13.05.2015 prof. p.b. petrovic – faculty of mechanical engineering, university of belgrade 1...
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13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 1
FACTORIES OF THE FUTURE Serbian Initiative for Collaboration in Advanced Manufacturing
Professor dr Petar B. PETROVIĆ
Production Engineering Dpt. Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of BelgradeAcademy of Engineering Sciences of Serbia - AESS
ISCP 2015RESEARCH TO BUSINESS CONFERENCE ON ITALIAN-SERBIAN COLLABORATION
PLATFORM IN ADVANCED MANUFACTURING TECHNOLOGIES Towards the FACTORY of FUTURE
Belgrade, May 13, 2015, 59th International Technical Fair, Belgrade, Serbia
Session 2 – presentation 03
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 2
‘’The trick to anticipating the future is not to determine what is likely to happen, but what has already happened that will create future’’
Peter Drucker
► Factory of the FUTUREEuropean strategic framework for Industrial Reinessance
► Serbian industryWhy FoF National Research Programme is important and necessary for Serbia?
► Serbian–Italian innitiative for setting up aCollaboration Platform in Advanced Manufacturing
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 3
... ‘’ The objective of revitalization of the EU economy calls for the endorsement of the reindustrialisation efforts in line with the Commission´s aspiration of increasing the contribution of industry to GDP to 20% by 2020.
...
The communication presented today on the EU Industrial Renaissance, seeks political support at the highest level to facilitate the implementation of the industrial policy and structural reforms at EU, national and regional levels ...’’
European Policy for Industrial Renaissance
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 4
Postindustrial economy does not mean the end of industry, any more then the industrial revolution ment the end of agriculture.
Prof. E. Westkamper, 13 april 2010 Valencia:
“A factory is where a society concentrated its value creation ... No factories, no value creation, no welfare ...’’
Factory is not an obsolate concept!
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 5
How can we transform the traditional, mature factories on time, into the new generation of factories for the 21st century?
... 1910 ► 2010 ...
But, factories EVOLVE!
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 6
Factories WITH a Future ► Avoid losing factories by improving them
Factories FOR Future ► New factories for new products
Transformation processes of manufacturing are dominantly driven by the Grand Societal Challenges of these days / GLOBAL MEGATRENDS!
Because of these megatrends, manufacturing has to embrace a new logic of global socioeconomic sustainability, in which it addresses economic success, the welfare and contributes to the preservation of the environment and resources.
Technology and Society are coevolving systems!
Factories of the FUTURE
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 7
Global megatrends have considerable impact and drive structural changes in nearly all manufacturing sectors.
The most relevant megatrends for manufacturing are:
► Changing demographics (growing world population, ageing societies, increasing urbanization);
► Economy globalization and future markets;► The challenge of climate change (increasing CO2, global warming,
ecosystem at risk);► Scarcity of resources (energy, water, other commodities);► Dynamic technology and innovation (ICT and virtualization, technology
diffusion, the age of life science, ubiquitous connectivity, sensing and digitalization);
► Global knowledge society (know‑how base, gender gap, war for talent, multiplication of data and information);
► Individualism and mass customisation (personalised customisation);
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 8
2008 ...RE-INDUSTRIALIZATION of EUROPE
Technology forecasting for Next Generation Manufacturing (2030)Key enabling technologies and manufacturing challenges
EU THREE PILLARS Strategy for bridging the ‘Valley of the Death’
Volume Production Back to Europe
FoF PPP is also invited to endorse the objectives of revitalization of the
EU economy, the road‐map for achieving this aim and the
reindustrialisation imperative enshrined in the aspiration of raising
the contribution of industry to GDP to as much as 20% by 2020.
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 9
1. Aviation Research and Innovation in Europe - ACARE2. Association for R&D actors in Embedded Systems ARTEMIS3. European Aquaculture Technology and Innovation Platform -
EATIP4. European Biofuels Technology Platform – EBTP
......9. European Robotics Technology Platform - EUROP
......16. E TP for Sustainable Chemistry - SusChem17. European Technology Platform for Wind Energy - TPWind
......
26. Future Manufacturing Technologies ManuFUTURE
......30. Photonics 2131. Plants for the Future32. Smart Grids European Technology Platform - SmartGrids
......
37. Waterborne Technology Platform - Waterborne
38. Zero Emission Fossil Fuel Power Plants - ZEP
EUROPEAN TECHNOLOGY PLATFORMS - ETP
Vision for 2020: ETPs are a key element fo the European innovation ecosystem and help to turn Europe into an Innovation Union. ETPS will have to take a holistic vew, identfying the pathway to commercial deployment of research ....
