07pgdm045_ing vysya bank
TRANSCRIPT
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International Management Institute, Delhi
A Project Report on
Commodity Derivatives
Under the Guidance of
Ms. Richa Gupta
AVP Treasury, ING Vysya Bank
Compiled By
Prateek Gupta
07PGDM045
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Table of Contents
Acknowledgements 4
Abstract 5
Objective of the Project 7
Data Collection Method 7
Methodology 7
PART A 8Organizational Profile 9
Top Management 10
Mission of ING 12
Vision 12
Five Forces Framework 12
Plans of the Company and its various Business Segments 14
PART B 21
What is a Commodity? 22
Types of Commodities Traded 22
Indian Scenario 22
Segments in Commodity Market 25
Commodity Derivatives 25
Commodity Futures 29
Types of Future Contracts 30
Forward Contracts 31
Limitations of Forward Markets 32
Options 33
Types of Options 33
Pricing Commodity Futures 34
Participants of Commodity Derivatives 36
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Economic Functions of Commodity Futures Market 40
Margins for trading in Commodity Futures 41
Risks Associated 43
Regulation of Commodity Futures/ Forwards 44
The Forward Contract (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2008 52
RBI Guidelines 53
Constraints and Major Challenges of Commodities Futures Market 59
Major Commodities Traded in India 61
Gold 61
Aluminium 62Copper 64
Lead 65
Nickel 66
Tin 67
Zinc 69
Crude Oil 70
Conclusion 73
Learning from the Project 76
ANNEXTURES
ANNEX 1 77
References 82
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I feel immense pleasure in expressing my profound regard and deep sense of gratitude to
my project guide Ms. Richa Gupta (AVP Treasury, ING Vysya Bank) for her expert
guidance, keen interest, and constructive criticism and especially for creating in me the
spirit of independent thinking.
Without her painstaking efforts and numerous suggestions, this project could never have
been successful. I am indebted to her for all the help, encouragement, assistance and
support she extended at each and every step in the materialization of this project.
I would also like to thank Mr. Varun Goyal for his critical comments and valuable
suggestions given to me from time to time which helped me recognize the flaws and
involve a further new dimension to my thought process.
Prateek Gupta
(07PGDM045)
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ABSTRACT
This project is an attempt to present the wholesome picture of commodity markets in
India. Commodities are any agricultural or mining products which can be traded for cash
in spot market and futures exchanges. Commodity markets provide an avenue for their
sale.
Commodity markets are regulated all over the globe. In India, Forwards Markets
Commission (FMC) regulates these markets via The Forward Contract (Regulation) Act
(FCRA), 1952. The Act has provided for the establishment and constitution of Forward
Markets Commission (FMC) for the purpose of exercising the regulatory powers
assigned to it by the Act. The provisions of FCRA, 1952 govern all types of forward
contracts in India. The Forward Contract Regulations Act (1952) has been amended over
the years. Various committees have worked on and reshaped the act in varying capacities
but no amendment bill has yet been passed. For banks to deal in Commodity markets and
allow its clients to hedge their price risk, they have to follow the guidelines issued by
RBI in its master circular apart from FCRA, 1952.
Like in the equity market, for a market to succeed, it must have all three kinds of
participants - hedgers, speculators and arbitragers. The confluence of these participants
ensures liquidity and efficient price discovery in the market. Commodity markets give
opportunity for all three kinds of participants.
The commodity market exits in two distinct forms namely the Over the Counter (OTC)
market and the Exchange based market. The functioning of both these markets are the
same as that of equity markets except the fact that in Commodity trading, a lot more
issues like warehousing, physical delivery, etc are involved. Thus a Commodity
derivative is a bit different from equity derivatives, but the basic concept of a derivative
contract remains the same whether the underlying happens to be a commodity or a
financial asset. The process of arriving at a price of the derivative contract also remains
the same as in equity. The price is formulated mainly by using the cost of carry model
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wherein we also take into consideration the cost of storage of the commodity for the
period of the contract.
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Objective of the Project
The objective of this project is to study the commodity derivatives market in India and
come out with suggestions as to whether ING Financial Markets can start with a
commodity trading desk along with forex derivatives, Trading & Market Making, Sales,
Structuring and Asset Liability Management (ALM).
