1992 dallas federal reserve annual report
TRANSCRIPT
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8/2/2019 1992 Dallas Federal Reserve Annual Report
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A K M K X B C X K _ K X Q K H B @ N I A M B C C B _
X K Z X D @ ] A X I E 2 4 4 8 B @ @ [ B C X K Z I X ]
]fk
Of{x`]fk
Zbxbmiv
ia Zxilxkss
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Giskzf B. _of{ezk}kx
Obzd}bcdse . . . ds ht `b}{xk b aixeix ek}fim ia koi`iedo ofb`lk b`m
`i} i`ct `kqkx ds h{} `kqkx ob` hk
s}b}di`bxt.
Obzd}bcdse# _iodbcdse# b`m Mkeioxbot
D` }fk 24?:s# Giskzf B. _of{ezk}kx
bmqb`okm }fk dmkb }fb} b` koi`iet miks`}
lxi| h{} kqicqks# oi`}d`{i{sct xk%oxkb}d`l
d}skca bs zkizck skkn }i dezxiqk }fkdx
s}b`mbxm ia cdqd`l. _of{ezk}kx obcckm }fds
zxiokss oxkb}dqk mks}x{o}di`. ]imbt# }fk
of{x` ds siek}deks {skm }i mksoxdhk }fk
sbek zxd`odzck. Dezcdod} d` kd}fkx }kxe ds }fk
zbxbmiv }fb} _of{ezk}kx {`oiqkxkm7
d``iqb}di`}fk eb`daks}b}di` ia }fk
d`mdqdm{bcs r{ks} aix lbd`ds ok`}xbc }i
koi`iedo zxilxkss h{}# b} }fk sbek }dek#
ds }fk ob{sk ia eis} koi`iedo mdaado{c}dks.
]fk kssbt sko}di` ia }fds B``{bc
Xkzix} kvzcixks _of{ezk}kxs oi`okz} ia
oxkb}dqk mks}x{o}di` d` b eimkx` oi`}kv}.
B ciin b} fi| }fk [._. koi`iet lbd`km b`m
cis} gihs d` }fk zbs} zxiqdmks d`sdlf} d`}i
|fb} }imbts gih cissks ekb` aix }fk a{}{xk.
_of{ezk}kx# 266?24;:# hix` d`
]xdksof# Owkofisciqbndb# |bs b i}km
koi`ieds} b`m }fk b{}fix ia `{ekxi{s
|ixns# d`oc{md`l ]fk ]fkixt ia Koi`iedo
Mkqkcizek`}# H{sd`kss Otocks# b`m
Obzd}bcdse# _iodbcdse# b`m Mkeioxbot.
Fk ds r{i}km axkr{k`}ct d` }fds xkzix}.
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mkxctd`l mt`bedos ia b lxi|d`l# oi`s}b`}ct ofb`l%
d`l koi`iet.
I`k ia et oiccklk zxiakssixs# Mbqdm EoOixm
\xdlf}# {skm }i sbt Lxi|}f oieks }fxi{lf ofb`lk
b`m ob{sks ofb`lk si ia}k` }fb} D r{donct ckbx`km
}i }{`k fde i{}. I`ct xkok`}ct fbqk D oiek }i
bzzxkodb}k }fk |dsmie ia fds eb`}xb. Giskzf
_of{ezk}kx bcsi obz}{xkm }fk kssk`ok ia }fds eks%
sblk ci`l bli d` fds ocbssdo mksoxdz}di` ia oxkb}dqk
mks}x{o}di`. D} ds `b}{xbc m{xd`l xkokssdi` b`m sc{l%
ldsf xkoiqkxt }i |ixxt bhi{} gih cissks. \k xkbm
bceis} mbdct ia cbtiaas b`m mi|`sdwd`ls b} abedcdbx
Aix}{`k;:: oiezb`dks. \k xbxkct xkbm ia sdwbhck
`{ehkxs ia `k| gihs hkd`l oxkb}km. Tk}# d` xkok`}
ei`}fs# |kqk fbm `k} gih lxi|}f. \fdck }fk `k}
lxi|}f ebt hk sebcc# }fk {`mkxctd`l xks}x{o}{xd`l
b`m xkqd}bcdwb}di` bxk b`t}fd`l h{}. ]fk of{x` ds
xkqd}bcdwd`l i{x koi`iet.
