2004 mba convention international opportunities panel
DESCRIPTION
2004 MBA Convention International Opportunities Panel. Sponsored by The PMI Group, Inc. 2004 MBA Convention International Opportunities Panel Tony Porter EVP, Managing Director The PMI Group, Inc. Sponsored by The PMI Group, Inc. 2002 Top 10 Mortgage Markets. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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2004 MBA ConventionInternational Opportunities Panel
Tony PorterEVP, Managing Director
The PMI Group, Inc.
Sponsored by The PMI Group, Inc.
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2002 Top 10 Mortgage Markets
Canada3%
Germany8%
United Kingdom
8%
Australia2%
United States58%
Japan13%
France2%
Spain2%
Netherlands3%
Denmark1%
Mortgage Debt Outstanding: US$11.3 trillion
Source: Federal Reserve, EMF, Deloitte, Reserve Bank of Australia
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Homeownership Rates
Source: EMF, US Census Bureau, IUHF, CMHC, and internal PMI sources
SpainAustralia
United StatesCanada
JapanFrance
NetherlandsDenmark
Germany
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
United Kingdom
81%69%69%68%
66%60%
56%53%
51%41%
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Mortgage Debt Outstanding/GDP
Net
her
lan
ds
Den
mar
k
Un
ited
Kin
gd
om
Un
ited
Sta
tes
Ger
man
y
Au
stra
lia
Can
ada
Sp
ain
Jap
an
Fra
nce
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
2002 Mortgage Debt Outstanding as a % of GDP
88%82%
62% 60%
51% 50%42%
38%35%
19%
Source: World Bank, Federal Reserve, IUHF, EMF, Deloitte, Reserve Bank of Australia
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Comparing Major Housing Statistics
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Spain
Austra
lia UK US
Canad
a
Japan
Franc
e
Nethe
rlands
Denm
ark
Ger
man
y
Homeownership Rate
Outstanding MortgageDebt to GDP
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Common Questions
Why should we expand internationally?
Should we look to big markets, where there is more room to find a niche?
Should we look at emerging markets, where we can enter early and define market practices to establish dominance?
Should we focus on transition markets where the market development work is done and business is poised for growth?
Or is the best strategy simply to focus on our home market and compete where we know best?
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What Makes Markets Attractive?
UNATTRACTIVE ATTRACTIVE
Market Size
Growth Rate
Profit Margins
Competition
Legal System
Borrower Quality
Information
Political Stability
Economic Stability
Can my core competencies tilt
the balance?
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2004 MBA ConventionInternational Opportunities Panel
International Expansion: The Case of Countrywide
Michael LeaCardiff Economic Consulting
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Overview of Presentation
Countrywide Financial Corp. – The Leading US Mortgage Lender
Competitive Strengths and Exportable Skills
International Expansion – Rationale, Market Selection and Business Model
UK Market Overview
Making the Business Model Work: Challenges and Solutions
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Countrywide Financial Corp. US
Largest Mortgage Originator ($176 billion funded first half 2004)
Servicing Portfolio $726 billion (6/30/04)
More Than 500 Branches, 39,000 Staff, 30,000 Brokers
Acknowledged Technology Leader
Top 10 Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Dealer
GlobalInsuranceServices
CapitalMarkets
Banking
LoanClosing Services
MortgageBanking
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CFC Core StrategyTo enable its employees to deliver best-of-class and value-added products and services to its customers through superior technology and processes.
