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  • 7/24/2019 1-s2.0-S0921344915300756-main.pdf

    1/10

    Please cite this article in press as:Okoye, C.O., et al., Optimal sizingof storage tanks in domestic rainwater harvesting systems: A linear

    programming approach. Resour Conserv Recy (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2015.08.015

    ARTICLE IN PRESSG Model

    RECYCL-3096; No.of Pages10

    Resources, Conservation and Recycling xxx (2015)xxxxxx

    Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

    Resources, Conservation and Recycling

    j ournal homepage: www.elsevier .com/ locate / resconrec

    Optimal sizing ofstorage tanks in domestic rainwater harvestingsystems: A linear programming approach

    Chiemeka Onyeka Okoyea, Oguz Solyalb,, Bertug Akntug c

    a Sustainable Environmentand EnergySystems,Middle East TechnicalUniversity, Northern Cyprus Campus, Kalkanl,Mersin 10, Turkeyb Business Administration Program, Middle East TechnicalUniversity, Northern Cyprus Campus, Kalkanl,Mersin 10, Turkeyc Civil EngineeringProgram, Middle East TechnicalUniversity, Northern Cyprus Campus, Kalkanl, Mersin 10, Turkey

    a r t i c l e i n f o

    Article history:Received 6 July 2015

    Received in revised form 25 August 2015

    Accepted 27 August 2015

    Available online xxx

    Keywords:

    Domestic rainwater harvesting

    Sustainablewateruse

    Tank storage

    Linear programming

    Cost optimization

    a b s t r a c t

    This paper proposes an optimization model to determine the optimal tank size of a single residentialhousing unit for rainwater harvesting and storage. Taking into account the site specific data such as

    the rainfall profile, the roofarea of the building, the water consumption per capita and the number of

    residents, an integrated optimization model based on linear programming is proposed to decide on the

    size ofrainwater storage tank to build such that the net present value of the total tank construction

    costs and freshwater purchase costs is minimized. The proposed model was tested ona case study from

    Northern Cyprus, the results ofwhich emphasized the feasibility ofrainwater harvesting as a sustainable

    supplement to thedepletingaquifers in the region. Thestudyalsooffersmanagerial insights on the impact

    ofvarious parameters such as the number ofresidents, roofarea, discount rate, water consumption per

    capita, unit cost ofbuilding the rainwater tank, and rainfall characteristics on the optimal tank size and

    on the net financial benefit gained from rainwater harvesting through detailed sensitivity analysis.

    2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

    1. Introduction

    The quest to curb the menace of water scarcity has motivated

    considerableresearchinterestin awiderangeof applicationsaimed

    at providing a sustainable solution to ensure water security in

    both rural and urban areas. Desalination, greywater harvesting,

    rainwater harvesting (RWH), and virtual water are some of these

    notable applications with proven documented research results

    (Bani-Melhemet al., 2015; Jiang et al., 2015;Morales-Pinzn et al.,

    2015; Scarborough et al., 2015). Among these alternatives, RWH

    systems have stood out and their application has gained wider

    acceptance (Aladenola and Adeboye, 2010; Morales-Pinzn et al.,

    2015; Silva et al., 2015; Unami et al., 2015) because these systems

    are not only sustainable means of supplementing available water

    resources to overcome the chronic water scarcity but also proac-

    tivewaysofmitigating themenaceof urban flood (Sampleand Liu,

    2014).

    Thedomestic useof freshwater accounts forapproximately 10%

    of the total global freshwater consumption (Bocanegra-Martnez

    et al., 2014). RWH has been widely applied for the domestic use

    Corresponding author.

    E-mail addresses: [email protected] (C.O.Okoye), [email protected]

    (O. Solyal), [email protected] (B. Akntug).

    under different climatic conditions (Domnech and Saur, 2011;

    Hadadin et al., 2010; Silva et al., 2015; Ward et al., 2012). The

    low-quality domestic use of rainwater includes but not limited

    to toilet flushing, laundry, car washing, and irrigation (Villarreal

    and Dixon, 2005), whereas the high-quality domestic use of har-

    vested rainwater includes potable uses after some treatment.