Data Collection Method
The information for this project was mainly collected via recent newspaper articles and
websites. The primary objective was to prepare a questionnaire to be filled by various
treasury units both from client’s and competitor’s side and then analyze the trend
followed in the industry. But finally, the project was limited to data collection mainly
from websites and newspapers and present the same to the FM department of the bank.
Methodology
The method to be followed for the project was to prepare a questionnaire to be filled by
the treasury units of various financial institutions who are currently floating the
commodity derivative contracts (such as banks like HSBC, etc) and their clients who use
these derivative contracts to hedge their risk (such as companies like IOC, etc who hedge
their oil price risk). For this purpose, a questionnaire was prepared (questionnaire
included in ANNEXURE 1). But due to confidentiality, financial institutions, banks and
corporates were not ready to share the strategy followed by them. Thus the project work
was limited to research on commodity derivatives market in India and regulations the
bank will have to follow in order to float commodity derivative products.
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PART A
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Organization Profile
ING Vysya Bank Ltd., is an entity formed with the coming together of erstwhile, Vysya
Bank Ltd, a premier bank in the Indian Private Sector and a global financial powerhouse,
ING of Dutch origin, during Oct 2002.
The origin of the erstwhile Vysya Bank was pretty humble. It was in the year 1930 that a
team of visionaries came together to found a bank that would extend a helping hand to
those who weren't privileged enough to enjoy banking services.
It's been a long journey since then and the Bank has grown in size and stature to
encompass every area of present-day banking activity and has carved a distinct identity of
being India's Premier Private Sector Bank.
In 1980, the Bank completed fifty years of service to the nation and post 1985; the Bank
made rapid strides to reach the coveted position of being the number one private sector
bank. In 1990, the bank completed its Diamond Jubilee year. At the Diamond Jubilee
Celebrations, the then Finance Minister Prof. Madhu Dandavate, had termed the
performance of the bank ‘Stupendous’. The 75th anniversary, the Platinum Jubilee of the
bank was celebrated during 2005.
The origin of ING Group
ING group originated in 1990 from the merger between Nationale – Nederlanden NV the
largest Dutch Insurance Company and NMB Post Bank Groep NV. Combining roots and
ambitions, the newly formed company called “Internationale Nederlanden Group”.
Market circles soon abbreviated the name to I-N-G. The company followed suit by
changing the statutory name to “ING Group N.V.”.
ING has gained recognition for its integrated approach of banking, insurance and asset
management. Furthermore, the company differentiates itself from other financial service
providers by successfully establishing life insurance companies in countries with
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emerging economies, such as Korea, Taiwan, Hungary, Poland, Mexico and Chile.
Another specialisation is ING Direct, an Internet and direct marketing concept with
which ING is rapidly winning retail market share in mature markets. Finally, ING
distinguishes itself internationally as a provider of ‘employee benefits’, i.e. arrangements
of nonwage benefits, such as pension plans for companies and their employees.
Top Management
The requirements for composition of the Board of Directors of the Bank are mainlygoverned by the relevant provisions of the Companies Act, 1956, the Banking Regulation
Act, 1949 and Clause 49 of the Listing Agreement.
Mr. K R Ramamoorthy, Non- Executive Director is the Chairman of the Bank. As of 31-
Mar-2008, the Board has nine Directors out of which, three are Independent Directors, in
compliance with the requirements under Clause 49 of the Listing Agreement.
The Bank has complied with the requirements of Section 10A(2) of the Banking
Regulation Act, 1949, as per which more than 51% of the total number of members of the
Board of Directors of the Bank should consist of persons who possess special knowledge
or practical experience in respect of one or more of the areas specified in the said section
and as per the guidelines of RBI. Further, two Directors possess special knowledge /
practical experience in the areas of Agriculture and Rural Economy, Co-operation or
Small Scale Industry as per requirement of
Section 10A(2) of the Banking Regulation Act, 1949.
The composition of the Board as of 31-Mar-2008 is given below:
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Mission of ING
ING`s mission is to be a leading, global, client-focused, innovative and low-cost provider
of financial services through the distribution channels of the client’s preference in
markets where ING can create value.