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CFC StrengthsFocus: Mortgage Banking As The Core
Business; Unparalleled Understanding of Mortgage Processes and Costs
Technology: Proprietary, State-of-the Art Systems– Pioneer in automated underwriting, valuation, Use of
InternetSecuritization: Market Leader in MBS Issuance
and TradingFinancial Strength: $22 Billion Market
Capitalization; Regulated Entity
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Learning From US Used In Global ArenaFirst Point Of Entry Has Been The UK
– Key attributes: size, language, open competitive market, need for cost reduction and new technology
Three Primary UK Businesses:– Global Home Loans: Market Leading Third Party
Administration– UK Valuation: Market Creator and Leader in
Automated Property Valuation– CFC Technology Solutions: Providers of State of the
Art, End-To-End Mortgage Technology
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GHL in 2000
• over 15,000 applications per
month
• $54 billion servicing portfolio
• over 760,000 loans
GHL in 2003
• over 26,000 applications per month
• $110 billion servicing portfolio
• Nearly 1.2 million loans
• largest end-to-end third party processor in the UK
May 1999
GHL established in venture with
Woolwich
1999
September 2000
Barclays acquired Woolwich
2000
April 2001
GHL facilitated launch of new
Barclays products
2001
November 2002
Barclays transition
2002
Global Home Loans
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Global Technology
CFC Technology Solutions/GHL
Have Developed a Comprehensive
Suite of Mortgage Processing
Systems For UK Market
Systems Based On Leading Edge
Technology Investments Made By
Countrywide In The US
Systems Cover Complete Mortgage
Chain
Designed To ‘Plug And Play’ With
Legacy Systems
Systems Use Proven Technologies
Client Systems
Interfaces
GAP
Origination Servicing
GQS GOS GSS
Workflow / Image
Sales
FSA Mortgage Disclosure Compliance
Payment Processing
Parameters & Rules (Global Tables)
Correspondence on Demand
Customer Contact
Customer Introducer Branch Client Phone Fax Mail Internet Intranet IDTV SMS
Mortgage Track
Multiple "Customers", Multiple Channels
Data warehouse / MI
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The UK Mortgage Market Is the World’s Third
Largest2002 Mortgage Debt Outstanding
6450
1500
890 880
350 325 260 245 230 120
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
US Japan UnitedKingdom
Germany Canada Netherlands Australia France Spain Denmark
Source: Federal Reserve, EMF, Deloitte, Reserve Bank of Australia
$ b
illi
on
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The UK Market Has Enjoyed Robust Growth
in Recent Years
89
114 120
160
219
269
(64)(76) (79)
(106)
(140)
(173)
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003E
457494
536
591
671
767
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003E
Source: Bank of England, Council of Mortgage Lenders
UK mortgage loan balances outstanding (£bn)UK mortgage loan balances outstanding (£bn) Gross lending and redemptions (£bn)Gross lending and redemptions (£bn)
CAGR = 10.9%
CAGR = 24.7%
CAGR = 22.0%
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The UK Market Is Concentrated
2002: Source CML
Total mortgage balances outstanding, end year Gross mortgage lending, in year
Name of Group £ billion
Est.market
share £ billion
Est.market
share
1 (1) HBOS 150.0 22.4% 1 (1) HBOS 56.8 26.0%2 (2) Abbey National 80.1 11.9% 2 (2) Abbey National 22.8 10.4%3 (3) Lloyds TSB 62.5 9.3% 3 (3) Barclays 21.3 9.8%4 (4) Barclays 57.7 8.6% 4 (4) Lloyds TSB 19.0 8.7%5 (5) Nationwide BS 57.2 8.5% 5 (5) Nationwide BS 17.4 8.0%6 (6) The Royal Bank of Scotland 42.1 6.3% 6 (6) The Royal Bank of Scotland3 13.5 6.2%7 (7) Northern Rock 30.0 4.5% 7 (7) Northern Rock 10.5 4.8%8 (8) Alliance & Leicester 23.6 3.5% 8 (9) HSBC Bank 9.4 4.3%9 (9) HSBC Bank 20.3 3.0% 9 (8) Alliance & Leicester 6.4 2.9%10 (10) Bradford & Bingley 16.8 2.5% 10 (11) Britannia BS3 4.3 2.0%
Rank Rank
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UK Mortgage Market Drivers
UK Tenure by Type
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Source: ODPM
% o
f Dw
ellin
gs
Owner-Occupied % of Private Rented % of Housing Association % of Public Rented % of
