2009 economic update seminar neil cox, cfp director &head of investment research director &...
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2009 Economic Update 2009 Economic Update SeminarSeminar
Neil Cox, CFP
Director &Director & Head of Investment Head of Investment ResearchResearch
Presented byPresented by
General Advice Warning
Today’s presentation may contain some general advice.This means that individual objectives and needs have NOT been considered in providing this advice. This information is general in nature and does not constitute comprehensive advice.
Before acting on this advice, you should give consideration to the appropriateness of the advice for you. You should seek proper personal financial advice.
While the information given in the presentation is in good faith and is believed to be accurate and reliable, Financial Foundations Australia does not give any warranty as to the reliability for any errors or omissions.
Helping you through the Helping you through the financial crisisfinancial crisis Dealing with Market Volatility –
Dollar Cost Averaging
Have your cake and eat it too with Have your cake and eat it too with more super for your retirement – more super for your retirement – Transition to RetirementTransition to Retirement
Improve, or gain access to a Improve, or gain access to a Social Security entitlementSocial Security entitlement – – CentrelinkCentrelink
Legislative Update -Legislative Update -Income Test Income Test Reforms from 1 July ‘09Reforms from 1 July ‘09
2008 was a ‘1 in 50’ year event 2008 was a ‘1 in 50’ year event for Australian share market for Australian share market returnsreturns
Source: Standard & Poor’s
20072007
20032003
20012001
19991999 20062006
19981998 20052005
20022002 19971997 20042004 19931993
19941994 19961996 19951995 19851985
19921992 20002000 19891989 19781978 19801980
19901990 19871987 19761976 19881988 19771977 19791979
19821982 19841984 19711971 19691969 19721972 19681968
19741974 19811981 19651965 19641964 19661966 19631963 19671967 19831983
20082008 19731973 19701970 19601960 19621962 19611961 19581958 19911991 19591959 19861986 19751975
-40 to -30-40 to -30 -30 to -20-30 to -20 -20 to -10-20 to -10 -10 to 0-10 to 0 0 to 100 to 10 10 to 2010 to 20 20 to 3020 to 30 30 to 4030 to 40 40 to 5040 to 50 50 to 6050 to 60 60 to 7060 to 70
All Ords /ASX 300 Accumulation Index – 50 years to 2008
But every period of negative But every period of negative returns is generally followed by returns is generally followed by increased gainsincreased gains
Source: Standard & Poor’s
20072007
20032003
20012001
19991999 20062006
19981998 20052005
20022002 19971997 20042004 19931993
19941994 19961996 19951995 19851985
19921992 20002000 19891989 19781978 19801980
19901990 19871987 19761976 19881988 19771977 19791979
19821982 19841984 19711971 19691969 19721972 19681968
19741974 19811981 19651965 19641964 19661966 19631963 19671967 19831983
20082008 19731973 19701970 19601960 19621962 19611961 19581958 19911991 19591959 19861986 19751975
-40 to --40 to -3030
-30 to --30 to -2020
-20 to --20 to -1010 -10 to 0-10 to 0 0 to 100 to 10 10 to 2010 to 20 20 to 3020 to 30 30 to 4030 to 40 40 to 5040 to 50 50 to 6050 to 60 60 to 7060 to 70
All Ords /ASX 300 Accumulation Index – 50 years to 2008
Dollar Cost AveragingDollar Cost Averaging
A way of dealing with volatilityA way of dealing with volatility Helps decrease risk of investing at the Helps decrease risk of investing at the
toptop Can help make a profit even in a Can help make a profit even in a
overall flat marketoverall flat market
Dollar cost averagingDollar cost averaging
Down market:lower price,
buy more shares
Up market:higher price,
buy fewer shares
$ $ $ $ $ $ $$ $ $ $$$ $ $
$200 invested every month for 10 years ($24,000)
The Benefits of Dollar Cost Averaging
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
“Steadily rising share price”
Sha
re P
rice
($)
Year
$32,231
$200 invested every month for 10 years ($24,000)
The Benefits of Dollar Cost Averaging
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sha
re P
rice
($)
Year
“Rising share price with short term volatility”
$42,434
The Benefits of Dollar Cost Averaging
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Share
Pri
ce (
$)
Year
“Share price recovery”
$62,640
$200 invested every month for 10 years ($24,000)
The Benefits of Dollar Cost AveragingThe Benefits of Dollar Cost Averaging$200 invested every month for 10 years ($24,000)
$32,231“Steadily rising
share price”
Share
Pri
ce (
$)
Year0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$42,434
“Rising share price with short term volatility”
Share
Pri
ce (
$)
Year0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$62,640“Share price recovery”
Share
Pri
ce (
$)
Year0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
OpportunitiesOpportunities
Accumulators• Cheap markets represent an excellent long term entry point;• For regular investors, volatility brings increased future profits by using DCA techniques; • Great time to begin/increase a regular investment program• Protect your family and income with appropriate insurances for Life, Disablement and Income Protection• Don’t forget super
Retiree’sRetiree’s
• No quick fix, we need to ride out this volatility;No quick fix, we need to ride out this volatility;
• Ensure using new super rules to maximum effect -Ensure using new super rules to maximum effect -your own private tax haven;your own private tax haven;
• Assets tested Age Pensioners, seek a Centrelink Assets tested Age Pensioners, seek a Centrelink review now to get a pension increase based on review now to get a pension increase based on market value reductions. market value reductions.