Vision
ING VYSYA Bank will be an Entrepreneurial Integrated Financial Services Institution
where Innovation and Transformation are a way of life.
Five Forces Framework
The business strategist Michael Porter identified five competitive forces which tend to
drive down the profitability of any industry as comprising: barriers to entry, many small
suppliers, many small buyers, few substitutes and few competitors. Applying this version
of Porter’s Five Forces Model to the banking industry, we observe that one of the critical
factors – barriers to entry – no longer exists in banking. Competitors can come from any
industry to "disintermediate" banks (i.e., eliminate banks as the interface between
customers and suppliers). Product differentiation is very difficult for banks, since most of
the products sold in
retail banking are constrained by legal or industry regulations and, in any case, are readily
imitated.
Many countries have de-regulated their banking sector. So government policies no longer
form an entry barrier to banks. Technological know-how in banking also provides little
protection to
existing banks. The only significant entry barrier is likely to be the brand name of the
service providers in retail banking. However, many non-bank, but identifiable, names
such as TATA are entering the banking arena.
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Below we present the application of Porter’s Five Forces model to ING Vysya bank:
The bargaining power of suppliers would be high as there are a small number of fairly
large players in the industry. However, the tendency of banks to amalgamate,
rationalizing operational costs and thus diminishing the number of banking organizations
in any country, is being offset by means of the development of online banks and financial
intermediaries. By contrast, the bargaining power of consumers is increasing. Switching
costs are becoming lower (with Internet banking gaining momentum) and consumer
loyalties are harder to retain. The threat of substitutes to banking in terms of competition
from the non-banking financial sector is increasing rapidly.
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Plans of the Company and its various Business Segments
Plans for the Year 2008-09
To re-look at the application landscape and network topology of the Bank with a
view to move to a more stable architecture.
To introduce new delivery channels such as Mobile Banking.
To enhance the MIS capability, through a data warehousing solution.
To modernize the branch infrastructure.
To move the current single vendor based support model to a multi-vendor support
model.
An overview of various business segments along with their performance in 2007-08 and
their future strategies is presented below:
Retail Banking
The Retail Banking business continues to be focus area for the bank. The business is
organized into Branch Banking, Consumer Loans, Business Banking (SME) and
Agricultural & Rural Banking (ARB). The key priorities for the Bank have been
acquisition of new customers, deepening existing customer relationship through cross-
selling, profitable expansion of distribution and building an enhanced brand presence to
serve the target segments.
Branch Banking
During the year, the Retail Branch Banking business launched a slew of products to
provide clients with enhanced solutions to meet their financial needs besides the
traditional deposit products. This was keeping in line with the endeavor to differentiate
our products in the market place and offer value added products and services to our
customers. The growth was possible by focusing on acquisition of different customer
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segments through launch of Freedom Savings Account, Orange Salary and Advantage
Current Account. As a result, the business saw a growth in customer numbers to 1.38
million.
The branch network of the Bank grew to 446 (including 39 extension counters) as at 31-
Mar-2008 with the number of ATMs across the country being 203 (including 13 Self
Bank ATMs). The Bank has received approval from RBI to open 56 new branches and
100 offsite ATMs during the year.
Consumer Loans
Consumer Loans include Home, Personal and Commercial Vehicle Loans and other
value-added products and services to salaried and self-employed individuals. The
consumer assets portfolio has seen significant growth in financial year 2007-08, with
monthly volumes increasing from Rs.100 Crore in March 2007 to Rs.250 Crore in March
2008. The Home Loan business contributed the largest growth to the consumer assets
book. During the year 2007-08, new home loan products for various segments have been
introduced, which have made the product more competitive in the market. This has
helped the Consumer Assets business achieve a growth of more than 70% over the
previous year.
Life Insurance linked to the Home Loan was also launched in the third quarter of the
year, and has seen rapid growth since its launch. Personal Loans and Commercial Vehicle
Loans also grew in excess of 40%. While Personal Loans has been identified as a focus
area for the year 2008-09 with the target segment being salaried individuals, the housing
finance segment would continue to grow rapidly and the bank has identified Home Loans
as a core focus product.
