1.6 cummulative cash flow

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CUMULATIVE CASH FLOWS

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Page 1: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

CUMULATIVE CASH FLOWS

Page 2: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

Estimating monthly cash inflows

and outflows to determine net and

cumulative cash flows

Specification detail

Page 3: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

WHAT WE KNOW SO FAR

•Forecasting revenue

–This looks at how many products you think you’ll sell and at what price you think you’ll sell them

•Fixed and variable costs

–This will allow you to accurately predict how high your costs will be

Page 4: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

LESSON OBJECTIVES

•To know what a cash flow forecast is

•To understand how cash flow can be improved

•To be able to create a cash flow forecast accurately.

Page 5: 1.6 cummulative cash flow
Page 6: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

FORECASTING CASH FLOW•This is very difficult, to be successful you need to:-

–Accurately predict monthly sales revenues

–Predict when customers will pay for the goods

–Careful allowance for operating costs

–Careful monitoring of cash outflows when purchasing assets, such as land.

•The level of accuracy is very hard to achieve and is the key reason why failure is high amongst new businesses

Page 7: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

A CASH FLOW FORECAST

Cut out and stick in your example of this table

We will work through the figures for a year and complete this

table

Figures JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

Cash at the start

100(550

)(550) 1850 2850 (900) 2650 2400

(4150)

1200 3150 7450

Cash in 0 1000 3000 3000 3000 5000300

06000 8000 8000 10000 10000

Cash Out 650 1000 600 2000 6750 1450325

012550 2650 6050 5700

5700

NET Cash flow

(650) 0 2400 1000 (3750) 3550 (250) (6550) 5350 1950 4300430

0

Cumulative cash

(550) (550) 1850285

0(900) 2650

2400

(4150) 1200 3150 7450 11750

Page 8: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

JANUARY

•You start with £100 in your bank account.

•Your business is new, so you do not sell anything this month

•You spend £250 on a launch party for your business

•You pay £50 rent, £50 gas/water/electricity

•You pay your one employee £300

Page 9: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

FEBRUARY

•Your sales revenue adds up to £1000

•You pay £50 rent, £50 gas/water/electricity

•You pay you one employee £300

•You pay £500 for an advertising campaign

•Your raw materials cost £100

Page 10: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

MARCH

•You pay £50 rent, £50 gas/water/electricity

•You pay you one employee £300

•Your raw materials cost £200

•Your sales revenue adds up to £2500

•You sell some advertising space for £500

Page 11: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

APRIL

•You pay £50 rent, £50 gas/water/electricity

•You pay you two employees £600 in total

•Your raw materials cost £300

•You buy a new van, costing £1000

•Your sales revenue adds up to £3000

Page 12: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

MAY

•You pay £50 rent, £50 gas/water/electricity

•You pay you two employees £600 in total

•Your raw materials cost £300

•Your van is in an accident, you pay £500 to fix it

•You now pay for insurance on your van and buildings £250

•You buy new machinery costing £5000

•Your sales revenue adds up to £3000

Page 13: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

JUNE

•You pay £50 rent, £50 gas/water/electricity

•You pay you two employees £600 in total

•Your raw materials cost £500

•You pay for insurance on your van and buildings £250

•Your sales revenue adds up to £5000

Page 14: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

JULY

•You pay £50 rent, £50 gas/water/electricity

•You pay you four employees £1600 in total

•Your raw materials cost £300

•You buy a new van costing £1000

•You now pay for insurance on your van and buildings £250

•Your sales revenue adds up to £3000

Page 15: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

AUGUST

•You pay £50 rent, £50 gas/water/electricity

•You pay you four employees £1600 in total

•Your raw materials cost £600

•You now pay for insurance on your van and buildings £250

•You buy a new factory costing £10,000

•Your sales revenue adds up to £6000

Page 16: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

SEPTEMBER

•You pay £100 rent, £100 gas/water/electricity

•You pay you four employees £1600 in total

•Your raw materials cost £600

•You now pay for insurance on your van and buildings £250

•Your sales revenue adds up to £8000

Page 17: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

OCTOBER

•You pay £100 rent, £100 gas/water/electricity

•You pay you eight employees £4000 in total

•Your raw materials cost £600

•You buy another new van costing £1000

•You now pay for insurance on your van and buildings £250

•Your sales revenue adds up to £8000

Page 18: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

NOVEMBER

•You pay £100 rent, £100 gas/water/electricity

•You pay you eight employees £4000 in total

•Your raw materials cost £1000

•You now pay for insurance on your van and buildings £500

•Your sales revenue adds up to £10,000

Page 19: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

DECEMBER

•You pay £100 rent, £100 gas/water/electricity

•You pay you eight employees £4000 in total

•Your raw materials cost £1000

•You now pay for insurance on your van and buildings £500

•Your sales revenue adds up to £10,000

Page 20: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

Figures JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

Cash at the start

100 (550) (550) 1850 2850 (900) 2650 2400(4150

)1200 3150 7450

Cash in 0 1000 3000 3000 3000 5000 3000 6000 8000 8000 10000 10000

Cash Out 650 1000 600 2000 6750 1450 3250 12550 2650 6050 5700 5700

NET Cash flow

(650) 0 2400 1000 (3750) 3550 (250) (6550) 5350 1950 4300 4300

Cumulative cash

(550) (550) 1850285

0(900) 2650 2400

(4150)

1200 3150 7450 11750

Page 21: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

NEGATIVE CASH FLOW

•This is when your cash out is greater than your cash in

•In some cases it may mean you are operating in the RED

•If like our business, this only happens for a short period, the bank will generally let you have an overdraft.

•If it lasts for a long time, you would need to increase your cash flow

Page 22: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

IMPROVE YOUR CASH POSITION

•Cut stock levels

•Increase credit from suppliers

•Reduce credit to your customers

•Use p112 to add an explanation for these

•What happens if you cannot improve your cash position……

•Insolvency – the inability to repay debts as they become due

Page 23: 1.6 cummulative cash flow

PLENARY

•Please write the learning objectives for me

•On thing you:

• know

•Understand

•can do