House Price Trends: UK and Select Regions
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Source: OPDM
% ch
ange
from
pre
vious
year
London South East South West Scotland UK
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Low Interest Rates Have Contributed to
Market GrowthUK Interest Rate Trends
-
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004Q1
Source: Office of National Statistics
Per
cen
tag
e
base rate building society average mortgage rate
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Securitization Is Growing
UK Residential Mortgage Securitization
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Source: Merrill Lynch
Fu
nd
ed T
ran
sact
ion
s (E
uro
mil
lio
n)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
# o
f tr
ansa
ctio
ns
Residential Securitization # of Transactions
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Most UK Mortgages Are Variable Rate
UK Mortgages By Type
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002* 2003*
Source: CML2002 & 2003 do not add to 100 reflecting capped rate category (4% and 3% respectively)
% o
f n
ew lo
ans
by
nu
mb
er
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
Mo
rtg
age
Inte
rest
Rat
e
% of total fixed rate % of total variable rate variable rate
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The Outsourcing Challenge
Over 30% Of the UK Market Uses Outsourcing– Major lenders have made their decisions
Regulation Has Slowed the Adoption of Outsourcing Lenders Are Seeking a Large Reduction In Cost Which Is
Difficult to Achieve in the UK– Off-shore processing is a way to do this
Opportunities Exist With Component Processing and Smaller Lenders– New products, purchased portfolios– Special servicing, master servicing
European Outsourcing Has Formidable Challenges Labor is a fixed factor of production
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2004 MBA ConventionInternational Opportunities Panel
Tony GillExecutive Director
Macquarie Bank Limited
Sponsored by The PMI Group, Inc.
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MBL, MSL and the PUMA program
Regulated & Licensed Australian Bank and Authorised Deposit Taking Institution
Rating: A / A2 / A+ (S&P / Moody’s / Fitch) A1 / P1 / F1 (S&P / Moody’s / Fitch)
Total assets (Mar 04) = A$44 billion Additional Assets Under Management (Mar 04) = A$63 billion Over 5,700 Employees located in 23 countries, including
operations throughout Asia, Europe and North America
Established in 1991 Acts as master servicer, program manager and arranger of
bond issues
Australia’s largest and one of the most frequently issuing RMBS programs (A$23.6 bn issued to date)
Macquarie Bank Limited
(MBL)
Macquarie Securitisation Limited (MSL)
PUMA Program
100% MBL Subsidiary
Manager
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Canada 407 ETR -
Toronto Cardinal Power
USA Assets include: Detroit Windsor Tunnel SR125 South – San Diego Parking Company of America Airports
Michigan Electric Transmission Co.
Macquarie Prologis
USA Operations include: Corporate finance & advisory
Infrastructure finance & advisory
Infrastructure funds management
Metals & mining finance, structuring and trading
Agricultural commodities marketing, trading & structuring
Golf course / residential development
Mortgage origination
Africa N3 toll road N4 toll road Kilimanjaro Airport
(Tanzania) Airport Co. of SA
Italy Rome Airport Genoa Airport Lamezia
Terme Airport
South Korea Soojungsan Tunnel Kwangju toll road Daegu-Busan
Expressway Baekyang Tunnel Machang Bridge
Australia Sydney Airport Eastern Distributor M2, M4, M5,
westlink M7 toll roads
Germany Warnow
Tunnel
Portugal Algarve toll road Norte Litoral toll
road
UK M6 Toll road Bristol Airport Birmingham
Airport
Diverse global asset portfolio & operations
Sweden Arlanda
Express Rail Link
“Largest owner of toll roads in the world”
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Macquarie Securitised Lending
Shanghai
Sydney
Memphis
North America Established 2002 Correspondent and wholesale lending Currently 21 states, 30 states by 03/05 128 employees Settled loans US$1.4bn
China Established 2001 Joint venture business 45 staff Introductory business agent in Shanghai Settled loans >1,500 P.A.