]fb}s `i} b zdo}{xk ia et lxb`mab}fkx i` }fk
oiqkx ia }fds xkzix}. H{} d} oi{cm fbqk hkk`. Et
lxb`mab}fkx |bs b hcbonsed}f# bs |bs fds ab}fkx. Et
mbm# fi|kqkx# |bs zbx} ia }fk kqic{}di`bxt zxiokss
ia }fk of{x`. Ba}kx r{d}}d`l sofiic d` }fk skqk`}f
lxbmk }i |ixn aix }fk sb|edcc# fk li} }fk k`}xkzxk%
`k{xdbc d}of. Fk xk`}km b sfkm b`m izk`km b adccd`l
s}b}di` }i skxqdok }fk obxs }fb} fbm z{} fds mbm i{}
ia h{sd`kss. Et ab}fkx |bs s{ookssa{c# si fk hi{lf}
siek cb`m i` }fk }iz ia b fdcc b`m h{dc} b }x{on
s}iz. &]fk r{i}b}di` ebxns bxk }i mds}d`l{dsf fds
eimks} qkxsdi` axie }fk d`}kxs}b}k hkfkei}fs |k
skk }imbt.$ I{x }x{on s}iz |bs kv}xkekct s{ookssa{c
{`}dc b `k| d`}kxs}b}k |k`} }fxi{lf 8: edcks }i }fk
|ks}. ]fk of{x` xkzcbokm [._. =22 |d}f D`}kxs}b}k
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]fk Of{x`]fk Zbxbmiv ia Zxilxkss
]fk d`qdsdhck fb`m ia axkk k`}kxzxdskxkoil`dwkm
sd`ok }fk }dek ia Bmbe _ed}f bs obzd}bcdses qd}bc
aixokskkekm }i scbz }fk [._. koi`iet bs }fk `b%
}di` k`}kxkm }fk 244:s. B mkak`sk h{dcm%mi|`# b
lc{} ia oieekxodbc xkbc ks}b}k# b`m iqkxm{k oixzi%
xb}k xks}x{o}{xd`ls {sfkxkm d` b zkxsds}k`} gihs xk%
okssdi` }fb} hxi{lf} b``i{`okek`}s ia cbtiaas d`
s}{``d`l `{ehkxs7 i}fkx|dsk# d} |i{cm`} hk b s{hgko} ia oi`%
}xiqkxst. M{xd`l xkokssdi`s# }fk ciss ia gihs ds eixk
bzzbxk`}. Kezcitek`} ds fbxm }i ad`m# b`m }fkxk
bxk edseb}ofks hk}|kk` |ixnkxs sndccs b`m bqbdc%
bhck gihs xkr{dxkek`}s. Bs zkizck sfda} axie i`k
gih }i b`i}fkx# }xb`sd}di`bc {`kezcitek`} ioo{xs.
[`aix}{`b}kct# }fkxks `i l{bxb`}kk }fb} kqkxti`k
|fi cisks b gih |dcc ad`m b `k| gih r{donct ix k`m
{z |d}f b hk}}kx i`k.
]fk of{x` ds `i} }dmt. ]fk `k| gihs bxk abx axie
kvbo} xkzcbokek`}s aix }fk icm i`ks. ]fk k| oiezb%
`dks b`m `k| d`m{s}xdks b`m }fk |ixn aixoks }fkt
xkr{dxk mdaakx d` {`zxkmdo}bhck |bts axie }fkdx
zxkmkokssixs. ]fk i{}oieks ia }fk of{x` ob``i}
hk `kb}ct k`ld`kkxkm. @i`k}fkckss# fds}ixt }kccs {s
=
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}fb} }fk zxiad} ei}dqk kehkmmkm d` b axkk k`}kxzxdsk
sts}ke |dcc zxiqdmk kezcitek`} izzix}{`d}dks aix
|ixnkxs |fi zisskss }fk km{ob}di` b`m sndccs }fb}
bxk d` mkeb`m. ]fds zxiokss bookckxb}ks kbxct d` }fk
kvzb`sdi` zfbsk ia }fk h{sd`kss otock bs }fk of{x`
oxkb}ks soixks ia gihs d` lxi|d`l oiezb`dks }fb}
mdm`} kvds} b ak| tkbxs kbxcdkx.
]fk of{x` ds`} `k|> }fxi{lfi{} fds}ixt# i`k
gih fbs bc|bts ldqk` |bt }i b`i}fkx. D` zxkfds}ixdo
}deks# }fkxk |bs i`k gihs{xqdqbc. Zkizck szk`}
eis} ia }fkdx }dek aixbld`l aix aiim. Iqkx }fk edc%
ck``db# }fk |ixn xkr{dxkm g{s} }i lk} ht ckssk`km#
kqk` bs }fk `{ehkx ia ei{}fs }i akkm d`oxkbskm.
Cdak hkobek eixk }fb` b mbdct s}x{llck aix s{s}k%
`b`ok# b`m zkizck nkz} ad`md`l `k| }bsns aix }fkdx
fb`ms b`m ed`ms. Gihs e{c}dzcdkm b`m kqicqkm# hk%
oied`l eixk szkodbcdwkm b`m mkad`km. @i|# bs
Bekxdob zxkzbxks }i k`}kx }fk 82s} ok`}{xt# }fk
xis}kx ia `k| ioo{zb}di`s oi`}d`{ks }i s|kcc.
