1q 2016 halifax multi-residential market
TRANSCRIPT
HALIFAX
MULTI-RESIDENTIAL MARKET
Robert Mussett
Senior Vice President
902 492 2077
Chris Carter
Vice President
902 492 2085
Andrew Cranmer
Sales Associate
902 492 2065
Edwina Govindsamy
Client Service Assistant
902 492 2069
CONTACT US
A Strong Shift to the PeninsulaAt CBRE’s annual Market Outlook Breakfast in
November a clear theme emerged; multi-residential
developers are shifting focus to the Halifax Peninsula.
There are approximately 3,100 units currently under
construction throughout Halifax, 51% of those units
(1566) are on the Peninsula and another 37% (1138)
in the Mainland North/West Bedford areas. The Parks
of West Bedford is driving off-peninsula development
but focus has clearly shifted out of the suburbs and into
the downtown, a change very different compared with
historic development trends.
Another, new aspect of the shift to the peninsula, is the
return of institutional developers. Killam Properties and
GWL Realty Advisors have invested in development
opportunities and high-profile sites are now under construction or open such as, The Alexander and 1920 Brunswick Street. In addition,
new entrants to the market such as Starfish Properties and Urban Capital are undertaking developments on the peninsula.
Nevertheless, Halifax has a strong local development community and groups including Westwood Group, Banc Properties, WM Fares
and Southwest Properties have acquired premium sites in the downtown. These developers continue to actively build on the peninsula with
projects such as the Doyle Block on Spring Garden, The Pavilion and the Sister Sites - The Mary Ann and Margaretta.
Currently CBRE is tracking 430 units to open in 2016 and that number is expected to increase to ± 1,150 units in 2017. Projects such as
The Alexander (240 units), Maple (300 units), Point North (140 units), The Roy (135 units) and Monaghan Square (162 units – Tower 1)
are leading the way for this influx of new supply. We forecast that the overall vacancy rate for apartments in Halifax, currently at 3.4%, will
increase in 2016 to 3.6% and to ± 4.0% in 2017 given the amount of new supply coming to market.
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (f)
Rental Apartment Vacancy Rate
Source: CMHC, Halifax Rental Market Report, 2015.CBRE Research 2016
Historic 10 Year average = 3.1%
3.6%
Overall Vacancy Rate (YoY) 3.4% r, 201
Overall Average Rent (YoY) $974
Units Under Construction 3,081
First Quarter, 2016
CBRE CAPITAL MARKETS | ATLANTIC CANADA
261
221
88
430
1150
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
2013
2014
2015
2016(f)
2017 (f)
AVERAGE INVESTMENT CAP RATES
Apartment Q1 2015 Q1 2016
High Rise A 5.25-5.75% 4.75-5.25%
High Rise B 5.75-6.25% 5.00-5.75%
Low Rise A 5.25-5.75% 5.00-5.50%
Low Rise B 6.00-6.50% 5.50-6.00%
PENINSULA UNIT COMPLETIONS
Source: CBRE Research, 2016.
Source: CMHC Halifax Rental Market Report, 2015. CBRE Research, 2016.
CBRE SIGNIFICANT 2015 TRADES
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
INVESTMENT
COBEQUID
ADDRESS70-80 Cobequid Road, Sackville
DATE CLOSED Jan 2015
SUITES 56
VENDOR Timbercreek
BUYER Private local investor
© 2016 CBRE, Inc. This information has been obtained from sources believed reliable. We have not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. Any projections, opinions, assumptions or estimates
used are for example only and do not represent the current or future performance of the property. You and your advisors should conduct a careful, independent investigation of the property to determine to your satisfaction
the suitability of the property for your needs. Photos herein are the property of their respective owners and use of these images without the express written consent of the owner is prohibited. CBRE and the CBRE logo are
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BEN’S BAKERY
ADDRESSPepperel l Street , Hal i fax
DATE CLOSED Dec 2015
LOT SIZE 103,900 sq. ft.
VENDOR Canada Bread Company
BUYER Westwood Group
GOTTINGEN STREET
ADDRESS Gottingen Street, Halifax
DATE CLOSED Oct 2015
LOT SIZE 52,177 sq. ft.
VENDORCreighton/Gerrish Development Association
BUYER Private local developer
DEVELOPMENT
GARDEN VI
ADDRESS671 Larry Uteck, Bedford
DATE CLOSED Aug 2015
SUITES 89
VENDOR Kiel Group
BUYER GWLRA/London Life
First Quarter, 2016
The Halifax economy is gaining momentum with the Conference Board of Canada projecting real GDP growth in 2016 at 2.9%.
While much of the country pauses, adjusting to decreases in the Canadian dollar and oil price, Nova Scotia continues its steady
growth. Interestingly, the local business outlook is well ahead of the national average and businesses are expanding in the current
market. CFIB’s March Business Barometer shows Nova Scotia businesses remain the most optimistic in the country for the fourth month
in a row. Halifax’s diverse economy and strong outlook support this region as a defensive investment market that provides steady,
reliable returns to investors.
HALIFAX
MULTI-RESIDENTIAL MARKET First Quarter, 2016