Definition: ETPs are industry-lead stakeholder that develop long-term strategic research and innovation agendas for action at EU, transnational and national level in a wide range of technology areas.
EUROPEAN
TECHNOLOGY
PLATFORMS
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 10
EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation
Horizon 2020Financial instrument implementing the Innovation Union, a Europe 2020 flagship initiative aimed at securing Europe's global competitiveness.
Running from 2014 to 2020 with an €80 billion budget, the EU’s new programme for research and innovation is part of the drive to create new growth and jobs in Europe.
1. EXCELLENT SCIENCE: Strengthen the EU’s position in science with a dedicated budget of € 24 598 million.
2. INDUSTRIAL LEADERSHIP: Industrial leadership in innovation € 17 938 million. This includes major investment in key technologies, greater access to capital and support for SMEs.
3. BETTER SOCIETY: Provide € 31 748 million to help address major concerns shared by all Europeans).
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 11
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 12
Non-for-profit, industry-driven association promoting the development of new and innovative production technologies. It is the official representative of the private side in the 'Factories of the Future' public-private partnership.
EFFRA was established jointly by the ManuFUTURE technology platform and key industrial associations to shape, promote and support the implementation of the ‘Factories of the Future’ public-private partnership.
The key objective of EFFRA is to promote pre-competitive research on production technologies within the European Research Area by engaging in a public-private partnership with the European Union called 'Factories of the Future‘.
The European Factories of the Future Research Association
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 13
Four long-term drivers / paradigms which will guide the transformations that manufacturing needs to undergo – MANUFACTURING VISION for 2030:
Factory and nature: green/sustainable Lowest resource consumption energy — lean, clean, green Closed loops for products/production and scarce resources Sustainability in material, production processes/workers
Factory as a good neighbor: close to the worker and the customer Manufacturing close to people (in cities/metropolitan areas) Factory integrated and accepted in the living environment Event‑oriented production/integration of customers
Factories in the value chain: collaborative Strive for highly competitive distributed manufacturing (flexible, responsive, high speed of change) European production system: design‑oriented products, mass customized products Integration of the product and process engineering — agile and demand driven Mastering the collaboration from simple to sophisticated products in the value chain
Factory and humans: human centered Human‑oriented interfaces for workers: process‑oriented simulation and visualization Products and work for different type of skilled an aged labor, education and training with IT support Regional balance: work conditions in line with the way of life, flexible time- and wage‑systems Knowledge development, management and capitalization
EFFRA FoF Research and Innovation Prioroties
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 14
1961 ... ►
► ... 2011
From industrial ICT to CYBER-PHYSICAL SYSTEMS ...
Hybrid manufacturing systems that are based on team and coolaboratiwe work between humans and machines, ...
physical and cognitive interaction between humans and robots is necessary, ...
robot should behave like human worker, ... robot should be intelligent coworker, ... knowledge and skills transfer from humans to robots, ....
... Industrial HUMANOID ROBOT for 21st century
The FIRST Industrial Robot ...
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 15
The key technology for Next Generation Manufacturing
... portable, autonomous, intelligent, collaborative,
intrinsically safe, ...
Automatic manufacturing system
Homogenous population of autonomous intelligent machines / industrial humanoids.
Hybrid manufacturing system
Mixed population of humans and collaborative robots which shares the same tasks and working places without fences.
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 16
► Factory of the FUTUREEuropean strategic framework for Industrial Reinessance
► Serbian industryWhy FoF National Research Programme is important and necessary for Serbia?
► Serbian–Italian innitiative for setting up aCollaboration Platform in Advanced Manufacturing
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 17
Built in Kragujevac in 1853, still exists and produces!
This factory is a part of Serbian industrial heritage.
The Irish - Italian TV series TITANIC: Blood and Steel was completely filmed in this factory.
The FIRST Serbian Factory
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 18
The second wave of industrialization Metalworking industry Food processing industry Textile industry Chemical industry
4 factories producing airplanes
IKARUS – Belgrade, established in 1923 as the first Serbian airplane factory
IK-3 aircraft1938; modern, all metal design with
high performances.
IMR – Belgrade, established in 1927 as airplane engines factory
The FIRST HALF of the 20th century
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 19
The third wave of industrialization
Extensive process of industrialization. Serbia become industrializing country with very dynamic growth of manufacturing industry, comparable with today fast growing Far East countries.
Strong manufacturing industry with diversified base: Metalworking industry Electronics industry Automotive industry Agriculture mechanization industry Household equipment industry Food processing industry Textile industry Furniture industry Chemical and rubber industry Defense industry
Source: AINS NTPS Programme
The SECOND HALF of the 20th century
1954-1960: CER-10 Mainframe computer produced in series by Mihailo PUPIN Institute
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 20
Source: AINS NTPS Programme
Strong development in the field of robotics, including industrial robotics (including robot control systems, cnc control systems, PLC controllers, and other mechatronics components for industrial automation).