Koi`ieds}s# r{ks}di`d`l |ft Bekxdobs gih
oxkb}di` d` }fk xkoiqkxt ia }fk kbxct 244:s akcc sfix}
ia kvzko}km ckqkcs# fbqk xkoi`sdmkxkm }fk dmkbs ia
Giskzf _of{ezk}kx# |fi iaakxkm }fk adxs} soficbxct
kvzcb`b}di` ia }fk of{x` d` }fk 24?:s. _of{ezk}kx
bmqb`okm }fk zbxbmiv }fb} koi`iedo zxilxkss mk%
s}bhdcdwks }fk |ixcm. Zxilxkss b`m gih mks}x{o}di`
li fb`m d` fb`m d` b mt`bedo zxiokss fk obcckm
oxkb}dqk mks}x{o}di`. ]imbt# bs d` }fk 24?:s#
_of{ezk}kxs d`sdlf}s fkcz kvzcbd` fi| gihs
kekxlk b`m mdsbzzkbx }fxi{lf }fk d``iqb}di`
b`m k`}xkzxk`k{xsfdz ia axkk k`}kxzxdsk.
Axie }fk Fixsk b`m H{llt }i }fk _zbok _f{}}ck
D``iqb}di` b`m oiezk}d}di` a{kc }fk of{x`.
@k| dmkbs# `k| zxim{o}s# `k| }kof`icildks# `k|
aixes ia d`m{s}xdbc ixlb`dwb}di`s b`m `k| ebxnk}s
{zsk} }fk s}b}{s r{i# xkxi{}d`l mkeb`m axie kvds}%
d`l oiezb`dks b`m d`m{s}xdks. I` }fk {zsdmk ia }fk
of{x`# |d``kxs d`oxkbsk sbcks# b`m }fkt bmm gihs.
I` }fk mi|`sdmk ia }fk of{x`# ciskxs ad`m }fkdx o{s%
}iekxs bxk`} h{td`l bs e{of# b`m }fkt cbt iaa
|ixnkxs.
]fk of{x` izkxb}ks bcc }fk }dek. D} oi`}d`{ks
m{xd`l b` kvzb`sdi`# bc}fi{lf d}s eis} qdsdhck
kaako} gih cbtiaasds abx eixk oieei` m{xd`l
xkokssdi`s# |fk` d`m{s}xdks oiek {`mkx s}xkss. I` b` &Oi`}d`{km i` zblk ;$
d`mdqdm{bc ckqkc# }fk kaako}s ia cis} kezcitek`} ob`
hk bli`dwd`l }i mdszcbokm |ixnkxs b`m }fkdx abed%
cdks. [`kezcitek`}# }fi{lf }tzdobcct i`ct }kezi%
xbxt# ds skk` bs b `klb}dqk xks{c} ia }fk of{x`. ]fk
ci`l%}kxe kaako} ia }fk of{x` d` }fk iqkxbcc
koi`iet# fi|kqkx# ds zisd}dqk. ]fk zxiokss axkks
cbhix d` mkocd`d`l d`m{s}xdks }i zxim{ok eixk b`m
hk}}kx liims d` `k| d`m{s}xdks. ]fds abok} ia }fk
of{x` liks i` bceis} d`qdsdhct bs `k| gihs bxk
bmmkm# b ak| b} b }dek# d` }fi{sb`ms ia `k| k`}kx%
zxdsks d` bxkbs }fb} bxk lkilxbzfdobcct mdszkxskm.
D` 24::# aix kvbezck# d} }iin `kbxct =: ia kqkxt
2:: Bekxdob`s }i akkm }fk oi{`}xt. ]imbt# d} xk%
r{dxks g{s} }fxkk. H{} }fk mkocd`k d` abxe gihs fbs`}
cka} }fk oi{`}xt f{`lxt. R{d}k }fk oi`}xbxt# }fk
[`d}km _}b}ks fbs k`gitkm blxdo{c}{xbc zck`}t b`m
}fk oxkb}di` ia edccdi`s ia d`m{s}xt b`m skxqdok gihs.
]fk ?< ia kqkxt 2:: |ixnkxs `i ci`lkx `kkmkm i`
}fk abxe eiqkm i` }i zxiqdmk `k| fieks# oie%
z{}kxs# zfbxebok{}dobcs# bzzcdb`oks# eiqdks# s}ion
}xbmks# qdmki lbeks# li{xek} ekbcs b`m b` bxxbt ia
i}fkx liims b`m skxqdoks. ]fk xks{c} ds b eb}kxdbc
bh{`mb`ok }fb} |i{cm`} fbqk hkk` zissdhck |d}f%
i{} cbhix xkckbskm axie abxed`l.
