1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

28
Microbial risk assessment due to municipal solid waste dumps Vijaya Kiran Mentey, Nishith Desai, Saifi Izhar (Mentored by: Mira Olson, Rebecca Ives)

Upload: daman-baidwan

Post on 16-Aug-2015

38 views

Category:

Engineering


6 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

Microbial risk assessment due to municipal solid waste dumps

Vijaya Kiran Mentey, Nishith Desai,

Saifi Izhar(Mentored by: Mira Olson, Rebecca Ives)

Page 2: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

Map of Hyderabad

Share of Municipal Employees: 60%

PPP Model: 40% Dumping ground: 340

Acres Distance from

Hyderabad: About 30 Kms

Page 9: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

COMPOSITION OF GARBAGE Needles, syringes, used condoms, saline

bottles, soiled gloves and other hospital wastes

Contains human excreta, and dead animals Food either decomposed or putrefied Luxury waste such as paper, cardboard,

plastic and heavier organic materials. Hazardous materials such as tube lights, dry

battery cells , nail polish remover, blades, sprays and other miscellaneous items

Page 10: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

Why Rag pickers are vulnerable They work, eat, sleep in the vicinity of garbage

dumps. Include infants, young children, women, child -

bearing age and seniors Children are particularly vulnerable to toxins They do not use safety gear such as gloves,

face masks, gum boots etc Collect material from burning garbage – leading

to burns Most of them are illiterate and in need for

employment

Page 11: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

Who are at risk Rag pickers Municipal employees engaged in garbage

lifting Population living close to a waste dump

Water supply is contaminated either due to waste dumping or leakage from landfill sites.

They inhale fumes from burning of garbage

Page 12: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

HAZARD IDENTIFICATION Based on kind of microorganisms isolated from garbage Prevelant diseases/ ailments/ infections amongst the

rag pickers Based on various surveys, the following were identified

as potential ailments: Respiratory ailments Diarrhea Asthma Pneumonia Dysentery Tuberculosis Skin disease, etc. wounds

Page 13: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

HAZARD IDENTIFICATION We also wanted to compare the health risks

for Workers employed by government Daily workers

As well as, the health risk between men and women.

Page 14: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

Biological indicators selected for the study

•Pathogenic E.coli

•SalmonellaBACTERIA

•Rhinovirus•RVSVIRUS

Page 15: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

EXPOSURE ASSESSMENT

PATHWAYS

Oro-fecal

Ingestion

Touch

Nasal

Page 16: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

EXPOSURE ASSESSMENT Dose (ingestion) = (initial microbial load per

100 mg per hour) x (no. of hours exposed)   Dose (Hand Transfer) = (Hand Transfer) x

(Mouth Transfer)  Where, Hand Transfer = (Initial microbial

concentration on object) x 0.1% Mouth Transfer = (Hand Transfer) x 36%

Dose (nasal) = (initial microbial load) x (Rate of inhalation- m3/ hr) x (no of hours exposed)

 

Page 17: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

DOSE RESPONSE

MICROORGANISM

CONCENTRATIONDOSE VALUE

RISK OF INFECTION RISK OF ILLNESS

Page 18: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

MODELLING EQUATIONS

Biological Indicator Models used

alpha N=50

K value References:

Salmonella sp. Beta Poisson 1.75E-01 1.11E+06

  Hornick RB, et al. (1966), Hornick RB, et al. (1970)

E. coli O157:H7 Beta Poisson 1.55E-01 2.11E+06

Cornick and Helgerson (2004)

Rhino virus Exponential 

1.00Hendley et al., 1972

RSV Exponential 9.98E-05Hall and et al., 1981

Page 19: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

Assumptions for point estimates Assumption 1: Initial concentration of viruses in Garbage

was unknown, assumed as 1 PFU/g (Literature cites presence of 10^4 PFU/g of MS2. thus assuming, 1:10,000 dilution for presence of pathogenic viruses to indicator viruses, the assumed initial concentrations were calculated as 1 PFU/g)

Concentration of viruses in air through garbage: 1 log lesser than the concentration in garbage.

