 20.0 80.0 2013 0.0 20.0 80.0 POP-II (V1.2.5) Simulation Output Tables for E211.GN1,02/24/2012 08:43 am Table 1. Population Size During Bio-Year for E211.GN1 02/24/2012 08:43 am Bio- Pre- Post Year Start Season Season End %Growth --------------------------------------------------------------------- 2005 4700 4242 3634 3452 4.2 2006 4900 4346 3664 3474 0.4 2007 4919 4183 3462 3284 -4.1 2008 4716 4207 3631 3431 3.2 2009 4867 4355 3628 3428 -0.5 2010 4841 4442 3683 3453 -0.6 2011 4812 4414 3654 3449 -0.8 2012 4771 4340 3559 3362 -2.9

267

Table 3. Harvest Mortality for E211.GN1 02/24/2012 08:43 am Bio- Sub- Adult Adult % of Year Adults Males Females Total Pop ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2005 50 281 222 553 13.0 2006 47 312 261 620 14.3 2007 37 334 285 656 15.7 2008 49 254 221 524 12.5 2009 74 344 243 661 15.2 2010 62 301 327 690 15.5 2011 66 313 312 691 15.7 2012 60 300 350 710 16.4 Table 4. Harvest Percentages for E211.GN1 02/24/2012 08:43 am Bio- Sub- Adult Adult Yearling Year Adults Males Females Total Males ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 2005 5.0 32.3 9.4 13.04 36.5 2006 5.0 32.4 10.7 14.27 19.2 2007 4.8 34.0 11.7 15.68 16.6 2008 5.1 27.9 9.5 12.46 14.1 2009 7.7 34.2 10.2 15.18 16.7 2010 5.9 30.2 13.6 15.53 16.3 2011 6.7 29.3 13.3 15.66 16.9 2012 6.5 27.2 15.1 16.36 15.1 Table 7. Postseason Ratios for E211.GN1 02/24/2012 08:43 am Bio- Subadults 2+ Males Yr. Males Ad Males Year /100 1+F /100 1+F /100 1+F /100 1+F ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2005 44.9 14.6 11.8 26.5 2006 40.9 12.0 16.6 28.6 2007 34.1 13.3 15.6 28.9 2008 43.2 16.6 13.5 30.1 2009 41.6 13.6 16.0 29.7 2010 47.8 16.0 16.6 32.6 2011 45.7 17.4 18.5 35.9 2012 44.6 21.4 18.7 40.1

268

Management Strategy: Special

Percent population is above (+) or below (-) objective: 26%

Number of years population has been + or - objective in recent trend: 10


Proposed change in post-season population: -5% -15%


Males ≥ 1 year old: 17.9% 18.4%Juveniles (< 1 year old): 5.8% 12.9%

Total: 16.7% 20.5%


Model Date: 5/16/2012


Population: 4,180 3,400 2,900

Harvest: 514 701 770

2006 - 2010 Average 2011 2012 Proposed

Males per 100 Females 20 24

Hunters: 962 1,208 1,300

Recreation Days: 5,999 7,341 7,500

Days Per Animal: 11.7 10.5 9.7

Active License Percent: 51% 56% 57%

Hunter Success: 53% 58% 59%

Active Licenses: 1,012 1,260 1,340

2011 - JCR Evaluation FormSPECIES: Elk PERIOD: 6/1/2011 - 5/31/2012

HUNT AREAS: 62-64 PREPARED BY: BART KROGER

HERD: EL214 - GOOSEBERRY

273

2006 - 2011 Postseason Classification Summary

for Elk Herd EL214 - GOOSEBERRY

MALES FEMALES JUVENILES Males to 100 Females Young to

Year Post Pop Ylg Adult Total % Total % Total %TotCls

ClsObj Ylng Adult Total

Conf Int

100 Fem

Conf Int

100 Adult

2006 4,700 156 67 223 13% 1,342 76% 206 12% 1,771 160 12 5 17 ± 1 15 ± 1 132007 4,100 164 24 188 9% 1,725 78% 296 13% 2,209 161 10 1 11 ± 1 17 ± 1 152008 4,100 97 237 334 20% 1,072 64% 270 16% 1,676 377 9 22 31 ± 2 25 ± 2 192009 4,100 176 120 296 14% 1,404 66% 421 20% 2,121 357 13 9 21 ± 1 30 ± 1 252010 3,900 184 160 344 16% 1,461 67% 388 18% 2,193 315 13 11 24 ± 1 27 ± 1 212011 3,400 187 196 383 16% 1,611 66% 440 18% 2,434 309 12 12 24 ± 1 27 ± 1 22

277



62 Type 1 0 12/01 - 12/20 Unused Area 62 Type 1 and Type 4 licenses valid for antlerless elk



63 64 Type 1 200 10/01 - 10/21 Any




62 Type 1 125 10/01 - 10/21 Any

62 63,64 ARCH 09/01 - 09/30 Refer to Section 3 of this Chapter

64 Type 2 100 11/01 - 11/15 Any

EL214 - GOOSEBERRY



278

EL214‐Gooseberry2011

Area TypeActive Lic/Htrs Bull Spike Cow Calf Total Success Days

Licenses Sold

201162 SOUTH GREYBULL RIVER

Type 1 118 47 6 6 3 62 52.50% 13.5 837 128Type 4 45 0 0 18 0 18 40% 16.1 290 51Type 5 160 0 0 92 7 99 61.90% 7.2 708 175

Pooled Total 323 (323)* 47 6 116 10 179 55.40% (55.4%)* 10.3 1835Pooled Resident 286 28 6 106 10 150 52.40% 10.8 1617Pooled Nonresident 37 19 0 10 0 29 78.40% 7.5 218

63 WOOD RIVER‐GOOSEBERRY CREEKType 1 149 78 0 10 3 91 61.10% 8.9 813 204Type 4 148 0 0 63 3 66 44.60% 15 987 174Type 6 167 0 0 109 3 112 67.10% 7.9 883 210

Pooled Total 447 (464)* 78 0 182 9 269 60.20% (58.0%)* 10 2683Pooled Resident 365 50 0 145 6 201 55.10% 11.4 2285Pooled Nonresident 82 28 0 37 3 68 82.90% 5.9 398

64 OWL CREEKType 1 65 32 3 0 0 35 53.80% 14.7 515 204Type 2 87 34 2 0 0 36 41.40% 17.1 616 103Type 6 87 0 0 59 6 65 74.70% 6.3 412 100Type 7 265 0 0 109 8 117 44.20% 10.9 1280 300


