1 gfnorte 2q04 results. 2 contents 1.gfnorte in the industry 2.gfnorte’s results 3.banking...
TRANSCRIPT
2
Contents
1. GFNorte in the Industry
2. GFNorte’s Results
3. Banking Sector’s Results
4. Long Term Savings Sector’s Results
4
BRANCHES
Banamex BanorteHSBC SantanderBBVA-Bancomer
Scotiabank
25%
15%
20%
14%
20%
6%4°
24%
16%
19%
13%
21%
5%
1Q03
1Q04
ASSETS26%
12%
Banamex Banorte
11%
HSBCSantander
16%
4° 5%
ScotiabankBBVA-Bancomer
28% 28%
12%
10%
14%
5%
30%
Banorte vs Industry
5
CAPITALIZATION
18%
BBVA -Bancomer
15%
Scotiabank
16%
HSBC Banorte
15%
3°
Santander
11%
Banamex
12%14% 13%
16%
13%14%
12%
Banorte vs Industry
1Q03
1Q04
6
4Q01
1Q04
CORE DEPOSITS
Deposits Market Share
29%
27%
6%
10%
6%
29%
24%
5%
BBVABancomer
Banamex Banorte Scotiabank
5°
13%15%
HSBC
16%15%
SantanderSerfin
TOTAL DEPOSITS28%
22%
6%
15%13%
5%
16%
28%
22%
5%
BBVABancomer
Banamex SantanderSerfin
Banorte Scotiabank
5°
16% 16%
HSBC
7
4Q01
1Q04
ENTREPRENEURIAL LOANS
Loans Market Share
PERFORMING LOANS
29% 29%
6%9% 9% 8%9%
22%25%
10%
BBVABancomer
Banamex SantanderSerfin
HSBC Scotiabank
12%9%
Banorte
3°
24% 26%
8%5%
11% 11%
9%9%
23%
15%
7% 6%
BBVABancomer
Banamex SantanderSerfin
Banorte HSBC Scotiabank
4°
9
1,087
17.6%
29.50
2.16
1.14
13.6%
41%
6.0%
116%
1,127
15.8%
40.83
2.23
1.42
14.5%
17%
3.6%
131%
1H041H03
4%
38%
Net Income
Annualized ROE
Stock Price
EPS
P/BV
Capitalization Ratio
Loan growth w/o IPAB
Past due loan ratio w/o IPAB
Reserve Coverage
HighlightsMILLIONS OF PESOS
10
GFNorte’s Income
MILLIONS OF PESOS
2Q03
Banking
Long – Term Saving
Auxiliary Organization
Holding
GFNORTE
850
149
44
11
1,087
33Brokerage House
958
99
40
(9)
1,127
39
519
20
23
(4)
568
9
2Q04 1H04
436
69
24
3
558
26
1H03
2% 4%
12
MILLIONS OF PESOS
Income Statement
2Q03 2Q04 Var % 1H03 1H04 Var %
Net Interest Income after REPOMO 2,070 2,092 1% 4,412 4,108 (7%)
Services 513 724 41% 1,000 1,399 40%Recovery 85 126 48% 188 251 34%
Foreign Exchange 124 150 21% 211 275 31%
Trading (Securities- Realized and unrealized gains )
280 (87) (131%) 400 198 (50%)
Non Interest Income 1,001 912 (9%) 1,799 2,124 18%
Total Income 2,706 2,855 -% 5,570 5,965 7%
Non Interest Expense (2,311) (2,358) 2% (4,612) (4,811) 4%
Net Operating Income 395 497 26% 958 1,154 20%
Non Operating Income (Expense) Net 82 114 39% (51) (30) (41%)
Income Tax,profit sharing, Undistrib. Earn of Subs Extraor. Items & Min Inc. (15) (62) 327% 20 (84) (520%)
Total Net Income 463 549 19% 927 1,039 12%
Loan Loss and Loss Sharing Provisions (365) (149) (59%) (642) (267) (58%)
13
NIM vs CETES
4.9
4.3
3.9
4.2 4.1
4.3
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04 2Q04
8.8
6.3
4.65.4 5.6
6.3 CETES
NIM
14
… AS % OF EXPENSE
41%
32%
44%
33%
2001 2002 2003 1H04
31%
25%
34%
26%
2001 2002 2003 1H04
… AS % OF TOTAL INCOME
Non Interst Income
15
2001 2002 2003 1H04
5.1 4.4 4.3 2.2
2.8 2.4 2.4 1.2
1.6 1.3 1.4 0.7
1.3 1.2 1.4 0.7
10.8 9.4 9.5 4.8
Expense
BILLIONS OF PESOS
78%
87%
77%81%
2001 2002 2003 1H04
EFFICIENCY RATIO
Personnel
O & A
VAT & IPAB
Rent, depreciation & amortization
16
3.0 3.4 3.9 4.2
2.42.6
2.8 2.90.60.9
1.52.2
2001 2002 2003 2Q04
Bank
Afore
Insurance
MILLIONS
6.06.9
8.29.3
Total Customers
17
137
227 225 228
107
133 150 154
2001 2002 2003 1H04
