2009-11-18 axa aph general presentations cover...
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Kevin Keenan Company Secretary Phone: 61 3 8688 3978 Fax: 61 3 9614 5298 18 November 2009 Australian Securities Exchange Company Announcements Office 20 Bridge Street SYDNEY NSW 2000 Dear Sir/Madam
AXA Asia Pacific Holdings Limited Please refer to the attached investor presentation. Yours sincerely
Kevin Keenan Company Secretary Page 1 of 25
AXA Asia Pacific Holdings Limited ABN 78 069 123 011
Investor presentation18 November 2009
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ContentsUnique investment proposition
AMP / AXA SA proposal
Asia – Highly valuable strategic footprint
Hong Kong
South East Asia
China and India
Australia and New Zealand – Model orientated to the future
Advice and distribution
Wealth management
Financial protection
Strong balance sheet and capital position
Summary
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Unique investment propositionUnique exposure to Asia
Broad geographic exposure to Asia across 8 markets
Two thirds of earnings
Only Australian financial services firm with the majority of its business in Asia
Diverse operations across Australia, New Zealand and Asia provide resilience and flexibility
Multi-distribution: strategic advantage across all markets
Balance between wealth management and financial protection
Innovative products performing strongly in recent challenging environment (e.g. North, Takaful)
Attractive long term fundamentals for our markets
Compulsory retirement schemes in Australia, New Zealand, Hong Kong and Singapore
High savings rates, low insurance penetration and high margins in most of our markets
Economies generally growing faster than the world average1
Strong balance sheet and capital position
1. IMA Asia ‘Asia Forecast Book Q4 2009 – Forecasts to 2015’
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AMP / AXA SA proposal
AMP would acquire all shares in AXA and AXA’s Asian operations would be sold to AXA SA
Consideration per AXA minority share:0.6896 AMP shares; and
A$1.3796 cash based on the A$/US$ exchange rate on 5 November, with actual cash to vary with exchange rate
Committee of Independent Directors (“Independent Board Committee”) carefully reviewed the proposal with the assistance of advisers (Macquarie and Mallesons)
Proposal was subject to a significant number of material conditions including extensive due diligence by a competitor and numerous regulatory approvals, and no price protection for AMP shares
Independent Board Committee’s rejection of the proposal was announced to the ASX on Monday 9 November 2009
Unsolicited and conditional scheme proposal received from AMP and AXA SA on Saturday 7 November 2009
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AMP / AXA SA proposal
The proposal did not fully reflect the key value drivers of AXA:
Unique position in the dynamic Asian markets, built over 25 years
Value of Australian and New Zealand businesses, with their strategic position and scale
Substantial upside to AXA’s operating earnings as economic conditions and markets rebound
Initiatives underway that will underpin medium term growth, with a track record of delivering on key initiatives and acquisitions
Strong balance sheet and capital position
Proposal rejected because it was not in the best interests of AXA’s minority shareholders as it significantly undervalued AXA
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Asia –Highly valuable strategic footprint
The barriers to entry in Asia are very highForeign investment restrictions, limited new licences and many other regulatory barriers Relationships and JV partnerships take a long time to establish and opportunities are limited in numberNo coincidence that the strongest competitors (including AXA) have been in Asia the longest
Asia is a fast growth region for our industryAXA has been operating in the region for 25 years
Operating 15 businesses across 8 countries, with >4,000 employees, ~60,000 agents and advisers and around A$17 billion in funds under administration, management and adviceAccess to ~24 million customers through partnerships with leading banks across the region
The history and breadth of AXA’s Asian business, combined with the nature of the markets, makes it a highly valuable strategic footprint
Operating earnings3
A$255.5mValue of inforce1
A$6,018.0m
Value of new business2
A$407.2m
1. As at 30 June 2009, risk discount rate based on assumed equity return
2. Rolling 12 months to 30 June 2009, risk discount rate based on assumed equity return
3. 1H09 operating earnings
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Well positioned in emerging markets to benefit from strong growth in GDP per capita