]xb`szix}b}di` d` }fk 8:}f ok`}{xt zxiqdmks b
mxbeb}do# i`lid`l kvbezck ia }fk of{x` b} |ixn.
]fk d`}xim{o}di` ia }fk b{}ieihdck szbxnkm b` {z%
fkbqbc d` gihs# oxkb}d`l b e{c}d}{mk ia `k| ioo{zb%
}di`s7 obx mksdl`kx# ekofb`do# b`m }x{on# h{s b`m
}bvd mxdqkx# }i `bek g{s} b ak|. ]fk b{}ieihdcks
dezbo} szdcckm iqkx d`}i miwk`s ia i}fkx sko}ixs ia
}fk koi`iet. ]fk idc d`m{s}xt# aix kvbezck# zxi%
m{okm i}fkx `k| ioo{zb}di`s7 xi{lf`kon# xkad`kxt
b`m zdzkcd`k |ixnkx# b`m lbs s}b}di` b}}k`mb`}
bei`l }fke. @i`kvds}k`} d` 26
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Bekxdobs ]iz ?: Gihs _d`ok 24::
]fk ofb`ld`l oiezisd}di` ia Bekxdobs }iz ?: gihs iqkx }fk zbs} ok`%
}{xt baadxes }fb} gihs cis} d` i`k adkcm bxk xkzcbokm ht gihs d` kekxld`l
ioo{zb}di`s. Hk}|kk` 24:: b`m 2442# aix kvbezck# sb|tkxs# ebsi`s
b`m ed`kxs mdsbzzkbxkm axie }fk }iz ?: cds}. D` }fkdx zcboks obek zxi%
akssixs# k`ld`kkxs# eb}fkeb}dobc b`m oiez{}kx sodk`}ds}s# b`m i}fkxs
fdlfcdlf}km fkxk d` oicix }i dcc{s}xb}k }fk d`oxkbsd`l dezix}b`ok ia km{%
ob}di` d` }imbts |ixnzcbok.
24::
Gih \ixnkxs
Abxekxs ;#1
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}fk fixsk%b`m%h{llt }xbmk }i xbdcxibms b`m |b}kx
}xb`szix}. Gihs mdsbzzkbxkm ht }fk edccdi`s. D`
248:# 8.2 edccdi` Bekxdob`s kbx`km }fkdx cdqd`l ht
|ixnd`l aix xbdcxibms# oiezbxkm |d}f g{s} 8?2#:::
}imbt. ]fk oi{`}xt kezcitkm 2:4#::: obxxdblk b`m
fbx`kss ebnkxs d` 24:: b`m 8?6#::: hcbonsed}fs d`
242:. I`ct b ak| }fi{sb`m Bekxdob`s ebnk b cdq%
d`l d` }fksk ioo{zb}di`s }imbt.
]fk kvzkxdk`ok ia }fk }xb`szix}b}di` d`m{s}xt
fbs hkk` zbxbcckckm }fi{sb`ms ia }deks |d}f }fi{%
sb`ms ia d``iqb}di`sabxe ebofd`kxt# }kckzfi`ks#
}kckqdsdi`# oiez{}kxs# cbskxs# abv ebofd`ks. ]fk cds}
oi{cm li i` aix zblks# h{} d} |i{cm sfi| b oie%
ei` }fkek7 d``iqb}di` fbs bc|bts fbm }fk mdxko}
kaako} ia oxkb}d`l `k| h{sd`kssks b`m d`m{s}xdks
b`m }fk d`mdxko} kaako} ia mks}xitd`l eb`t ia }fk
gihs d` }fk kvds}d`l d`m{s}xdks }fb} }fkt kocdzskm. Bs
b xks{c}# }fk edv ia Bekxdob` gihs ofb`lkm mxbeb}d%
obcct axie 24:: }i 241:# }fk` ofb`lkm g{s} bs e{of
axie 241: }i 2442. Mkszd}k b oi`s}b`} }{x`iqkx d`
kezcitek`}# }fk }i}bc gih ebxnk} kvzb`mkm.
Bs }fk [._. koi`iet kqicqkm# }fds of{x`d`l
zxiokss }k`mkm }i hk`kad} |ixnkxs iqkxbcc# kqk`
}fi{lf d} ois} eb`t d`mdqdm{bcs }fkdx gihs. I` hbc%
b`ok# zbtofkons lxk| ab}}kx. \ixn|kkns sfix}%
k`km. ]fk hbonhxkbnd`l }idc ia abxes b`m s|kb}%
sfizs lbqk |bt }i }fk oieaix} ia bdx%oi`md}di`km
iaadoks aix eb`t.
