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PUBLIC GAS CORPORATION (DEPA) S.A. PUBLIC GAS CORPORATION (DEPA) S.A. Business Opportunities with DEPA Business Opportunities with DEPA Decemb December 2010 er 2010 Harry Sachinis, Chairman & CEO, DEPA S.A. Harry Sachinis, Chairman & CEO, DEPA S.A.

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Page 1: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

PUBLIC GAS CORPORATION (DEPA) S.A.PUBLIC GAS CORPORATION (DEPA) S.A.

Business Opportunities with DEPABusiness Opportunities with DEPA

DecembDecember 2010er 2010

Harry Sachinis, Chairman & CEO, DEPA S.A.Harry Sachinis, Chairman & CEO, DEPA S.A.

Page 2: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

Business Opportunities with DEPABusiness Opportunities with DEPApppp

Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas market Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas market is expected to grow by 17-18 bcm by 2025 (60%-80% increase)

Greece is the geographic and economic entry point into SE Europe

DEPA, the incumbent gas supplier in Greece, aims to be the premier regional gas company, offering a broad portfolio of attractive opportunities

1

Page 3: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

Why Southeast Europe?Why Southeast Europe?

Page 4: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

Why Southeast Europe?Why Southeast Europe?y py p

IMF forecasts 3 9% average growth from 2010 to 2015 IMF forecasts 3.9% average growth from 2010 to 2015.

Low per capita energy use means much potential growth.

Gas is underused in the region and has great scope to grow.

High dependence on Russia creates need for diversification.

Forecast that regional gas demand will grow 60% 80% by 2025 Forecast that regional gas demand will grow 60%-80% by 2025.

3

Page 5: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

SE Europe: Economic Growth & SE Europe: Economic Growth & Attracting Foreign Investment Attracting Foreign Investment Attracting Foreign Investment Attracting Foreign Investment

Real Annual Average GDP Growth: 2010-2015

3.9%SE Europe

Foreign Direct Investment Inflows into SE Europe

45

50$ bn

3 0%

3.7%

UK

Germany

30

35

40

2.8%

3.0%

France

UK

10

15

20

25

2.6%

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5%

Spain

%

0

5

10

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

4

% Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF) Source: UNCTAD, PFC Energy

Page 6: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

SE Europe Can Consume More SE Europe Can Consume More Energy and More GasEnergy and More GasEnergy and More GasEnergy and More Gas

Energy Consumption per Capita in 2008

3.35

3 0

3.5toe

Share of Gas in Energy Mix in 2008

25.1%25%

30%%

1.982.0

2.5

3.0

16.7%20%

25%

1.0

1.5

10%

15%

0.0

0.5

SE Europe OECD Europe0%

5%

SE Europe OECD Europe

5

p pSource: IEA, PFC Energy

p pSource: IEA, PFC Energy

Page 7: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

SE Europe SE Europe WantWantss to Diversify From to Diversify From RussiaRussiaRussiaRussia

Dependence on Russian Gas (2008)

90%

100%%

60%

70%

80%

30%

40%

50% Europe average

0%

10%

20%

M ld B H FYROM B l i S bi G Sl i C ti R i

6

Moldova B-H FYROM Bulgaria Serbia Greece Slovenia Croatia RomaniaSource: IEA, PFC Energy

Page 8: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

SE European Market to Grow 17SE European Market to Grow 17--18 18 bcm by 2025bcm by 2025bcm by 2025bcm by 2025

G D d F t f SE EGas Demand Forecast for SE Europe(Studies Cover Different Markets)

40 2042.92

45.8045

50bcm

24 35

28.7027.58

34.8035.00

40.20

30

35

40

24.35

15

20

25

2010 2015 2020 2025 2010 2015 2020 2025

0

5

10

PFC Energy CERA

7

PFC Energy CERA

Page 9: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

Why Greece?Why Greece?Why Greece?Why Greece?

Page 10: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

Greece is Greece is a Major Economic Player in a Major Economic Player in the Regionthe Regionthe Regionthe Region

Country Greek Foreign Direct Greek % of Total Foreign Rank of Greece in

Foreign Investment (2008)y g

Investment Stock, $ mmg

Direct Investment Stock Country FDI

Albania 906 25.0% 1

Bulgaria 3,530 8.3% 2

FYR Macedonia 561 15.0% 1

Romania 4,720 6.5% 6

Serbia 2,862 15.0% 2

Total 12,578 8.9% -

Foreign Trade with Greece (2008)Country Greece Share of Total Country

ExportsExports to Greece as Share of

GDP

Albania 11.6% 1.0%

Bosnia 0 4% 0 1%

Foreign Trade with Greece (2008)

Bosnia 0.4% 0.1%

Bulgaria 9.9% 4.5%

FYR Macedonia 12.4% 5.2%

Montenegro 12.3% 2.0%

Romania 1.8% 0.4%

Serbia 2.2% 0.4%

Source: Economist Intelligence Unit9

Page 11: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

“Greece is Changing” say the IMF “Greece is Changing” say the IMF and the European Commissionand the European Commissionand the European Commissionand the European Commission

International Monetary Fund First Review Under the Stand By Arrangement International Monetary Fund, First Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement (September 2010) “Policy implementation has made a strong start … Fiscal, banking, and structural

reforms are ahead of schedule. A major pension reform was approved in July.Substantive labor market reform is also underway A significant budget legislationSubstantive labor market reform is also underway. A significant budget legislationreform, local government reform, and legislation governing the Financial Stability Fundhave been passed”

European Commission, The Economic Adjustment Programme for Greece -First Review (Summer 2010)First Review (Summer 2010) “Greece has managed impressive budgetary consolidation during the first half of 2010.