Asia –Highly valuable strategic footprint
Life insurance premiums (as a percentage of GDP) versus GDP per capita1
1. Swiss Re, Sigma No3/2009 ‘World insurance in 2008’
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Asian NBI2
1. Based on NBI for respective divisions at 100% share for the 9 months to 30 September 2009
2. NBI for respective divisions at 100% share
Asian NBI contribution2
We have achieved rapid growth in our Asian New Business Index (“NBI”) and diversified our portfolio
NBI growth in Asia over past 3 years at 33% CAGR
More than half of new business coming from markets other than Hong Kong1
Asia –Highly valuable strategic footprint
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Hong Kong –Large and strong position in an attractive market
Significant savings in bank deposits
Savings rate of 28%1 with HK$6.4 trillion in cash deposits2
Compulsory savings through the Mandatory Provident Fund
Life insurance market predicted to grow at ~8% per annum3
Well positioned to benefit from economic growth in China
Real GDP growth forecast for Hong Kong of 4.4% (2010-2015)4
High margins5
1. Swiss Re Insights January 2009
2. Hong Kong Monetary Authority
3. Hong Kong life insurance market growth rate for 2009 – 2019 based on total premium income; Source Swiss Re -The Hong Kong Insurance Market - No 1/2009 - January 2009
4. IMA Asia ‘Asia Forecast Book Q4 2009 – Forecasts to 2015’
5. Value of new business / NBI
6. Excludes medical and general insurance
47%51%AXA Hong Kong total
1H081H09
83% 78%AXA Hong Kong financial protection6
The fundamental drivers of the Hong Kong market are strong
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Market ranking: #41 with over 1 million policy holders
Market share: 8.4%1
Total premium income: A$2.1 billion2
1. 6 months to 30 June 2009. Source – OCI data
2. 12 months to 31 December 2008
3. OCI - Provisional Statistics for Long Term Business. The market share and ranking of players are in term of NBI
AXA is the 4th largest financial protection provider in Hong Kong
2003-2009 1H Top 5 Players3
Hong Kong –Large and strong position in an attractive market
AXAHSBCAIAPrudentialHang Seng2008
Hang SengAXAHSBCPrudentialAIA2007
AIAAXAPrudentialHang SengHSBC2009 1H
AXAHang SengPrudentialHSBCAIA2006
ManulifePrudentialHang SengHSBCAIA2005
ManulifeHang SengPrudentialHSBCAIA2004
Hang SengManulifePrudentialHSBCAIA2003
5th4th3rd2nd1stYear
Rank
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AXA’s multi-channel distribution provides a key strategic advantage in the market
1. Source – internal analysis
Hong Kong –Large and strong position in an attractive market
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New management teamMichael Bishop: Regional Chief Executive AXA Asia Life (October 2008)
• Formerly Managing Director of Prudential Corporation Asia, President and CEO of Prudential's life business in Korea
Keith Perkins: Chief Operating Officer AXA Asia Life (January 2009)• Formerly Aviva's COO Korea, CEO Malaysia and CEO of HK/Dubai/Singapore
Stuart Harrison: Chief Executive AXA Hong Kong (April 2009)• Formerly Country Manager and Managing Director of AIA Australia; Vice President
and Chief Sales Officer for AIG Life Korea
Immediate priority to focus on near term growthAggressive agency growth – agent numbers up 7% at 30 September 2009 to 2,953 (2,766 at 31 December 2008)Salaried sales channel restructured to AXA Privilege and Swiss Privilege
• AXA Privilege NBI up 13% for 9 months to 30 September 2009• Swiss Privilege wealth management business impacted by challenging markets,
with NBI down 29% for 9 months to 30 September 2009Growth in bancassurance
• Citibank sales up 20% for 9 months to 30 September 2009Further distribution initiatives planned for 2010
The immediate priority for the new management team is to focus on organic growth
Hong Kong –Large and strong position in an attractive market
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South East Asia –Set to capitalise on achieving scale
AXA has operations in 5 countries, with strong JV partners
Unique distribution footprint through both agency and bancassurance partnersAccess to 2,464 branches and 17,627 agents and advisers
JV relationships very difficult to replicate
296.817,6272,464Total
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Top 10 bank
#2 bank
#1 bank
#2 bank
Strength of partner
48%125.87,205800Krung Thai Bank7thThailand
12%18.71,3355544thPhilippines
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AFFIN Holdings
Bank Mandiri
Bank JV partner
9th
16th
4th
AXA’s market rank
375
379
8,333
Agents & advisers1
6%
507%
42%
NBI CAGR3
11.183Malaysia
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1,027
Bank branches1
34.4
106.8
