13671887 chapter 11 techniques of capital budgeting

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  • 7/30/2019 13671887 Chapter 11 Techniques of Capital Budgeting

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    Chapter 11

    TECHNIQUES OF CAPITAL

    BUDGETING

    Centre for Financial Management , Bangalore

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    OUTLINE

    Importance

    Capital Budgeting Process Project Classification

    Investment Criteria

    Net Present Value Benefit Cost Ratio

    Internal Rate of Return

    Modified Internal Rate of Return Payback Period

    Accounting Rate of Return

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    CAPITAL EXPENDITURES AND THEIR

    IMPORTANCE

    The basic characteristics of a capital expenditure (alsoreferred to as a capital investment or just project) is thatit involves a current outlay (or current and futureoutlays) of funds in the expectation of receiving a stream

    of benefits in future

    Importance stems from

    Long-term consequences

    Substantial outlays

    Difficulty in reversing

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    CAPITAL BUDGETING PROCESS

    Identification of Potential Investment Opportunities

    Assembling of Investment Proposals

    Decision Making

    Preparation of Capital Budget and Appropriations

    Implementation

    Performance Review

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    PROJECT CLASSIFICATION

    Mandatory Investments

    Replacement Projects

    Expansion Projects

    Diversification Projects

    Research and Development Projects

    Miscellaneous Projects

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    INVESTMENT CRITERIA

    INVESTMENT

    CRITERIA

    DISCOUNTINGCRITERIA

    NON-DISCOUNTINGCRITERIA

    NET

    PRESENT

    VALUE

    BENEFIT

    COST

    RATIO

    INTERNAL

    RATE OF

    RETURN

    PAYBACKPERIOD

    ACCOUNTING

    RATE OF

    RETURN

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    NET PRESENT VALUE

    n CtNPV = Initial investment

    t=1 (1 + rt)t

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    NET PRESENT VALUEThe net present value of a project is the sum of the present value of all the cash

    flows associated with it. The cash flows are discounted at an appropriate discount

    rate (cost of capital)

    Naveen Enterprises Capital Project ( Cost of Capital=15%)

    Year Cash flow Discount factor Present

    value

    0 -100.00 1.000 -100.00

    1 34.00 0.870 29.582 32.50 0.756 24.57

    3 31.37 0.658 20.64

    4 30.53 0.572 17.46

    5 79.90 0.497 39.71

    Sum =31.96Pros Cons

    Reflects the time value of money Is an absolute measure and not a relative

    Considers the cash flow in its entirety measure

    Squares with the objective of wealth maximisation

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    PROPERTIES OF THE NPV RULE

    NPVs ARE ADDITIVE

    INTERMEDIATE CASH FLOWS ARE INVESTED AT

    COST OF CAPITAL

    NPV CALCULATION PERMITS TIME-VARYING

    DISCOUNT RATES

    NPV OF A SIMPLE PROJECT AS THE DISCOUNT

    RATE

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    BENEFIT COST RATIO

    PVB

    Benefit-cost Ratio : BCR=

    I

    PVB= present value of benefits

    I = initial investment

    To illustrate the calculation of these measures, let us consider a project which is being evaluated

    by a firm that has a cost of capital of 12 percent.

    Initial investment : Rs 100,000

    Benefits: Year 1 25,000

    Year 2 40,000

    Year 3 40,000

    Year 4 50,000

    The benefit cost ratio measures for this project are:

    25,000 40,000 40,000 50,000(1.12) (1.12)2 (1.12)3 (1.12)4

    BCR = = 1.145 NBCR = BCR1= 0.145

    100,000

    Pros Cons

    Measures bang per buck Provides no means for aggregation

    + + +

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    Discount rate

    Net Present Value

    INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN

    The internal rate of return (IRR) of a project is the discount rate that

    makes its NPV equal to zero. It is represented by the point of intersection

    in the above diagram

    Net Present Value I nternal Rate of Return

    Assumes that the Assumes that the net

    discount rate (cost present value is zero

    of capital) is known.

    Calculates the net Figures out the discount rate

    present value, given that makes net present value zero

    the discount rate.

