14 september 2018 the problem with democracy aid · democracy in africa is working better than you...
TRANSCRIPT
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The problem with democracy aid
Nic Cheeseman
Professor of Democracy, University of Birmingham
14 September 2018
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Democracy Aid
Under Threat
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Plan of the talk
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Democratic backsliding
Three main challenges to
democracy aid:
1. It is not working.
2. Support for democracy
promotion is falling.
3. Democracy aid may even make
things worse (if we do it badly)
→ So … what can we do?
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The context
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Democratic backsliding
▪ Africa features a small number (5?)
high quality democracies
▪ Most African states are
“competitive-authoritarian”
▪ Great variation: term limits have
institutionalised, but not
everywhere
▪ 19 countries have had a transfer of
power – less than half.
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Democratic backsliding
How do we solve a problem like
elections?
▪ Initial optimism about elections has
eroded.
▪“Mission creep” to parties and
social norms and values.
▪Democracy aid increasingly risks
being controversial.
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1. Why is democracy aid not working?
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Democracy in Africa is
working better than you think
i. We have run out of easy cases.
ii. Change can be triggered from
outside, but consolidation
comes from within.
iii. Authoritarians are learning,
and directly undermining aid.
iv. Democracy as a hegemonic
ideal is under threat.
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2. Why is support for democracy
promotion falling?
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Democracy in Africa is
working better than you think
i. Europe has been consumed with
Brexit & the “migrant crisis”
ii. America has become more
introverted and a worse role model
iii. Aid is being “securatised”
iv. China/Rwanda/Ethiopia provide
compelling alternatives
v. African leaders are increasingly
contesting its legitimacy
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3. The rise of technocratic solutions
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Democracy in Africa is
working better than you think
▪ Initial emphasis on civil society groups,
electoral commissions & NGOs
▪ Lack of progress, search for
uncontroversial solutions &
fetishization of technology shifts focus
▪African elections are now the most
expensive in the world.
▪ Falling investment in political and
social structures
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i. Stay the course
ii. Get our own house in order
iii. Rebuild a global consensus
iv. Deliver aid through regional
partnerships
v. Beware technocratic solutions
So what can we do?