    Although the technology of RWH has been recommended for

    areaswithannual rainfallabove1000mm(Aladenola andAdeboye,

    2010), considerable research studies have been performed for the

    areascharacterizedwithlowprecipitation(AbdullaandAl-Shareef,

    2009;Domnech and Saur, 2011; Hadadin et al., 2012).

    Various models ranging from behavioral (Liaw and Tsai, 2005;

    Palla et al., 2011) to probabilistic (Basinger et al., 2010; Kim et al.,

    2012; Su et al., 2009) have been used in the literature for the rain-

    water harvesting practice. The assessment of suitability of some

    models for domestic application was performed by Ward et al.

    (2010). Campisano and Modica (2012) mentioned that the feasi-

    bility of RWH systems depends entirely on the characteristic of

    the rainwater storage tank, water demand pattern of households,

    rooftop effective area of thebuilding, andrainfallprofileof thesite.

    Similarly, Santos and Taveira-Pinto (2013) concluded that varia-

    tion in rainfall profilehas themost significant effecton theoptimal

    tank sizewhen they applied different criteria in the sizing of rain-

    water storage tanks. Thementioned characteristics not only affect

    the water saving efficiency but also the economy of the designed

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2015.08.015

    0921-3449/ 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rightsreserved.

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    Please cite this article in press as:Okoye, C.O., et al., Optimal sizingof storage tanks in domestic rainwater harvesting systems: A linear

    programming approach. Resour Conserv Recy (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2015.08.015

    ARTICLE IN PRESSG Model

    RECYCL-3096; No.of Pages10

    2 C.O. Okoye et al./ Resources, ConservationandRecycling xxx(2015) xxxxxx

    Nomenclature

    Acronyms

    CV coefficient o f variation

    IBR increasing block rate

    LP linear programming

    NFB net financial benefit

    RWH rainwater harvesting

    TDC total discounted costTL Turkish lira

    Indices

    j price levels

    t periods of the year

    Parameters

    a costincurredperunitvolumeof rainwater tankbuilt

    Acol area of the rooftop collector

    btj cost pervolumeofpurchasingwaterfromtheutility

    network in period tat the price levelj

    cf dimensionless runoff coefficient

    CostPFN total discounted cost of satisfying demand com-

    pletely by purchasing water from the utilitynetwork

    CPt costof purchasingwater from the utility network in

    period t

    dt domestic household water demand in period t

    fini fixed cost of installing the rainwater tank

    i discount rate

    J number of price levelsk price levelwiththegreatestunitpriceto beincurred

    for a purchased volumeof freshwater

    n number of residents

    Nt number of days in period t

    rdt measured rainfall depth in period t

    rt amount of rainwater that can be harvested and

    stored in period t

    smax maximumsize forthevolumeof rainwater tank that

    can be built

    lengthof the planninghorizonV purchased volume of freshwater

    Vj maximum cumulative volume of freshwater that

    can be purchased at thejth price level

    Wd volume of water usage per day per capita

    Variables

    It inventory level of the rainwater tank at the end of

    period t

    Ptj amountofwaterpurchasedfromtheutilitynetwork

    at thejth price level in period t

    Rt amount of rainfall stored by the rainwater tank in

    period tTcap volumeof the rainwater tank to buildUt amount of water used from the rainwater tank to

    satisfy demand in period t

    Z objective function value

    storagetank.Often times, theeconomicpotentialof RWHexistsdue

    to avoiding freshwater purchase but the overall feasibility of inte-

    grating a rainwater storage unitmaystill be infeasible dueto initial

    capital cost of installation (Kim et al., 2014). For this reason, most

    governments are providing rebates in the form of exemption from

    stormwater taxes or offset in the initial capital cost of installation

    to encourage thedeployment of theRWHsystems (Domnechand

    Saur, 2011; Imteaz et al., 2012; Rahman et al., 2012). Domnech

    andSaur (2011)mentioned thatsubsidiesupto1200D aregranted

    to a household installing a RWH system in Barcelona, Spain. Simi-

    larly, theVictoriaGovernmentandSydneyWaterCorporationoffer

    up to Aus $500 and Aus $1400, respectively, as rebates to proper-

    ties that have rainwater tanks installed in Australia (Imteaz et al.,

    2012; Rahman et al., 2012).

