2009 april.ducker webinar

23
New Data Details Automakers’ Material Use Use of Fuel-Saving, Emission-Reducing Aluminum At All-Time High The Aluminum Association’s Auto & Light Truck Group (ALTG) Webinar Tuesday, April 7, 2009 www.autoaluminum.org

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Page 1: 2009 april.ducker webinar

New Data Details Automakers’ Material UseUse of Fuel-Saving, Emission-Reducing Aluminum

At All-Time High

The Aluminum Association’sAuto & Light Truck Group (ALTG)

Webinar

Tuesday, April 7, 2009

www.autoaluminum.org

Page 2: 2009 april.ducker webinar

• Introductions

• Ducker Research Highlights

• North America

• Global

• Leading Automakers

• Emerging Markets

• Why Aluminum?

• Q & A

Today’s Agenda

Page 3: 2009 april.ducker webinar

Introductions

Buddy Stemple Chairman, ALTG

VP/GM of Specialty Products Novelis

Randall Scheps Marketing Director of

Ground Transportation Alcoa

Doug Richman Vice President of

Engineering and TechnologyKaiser Aluminum

Page 4: 2009 april.ducker webinar

2009 Aluminum

Growth Study

Page 5: 2009 april.ducker webinar

North American Light Vehicle Aluminum

Content Continues Steady Increase

10.4%9.6%

8.8%8.6%

7.8%

6.9%6.1%

5.1%4.5%

3.9%

2.1%2.0%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2009 2010F 2015F 2020F

% V

eh

icle

Cu

rb W

eig

ht

Aluminum Share as Percentage of Curb Weight

Auto Aluminum Use Increases

1970 Average: 81 Pounds

2009 Average: 326 Pounds

2020 Projection: 376 Pounds

Page 6: 2009 april.ducker webinar

2006 2009

316 Pounds per Vehicle 326 Pounds per Vehicle

2.3%

6.9%

10.0%

80.8%

Castings

Rolled Products

Extruded Shapes, Tube, Rod & Bar

Forgings and Impacts

2.1%

7.2%

9.8%

80.9%

Castings

Rolled Products

Extruded Shapes, Tube, Rod & Bar

Forgings and Impacts

Aluminum Use Across Product Forms

Page 7: 2009 april.ducker webinar

9.41

1.33

2.40

4.21

5.48

1.45

5.93

9.10

11.44

11.29

31.46

55.49

122.64

9.02

1.30

1.91

4.06

4.24

4.82

5.52

8.32

9.75

12.76

31.54

52.06

57.08

113.84

54.71

0 25 50 75 100 125

All Other

Body & IP Supports

Bumpers

Heat Shields

Suspensions

Crossmembers & Cradles

Closures

Brakes

Steering

Driveline

Heat Exchangers

Wheels

Transmissions

Engines

2009 2006

Pounds per Vehicle

+ 0.39 Lbs.

+ 0.03 Lbs.

+ 0.49 Lbs.

+ 0.15 Lbs.

+ 1.24 Lbs.

- 3.37 Lbs., program change

+ 0.41 Lbs.

+ 0.82 Lbs.

+ 1.69 Lbs.

- 1.47 Lbs., downsizing

- 0.08 Lbs., downsizing

+ 3.43 Lbs.

- 2.37 Lbs., downsizing

+ 8.8 Lbs.

Net increase of 10.24 pounds in 2009 over 2006

North American Aluminum Components

Page 8: 2009 april.ducker webinar

Component Aluminum Share» Heat exchangers 100%

» Pistons 100%

» Transmission cases > 98%

» Cylinder heads > 98%

» Wheels > 69%

» Engine blocks > 69%

» Drive shafts > 50% (RWD)

» Knuckles > 39%

» Hoods > 22%

» Control Arms > 15%

» Bumper > 11%

Complex Structures

» Cradles/sub-frames > 10%

» BIW ----

Aluminum Saturation and Growth Opportunities

Page 9: 2009 april.ducker webinar

8.8%

7.8% 7.7%

10.1% 10.2%

9.4%

8.5% 8.8%9.4%

9.8%

7.0%

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

GM Ford Chrysler Nissan Honda Toyota BMW VW Subaru Hyundai Daimler

Pe

rce

nt

of

Cu

rb W

eig

ht

2009 Aluminum Content as Percent of Curb Weight

Leading OEMs by Aluminum Content

2007 NHTSA CAFE Rating: 34.033.5 31.6

Page 10: 2009 april.ducker webinar

High Aluminum Content Vehicles Across Vehicle Segments

* Some versions of these models may have less than 400 lbs or 10% ofaluminum based on selected options such as steel wheels and engine size.