Australia Established in 1991 Mortgages and Equity Lending 400+ staff Portfolio > AUD$15bn PUMA securitisation program
Europe Target 2005
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Australia & the mortgage market Population 20 million in an area size of USA
Approx 69% of residences are owner occupied
Wide range of products in a competitive market
Doubling of property values since 1998 has fuelled mortgage market
Investment loans accounted for nearly 1/3 of all loans in 2003
Full recourse to the borrower in event of default
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics
Housing Loan Approvals
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04
Val
ue
in A
UD
Mill
ions
Ow ner-Occupied
Investment
Total MarketApprovals
Currently AUD$15bn per month
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Low interest rate environment Typical loan is floating rate
Rate is set at lender’s discretion – not linked to any specific index
Fixed rates:
are available for a set period usually 1,3 or 5 years
reverts to variable or re-fix
mark to market prepayment costs are charged to the borrower
Interest paid is tax deductible for investment loans only
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Market still dominated by Major banks
Permanent building societies Banks
78%3%
Wholesale lenders15%
Other lenders4%
Lending sourced by brokers has increased significantly to approx 30% of all new loans
Expected to increase to 50% within next 3 years
Asset retention due to churn is a key challenge
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PUMA Total issuance of A$23.6b, through 25 separate issues since 1994 (Domestic, Euro & Global)
Combination of private warehouse, commercial paper, bond issue
MSL – Single largest issuer in Australia RMBS account for 90% of all Australian Securitisation
Roughly 1 in 5 loans are securitised
Lenders mortgage insurance is a key factor in securitisation
200300
700600
250
800
500 500 500
1,321
725
1,290
750 750
1,802
750
1,793
700 700
1,000
750
2,344
1,904
900
1,571
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
P-1
Dec-9
4
P-2
Feb-9
5
P-3
Jun-9
5
P-4
A O
ct-
95
P-4
B D
ec-9
5
P-5
A M
ay-9
6
P-5
B S
ep-9
6
P-6
A F
eb-9
7
E-1
Mar-
97
P-6
B J
un-9
7
E-2
1 D
ec-9
7
E-2
2 J
ul-98
E-3
1 M
ar-
99
E-3
2 J
ul-99
P-7
A F
eb-0
0
G-1
Sep-0
1
G-2
Jun-0
2
P-8
A O
ct-
02
G-3
Jan-0
3
P-8
B J
ul-03
G-4
Aug-0
3
P-9
A O
ct-
03
S-1
Jun-0
4
P-1
0A
Jul-04
P-1
0B
Oct-
04
A$m
AUD Issuances
USD Issuances
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MSL – Key success factors
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
Jan.
00
Mar
.00
May
.00
Jul.0
0
Sep.0
0
Nov.0
0
Jan.
01
Mar
.01
May
.01
Jul.0
1
Sep.0
1
Nov.0
1
Jan.
02
Mar
.02
May
.02
Jul.0
2
Sep.0
2
Nov.0
2
Jan.
03
Mar
.03
May
.03
Jul.0
3
Macquarie
Market
Growth in monthly approvals as percentage of January 00
%
Core competencies
Product Innovation
Distribution expertise
End-to-end service provider
Flexible business philosophy
Servicing of brokers & borrowers. Rated the No. 2 service provider by the Australian mortgage broking industry
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International expansion criteria
Funding/Securitisation Supportive regulatory framework
Risk Management Good title
Acceptable credit data
Housing & Mortgage Market Size
Mortgages vs. GDP
Ease of entry & exit
Market Structure Niche opportunities in established market
Changing regulatory environment
Lenders mortgage insuranceProduct & Distribution Product types/range
Distribution networks
Opportunity to innovate
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MSL expansion into US market
Market Structure
Risk Management
Niche opportunities in established market
Changing regulatory environment
Lenders mortgage insurance Housing & Mortgage Market Size
Mortgages vs. GDP
Ease of entry & exit
Good title
Acceptable credit data
Funding/Securitisation Supportive regulatory framework
Product & Distribution Product types/range
Distribution networks
Opportunity to innovate
Risk Management
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China & the mortgage market
Heavily regulated – products, interest rates, lenders, repayment terms
Mortgage market established 1999
Outstanding mortgage balance at 2003 RMB 1.2 trillion (USD 145bn)
No concept of non bank lending
Risk management framework still developing
21 independent title registration offices in Shanghai alone
No formal credit data
Securitisation non-existent
0
5
10
15
20
25
Australia Shanghai Beijing
Pop
ulat
ion
(mill
ion)
Key data
Pop. China = 1.2 billion
Pop. USA = 294 million
Several “tier 2” cities with population of 8 to 10 million
Shift from government to private home ownership
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Two tier market
Chinese Banks Foreign Lenders
Type of borrower Local & Overseas Overseas passport holders only
Product Standard for all borrowers20 yr fixed termMinimal features
Standard for all borrowers 20-30 yr fixed term Minimal features
Currency RMB only HKD or USD only
Interest rates Fixed 5.04% all lenders Variable based on Customer quality Size of deposit Currently 2.75 – 4% for USD loans
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Property values are fuelling market growth
Recent share market losses mean investors favouring property
Capital growth over the last 3 years ranged from 20-50% P.A.
