2009 sr wcm conference ed calianese warning coordination meteorologist
DESCRIPTION
Decision Support Web Pages. 2009 SR WCM Conference Ed Calianese Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service Tulsa OK. WFO Tulsa DSP. Developed and implemented in 2005 Intended for EMs and other decision makers - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
2009 SR WCM Conference2009 SR WCM Conference
Ed CalianeseEd Calianese
Warning Coordination MeteorologistWarning Coordination Meteorologist
National Weather Service Tulsa OKNational Weather Service Tulsa OK
WFO Tulsa DSP Developed and implemented in 2005Developed and implemented in 2005 Intended for EMs and other decision makersIntended for EMs and other decision makers One-stop shop for variety of products to One-stop shop for variety of products to
support decision makingsupport decision making Important to EMs to have actual data values Important to EMs to have actual data values
not NWS-determined threat valuesnot NWS-determined threat values GFE-driven for product consistencyGFE-driven for product consistency Heavily marketed with intended user groupsHeavily marketed with intended user groups
Decision Support Page
CLICK
www.weather.gov/tulsawww.weather.gov/tulsa
Decision Support Page Overview Spotter Spotter
Activation Activation StatementStatement
Graphical Graphical Hazardous Hazardous Weather Weather Outlook Outlook
Risk Risk Analysis Analysis for each for each threat threat category category for Day 1for Day 1
Risk Risk Analysis Analysis for each for each threat threat category category for Days 2 for Days 2 through 7through 7
Threat Levels Threat level is calculated differently for each element
No ThreatNo Threat
Limited ThreatLimited Threat
Elevated ThreatElevated Threat
Significant ThreatSignificant Threat
Decision Support Page Products
Day 2 - 7 Threat Assessment in HWO
MultiMedia Recorded Briefing
Articulate briefingsArticulate briefings Most forecasters Most forecasters
have produced have produced themthem
EM/partner EM/partner feedback indicates feedback indicates preferred over G2Mpreferred over G2M
Time stampedTime stamped RSS Feed RSS Feed
notificationnotification
MultiMedia Recorded Briefing
GFE-Driven DSP
GFE-Driven DSP
GFE-Driven DSP
DSP products from GFE
DSP products from GFE
www.weather.gov/tulsawww.weather.gov/tulsa
DSP-derivative products from GFE
FLASH FLOOD FLASH FLOOD POTENTIALPOTENTIAL QPFQPF RFC FFGRFC FFG
DSP-derivative products from GFE
SPREAD INDEXSPREAD INDEX MaxTMaxT MinRHMinRH WindWind Vegetation State Vegetation State
(constant)(constant) Computed Hourly; Computed Hourly;
max value for each max value for each grid point displayedgrid point displayed
Modeled from AR Modeled from AR ForestryForestry
DSP-derivative products from GFE
SPERRY-PILTZ ICE SPERRY-PILTZ ICE DAMAGE INDEXDAMAGE INDEX Ice AccumIce Accum WindWind
Modeled from OK Modeled from OK Asscn of Elec CoopsAsscn of Elec Coops
DSP-derivative products from GFE
10% RAINFALL 10% RAINFALL EXCEEDANCE (i.e. EXCEEDANCE (i.e. Worst Case Scenario)Worst Case Scenario) 24-hour QPF24-hour QPF Probability curve Probability curve
given QPF – 10% given QPF – 10% chance to equal or chance to equal or exceedexceed
~EKDMOS~EKDMOS Modeled by TSA Modeled by TSA
SOOSOO
DSP-derivative products from GFE
SEVERE WEATHER SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIALPOTENTIAL ProbThunderProbThunder CondProbSVRCondProbSVR
Probability of SVR Probability of SVR and/or TORand/or TOR
More useful to EM More useful to EM than “25 miles of a than “25 miles of a given point”given point”
Decision Support Page v2.0
Added River Flood chicletAdded River Flood chicletEvolution based on user feedback and SR Evolution based on user feedback and SR
DSP team discussionsDSP team discussionsLayout fits better in browserLayout fits better in browserAdded another threat levelAdded another threat levelMouse-over optionMouse-over optionExtensive use of drop-down menus to Extensive use of drop-down menus to
minimize mouse clicksminimize mouse clicks
TSA DSP v2.0
TSA DSP v2.0
TSA DSP v2.0
How is it used?! Daily forecast check via click-for-weather Daily forecast check via click-for-weather
pagepage In-depth self-briefing via DSPIn-depth self-briefing via DSPSituational Awareness Display before and Situational Awareness Display before and
during eventsduring eventsMake staffing decisions based on DSP, Make staffing decisions based on DSP,
G2M, Articulate briefings, telconG2M, Articulate briefings, telconBrief city/county officialsBrief city/county officialsRamp up volunteersRamp up volunteers
OHMARSOOutdoor utdoor HHazards azards MMonitor onitor aand nd RResponse esponse SSystemystem
OHMARS Evolution
Enormous risk to several outdoor venuesEnormous risk to several outdoor venuesMet with Mayes County EMDMet with Mayes County EMDSituational Awareness Display that alerts Situational Awareness Display that alerts
user to predetermined threat threshold user to predetermined threat threshold exceedanceexceedance
Utilized for remote and on-scene supportUtilized for remote and on-scene supportEasily modified for individual venue EOPEasily modified for individual venue EOPFuture delivery of service to digital devicesFuture delivery of service to digital devices
2007 OEMA Conference2007 OEMA Conference
Thresholds Setup Form
2007 OEMA Conference2007 OEMA Conference
2007 OEMA Conference2007 OEMA Conference
2007 OEMA Conference2007 OEMA Conference
2007 OEMA Conference2007 OEMA Conference
2007 OEMA Conference2007 OEMA Conference
2007 OEMA Conference2007 OEMA Conference
OHMARS – in action TAEMATAEMA
PGA Championship, Oktoberfest, Tulsa State FairPGA Championship, Oktoberfest, Tulsa State Fair Mayes County EMMayes County EM
Bikelahoma, CountryFever, RocklahomaBikelahoma, CountryFever, Rocklahoma Benton County EMBenton County EM
LPGA Championship, Flu Vaccination/ExerciseLPGA Championship, Flu Vaccination/Exercise Washington County EMWashington County EM
Univ of Ark events, FF Victim Search and RescueUniv of Ark events, FF Victim Search and Rescue Sebastian County EMSebastian County EM
Ft Chaffee Fire, AR EM ConferenceFt Chaffee Fire, AR EM Conference Franklin County EMFranklin County EM
Cass Outdoor eventsCass Outdoor events
NWS Forecasters watch the fire from AR TV stations via the Internet.
NWS Forecasters run HYSPLIT out of concern that potentially dangerous materials could be involved.
NWS Forecasters IM with Fire Command Post answering questions from the Incident Commander and EMs.
Radar Display
NWS Forecasters provided hourly updates on Fire Spread Potential.
NWS Forecasters provided hand-drawn graphics.
WFO Tulsa assigned an Incident Meteorologist to provide hourly updates to grids which in turn gave the command post high-resolution forecast meteograms for the site.
Current Local Conditions
Grid-Based Hazard Potential Indicators
Audio and Visual Alarms for changes in current conditions …NWS text products, and grids.
QUESTIONS