2011 Hunt Area Total 1226 (1291)* 191 11 466 33 701 57.20% (54.3%)* 10.5 7341 14452011 Herd Total 1208 (1260)* 191 11 466 33 701 58.00% (55.6%)* 10.5 7341 1445*Active Licenses

Days/Harvest

279

2006 - 2011 Harvest Age Structure

for Elk Herd EL214 - GOOSEBERRY

Males Females Herd

Year Juv 1 % * 2 ^ % **

Tot Aged

++

Not Aged +++ Unk

Tot Chkd Juv 1 % * 2 ^ % **

Tot Aged

++

Not Aged +++ Unk

Tot Chkd Tot

2006 2 8 13% 39 83% 49 15 0 64 4 2 4% 20 91% 26 34 1 61 125 2007 1 4 6% 51 93% 56 17 6 79 4 2 5% 18 90% 24 18 3 45 124 2008 3 2 3% 17 89% 22 52 2 76 1 0 0% 13 100% 14 13 4 31 107 2009 3 2 4% 5 71% 10 42 4 56 4 0 0% 5 100% 9 21 13 43 99 2010 3 0 0% 0 0% 3 20 27 50 5 5 17% 3 38% 13 22 18 53 103 2011 2 2 6% 29 94% 33 0 0 33 5 6 8% 69 92% 80 0 0 80 113

* Percent of aged animals (including unaged adults but excluding juveniles) 1 1/2 years old ^ Number of animals two years old and older. Animals aged older than two (excluding unaged adults) are lumped into this two plus category ** Percent of aged animals (not including juveniles or unaged adults) two years old or older ++ includes juveniles +++ Unaged adults - unaged animals older than yearlings

280

2006 - 2011 Trend Count Summary for Elk Herd EL214 - GOOSEBERRY

Flight Time Year Count Dates Hours Minutes Number Counted 2006 JANUARY 2007 3 20 2,517 2007 JANUARY 2008 3 25 2,672 2008 JANUARY 2009 3 30 3,261 2009 JANUARY 2010 3 30 2,671 2010 FEBRUARY 2011 4 35 2,801 2011 JANUARY 2012 4 0 2,434

281

2012 Proposed HUNTING SEASON Gooseberry Elk (EL214)

Hunt Date of Seasons Area Type Opens Closes Limitations 62 1 Oct. 1 Oct. 21 Limited quota; 125 licenses any elk

4 Oct. 1 Oct. 21 Limited quota; 50 licenses antlerless elk 5 Oct. 22 Dec. 2023 Limited quota; 175 licenses antlerless elk; also valid in Area 63 Dec. 1 Dec. 2023 Unused Area 62 Type 1 and Type 4 licenses valid for antlerless

elk; also valid in Area 63

63,64 1 Oct. 1 Oct. 21 Limited quota; 200 licenses any elk Nov. 1 Dec. 23 Unused Area 63,64 Type 1 licenses valid for antlerless elk

63 4 Oct. 1 Dec. 2023 Limited quota; 175 licenses antlerless elk 6 Aug. 15 Oct. 30 Limited quota; 250 300 licenses cow or calf valid in that portion

of Area 63 north of Gooseberry Creek off national forest Nov. 1 Dec. 2023 Unused Area 63 Type 6 licenses valid in that portion of Area 63

off national forest; also valid in Area 62

64 2 Nov. 1 Nov. 15 Limited quota; 100 licenses any elk Nov. 16 Dec. 23 Unused Area 64 Type 2 licenses valid for antlerless elk 6 Nov. 1 Dec. 2023 Limited quota; 100 150 licenses cow or calf valid in that portion

of Area 64 south of and including the Cottonwood Creek drainage

7 Nov. 15 Dec. 2023 Limited quota; 300 250 licenses cow or calf ARCHERY: 62 Sept 1-30 Refer to Section 4 63 Sept 1-30 Refer to Section 4 64 Sept 1-30 Refer to Section 4

Summary of Proposed Changes in License Number Area Type Change from 2011 63 6 +50 64 6

7 +50 -50

Total EL214

6 7

+100 -50

SEASON JUSTIFICATION

Because bull harvest continues to remain favorable in this herd unit, no changes to the type 1 licenses or the type 2 license in area 64 are being proposed. On average for the past 5 years, 95% of the male harvest in the herd unit is represented by branch-antlered bulls. However, the type 1 licenses in area 63/64 and the type 2 licenses in area 64 will be valid for antlerless elk in November and December. In order to provide hunters the opportunity to harvest elk that cross the area 62 and 63 boundary (Wood River), it’s being proposed to have the area 62 type 1, type 4 and type 5 licenses valid in area 63, and the 63 type 6 licenses valid in area 62. These licenses will only be valid during the later cow/calf seasons in November and December. The only proposed license quota changes will be an increase of 50 type 6 licenses for both areas 63 and 64, along with a decrease of 50 type 7 licenses in area 64. The quota increases (Type 6’s) are to hopefully continue improving the harvest of cows and calves. The quota decrease (Type 7) in area 64 is to accommodate landowner concerns regarding too many hunters, while at the same time trying to maximize harvest potential.

282

The current POP-II model estimates this elk herd population at about 3,400 elk, or 26% above the post-season objective of 2,700 elk. Annually, the number of elk counted during aerial trend surveys has represented about 68% of the population estimates. This, along with limited hunter access in some areas, affects of large predators, elk interchange with adjoining herd units, improving calf:cow ratios, and now concerns over brucellosis will continue making managing this elk herd difficult. The proposed 2012 season structure should maintain quality bull hunting opportunities and ample antlerless elk harvest, while hopefully moving this population toward objective. For 2012, an estimated 200 antlered and 570 antlerless elk should be harvested. The 2012 post-season population estimate should be about 2,900 elk, or 7% above objective according to model estimates.