Not uncommon for investors to purchase property purely for capital growth. Properties remain unoccupied
Greater than 10% year to date growth despite government policy to introduce more controlled growth
Government imposed restrictions to limit growth to 15-18% in Shanghai market
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MSL in China
Niche opportunities in established market
Changing regulatory environment – WTO 2007
Lenders mortgage insurance
Product types/range
Distribution networks
Opportunity to innovate
Supportive regulatory framework Good title
Acceptable credit data
Size
Mortgages vs. GDP
Ease of entry & exit
?X
??
X
?
Market Structure
Product & Distribution
Housing & Mortgage Market
Risk ManagementFunding/Securitisation
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US Controlled growth through geographical expansion and product innovation
Where next?
Europe Commence operations by 2005
Further expansion
“Horizon scanning” for opportunities that match exportable core competencies
Australia
Client service, client service, client service
Continued focus on quality brokers and originators
Product diversification
China
Continually assess changing market for opportunities in preparation for entry into WTO in 2007
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GMAC-RFCBusiness Overview
Prepared for:International Panel - MBA Convention
Chris Nordeen – President, International Business Group
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What We Do
A Global Provider of Capital and Liquidity Solutions
Residential Mortgage Finance
We originate, purchase, service and securitize a full range ofresidential mortgage loan products to make affordable capitalavailable in support of homeownership
Business-to-Business LendingWe provide a wide range of liquidity solutions including
constructionloans, subordinated debt-type financing, receivables financing andterm loans to residential developers/builders, timeshare resortdevelopers and healthcare enterprises
We are committed to expanding the availability of capital in key real estate finance markets worldwide.
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We move capital between businesses and investors in select markets worldwide.
Our Business Model
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A Market Leader
We have a strong business-to-business brand presence in U.S. and international markets.
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1.7 1.5 2.6 2.6
5.7 5.97.9 8.6
2.72.7
3.4 3.4
2.0
7.0
2.0
2.1
1.5
2.0
1.00.4
1.31.41.0
0.2
0.6$ 10.1$ 11.7
$ 17.4$ 17.9
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Medium
Residential Plus
Economic
Social
Residential
CAGR (2003-2007)
27%
Annual activity by individual credits segment (Billion dollars)
11%
Average credit amount in each segment(pesos)
Medium
Residential Plus
EconomicSocial
Residential
$155,000$225,000$440,000$900,000
$1,800,000
$ 14.2
Credit to individuals Segmentation
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2005-2007 Business Plan
Large developers in Mexico (December 2003) Large developers in Mexico
2%2%
2%
3%
4%
7%
4%
5%
2%
1%1%
Medium and SmallDevelopers
67.2%
GEOURBI
100%= 400,000 homes
ARA
SADASI
HOMEX
PULTE
BETA
SARE
RUBA
METTAHOGAR
DEMET
•Grupo GEO•URBI•Consorcio ARA•Grupo SADASI•HOMEX•PULTE•BETA•SARE•RUBA•Grupo METTA•Consorcio HOGAR•DEMET
32.8% of the market
131,558 homes sold
Developers in the Mexican housing market
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2002
BillIions of USD
2000 2003
Mortgage sofoles credit portfolio evolution
CAGR37.8%
2001
$2.9
Market Share of the Mortgage Sofoles in the Total Credit Portfolio
3%3%3%
5%
15%
31% 7%
19%
5%
2.4%
3%
1.1%1%
2%
Hipotecaria Nacional
Hipotecaria su Casita Hipotecaria Crédito
y Casa
Crédito Inmobiliario
Patrimonio
General Hipotecaria
Hipotecaria Comercial América
Ficansa Hipotecaria
Terras Hipotecaria
Hipotecaria México
GMAC Financiera
Hipotecaria Vanguardia
GMAC Hipotecaria
Rest
100%= US$ 7.6 billions
$4.3
$6.3
$7.6
The total credit portfolios of the Sofoles has shown important growth, reaching US $7.6 billion in 2003
