104555809 is there anything new about new terrorism

Upload: andra-andrushka

Post on 02-Apr-2018

214 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 7/27/2019 104555809 is There Anything New About New Terrorism

    1/10

    1

    Is there anything new about new terrorism?

    The concept of Terror as the systematic use of violence to attain socio-political

    ends was first codified by Maximilien Robespierre during the French Revolution (Atran,

    2003: 1534). However, Terrorism as a phenomenon has been around for millennia

    (Atran, 2003: 1534)&(Evans, & Newman, 1998: 530). Nevertheless, in recent years some

    scholars have asserted that we have witnessed the emergence of a new form of Terrorism.

    According to proponents of this hypothesis, this New Terrorism is distinguished from

    its predecessor by a new structure (of networks), a new attitude (an apparently increased

    willingness to inflict mass casualties), and a new kind of personnel, amateurs who often

    come together in ad hoc or transitory groupings (Laqueur, 1996: 34)&(Tucker, 2001: 1).

    Drawing on a historiographical survey of the phenomenon of Terrorism this essay will

    critically analyze the said assertion in the context of recent evolutions in the common

    perception of Terrorism and conclude that it is not that we have witnessed a new form of

    Terrorism but rather it is the rhetoric of Terrorism analysis which has changed .

    By its very essence the history of terrorism is coextensive with the history of

    politics and sociality (Primoratz, I., 2007: 1). Terrorism is a relative concept, ergo for as

    long as there has been politics and social interaction there has been political and social

    opposition. Yet before the attacks in the United States on September 11 th 2001 the subject

    of Terrorism did not loom large in academic discussion. Since then, however, extensive

    debates have emerged on the definition of Terrorism and how it has evolved over time

    (Primoratz, I., 2007: 1)&(Victoroff, 2005: 9). Defining Terrorism is thus perhaps at the

    psychosocial crux of the matter. As Noam Chomsky puts forth in his bookManufacturing

  • 7/27/2019 104555809 is There Anything New About New Terrorism

    2/10

    2

    Consent, there is an intrinsic bias inherent in all human perceptions and this bias

    manifests itself most profoundly in the spheres of political analysis. Centering his focus

    on the United States, Chomsky argues that this dichotomous treatment of worthy and

    unworthy victims is politically advantageous to policy-makers because focusing on

    victims of enemy forces shows those enemies to be wicked, while also distracting from

    and allowing otherwise controversial U.S. lead policies to proceed more easily

    (Chomsky, 2002: xix-xx).

    Despite the claims of those who support the New Terrorism hypothesis it is

    important to note that the term Terrorism is itself a very recent one that has only been in

    use since the French Revolution in the late 18th century1. More to the point since that

    time the parameters of the terms use have repeatedly shifted meaning that

    conceptualizations of Terrorist groups have tended to focus primarily on modern factions,

    dismissing antecedent groups that predate this etymology(Primoratz, I., 2007: 1). Thus,

    given that there is no universally accepted definition of terrorism, it is unlikely that any

    belief in New Terrorism will be generally accepted either (Atran, 2003: 1534). Described

    by Chomsky as an invidious word, an example of the innate bias of the label

    Terrorism lies in the current branding of Extremism and Islamic Fundamentalism

    (Chomsky, 2002: xx)&(Atran, 2003: 1535). As Scott Atran argues, calling the current

    wave of radical Islam Fundamentalism (in the sense of Traditionalism) is misleading,

    approaching an oxymoron. Present day radicals whether Shiite (Iran, Hezbollah) or

    Sunni (Taliban, Al Qaida), are much closer in spirit and action to Europes post-

    11789-1799

  • 7/27/2019 104555809 is There Anything New About New Terrorism

    3/10

    3

    Renaissance Counter-Reformation [sic] [than to any new form of New Terrorist ideology.

    In fact,] this idea has its clearest historical model in the Holy Inquisition2 (Atran, 2003:

    1535).

    Atrans statement would suggest that the extremist element supposed about New

    Terrorism is most certainly not new. Equally as David Tucker points out, citing the

    example of the Gruppi di Azione Partigiana in Italy, the Polish Underground of WWII

    and the IRA among many others; the assertion that there is something new about the

    network structure commonly in use by modern Al-Qaeda linked Islamic paramilitaries is

    somewhat of a fallacy. In fact there is a very long tradition of these kinds of networks

    (Tucker, 2001: 4). We can find precedents to what is now called the network structure

    in the leaderless Rosa Luxembourg inspired anarcho-syndicalist movements during the

    era of the Russian Revolution (Tudor, 2009: 1)&(Torrance, 2009: 1).