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Business Banking (SME)
The Bank has traditionally focused on the Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise business
(SME), which has accounted for a sizeable proportion of total advances. This segment
identifies the needs of business enterprises with annual sales turnover upto Rs.75 Crore
for both domestic and export credit requirements. The Bank has a large number of
relationships enabling us to cross-sell other Retail Bank Products. The business is spread
across 11 sub-regions of the Bank, with 14,500 relationships; fund-based outstanding of
over Rs.3,500 Crore and Rs.800 Crore under non-fund based limits as of 31-Mar-2008.
The portfolio grew by 21% (fund based) over the previous year. Apart from regular
working capital facilities, the Bank also offers structured products to cater to the needs of
clients. This segment has contributed Rs.1,050 Crore towards the priority sector advances
of the Bank. The clear focus, strategy and strong relationship teams and distribution, has
helped ensure strong growth. This segment continues to be a priority, with a focus on
new bank customer acquisition, product innovation, customer service and relationship
deepening.
Agricultural and Rural Banking (ARB)
ARB provides a wide range of products and services to the rural sector and is one of the
main contributors for the achievement of the priority sector targets of the Bank. During
the year 2007-08, this segment focused on improving the performance of rural branches.
ARB assets crossed Rs.1,400 Crore for the period ended March 2008 and the number of
borrowers financed surpassed 1,11,000. Micro Finance lending, through both Self Help
Groups (SHGs) and Micro Finance Institutions (MFIs), was one of the key focus areas.
The Micro finance portfolio touched Rs.377 Crore registering a growth of over 100%
during the year. The Bank also partnered with Central Warehousing Corporation for
Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka to finance Produce Loans to farmers and also partnered
with Escorts Ltd. for financing Tractor Loans to farmers. The Bank surpassed the
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regulatory target of 40% under Priority Sector Advances and achieved the level of
42.68% of adjusted Net Bank Credit as of 31-Mar-2008.
Private Banking
The Bank has a vision to be the advising bank of first choice for Private Banking clients.
In 2007-08 three new equity portfolio opportunities were identified. These were delivered
to clients under our Portfolio Management Services. This has delivered good returns and
helped increase the client base. Assets under management grew by more than 100%.
Private Banking has also provided Trust and Estate Planning Services through an
institutional partnership in order to help clients create portfolios and pass on the wealth to
their beneficiaries. A second partnership has been established for the distribution of Real
Estate Funds. Private Banking continues to do research and introduce new products as
new opportunities arise.
The Bank also increased its distribution network to do this business with the addition of
Kolkata, Chennai and Hyderabad. Private Banking continues to proactively monitor and
advise its clients on their investment in the light of the continuing volatility in financial
markets.
Wholesale Banking
Wholesale Banking business headquartered in Mumbai provides a range of banking
products and services to India’s leading corporates and fast growing businesses. The
fund-based products include working capital finance (cash credit and bills discounting),
term finance (long term and short term) and structured finance facilities. The non-fund
based products mainly consist of letters of credit, financial and performance guarantees.
Other fee-based services such as cash management services, trade services, payment
services and debt syndication are also offered. The advisory services focus on mergers
and acquisitions, capital restructuring and capital raising. The Bank also accepts rupee
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and foreign currency deposits with fixed or floating interest bases from its corporate
customers. The commercial banking products and services are delivered to corporate
customers through a combination of Wholesale Banking offices located in Mumbai,
Delhi, Chennai, Bangalore, Kolkata and Hyderabad and the retail branches.
Wholesale fund based assets grew by 15% during the year to close at Rs.6,508 Crore.
During the same period, Wholesale deposits grew by 32%. Fee Income grew above
expectation and contributed significantly to the Bank’s profits.
Corporate and Investment Banking Group (C&IB)
The C&IB Group is responsible for managing relationships with large corporates
(typically with sales turnover greater than Rs.400 Crore) in both the private and public
sector. The primary focus of the C&IB relationship managers is to market products and
services, like lending products, fee based products, treasury services and advisory
services and also cross-border products from ING Bank N.V. and cross-selling of Retail
Banking products and services of the Bank to corporate clients and their employees. In
addition to the above, they cross-sell the products offered by other ING Group managed
entities in India such as ING Vysya Life Insurance Company Limited (IVL) and ING
Vysya Mutual Fund (IVMF).