Sofoles Credit Portfolio
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Market Trends
• The Mexican mortgage industry has experienced an important growth rate in the past 5 years, mainly through the Sofoles
• According to the governmental housing programs, the mortgage industry is expected to continue with high growth rates
• Sociedad Hipotecaria Federal (“SHF”) is changing from being a direct lender to a provider of credit enhancements to Sofoles
• To keep up with the growth it is important to develop alternative sources of funding for the industry
• Sofoles and other industry participants are looking at the capital markets as an alternative source of funds
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Investors/Capital Market
• Institutional Investors in Mexico:– Mutual Funds: USD $32.2 billion.– Afores (private pension funds): USD $37.5 billion.– Insurance Companies: USD $10.8 billion.– Annuities: USD $ 6.3 billion.
Total USD $86.8 billion.
• The average maturity for corporate debt issues has recently increased from 5.7 years in 2002 to 6.2 years in 2003
•Mutual Funds
•Insurance Co.
•Afores
•Private Funds
•Insurance Co.
•Afores
•Private Funds
•Annuities
•Insurance Co.
•Afores
•Annuities
1–5 years
6–9 years
Investment Preferences
10-20 years
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• GMAC-RFC + HSC
• First security for USD $50 million placed in December 2003 - -Collateral of 2 originators
• Second security for USD $ 100 million issued in July 2004
-Collateral of 6 originators
• Investors: Mexican Institutional
• Recent Developments• GMAC-RFC Mexican conduit• Hipotecaria total
Mortgage Securitization
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Conclusion
GMAC-RFC is becoming a global leader in real estate finance
• Leveraging skills from market to market
• Finding trusted local partners to interpret our business model
• Taking selected risks to help transform international markets
• Delivering sustainable growth to our shareholders
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2004 MBA ConventionInternational Opportunities Panel
Markus BolderHead of Credit Treasury
DG HYP AG
Sponsored by The PMI Group, Inc.
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Agenda Overview of DG HYP
Germany Primary Market Overview- Key Challenges and Opportunities- Borrowers, Mortgage Products and Product Development
Considerations- Distribution Channels - Servicing Requirements and Issues
Prospects for a Pan-European Mortgage Market
International Expansion Rationale, Market Selection Criteria, Outlook
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Overview of DG HYP
Size and Quality of the Cooperative Banking Sector:
- 1,400 primary banks covering 30 million German citizens
- Retail customers Small and mid-cap enterprises
- Broadly based distribution network Placement power Direct client share
Mission of DG HYP:Supplying German cooperative banks with:
- Private housing loans
- Commercial mortgage loans
- Public sector financing
- Services based around core products / portfolio management for real estate
The Cooperative Banking Context
Key figures 2003: Balance sheet:
69 bn EUR 1. Real estate lending:
25 bn EUR 2. Public sector lending:
37 bn EUR 3. Investements in MBS:
2 bn EUR
CIR: 58% ROE: 7%
Brokerageof
real estateloansand
portfolios
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DG HYP is one of the leading players in the German mortgage banking market:
No. 1 in the cooperative sector No. 2 in the segment of medium-sized mortgage banks Among the five biggest players in the German mortgage
lending market (incl. the two large mortgage banks HVB and Eurohypo)
average gross margins increasing substantially, in 2003 from 80 BP (2002) to 92 BP
slight decrease of loan to value for business in 2003 improvement of diversification of the real estate related loan
book … strengthens DG HYP‘s favourable market position with
… growth potential in net interest income and improvement of the risk/return profile of the loan portfolio