Simplified Assumptions: probabilities for bacterial and viral infections were assigned based on the basis of a survey of rag pickers (N=275). The probabilities of infection were assumed to be same for all age group and sex due to non-availability of data however the values may vary for the same. Probability for bacterial infection rate was 0.70. The probability for viral infections was 0.64

Page 20: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

Touch transfer: Garbage to hand (0.1%), Hand to mouth (36%)

Total Working hrs:

Groups

Age Biological IndicatorsRoute of entry:

Type of transfer

Conc present in Garbage: (CFU/g; PFU/g, PFU/m3)

Dose value

Risk of infection (r1)

risk of infection(r2)

Risk of Illness

1-r(n)Cumulative risk

Cumulative risk for Bacteria/ Virus

Cumulative Risk of Illness for Bacteria/ Virus

Government 6hr

ALL all age

BACTERIA

Salmonella

Oro-fecal

ingestion 1.52E+063.80E+0

41.63E-01  

0.1140598

8.37E-010.1666

0.2671 0.1870touch 1.52E+06

5.47E+02

4.38E-03  0.00306

469.96E-01

E. coliingestion 1.22E+06

3.05E+04

1.18E-01  0.08271

098.82E-01

0.1206touch 1.22E+06

4.39E+02

2.76E-03  0.00193

49.97E-01

VIRUSES

Rhino virus

Oro-fecal

ingestion 1.00E+002.50E-

02  2.47E-02

1.58E-02

9.75E-01 0.0247

0.0250 0.0160touch 1.00E+00

3.60E-04

  3.60E-042.30E-

041.00E+00 0.0004

RSVingestion 1.00E+00

2.50E-02

  2.49E-061.60E-

061.00E+00 0.0000

touch 1.00E+003.60E-

04  3.59E-08

2.30E-08

1.00E+00 0.0000

MEN

21-30

Rhino virus

Nasal  

1.00E-014.34E-

01  3.52E-01

2.25E-01

6.48E-01

0.7169

0.7169 0.4588

31-40 1.00E-014.22E-

01  3.44E-01

2.20E-01

6.56E-01

41-50 1.00E-014.06E-

01  3.34E-01

2.14E-01

6.66E-01

21-30

RSV

1.00E-014.34E-

01  4.33E-05

2.77E-05

1.00E+00

0.000131-40 1.00E-014.22E-

01  4.21E-05

2.70E-05

1.00E+00

41-50 1.00E-014.06E-

01  4.05E-05

2.59E-05

1.00E+00

WOMEN

21-30

Rhino virus

Nasal  

1.00E-013.36E-

01  2.86E-01

1.83E-01

7.14E-01

0.6269

0.6270 0.4013

31-40 1.00E-013.42E-

01  2.90E-01

1.85E-01

7.10E-01

41-50 1.00E-013.08E-

01  2.65E-01

1.70E-01

7.35E-01

21-30

RSV

1.00E-013.36E-

01  3.36E-05

2.15E-05

1.00E+00

0.000131-40 1.00E-013.42E-

01  3.41E-05

2.18E-05

1.00E+00

41-50 1.00E-013.08E-

01  3.07E-05

1.97E-05

1.00E+00

Page 21: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

Total Working hrs:

Groups Age Biological IndicatorsRoute of entry:

Type of transfer

Conc present in Garbage: (CFU/g; PFU/g, PFU/m3)

Dose value

Risk of infection (r1)

risk of infection(r2)

Risk of Illness

1-r(n)Cumulative risk

Cumulative risk for Bacteria/ Virus

Cumulative Risk of Illness for Bacteria/ Virus

Non-government

10hr

ALL all age

BACTERIA

Salmonella

Oro-fecal

ingestion 1.52E+066.33E+0

42.13E-01  

0.1493005

7.87E-010.2167

0.3440 0.2408touch 1.52E+06

5.47E+02

4.38E-03  0.003064

69.96E-01

E. coliingestion 1.22E+06

5.08E+04

1.60E-01  0.112139

78.40E-01

0.1625touch 1.22E+06

4.39E+02

2.76E-03   0.001934 9.97E-01

VIRUSES

Rhino virusOro-fecal

ingestion 1.00E+00 4.17E-02   4.08E-02 2.61E-02 9.59E-01 0.0408

0.0412 0.0263touch 1.00E+00 3.60E-04   3.60E-04 2.30E-04 1.00E+00 0.0004

RSVingestion 1.00E+00 4.17E-02   4.16E-06 2.66E-06 1.00E+00 0.0000touch 1.00E+00 3.60E-04   3.59E-08 2.30E-08 1.00E+00 0.0000

