16-3 the binomial probability theorem. lets roll a die 3 times look at the probability of getting a...

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16-3 The Binomial Probability Theorem

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Check out our results 3 sixes2 sixes1 six0 sixes OutcomeSSSSSNSNSNSSSNNNSNNNSNNN Probability

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Page 1: 16-3 The Binomial Probability Theorem. Lets roll a die 3 times Look at the probability of getting a 6 or NOT getting a 6. Lets make a tree diagram

16-3

The Binomial Probability Theorem

Page 2: 16-3 The Binomial Probability Theorem. Lets roll a die 3 times Look at the probability of getting a 6 or NOT getting a 6. Lets make a tree diagram

Let’s roll a die 3 timesLook at the probability of getting a 6

or NOT getting a 6. Let’s make a tree diagram.

Page 3: 16-3 The Binomial Probability Theorem. Lets roll a die 3 times Look at the probability of getting a 6 or NOT getting a 6. Lets make a tree diagram

Check out our results3 sixes 2 sixes 1 six 0 sixes

Outcome SSS SSN SNS NSS SNN NSN NNS NNN

Probability

61

65

65

65

65

65

65

61

65

61

65

61

61

61

61

65

61

61

61

61

65

65

65

61

3

61

65

613

2 2

65

613

3

65

Page 4: 16-3 The Binomial Probability Theorem. Lets roll a die 3 times Look at the probability of getting a 6 or NOT getting a 6. Lets make a tree diagram

Does this look familiar?

3

61

65

613

2 2

65

613

3

65

Page 5: 16-3 The Binomial Probability Theorem. Lets roll a die 3 times Look at the probability of getting a 6 or NOT getting a 6. Lets make a tree diagram

3

61

65

613

2 2

65

613

3

65

COMPARE!!!

)1(65 and

61Let pp

3(1 )p p

3 3 2 2 3(1 ) 3 (1 ) 3 (1 ) (1 )p p p p p p p p

Page 6: 16-3 The Binomial Probability Theorem. Lets roll a die 3 times Look at the probability of getting a 6 or NOT getting a 6. Lets make a tree diagram

Binomial Probability Theorem

rnr

rn fsC

n = the number of trialsr = the number of successess = the probability of a successf = the probability of a failure

Page 7: 16-3 The Binomial Probability Theorem. Lets roll a die 3 times Look at the probability of getting a 6 or NOT getting a 6. Lets make a tree diagram

ExampleYou flip a coin 10 times. What is the

probability of getting exactly 4 heads?