1 the future challenges of indonesia sandiaga s. uno vice president indonesian chamber of commerce...
TRANSCRIPT
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The Future Challenges of Indonesia
Sandiaga S. UnoVice President Indonesian Chamber of Commerce and Industry for Micro Small and Medium Enterprises and Cooperatives
Ernst & Young and ICWA Panel DiscussionsMonday, 10 May 2010
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Indonesia’s Economic OverviewEconomic Fundamentals Remain Solid
Decreasing trend of debt-to-GDP ratio
Prudent fiscal policies
Record foreign reserves of US$75 billion as of end April 2010
Recent IMF projections for Indonesian growth outperforming the rest of Asia
Source : UBS, 2009
Key Facts
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Indonesia’s Economic OverviewRobust GDP Growth
Source : CIA World Factbook
Real GDP Growth Rate (%) 2007 - 2010
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Indonesia’s Economic OverviewStrong Stock Market Performance
Source : UBS, 2009
Regional Indices Performance (2009) JCI Performance (2009)
In 2009, the Jakarta Composite Index performance outperformed those of other regional indices
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Economic ProblemsCurrent Challenges
Human Capital Human Development Index: 111 out of 182 countries (Source: UNDP Human Development Report, 2009)
CorruptionMost corrupted country in the world, corruption level scored 9.1 out of 10 in 2010, up from 7.7 in 2009 (Source: PERC, 2009)
Infrastructure Infrastructure competitiveness ranks 84 out of 133 countries (Source: PERC, 2009)
Ease of Doing Business
Ranks 122 out of 183 countries (Source: Doing Business Report 2009)
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Future Challenges of IndonesiaDeindustrialization in the Globalization Era
…Is this a sign of deindustrialization???
The Growth: Industry vs GDP
Source : BPS, 2009
“Growth is targeted to reach 6.7% to 6.8% in the next five years” (SBY, at APEC CEO Summit, Nov 2009)
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SolutionConsidering SME’s role in the economy
Does SME’s activity lead to economic growth?
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Solution: Bottom Up ApproachSME’s as the Backbone of National Economy
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Solution: Bottom Up ApproachThe Importance of Entrepreneurship
Necessity vs Opportunity
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Great Prospect for IndonesiaInternational Response towards Indonesia
The N-11 Country in 2050
(Goldman Sachs)
Indonesia’s economy will rank 6th in 2050
(PricewaterhouseCoopers)
Indonesia will be a part of “BRIC”
in 2050(Morgan Stanley)
“Chindonesia”(CLSA)
S&P has increased Indonesia’s sovereign debt rating to BB, the
highest level in the past 12 years
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Thank You