Cont….
$10,000$10,000SALARYSALARY
Taxed at marginal rateTaxed at marginal rate31.5%31.5%
$6,850$6,850
IncomeIncomeat at
31.5%31.5%
Capital GainsCapital Gains15.75%15.75%
24%24%..RETURN......RETURN....
IMMEDIATELYIMMEDIATELY
SUPERSUPER15% Contribution Tax15% Contribution Tax
$8,500$8,500
IncomeIncomeat at
15%15%
Lump Sum TaxLump Sum Tax15% (Worst Case)15% (Worst Case)
Transition to Retirement Transition to Retirement - Overview- Overview
ProblemProblem – – how to boost your super as you how to boost your super as you transition to retirement without lowering your current transition to retirement without lowering your current incomeincome
SolutionSolution – – a strategy based around accessing your super a strategy based around accessing your super through a non-commutable account based pension (NCAP)through a non-commutable account based pension (NCAP)
Action StepsAction Steps Continue to workContinue to work Boost your super with salary sacrifice paymentsBoost your super with salary sacrifice payments Maintain current income with an NCAPMaintain current income with an NCAP
Result Result – – have your cake and eat it too with more have your cake and eat it too with more super for your retirementsuper for your retirement
Your Preservation AgeYour Preservation Age
If your date of birth is:If your date of birth is: Your preservation age is:Your preservation age is:
Before 1 July 1960Before 1 July 1960
Between 1 July 1960 and 30 June Between 1 July 1960 and 30 June 19611961
Between 1 July 1961 and 30 Between 1 July 1961 and 30 June 1962June 1962
Between 1 July 1962 and 30 Between 1 July 1962 and 30 June 1963June 1963
Between 1 July 1963 and 30 Between 1 July 1963 and 30 June 1964June 1964
After 30 June 1964After 30 June 1964
5555
5656
5757
5858
5959
6060
NCAPs in a nutshellNCAPs in a nutshell
NCAPs can only be started once you reach preservation ageNCAPs can only be started once you reach preservation age
Purchased with superannuation moneyPurchased with superannuation money
No work testNo work test
Minimum and maximum payment limitsMinimum and maximum payment limits
Lump sum withdrawals (commutations) generally not Lump sum withdrawals (commutations) generally not allowedallowed
How to have your cake How to have your cake and eat it tooand eat it too Once you’ve reached your preservation age, Once you’ve reached your preservation age,
continue to work at your present levelcontinue to work at your present level
Purchase an NCAP with your superannuation moneyPurchase an NCAP with your superannuation money
Salary sacrifice into your super account (subject to employer’s agreement) Salary sacrifice into your super account (subject to employer’s agreement)
Purchase an NCAP with your superannuation moneyPurchase an NCAP with your superannuation money
Maintain current income by drawing a pension from Maintain current income by drawing a pension from your NCAPyour NCAP
Tax advantages mean your income stays the same but Tax advantages mean your income stays the same but your super may receive a boostyour super may receive a boost
Peter’s storyPeter’s story
Peter, age 55, wants to retire at 65 and work full-time until thenPeter, age 55, wants to retire at 65 and work full-time until then
He earns $60,000 per year - $47,250 after tax and Medicare levyHe earns $60,000 per year - $47,250 after tax and Medicare levy
Peter has $300,000 in superPeter has $300,000 in super
On 1 July 2008, Peter rolls over all his super into an NCAP and chooses the maximum pension payment of $30,000On 1 July 2008, Peter rolls over all his super into an NCAP and chooses the maximum pension payment of $30,000
He salary sacrifices $37,519 (year 1) into super and receives the same net income of $47,250 after tax and Medicare levyHe salary sacrifices $37,519 (year 1) into super and receives the same net income of $47,250 after tax and Medicare levy
Peter’s position without a Peter’s position without a Transition to Retirement Transition to Retirement
strategystrategy
Superannuation$300,000
(Accumulation)15% Tax on entry15% on earnings
Tax-free Withdrawals (after age 60)
Employer Pays Super Guarantee (9%)
Take Home Income$47,250
TAX MAN
Employer
Gross IncomeTaxed at Marginal Income
$60,000
An NCAP gives Peter a An NCAP gives Peter a super boostsuper boost
TTR Strategy
Superannuation$300,000
(Accumulation)15% Tax
TTR Pension
0% Tax
Salary sacrifice
$37,519
55 -59 comes with a 15% rebate
60+ Totally tax free
Saved
Saved
Saved
Saved
Take Home Income
$47,250
TAX MAN
Employer
Gross IncomeTaxed at Marginal Income
$22,481
Employer Pays Super Guarantee
(9%)
Accumulated Super used to purchase NCAP
$30,000$300,000
The projections in this strategy are based on various assumptions, including but not limited to:
• maximum pension payment = $30,000 in year 1; • salary sacrifice = $37,519 in year 1; • no change in take-home pay before/after strategy; • no change in risk profile; • estimated investment return (Prudent portfolio) = 6.1% pa
(super), 7.0% pa (pension); • all investment earnings figures are after tax and after fees; • no change in Super Guarantee contributions, ie 9% of
$60,000.