]fk zxiokss }fb} xkotocks cbhix d`}i `k| gihs
dseixk }fb` kqkxb} |ixn }imbt. @i|fkxk ds
}fds eixk bzzbxk`} }fb` d` }fk kcko}xi`dos d`m{s}xt.
Bei`l }fk abs}ks} lxi|d`l [._. ioo{zb}di`s d` }fk
246:s |kxk }fisk ia oiez{}kx izkxb}ix b`m zxi%
lxbeekx# sia}|bxk mksdl`kx# abv ebofd`k xkzbdxkx
b`m okcc{cbx }kckzfi`k }kof`dodb`.
@i} bcc }kof`icildobc zxilxkss oxkb}ks }fk sbek
sdwk |bqks d` }fk gih ziic hkob{sk siek d``iqb%
}di`s bxk eixk sdl`dadob`} }fb` i}fkxs. ]fk d`qk`%
}di` ia }fk bdxzcb`k# aix kvbezck# oxkb}km eixk
fbqio }fb` }fk d`qk`}di` ia }fk kckqb}ix.
Oiezk}d}di` |d}f kvds}d`l zxim{o}s bcsi mk}kx%
ed`ks }fk dezbo} ia `k| }kof`icilt. ]fk }kck%
zfi`k zxiqkm e{of hk}}kx b} sk`md`l ekssblks
}fb` }fk }kcklxbzf# e{of }i }fk mdsebt ia mds%
zcbokm }kcklxbzf izkxb}ixs. H{} b zxim{o} }fb}s b
mds}b`} s{hs}d}{}k aix kvds}d`l liims miks`} baako}
eb`t |ixnkxs. ]fk zbxbof{}k# }fk obekxb b`m
eis} |i`mkx mx{ls# aix d`s}b`ok# hxi{lf} bhi{}
cd}}ck gih mks}x{o}di`.
B`i}fkx abo}ix }fb} d`ac{k`oks }fk dezbo} ia
`k| }kof`icilt ds }fk kbsk |d}f |fdof cbhix xk%
ckbskm axie }fk mkocd`d`l d`m{s}xt ob` k`}kx }fk
kekxld`l i`k. Eb`t ia Bekxdobs adxs} b{}i|ixnkxs
zxkqdi{sct ebmk fixsk%mxb|` obxxdblks. _iek bo%
}ixs b`m xkzix}kxs sfda}km }i }kckqdsdi` ba}kx d} hklb`
}i oiezk}k |d}f eiqdks b`m xbmdi. I` }fk i}fkx
fb`m# |fdck }fk abv ebofd`k izk`km gih izzix}{`d%
}dks aix zxilxbeekxs b`m sia}|bxk mksdl`kxs# d}s
{`cdnkct }fb} }fk ebdc six}kxs
b`m }x{on mxdqkxs {c}d%
eb}kct mdszcbokm d`
}fk iqkx`dlf} ebdc
Oxkb}dqk Mks}x{o}di` iqkx }fk Zbs} Ok`}{xt
Edccdi`s ia Bekxdob` |ixnkxs }imbt kbx` }fkdx cdqd`l d` ioo{zb}di`s
}fb} mdm `i} kvds} b} }fk hkld``d`l ia }fk 8:}f ok`}{xt.
Zkizck Kezcitkm
Mks}x{o}di` ]imbt Tks}kxmbtXbdcxibm kezcitkks 8?2#::: 8#:
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d`m{s}xt ob` kbsdct s|d}of }i }fk `k| gihs.
Kezcitek`} otocks hkoiek kszkodbcct ax{s}xb}%
d`l |fk` }fk icm gihs b`m `k| i`ks bxk`} d` }fk
sbek ciob}di`. B cbdm%iaa Aix} \ix}f mkak`sk zcb`}
|ixnkx |d}f s}xi`l }dks }i }fk oiee{`d}t b`m }fk
s}b}k edlf} hk xkc{o}b`} }i }bnk bmqb`}blk ia gih
izk`d`ls d`# sbt# @k| Ekvdoi.
]fds sd}{b}di` ds kvbokxhb}km |fk` [._. gihs li
}i i}fkx oi{`}xdks. Eb`t oi`oc{mk }fb} }fk si%obcckm
kvzix} ia gihs xkzxksk`}s b abdc{xk ia }fk [._.