    By definition all groups are in essence comprised of a network3. Understood in this

    way, it is clear that a network structure is not so much an alternative to a hierarchy, but is

    rather a necessary and integral component of it. Indeed networks are frequently critical to

    the proper functioning of an organization. Thus, despite their ostensibly hierarchical

    structure a federation of any kind can be regarded as a network. Likewise, the formal

    structure of Hizballah [sic] [or any other Terrorist organisation] is highly bureaucratic but

    interactions among members are volatile and do not form rigid lines of control (Tucker,

    2This is a broad reference to the Conservativism of the Roman Inquisition, not simply the Spanish

    Inquisition3The definition of the term network in the Oxford English Dictionary is a group of people who interacttogether - (http://www.askoxford.com/concise_oed/network?view=uk)

  • 7/27/2019 104555809 is There Anything New About New Terrorism

    4/10

    4

    2001: 9). As such, all Terrorist organizations can be regarded as being fundamentally

    based on a network structure. In this light the recent emergence in the Middle East of

    organisations less cellular or hierarchical than those that operated in the 1970s and 1980s

    can be seen as more of a return to a traditional model than the emergence of anything

    new (Masters, 2008: 397)&(Tucker, 2001: 4).

    More to the point, it should not be assumed that adopting a more devolved network

    structure would be a progressive and entirely beneficial measure to a Terrorist group. As

    autonomous units, network cells are undoubtedly more adaptable. Yet increased

    autonomy also renders the network more susceptible to exogenous and endogenous

    security threats. Diminished centralisation increases discovery and entry opportunities for

    enemies, in turn threatening the entire networks security. Thus even New network

    organisations are to some degree likely to be hierarchically structured in a traditionally

    concentric or centrifugal fashion (Tucker, 2001: 10-11).

    Furthermore, a network structure can also impair the integration of strategic and

    tactical coordination and control (Laqueur, 1996: 25). Diminished control and

    coordination, in turn, can increase the difficulty of accomplishing complex tasks

    (Tucker, 2001: 10). Crucially, it can also increase the likelihood that an ill-judged action

    will undermine constituency support and legitimacy (Tucker, 2001: 10). A primary

    example of this was the Real-IRA bombing of Omagh town centre in 1998 after which

    the organisation was forced temporarily to suspend its operations as a result of the loss of

    support and mass condemnation triggered by widespread popular revulsion at the carnage

  • 7/27/2019 104555809 is There Anything New About New Terrorism

    5/10

    5

    (The CAIN Project). Thus it is unlikely that New Terrorist organisations will become

    anymore delegated or cellular than their predecessors.

    Noam Chomsky argues that the idea of New Terrorists apparently greater

    propensity to commit acts of mass and indiscriminate slaughter is a biased misperception

    based on the fact that on 9/11 an attack on a rich and powerful country succeeded for the

    first time on a scale that commentators outside the ranks of Western privilege often

    responded with a welcome to the club (Chomsky, 2003: 607). Terrorist attacks have

    been increasing steadily since the Iranian Revolution

    4

    , yet it is only as a result of recent

    rapid technological development and heightened media-awareness that Terrorism has

    achieved such striking global coverage (Masters, 2008: 406)&(Evans, & Newman, 1998:

    530). In turn the increasing resistance of governments and the declining news value of

    terrorist incidents as they become more commonplace has encouraged further and greater

    attacks and consequently changed the rhetoric of terrorism analysis (Jenkins, 1982: 18).

    Yet as David Tucker points out, the premise that New Terrorists somehow have an

    increased willingness to commit mass indiscriminate attacks to a greater extent than what

    has previously been seen is a skewed analysis which rests on a very few cases compared

    to the total number of international terrorist attacks (Tucker, 2001: 6). Organisations

    driven by extreme ideologies have always resorted to extreme and horrific acts of mass

    and indiscriminate slaughter. Radical aims could only be pursued by similarly radical

    methods and their success was due largely to the arbitrary character [of their attacks]

    and the unpredictability of their choice of victims (Primoratz, I., 2007: 1). Indeed the

    41979

  • 7/27/2019 104555809 is There Anything New About New Terrorism

    6/10

    6

    mass indiscriminate attacks carried out by the Islamic extremists of today are a form of

    Terrorism which best hark back to the heyday of totalitarian terrorism in the 1930s and

    1940s [When revolutionary movements in Russia, Germany, France, Spain and

    elsewhere] sought to impose total political control on society(Primoratz, I., 2007: 1).