MEN

21-30Rhino virus

Nasal  

1.00E-01 7.23E-01   5.15E-01 3.30E-01 4.85E-010.8780

0.8780 0.5619

31-40 1.00E-01 7.03E-01   5.05E-01 3.23E-01 4.95E-0141-50 1.00E-01 6.77E-01   4.92E-01 3.15E-01 5.08E-0121-30

RSV1.00E-01 7.23E-01   7.22E-05 4.62E-05 1.00E+00

0.000231-40 1.00E-01 7.03E-01   7.02E-05 4.49E-05 1.00E+0041-50 1.00E-01 6.77E-01   6.75E-05 4.32E-05 1.00E+00

10hr

WOMEN

21-30

VIRUSES

Rhino virus

Nasal  

1.00E-01 5.60E-01   4.29E-01 2.75E-01 5.71E-010.8067

0.8067 0.5163

31-40 1.00E-01 5.70E-01   4.34E-01 2.78E-01 5.66E-0141-50 1.00E-01 5.13E-01   4.01E-01 2.57E-01 5.99E-0121-30

RSV1.00E-01 5.60E-01   5.59E-05 3.58E-05 1.00E+00

0.000231-40 1.00E-01 5.70E-01   5.69E-05 3.64E-05 1.00E+0041-50 1.00E-01 5.13E-01   5.12E-05 3.28E-05 1.00E+00

BOYS

11-20y VIRUSESRhino virus

Nasal  

1.00E-01 7.18E-01   5.12E-01 3.28E-01 4.88E-010.7195

 0.4605

GIRLS 1.00E-01 5.53E-01   4.25E-01 2.72E-01 5.75E-01BOYS

RSV1.00E-01 7.18E-01   7.16E-05 4.59E-05 1.00E+00

0.0001 0.0001GIRLS 1.00E-01 5.53E-01   5.52E-05 3.53E-05 1.00E+00BOYS

6-10y VIRUSESRhino virus

Nasal  

1.00E-01 4.41E-01   3.57E-01 2.28E-01 6.43E-010.5731

 0.3668

GIRLS 1.00E-01 4.10E-01   3.36E-01 2.15E-01 6.64E-01BOYS

RSV1.00E-01 4.41E-01   4.40E-05 2.82E-05 1.00E+00

0.0001 0.0001GIRLS 1.00E-01 4.10E-01   4.09E-05 2.62E-05 1.00E+00

 

BOYS

2-5y VIRUSESRhino virus

Nasal  

1.00E-01 3.17E-01   2.71E-01 1.74E-01 7.29E-010.4571

 0.2925

GIRLS 1.00E-01 2.94E-01   2.55E-01 1.63E-01 7.45E-01BOYS

RSV1.00E-01 3.17E-01   3.16E-05 2.02E-05 1.00E+00

0.0001 0.0000GIRLS 1.00E-01 2.94E-01   2.94E-05 1.88E-05 1.00E+00BOYS

less than 2 VIRUSESRhino virus

Nasal  

1.00E-01 2.13E-01   1.92E-01 1.23E-01 8.08E-010.3380

 0.2163

GIRLS 1.00E-01 1.99E-01   1.81E-01 1.16E-01 8.19E-01BOYS

RSV1.00E-01 2.13E-01   2.13E-05 1.36E-05 1.00E+00

0.0000 0.0000GIRLS 1.00E-01 1.99E-01   1.99E-05 1.27E-05 1.00E+00

Page 22: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

Bacteria VirusAll

0.187

0.016

0.2408

0.0263

risk of illness from bacteria and virus through Oro-fecal route

Govt. Workers Non-Govt. Workers

Page 23: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

Govt. Workers Non-Govt. Workers

Govt. Workers Non-Govt. Workers

Govt. Workers Non-Govt. Workers

All Men Women

0.187

0.2408

0.4588

0.5619

0.40126

0.5163

Cumulative probabilities for risk of illness

Page 24: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

gov.

men

risk

of i

nfec

tion

non

gov.

men

risk

of i

nfec

tion

gov.

wom

enris

k of

infe

ction

non

gov.

wom

enris

k of

infe

ction

0.000000

0.100000

0.200000

0.300000

0.400000

0.500000

0.600000

risk of illness

21-30 31-40 41-50

Page 25: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

Summary Amongst the bacteria, Salmonella had higher

risk of illness than E. coli Rhinovirus was found to have the highest risk

of illness amongst all the four biological indicators.

The non-government workers at the landfill were at a higher risk.

Women and children were at lower risk than men.

People working for longer hours are affected more.

However, the risk decreases by 99.98% when hand wash is used as an intervention.

Page 26: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

Systemic issues for adequate risk management

No adequate data for microbial concentrations in solid wastes

Poor waste handling practices despite of being provided with protective equipment like – Gum boots, Masks, and Gloves

Lack of awareness Lack of training Lack of Human resource

Page 27: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

Services to be provided for child rag pickers:

Discourage rag picking by children Raise the minimum age for entry into hazardous work to

18 Define the list of hazardous work Enroll all the rag pickers into schools Encourage NGOs and CBOs to work for children Increase vigilance to do away with children in rag

picking Devote more resources to enforcement of child labor

laws. Provide educational, prevocational, counseling, medical,

recreation and entertainment activities. 

Page 28: 1. solidwaste _ppt (1)

THANK YOU