1 the nonhydrostatic icosahedral (nim) model: description and potential use in climate prediction...

61
1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate Test Bed Seminar June 3, 2009 World Weather Building

Upload: alison-harmon

Post on 18-Jan-2016

218 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

1

The Nonhydrostatic

Icosahedral (NIM)

Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction

Alexander E. MacDonald

Earth System Research Lab

Climate Test Bed Seminar

June 3, 2009

World Weather Building

NIM Design: Jin Luen Lee and Alexander E. MacDonald

Page 2: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

2

Flow-following- finite-volume

Icosahedral Model FIM

X-section location

Temp at lowest level

Page 3: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

3

Page 4: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

4

Page 5: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

5

NIM Talk Summary

1. NIM equations.

2. NIM grid, numerical and computational formulation.

3. NIM test cases.

4. Cloud resolving global models and 100 day prediction.

3. NIM schedule.

Page 6: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

6

0

;

00

);,,,(),,,(

),,,(),,,(;,,,,,,,,

.0

0

0

0

p

p

p

Rpp

Rptzyxztzyx

tzyxztzyxwvuWVU

z

w

y

v

x

u

t

TC

H

z

w

y

v

x

u

t

ggz

Rz

wW

y

vW

x

uW

t

W

yR

z

wV

y

vV

x

uV

t

V

xR

z

wU

y

vU

x

uU

t

U

p

NIM 3-D finite volume nonhydrostatic equations on Z-coordinate:

Page 7: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

7

NIM Talk Summary

1. NIM equations.

2. NIM grid, numerical and computational formulation.

3. NIM test cases.

4. Cloud resolving global models and 100 day prediction.

5. NIM schedule.

Page 8: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

8

• Horizontal discretization on Icosahedral grid.• Computations: Single loop, table described, indirect

addressed (Scalable to 100,000 CPUs).• Explicit 3rd-order Adams-Bashforth (AB3) time differencing.• Model variables defined on a non-staggered A-grid.• Finite-Volume line integration on local coordinate.• AB3-multistep Flux Conserving Transport: extend Zalesak’s

(1979) two-time level to multiple time levels.• FIM: ALE in vertical (sigma-theta hybrid) GFS physics, GSI Initialization + …….• NIM: 3-D finite-volume formulated on control volume, height-

coordinate, GFS physics, + ……

Lee and MacDonald (2009): A Finite-Volume Icosahedral Shallow Water Model in Local Coordinate, MWR, 2009, in press (on-line early release)

FIM/NIM model characteristics:

Page 9: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

9

N=((2**n)**2)*10 + 2 ; 5th level – n=5 N=10242 ~ 240km; max(d)/min(d)~1.26th level – n=6 N= N=40962 ~ 120km; 7th level – n=7N=163842 ~60km8th level – n=8N=655,362 ~30km; 9th level – n=9N=2,621,442 ~15km10th level ~7.km; 11th level ~3.5km , 12th level ~1.7km

Icosahedral Grid Generation

n=0 n=1

n=2 n=3

Page 10: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

10

dsnVdAV

dslVdAV

s

h

A

hh

s

h

A

hh

: theoremDivergence

: theoremStokes'

e.g., numerics, volume-finitefor suitable

Finite Volume Numerical Weather Prediction:

Represent fields as “total over volume”, using integral relations:

Advantage over finite difference: Perfectly conservative.

Page 11: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

11

3-D finite volumeNonhydrostaticIcosahedral Model

• Finite Volume •Control volume coordinate •Full conservative form •Characteristic vert. sound waves• •Designed for GPU •Fourth order time accuracy •Piecewise Parabolic space (3rd order)

Page 12: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

12

x

y

z

S

P

'P ),,( ZYX

N),( yx

'Q),,( ZYX

'R

'X

),( yxX),( yxQ

),( yxR

Local coordinate: Every point (and its neighbors) are mapped to a local stereographic coordinate.