283

Data Set: EL214.GN1 05/16/2012 03:03 pm Page 1 2011 Gooseberry Elk (EL214) Data from 2007 to 2012 Simulation from 2007 to 2012 Age Init Pop. Prop. Presn Mort% Postsn Mort% Effort Set 1 Effort Set 2Class Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 0 600.0 600.0 40.0 40.0 15.0 15.0 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 1 150.0 260.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.20 1.00 0.20 1.00 2 125.0 230.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.3 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 3 100.0 130.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.3 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 4 75.0 100.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.3 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 5 50.0 97.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.3 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 6 30.0 95.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 7 10.0 93.0 1.0 1.0 20.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 8 5.0 90.0 1.0 1.0 30.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 9 2.0 80.0 1.0 1.0 45.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 10 1.0 70.0 1.0 1.0 60.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 11 1.0 60.0 1.0 1.0 90.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 12 0.0 50.0 1.0 1.0 100.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 13 0.0 40.0 1.0 1.0 100.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 14 0.0 30.0 1.0 1.0 100.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 15 0.0 20.0 1.0 1.0 100.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 16 0.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 100.0 3.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 17 0.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 100.0 30.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 18 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 100.0 60.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 19 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 100.0 90.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 20 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 100.0 100.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sum = 3216.0 Estimated Sum = 6800 Subadults: Ages 0 to 0

Data Set: EL214.GN1 05/16/2012 03:03 pm Page 2 MSI Function is Linear Effort Bio- Preseason Harvest // Des. Pop Size in NA Postseason & Wound Year MSI Subadults# Males# Females# MSI Set Used------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2007 2.00 40 225 260 1.00 1 2008 1.68 33 194 193 1.00 1 2009 1.58 63 221 276 1.00 1 2010 1.69 40 196 368 1.00 1 2011 1.74 33 202 466 1.00 1 2012 1.65 70 200 500 1.00 1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Set 1 Wounding Loss 10.% 10.% 10.% Yearling Male 10.% Set 1 Wounding Loss 10.% 10.% 10.% Yearling Male 10.%

Data Set: EL214.GN1 05/16/2012 03:03 pm Page 3 Bio- Young/100 Fems Young/100 Fems Young/100 Fems Sex Ratio: Year Age 1 - 1 Age 2 - 2 Age 3 - 20 50 : 50 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2008 0.0 30.0 90.0 2009 0.0 30.0 90.0 2010 0.0 30.0 90.0 2011 0.0 30.0 90.0

284

Data Set: EL214.GN1 05/16/2012 03:03 pm Page 4 Bio- Young/100 Fems Young/100 Fems Young/100 Fems Sex Ratio: Year Age 1 - 1 Age 2 - 2 Age 3 - 20 50 : 50 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2012 0.0 30.0 90.0 2013 0.0 0.0 0.0

285

POP-II (V1.2.5) Simulation Output Tables for EL214.GN1, 05/16/2012 03:03 pm

Table 1. Population Size During Bio-Year for EL214.GN1 05/16/2012 03:03 pmBio- Pre- PostYear Start Season Season End %Growth------------------------------------------------------------------------------2007 6800 4685 4107 3972 -10.12008 6110 4606 4144 3976 1.42009 6196 4730 4114 3926 -3.22010 5995 4530 3866 3687 -7.12011 5571 4196 3425 3256 -12.82012 4861 3748 2901 2748 -43.5

Table 3. Harvest Mortality for EL214.GN1 05/16/2012 03:03 pmBio- Sub- Adult Adult % ofYear Adults Males Females Total Pop------------------------------------------------------------------------------2007 40 225 260 525 11.22008 33 194 193 420 9.12009 63 221 276 560 11.82010 40 196 368 604 13.32011 33 202 466 701 16.72012 70 200 500 770 20.5

Table 4. Harvest Percentages for EL214.GN1 05/16/2012 03:03 pmBio- Sub- Adult Adult YearlingYear Adults Males Females Total Males------------------------------------------------------------------------------2007 7.9 19.8 8.6 11.21 7.02008 4.7 18.4 6.8 9.12 4.32009 7.7 20.3 9.8 11.84 6.42010 6.0 17.4 13.5 13.33 7.12011 5.8 17.9 18.7 16.71 5.72012 12.8 18.4 23.7 20.54 4.9

Table 7. Postseason Ratios for EL214.GN1 05/16/2012 03:03 pmBio- Subadults 2+ Males Yr. Males Ad MalesYear /100 1+F /100 1+F /100 1+F /100 1+F------------------------------------------------------------------------------2007 16.8 21.7 10.7 32.32008 25.2 25.0 7.0 32.02009 29.7 23.2 10.4 33.72010 26.9 26.3 12.7 39.12011 27.1 33.3 12.6 45.92012 30.0 41.9 13.7 55.6

286

OUT

WINSSF

WRIRO

UT

CRUW

IN

CRUW

IN

CRUW

IN

WIN

WIN

WINCR

UWIN

OUT

WIN

E214

- G

oose

berry

HA

62-6

4R

evis

ed 1

/200

6

-Parturit

ion

289








Total: 14.12% 18.30%




Population: 7,920 8,000 7,500

Harvest: 1,231 1,354 1,725



Hunters: 2,608 2,579 3,000

Recreation Days: 16,103 16,709 20,000


Active License Percent: 45% 50% 55 %

Hunter Success: 47% 53% 58 %



HUNT AREAS: 55-56, 58-61, 66 PREPARED BY: DOUG MCWHIRTER

HERD: EL216 - CODY

290


for Elk Herd EL216 - CODY




Conf Int

100 Fem

Conf Int

100 Adult

2006 7,900 222 397 619 15% 2,905 71% 595 14% 4,119 232 8 14 21 ± 1 20 ± 1 172007 7,700 272 306 578 14% 2,891 69% 729 17% 4,198 288 9 11 20 ± 1 25 ± 1 212008 7,900 149 149 298 10% 2,069 70% 589 20% 2,956 285 7 7 14 ± 1 28 ± 1 252009 8,100 213 253 466 13% 2,400 66% 749 21% 3,615 284 9 11 19 ± 1 31 ± 1 262010 8,000 375 335 710 12% 3,878 68% 1,135 20% 5,723 372 10 9 18 ± 1 29 ± 1 252011 8,000 582 755 1,337 18% 4,490 61% 1,519 21% 7,346 370 13 17 30 ± 0 34 ± 0 26

293

59 Type 1 10 11/01 - 11/15 Any



59 GEN 10/01 - 10/21 Antlered elk

58 Type 1 35 10/01 - 11/30 Any



61 Type 1 175 10/01 - 10/31 Any

61 Type 2 25 11/01 - 11/15 Any




60 66 ARCH 09/01 - 09/09 Refer to Section 3 of this Chapter

60 GEN 09/10 - 10/21 Any elk

55 56,58,59,61 ARCH 09/01 - 09/30 Refer to Section 3 of this Chapter






66 GEN 09/10 - 12/20 Any elk








EL216 - CODY



294

2011

Area Type ctive Lic/Htrs Bull Spike Cow Calf Total Success Days/Harvest Days Licenses Sold

201155 GRINNELL

General 159 23 0 0 0 23 14.50% 34.3 789Type 4 27 0 0 21 3 24 88.90% 4.2 102 27Type 9 17 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 105 17


56 WAPITI RIDGEGeneral 140 49 0 0 0 49 35% 14.6 715Type 4 86 0 0 27 4 31 36.00% 15.6 484 96Type 5 30 0 0 11 4 15 50% 7.5 113 36Type 6 83 0 0 42 0 42 50.60% 11.9 499 100Type 9 10 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 24 10


