19 june 2020 – bulletin no. 11 west africa fertilizer watch
TRANSCRIPT
This bulletin is made possible by the generous support of the American people through Feed the Future, the U.S. Government’s Global Hunger and Food Security Initiative. The contents are the responsibility of IFDC, WAFA, and AfricaFertilizer.org and do not necessarily reflect the views of Feed the Future or the United States Government.
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PRAIA ABIDJANACCRA
LOMÉ COTONOU
fertilizer availability vs. food and nutrition situation
West africa fertilizer Watch providing Weekly information on the impact of covid-19 on the West africa fertilizer market
19 june 2020 – Bulletin no. 11
HIGHLIGHTSThe COVID-19 pandemic appears to be gaining momentum � in West Africa, with +23% increase in new cases recorded during the week. Preventive restrictions are being maintained or tightened.Coordinated responses � to support the agricultural sector and regional trade: on 18 June, ECOWAS presented the World Bank’s new USD 500 million, West Africa Food Systems Resilient Program (FSRP); announced on June 8, the AfDB’s Feed Africa Response to Covid-19 (FAREC) will support, among other things, the provision of key agricultural inputs through smart subsidies.Fertilizer distribution continues � even “with COVID”. Ghana, Nigeria, and Senegal are preparing to import remaining volumes to meet this year’s demand. The situation is not as good in Mali and Niger. Prices of agricultural products remain stable � (ROAC/WAGN). Food supplies are generally satisfied, except in pockets of food insecurity that the Food Security Network anticipates will spread in the next few months (see map below). Excluding subsidy programs and cash crop markets, the purchasing power and access to fertilizers of most fragile small-scale agricultural producers will be sharply reduced.From July 2020 � , the Fertilizer Watches in West Africa and East and Southern Africa will be brought together and extended to an Africa Fertilizer Watch covering 28 countries in sub-Saharan Africa. Co
lor COVID-19 pandemic:
diagnosed cases on a week-on-week basis
Economic status: public health and economic measures, fertilizer logistics
Fertilizer market indicators:% stock
coverage% subsidized/ total market
Retail/FOB urea price ratio
Stable No impact &/or improvement 80% + < 30% 80% + < 25% Limited impact 50 – 80% 30 – 50% 50 – 80% 25% – 50% Moderate impact 30 – 50% 50 – 80% 30 – 50% > 50% Strong impact < 30% 80% + < 30% No data (N.D.) N.D. N.D. N.D. N.D.
STATuS Covid -19
Public Measures
Status of fertilizer supply chain
Fertilizer Markets
Country
Benin Ç Burkina Faso ÇCape Verde Chad Côte d’iVoire È ÇGamBia ÇGhana ÈGuinea Bissau È Guinea ÈLiBeria
maLi Èmauritania
niGer
niGeria ÇseneGaL
sierra Leone ÇtoGo È
covid-19 % change
health measures
domestic transport
economic measures
port operations
border crossing
inventories & stocks
retail/fob price ratio
agro input retail shops
fertilizer subsidies
MONROVIA
FREETOWN
CONAKRY
LAGOS
BAMAKO
NIAMEY
BISSAU
BANJUL
DAKAR
BURKINA FASO247
CÔTE D’IVOIRE297
GUINÉE36
SIERRA LEONE12
LIBERIA 5
SÉNÉGAL156
NIGERIA 1,215
NIGER70
MALI731
MAURITANIA40
CAPE VERDE5
CHAD40
BENIN 167
TOGO 61
GHANA 354
GAMBIA10
GUINEE BISSAU5
N’DJAMENA
OUAGADOUGOU
The number below a country’s name represents its estimated annual fertilizer demand in 1000 metric tons. The figures are derived from 2016-2019 average consumption data collected by AfricaFertilizer.org. Food and Nutrition Situation and Phases as of Mar-May 2020 by RCPA/CILSS (www.food-security.net/en/visualise-export).
FERTILIZER STOCK COVERAGE %
80% +
50-80%
30–50%
0–30%as of mid-may 2020
FOOD & NUTRITION SECURITY PHASE
1. minimal
2. under pressure
3. crisis
4. emergency
not analyzedas of mar-may 2020
NOUAKCHOTT
ABUJA