Page 13: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

13

Graphic Processing Units: On a Steep Performance Curve

Page 14: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

14

Page 15: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

15

2011: GPU 4 KM NIM 1 Day Forecast Projected

Processors Points per Processor

Time (hours)

Percent of Real Time

1280 32768 1.87 7.8%

2560 16384 .99 4.1%

5120 8192 .56 2.3%

10240 4096 .33 1.3%

20480 2048 .20 .8%

40960 1024 .15 .6%

Page 16: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

16

NIM Talk Summary

1. NIM equations.

2. NIM grid, numerical and computational formulation.

3. NIM test cases.

4. Cloud resolving global models and 100 day prediction.

5. NIM schedule.

Page 17: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

17

Preliminary NIM 2-D test cases:

1. Mountain waves.

2. Warm bubble.

3. Heating forced vertically propagating acoustic waves.

Page 18: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

18

Numerical experiment on mountain waves

Page 19: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

19

Warm Bubble simulation:

A rising thermal in an isentropic atmosphere.

ndissipatio numerical No

,10

ground theabove m 260at centered

,125/2'

mzx

mHCo

Page 20: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

20

t= 0.5 min

Page 21: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

21

t= 0.5 min

Page 22: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

22

t= 1.0 min

Page 23: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

23

t= 1.5 min

Page 24: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

24

t= 2.0 min

Page 25: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

25

t= 2.5 min

Page 26: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

26

t= 3.0 min

Page 27: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

27

t= 3.5 min

Page 28: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

28

t= 4.0 min

Page 29: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

29

t= 4.5 min

Page 30: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

30

t= 5.0 min

Page 31: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

31

t= 5.5 min

Page 32: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

32

t= 6.0 min

Page 33: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

33

t= 6.5 min

Page 34: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

34

t= 7.0 min

Page 35: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

35

t= 7.5 min

Page 36: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

36

t= 8.0 min

Page 37: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

37

t= 8.5 min

Page 38: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

38

t= 9.0 min

Page 39: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

39

t= 9.5 min

Page 40: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

40

t=10.0 min

Page 41: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

41

t=10.5 min

Page 42: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

42

t=11.0 min

Page 43: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

43

t=11.5 min

Page 44: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

44

t=12.0 min

Page 45: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

45

t=12.5 min

Page 46: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

46

t=13.0 min

Page 47: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

47

t=13.5 min

Page 48: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

48

t=14.0 min

Page 49: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

49

t=14.5 min

Page 50: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

50

t=15.0 min

Page 51: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

51

t=15.5 min

Page 52: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

52

t=16.0 min

Page 53: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

53

Test 3:

Heating forced vertical acoustic wavesto test upper boundary reflections.

Page 54: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

54

Explicit treatment of vertically propagated acoustic waves

“Correct solution”: Explicit with top boundary at 80 km, 20 shown.

Page 55: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

55

Test of implicit form, vertical propagated acoustic waves

Implicit (e.g. WRF tri-diaganol) vertical sound waves have reflection problems.

Page 56: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

56

NIM Talk Summary

1. NIM equations.

2. NIM grid, numerical and computational formulation.

3. NIM test cases.

4. Cloud resolving global models and 100 day prediction.

5. NIM schedule.

Page 57: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

57

Statements by Prof. J. Shukla at Hollingsworth Symposium:

• Proper numerical treatment of mid-latitude waves gives 10 day predictability.

• Proper numerical treatment of tropical deep convection gives predictability out to 100 days.

Page 58: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

58

OLR Hovmoller showing MJO simulation

NICAM dx=3.5 km(Non-hydrostatic ICosahedral Atmospheric Model)

Courtesy of Prof. Satoh (Science, Dec. 7, 2007)

Page 59: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

59

NIM Talk Summary

1. NIM equations.

2. NIM grid, numerical and computational formulation.

3. NIM test cases.

4. Cloud resolving global models and 100 day prediction.

5. NIM schedule.

Page 60: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

60

NIM Development and Implementation Schedule

• Model design complete Dec 2008

• Initial dynamic model coded Mar 2009

• Initial dynamic model test Jun 2009

• Initial full physics test Dec 2009

• Prediction test and debug 2010

• Continuous real-time runs 2011

• Full GPU NIM runs 2012

• Available for operations 2013

Page 61: 1 The Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral (NIM) Model: Description and Potential Use in Climate Prediction Alexander E. MacDonald Earth System Research Lab Climate

61

Questions . . . .

[email protected]