:2 evaluation of atd models using national emergency support function information requirements an...

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Evaluation of ATD Models Using

National Emergency Support Function Information

RequirementsAn Overview

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Catastrophic Disaster Response Group

• Consists of the Assistant Secretaries of all Federal Response Plan signatory Departments and Agencies with emergency management responsibilities

• Acts as a Board of Directors for activities under the Federal Response Plan

• Directed the Emergency Support Function Leaders Group to establish emergency support information requirements

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EMERGENCY SUPPORT FUNCTIONS

Transportation

Communications

Public Works and Engineering

Firefighting

Information and Planning

Mass Care

Resource Support

Health and Medical Services

Urban Search and Rescue

Hazardous Materials

Food

Energy

ESF

Department of Transportation

National Communications System

Department of Defense

Department of Agriculture

Federal Emergency Management Agency

American Red Cross

General Services Administration

Department of Health and Human Services

Federal Emergency Management Agency

Environmental Protection Agency

Department of Agriculture

Department of Energy

Primary Agency

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Emergency Support Function Leaders Group

• Consists of the Emergency Managers responsible for each of the 12 Emergency Support functions under the Federal Response Plan

• Delegated the development of the Emergency Support Function information requirements to information and planning specialists - the Rapid Assessment Working Group

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• Developed Proposed Information Collection Methodology, including remote sensing sources, and data collected prior to an emergency event as well as after an event

• Assigned who was responsible to collect the information

• The form and timing of the information product was described as Emergency Support Information Requirements (ESIR)

Information Collection Plan

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Emergency Support Information Requirement

• Essential Elements of Information are required.

• The EEI’s relate to the Emergency Support Information Requirement, but they are separate.

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EEI # 1

EEI # 2 ...

EEI # 26

ESIR #1

ESIR #2...

ESIR #67

The Relationship of EEIs to ESIRs

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Four Information Collection Plans by Major Hazard

• Hurricane - approved• Earthquake - approval• Flood - awaiting approval• Hazardous Materials - awaiting approval• Emergency Support Information Requirement

can serve more than one hazard

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ESIR - FEMA Emergency Support Info Requirements:1 Geographical Extent of the Disaster (by coordinates, by zip, by county, by state, and by Congressional District)2 Number of Casualties/Injuries/Fatalities3 Number of Single Family Homes Damaged4 Number of Multi-Family Homes Damaged5 Number of Mobile Homes Damaged6 Population Affected by Housing Type7 Population Affected by Primary Language Spoken8 Population Affected by Age9 Population Affected by Limited Mobility10 Population Affected by Income11 Hospitals(Beds?) unaffected in area12 Hospitals(Beds?) affected in area13 Doctors Offices/Clinics (Beds) unaffected in area14 Doctors Offices/Clinics (Beds) affected in area 15 Nursing Homes (Beds) unaffected in area 16 Nursing Homes (Beds) affected in area 17 Power Plants impacted (Nuclear/Conventional)18 High Voltage Network19 Residential Power Grid20 Radio/TV Stations Available in area 21 Radio/TV Stations affected in area 22 Urban Search and Rescue High Density Zones 23 Petroleum Product Storage 24 Petrochemical Plants25 Superfund Sites26 Toxic Release Inventory Sites27 Land Line Switches affected 28 Cellular Phone Antennas affected 29 Airports Fully operable in area30 Airports without Radar in area 31 Airports without Terminals in area 32 Airports inoperable33 Damage to Railroad Stock34 Damage to Railroad Bridges

35 Damage to Railroad Roundhouses36 Damage to Railbeds37 Damage to Trucks/Buses38 Damage to Subways39 Damage to Police, Fire and Emergency Services 40 Damage to Highway Bridges and Other Road Closings41 Damage to Sewage Treatment Plants and # of customers42 Damage to Water Treatment Plants and # of customers43 Damage to Private Water Wells and # of customers44 Damage to Federal Food Warehouses45 Damage to Private Food Warehouses 46 Damage to Ports and Harbors47 Potential for Fires/Actual Fires48 Potential Mobilization Center Sites and Risk 49 Feeding and Water Requirements50 Shelter Requirements 51 Medical Requirements52 Population Support Requirements 53 Business Loss 54 Housing Loss 55 Warning and evacuation information56 Remote Sensing Targeting information 57 Post Application Assessment (ACE) priorities58 Forward Assessment Team target areas59 Disaster Assistance Center site location60 Amount of Debris to be removed61 Weather62 Status of Key Personnel 63 Status of Declarations64 Major Issues/Activities of ESF/OFAs65 Resource Shortfalls66 Donations67 Historical Information

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TRACE

Hardware

Software

Personnel

Facilities

Support

Data Base

CommunicationsInfo

rmati

on S

yst

em

Ele

ment

Cate

gori

es

D1. NRT GeoSpatialD2. Monitoring Data D3. Ad Hoc Data D4. Initial Analysis

D5. Action UpdatesD6. Res. UpdatesD7. GeoSpatial AidsD8. Statistics

E1. Resource InfoE2. Hazard InfoE3. GeoSpatial DataE4. Statistics

E5. GeoSpatial AidsE6. Action Guidelins.E7. Monit. DirectionsE8. Resource Allocat

F1. Hazard InfoF2. GeoSpatial Data F3. Monitoring DataF4. Ad Hoc Data

F5. Thematic GISF6.ResourceStagingF7. Final Prep. AidsF8. Ad Hoc Aids

G1. NRT GeoSpatialG2. Monitoring Data G3. Ad Hoc Data G4. Initial Analysis

G5. Action UpdatesG6. Res. UpdatesG7. GeoSpatial AidsG8. Statistics

K1. Mapping Requir.K2. Local GIS StatusK3. Hazard ESIRK4. Staff POC

K5. GIS Data PlanK6.RS RequirementsK7. Budget NeedsK8. ResourseAllocat.