Emerging Corporates (EC)
The Emerging Corporates group is serviced from ten cities within the Bank’s extensive
network and focuses on managing relationships for manufacturing, processing, and
services sector companies with an annual sales turnover between Rs.150 Crore and
Rs.400 Crore. A wide range of products are offered to meet the needs of this business
segment, with special focus on export credit, regular working capital finance, cash
management services, term loans, non-fund based facilities like letters of credit,
guarantees and structured finance products in addition to the cross-selling of ING group
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products. The EC segment contributes 75% of the Bank’s export credit advances. This
business segment remains a key focus of growth for Wholesale Banking.
Banks and Financial Institutions (B&FI)
The Banks and Financial Institutions Group, headquartered in Mumbai, is a dedicated
group created to leverage the business opportunities with private and public sector banks
and financial institutions across India. The group has primary responsibility for
origination of transactions and product & service delivery to the Bank/FI client base
including funding products, correspondent bank relationships, treasury products, asset purchase & sale and deposit products.
Financial Markets (FM)
The Financial Markets department of the Bank continued to grow strongly. It consists of
four key units - Trading & Market Making, Sales, Structuring and Asset Liability
Management (ALM). The Trading and Market Making unit of financial markets provides
liquidity and prices both to the Sales teams as well as to other market participants. The
unit has contributed well to information dissemination as well as analysis of the markets
so that the trading unit as well as our clients benefit from our expertise in the area. The
unit has also been able to effectively and profitably exploit the opportunities that have
been available in the markets, within the defined risk framework. The geographically
distributed sales teams help corporate clients manage currency and interest rate risks
within their risk management practices. The sales teams are guided by prudent and
transparent approach to client deals, adhering to approved appropriateness and
documentation policies. The sales unit is supported by a centralized structuring unit that
assists in product structuring, pricing and execution. The product capability of the
financial markets unit has grown significantly in the last year with the introduction of
state-of-the-art systems and process improvements to enable efficient execution. The
ALM unit of financial markets has played a key role in managing liquidity and market
risks, compliance with reserve requirements and facilitating balance sheet growth. The
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ALM unit also manages the Bank’s investment portfolio and has managed volatility in
this book in keeping with regulatory requirements. The financial markets unit is in the
process of further developing the platform that has been built over recent years. A major
upgrade and improvement to core systems is underway which will greatly enhance
efficiency and improve the processes further. The strategy continues to be one that will
leverage on the customer franchise that is developing strongly.
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PART B
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What is a Commodity?
Commodity includes all kinds of goods. Goods are defined as every kind of movable
property other than actionable claims, money and securities. Futures’ trading is organized
in such goods or commodities as are permitted by the Central Government. At present,
many goods and products of agricultural (including plantation), mineral and fossil origin
are allowed for futures trading. Trading is permissible in commodities that include
precious (gold & silver) and non-ferrous metals, cereals and pulses, crude oil and oil
products, etc.
Types of Commodities Traded
World-over one will find that a market exits for almost all the commodities known to us.
These commodities can be broadly classified into the following:
Precious Metals: Gold, Silver, Platinum etc
Other Metals: Nickel, Aluminum, Copper etc
Agro-Based Commodities: Wheat, Corn, Cotton, Oils, and Oilseeds.
Soft Commodities: Coffee, Cocoa, Sugar etc
Live-Stock: Live Cattle, Pork Bellies etc
Energy: Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Gasoline etc
Indian Scenario
Although India has a long history of trade in commodity derivatives, this segment
remained underdeveloped due to government intervention in many commodity markets to
control prices. The production, supply and distribution of many agricultural commodities
are still governed by the state and forwards and futures trading are selectively introduced
with stringent controls. While free trade in many commodity items is restricted under the
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Essential Commodities Act (ECA), 1955, forward and futures contracts are limited to
certain commodity items under the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act (FCRA), 1952.
The first commodity exchange was set up in India by Bombay Cotton Trade Association
Ltd., and formal organized futures trading started in cotton in 1875. Subsequently, many
exchanges came up in different parts of the country for futures trade in various
commodities. Options are though permitted now in stock market, they are not allowed in
commodities. The commodity options were traded during the pre-independence period.