    Much like the current crop of Islamist Terrorists in Iraq and Afghanistan, many national

    liberation and separatist movements of the time resorted to grand scale attacks either as

    the main method of struggle or as a tactic complementing guerrilla warfare (Primoratz, I.,

    2007: 1). Terrorism is neither a species of guerrilla warfare nor insurgency although it is

    often isomorphicly confused with both (Evans, & Newman, 1998: 531). Thus, perhaps it

    is the case that what we are witnessing is not the dawn of a new kind of terrorism but

    rather a misunderstanding of a conventional Terrorist group (Evans, & Newman, 1998:

    531).

    Given that a sustained campaign of asymmetric warfare requires popular assistance,

    to the extent that terrorists with religious motivations also have political and social

    agendas, [as well as constituency concerns to do with safe houses, weapons supply and

    financial backing etc.], they are subject to the same constraints, and are reliant on the

    same need of constituency support for their methods and aims as paramilitary groups

    which have exclusively socio-political goals (Evans, & Newman, 1998:

    215+531)&(Tucker, 2001: 7). Furthermore, as Bruce Hoffman of the RAND Corporation

    points out, since 2001 there has been a tendency to exaggerate the dimensions of the

    threat posed by terrorists and the strategic impact that their violence has actually wrought.

    By overreacting and falling prey to a sense of acute fear and intimidation, the terrorists

  • 7/27/2019 104555809 is There Anything New About New Terrorism

    7/10

    7

    power is disproportionately inflated in ways that are both counterproductive and often

    completely divorced from reality (Hoffman, 2001: 419). This does not mean however

    that a religious or political group would never commit a mass-casualty attack, just that

    such groups have the same reasons not to do so (Laqueur, 1996: 34)&(Tucker, 2001: 7).

    Equally, as Hoffman points out, the real issue and a more likely threat may not be

    posed by the mass and indiscriminate use of violence - such as with chemical, biological,

    radiological or nuclear (CBRN) weapons - but a more concise and strategic use or the

    threat thereof which, psycho-socially, could still achieve a similar level of impact

    (Hoffman, 2001: 424). Much like suicide bombers or indeed any form of Terrorist attack,

    the real advantage of a CBRN attack is as a weapon of psychological warfare. Its primary

    target being not the immediate victims killed in the attack, but the wider public audience

    made to witness it (Atran, 2003: 1534). 9/11 demonstrated that terrorists did not require

    a Weapon of Mass Destruction (WMD) to cause mass casualties (Enders, & Sandler,

    2005: 260). The New Terrorism hypotheses may therefore be missing the point. A

    strategic threat could very easily create a disproportionately large amount of publicity,

    fear and alarm and therefore prove a more expedient and practicable tactic for terrorists

    than actually carrying out a large-scale attack (Hoffman, 2001: 424). Either way, given

    the misleading rhetoric and hyperbole in which the threat of terrorism is frequently

    couched it is important to note that as serious and potentially catastrophic as a terrorist

    attack might prove, it is highly unlikely that it could ever completely undermine the

    national security, much less threaten the survival of a nation (Hoffman, 2001: 426).

  • 7/27/2019 104555809 is There Anything New About New Terrorism

    8/10

    8

    A common part of this misestimated hyperbole is the belief amongst proponents of

    the New Terrorism hypothesis that terrorist missions by volunteers constitute a radical

    new departure, dangerous because they are almost impossible to prevent. However that

    is a myth, like many others in which terrorism has always been shrouded (Laqueur,

    1996: 26). True some contemporary groups appear more loosely connected or indirectly

    linked through networks comprised of both professional - i.e., full-time - terrorists and

    amateurs - supporters, sympathisers, and would-be terrorists who may lack the expertise

    or experience of their more established counterparts - (Hoffman, 2001: 418). However, as

    David Tucker puts it, all Terrorists are amateurs when they begin (Tucker, 2001: 4).

    Amateurism has always been an element of terrorist strategy and amateur militants have

    since the beginning appeared in all eras and cultural traditions (Laqueur, 1996: 26).

    Therefore although Terrorism has increased in volume and severity, modern

    terrorists still operate within self-imposed constraints with a limited technical repertoire

    that has changed little over time (Jenkins, 1982: 11). In the aftermath of 9/11 the framing

    of contemporary terrorist groups began to take on the form of New Terrorism

    (Masters, 2008: 411). Yet as has been shown, there is nothing new about New

    Terrorism. The label is a fallacy based on a misperception of a phenomenon which

    predates the academia propounding the New Terrorism hypothesis. Thus it is not that we

    have witnessed a new form Terrorism but rather it is the rhetoric of its analysis which has

    changed.

  • 7/27/2019 104555809 is There Anything New About New Terrorism

    9/10

  • 7/27/2019 104555809 is There Anything New About New Terrorism

    10/10