Strong growth rates in real estate lending and new MBS business over the last few years with …
Overview of DG HYPMarket Position / New Business
Development
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Total mortgage loan volume of medium-sized mortgage banks at the end of the financial year 2002 (in Euro bn)
Source: VDH (Association of German Mortgage Banks), companies‘ Annual Reports * Member of the cooperative sector
New Business in Real Estate Lending and MBS Investments (in Euro m)
Overview of DG HYPMarket Position / New Business
Development
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
WL-Bank*
Deutsche Hypo
Westhyp
Württ. Hypo
MHB*
Berlin Hyp
AHBR
Aareal Bank
DG HYP*
Hypo Real Estate
2,703
3,377
3,946
4,642
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
2000 2001 2002 2003
Retail Clients Commercial Clients MBS investments
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•Centre of competence in the field of mortgage and public sector lending for cooperative banks
•Retail: product development, portfolio management and funding
•Commercial customers: providing know-how and access to syndicated transactions for local banks; selective direct market approach abroad
•Pioneer with high expertise in loan portfolio management through multi-seller securitisation and MBS investments
•Development of an innovative standardised securitisation infrastructure platform
•Strong brand name in the Pfandbrief market•Foundation of a Special Servicer for Non Performing Loans
Overview of DG HYPStrategies and Structures
Retail
Segments
Commercial
Customers
Capital Market
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Germany Primary Market Overview Key Challenges – Market in Change
Change in market
Customer demands
Growth limits
Decreasing marginsIncreasing costs Demand for
securitisations
New legal frameworkLimited earnings from market risk management
Funding advantages
Focus on standardisation and distribution
Economies of scale
Advanced business models
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Germany Primary Market Overview
Rati
ng
AAA AA A BBB
Available for Mortgage Backed SecuritiesCollateral Pool for Covered Bonds
Bank PortfolioTarget Clients
Investors
AAA A
Mortgage Backed Securities
AAA AA A
Covered Bonds (Pfandbrief)
SecuritisationVolume
Mortgage ProductsPortfolio Management/Product
Development
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Residential loans outstanding (total approx. 1.1 bn EUR) Market shares Germany 2003 by banking sectors in bn EUR
Germany Primary Market Overview
Distribution Channels
Cooperative Sectorincluding
Cooperative Mortgage Banks:
21%
Source: Deutsche Bundesbank, VDH (Association of German Mortgage Banks)
Banking Sector bn EUR %Saving Banks 296 27,3Mortgage Banks 229 21,2Cooperative Sector 170 15,7Building Societies 107 9,9Regional Banks 103 9,6Public Sector 84 7,8Big Branch Banks (without HVB) 56 5,2Specialized Credit Institutions 37 3,4
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Non-residential loans outstanding (total approx. 257 bn EUR) Market shares Germany 2003 by banking sectors in bn EUR
Germany Primary Market Overview
Distribution Channels
Cooperative Sectorincluding
Cooperative Mortgage Banks:
22%
Source: Deutsche Bundesbank, VDH (Association of German Mortgage Banks)
Banking Sector bn EUR %Mortgage Banks 99 38,4Saving Banks 55 21,4Cooperative Sector 46 17,7Public Sector Banks 36 14,1Big Branch Banks (without HVB) 12 4,7Regional Banks 9 3,5Specialized Credit Institutions 1 0,2
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Germany Primary Market Overview
Benefits for Local Cooperative Banks Retail Customers:
- ‘Combined support’ for cooperative banks in sales and marketing via sales force of a home loan and savings association (BSH, No. 1 in Germany)
- ‘One-stop shopping’ for real estate financing customers based on a standardised product portfolio, where the products fit to each other
- Consulting and processing support with a uniform and efficient software Increased income through higher market penetration