Peter’s estimated gainPeter’s estimated gain
It’s estimated that by using this strategy It’s estimated that by using this strategy Peter will have built an extra amount of Peter will have built an extra amount of around around $91,800$91,800 in super by age 65 in super by age 65
The increase is due to tax advantages and The increase is due to tax advantages and will not require a change in investment will not require a change in investment strategystrategy
By making additional salary sacrifice By making additional salary sacrifice contributions Peter could increase his super contributions Peter could increase his super still furtherstill further
Implementing a TTR Implementing a TTR StrategyStrategy
Once you’ve reached preservation Once you’ve reached preservation age, a transition to retirement age, a transition to retirement strategy can potentially boost your strategy can potentially boost your super as you transition to retirement super as you transition to retirement without lowering your current income.without lowering your current income.
To re-cap it involvesTo re-cap it involves continuing to workcontinuing to work rolling existing super into an NCAProlling existing super into an NCAP boosting your super with salary sacrifice paymentsboosting your super with salary sacrifice payments maintaining current income with an NCAP maintaining current income with an NCAP
As a result you can have your cake As a result you can have your cake and eat it too with more super for and eat it too with more super for your retirementyour retirement
Improve, or gain access to a Social Security entitlement With super fund returns continuing in the negative many investment / superannuation account balances are probably lower since your last assessment.
What you can do:
Existing clients should contact Centrelink and request for a re-assessment of the value of these investments to see if they are eligible for an increase in their age pension entitlement.
Clients who were previously not eligible to claim the Age Pension due to the assets test may wish to contact Centrelink to see if they are now eligible.
Legislative Update - Legislative Update - Income Test Reforms from 1 July '09Proposal to assess certain 'salary sacrificed‘
contributions to superannuation as income is to
broaden the definition of income that is assessed in
determining eligibility for government support
Programs
Review of how the proposed changes will impact the
more popular strategies used for Clients:
Personal deductible contributions to super and 10% rule
From 1 July 2009: Any amounts sacrificed into superannuation from
salary or wages will be added back to assessable income to determine
whether the employee meets the 10% rule or not.
Government Co-contributionFrom 1 July 2009: This strategy will no longer be viable to high income
earners as any salary sacrificed amounts will be added back to
assessable income for determining eligibility.
Commonwealth Seniors Health CardFrom 1 July 2009: The income definition to determine eligibility for the CSHC will be expanded to include non-assessable (tax free)
income from superannuation pensions and lump sums, salary sacrificed contributions, personal
deductible super contributions and total net investment losses.
This is a consequence of the expanded "adjusted taxable
income“ definition.
Mature Age Workers Tax Offset, Spouse Super Contributions Tax
Offset
From 1 July 2009: Assessment for the above tax offsets will include any salary sacrificed amounts to
superannuation.
Family Tax Benefits (A&B), Child Care Benefit, Baby Bonus, Senior
Australian Tax Offsets, Child Support, Medicare Levy Surcharge
From 1 July 2009: Assessment for the above benefits will include any
salary sacrificed amounts to superannuation AND/OR any amounts
contributed to superannuation as a personal deductible (concessional)
contribution.
Cont…….
Where to from here?Where to from here?
Remember, no one has a Crystal BallRemember, no one has a Crystal Ball– ‘‘We simply attempt to be fearful when others are We simply attempt to be fearful when others are
greedy and to be greedy only when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful’.fearful’.
Warren BuffetWarren Buffet Always get quality advice and buy quality investments;Always get quality advice and buy quality investments; Focus on your strategy and long term goals; Focus on your strategy and long term goals; And finally…And finally…
““In each and every market down turn a massive amount of wealth is In each and every market down turn a massive amount of wealth is transferred from the impatient to the patient”transferred from the impatient to the patient”
We want to make sure you are one of the patient ones!We want to make sure you are one of the patient ones!
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DisclaimerDisclaimer
This information is a summary based on Financial Foundations Australia Pty Ltd’s understanding of the relevant
legislation. It is general in nature and may not be relevant to individual circumstances. The case studies
should not be considered recommendations or personal advice.
You should not do or refrain from doing anything or rely on this information without obtaining suitable professional advice.
QUESTIONS??QUESTIONS??