    Coombes andBarry (2008)compared the relative efficiencies of

    runoff into dams with rooftop RWH using duration curves devel-

    oped for supplying water to the cities of Brisbane, Melbourne,

    Perth, and Sydney. They concluded that RWH is more resilient

    to the impacts of climate change. Ghisi (2010) considered the

    parameters affectingthe sizingof rainwater tanks fordomestic use

    andrecommended that regional assessment of rainwater tank siz-

    ing be carried out by taking into account local rainfall data, roof

    areas, number of residents, potable water demand, and rainwa-

    ter demand. Tam et al. (2010) compared the cost of procurement,

    installation and operation of rainwater tanks to the benefits of

    the use of a rainwater tank in an empirical study to aid residen-

    tial decision-making. Domnech and Saur (2011) assessed the

    social experience, freshwater savings, and economic costs associ-

    ated with the use of RWH in single and multi-family buildings in

    Spain. Imteaz et al. (2011) presented a daily water balance model

    for domestic rainwater usage so as to provide decision support forthe performance analysis of rainwater tanks in commercial build-

    ings with large roof area. The authors claimed that optimal tank

    size was obtained by studying the effect of varying parameters of

    tank size and roof areas on cumulative overflow loss and cumula-

    tivewater saved. Khastagir andJayasuriya (2010)usedmultivariate

    regression between domestic rainwater tank capacities and roof

    catchment area to develop a dimensionless curve for assessing

    water supply effectiveness.Theyconsidered thedevelopeddimen-

    sionless curveas a step towarddevelopingaweb-basedinteractive

    tool for optimum tank selection. Similarly, Campisano andModica

    (2012) developeda regressionmodelwhich enables theevaluation

    of water saving and overflow discharge from domestic RWH sys-

    tems. They evaluatedthe optimal tank size byapplyingaminimum

    cost approach on the developed regression model and concludedthat the economic attractiveness of large tanks decreases as rain-

    water availabilitydecreases.Morales-Pinznet al. (2015)proposed

    a predictive model for estimating thefinancial andenvironmental

    feasibility of RWH for different housing configurations in Spain.

    Imteazet al. (2012) assessed therainwater harvesting potential for

    southwest Nigeria using a daily water balance model. They found

    that the analysis using monthly rainfall data tends to overesti-

    mate the required rainwater tank size and recommended the use

    of daily data. L et al. (2013) presented a multi-criteria optimiza-

    tionapproachfor rainwater utilization,which wasevaluatedusing

    a case study in Shanghai, China. They concluded that the rainwa-

    ter utilization could enhance the sustainability of cities with the

    involvement of stakeholders preferences. Al-Ansari et al. (2013)

    proposed a combination of linear programming model togetherwitha watershedmodelingsystemtomaximize theirrigation area,

    which could be supplied from a selected reservoir. Huang et al.

    (2013) proposed a stochastic optimization approach for the inte-

    grated urban water resource planning with the aim of optimizing

    water flows in cities facing significant water shortage. Sample and

    Liu(2014)proposeda nonlinearmetaheuristicsearchalgorithmfor

    the identification of near-optimal least cost solutions for the dual

    purpose ofwater supply and runoff capture across a wide range of

    land uses and locations in Virginia, USA. They concluded that the

    net benefits are very sensitive to water and wastewater charges.

    Gurung and Sharma (2014) presented the economies of scale on

    communalrainwatertanksystemdesign.Bocanegra-Martnezet al.

    (2014) proposed a nonlinear mixed integer programming model

    to harvest, store, and distribute rainwater formultiple residential

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    Please cite this article in press as:Okoye, C.O., et al., Optimal sizingof storage tanks in domestic rainwater harvesting systems: A linear

    programming approach. Resour Conserv Recy (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2015.08.015

    ARTICLE IN PRESSG Model

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    C.O. Okoye et al. / Resources, ConservationandRecycling xxx(2015) xxxxxx 3

    housingunits. Theiroptimizationmodelminimizes thetotal annual

    cost and freshwater consumption. Their model was developed for

    communal harvesting involving multiple housing units to decide

    on the size of the storage tanks, the housing units to be used for

    harvesting, the connections between housing units and the stor-

    age tanks, and the size of the elevated reservoir which stores both

    freshwater and rainwater after treatment. The sizes of both the

    storage tanks and the elevated reservoir are calculated using the

    largest volume of rainwater storedover the planninghorizon of 12

    months.