Bank
Brokerage
265
386 407418
21
27 32 36
Assets Management
Total Resources from Customers
BILLIONS OF PESOS
18
Deposits 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 2Q04
Demand Deposits 58 59 67 64
Time Deposits 33 33 33 34
Total 90 92 100 98
Deposits Mix
64% 64% 67% 65%
36% 36% 33% 35%
100% 100% 100% 100%
1Q04
62
33
95
65%
35%
100%
Core Deposits(Billions of Pesos)
Demand Deposits
Time Deposits
20
2Q03 1Q04 2Q04VARIATION
2Q03 1Q04 2Q04
64
7175
Commercial 19 24 25 5% 31%
Corporate 18 13 14 6% (19%)
Government 8 10 10 1% 23%
TOTAL 64 71 75 5% 17%
Consumer 19 24 26 7% 34%
Loan Portfolio(Billions of Pesos)
Q on Q Y on Y
21
2Q03 1Q04 2Q04
19
24 26
2Q03 1Q04 2Q04
4 6 6 4% 36%
2 3 3 10% 47%
1 1 2 12% 93%
Consumer 19 24 26 7% 34%
VARIATION
Car loans
Credit Cards
Payroll loans
12 14 15 7% 27%Mortgage
Consumer and Mortgage Loan Portfolio
(Billions of Pesos)
Q on Q Y on Y
22
Number of New Loans
CREDIT CARDS CAR LOANS
MORTGAGE
43,620
53,887
1H03 1H04
24%
19,823 19,751
1H03 1H04
3,264
4,598
1H03 1H04
41%
=
23
Loan Portfolio
Corporate38%
Commercial27%
Government9%
Consumer25%
Corporate19%
Commercial33%
Government13%
Consumer35%
2002 1H04
Ps 66,000 Millions 14% Ps 75,000
Millions
24
BILLIONS OF DE PESOS
LOANPORTFOLIO
IPAB / FOBAPROA
1996 1997
43
105
2001
147
2002
153
2003
152
21%
71%
66%
59%51%
2Q04
150
48%
79% 29%34%
41%49% 52%
Loan Portfolio
25
Fobaproa – IPAB Notes
1S´04 YIELD MATURITY
BANCRECER 46 TIIE + 40 pb
BANCEN - BANPAIS 19 TIIE + 85 pb
BANORTE (FOBAPROA) 7 CETES – 135 pb
2009
2010
2005/2006
72TOTAL
BILLIONS OF DE PESOS
26
Asset Quality
Past Due Loan
Loan Loss Reserves
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 2Q04
RESERVE COVERAGE
1Q04
3.6 4.0 3.5 3.6 2.8
4.5 4.7 4.5 4.4 3.7
3.6
4.6
Past Due Loan Ratio (exc. IPAB)
131%127%116%
128% 122%
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 2Q04
130%
1Q04
3.6%
5.6%6.0%
5.0% 4.8%
1Q03 2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 2Q04
4.8%
1Q04
Loan Portfolio 64 68 71 75 7875
BILLIONS OF DE PESOS
27
Recovery Bank
Net Income
CONTRIBUTION TO GFNORTE’S NET INCOME
23%
32%33%
29%
2001 2002 2003 1H04
2001 2002 2003 1H04
484 561 714 263
MILLIONS OF PESOS
28
27 26 24 23
20 1714 13
1817 21 23
2001 2002 2003 2Q04
6560 59 59
Recovery Banking
Assets Under Management
(Billions of Pesos at Face Value)
Banorte risk(owned + auctions)
Serfin Portfolio
IPAB Portfolio(servicing)
29
Capitalization Ratio
Tier 1
Tier 2
TOTAL
10.9%
2.4%
13.4%
1Q03
11.2% 11.4% 10.5% 10.5%
2.4% 2.4% 2.2% 5.0%
13.6% 13.8% 12.7% 15.4%
2Q03 3Q03 4Q03 1Q04
10.7%
3.8%
14.5%
2Q04
31
Afore
547
10
1620
25 28
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 1H04
BILLIONS OF PESOS
1.2
2.92.82.62.4
1.61.4
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 1H04
CUSTOMERSMILLIONS
32
0.8 0.9 1.0
1.41.8 1.7
GROSS WRITTEN PREMIUMS
BILLIONS OF PESOS
2.21.5
0.90.6
CUSTOMERSMILLIONS
Insurance
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 1H04
0.4
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 1H04
0.50.40.2
33
Contribution to GFNorte’s Net Income
2001 2002 2003 1H04
Afore 5.9% 6.2% 5.0% 4.4%
Insurance 0.5% 2.0% 3.6% 3.0%
Annuities (0.4%) 0.0% 1.3% 1.5%
9%10%8%
6%
2001 2002 2003 1H04
… LONG TERM SAVINGS SECTOR