58 SAGE CREEKType 1 38 24 0 0 0 24 63.20% 13.9 333 38Type 4 140 0 0 76 0 76 54.30% 14.3 1086 148Type 6 178 0 0 68 6 74 41.60% 15.7 1159 199

Pooled Total 327 (356)* 24 0 144 6 174 53.20% (48.9%)* 14.8 2578Pooled Resident 277 18 0 123 6 147 53.10% 15.7 2310Pooled Nonresident 50 6 0 21 0 27 54% 9.9 268

59 BOULDER BASINGeneral 305 121 16 0 0 137 44.90% 13.7 1872Type 1 10 2 0 0 0 2 20% 32 64 11Type 4 65 0 0 32 0 32 49.20% 16.5 529 75Type 6 216 0 0 61 14 75 34.70% 14.8 1112 249Type 9 22 4 0 0 0 4 18.20% 28 112 25

Pooled Total 590 (618)* 127 16 93 14 250 42.40% (40.5%)* 14.8 3689Pooled Resident 443 83 12 74 14 183 41.30% 16 2920Pooled Nonresident 147 44 4 19 0 67 45.60% 11.5 769

60 THOROFAREGeneral 312 183 4 11 0 198 63.50% 8.4 1662Type 9 8 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 50 8


61 NORTH GREYBULL RIVERType 1 147 107 0 0 0 107 72.80% 7.2 772 178Type 2 21 8 0 0 0 8 38.10% 14.9 119 25Type 6 316 0 0 190 29 219 69.30% 5.7 1239 366Type 7 132 0 0 90 14 104 78.80% 4.3 443 150


66 BASINGeneral 322 55 0 23 0 78 24.20% 35.2 2744Type 6 38 0 0 10 0 10 26.30% 34 340 50

Pooled Total 351 (360)* 55 0 33 0 88 25.10% (24.4%)* 35 3084Pooled Resident 325 43 0 30 0 73 22.50% 40.3 2940Pooled Nonresident 26 12 0 3 0 15 57.70% 9.6 144


295


for Elk Herd EL216 - CODY

Males Females Herd

Year Juv 1 % * 2 ^ % **

Tot Aged

++

Not Aged+++ Unk

TotChkd Juv 1 % * 2 ^ % **

TotAged

++

Not Aged+++ Unk

Tot Chkd Tot

2006 5 1 1% 78 99% 84 0 2 86 5 3 6% 47 94% 55 0 1 56 142

2007 4 11 10% 98 90% 113 0 25 138 9 2 2% 91 98% 102 1 5 108 246

2008 9 9 8% 105 92% 123 0 19 142 4 2 4% 51 96% 57 0 8 65 207

2009 3 7 7% 100 93% 110 0 0 110 5 7 7% 97 93% 109 0 0 109 219

2010 4 3 3% 94 97% 101 0 0 101 4 2 3% 61 97% 67 1 0 68 169

2011 8 9 8% 111 92% 128 0 0 128 21 6 4% 148 96% 175 0 1 176 304

* Percent of aged animals (including unaged adults but excluding juveniles) 1 1/2 years old

^ Number of animals two years old and older. Animals aged older than two (excluding unaged adults) are lumped into this two plus category

** Percent of aged animals (not including juveniles or unaged adults) two years old or older

++ includes juveniles

+++ Unaged adults - unaged animals older than yearlings

296

2006 - 2011 Trend Count Summaryfor Elk Herd EL216 - CODY

Flight Time

Year Count Dates Hours Minutes Number Counted2006 FEBRUARY 2007 5 50 4,259

2007 FEBRUARY 2008 9 30 5,734

2008 FEBRUARY 2009, JANUARY 2009 8 0 4,421

2009 JANUARY 2010 7 0 5,337

2010 MARCH 2011 8 45 5,723

2011 FEBRUARY 2012 8 0 7,346

297

2012 ProposedCody Elk Herd Unit (EL216)

HUNTING SEASONS

HUNT Season Dates AREA TYPE OPENS CLOSES LIMITATIONS 55 Oct 1 Oct 21 General license; antlered elk 4 Nov 16 Dec 20 Limited quota; 25 licenses antlerless

elk

9 Sept 1 Sept 30 Limited quota; 20 licenses any elk; archery only 56 Oct 1 Oct 21 General license; antlered elk 4 Nov 1 Nov 15 Limited quota; 150 50

licenses antlerless elk valid in that portion of Area 56 in the South Fork Shoshone River drainage

Nov 16 Dec 20 23

Unused Area 56 Type 4 licenses valid in the entire area

5 Nov 1 Dec 31 23 Limited quota; 50 100

licenses antlerless elk valid in that portion of Area 56 off national forest

6 Nov 16 Dec 20 23 Limited quota; 100 licenses cow or calf valid in that portion of Area 56 in the

South Fork Shoshone River drainage

9 Sept 1 Sept 30 Limited quota; 30 licenses any elk; archery only 58 1 Oct 1 Nov 30 Limited quota; 35 licenses any elk 4 Oct 1 Dec 20 23

Limited quota; 150 licenses antlerless elk

6 Oct 1 Dec 20 23 Limited quota; 200 250

licenses cow or calf

Jan 5 Jan 13 Unused Area 58 Type 4 and Type 6 licenses

antlerless elk

298

HUNT Season Dates AREA TYPE OPENS CLOSES LIMITATIONS 59 Oct 1 Oct 21 General license; antlered elk 1 Nov 1 Nov 15 Limited quota; 10 licenses any elk valid in

that portion of Area 50 on national forest

4 Nov 1 Dec 20 23

Limited quota; 125 licenses antlerless elk

6 Nov 1 Dec 20 23

Limited quota; 250 licenses cow or calf

9 Sept 1 Sept 30 Limited quota; 25 licenses any elk; archery only 60 Sept 10 Oct 21 General license; any elk 9 Sept 1 Sept 9 Limited quota; 20 licenses any elk; archery only 61 1 Oct 1 Oct 31 Limited quota; 175 150

licenses any elk valid in that portion of Area 61 within the Washakie Wilderness, also valid in that portion of Area 62 within the Washakie Wilderness south of Avalanche Creek

Nov 1 Dec 23 Unused Area 61 Type 1 licenses valid for

antlerless elk in the entire area

2 Nov 1 Oct 15 Nov 15 Limited quota; 25 50 licenses any elk valid in that portion of Area 61 outside the

Washakie Wilderness

4 Oct 15 Dec 23 Limited quota; 50 license antlerless elk

6 Nov 1 Nov 30 14 Limited quota; 400 600

licenses cow or calf valid in that portion of Area 61 within the Washakie Wilderness