    In this study,we consider a single residential housing unit con-

    nected to the utility network and a decision is made on either

    building a rainwater storage tank to satisfy some portion of the

    water demand or meeting whole demand from the utility net-

    work. Buildinga rainwater tankincurs an initial capital installation

    cost while purchasingwater from theutility network incurs a cost

    dependent on the amount purchased. The aim is to assess the eco-

    nomic feasibility of building a rainwater tank compared to the

    alternative of meeting whole demand from the utility network by

    taking intoaccount sitespecificdataincluding theassociatedcosts.

    Although existing studies in the literature offered some solu-

    tions to their respective case applications, there is still a need to

    have an integrated approachto thedomestic RWHproblemconsid-

    ering tank costs and freshwater purchase costs. Therefore, wepropose for the first time an integrated optimizationmodel based

    on linear programming (LP) to determine the optimal rainwater

    tank size forthedomesticrainwaterharvestingandstorage ata sin-

    gleresidentialhousingunit by takingintoaccount site specific data

    such as the rainfall profile, the roof area of the building, the water

    consumptionpercapita, the number of residents, the initial capital

    cost of building a rainwater tank, and the cost of purchasingwater

    from theutility network.Ourpaper is closely related toBocanegra-

    Martnez et al. (2014), but unlikeBocanegra-Martnez et al. (2014),

    ourmodelis fora singleresidentialhousingunit, involvesdecisions

    on the amount of rainfall to store (or equivalently the overflow

    decisions), allows separate storage of rainwater and freshwater,

    considers volume-dependent increasing unit prices for freshwater

    purchased from theutility network, and is able todirectly take intoaccountrainfallanddemanddataalongtheusefullife ofa rainwater

    tank (i.e. over 20 years).

    An important advantage of our LP model is that it can easily

    be constructed and optimally solved withinmilliseconds because

    of the availability of efficient commercial and non-commercial LP

    solvers. In particular, our model has been coded in MS Excel and

    solvedusing the open source solver, OpenSolver 2.6.1 (see Mason,

    2012).

    The proposed model was tested and validated on a case study

    from Northern Cyprus. Finally, the study offersmanagerial insight

    on the impact of various parameters such as the number of resi-

    dents, roof area, discount rate, water consumption per capita, unit

    cost of building the rainwater tank, and rainfall characteristics on

    the optimal tank size and on the net financial benefit gained fromRWH through detailed sensitivity analysis.

    Therestof thepaper isas follows.Thedetaileddescriptionof the

    problem addressed is provided in Section 2. Section 3 presents the

    proposed LPmodel fordomestic RWHand storage. The implemen-

    tation of the proposedmodel to a case study is provided in Section

    4. Finally, Section 5 concludes the paper.

    2. Problem formulation

    In this section, the problemaddressed inthis study ispresented.

    A single residential housing unit is considered in a given location

    with specified meteorological climatic variables, number of resi-

    dents, dailywater consumption per capita, available roof area, and

    Fig. 1. Increasingblock rate tariff scheme.

    available space for rainwater tank. The aim is to determine the

    optimal size of rainwater tank to build at the minimum total cost

    which is composed of the capital cost of installing the tankand thefreshwater purchase cost.

    Theproblemconsideredcanbe describedin differenttimescales

    such as hourly, daily and monthly time periods depending on the

    available input data (e.g., water demand and rainfall) resolution.

    Although Imteaz et al. (2012) recommended the use of daily data

    for more realistic results, due to the scarcity of daily rainfall data,

    weconsidermonthly timeperiodsandusemonthandperiodwords

    interchangeably.We define as thelengthof theplanninghorizonin terms of the number ofmonths.

