1

Jim NagleJim NagleChief/CNSChief/CNS

ICAOICAO

26 March 200726 March 2007

A PERFORMANCE BASED A PERFORMANCE BASED GLOBAL AIR NAVIGATION GLOBAL AIR NAVIGATION

SYSTEM: PART IISYSTEM: PART II

TRANSITIONTRANSITION

2

Presentation outline

Pick up on previous presentation What’s possible today Transition strategy to a global air navigation

system Performance objectives Air navigation integrated programme Conclusions

3

A Few Simple Questions

What operational capability cannot be accomplished with today’s infrastructure?Is the limitation in the aircraft?Is the limitation lack of services?Is the limitation regulatory?

4

Evolution – Phase 1Evolution – Phase 1 Evolution –Phase 3Evolution –Phase 3Evolution – Phase 2Evolution – Phase 2

NEAR-TERM MEDIUM-TERMMEDIUM-TERM LONG-TERMLONG-TERM

Based on what we Based on what we HAVEHAVEtodaytoday

Involves application of Involves application of availableavailable procedures, procedures, processes and capabilitiesprocesses and capabilities

Identifies Identifies potentialpotential “gap” “gap” requirements that focusrequirements that focusnear term work program near term work program activitiesactivities

Based on what weBased on what weKNOWKNOW today today

Involves application Involves application of of emergingemerging procedures, procedures, processes and processes and capabilitiescapabilities

IdentifiesIdentifies “gap” “gap” requirements and requirements and drives future R&Ddrives future R&D

Based on Based on CONCEPTCONCEPT expectationsexpectations

Involves application Involves application of of newnew procedures, procedures, processes and processes and capabilitiescapabilities

FillsFills “gap” “gap” requirements and requirements and sustainssustains continuous continuous improvement R&Dimprovement R&D

Overlap Period

Transition StrategyTransition Strategy

Overlap Period

5

Transition – Near-term

The Global Plan Initiatives capabilities that have been

implemented

What can’t be implemented?

Examples: Use RVSM to provide additional capacity Use datalinks to provide situational awareness Use enhanced data reporting and analysis tools to

enhance safety Standardize cross boundary coordination procedures to

enhance cost effectiveness Utilize PBN capability to fly instrument approaches,

enhancing safety [reduced CFIT] and increasing access etc

NEAR-TERM

Performance Capability Performance Capability Gap AnalysisGap Analysis

Establish Performance Establish Performance ObjectivesObjectives

Example:Increase EfficiencyEnhance CapacityImprove SafetyEnhance Cost-Effectivenessetc

Integrate Existing Capabilities with Performance Objectives Integrate Existing Capabilities with Performance Objectives

Group GPI Sets against Performance ObjectivesGroup GPI Sets against Performance Objectives

NEAR-TERM

Establish an Inventory of Establish an Inventory of Existing CapabilitiesExisting Capabilities

ICAO SARPSIndustry StandardsIndustry EquipageTechnologyFleet Equipageetc

Evolution – Phase 1 what we HAVE today

•available procedures and capabilities

•identifies potential “gaps”

•focus on near term work

6

Establish an Inventory of Establish an Inventory of Planned CapabilitiesPlanned Capabilities

Short-term capabilities +

Emerging ICAO and Industry SARPS

Emerging capabilities Emerging Technology etc

High-Level Performance High-Level Performance Gap AnalysisGap Analysis

Establish High-Level Establish High-Level Performance ObjectivesPerformance Objectives

Example: Reduce Delay Enhance Efficiency Reduce Environment

Effect etc

Integrate Capabilities with High-Level Performance Integrate Capabilities with High-Level Performance Objectives Objectives

Example: Use datalink and new RNP standards to increase

capacity Use emerging flow tools and traffic prediction to

reduce delay improve engine efficiency by 10% develop more environmentally effective route

structures. etc

Group into Operational Improvements Sets against Group into Operational Improvements Sets against Performance ObjectivesPerformance Objectives

Evolution – Phase Evolution – Phase 22 based on what

we KNOW today

application of emerging procedures, and capabilities

identifies “gaps”

drives future R&D

Transition – Medium-term

• The medium term effort is supported by the “gap” analysis outcomes of near term efforts.

• Work programs are structured towards implementation of procedures and capabilities based on validated operational requirements and cost-benefit analyses

MEDIUM-MEDIUM-TERMTERM

MEDIUM-MEDIUM-TERMTERM

7

Establish an Inventory of Establish an Inventory of Gap CapabilitiesGap Capabilities

Short- and medium-term capabilities +

Identified Gap Standards Identified Gap Capability etc

High-Level Performance High-Level Performance Gap AnalysisGap Analysis

Establish High-Level Establish High-Level Performance ObjectivesPerformance Objectives

Example: Increase Efficiency Enhance Capacity Improve Safety Enhance Cost-Effectiveness etc

Integrate Capabilities with High-Level Integrate Capabilities with High-Level Performance ObjectivesPerformance Objectives

Example: 4-D Control Self Separation Traffic Synchronization etc.