Dec 1 Nov 15 Dec 20 23 Unused Area 61 Type 6 licenses antlerless elk valid in the entire area, also valid in Area 66 and in that portion of Area 58 in the Dry

Creek drainage

299

HUNT Season Dates AREA TYPE OPENS CLOSES LIMITATIONS 61 (cont) 7 Sept 1 Dec 20 23 Limited quota; 150 400

including the Rawhide Creek drainage;

licenses cow or calf valid in that portion of Area 61 north of and

also valid in Area 66 and in that portion of Area

58 in the Dry Creek drainage

Jan 5 Jan 13 Unused Area 61 Type 6 and Type 7 licenses antlerless elk valid in the entire area, also valid in Area 66 and that portion of Area 58

in the Dry Creek drainage

66 Sept 10 Dec 20 23

General license; any elk

6 Sept 10 Dec 20 23

Limited quota; 100 licenses cow or calf

55, 56, 58, Sept 1 Sept 30 Archery Season; General license; any elk, 59, 61 limited quota license refer to Section 4 of this Chapter 60, 66 Sept 1 Sept 9 Archery season; Refer to Section 4 of this Chapter

SUMMARY OF PROPOSED CHANGES IN LICENSE NUMBER

Area Type Change from 2011 55 4 -25 56 4 -50 58 6 +50 61 1 -25 61 2 +25 61 4 +50 61 6 +200 61 7 +250

Total EL216

1&2 -15 4&6 +425

300

JUSTIFICATION We propose numerous changes in the Cody herd unit for the 2012 season. Antlerless elk harvest is proposed to be substantially reduced in the North Fork of the Shoshone River due to low calf recruitment and total numbers of elk observed during recent trend count surveys. A slight reduction (50) in Area 56 Type 6 permits is also proposed as elk numbers are currently at desired levels there. Type 6 permit numbers in Area 58 will be increased 50, and an additional 500 antlerless permits are proposed to be offered in Area 61 to address the need to dramatically reduce elk numbers there. These hunters will also be given the opportunity to hunt in Area 66 and the portion of Area 58 in the Dry Creek drainage in order to place additional pressure on building elk numbers in the Meeteetse Rim area. Area 61 Type 1 licenses are proposed to be reduced to address hunter crowding concerns, but the Area 61 Type 2 licenses are proposed to be increased and made valid in the entire area to compensate. It is estimated there were approximately 8,000 elk in the postseason 2011 population, although the current model is not considered to be reliable due to poor alignment of simulated versus observed yearling and total bull ratios. If accurate, the 2011 estimate represents a population approximately 43% above the objective of 5,600 elk. Both total bull harvest and antlerless harvest decreased slightly in 2011 compared to 2010. A total of 7,346 elk were classified during postseason 2011 surveys, and yielded an overall calf ratio of 34:100, a yearling bull ratio of 13:100, and a total bull ratio of 30:100. Calf ratios varied from 29:100 in Area 56, to 34:100 and 35:100 in Areas 61 and 59, respectively, to 42:100 in Area 58. Few elk were observed in Area 55 and a calf ratio could not be calculated. Similarly, yearling bull ratios varied from 10:100 in Area 56, to 13:100 in Areas 61 and 59, respectively, to 18:100 in Area 58. Postseason 2011 trend count information show that areas in the North Fork of the Shoshone remain below winter range management objectives, while elk numbers in the South Fork of the Shoshone River are only slightly above management objectives and elk numbers in Hunt Area 61 are dramatically above winter range management goals. Season recommendations for 2012 were set based on this assessment. It is projected the 2012 season will result in the harvest of approximately 1,725 elk, and result in a post-season 2012 population of approximately 7,500 elk.

301

Data Set: CodyElk_2010.GN1 02/28/2012 02:55 pm Page 1

Cody Elk - 2012 Season Setting Model Data from 2005 to 2014 Simulation from 2005 to 2014

Age Init Pop. Prop. Presn Mort% Postsn Mort% Effort Set 1 Effort Set 2Class Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 0 624.0 624.0 30.0 30.0 5.0 5.0 0.20 0.20 1.00 1.00 1 440.0 440.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 0.10 1.00 1.00 1.00 2 523.0 494.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 0.70 1.00 1.00 1.00 3 368.0 427.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 4 247.0 387.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 5 148.0 380.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 6 110.0 373.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 7 97.0 366.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 8 83.0 359.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 9 55.0 352.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 10 41.0 345.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 11 28.0 337.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 12 13.0 316.0 1.0 1.0 20.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 13 6.0 281.0 1.0 1.0 40.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 14 0.0 246.0 1.0 1.0 60.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 15 0.0 211.0 1.0 1.0 80.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 16 0.0 176.0 1.0 1.0 100.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 17 0.0 141.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 18 0.0 69.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 19 0.0 14.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 20 0.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 21 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 22 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 20.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 23 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 40.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 24 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 80.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 25 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 100.0 100.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sum = 9133.0 Estimated Sum = 10000 Subadults: Ages 0 to 0


MSI Function is Linear Effort Bio- Preseason Harvest // Des. Pop Size in NA Postseason & Wound Year MSI Subadults# Males# Females# MSI Set Used------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2005 1.00 88 627 534 0.50 1 2006 1.00 78 561 495 0.50 1 2007 1.00 52 773 444 0.50 1 2008 1.00 81 525 474 0.50 1 2009 1.00 91 568 585 0.50 1 2010 1.00 137 649 644 0.50 1 2011 1.00 78 606 670 0.50 1

302

2012 1.00 75 625 1025 0.50 1 2013 1.00 75 625 1025 0.50 1 2014 1.00 75 625 1025 0.50 1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Set 1 Wounding Loss 10.% 10.% 10.% Yearling Male 10.% Set 1 Wounding Loss 10.% 10.% 10.% Yearling Male 10.%


Bio- Young/100 Fems Young/100 Fems Young/100 Fems Sex Ratio: Year Age 1 - 1 Age 2 - 2 Age 3 - 25 50 : 50 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2006 0.0 20.0 32.0 2007 0.0 20.0 39.0 2008 0.0 20.0 47.0 2009 0.0 20.0 51.0 2010 0.0 20.0 49.0 2011 0.0 20.0 55.0 2012 0.0 20.0 48.0 2013 0.0 20.0 46.0 2014 0.0 20.0 46.0 2015 0.0 20.0 46.0

303

POP-II (V1.2.5) Simulation Output Tables for CodyElk_2010.GN1, 02/28/2012 02:55 pm