    The capital cost of installing the tank is composed of a fixed

    cost and a variable cost. The fixed cost of installing the tank finiincludes the costs of tank, pump, pipe, pressure control, filter, and

    installation while the variable cost of installing the tank, a, is the

    cost incurred per unit volume of tank built. The cost of rainwaterpumping is neglectedas this cost is also incurredwhen purchasing

    water from theutility network.

    An increasing block rate (IBR) tariff scheme is used to calculate

    the freshwater purchase cost. According to the IBR tariff scheme,

    unit prices forwater purchased from the utility network increases

    as the purchased volume increases. The IBR tariff schemeiswidely

    applied inmanycountriessuchasSpain(Surez-Varelaetal.,2015),

    Portugal (Silvaet al., 2015)andUSA(Boyer et al., 2012), asaneffec-

    tive tool to prevent the wastage of the scarce water resources. In

    IBR tariff scheme, btj is the cost per volume of purchasing water

    from the utility network inperiod tat theprice leveljwithJdenot-

    ing the number of price levels, and Vj is themaximum cumulative

    volume of freshwater that can be purchased at the jth price level.

    Note that VjVj1 denotes the maximum volume of freshwaterthat can be purchased at thejth price level. As unit prices increase

    with the increasingpurchasevolumein IBRtariff scheme, wehavebt1

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    Please cite this article in press as:Okoye, C.O., et al., Optimal sizingof storage tanks in domestic rainwater harvesting systems: A linear

    programming approach. Resour Conserv Recy (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2015.08.015

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    Fig. 2. Schematic of a typical domestic rainwater harvestingsystem.

    volume ofV in period t. Assuming that V2

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    Please cite this article in press as:Okoye, C.O., et al., Optimal sizingof storage tanks in domestic rainwater harvesting systems: A linear

    programming approach. Resour Conserv Recy (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2015.08.015

    ARTICLE IN PRESSG Model

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    amount allowed at that price level. Note that because of the con-

    vexity of the btj values (i.e., bt1 50 8.0

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    Please cite this article in press as:Okoye, C.O., et al., Optimal sizingof storage tanks in domestic rainwater harvesting systems: A linear

    programming approach. Resour Conserv Recy (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2015.08.015

    ARTICLE IN PRESSG Model

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    2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910

    11

    12

    13

    0

    400

    800

    1200

    1600

    2000

    2400

    2800

    3200

    NFB

    TDC

    Number of Residents

    Ne

    tFinanc

    ialBene

    fit(TL)

    3000

    6000

    9000

    12000

    15000

    18000

    21000

    24000

    27000

    30000

    To

    talDiscoun

    tedCos

    t(TL)

    2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910

    11

    12

    13

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    Tan

    kSiz

    e(m3)

    Number of Residents

    Fig. 4. Effect of varying thenumberof residentson thetank size andeconomic benefit.

    with an optimal rainwater tank size of 2.2m3 is found. The net

    financial benefit (NFB) is equal to 675 TL depicting a marginaleconomic return over the planning horizon for building the RWH

    system. Considering the occasional flooding situation occurring in

    the country in recent times, there can be an important environ-

    mental benefit associated with RWH implementation besides its

    financial benefit. Considering this environmental benefit, even if

    there is no NFB (i.e., NFB= 0) of building of a RWH in a region, it

    can be appropriate for the governments to offset some portion of

    the cost of the system aswidely observed in other regions such as

    Barcelonain SpainandVictoria and Sydneyin Australia(Domnech

    and Saur, 2011; Imteaz et al., 2012; Rahman et al., 2012).

    In order to observe the impact of varying the parameters, we

    identified and evaluated different scenarios which are marked as

    CaseA, B,C, D,E andF inthefollowing. Inallcases, the effectof vary-

    ing one parameter at a time on the NFB, the total discounted cost(TDC) of satisfying waterdemand(i.e.,TDC=min{CostPFN,fini +Z*})

    and the rainwater tank size is evaluated while all other parame-

    ters remains the same as previously defined. The effect of varying

    the number of residents from2 to 13 in Case A, the roof area from

    80 to 300m2 in Case B, the discount rate from 3% to 12% in Case

    C, the average daily water consumption per capita from 80 to 195Liters in Case D, the unit cost of building rainwater tank from 156

    to336TL/m3 inCase E andfinally,several rainfall profilecharacter-

    istics in Case F were examined andcritically analyzed.