It has also achieved impressive progress in major structural reforms which will help totransform the economy. Some of these reforms have been undertaken ahead ofschedule.”

“All budgetary performance criteria for June 2010 have been met.” “All fiscal measures foreseen to be taken in 2010 have been adopted.” “Significant progress has been achieved in structural fiscal reforms” “Major steps forward have also been made in the broader structural reform agenda.”j p g

10

Page 12: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

“Fast Track” Process for Foreign “Fast Track” Process for Foreign InvestmentInvestmentInvestmentInvestment

Fast Track is a process to “cut through the red tape” and minimize delays and Fast Track is a process to cut through the red tape and minimize delays andoverlapping risks by creating a one-stop-shop for investors interested in Greece

Fast Track focuses on sectors which are crucial for Greece’s development andis meant for large-scale investments with a positive multiplying effect on GDP.

“Invest in Greece” is the state agency responsible for issuing to the investor allrequired licenses, permits, etc. within the deadlines set in the Fast Track law.

Fast Track promotes fairness and transparency: (a) it sets an objective evaluation and selection process which does not (a) it sets an objective evaluation and selection process, which does not

include any committee or subjective scoring at any stage of the evaluation; (b) its exclusive deadline and deemed-approvals mechanisms protect an

individual investor from any intentional delay or any other type of “extortion”potentially caused by anyone in the permit/licensing pipeline;potentially caused by anyone in the permit/licensing pipeline;

(c) all permits, interim or final resolutions, agreements, concessions, etc.,shall be introduced in the Greek Parliament for exhaustive review andratification.

11

Page 13: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

Gas Role Rising in Greek EnergyGas Role Rising in Greek Energyg gyg gy

G h d bl d iGreece: Gas Penetration by Sector

22%20%

20%

25%1990 2000 2008

Gas share doubled since 2000; plan for 20-20-20

expects 18% by 2020

14%

17%

12%

15%

20%

11%

5%6%

11%

6%

12%

10%

0% 0% 0% 1% 1%0% 1%

4%

0%

5%

Power Industry Residential Commercial Chemicals Total

12

Power Industry Residential Commercial Chemicals TotalSource: IEA, PFC Energy

Page 14: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

Why Why DEPADEPA??Why Why DEPADEPA??

Page 15: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

The DEPA GroupThe DEPA Grouppp

HellenicPetroleum Greek State

65%35%

DEPA

Petroleum

Trading Activities Participations

DESFA S.A. IGI Poseidon S.A.

100% 50%

51%

EDISON50%

51%

AttikiEPA

ThessalonikiEPA

ThessaliaEPA

51%

NewEPAs

49% 49% 49%

BEHIGB50%

50%

14

DUKE ENERGY - SHELL ENI

Investors

49%

Page 16: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

DEPA: Experienced & AmbitiousDEPA: Experienced & Ambitiouspp

1987: Agreement with USSR to Retain sizeable market share in 1987: Agreement with USSR to supply gas to Greece

1988: DEPA incorporation 1992: Pipeline construction

Retain sizeable market share in liberalized Greek market and raise gas share in energy mix

Develop material position in 1992: Pipeline construction 1996: First gas deliveries 1999: LNG terminal completed 2000: Opening distribution

Develop material position in neighboring countries to take advantage of market liberalization there

2000: Opening distribution market

2005: Liberalization law 2007: Legal unbundling of

Deepen and diversify supply portfolio of piped gas and LNG

Develop cross-border pipelines, turning Greece into a hub for2007: Legal unbundling of

DEPA from DESFA (operator of transmission)

2008: IGI Poseidon

turning Greece into a hub for the region

Expand non-gas business such as integration with power

incorporationg p

15

Page 17: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

DEPA GroupRevenues and ProfitsRevenues and Profits

(euro)

Page 18: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

DEPA: Deep Relationships with DEPA: Deep Relationships with Major Gas PlayersMajor Gas PlayersMajor Gas PlayersMajor Gas Players

Cross-Border Pipeline Partners

Downstream Partners in

Greece

Long- and short-li

Greece

term suppliers

17

Page 19: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

Business OpportunitiesBusiness OpportunitiesBusiness OpportunitiesBusiness Opportunities

Page 20: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

Several Business Opportunitiespp

Greece and the Balkans need diversified long-term supply

Investment in new infrastructure- Aegean LNG regasification terminal in Northern Greece- South Kavala underground gas storage facilityat the crossroads of key cross-border pipelines