koi`iet# b`m }fkt obcc aix xks}xdo}dqk }xbmk zicdodks
}i sbqk Bekxdob` gihs. ]fkxks `i mk`td`l }fk
of{x` ob` oxiss hixmkxs# h{} }fk [`d}km _}b}ks
miks`} xkbcct cisk |fk` b gih edlxb}ks }i b`i}fkx
oi{`}xt. ]fk `b}di`bc xksi{xok ds`} }fk gih> d}s }fk
|ixnkxs b`m }fkdx }bck`}s. \ixnkxs xkebd` bqbdcbhck
bs xksi{xoks }i zxim{ok liims ia fdlfkx qbc{k d`
`k| d`m{s}xdks. D` xkok`} tkbxs# aix kvbezck# }kv}dck
gihs eiqkm }i ci|%|blk aixkdl` oi{`}xdks# bcci|%
d`l @ix}f Obxicd`b# Lkixldb b`m Acixdmb}fk
_i{}fkbs}kx` s}b}ks |d}f }fk hks}%km{ob}km |ixn
aixoks}i ckbm }fk xkldi` d`}i b }xb`sd}di` }i eixk
bmqb`okm d`m{s}xdks |d}f hk}}kx gihs.
K`}kxd`l }fk 82s} Ok`}{xt Fkbmadxs}
]fxi{lfi{} }fk 8:}f ok`}{xt# }fk mkedsk ia icm
d`m{s}xdks b`m }fk oxkb}di` ia `k| i`ks oid`odmkm
|d}f xdsd`l d`oieks b`m f{lk `k} lbd`s d` kezcit%
ek`} d` }fk [`d}km _}b}ks. ]fk }xb`sd}di`# fi|kqkx#
fbs hkk` h{ezt b`m {`kqk`. Gih cissks ob` hk
}xb{eb}do aix |ixnkxs b`m }fkdx abedcdks. Tk}# skk`
bs b |fick# }fk Bekxdob` kvzkxdk`ok okx}bd`ct oi`%
adxes _of{ezk}kxs }fksds }fb} b` koi`iet ob`}
zxilxkss |d}fi{} }fk xkqd}bcdwb}di` }fb} hxd`ls gih
mks}x{o}di`. D`}kxqk`}di` }i sbqk gihs bceis} bc|bts
abdcs. Zicdodks mksdl`km }i zxi}ko} gihs xk}bxm koi%
`iedo zxilxkss b`m# {c}deb}kct# mks}xit gihs ht
sfix}%odxo{d}d`l }fk qd}bc zxiokss ia d``iqb}di`. D} ds
aix }fds xkbsi` }fb} |k e{s} s}iz aio{sd`l i`ct
i` }fk `{ehkx ia gihs> |k e{s} bcsi oi`ok`%
}xb}k i` }fk oiezisd}di` ia gihs. Bmmkm
kezfbsds sfi{cm hk zcbokm i` fdlf zbt#
fdlf zxim{o}dqd}t b`m fdlf km{ob}di`bc
kehimdek`}.
Fds}ixt mkei`s}xb}ks }fk a{}dcd}t ia
sbqd`l kezcitek`}. Aix d`s}b`ok# d}s
fbxm }i edss }fk bhs{xmd}t ia b |kcc%d`}k`}di`km zxi%
lxbe }fb} 2:: tkbxs bli edlf} fbqk bdekm }i nkkz
hcbonsed}fs b`m fbx`kss ebnkxs kezcitkm. Bs xk%
ok`}ct bs
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8/2/2019 1992 Dallas Federal Reserve Annual Report
10/13
zbs} |i{cm dezct }fk zxim{o}s b`m zxim{o}dqd}t ia
}fk zbs}# mkzxdqd`l oi`s{ekxs ia }fk hk`kad} ia lk`%
kxb}di`s ia `k| }kof`icilt.
Da b siodk}t miks`} bcci| }fk xkzcbokek`} ia
i{}eimkm k`}kxzxdsks b`m }fkdx oi`oied}b`} gihs# d}
|i`} hk bhck }i bmqb`ok. ]fk aixekx _iqdk} [`di`
l{bxmkm d}s od}dwk`s gihs> d}s ab}k sfi|s |fb} fbz%
zk`s }i b `b}di` }fb} }xdks }i xkzkbc }fk koi`iedo
aixoks b} |ixn d` }fk cbhix ebxnk}. D`s}kbm ia szdxbc%
d`l {z|bxm |d}f d``iqb}di`s# }fk _iqdk} [`di` s}bl%
`b}km b`m ad`bcct oiccbzskm.
]fk zxiokss ia oxkb}dqk mks}x{o}di` |ixnkm d`
}fk zbs}# }bnd`l b oi{`}xt h{dc} ht e{sock zi|kx
}fxi{lf }fk d`m{s}xdbc xkqic{}di` b`m d`}i }fk d`aix%
eb}di` blk. Tk}# }imbts snkz}dos |i`mkx |fk}fkx
}fk [._. gih ebofd`k s}dcc |ixns. Bs cbtiaas mied%
`b}k }fk `k|s# zkizck |ixxt bhi{} |fk}fkx }fkxk
|dcc hk liim gihs }i xkzcbok }fisk hkd`l cis}. Bs b
siodk}t# |k bxk {`kbst bhi{} |fb} eb`t b`bcts}s
xklbxm bs mkocd`d`l cdqd`l s}b`mbxms. Eb`t zbxk`}s
akbx }fb} }fkdx ofdcmxk` ebt hk bei`l }fk adxs}
Bekxdob`s }i hk ckss |kcc%iaa }fb` }fk zxkqdi{s
lk`kxb}di`.