Options on cotton were traded until they along with futures were banned in 1939
(Ministry of Food and Consumer Affairs, 1999). However, the government withdrew the ban on futures with passage of FCRA in 1952. The Act has provided for the
establishment and constitution of Forward Markets Commission (FMC) for the purpose
of exercising the regulatory powers assigned to it by the Act. Later, futures trade was
altogether banned by the government in 1966 in order to have control on the movement
of prices of many agricultural and essential commodities.
After the ban of futures trade all the exchanges went out of business and many traders
started resorting to unofficial and informal trade in futures. On recommendation of the
Khusro Committee in 1980 government reintroduced futures on some selected
commodities including cotton, jute, potatoes, etc. As part of economic liberalization of
1990s an expert committee on forward markets under the chairmanship of Prof. K.N.
Kabra was appointed by the government of India in 1993. Its report submitted in 1994
recommended the reintroduction of futures that were banned in 1966 and also to widen its
coverage to many more agricultural commodities and silver. In order to give more thrust
on agricultural sector, the National Agricultural Policy 2000 has envisaged external and
domestic market reforms and dismantling of all controls and regulations in agricultural
commodity markets. It has also proposed to enlarge the coverage of futures markets to
minimize the wide fluctuations in commodity prices and for hedging the risk arising from
price fluctuations. In line with the proposal many more agricultural commodities are
being brought under futures trading.
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Recently, rice, wheat and pulses - urad and tur - are banned from futures trading in India
owing to the huge price rise in the commodities. For this purpose, the government had set
up the five-member expert committee, headed by planning commission member Abhijit
Sen, “to study the extent of impact, if any, of futures trading on wholesale and retail
prices of agricultural commodities” as per the announcement made by finance minister P
Chidambaram while presenting the budget for 2007-08. The committee submitted its
report on 12 May 2008. Other than examining the extent of the impact of futures trading,
the committee had to suggest ways to minimize the impact and make recommendations
for increased association of farmers in the futures market/trading so that farmers are able
to get the benefit of price discovery through commodity exchanges. The report has foundthat though there was volatility, they were triggered, except for rice, by supply shortfall,
high global prices and seasonal factors, and not so much due to futures trading. The data
for rice were not enough to prove any volatility. In fact, the report argues that the futures
contracts were not able to stabilize prices because of lacunae in the system and lack of
strong farmer participation. The spot market in these commodities is not efficient and
there is no grading of commodities without which the cash-futures link cannot be
strengthened. Also, there is still no system of warehouse receipts. The report also found
that farmer participation in the futures market is minimal, due to high margins, demat
trading and mandatory use of permanent account numbers. Overall, it feels, that a
reformed futures market would go a long way in arresting price volatility in staples. The
repeated extensions have obliquely meant that future contracts in these commodities
remain suspended, although the impact of the ban has not been significant. But,
exchanges, which want the government to lift the ban, argue that after the ban, neither
wheat nor pulses prices have come down significantly. The price trend of wheat and
pulses in the physical market (since January) has proved that the forward market had
been giving the correct indication of future price movement. Prices of both wheat and tur
have actually gone up in the physical market due to shortage.
Even though Abhijit Sen committee has given its view that there is no direct linkage
between price rise and future trading of food items, due to its failure to curb inflation, the
government is planning to ban future trading in more commodities. The government is
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thinking of an immediate ban on future trading in some commodities like oil and sugar.
Even after taking several steps to check inflation, the inflation has inched further to 7.57
per cent (as on April 23).
Segments in Commodities Market
Commodity market is an important constituent of the financial markets of any country. It
is the market where wide ranges of products are traded. It is important to develop a
vibrant, active and liquid commodity market. This would help investors hedge their
commodity risk, take speculative positions in commodities and exploit arbitrage
opportunities in the market.
The commodities market exits in two distinct forms namely the Over the Counter (OTC)
market and the Exchange based market. Also, as in equities, there exists the spot and the
derivatives segment. The spot markets are essentially over the counter markets and the
participation is restricted to people who are involved with that commodity say the farmer,
processor, wholesaler etc. Derivative trading takes place through exchange-based markets
with standardized contracts, settlements etc.