L1. StructuresL2. DEML3. RS ProductsL4. Soil & LandUse

L5. Hazard MapsL6.ActionRecomend.L7. GIS & ImagesA8.ActionDataSuport

Tech Notes and Reports

D E F G K L

ASAPAFTER

2 - 12 h.AFTER

12 - 48 h.AFTER

48 - 72 h.AFTER

2 - 4 wk.AFTER

1 monthAFTER

Requirements

Event Related

Applied to Multi-Hazard Risk Modeling Assessment

Key Inputs:

Key Outputs:

Key InputsKey

Outputs

Multi-Hazard Risk Modeling Assessment for ATD

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Issues & Considerations in Assessment

Spatial Accuracy

Currency Timeliness

Cost

Completeness

Availability Options

Usage Guideline

s

Trade-Off Understandi

ng Tools


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Other

Earthquake

Flood

ATD

HurricaneTRACE Chart

1

System DescriptionTechnical

Notes

TRACE Automated Flow

Input Processing Matrix

All Input

s

Data Handling Processes

Derived System Element Requirements Matrix

InformationSystem

Characteristics

Data Handling Processes

FEMA ESIRs and RAWG EIIs

Event-Oriented Matrix

ESIRs Time- Oriented Outputs

A-Q

1.1

Pre-Event & Post-EventOutput Matrix

Pre- Event Data A-Q

ESIRs Outputs

A-Q

Post- Event Data A-Q

1.1.A-

1.1.Q

Pre-Event Input Characteristics Matrix

Pre- Event Data A-Q

Pre- Event Input

Characte ristic

A-Q

1.2.A-

1.2.Q

Post-Event Input Characteristics Matrix

Post- Event Data A-Q

Post- Event Input

Characte ristic A-Q

1.3.A-

1.3.Q

1.4.A-

1.4.N

1.5.A-

1.5.N

4

2

3

5-10


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ATD Models

2DPUF ADAM AFTOX AFTRAJ AIRRAD ALOHA APRAC3 ARAC

ARCHIE ARCON Areaevac ASTRAP ATMOS AXAIR AXAOTHER

BLP BNLGPM C-CSI CALINE3 CAP88PC CASRAM CCSL CDM

CRSTER CTDM D2PC DEGADIS DIFOUT DOSEEP EDMS

EKMA EMGRESP EPIcode ERAD EXTRAN FDM FEM-3 FEM-PBL

FEMCOT FPFP-2 FSCBG FTAD FUSCRAC GAUS1 GENII

GLODEP GTM GXQ HARM-II HPAC HEFFTER HELCO HGSYSTEM

HIWAY-2 HMEDIC HOTMAC HOTSPOT HPS HRW HUDU

HY-SPLIT IRDAM ISC-2 KBERT LONGZ MAACS MAAP4 MACCS2

MAEROS MAILS MARSS MATHEW MDIFF MELSAR MESODIFF

MESOI MESOPUFF MESORAD MPRP MPTER NSCALE NUATMOS OMEGA

PAVAN PGEMS PIKE PLUME PLUVUE PNLGCM POPGASP

PUFF2C RAC RADM RASCAL RATCHET REEDM ROM RSAC-5

RTDM RTVSM SABLE SCREEN SDM SHORTZ SLAB

ATD Models Classification Matrix Multi-Hazard Risk Modeling Assessment for ATD

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Information Sources:A. Atmospheric Dispersion Modeling Resources, DOE , March 1995.

B. Directory of Atmospheric Transport and Diffusion Models, Equipment and Projects, DOC, April 1993.

C. General Specifications for OFCM Directory from Carl Mazzola, August 1998.

D. Directory of Atmospheric Transport and Diffusion Consequence Assessment Models, DOC, March 1999


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Information Considered:

1. Character

2. Terms

3. Type

4. Range

5. Validation

OperationalResearchGlobalSpecial

Short TermsLong Terms

RadiologicalBiologicalChemicalSmoke/Dust

Less than 100 kmMore than 100 km


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6. Inputs

7. Outputs

WindTemperatureHumidityRain--------------------TerrainGround CoverOther

Air Concentration,Ground Deposition,Dosage,Health Consequences

Information Considered:


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ATD ModelsATD Models

- - - - - Operational

- - - - - Verified

- - - - - Meteorological Parameters Use

- - - - - Terrain Data Use - - - - - Immediate Response

Models Supporting ESIRs


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Built by Model Data

Professional GIS Support to Decision

Making Current

Measurements Data

Prepared GIS Data


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• 145 models evaluated64 models were Verified and Validated

36 models are operational3 include terrain (Topography & Ground

Cover)

2 meet at least one Emergency Support Requirement


Modeling Assessment

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Recommendations

• Develop standardized Verification and Validation and Acceptances procedures.

• Select 6 - 7 best models and begin adding capabilities to meet Emergency Support Requirements.

• Web-enable the final models.


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