Kragujevac 1987: LOLA Robot Robotic assembly cell for spot welding of YUGO 45 doors
Belgrade scool of robotic lead by Prof. dr Miomir Vukobratovic from Robotics department of the Mihailo PUPIN Institute.
Professor Vukobratovic was founder and the first President of AESS.
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 21
YUGO AmericaThe “Yugo” was exported in large numbers (145,511) to USA in the
second half of the 1980s
Zastava KragujevacAutomotive industry initiated in tight
cooperation with Italy.
Signed agreement with FIAT in 1953.
Production of small passenger car began in 1955 and ended 30 years later. Totally produced 923.487 cars.
1953 1983 2013
FIAT Automobili SrbijaThe new cycle of Italian / Serbian cooperation in automotive industry
FIAT 500LProudly made in Serbia
Production capacity app. 17.000 cars per month / 2900 employees
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 22
Strategy for SMART Re-Industrialization is necessary now as a key component of structural reforms!
FACTORY of the FUTURE could be effective instrument for technology innovation and transformation of manufacturing basis
Re-Industrialization
Industrial production index(%)
Industry shear of GDP (%)
Industrial workers(x MIO)
Industrialization Deindustriailization
Serbian industrial production indices from 1960 to 2010
Manufacturing performances in 2010:
Mfg shear of total export: 86.6%Mfg shear of total employment: 22.3%Mfg shear of GDP: 15.7%
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 23
► Factory of the FUTUREEuropean strategic framework for Industrial Reinessance
► Serbian industryWhy FoF National Research Programme is important and necessary for Serbia?
► Serbian–Italian innitiative for setting up aCollaboration Platform in Advanced Manufacturing
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 24
INSTITUTIONAL / FORMAL BASIS
Italian–Serbian SCIENTIFIC and TECHNOLOGICAL bilateral cooperation - Agreement
Association of Italian and Serbian Scientists and Scholars – AIS3
VALUE for SOCIETY and WELFARE
RESEARCH and DEVELOPMENT
BUSINESS and INDUSTRY / MARKET
ISCP RTD Programmes for Industrial Technologies Innovation
Towards the FACTORY of FUTURE
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 25
INSTITUTIONAL / FORMAL BASIS
Italian–Serbian SCIENTIFIC and TECHNOLOGICAL bilateral cooperation - Agreement
Association of Italian and Serbian Scientists and Scholars – AIS3
1. Bilateral level: FoF ISC Programme
Domain 1: Advanced manufacturing processesDomain 2: Adaptive and smart manufacturing systemsDomain 3: Digital, virtual and resource‑efficient factoriesDomain 4: Collaborative and mobile enterprisesDomain 5: Human‑centred manufacturingDomain 6: Customer‑focused manufacturing
2. EU level: FoF HORIZON 2020Section 2: Industrial Leadership
A Leadership in Enabling and Industrial TechnologiesB Information and Communication TechnologiesC Nanotechnologies, Advanced materials, Advanced
manufacturing and processing, and BiotechnologyD Innovation in small and medium-sized enterprises
ISCP RTD Programmes for Industrial Technologies Innovation
Towards the FACTORY of FUTURE
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 26
Multiannual roadmap of ISCP Factories of the Future innitiative
Priorities and objectives Action plans Taskforce / Ad-hoc Working Groups
INSTITUTIONAL / FORMAL BASIS
Italian–Serbian SCIENTIFIC and TECHNOLOGICAL bilateral cooperation - Agreement
Association of Italian and Serbian Scientists and Scholars – AIS3
Instruments and mechanisms for facilitating industrial technology exchange and innovation in Advanced Manufacturing Technologies and Systems / Mechatronics, Robotic and Factory Automation
ISCP RTD Programmes for Industrial Technologies Innovation
Towards the FACTORY of FUTURE
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 27
INSTITUTIONAL / FORMAL BASIS
Italian–Serbian SCIENTIFIC and TECHNOLOGICAL bilateral cooperation - Agreement
Association of Italian and Serbian Scientists and Scholars – AIS3
ISCP RTD Programmes for Industrial Technologies Innovation
Towards the FACTORY of FUTURE
ISCP ALLIANCE for Industrial Technology Innovation
Serbian Government
National Technology Platforms of Serbia
13.05.2015 Prof. P.B. Petrovic – Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, University of Belgrade 28
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION
Grazie per l’attenzione
Hvala na pažnji
Special thanks to Belgrade Fair for their support and valuable contribution