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1 USD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy USD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 July 21, 2009 AP base slides 1st quarter 2009 for Gilroy brief.ppt

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Page 1: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

11OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

OSD UpdateOSD Update2009 GACTE Conference 2009 GACTE Conference

Mr. Christopher ArendtMr. Christopher Arendt

Accessions PolicyAccessions Policy

OUSD (P&R)(MPP)OUSD (P&R)(MPP)

July 21, 2009July 21, 2009AP base slides 1st quarter 2009 for Gilroy brief.ppt

Page 2: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

22OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

OSD Accession Policy (AP)OSD Accession Policy (AP)

• AP’s Mission– Recruiting– Academies– ROTC– Accession Standards (medical too)– ASVAB Testing– Recruiting bonuses and GI Bill– USMEPCOM (65 MEPS)– JROTC

Page 3: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

33OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

Recruiting 2008 In ReviewRecruiting 2008 In Review

• Successful recruiting year

• Recruit quality concerns persisted

• Greater use of bonuses– Congressional concern

• Challenges still lie ahead– Ensure adequate recruiting resources

– Improve recruit quality

Page 4: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

44OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

Total ForceTotal ForceFY 2008FY 2008

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

Army Navy Marine Corps Air Force

Reserve

Guard

Active

1.06M

407K

225K

511K

370K

468K

1.4M

Source: DMDCNote: Reserve and Guard numbers SELRES only

Page 5: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

55OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

Total Force RecruitingTotal Force RecruitingFY 2008FY 2008

Active Guard and Reserve

Enlisted Officer Enlisted Officer

Army 80,517 8,472 105,062 9,572

Navy 38,485 4,286 9,134 1,777

Marine Corps 37,991 1,966 7,628 946

Air Force 27,848 4,557 18,072 2,661

Total DoD 184,841 19,281 139,896 14,956

Source: Services (enlisted); DMDC (officers)

Page 6: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

66OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

• Challenges– Global War on Terrorism

• OPTEMPO (8th year of conflict)

– Influencers desire to recommend service

– Propensity to serve

– Shrinking pool of qualified youth• Only ~30% of youth qualified and eligible to serve!

– Higher Army and Marine Corps manpower requirements

• Mitigating Factors– Declining economy (rising unemployment)

– Improved situation in Iraq

– Adequate recruiting resources

Recruiting Environment Recruiting Environment in 2009in 2009

Page 7: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

77OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

FY 2009 Active Accession FY 2009 Active Accession Achievement Through JuneAchievement Through June

Quantity Quality

Service Accessions Goal Percent of

Goal

% High School Diploma Graduate

(HSDG); DoD Benchmark =

90 percent

% Scoring at / above 50th

Percentile on Armed Forces Qualification;

DoD Benchmark =

60 percent

% Scoring at / below 30th

Percentile on Armed Forces Qualification;

DoD Benchmark = 4

percent

Army 48,565 46,550 104% G 94% G 67% G 2% G

Navy 25,872 25,872 100% G 94% G 77% G 0% G

Marine Corps

22,699 19,071 119% G 99% G 69% G 1% G

Air Force 24,358 24,322 100% G 99% G 80% G 0% G

DoD Total 121,494 115,815 105% 96% 72% 1%

Source: Services

Page 8: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

88OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

18%

17%

16%

82%

67%

59%

52%

51%

39%

38%

36%

28%

25%

23%

22%

19%

The Military

Small Business

The Police

The Church

The Presidency

Supreme Court

Public Schools

Medical System

Justice System

Newspapers

Television News

Banks

Organized Labor

HMOs

Congress

Big Business

Confidence in The MilitaryConfidence in The Military (2009)(2009)

Source: The Gallup Poll® June 2009

Page 9: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

99OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

DoD Total for Active Duty

10.2%40.6%18.1%

31.2%

Never Deployed Deployed Once Deployed Twice Deployed Three or More Times

Active Duty Deployment Statistics*Active Duty Deployment Statistics*Active Duty Regular Ever Deployed for OEF/OIFActive Duty Regular Ever Deployed for OEF/OIF

(Based on end strength as of December 31, 2008)(Based on end strength as of December 31, 2008)

* Based on all active duty regular members in the DMDC Active Duty End Strength Files and deployments in CTS Deployment File