Group into Operational Improvements Sets Group into Operational Improvements Sets against Performance Objectives against Performance Objectives

Evolution – Phase 3

Transition – Long-term

• Long term efforts are focused on meeting the expectations of the ATM Operational Concept.

• New procedures, processes and capabilities will be characterized by “Performance Standards”

LONG-TERMLONG-TERMLONG-TERMLONG-TERM

based on CONCEPT expectations

application of new procedures and capabilities

Fills “gaps” sustains continuous improvement R&D

8

KPA

KPA

KPA

KPA

Notional Global Transition Roadmap

Short-Term

The Global Transition Roadmap

Medium-Term Long-Term

Establish an Inventory of Existing Capabilities

Current ICAO SARPSCurrent Industry SARPSCurrent Industry Equipage

Current TechnologyCurrent Fleet Equipageetc

Establish an Inventory of Planned Capabilities

Short-term capabilities +Emerging ICAO and

Industry SARPSEmerging EquipageEmerging Technologyetc

Establish an Inventory of Gap Capabilities

Short- and medium-term capabilities +

Identified Gap StandardsIdentified Gap Capabilityetc

High-Level Performance Gap Analysis

High-Level Performance Gap Analysis

High-Level Performance Gap Analysis

Establish High-Level Performance Objectives

Establish High-Level Performance Objectives

Establish High-Level Performance Objectives

Example:Enhance CapacityImprove SafetyEnhance Cost-effectivenessetc

Example:Increase EfficiencyEnhance CapacityImprove SafetyEnhance Cost-Effectivenessetc

Example:Reduce DelayEnhance EfficiencyReduce Environment Effectetc

Integrate Capabilities with High Level Performance Objectives

Example:Use RVSM to provide additional capacityUse datalink and RNP to provide additional capacityUse enhanced data reporting and analysis tools to enhance safety

Standardize cross-boundary coordination procedures to enhance cost effectiveness

Utilize GNSS capability to fly instrument approaches, enhancing safety [reduced CFIT] and increasing access

etc

Integrate Capabilities with High Level Performance Objectives

Integrate Capabilities with High Level Performance Objectives

Example:Use datalink and new RNP standards to increase capacityUse emerging flow tools and traffic prediction to reduce delay

Leverage the undertaking by OEMs to improve engine efficiency by 10% by 2010 to develop more environmentally effective route structures.

etc

Example:• 4-D Control• Self Separation• Traffic Synchronization• Etc.

Group into Operational Improvements Sets against Performance Objectives Group into Operational Improvements Sets against

Performance Objectives Group into Operational Improvements Sets against

Performance Objectives

Consistency Check Against Regional Plans

Consistency Check Against Local Plans

On a Regular

Basis

9

Performance Objectives

Global Performance Objective: 

Global Performance Objectives are improvements to the Air Navigation System that are on the critical path towards the Global Operational Concept and result in a direct performance enhancement, and through which differences that are obstacles to global interoperability are resolved.  Global Performance Objectives are designed to measure the effectiveness of the transition strategy and may be used to verify consistent and harmonized progress/commitment by all stakeholders.

Regional Performance Objective: 

Regional Performance Objectives are improvements to the Air Navigation System that are required to evolve the air navigation system in support of the Global Performance Objectives, and in keeping with operating environments and priorities specific to a regional level. The regional level is defined by a division of the world into homogeneous regions with similar characteristics, a common interest in terms of performance and transition planning, and that is under by a common planning and implementation group.

10

Global Transition Goal:Implementation of a seamless, global air traffic management system that will enable aircraft operators to meet their planned times of departure and arrival and adhere to their preferred flight profiles with minimum constraints and without compromising agreed levels of safety.

Supported by Global Performance Objectives that:

MaintainOperational

SafetySecurity

ImproveSystem

OperationalPerformance

MinimizeCosts

EnableTransition

HarmonizeGlobal

Interoperability

Environment

Ensure Separation

PhysicalSecurity

InfrastructureTime valueof benefit

Communications Noise

InformationSecurity

Equipage

Transition

O & M

Scalability

Cost benefitequity

Navigation

Surveillance

Databases

Data exchange

Emissions

Capacity

Delay

Access

Flexibility

Efficiency

Predictability

PerformanceBased Regulation

Performance Metric Elements

11

The ICAO Process FrameworkVision

Strategy

Tactics

Action

Global Air Navigation Plan

Global Safety Initiatives

(GSI)

Global and regional work plans as part of the business plan for

ICAO led activities

The concepts to implement the safety and efficiency strategic objectives

Global Aviation Safety

Plan

Global Performance Initiatives

(GPI)

12

A closing question

Is it policy or technology that presents the largest GAP for near term Operational Performance Objectives?

13

ConclusionsA Performance based Air Navigation System

Part I Putting performance into context Evolution-from FANS to Global ATM Global Air Navigation Plan Global Aviation Safety Plan Global ATM Operational Concept

Part II What’s possible today Transition strategy to a global air navigation system Performance objectives Air navigation integrated programme

14

ICAO is committed to meeting expectations of all stakeholders. Together we have a formidable task ahead of us: to ensure the

viability of the air navigation system of the future and its continued contribution to global economic development in a

safe, secure and efficient manner.