NBI (A$m)2
Singapore
Country
Indonesia
1. As at 30 June 2009
2. 9 months to 30 September 2009
3. Based on local currency. 2005 – 2008 except for Malaysia, which is 2006 – 2008
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South East Asia –Set to capitalise on achieving scale
Rapid growth in South East Asia
1. NBI for the respective divisions at 100% share for the 9 months to 30 September 2009
2. 1H09 operating earnings at actual AXA share
3. NBI for the respective divisions at 100% share
4. At actual AXA share
Operating earnings4NBI3
Rapid growth in NBI not yet fully reflected in operating earnings
South East Asia represents 42% of Asia's NBI1 and 10% of Asia's operating earnings2
Further rollout of multi-distribution strategy underway
Asian NBI1
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China and India –Valuable strategic options
China and India have large and rapidly growing life insurance marketsLife insurance markets of US$96 billion in China (2nd largest in Asia) and US$49 billion in India (5th largest in Asia)1
Forecast to grow at 16-17% per annum over the next 10 years to become the two largest markets in Asia2
Both markets pose challenges for foreign playersAXA has established a strong distribution footprint in each market and is actively exploring new banking relationships Our approach and size of investment in these markets reflects both the opportunity and market dynamics
AXA’s operations in China and India represent valuable strategic options
China – NBI3 India – NBI3
1. World Insurance in 2008, Swiss Re sigma
2. Swiss Re - The Chinese and Indian Insurance Market - No 1/2009 - January 2009
3. NBI at 100% share
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AXA well positioned in advice and distribution, wealth management and financial protection
Highly professional advice/distribution
Large and diverse distribution footprint
One of the largest financial advice networks in Australia, with 1,623 owned/aligned advisers
Relationships with a further 6,500 independent financial advisers
Responding to the scale challenge in wealth management
Reducing management expenses
Innovative North product
New generation platform
Broadening single-manager and multi-manager investment offerings
Focus on profitable growth in financial protection
Well positioned for anticipated regulatory changes
Australia and New Zealand –Model orientated to the future
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Australia –Highly professional advice/distribution
Uniquely positioned across aligned channels, owned advice business and with significant access to independent financial advisers (IFAs)
Multiple aligned and owned advice brands supporting different adviser segments –one service model
High quality multi-distribution model well positioned to respond to anticipated regulatory changes
• 335 advisers licensed by AXA• Broad platform choice
• 219 self licensed advisers• Provides licensee services
• 167 AXA owned and salaried advisers1
• Pre-eminent in advice
• 40 AXA owned and salaried advisers• Clear market leader in QLD
• 381 advisers licensed by AXA• Trade under AXA brand• Use AXA platforms
• 481 advisers licensed by AXA• Trade under own brand• Use AXA platforms
1. Includes advisers employed by businesses operating under a partnership agreement with ipac
% of Sales (6 month to June 2009)
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Australia wealth management –Responding to the scale challenge
Management expenses reduced by ~10% in 20091
1. After adjusting for acquisitions to achieve a like-for-like comparison
2. Comparison of estimated marginal operating costs of North platform versus Super 1.0 platform based on FUA
3. As at 30 June 2009
Super 1.0 platform (Summit, Generations, iAccess) migrating over 3 years –A$14 billion of FUA3
Continue to diversify and broaden investment propositions across both single and multi-manager solutions
Innovative North productOver A$1 billion FUM since 2007 launchUnique product - numerous industry awardsPost retirement proposition – launch 1H 2010
New generation platformFully automated functionality - marginal operating costs 40% lower than current technology2
Platform development - full wrap service, low cost simple superannuation solution
Initiatives to improve operating efficiency and drive growth
Super 1.0 versus North platform marginal cost comparison2
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Significant operating earnings leverage as economic conditions improveNet inflows are improving and have a compounding impact on future earnings
FUA/FUM balances have grown strongly over the past 6 months
1. Plan for Life, June 2009 – All retail (ex cash management), administrator’s view
Industry net retail fund flows1