Total members currently in the Active Duty Regular 1,388,422  

Total members deployed for OEF/OIF 825,382 59.4%

Total members who deployed once 433,467 31.2%

Total members who deployed twice 250,788 18.1%

Total members who deployed three or more times 141,127 10.2%

Members who have not been deployed 563,040 40.6%

Page 10: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

1010OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

34% 34%36%

33%

25% 25%23%

25%

44%

49%46% 47%

42%44%

47%

38%40%

46%

39%

35%32%

30%33%31%

30%33%

36%

41%38%

34% 34%

29%

35%

29%

34%32%

27% 26% 25%23%

26% 27%23% 24%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Jul -Sep

Oct -Dec

Jan -Mar

Apr -Jun

Jul -Sep

Oct -Dec

Jan -Mar

Apr -Jun

Jul -Sep

Oct -Dec

Jan -Mar

May- Jun

Jul -Sep

Oct -Dec

Jan-Mar

Apr-Jun

Jul-Sep

Oct-Dec

Jan-Mar

Apr-Jun

Jul-Sep

Oct-Dec

Dads Moms

= significant change from previous period

Likelihood to Likelihood to Recommend Military Recommend Military

ServiceService

Source: Department of Defense Advertising Tracking Study

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

• Among dads likelihood to recommend significantly declined from four and five years ago.

% Likely (Very Likely / Likely)

How likely is it that you would recommend joining a military Service such as the Army, Navy, Marine Corps, Air Force or Coast Guard?

2008

= significant change from previous poll

= Significant change from previous poll

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1111OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

FPP9: How likely is it that you will be serving in the military in the next few years?Response options: Definitely, Probably, Probably Not, Definitely Not

21%

13%12%

15%17%

6%

9%7%

8% 8%10%

9%7%

8%7%

6%4% 4%

6%

10%

14%

21%22%

19%22%

23%

20%

15%

23%

18%

0%

10%

20%

30%

Apr-01 Aug-01 Nov-01 Nov-02 Jun-03 Nov-03 May-04 Nov-04 Jun-05 Dec-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08

Male Female = significant change from previous poll

Source: Department of Defense Youth Polls

Military PropensityMilitary PropensityBy GenderBy Gender

%Definitely/Probably

Note: Youth age 16-21 = Significant change from previous poll

Page 12: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

1212OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

FPP9: How likely is it that you will be serving in the military in the next few years?Response options: Definitely, Probably, Probably Not, Definitely Not

11%

8%7%

8%

11%

16%14%

15%16%

21%

16%15%

16%

9%

20%

27%

24%25% 25%

27%

22%20%

25%

11%

16%

10%12%

9%11%

13%12%

10%

12%

12%

9%

16%

13%10%

17%

9%11%

16%

13%14%

14%

0%

10%

20%

30%

Apr-01 Aug-01

Nov-01

Nov-02

Jun-03 Nov-03

May-04

Nov-04

Jun-05 Dec-05

Jun-06 Jun-07 Dec-07

Jun-08 Dec-08

White Black Hispanic= significant change from previous poll

Source: Department of Defense Youth Polls

General Military PropensityGeneral Military PropensityBy Race/EthnicityBy Race/Ethnicity

%Definitely/Probably

Note: Youth age 16-21

= significant change from previous poll

= Significant change from previous poll

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1313OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

Qualified Military AvailableQualified Military Available4.7 out of 31.2 million 17-24 year olds4.7 out of 31.2 million 17-24 year olds

Medical/Physical, 35%

Drugs, 18%

Dependents , 6%

Conduct, 5%Qualified HSDG I-IIIA,

3%

Qualified College Graduates, 2%

Qualified Non-HSDG I-IIIA & HSDG IIIB, 4%

Qualified Non-HSDG IIIB-IV & HSDG IV, 6%

Qualified College Enrolled I-IV, 10%

AFQT V, 9%(Disqualified)

Target marke

t (1.6M)

Youth population will continue to grow to 35 million by 2025

Represents market

available for recruiting; about 4.7 million

Source: The Lewin Group

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19.9%21.2% 21.4%

19.7%18.2%

17.2%16.5%

15.7%14.8%

13.7%12.7%12.3%

11.1%11.1%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

% of Young Adults BMI > 30

Since 1991, the percent of young adults ages 18 to 34 who are considered obese (BMI greater than 30) has steadily

increased.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Survey Data. Atlanta, Georgia: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, [1995-2008].

Obesity Trends: 1995-2008Obesity Trends: 1995-2008(BMI ≥ 30, for 18 – 34 Year Olds)(BMI ≥ 30, for 18 – 34 Year Olds)

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1515OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

Obesity Trends: 1991Obesity Trends: 1991(BMI (BMI ≥ 30, for 18 ≥ 30, for 18 –– 34 Year Olds) 34 Year Olds) No Data <10% 10%-14%

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Survey Data. Atlanta, Georgia: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. (1991).

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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Survey Data. Atlanta, Georgia: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. (2003).

