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Page 1: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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6XVWDLQDEOH�9HKLFOH�7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ6XVWDLQDEOH�9HKLFOH�7UDQVSRUWDWLRQ

Unhealthy Urban Air Quality

Over-Reliance onPetroleum

ClimateChange

Page 3: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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Petroleum1.9 trillion

Vehicles/Parts1.1 trillion

All Other0.1 trillion

Page 4: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1900 1950 2000 2050 2100

Wor

ld C

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Oil

Pro

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Proven Reserves Double Proven Reserves

Page 5: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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PollutantNonattainment

Areas Population Car Share

CO 20 34M 70% - 90%

O3 38 100M 30% - 50%

PM10 77 30M Diesel Issue

Source: National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report (EPA/Dec. 1998)

Page 6: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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Carbon Emissions from Human Activity

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Source: CO2 Information Analysis CenterOak Ridge National Laboratory

Page 7: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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U.S. Carbon Emissions by Major Sector

Buildings35%

Industry33%

Transportation32%

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Improve “EmissionsEfficiency”

Reduce Vehicle MilesTraveled

Use RenewableFuels

Page 9: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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PublicPublicEducationEducation

MarketMarketIncentivesIncentives

Technology R&DTechnology R&D

RegulationRegulation

CFRCFR

InfrastructureInfrastructureInvestmentInvestment

Page 10: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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Page 11: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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Technology R&D:Technology R&D:PNGVPNGV

Regulation:Regulation:CAFE, Tier IICAFE, Tier II

MarketMarketIncentives:Incentives:CCTI Tax CreditCCTI Tax Credit

CFRCFR

Page 12: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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Page 13: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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Page 14: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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Page 15: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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Page 17: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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Fuel

Engine(21%)

Driveline(74%)

28 mpg

Rolling ResistanceCrr = 0.008

Drag CoefficientCd= 0.32

Frontal AreaFA = 2.0 m2

MassM = 3500 lb

Page 18: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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Page 19: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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Secondary Energy Storage*Reversible

*Regenerative Braking*Engine Buffer

Technology R&DTechnology R&D

Page 20: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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Fuel

Engine(100%)

Driveline(100%)

SecondaryEnergy Storage

(100%)

Cd = 0.2FA = 2.0 m2

Crr =0.006M = 3500 lb

424 mpg

With high efficiency (33%)engine: 140 mpg

Without regenerativebraking: 70 mpg

Technology R&DTechnology R&D

Page 21: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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80 mpg = 3X fuel economy = 67% CO2reduction

Advanced technology to promote globalcompetitiveness

Demonstrate Tier 2 emission levels

New model: partners, not adversaries

Technology R&DTechnology R&D

Page 22: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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FuelFuelAftertreatmentAftertreatment

HighEfficiency

LowEmissions

Technology R&DTechnology R&D

Page 23: 0RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUHinfohouse.p2ric.org/ref/07/06832.pdf ·  · 2006-07-210RYLQJ7RZDUGVWKH 6XVWDLQDEOH 9HKLFOHRIWKH)XWXUH-DPHV0F&DUJDU 86 ... World Crude

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An electronic copy of this presentation will bemade available on the the EPA website at

http://www.epa.gov/oms/whatsnew.htm

by 14 January 2000