Commercial Customers: - Access to ‘big ticket business’ in alliance with DG HYP - Loan syndications of DG HYP together with cooperative
banks leads to new business potential and active management of the loan book
- Know-how transfer from DG HYP regional real property financing offices
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Germany Primary Market Overview
Benefits for Local Cooperative Banks Capital Markets:
- Reducing ‘concentration risks’ by risk transfer / securitisation - Introducing new income opportunities by usage of secondary loan market - Increase of flexibility due to richer refinancing possibilities - Improvement of risk / return profile - Capital relief due to securitisation Processing: - Industrial production (advantages through outsourcing
regarding time and price) - Using a processing norm with system advantages e.g. via
scoring when checking creditworthiness
- Economies of scale due to increased processing quantities - Relieving the local back offices in order to be able to
concentrate on sophisticated processing and on sales
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Funding
Example: Opening up of market share for cooperative banks association
Special Purpose Vehicle
Cash resources
MBS - Tranche AMBS - Tranche BMBS - Tranche C
Client
Brokerage of Loans
Transfer risks of assets into MBS
AdvisoryLoan
Capitalmarket
Portfoliocomposition
&Loan-
processing
Sale of MBSR
ati
ng
Loan Portfolios
Germany Primary Market Overview
Cooporate Banks
Distribution Channels within the Cooperative Sector (Business
Model)
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European ABS Market by Assets 2003/2004
Source: HSBC
Volume: 224 bn USD (funded)
Lease2%
Credit Cards
4%
Con.Loans
4%
RMBS56%
Auto2%
Other16%
CMBS5%
CDO11%
Credit Cards
5%
Lease3%
WBS4%
RMBS55%
Auto2%
Other17%
CMBS6%
CDO9%
Volume: 163 bn USD (funded)
2003
2004 (as of 06/2004)
Germany Primary Market Overview
MBS-Volume: 61% MBS-Volume: 61%
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Germany Primary Market Overview
Outsourcing: - DG HYP VR kreditwerk (retail servicer): 07/2000
- Mortgage Servicing Standards
Drivers: - Economics Cost Efficiency - center of competence Factory Process,
Value-Added Chain - Rating Advantages needed
(Basle II)
Developments: - Separation of a) Special Servicerb) MBS-Administrationc) Production Chain: Originator / Underwriter /
Servicer
Servicing Requirements and Issues
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Production Chain
Current setting: - Different jurisdictions
- Property valuation - Non Performing Loans work out/Enforcement - Securitisation regime (Synthetic vs.True Sale)
But: - Process Standardisation
- Transparency (regulatory and investor driven) - Harmonisation of funding and risk hedging
ALIGNMENT
Prospects for a Pan-European Mortgage Market
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Total 39.4 bn EUR
Cross border mortgage loans outstanding (as of 12/2003)
Prospects for a Pan-European Mortgage
Market
Focus of DG HYP: Diversification outside of Germany
* Country with DG HYP representative
office2004/2005
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
BelgiumDenmark
FinlandFrance
UKIreland
ItalyLuxembour
NetherlandsAustria
USPortugalSw eden
SpainNorw ay
PolandCzech. Rep.
HungarySw itzerland
Others
Bn EUR
* *
*
*
*
*
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Cross Border Strategy: Conservative approach Strong credit culture with low loss history Diversification Portfolio transactions Appropriate market size / established market
mechanism Cooperation with international partners
- Equity needs for existing lenders- whole loan portfolio transactions
Improve margins and returns on capital efficient risk transfer (e.g. sell First Loss Pieces to Investors)
International Expansion Rationale,
Market Selection, Outlook
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Markus BolderHead of Credit TreasuryDeutsche Genossenschafts-Hypothekenbank AGRosenstraße 2 20095 Hamburg Germany
Phone: # 49 (40) 33 34 – 36 14Fax: # 49 (40) 33 34 11 71Email: [email protected]
Ladies and Gentlemen,Thank you very much for your
attention!