    4.1. Case A

    The impact of varying the number of residents from 2 to 13 is

    examined and the results are presented in Fig. 4, which indicates

    the optimal tank size, the resulting NFB and TDC. The results show

    thatwhen the numberof residents is less than5 orgreater than12,

    buildinga rainwater tank is notfinancially feasible. Inotherwords,

    the RWH systemwould not be able to recover the capital invest-

    ment over its useful lifetime. Thus, in the presenceof less than5 or

    greater than 12 residents, it is cheaper to use water from the util-ity network in catering for the demand. The NFB is positive for five

    persons, increases steadily to its maximum at nine residents, and

    then decreases gradually as the number of residents increases as

    shown in Fig. 4. The corresponding optimal tank size is 4.9m3 for

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    200

    220

    240

    260

    280

    300

    580

    600

    620

    640

    660

    680

    700

    720

    740

    760

    780

    NFB

    TDC

    Roof Area (m2)

    Ne

    tFinanc

    ialBenef

    it(TL)

    8880

    8900

    8920

    8940

    8960

    8980

    9000

    9020

    9040

    9060

    9080

    To

    talDiscoun

    tedCost

    (TL)

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    200

    220

    240

    260

    280

    300

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    Tan

    kSize

    (m3)

    Roof Area (m2)

    Fig. 5. Effect of varying the roof area on thetank size andeconomic benefit.

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    0.0

    8

    0.0

    9

    0.1

    0

    0.1

    1

    0.1

    2

    0.1

    3

    0.1

    4

    0.1

    5

    0.1

    6

    0.1

    7

    0.1

    8

    0.1

    9

    0.2

    0

    0

    400

    800

    1200

    1600

    2000

    2400

    2800

    NFB

    TDC

    Consumption per cubic meter per capita

    Ne

    tFinanc

    ial

    Bene

    fit(TL)

    5000

    6000

    7000

    8000

    9000

    10000

    11000

    12000

    13000

    To

    talDiscoun

    ted

    Cos

    t(TL)

    0.0

    8

    0.0

    9

    0.1

    0

    0.1

    1

    0.1

    2

    0.1

    3

    0.1

    4

    0.1

    5

    0.1

    6

    0.1

    7

    0.1

    8

    0.1

    9

    0.2

    0

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    Tan

    kSi

    ze

    (m3)

    Consumption per cubic meter per capita

    Fig. 6. Effect of varying daily water consumption on thetank size andeconomic benefit.

    the predicted maximum NFB of 2983TL. Note that more rainwa-

    terand/or freshwater is neededto satisfy increasingwaterdemanddueto a largernumberofresidents andthewayto increasethe sup-

    ply of rainwater is to build a larger tank size. We indeed observe

    a larger rainwater tank size in Fig. 4 as the number of residents

    increases (i.e. 2.2m3 for 58 residents, 4.9m3 for 9 residents and

    10.7m3 for1012residents) until thelatterbecomes 13.However,

    therainfallmay notfillup the largertank sizes sufficientlyand one

    may still need to purchase freshwater to satisfy thewater demand.

    This is what happens when the number of residents exceeds 12

    and it becomes financially better to satisfy all water demand by

    purchasing freshwater than by building a large tank size incurring

    a high capital installationcost besides thecost of purchasing fresh-

    water.We also observe that theTDCincreasesexponentially as the

    number of residents increases as depicted in Fig. 4.

    4.2. Case B

    For the considered roof areas from80 to 300m2, the results are

    presented in Fig. 5, which shows that RWH roof area has a linear

    relationship with the optimal tank size, the NFB, and the TDC. In

    other words, increasing the roof area leads to increase in both the

    tank size and the NFB, and decrease in the TDC.