Leveraged to upside in investment markets
Australia wealth management –Responding to the scale challenge
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Australia – Focus on profitable growth in financial protection
Individual FP sales (incl increases) by quarter TTT (Lump Sum) market share – IFA segment1
1. Plan for Life, June 2009 – Life Statistics
Inforce premium of A$667 million provides critical mass and places AXA in top 5 in Australia
Growing new business in the IFA segment for individual life (largest market segment versus direct and bank)
Significant investment in financial protection technology to improve operational efficiency and market position has led to improved service and product ratings
Increasing value of new business and operating earnings
Retaining strong profitability and clients in group life
Our focus remains on profitable growth
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Australia – Well positioned for anticipated regulatory changes
>75% of new superannuation business in rollover and voluntary contributions12 existing superannuation products operating below 1% per annum fee levels Highly efficient North platform solution provides opportunity for lower cost product offerings (40% lower marginal operating costs)
Lower cost superannuation
Network already of very high standard – four of the top ten licensees in Australia as ranked by ‘Brand Management’ are AXA licenseesSignificant governance and quality control processes in placeSubstantial investment and resources dedicated to practice development and quality advice
Higher professional standards for financial advisers
Network well progressed in the transition to a fee-for-service environment>70% of advisers already using some fee-for-service pricingAdvisers already well versed in dollar cost disclosure
Fee-for-service remuneration model
Key expected regulatory requirements 1H09 earnings breakdown
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Total capital resources of A$5.5 billion
Significant excess capital
More than A$1.6 billion in total assets above regulatory requirements, including more than A$900 million in excess of target surplus1
Low gearingDebt to equity ratio at 30 September 2009 was less than 30%, well below our target ratio of 40% to 50%
Existing debt facilities of A$430 million availableIf fully drawn down, gearing would still only be at the bottom end of the target ratio
Expected organic growth funded through internally generated earnings
1. As at 30 September 2009
2. Management estimate. Assumes normalised investment returns. Any dividend payout is subject to the absolute discretion of AXA’s board
Usage of earnings2
Strong balance sheet and capital position
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Asia – highly valuable strategic footprint
Very high barriers to entry
Large and strong position in the attractive Hong Kong market
Set to capitalise on achieving scale in South East Asia
Valuable strategic options in China and India
Australia and New Zealand – model orientated to the future
Highly professional advice and distribution
Responding to the scale challenge in wealth management
Focus on profitable growth in financial protection
Well positioned for anticipated regulatory changes
Significant earnings leverage as economic conditions improve
Strong balance sheet and capital position
Summary
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DisclaimerFurther information on AXA Asia Pacific Holdings Limited is provided in the Company's half year accounts, Investor Compendium and results announcement released on 5 August 2009.
This presentation provides information in summary form only and is not intended to be comprehensive. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor.
This presentation should be used in conjunction with the 2009 half year Investor Compendium. Further information, including historical results and a description of activities of the Group, is available on our website, www.axaasiapacific.com.au
This presentation may contain certain “forward-looking statements”. The words “anticipate”, “believe”, “expect”, “project”, “forecast”, “estimate”, “likely”, “intend”, “should”, “could”, “may”, “target”, “plan” and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward looking statements. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and performance are also forward-looking statements. Due care and attention have been used in the preparation of forecast information. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of AXA Asia Pacific Holdings Limited that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. There can be no assurance that actual outcomes will not differ materially from these statements.