]fksk r{ks}di`s b`m b`vdk}dks bxk`} `k|. ]dek
b`m blbd`# zkizck ob{lf} d` }fk of{x` fbqk hkk`
akbxa{c ia }fk a{}{xk. D` }x{}f# }fkxk bxk ak| l{bxb`%
}kks }fb} b` koi`iet |dcc bc|bts eiqk aix|bxm. B}
}fk eiek`} ia gih cissks d` i`k d`m{s}xt# d}s ia}k`
mdaado{c} }i skk }fk `k| izzix}{`d}dks bcxkbmt izk`%
d`l d` kekxld`l h{sd`kssks. Adl{xd`l i{} |fdof d`%
m{s}xdks |dcc kezcit }fk `kv} lk`kxb}di` hkoieks
b` kqk` eixk }xi{hcksiek }bsn. ]fk hks} b siodk}t
ob` mi ds zxkzbxk d}skca }i bmbz} }i ofb`lk.
B |kcc%km{ob}km# |kcc%}xbd`km cbhix aixok eixk
xkbmdct sfda}s axie }fk gihs ia mkocd`d`l d`m{s}xdks
}i }fisk ia kekxld`l i`ks. @i|fkxk ds }fds eixk
}x{k }fb` d` oi`}kezixbxt Bekxdob# |fkxk }fk h{cn
ia cis} gihs bxk d` fkbqt d`m{s}xt b`m eis} ia }fk
`k| gihs bxk d` }fk si%obcckm n`i|ckmlk d`m{s}xdks.
]fk sndccs `kkmkm d` }fk zbs} bxk`} cdnkct }i hk }fk
sbek bs }fisk qbc{km d` }fk a{}{xk. I`ct km{ob}di`
aicci|km ht oi`s}b`} xkkm{ob}di` b`m }xbd`d`l ob`
fkcz hxdmlk }fk lbz. D` b` kxb ia d`}kx`b}di`bc oie%
zk}d}di`# b siodk}t }fb} miks`} bmkr{b}kct km{ob}k
d}s |ixn aixok ebt fbqk }i sk}}ck aix }fk ckss mksdx%
bhck gihs.
Km{ob}di` b`m sndccs ciie si cbxlk hkob{sk
}kof`icilt zcbts b ckbmd`l xick d` aixld`l `k| d`%
m{s}xdks d` }fk [`d}km _}b}ks b`m i}fkx bmqb`okm
koi`iedks. ]fk |ixcm }imbt zisskssks b cbxlk d`%
qk`}ixt ia d`qk`}di`s }i fkcz zcb`} }fk skkms ia
}ieixxi|s d`m{s}xdks. Bcxkbmt# gihs bxk kekxld`l
axie s{of mdsoiqkxdks bs M@B# cbskxs# adhkx iz}dos#
fdlf%}kof okxbedos# fbxm zcbs}dos# ficilxbzft#
zfi}i`dos b`m edoxiebofd`ks. Bs }fk zbok ia }kof%
`icildobc d``iqb}di` r{donk`s# }fk of{x` ia gihs ds
cdnkct }i hkoiek kqk` abs}kx. ]fk ofbcck`lk aix }fk
[`d}km _}b}ks cdks d` }xbd`d`l d}s |ixnkxs aix }fk gihs
}fb} |dcc hk oxkb}km bs }fksk d`m{s}xdks lxi|.
\d}f }fb} d` ed`m# i`k ia }imbts eis} zxkssd`l
gihs r{ks}di` edlf} hk hk}}kx }{x`km i` d}s fkbm.
D`s}kbm ia bsnd`l |fk}fkx }fk [._. koi`iet |dcc
oxkb}k k`i{lf liim gihs# |k i{lf} }i hk bsnd`l
|fk}fkx i{x km{ob}di`bc sts}ke |dcc zxim{ok
k`i{lf r{bcdadkm |ixnkxs. Da d}s zkizck bxk km{%
ob}km# }xbd`km b`m |dccd`l }i |ixn# b siodk}t |d}f b
zxizkxct a{`o}di`d`l ebxnk} koi`iet |dcc hk bhck
}i zxiqdmk b` bh{`mb`ok ia izzix}{`d}dks.