– Interconnector Greece-Bulgaria (IGB)g ( )– Interconnector Turkey-Greece-Italy (ITGI)

Investment in Companies- Three existing distribution companies – one is looking for new

investors- New distribution companies to be set up to further gasify Greecep p g y- Government plans for DEPA privatization

Page 21: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

Greek Market to Grow to ~7 bcm by Greek Market to Grow to ~7 bcm by 2020 from under 4 bcm in 20102020 from under 4 bcm in 20102020 from under 4 bcm in 20102020 from under 4 bcm in 2010

G D d F t f GGas Demand Forecast for Greece

6.86 6.807.40

7.087

8

bcm 2010 2015 2020

3 904.18

5.305.90

5.60 5.39

5

6

3.903.60 3.60

2

3

4

0

1

PFC Energy CERA Kantor Forecast for 20 20 20

20

PFC Energy CERA Kantor Forecast for 20-20-20Plan

Page 22: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

Downstream Opportunities with Attractive Downstream Opportunities with Attractive MarginsMarginsMarginsMargins

Greece has three existing distribution companies with long-term exclusivity licenses

Attractive margins although Attractive margins although EPA Attica has suffered from sales strategy

N i i iNew opportunities in new parts of Greece

Page 23: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

EPA AttikiEPA Attiki

Procedure in progress for l ti I t t iselecting new Investor to acquire

an interest of up to 49% with management rights (rest of 51% owned by DEPA)y )

EPA Attiki key characteristics :- The largest gas supply

company, including the wider

Attika EPA

Athens urban area (~ 4,5 mm inhabitants, ~ 1 mm households)G k t t ti l 1 b- Gas market potential ~1 bcm (current sales volume ~ 300 mm cm)

- Exclusive license to develop

22

Exclusive license to develop operate & exploit a distribution network of more than 3200 km.

Page 24: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

New Distribution Companies to Further New Distribution Companies to Further Gasify GreeceGasify GreeceGasify GreeceGasify Greece

Tenders for the new

Kavala

Thessaloniki EPA

Tenders for the new distribution companies launched in 2011

Thessalia EPA

East Macedonia & Thrace EPA

Central Greece EPA

Central Macedonia EPA DEPA majority shareholder;

foreign investors for 35%-49% including management

Attika EPA

Central Greece EPA 49%, including management

Long-term exclusivity t tagreement guarantees

market

23

Page 25: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

New infrastructure at Energy CrossroadsNew infrastructure at Energy Crossroads

Project Concept Participants New infrastructure Link

Turkey Greece Italy 8 11 bcm/yr from Turkey to DEPA Edison Connection with Italian marketTurkey-Greece-Italy Interconnector

8-11 bcm/yr from Turkey to Greece to Italy.

DEPA-Edison Connection with Italian market, targeting SE demand centers.

Interconnector Greece-Bulgaria

~100 mile pipeline from Komotini in Northern Greece

DEPA-Edison-BEH

Link north to broader regional market, including Bulgaria and g

to Haskovo, Bulgaria for 3-5 bcm/yr by 2012.

, g gRomania.

24

Page 26: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

The Aegean LNG projectThe Aegean LNG projectg p jg p j

Regasification terminal in Northern Greece to target the broader Regasification terminal in Northern Greece to target the broader SE European market Onshore site identified and secured with preliminary

technical studytechnical study Pre-feasibility study for offshore concept

Proposed size: 4 to 6.8 bcm Estimated start date: 2013-2014 Cost estimate: $350 - $600 mm (depending on size, project

configuration) Third-party access exemption likely Project structure: consortium with 3-4 investors, including

supplierspp

25

Page 27: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

South Kavala UGS projectSouth Kavala UGS projectp jp j

C i f l t d l t d fi ld i tC i f l t d l t d fi ld i t Conversion of an almost depleted gas field into an Conversion of an almost depleted gas field into an underground gas storage facilityunderground gas storage facility

The only UGS project in GreeceThe only UGS project in Greece The only UGS project in GreeceThe only UGS project in Greece Working gas volume : Working gas volume : ~ 400 mm cm/day~ 400 mm cm/day Deliverability : 4 mm cm/dayDeliverability : 4 mm cm/day Deliverability : 4 mm cm/dayDeliverability : 4 mm cm/day Investment cost estimate : ~ 400 mm Investment cost estimate : ~ 400 mm €€ Strategic locations to cover local (mainly) andStrategic locations to cover local (mainly) andStrategic locations to cover local (mainly) and Strategic locations to cover local (mainly) and

regional needsregional needs Structure is under examinationStructure is under examination

Page 28: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

Greece: The Regional HubGreece: The Regional Hubgg

27

Page 29: 11.10 - DEPA New York.ppt - Capital Linkforums.capitallink.com/greece/2010/pres/sachinis.pdf · Business Opportunities with DEPA Southeast Europe is growing economically and the gas

Thank You!Thank You!Thank You!Thank You!