Table 1. Population Size During Bio-Year for CodyElk_2010.GN1 02/28/2012 02:55 pm

Bio- Pre- PostYear Start Season Season End %Growth------------------------------------------------------------------------------2005 10000 9504 8130 8005 -2.72006 9733 9135 7887 7762 0.32007 9764 9086 7690 7567 1.42008 9903 9127 7939 7807 4.12009 10309 9481 8112 7970 0.42010 10348 9555 7982 7834 1.02011 10449 9586 8097 7933 -2.62012 10179 9426 7529 7362 -8.52013 9311 8652 6755 6597 -10.62014 8324 7740 5842 5704 -13.9

Table 2. Preseason Natural Mortality for CodyElk_2010.GN1 02/28/2012 02:55 pm

Bio- Sub- Adult Adult % ofYear Adults Males Females Total Pop------------------------------------------------------------------------------2005 410 24 63 496 5.02006 518 20 60 598 6.12007 601 19 59 678 6.92008 701 17 59 777 7.82009 751 18 60 829 8.02010 713 19 60 793 7.72011 785 19 59 863 8.32012 674 20 59 753 7.42013 585 20 53 658 7.12014 518 19 47 584 7.0

Table 3. Harvest Mortality for CodyElk_2010.GN1 02/28/2012 02:55 pm


304

Table 4. Harvest Percentages for CodyElk_2010.GN1 02/28/2012 02:55 pm

Bio- Sub- Adult Adult YearlingYear Adults Males Females Total Males------------------------------------------------------------------------------2005 9.2 26.8 8.6 13.14 2.72006 6.4 28.0 8.4 12.41 2.82007 3.7 41.1 7.7 13.97 4.22008 5.0 32.0 8.1 11.83 7.12009 5.2 32.0 9.8 13.12 8.12010 8.2 34.1 10.8 14.97 8.12011 4.3 32.2 11.4 14.12 7.22012 4.8 31.0 17.5 18.30 8.02013 5.5 31.3 19.4 19.94 6.42014 6.2 33.2 22.1 22.29 5.5

Table 5. Postseason Natural Mortality for CodyElk_2010.GN1 02/28/2012 02:55 pm


Table 6. Preseason Ratios for CodyElk_2010.GN1 02/28/2012 02:55 pm

Bio- Subadults 2+ Males Yr. Males Ad MalesYear /100 1+F /100 1+F /100 1+F /100 1+F------------------------------------------------------------------------------2005 15.4 30.0 7.7 37.72006 20.4 26.9 7.0 33.92007 24.1 23.1 9.3 32.42008 28.0 17.0 11.1 28.12009 29.4 17.2 12.5 29.82010 27.8 18.5 13.3 31.82011 31.2 19.6 12.4 32.02012 26.9 20.0 14.4 34.52013 25.8 24.2 13.6 37.82014 26.0 27.2 13.3 40.5

Table 7. Postseason Ratios for CodyElk_2010.GN1 02/28/2012 02:55 pm

305

Bio- Subadults 2+ Males Yr. Males Ad MalesYear /100 1+F /100 1+F /100 1+F /100 1+F------------------------------------------------------------------------------2005 15.3 21.2 8.2 29.42006 20.9 18.4 7.4 25.92007 25.3 9.9 9.5 19.42008 29.0 8.6 11.4 20.02009 31.1 8.5 13.1 21.62010 28.7 8.6 14.0 22.62011 34.0 10.3 13.3 23.62012 31.6 11.4 16.7 28.12013 30.8 15.3 16.2 31.52014 32.0 17.5 16.5 34.0

Table 8. End of Year Ratios for CodyElk_2010.GN1 02/28/2012 02:55 pm

Bio- Subadults Subadults Yr. Males Ad MalesYear /100 Adlts /100 1+F /100 1+F /100 1+F------------------------------------------------------------------------------2005 11.7 15.1 8.0 28.92006 16.4 20.6 7.3 25.42007 20.9 24.9 9.4 19.12008 23.9 28.6 11.3 19.72009 25.3 30.7 12.9 21.32010 23.2 28.4 13.9 22.32011 27.3 33.7 13.2 23.42012 24.6 31.5 16.6 28.02013 23.4 30.7 16.2 31.42014 23.8 31.9 16.5 33.9

Table 9. Reproduction at Start of Bio-Year for CodyElk_2010.GN1 02/28/2012 02:55 pm

Young Sub-Ad. Total TotalBio- / 100 / 100 Total Sub- FemalesYear AF 1 + AF 1 + Young Adult 1 +------------------------------------------------------------------------------2005 22 22 1366 1366 62702006 29 29 1728 1728 59792007 34 34 2002 2002 58622008 40 40 2336 2336 59082009 42 42 2502 2502 60162010 39 39 2377 2377 60462011 44 44 2615 2615 59352012 38 38 2246 2246 59002013 36 36 1949 1949 53432014 37 37 1726 1726 4694

Table A. Intra-Annual Natural Survival(%) for CodyElk_2010.GN1 02/28/2012 02:55 pm

Sub Adult Adult OverallBio-Years Adults Males Females Survival

306

------------------------------------------------------------------------------2005-2006 96.52 96.42 97.94 97.482006-2007 96.52 96.35 97.90 97.432007-2008 96.52 96.38 97.85 97.422008-2009 96.52 96.44 97.78 97.362009-2010 96.52 96.49 97.67 97.272010-2011 96.52 96.51 97.50 97.172011-2012 96.53 96.52 97.26 96.992012-2013 96.52 96.52 96.98 96.812013-2014 96.53 96.52 96.79 96.69

307








Total: 9.28% 9.91%




Population: 5,440 5,000 4,900

Harvest: 651 523 550



Hunters: 1,554 1,034 1,050

Recreation Days: 11,076 8,355 8,500


Active License Percent: 40% 46% 50 %

Hunter Success: 42% 51% 52 %



HUNT AREAS: 50-54, 65, 121 PREPARED BY: DOUG MCWHIRTER

HERD: EL217 - CLARKS FORK

311


for Elk Herd EL217 - CLARKS FORK




Conf Int

100 Fem

Conf Int

100 Adult

2006 5,500 269 254 523 12% 3,167 72% 732 17% 4,422 248 8 8 17 ± 0 23 ± 0 202007 5,300 261 425 686 16% 2,910 68% 665 16% 4,261 266 9 15 24 ± 1 23 ± 1 182008 5,400 139 68 207 6% 2,695 76% 621 18% 3,523 283 5 3 8 ± 0 23 ± 1 212009 5,500 205 224 429 11% 2,738 71% 673 18% 3,840 283 7 8 16 ± 1 25 ± 1 212010 5,500 153 97 250 10% 1,782 71% 476 19% 2,508 369 9 5 14 ± 1 27 ± 1 232011 5,000 204 376 580 17% 2,379 68% 524 15% 3,483 283 9 16 24 ± 1 22 ± 1 18

