14TH NOV 2014

OPTIMISING POWER AVAILABILITY: ACTION PLAN

FOR THE NEXT DECADE

2024

2…)

Theme:

• 10 years too short. Minimum 20-30 years

• Action plan would depend on that – 10/15/20/30

VISION

3…)

Today: IC: 2,54,049 MW

• Thermal (69.6% - C 152 60%); Hydro (16.4%);

Renewable (12.8%); Nuclear (1.9%). CS (27.5%); SS

(37.5%); PS (35% C 51 RE 27.8 G 8.8)

• generation grew 6% in FY 13-14. CAP Added: 17GW

Future: IC: 2017: Add 88,537 MW+ 30GW NRE = 318GW

IC: 2022 /32 = 462 / 948GW (% Mix: RE 22, G 13, HY 16, N

4, C 45). PEAK DEMAND 2022 / 32: 283 /541

Optimising generation: Challenges / Opportunities:

• What should be the mix in 2032. Thermal / hydro –

60/40?; RE = 17 / 30. Need for eg. 40/30/30 in 2032 ?

Optimising Generation: 2032 / 2027 / 2022 / 2014

4(Contd……)

FUEL

Coal demand / supply: 20.3% / 14.3% inc. in 2014-15 over 2012; : 2017-22.

842MT – 1.1 BT (230GW). MoC taking steps to scale upto 1BT in next 5 years. 6

months down more clarity (1000MW = 4.4MT/A COAL); 295BT reserves

=1200GW/50yrs

Gas: 21.2GW / C+UC+KGD6 = 16.1 GW. Solution being worked out with LNG

Water: 145 GW; 40.8GW; 13.2 (UC); 26.1 (CEA OK); 20.2 (S&I); 33 (Bal.): People,

Env. (Basin Sty., Eco Fl,), Forest (Land Bank), FRA, Land Acqn., L- Term Funds

Sun: 2780MW; 10GW (2017); 100GW:7-10 years; (40 RT/30 UM/30 LS): RPO,

Net metering (8), Grid Parity, Integration, Anc. Serv., Env. EVACN: GEC: E 4Bn

Wind: 27.8GW; 40GW (2017); 102GW @ 80m: Depreciation, Subsidy, Env.

Learn from international experiences – Germany, UK, US, France, China

GENERATION - challenges / solutions…

5(Contd……)

SIZE

• 3.1 LCKM / 3.6 (2017) / 5 (2022). 50% > 400KV; 5.6 L MVA/ 6.9/ 12

(2022). ISTS: 44.8GW/ 68 GW in 2017; largest AC grid in world today

• ISTS / 2032: 240GW

Bhu-ER/NER (35) / Nepal- ER (8) Ne+NR (17) / ER-WR & NR & SR: 30/

45/ 30 . WR-SR (35) / WE-NR (35). ER-NER – Bangla (2-5GW), SR-

Srilanka (1GW)

TRANS….challenges / solutions

• Inter-Regional transmission constraints

• Gaps in sub-transmission and distribution

More Private Sector through Competitive Bidding

STEPS TAKEN / BEING TAKEN• TBCB – 240 -145 Days / 200 Days – 90; Total: 440 – 235 days• Delegation of power to CEA, EC monthly meetings, etc • Single parameter bidding, early completion incentivisation• GNA, AT/AW/AC ACESS

6(Contd……)

SIZE: connections: Crs : 3/13

DISTRIBUTION….challenges /solutions

Total DOM. COM. IND. Plight. Tract. Agri. PWW. MISC.

Connx. 27.6 21.6 2.6 0.42 0.12 1872 2.5 0.09 0.19

Energy sold %:

824BU 22.2 8.8 44.4 0.9 1.7 17.8 1.9 1.9

AT&C Losses %: 12-13All India NR WR SR ER NER

25.4 28.8 23.4 17.3 42.1 37.6

Manipur UP: 42.8 / J&K: 60.8 MP: 31.2 Kar: 20.8 Bihar: 54.6 Man: 85.5

AI 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20

24.3 20.8 19.5 18.3 17.3 15.2

AI Losses Reduction Pathway

REGIONAL BALANCE OF POWER: 12-13

AI / NR / SR / ER / WR / NER: 914Kwh / 852/ 1093/ 552/ 1283/ 298. Bring all

to 3000kWh World Avg. – require - 3.2/3.5/3/6/2.3/10x

• 5.62 Cr households (Rural: 5.04 Cr, Urban: 0.58 Cr) – Not covered as per Census 2011.

• State specific “Action Plan” in partnership with them. Cost sharing among Centre, State and Consumers

• Covering gaps in T & D network.

• Leverage central power allocation / UMPP for mandating enhanced supplies to rural areas

• 8 States already supply 22 to 24 hours

• Remaining States can achieve within 3 to 5 years.

• Rural Feeder Separation -DDUJGY - Rs 50 k crs

• 100% metering of Consumers – IPDS – Rs 30k crs

• ARR-ACS GAP (tariff rationalisation)

….. 24x7 Power For All: Agenda for States

7

8

…. Amendments to Electricity Act 2003 & Tariff Policy

• Carrier – Current segregation: Competition in

retail. Choice to consumers.

• Accountability & Independence of Regulators

• Timely and regular Tariff determination.

• Enhance RPO with strict enforcement.

• Zero tolerance on Grid Safety and Security.

THANK YOU