10%-14% 15%-19% 20%-24% ≥ 25%

Obesity Trends: 2003Obesity Trends: 2003(BMI ≥ 30, for 18 – 34 Year Olds)(BMI ≥ 30, for 18 – 34 Year Olds)

Page 17: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

1717OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

Obesity Trends: 2007Obesity Trends: 2007(BMI ≥ 30, for 18 – 34 Year Olds)(BMI ≥ 30, for 18 – 34 Year Olds)

15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Survey Data. Atlanta, Georgia: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. (2007).

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1818OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

Obesity Trends: 2008Obesity Trends: 2008(BMI ≥ 30, for 18 – 34 Year Olds)(BMI ≥ 30, for 18 – 34 Year Olds)

15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Survey Data. Atlanta, Georgia: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. (2008)

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1919OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

New Recruits are Representative of New Recruits are Representative of American Youth-2008American Youth-2008

New Recruits American Youth

African American

14.8% 15.0%

Hispanic 14.3% 17.4%

Women 15.7% 49.6%

Education 92% HSDG 70%-80% HSDG

Aptitude 69% 50%

Page 20: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

2020OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

18.0% 21.0% 21.3% 21.3% 18.6%24.9%

24.4%21.7%

18.3%10.7%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Poorest QuintileNeighborhoods

Next Poorest QuintileNeighborhoods

Middle QuintileNeighborhoods

Next Richest QuintileNeighborhoods

Richest QuintileNeighborhoods

Per

cen

tag

e o

f A

ll R

ecru

its

1999 Recruits 2007 Recruits

Rising Income Level of U.S. Rising Income Level of U.S. Military RecruitsMilitary Recruits

Sources: Heritage Foundation calculations based on data from OUSD (P&R), October 2000-September 2007 Non-Prior Service Active Duty Accessions, And U.S. Census Bureau, United States Census 2000

• Socio-Economic Status: Most Recruits Come From Middle and Upper-Middle Income Families

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2121OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

Items of InterestItems of Interest

• Child Soldier Testimony at the United Nations

• Military Accessions Vital to the National Interest

• Post 9-11 GI Bill

• JROTC

– Certification and State Boards of Education

– Community Emergency Response Team

– Expansion

Page 22: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

2222OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

2009 NDAA2009 NDAA

• JROTC Expansion– Increase to at least 3,700 units by 2020– Congressional Reporting Requirement

• Plan to achieve the growth

• Actions to encourage hiring of those retired due to disability with a concentration on those wounded in combat action

– Service Unit Goals / Funded Units• Army: 1910 / 1910

• Air Force: 955 / 905

• Navy: 710 / 646

• Marine Corps: 275 / 235

– FUNDING CHALLENGED• Need $170,000,000

Page 23: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

2323OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

ChallengesChallenges

• JROTC Instructor Certification• Title 10 -“The Secretary of each military department shall

establish and maintain a Junior Reserve Officers’ Training Corps,….”

• Title 10 - “The Secretary of the military department concerned may authorize qualified institutions to employ,…retired officers and noncommissioned officers,… whose qualifications are approved by the Secretary and the institution concerned…”

• DoDI 1205.13 – “JROTC instructors shall be certified by the Military Service to teach.”

– NLT 5 years from employment OR 2012 (Greater of 2) .

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2424OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

JROTC Challenges JROTC Challenges

• State’s use of NCLB HQ applied to non-core requirements

• Physical Fitness Challenges (FIT KIDS)

PE and Health embedded

Instructor certified to teach embedded subjects (10 USC 2033)

• Certified by the Secretary of the military department concerned as a qualified instructor in leadership, wellness and fitness, civics, and other courses related to the content of the program

• JROTC Career-Technical Tracks (Fits into all tracks)

• General Elective Course Credit Application

• Perceptions of JROTC Purpose (NOT RECRUITING)

– But that doesn’t mean we should impede recruiting

– Nor should we discourage Academies or ROTC

Page 25: 1 OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy OSD Update 2009 GACTE Conference Mr. Christopher Arendt Accessions Policy OUSD (P&R)(MPP) July 21, 2009 AP base

2525OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

• JROTC is a large, popular, 21st Century Learning Program that:• Hails a world-class curriculum that employs student-

centered learning

• Teaches citizenship and leadership roles

• Integrates current instructional strategies

• Maximizes award-winning multi-media materials

• Aligns to National and State Standards

• Offers college credit to cadets and instructors

• Hosts quality competitions to motivate cadets

• JROTC needs continued support in the education community

ConclusionConclusion

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2626OUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel PolicyOUSD(P&R) / Military Personnel Policy

QuestionsQuestions??