314


54 65 Type 1 50 10/01 - 11/30 Any

121 Type 1 100 11/01 - 11/30 Any


52 53,54,65,121 ARCH 09/01 - 09/30 Refer to Section 3 of this Chapter







50 Type 1 20 10/01 - 10/31 Any


52 53 Type 1 40 10/01 - 10/31 Any


51 52,53 Type 4 100 11/16 - 11/21 Full Priced Antlerless


51 Type 1 100 10/01 - 10/31 Any



EL217 - CLARKS FORK



315

2011

Area Type ctive Lic/Htrs Bull Spike Cow Calf Total Success Days/Harvest Days Licenses Sold

201150 BEARTOOTH

Type 1 20 13 0 0 0 13 65% 10.8 140 21Type 4 38 0 0 23 2 25 65.80% 5.8 145 40Type 9 15 8 0 0 0 8 53.30% 20.8 166 18

Pooled Total 73 (73)* 21 0 23 2 46 63.00% (63.0%)* 9.8 451Pooled Resident 59 17 0 23 2 42 71.20% 7.9 331Pooled Nonresident 14 4 0 0 0 4 28.60% 30 120

51 CRANDALLType 1 91 36 2 2 3 43 47.30% 14.3 614 99Type 4 30 0 0 20 0 20 66.70% 4.9 98 99Type 9 16 1 0 2 0 3 18.80% 67 201 16


52 SUNLIGHTType 1 32 7 0 0 0 7 21.90% 24.6 172 41Type 4 60 0 0 44 4 48 80% 5.4 260 0Type 9 22 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 155 31

Pooled Total 114 (114)* 7 0 44 4 55 48.20% (48.2%)* 10.7 587Pooled Resident 102 6 0 42 4 52 51.00% 10.3 534Pooled Nonresident 12 1 0 2 0 3 25% 17.7 53

53 DEAD INDIANType 1 8 4 0 0 0 4 50% 8.5 34 0Type 4 17 0 0 6 2 8 47.10% 6 48 0Type 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 85 0

Pooled Total 34 (34)* 4 0 6 2 12 35.30% (35.3%)* 13.9 167Pooled Resident 29 4 0 6 2 12 41.40% 10.1 121Pooled Nonresident 5 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 46

54 BALD RIDGEType 1 46 14 0 2 0 16 34.80% 31.4 503 53Type 4 34 0 0 17 5 22 64.70% 10.7 236 50Type 5 28 0 0 5 2 7 25% 17 119 50Type 6 199 0 0 53 10 63 31.70% 22.9 1442 251Type 7 137 0 0 59 7 66 48.20% 9.9 656 250Type 9 23 8 0 0 0 8 34.80% 27.5 220 25


65 McCULLOUGH PEAKSType 1 20 2 0 0 2 4 20% 34.5 138 0Type 5 25 0 0 8 0 8 32% 17.6 141 0Type 6 99 0 0 13 7 20 20.20% 22 439 0Type 7 91 0 0 20 4 24 26.40% 14.2 342 0


121 TROUT CREEK-RATTLESNAKE MOUNTAINType 1 91 52 0 0 0 52 57.10% 19.8 1031 101Type 4 18 0 0 13 1 14 77.80% 3.9 55 22Type 5 29 0 0 8 0 8 27.60% 40.9 327 41Type 6 92 0 0 30 5 35 38.00% 16.6 580 125



316


for Elk Herd EL217 - CLARKS FORK

Males Females Herd

Year Juv 1 % * 2 ^ % **

Tot Aged

++

Not Aged+++ Unk

TotChkd Juv 1 % * 2 ^ % **

TotAged

++

Not Aged+++ Unk

Tot Chkd Tot

2006 5 3 7% 41 93% 49 0 1 50 1 4 3% 133 97% 138 0 0 138 188

2007 6 10 12% 71 88% 87 0 3 90 3 33 13% 224 87% 260 0 39 299 389

2008 5 0 0% 26 100% 31 0 0 31 10 20 11% 166 89% 196 0 1 197 228

2009 1 4 11% 31 89% 36 0 2 38 7 4 3% 145 97% 156 0 1 157 195

2010 4 1 6% 16 94% 21 0 0 21 6 4 6% 68 94% 78 0 0 78 99

2011 4 1 9% 10 91% 15 0 0 15 6 3 7% 39 93% 48 0 0 48 63

* Percent of aged animals (including unaged adults but excluding juveniles) 1 1/2 years old

^ Number of animals two years old and older. Animals aged older than two (excluding unaged adults) are lumped into this two plus category

** Percent of aged animals (not including juveniles or unaged adults) two years old or older

++ includes juveniles

+++ Unaged adults - unaged animals older than yearlings

317

2006 - 2011 Trend Count Summaryfor Elk Herd EL217 - CLARKS FORK

Flight Time

Year Count Dates Hours Minutes Number Counted2006 FEBRUARY 2007 5 5 4,422

2007 FEBRUARY 2008 8 45 4,261

2008 FEBRUARY 2009 5 15 3,523

2009 JANUARY 2010 5 0 3,840

2010 MARCH 2011 2 30 3,387

2011 FEBRUARY 2012 4 0 3,483

318

2012 ProposedClarks Fork Elk Herd Unit (EL217)

HUNTING SEASONS

HUNT Season Dates AREA TYPE OPENS CLOSES LIMITATIONS 50 1 Oct 1 Oct 31 Limited quota; 20 licenses any elk 4 Nov 16 Dec 15 Limited quota; 40 licenses antlerless elk 9 Sept 1 Sept 30 Limited quota; 20 licenses any elk; archery only 51 1 Oct 1 Oct 31 Limited quota; 100 licenses any elk 9 Sept 1 Sept 30 Limited quota; 50 licenses any elk; archery only 51, 52, 53 4 Nov 16 Nov 21 Limited quota; 100 licenses antlerless elk Nov 22 Dec 15 Unused Area 51, 52, 53 Type 4 licenses valid only in Area 52 and 53 52, 53 1 Oct 1 Oct 31 Limited quota; 40 licenses any elk 9 Sept 1 Sept 30 Limited quota; 30 licenses any elk; archery only 54, 65 1 Oct 1 Nov 30 Limited quota; 50 licenses any elk 4 Sept 1 Sept 30 Limited quota; 50 licenses antlerless elk 5 Oct 1 Oct 31 Limited quota; 50 licenses antlerless elk 6 Nov 1 Nov 30 Limited quota; 250 200


