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João SaraivaPTSE Manager Coordinator
ELECTRIC SECTOR TRANSFORMATION PROGRAM (PTSE)
18th A.P.U.A. CongressLuanda – September 11th 2014
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AO
1. Angola’s Power Sector
2. Electric Sector Transformation Program and Market Model
3. PTSE Phases and Progress
4. Future Perspectives
AGENDA
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Angola’s Power Sector2025 GoalsThe Presidential Decree 256/11 established a set of objectives for the electricity sector, reinforcing the importance of electricity to the country.
Reduce tariff subsidization
Develop an optimal generation mix, making better use of Angola’s natural resources
Develop the capabilities of the local workforce
System Sustainability
Improve the efficiency of public companies
Implement a new market model that allows for cost reductions
Develop a new regulatory model encouraging efficiency
Industry Competitivene
ss
Increase the electricity rate from 30% to 60%
Quadruple generation capacity from current ~2.0 GW para ~9.5 GW in 2025
Extend more than 2.500 km of lines and substations in the transmission grid, and establish international interconnections
Rehabilitate distribution networks, adding more than 1.5 million consumers
Ensure and Increase
Electricity Supply
i
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2002 2013 2017 20250.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
0.55 0.87
4.83
6.88
0.33
1.10
1.50
1.60
0.43
0.78
Other Renevables Combined Cycle
Conventonal Thermal Hydro
Angola’s Power SectorSector challenges and progressTo successfully achieve the proposed goals in the energy sector a large amount of investment is necessary in generation assets and grid infrastructure.
2003 2013 2017 20250
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2,051
3,354
5,000
5,500
2002 2013 2017 20250.0
500,000.0
1,000,000.0
1,500,000.0
2,000,000.0
2,500,000.0
3,000,000.0
210,000.0
816,100.7
1,228,549.5
2,414,604.4
Installed capacity(GW)
2,0 GW
6,9 GW
Source: 2002 Data – Development of a Energy Strategy , IEA; 2013 Data – MINEA Expanded Council Board; Financial Reports ENE e EDEL; 2017 and 2025 estimated data - PSEA 2009
x4
Transmission grid(Kilometers)
# Consumers(Millions)
x1.5
x3
9,5 GW
0,88 GW
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CABINDA
ZAIRE UIGE
L. NORTE
L. SUL
MOXICO
MALANJEK. NORTE
K. SUL
BENGO
LUANDA
HUAMBO
BENGUELA
K. KUBANGO
HUILA
CUNENE
NAMIBE
SE. Capanda elevadora
SE. Cambambe*
How to take advantage of Angolan natural resources
Grid connections until 2025
Angola’s Power SectorElectrification enhancers Angola is managing large, concurrent infrastructure developments, carefully planned to take advantage of Angola's national resources – natural gas, hydro, wind and solar.
Benefit from the hydro potential of Kwanza river – Laúca and Caculo-Cabaça
International interconnection with Namibia and Congo
NAMIBIA
CONGO
Rural electrification with distributed renewables sources
National integration of transmission systems
North System
Center System
South System
East System
Install combined cycle gas turbines, partnering with Sonangol/ Angola LNG
SIMPLIFICATION
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AO
1. Angola’s Power Sector
2. Electric Sector Transformation Program and Market Model
3. PTSE Phases and Progress
4. Future Perspectives
AGENDA
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Electric Sector Transformation Program GoalsIn addition to infrastructure investments, MINEA considered necessary to establish a package of initiatives to allow a progressive restructuration and a orderly development of the Power Sector, by creating PTSE.
Other Initiatives (non exhaustive)
Restructure the current organizational model
Ensure economic and financial sustainability of the system
Promote the entry of private capital
Strengthen the regulator role in the new Market Model
Expand the distribution network – rural (Solar Village) and urban
Expand the pre-payment model
Establish public-private partnerships
Electric Sector Transformation Program (PTSE)
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Electric Sector Transformation ProgramInstitutional reform of public companies The Electricity Sector Transformation Program (PTSE) seeks to improve efficiency by unbundling activities and a new market regulation that allows private participation.
Future status
Transmission National Company
Distribution National Company
Private Concessions
Generation National Company
Private Investors
Engineering Office (for strategic projects)
Restructuring of Public Companies
Distribution and Customer
Operations
Transmission
GenerationPrivate
Investors
Munici-palities
Value Chain Current status
Regulation
Engineering
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Distribution National Company
Transmission National Company
Transmission
Generation National Company
Distribution Generation
PTSE Includes organizational and corporate restructuring, leading to the establishment of three new public companies, one per phase of electricity value chain.