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    CALCULATION OF IRR

    You have to try a few discount rates till you find the one that makes the

    NPV zero

    Year Cash Discounti ng Discounti ng Discounti ng

    fl ow rate : 20% rate : 24% rate : 28%

    Discount Present Di scount Present Di scount Present

    factor Value factor Value factor Value

    0 -100 1.000 -100.00 1.000 -100.00 1.000 -100.00

    1 34.00 0.833 28.32 0.806 27.40 0.781 26.55

    2 32.50 0.694 22.56 0.650 21.13 0.610 19.83

    3 31.37 0.579 18.16 0.524 16.44 0.477 14.96

    4 30.53 0.482 14.72 0.423 12.91 0.373 11.395 79.90 0.402 32.12 0.341 27.25 0.291 23.25

    NPV = 15.88 NPV = 5.13 NPV = - 4.02

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    CALCULATION OF IRR

    NPV at the smaller rate

    Sum of the absolute values of the

    NPV at the smaller and the bigger

    discount rates

    5.13

    24% + 28% - 24% = 26.24%

    5.13 + 4.02

    Bigger Smaller

    X discount discount

    rate rate

    Smaller

    discount +

    rate

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    PROBLEMS WITH IRR

    NON-CONVENTIONAL CASH FLOWS

    MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE PROJECTS

    LENDING VS. BORROWING

    DIFFERENCES BETWEEN SHORT-TERM AND

    LONG-TERM INTEREST RATES

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    NON-CONVENTIONAL CASH FLOWS

    C0 C1 C2-160 +1000 -1000

    TWO IRRs : 25% & 400%

    NPV

    25% 400%

    Discount rate( %)

    NO IRR : C0 C1 C2150 -450 375

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    MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE PROJECTS

    C0 C1 IRR NPV

    (12%)

    P -10,000 20,000 100% 7,857

    Q -50,000 75,000 50% 16,964

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    LENDING VS BORROWING

    C0 C1 IRR NPV

    (10%)

    A -4000 6000 50% 145

    B 4000 -7000 75% -236

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    MODIFIED IRR

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6

    -120 -80 20 60 80 100 120

    r=15% 115

    -69.6 r =15% r =15% 105.76

    PVC = 189.6 r =15% 91.26r =15% 34.98

    Terminal value (TV) = 467

    PV = 189.6 MIRR = 16.2%

    of TV

    PV 0

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    PAYBACK PERIOD

    Payback period is the length of time required to recover the initial

    outlay on the project

    Naveen Enterprises Capital ProjectYear Cash flow Cumulative cash flow

    0 -100 -100

    1 34 - 66

    2 32.5 -33.53 31.37 - 2.13

    4 30.53 28.40

    Pros Cons

    Simple Fails to consider the time valueof money

    Rough and ready method Ignores cash flows beyond the

    for dealing with risk payback period

    Emphasises earlier cash inflows Centre for Financial Management , Bangalore

    A AG A O

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    AVERAGE RATE OF RETURN

    Average PAT

    Average Book Value of Investment (Beginning)

    Naveen Enterprises Capital ProjectYear Book Value of PAT

    Investment(Beg)

    1 100 14

    2 80 17.5

    3 65 20.12

    4 53.75 22.09

    5 45.31 23.57

    1/5 (14+17.5 +20.12+22.09+23.57)

    1/5(100+80+65+53.75+45.31)

    Pros Cons

    Simple Based on accounting profit,

    Based on accounting information not cash flow

    businessmen are familiar with Does not take into account the

    Considers benefits over the entire project life time value of money

    ARR = = 28.31%

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    INVESTMENT APPRAISAL

    IN PRACTICE

    Over time, discounted cash flow methods have gained in

    importance and internal rate of return is the most

    popular evaluation method.

    Firms typically use multiple evaluation methods.

    Accounting rate of return and payback period are

    widely employed as supplementary evaluation methods.

    Centre for Financial Management , Bangalore

    SUMMING UP

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    SUMMING UP

    n Ct NPV = I

    t= 1 (1 + r)t

    PVB

    BCR =I

    IRR is the value ofrin the following equation

    n Ct

    I= t= 1 (1 + r)t

    MIRR is calculated as follows:

    TV

    PVC =(1 + MIRR)n

    The payback period is the length of time required to recover the initial cash outlay on the

    project

    The accounting rate is defined as:

    Average profit after tax

    Average book value of investment

    C t f Fi i l M t B l