7 Dec 1 Dec 31 Limited quota; 250 200


9 Aug 15 Sept 30 Limited quota; 25 licenses any elk; archery only

319

HUNT Season Dates AREA TYPE OPENS CLOSES LIMITATIONS 121 1 Nov 1 Nov 30 Limited quota; 100 licenses any elk 4 Oct 1 Oct 31 Limited quota; 25 licenses antlerless elk 5 Nov 1 Dec 31 Limited quota; 125 licenses antlerless elk 6 Nov 1 Dec 31 Limited quota; 125 licenses cow or calf 54, 65, 121 Sept 1 Sept 30 Archery season; Refer to Section 4 of this Chapter

SUMMARY OF PROPOSED CHANGES IN LICENSE NUMBER

Area Type Change from 2011 54-65 6&7 -100 Total

EL217 -100

JUSTIFICATION We are proposing to reduce the numbers of Type 6 and Type 7 licenses in Hunt Areas 54 and 65 slightly (50 each) as elk numbers seen in these areas are currently near their desired levels. It is estimated there were approximately 5,000 elk in the postseason 2011 population. However, the current model is not considered to be reliable due to poor alignment of simulated versus observed yearling and total bull ratios. However, if accurate, the 2011 estimate represents a population approximately 67% above the objective of 3,000 elk. However, the number of elk seen during 2011 surveys is only 8% above trend count goals established for this herd unit. This objective is in need of evaluation to determine stakeholder attitudes regarding current and desired elk numbers. Total bull harvest in 2011 was very similar to that seen in 2010, which was a decrease of 45% over that seen in 2009, which was primarily a result of the shift from general license bull hunting to totally limited quota hunting in Hunt Areas 50-53 in 2010. Antlerless elk harvest increased substantially (23%) from 2008 to 2009, increased another 19% from 2009 to 2010, but decreased slightly (10%) in 2011. Classification information from postseason 2011 show that migratory elk in Hunt Areas 50-53 still suffer from poor calf recruitment, as the calf cow ratio for these elk was 13:100 and the yearling bull ratio was 4:100. In contrast, the non-migratory elk in Hunt Areas 50, 54, 65, and 121 had a calf ratio of 32:100 and a yearling bull ratio of 14:100. Trend count data show that elk numbers in Hunt Area 50-53 are slightly above management goals, while Hunt Area 121 is probably near management objectives. Elk numbers in Hunt Areas 54 and 65 are currently near management objectives, but high productivity requires continued antlerless harvest. Season recommendations for 2012 were set based on this assessment. It is projected this will result in the harvest of approximately 550 elk, and result in a post-season 2012 population of approximately 4,900 elk.

320

Data Set: E217_2010.GN1 02/22/2012 09:27 am Page 1

Clarks Fork Elk - 2012 Season Setting Model Data from 2005 to 2014 Simulation from 2005 to 2014

Age Init Pop. Prop. Presn Mort% Postsn Mort% Effort Set 1 Effort Set 2Class Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 0 654.0 654.0 30.0 30.0 5.0 5.0 0.20 0.20 1.00 1.00 1 354.0 354.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 2 338.0 367.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 3 281.0 336.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 0.80 1.00 1.00 1.00 4 219.0 330.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 5 152.0 324.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 6 103.0 312.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 7 62.0 300.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 8 21.0 287.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 9 10.0 275.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 10 5.0 257.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 11 2.0 232.0 1.0 1.0 15.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 12 1.0 208.0 1.0 1.0 20.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 13 0.0 183.0 1.0 1.0 40.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 14 0.0 122.0 1.0 1.0 60.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 15 0.0 73.0 1.0 1.0 80.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 16 0.0 49.0 1.0 1.0 100.0 2.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 17 0.0 24.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 18 0.0 12.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 19 0.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 20 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 21 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 10.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 22 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 20.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 23 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 40.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 24 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 80.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 25 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 100.0 100.0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sum = 6913.0 Estimated Sum = 6600 Subadults: Ages 0 to 0


MSI Function is Linear Effort Bio- Preseason Harvest // Des. Pop Size in NA Postseason & Wound Year MSI Subadults# Males# Females# MSI Set Used------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2005 1.00 69 356 393 0.50 1 2006 1.00 74 348 356 0.50 1 2007 1.00 42 296 469 0.50 1 2008 1.00 39 180 287 0.50 1 2009 1.00 51 255 303 0.50 1 2010 1.00 67 131 357 0.50 1 2011 1.00 55 146 322 0.50 1

321

2012 1.00 50 150 350 0.50 1 2013 1.00 50 150 350 0.50 1 2014 1.00 50 150 350 0.50 1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Set 1 Wounding Loss 10.% 10.% 10.% Yearling Male 10.% Set 1 Wounding Loss 10.% 10.% 10.% Yearling Male 10.%


Bio- Young/100 Fems Young/100 Fems Young/100 Fems Sex Ratio: Year Age 1 - 1 Age 2 - 2 Age 3 - 25 50 : 50 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2006 0.0 20.0 37.0 2007 0.0 20.0 35.0 2008 0.0 20.0 38.0 2009 0.0 20.0 40.0 2010 0.0 20.0 44.0 2011 0.0 20.0 35.0 2012 0.0 20.0 33.0 2013 0.0 20.0 33.0 2014 0.0 20.0 33.0 2015 0.0 20.0 33.0

322

POP-II (V1.2.5) Simulation Output Tables for E217_2010.GN1, 02/22/2012 09:27 am

Table 1. Population Size During Bio-Year for E217_2010.GN1 02/22/2012 09:27 am

Bio- Pre- PostYear Start Season Season End %Growth------------------------------------------------------------------------------2005 6600 6172 5272 5190 -3.22006 6386 5976 5120 5040 -3.82007 6141 5760 4873 4795 -3.82008 5907 5526 4969 4887 2.32009 6042 5646 4976 4891 1.52010 6135 5713 5103 5010 -2.62011 5979 5638 5063 4966 -1.82012 5868 5548 4943 4843 -2.82013 5703 5397 4792 4686 -3.72014 5491 5203 4598 4488 -4.7

Table 2. Preseason Natural Mortality for E217_2010.GN1 02/22/2012 09:27 am


Table 3. Harvest Mortality for E217_2010.GN1 02/22/2012 09:27 am

Bio- Sub- Adult Adult % ofYear Adults Ma

2011 - jcr evaluation form€¦ · 41 type 6 0 11/19 - 12/11 reduced price cow/calf 45 type 4 0...

Documents