    4.3. Case C

    The effect of changing the daily water consumption level

    between 80 and 195l per capita is presented in Fig. 6, which indi-

    catestheoptimaltanksize,theNFB,andtheTDC.Ascanbeobserved

    from Fig. 6, the optimal tank size predicted by the model is not

    sensitiveto thedaily consumptionlevel.Whenthedailywater con-

    sumption per capita is greater than 0.10m3, the optimal tank size

    to build stays constant at the size of 2.2m3 whereas no rainwater

    tank is recommended to build when the daily water consumption

    per capitais less than0.10m3. Ontheother hand, theNFB ofimple-

    menting a RWH system enhances with an increase in the daily

    water consumption per capita as expected.

    4.4. Case D

    Theresultsdueto varying the discountratebetween 3%and13%

    arepresented in Fig. 7. The results in Fig. 7 reveal that the optimal

    2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910

    11

    12

    13

    0

    400

    800

    1200

    1600

    2000

    2400

    2800

    NFB

    TDC

    Discount Rate (%)

    Ne

    tFinanc

    ialBene

    fit(TL

    )

    5500

    6000

    6500

    7000

    7500

    8000

    8500

    9000

    9500

    10000

    10500

    11000

    11500

    To

    talDiscoun

    tedCos

    t(TL)

    2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910

    11

    12

    13

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    Tan

    kSize

    (m3)

    Discount Rate (%)

    Fig. 7. Effect of varying daily water consumption on thetank size andeconomic benefit.

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    160

    180

    200

    220

    240

    260

    280

    300

    320

    340

    550

    600

    650

    700

    750

    800

    850

    900

    NFB

    TDC

    Unit Cost of Tank (TL/m3)

    Ne

    tFinanc

    ialBene

    fit

    (TL)

    8750

    8800

    8850

    8900

    8950

    9000

    9050

    9100

    9150

    To

    talDiscoun

    tedCost

    (TL)

    160

    180

    200

    220

    240

    260

    280

    300

    320

    340

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    Tan

    kSize(

    m3)

    Unit Cost of Tank (TL/m3)

    Fig. 8. Effect of varying theunit cost of building thetank on thetank size andeconomic benefit.

    tank size to build, the NFB, and the TDC decrease as the discount

    rate increases. In particular, when thediscount rate is greater than

    8%, the proposed model does not recommend building the RWH

    system (i.e. tank size is equal to zero). This result is due to the fact

    that the net present value of the cost of purchasingwater from the

    utility network gets smaller as thediscount rate increaseswhereas

    the capital cost of building the RWH system stays constant. Thus,

    high discount rates make the option of purchasing freshwater to

    satisfy all water demand financially more attractive than building

    a RWHsystem.

    4.5. Case E

    Changing the unit cost of building a rainwater tank has a

    significant impact not only on the economic benefit associated

    with implementing the RWH system but also on the optimal

    tank size as presented in Fig. 8. As expected, the NFB and the

    tank size decrease with the corresponding increase in the unit

    cost of building the tank. In Fig. 8, it is observed that there is a

    threshold value of this cost after which it is not recommended to

    build a rainwater tank. Specifically, when the unit cost of build-

    ing the tank exceeds 336TL/m3, the model recommended not

    building a tank. On the other hand, the TDC increases with a

    gradually decreasing rate as the unit cost of building the tank

    increases.

    4.6. Case F

    In this case, rainfall data of seven rainfall stations in Northern

    Cyprus are utilized in the sensitivity analysis. The stations were

    selected in a way not only to represent all the regions in the coun-

    try but also to reflect the differences in the statistical coefficient

    of variation (CV) values. The rainfall station location and regions

    are as follows: Karpaz for the Karpaz Peninsula with a CV of 1.01,

    Kyrenia for the North Coast with a CV of 1.00, Iskele for the East

    coastwitha CVof0.90, Guzelyurt for theWestMesaoria Plainwith

    a CV of 0.89, Kantara for the Besparmak Mountain with a CV of

    0.86, Dortyol for the East Mesaoria Plain with a CV of 0.82, and

    NicosiafortheMiddleMesaoriaPlainwitha CVof0.74, respectively.

    Sep

    t.

    Oc

    t.

    Nov.

    Dec.

    Jan.

    Fe

    b.

    Mar.

    Apr.

    May

    Jun.

    Ju

    l.

    Aug.