Distribution
Generation
Engineering Office
(for strategic projects)
Generation
Distribution
Transmission
Electric Sector Transformation ProgramInstitutional reform of public companies
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New Market ModelPrinciples and agentsThe design principles considered in the definition of the new model are listed below:
Market opening (ex.: generation and distribution) Promote the entry of private capital Greater transparency and competitiveness among
companies New tariff model to reduce system costs and subsidies
Expected Results
Design Principles
Strengthen the regulator role (IRSE) Competitive processes for both public and private generation Independent Transmission Operation, also acting as Single Buyer
for all electricity generated in Public Electric System (SEP) Long-term Power Purchase Agreements (PPA) “Merit order” for generation dispatch based on PPAs
Wholesale buyerSingle BuyerMarket Operator
Transmission
Wholesale seller
Distribution Public
Generation
Private Generation
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New Market ModelMarket economic modelThe new sector configuration is supported by the new market model defined in Regulation, increasing the control of the economic flows and energy supply.
MO operates the Compensation Fund and pays Distributor
IRSE
PAYMENT FLOW – AGENT RETRIBUTION
Customers pay Distributor
Distributor pays Market Operator (MO)Market
Operator pays Generators
PPAsPrices
UniformPrices
RegulatedTariff
Generation and billing of energy
supplied to Single Buyer
Transmission and billing of energy
supplied to Distribution
Distribution and billing to AT, MT, BT
customers
ENERGY SUPPLY FLOW
Transmission(Single Buyer)
DistributionPublic and Private Generation
CustomersBT Pre-paymentBT Post-payment
ATMT
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Tariff-
DISTRIBUTION TO
CUSTOMER Billing
Subsidy to customer
SECTOR COSTS
Regulated Price
Regulated* Tariffs
PPAs* Prices
New Market ModelTariff compositionTariffs are calculated by adding the real cost of the Agents. The Government is subsidizing the final tariff in order to not charge the customers with the high system costs.
Exploration Costs
Investment Retribution
GENERATIONTO
TRANSMISSION Billing
TRANSMISSION
Exploration Costs
Investment Retribution
TRANSMISSION TO
DISTRIBUTION Billing
DISTRIBUTION
Additive tariff
SIMPLIFIED
Exploration Costs
Investment Retribution
GENERATION
Segment specific costs
Energy cost of immediately preceding step of the value chain* PPA prices negotiated between Market Operator and each Generator, with IRSE supervision and Regulated Tariffs fixed by the Government, with IRSE supervision
Pays the generation total costs
Pays the transmission total costs
Pays the distribution total costs
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13© 2014. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce or allow access to third parties without prior authorization from the Ministry of Energy and Water - Republic of Angola.
AO
1. Angola’s Power Sector
2. Electric Sector Transformation Program and Market Model
3. PTSE Phases and Progress
4. Future Perspectives
AGENDA
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PTSE Phases and ProgressPTSE’s phased planPTSE is structured in three phases. At the moment is about to finish the second one, by the establishment of the new public companies for the power sector.
Confirmation of the expected market model Identification of open / pending issues Communication to companies senior management Release of restructuring and change
1. Diagnostic, Mobilization and Change
Management
CONCLUDED
Restructuring of IRSE, GAMEK and Public Companies Market model & regulation and IRSE training Capability development of the electric sector Implementation plan of operational improvements Program and change management
2. Electric Sector
Restructuring (Unbundling)
CONCLUDING
Detailed design of the new operating model Pilots in reference areas Effective implementation of operational improvements of the new
companies :
• Focus on the most critical areas
• Progressive rollout along geographies and isolated systems
3. Operational and Functional
Improvement of Public
Companies
2014-2016
i
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PROVINCE OF LUANDA
Cazenga Thermal Power Plant
Viana Transmission Substation
Viana (EDEL) technical and commercial area
PROVINCE OF MALANJE
Capanda Hydric Power Plant
Transmission
Distribution
Generation
PROVINCE OF BENGUELA
Benguela Area
Lobito Area
Catumbela Area
Baía Farta Area
GENERATION
• Actions over maintenance and operations plans of critical assets to increase their availability
• Actions over supply chain to ensure the availability of the parts and to reduce storage costs
TRANSMISSION
• Permit to work coordination in the system operator (CONS) to increase the system availability
• Maintenance management to reduce unavailability times and increase assets productivity and lifetime
DISTRIBUTION
• Technical operational improvements
• The establishment of a Work Orders Programming Centre in order to reduce failures resolution time
• Commercial operational improvements
• On field identification of consumers and contract regularization to improve electricity readings and to increase income
• Optimization of commercial functions to reduce service times and improve customer service
• Definition of Pre-payment and Agent models
IRSE - REGULATION
• Statistical information systematization and tariff analysis
• Concession contracts development
Locations until August 1st 2014
NOTE: During 2014 is foreseen the launch of new pilots in other provinces.