Bs ci`l bs zkizck |dcc zbt aix eixk b`m hk}}kx
zxim{o}s# k`}xkzxk`k{xs |dcc adl{xk i{} |fb} oi`%
s{ekxs |b`} b`m |dcc }xt }i ad`m `k| |bts }i zxi%
m{ok d}. ]f{s# b axkk k`}kxzxdsk sts}ke zxiqdmks d}s
i|` a{kc aix }fk of{x`. D` }fds |bt# }fk koi`iet
|dcc eiqk aix|bxm bs ci`l bs cbhix b`m i}fkx xk%
si{xoks bxk bhck }i eiqk axie icm d`m{s}xdks }i
`k| i`ks.
Gih oxkb}di` b`m gih mks}x{o}di` bxk d`}kx%
}|d`km. ]fkt bxk hi}f nkt kckek`}s d` }fk zxiokss
}fxi{lf |fdof b siodk}t xbdsks d}s cdqd`l s}b`mbxms.
]fds sfi{cm`} hk bcc }fb} s{xzxdsd`l }i eis} Bekxd%
ob`s. D}s si abedcdbx# d` abo}# }fb} }fk oi`okz} ds obz%
}{xkm d` b sd`lck |ixmzxilxkss. _iodk}dks }fb}
mk`t }fk of{x` ht }xtd`l }i axkkwk kezcitek`} bo%
}{bcct xk}bxm }fk aixeb}di` ia `k| gihs b`m `k|
si{xoks ia d`oiek. _iodk}dks }fb} bcci| }fk of{x` }i
|ixn xkbz }fk xk|bxms ia eixk kezcitek`} b`m
hk}}kx cdqd`l s}b`mbxms. D` }fksk a{`mbek`}bc oi`%
okz}s# dxi`do bs }fkt ebt skke# cdks }fk nkt
}i bofdkqd`l fdlfkx cdqd`l s}b`mbxms.
4
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8/2/2019 1992 Dallas Federal Reserve Annual Report
11/13
_kcko}km Hdhcdilxbzft
Hbxlkx# Fbxicm. ]fk ]xb`szix}b}di` D`m{s}xdks# 266424=17 B _}{mt ia I{}z{}#
Kezcitek`}# b`m Zxim{o}dqd}t. @k| Tixn7 @b}di`bc H{xkb{ ia Koi`iedo
Xkskbxof# 24;2.
H{xnk# Gbeks. Oi``ko}di`s. His}i`7 Cd}}ck# Hxi|` b`m Oiezb`t# 24
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8/2/2019 1992 Dallas Federal Reserve Annual Report
12/13
Fds}ixdobc zfi}ilxbzfs bxk axie ]fk Hk}}eb`` Bxofdqk.
]fk Akmkxbc Xkskxqk Hb`n ia Mbccbs
ds i`k ia 28 xkldi`bc Akmkxbc Xkskxqk
Hb`ns d` }fk [`d}km _}b}ks. ]ilk}fkx
|d}f }fk Hibxm ia Liqkx`ixs d`\bsfd`l}i`# M.O.# }fksk ixlb`dwb}di`s
aixe }fk Akmkxbc Xkskxqk _ts}ke b`m
a{`o}di` bs }fk `b}di`s ok`}xbc hb`n.
]fk _ts}kes hbsdo z{xzisk ds }i zxiqdmk
b aci| ia ei`kt b`m oxkmd} }fb} |dcc
ais}kx ixmkxct koi`iedo lxi|}f b`m b
s}bhck miccbx. D` bmmd}di`# Akmkxbc
Xkskxqk Hb`ns s{zkxqdsk hb`ns b`m hb`n
ficmd`l oiezb`dks b`m zxiqdmk okx}bd`
ad`b`odbc skxqdoks }i }fk hb`nd`l
d`m{s}xt# }fk akmkxbc liqkx`ek`} b`m
}fk z{hcdo.
_d`ok 242=# }fk Akmkxbc XkskxqkHb`n ia Mbccbs fbs skxqkm }fk ad`b`odbc
d`s}d}{}di`s d` }fk Kckqk`}f Mds}xdo}. ]fk
Kckqk`}f Mds}xdo} k`oiezbssks ?;:#:::
sr{bxk edcks b`m oiezxdsks }fk s}b}k ia
]kvbs# `ix}fkx` Ci{dsdb`b b`m si{}fkx`
@k| Ekvdoi. ]fk }fxkk hxb`of iaadoks ia
}fk Akmkxbc Xkskxqk Hb`n ia Mbccbs bxk
d` Kc Zbsi# Fi{s}i` b`m _b` B`}i`di.
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8/2/2019 1992 Dallas Federal Reserve Annual Report
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Akmkxbc Xkskxqk Hb`n ia Mbccbs
88:: @ix}f Zkbxc _}xkk}
Mbccbs# ]kvbs