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    Average

    Mon

    thlyRa

    infall(mm

    )

    Kantara

    Karpaz

    Kyrenia

    Gzelyurt

    Dortyol

    Nicosia

    Iskele

    Fig. 9. Average monthly rainfall distribution of the selected stations.

    Themonthlydistributionof theselectedrainfallstationsis depicted

    in Fig. 9, which indicates that the maximum rainfall occurs in

    Decemberwhile theminimumoccurs in July and August. In Fig. 10,

    the optimal tank size and the NFB associatedwith seven locations

    are presented. It is observed that contrary to the assumption thatincrease in rainfall will lead to an increase in the optimal tank size

    and the NFB, the observed result shows that optimal tank size and

    the NFB is actually more sensitive to the distribution of rainfall

    over themonths than the annualaverage rainfall. Forexample, the

    optimal tank size for Dortyol, which has an annual average rain-

    fall depth of 268mm, is 2.8m3 relative to the sizes of 2.2m3 and

    1.5m3 predicted for Kyrenia and Guzelyurt with average annual

    rainfall of464mmand281mm, respectively.AlthoughDortyolhas

    the lowestannualaveragerainfall,itsNFBismorethanthatofGuze-

    lyurt and Karpaz which have better rainfall amounts on average.

    The results in Fig. 10 reveal that it is wrong to make assumptions

    on the financial benefit of RWH systems based on average rain-

    fall data of an area without considering variability in the rainfall

    amounts.

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    Kan

    tara

    Karpaz

    Kyren

    ia

    Iske

    le

    Nicos

    ia

    Guze

    lyurt

    Dortyo

    l620

    640

    660

    680

    700

    720

    740

    760

    NFB

    TDC

    Ne

    tFinanc

    ial

    Bene

    fit(TL)

    8880

    8900

    8920

    8940

    8960

    8980

    9000

    9020

    9040

    To

    talDiscoun

    tedCos

    t(TL)

    Kan

    tara

    Karpaz

    Kyren

    ia

    Iske

    le

    Nicos

    ia

    Guze

    lyurt

    Dortyo

    l0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1.0

    1.1

    1.2

    CV

    Tank Size

    Coe

    fficiento

    fVaria

    tion

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    Tan

    kS

    ize

    (m3)

    Fig. 10. Effectof varying rainfall profiles on theoptimal tank size andeconomic benefit.

    5. Conclusion

    In this paper, a mathematical model based on linear program-

    minghasbeenproposedandused inthe optimal sizingof rainwater

    storage tank for domestic rainwater harvesting and storage. The

    proposed optimization model determines the optimal size of the

    rainwater tank to build at minimum total discounted cost. The

    model was applied to a case study from Northern Cyprus, which

    showed through sensitivity analysis how some parameters affect

    both the net financial benefit and the optimal rainwater tank size.

    Thesensitivity analysis reveals that the optimal tank size increases

    with the roof area, but decreaseswith an increase in the discount

    rate and the unit cost of building the tank. On the other hand, the

    net financial benefit associatedwith implementing rainwater har-vesting increases with an increase in the roof area and the daily

    water consumption per capita but decreases with an increase in

    thediscount rate and the unit cost of building thetank. Until (resp.

    after) a threshold value, an increase in the number of residents

    leads to an increase (resp. decrease) in the optimal tank size and

    the net financial benefit. We have also found that the daily con-

    sumption level per capita has no effect on the optimal tank size

    whereas the monthly distribution of rainfall significantly affects

    both the optimal tank size and the net financial benefit.

    As discussed in Section 2, we considered monthly time periods

    in our LPmodel due to the scarcity of daily rainfall data. However,

    the use of daily rainfall data leads tomore realistic results than the

    useofmonthlydata because consecutiveheavyrainfallsin amonth

    maycauseoverflowingof the rainwater tank several timesandthiscan only be captured by a daily analysis. Therefore, if daily rainfall

    data is present, it is better to perform an analysis with daily data

    which can be done by adapting the proposed LPmodel to the use

    of daily rainfall anddemanddata.

    Last but not least, as shown by the case study application, the

    proposed LP model is an effective tool that can be used by pub-

    lic authorities or individuals to make feasibility analysis of RWH

    systems at residential housing units.

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