PTSE Phases and ProgressPhase III executive summary – Operational Improvements
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AO
1. Angola’s Power Sector
2. Electric Sector Transformation Program and Market Model
3. PTSE Phases and Progress
4. Future Perspectives
AGENDA
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Future PerspectivesLevers of efficiency Some levers are available to increase sector efficiency and to reduce costs:
1. Tariff Model• Increase tariffs
2. Commercial cycle improvement• Pre-payment• Meters in all consumer
points
3. Reduction of acceptable system costs• Implementation of more
demanding benchmarks
4. Reduction of system costs• Reduction of energy
losses transferable to the tariffs
5. Adjusts of tariff models • Balance between the
variable and fix terms• Price curves for qualified
clients
6. Change in the retributive model• Change for a retribution
model by incentives• Include incentives for the
losses reduction
To have all the supply points measured and tariffs more representative of the real
costsControlled costs and new retributive model defined. High control power from IRSE
12
3
4
56
7 8
Stabilization2014-2017
Transition to efficiency2018-2021
Partial liberalization2021-2025
7. Sector restructuration• Public-private partnerships• Concessions of
distributions areas to private companies
8. Reduction of system costs• Cheaper energetic mix• Coexistence of PPAs and
market pool
Review and adjustment of Electric System Regulations (IRSE)
Sustainable companies, service quality and efficiency
TO DISCUSS
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Future PerspectivesSustainability In conclusion, PTSE is one of the building blocks to achieve maturity and sustainability in the Angolan Power Sector.
Adopt a better installed capacity mix focused on Angola’s natural resources
Choose thermal power plant technologies with reduced CO2 emissions
Develop pilot projects to expand renewable energies Promote electricity efficiency with mass installation of prepayment
meters
Economic Sustainability
Social Sustainability
Environmental Sustainability
Expand rural electrification, boosting growth and development in these regions
Ensure long-term sustainability and independence of local capabilities (human and technological)
Deliver results to society in the short term
Establish new electricity market conditions Reduce governmental tariff subsidization Develop regulation capabilities to promote efficiency Management professionalization
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AO
Thank youJoão Saraiva
EMPRESA PÚBLICA DE PRODUÇÃO DE ELECTRICIDADE
REDE NACIONAL DE TRANSPORTE DE ELECTRICIDADE
EMPRESA NACIONAL DE DISTRIBUIÇÃO DE ELECTRICIDADE
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National Policy and Strategy for Energy Security FrameworkNational Policy and Strategy for Energy Security define the main strategic guidelines for the sector, specially for Electricity, Oil and Natural Gas.
January 2009Establishment of the Interministerial Commission for Energy Security of Angola
Strategy and Energy Policy of Angola and Energy Security Plan of Angola
Institutional Model of the Energy Supply Industry and Oil Sector
November 2011Approved Presidential Decree n.º 256/11 - National Policy and Strategy for Energy Security
Organized in the following chapters:
Importance of transformation required in the Electric System
Strategic guidelines for electricity Subsector
Strategic guidelines oil and natural gas subsectors
Environmental sustainability
Institutional model recommended for energy system
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National Policy and Strategy for Energy Security – Electricity SubsectorElectric Subsector goals are focused on increasing the electrification rate, by ensuring electricity supply to large part of the population
Strategic Guidelines for Electricity Subsector
Strongly increase the power generation pool and enhance the role of renewable energy
Connect North, South and East Systems
Expand electrification (urban and rural) covering from 50% to 60% of population in 2025:
Ensure the economic - financial sustainability (Tariffs cover 20% of the costs)
Rearrange the current organizational model, through the creation of public entities , for generation, transmission and distribution/commercialization
Strengthen the Regulator role – IRSE (Electricity Sector Regulatory Institute) and the AREA (Atomic Energy Regulatory Agency)
Promote the entry of private capital and construction and operation capabilities (know-how) and define engaging compensatory systems for private investors
Establish partnership between National Generation Company and Sonangol to provide the Centrals with Natural Gas.
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Operational and Functional Improvement of Public Companies,
GAMEK and IRSE
Phase II Phase IIITransition
Prioritized improvements in
Distribution(quick – wins)
Diagnostic
2013
SJ J A O N DAJ F M M2012
2014
SJ J A O N DAJ F M M20152016
Electric Sector Restructuring (Unbundling)
Phase I
Current Capabilities Diagnostic
Public Companies Restructuring, IRSE e GAMEK
Market Model
Development of Power Sector Capabilities and IT roadmap
Change Management
Corporate Constitution, Feasibility study and Financial statement Support
Organization and Allocation Preparation
Company staffing and salaries equalization model
Market set-up Operation Market Simulation Tariffs study CAE1 and CAR2 determination
Actual IT System Adaptation and Start Up Operative procedures definition
Operative improvement in Technical and Commercial Areas, with short-term results in commercial cycle and customer service
Pre-payment and Agent Models Definition
Focus on maintenance planning of transmission and distribution key assets, to increase the availability
Improvements in Support Corporative areas
Progressive rollout along geographies and isolated systems
SAP implementation to support HR, finance, procurement and logistics.
Phase I and II Transition Quick-wins e Phase III (2014)
1) CAE – Contrato de Aquisição de Energia; 2) CAR – Contrato Comercial de Acesso às Redes
Companies startup follow-up and transition
Electric Sector Transformation Program Planning by phases