** Hybrid and non-hybrid models

*

Page 11: 2009 april.ducker webinar

152 153

175 179

220

237248 253

273

326

100

150

200

250

300

350

Middle

East &

Africa

South

America

Russia &

Other

Europe

India &

Other

Asia

China South

Korea

World

Average

Japan EU North

America

Country or Region

Po

un

ds

pe

r V

eh

icle

Pounds per Vehicle by Country or Region

North America Leads Content Use

Page 12: 2009 april.ducker webinar

6.8%

7.5%

8.0%

6.8%

8.1%

8.6%

7.1%

8.1%

8.6%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

2002 2006 2009

Japan EU North America

Light Vehicle Aluminum Content as a Percent of Curb Weight – All Vehicle Segments

Worldwide Use Increases

Page 13: 2009 april.ducker webinar

SegmentNorth America European Union Japan (Excludes A Segment)

2002 R 2006 R 2009 F 2002 R 2006 R 2009 F 2002 R 2006 R 2009 F

Engines 92.66 113.84 122.64 80.60 90.22 94.38 98.00 99.0 107.31

Transmission &

Driveline

62.04 69.46 66.0 34.00 34.19 34.6 45.30 48.0 48.19

Chassis, Suspension

& Steering

13.76 18.73 18.37 18.10 22.63 25.51 6.50 7.85 7.89

Wheels 49.32 52.06 55.49 31.35 39.74 44.56 39.20 42.59 44.53

Heat Exchangers 32.00 31.56 31.46 24.30 27.03 27.1 26.40 30.0 30.05

Brakes 5.48 8.32 9.1 6.00 10.48 11.33 3.69 7.52 7.72

Closures 4.32 5.52 5.93 5.30 10.77 11.35 0.60 4.08 4.27

Body & IP Beams 1.00 1.30 1.33 3.90 6.2 6.36 0.30 0.46 0.22

Heat Shields 3.82 4.06 4.21 2.60 3.00 3.3 1.20 2.36 2.43

Bumper Beams 1.35 1.91 2.4 3.13 6.07 6.0 1.71 1.52 1.28

All Other

Components

9.03 9.02 9.41 8.50 8.49 8.65 6.10 7.01 7.11

Total 271.78 316.16 326.34 217.78 258.82 273.14 229.00 250.40 261.00*

Component Application ComparisonBy Region

Pounds Per Average Vehicle

Page 14: 2009 april.ducker webinar

2009 Honda Civic – C Segment

2009 Chevrolet Traverse – E Segment 2009 Dodge Charger – E Segment

2009 Nissan Altima – D Segment

310 Pounds of Aluminum 409 Pounds of Aluminum

422 Pounds of Aluminum 413 Pounds of Aluminum

Aluminum Achieves 40 Years of Growth

Page 15: 2009 april.ducker webinar

Key Growth Drivers

for Aluminum

Page 16: 2009 april.ducker webinar

Leading Experts Agree: Lightweighting “Very Important” to Reach CAFE Levels

25% – Fuel economy improvement to come from

weight savings, as predicted by material experts and

body engineers

50% – Fuel economy improvement to come from

weight savings, as predicted by powertrain experts

Page 17: 2009 april.ducker webinar

Source: IBIS ’07

Aluminum Creates Value for Alternative Powertrains

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

Baseline Diesel Hybrid

Steel Body Aluminum Body

Cost per 1 MPG Increase

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

Baseline Diesel Hybrid

Steel Body Aluminum Body

Percent Increase in MPG

Page 18: 2009 april.ducker webinar

Aluminum Life Cycle Saves on Emissions

25,049 2,220

761,905

1,2000

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

Material Fabrication Vehicle Use Post-Use

Energy(mega-joules per body-in-

white structure)

Source: USAMP

Page 19: 2009 april.ducker webinar

• Adding crush space without adding weight improves safety 27%

• Reducing weight further improves fleet safety

SUV to Car Crashes

Aluminum Can Improve Safety

ELU Scenarios

0

20

40

60

80

100

Baseline Added Length

Constant Weight

Reduced Weight

Constant Length

ELU Other Car

Driver

85.9

63.0 61.8

28%27%

Page 20: 2009 april.ducker webinar

Size Longer, taller and wider without weight gainSafety 5-star ratings on front and side impact testsFuel economy Rates better than competitorsEmissions Reduced as a result of best fuel economy for segment Performance Zero to 60 performance improved by one secondCost Retails for less than competition, yet more efficient

Honda Pilot: Increased Size, Strong on Safety

Page 21: 2009 april.ducker webinar

The future offers lighter, cleaner and better-performing vehicles for all consumers.

Chevy Volt

Auto Aluminum Use Climbs

BMW X6

Page 22: 2009 april.ducker webinar

Question & Answer

Please submit any questions through the question box on

your screen

Page 23: 2009 april.ducker webinar

The Aluminum Association’sAuto & Light Truck Group (ALTG)

www.autoaluminum.org