Commodity Derivatives
The basic concept of a derivative contract remains the same whether the underlying
happens to be a commodity or a financial asset. However there are some features that are
very peculiar to commodity derivative markets. In the case of financial derivatives, most
of these contracts are cash settled. Even in the case of physical settlement, financial assets
are not bulky and do not need special facility for storage. Due to the bulky nature of the
underlying assets, physical settlement in commodity derivatives creates the need for
warehousing. Similarly, the concept of varying quality of asset does not really exist as far
as financial underlying assets are concerned. However in the case of commodities, the
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quality of the asset underlying a contract can vary largely. This becomes an important
issue to be managed. The major issues in commodity derivatives are as follows:
Physical settlement:
Physical settlement involves the physical delivery of the underlying commodity,
typically at an accredited warehouse. The seller intending to make delivery would
have to take the commodities to the designated warehouse and the buyer intending
to take delivery would have to go to the designated warehouse and pick up the
commodity. This may sound simple, but the physical settlement of commodities is
a complex process. The issues faced in physical settlement are enormous. They
are:
o Limits on storage facilities in different states.
o Restrictions on interstate movement of commodities.
o State level octroi and duties have an impact on the cost of movement of
goods across locations.
The process of taking physical delivery in commodities is quite different from the
process of taking physical delivery in financial assets. We take a general overview
at the process flow of physical settlement of commodities.
Delivery notice period:
Unlike in the case of equity futures, typically a seller of commodity futures has
the option to give notice of delivery. This option is given during a period
identified as `delivery notice period'. The intention of the notice is to allow
verification of delivery and to give adequate notice to the buyer of a possible
requirement to take delivery. These are required by virtue of the fact that the
actual physical settlement of commodities requires preparation from both
delivering and receiving members.
Typically, in all commodity exchanges, delivery notice is required to be supported
by a warehouse receipt. The warehouse receipt is the proof for the quantity and
quality of commodities being delivered. Some exchanges have certified
laboratories for verifying the quality of goods. In these exchanges the seller has to
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produce a verification report from these laboratories along with delivery notice.
Some exchanges accept warehouse receipts as quality verification documents
while others have independent grading and classification agency to verify the
quality.
Assignment:
Whenever the seller gives delivery notices, the clearing house of the exchange
identifies the buyer to whom this notice may be assigned. Exchanges follow
different practices for the assignment process. One approach is to display the
delivery notice and allow buyers wishing to take delivery to bid for taking
delivery. Among the international exchanges, BMF, CBOT and CME display
delivery notices. Alternatively, the clearing houses may assign deliveries to
buyers on some basis. Exchanges such as COMMEX and the Indian commodities
exchanges have adopted this method.
Any seller/ buyer who has given intention to deliver/ been assigned a delivery has
an option to square off positions till the market close of the day of delivery notice.
After the close of trading, exchanges assign the delivery intentions to open long
positions. Assignment is done typically either on random basis or first in first out
basis. In some exchanges, the buyer has the option to give his preference for
delivery location. The clearing house decides on the daily delivery order rate at
which delivery will be settled. Delivery rate depends on the spot rate of the
underlying adjusted for discount/ premium for quality and freight costs. The
clearing house before introduction of the contract publishes the discount/
premium for quality and freight costs. The most active spot market is normally
taken as the benchmark for deciding spot prices. Alternatively, the delivery rate is
determined based on the previous day closing rate for the contract or the closing
rate for the day.
Delivery:
After the assignment process, clearing house/ exchange issues a delivery order to
the buyer. The exchange also informs the respective warehouse about the identity
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of the buyer. The buyer is required to deposit a certain percentage of the contract
amount with the clearing house as margin against the warehouse receipt. The
period available for the buyer to take physical delivery is stipulated by the
exchange. Buyer or his authorized representative in the presence of seller or his
representative takes the physical stocks against the delivery order. Proof of
physical delivery having been effected is forwarded by the seller to the clearing
house and the invoice amount is credited to the seller's account. In India if a seller
does not give notice of delivery then at the expiry of the contract the positions are
cash settled by price difference exactly as in cash settled equity futures contracts.
Warehousing:
One of the main differences between financial and a commodity derivative is the
need for warehousing. In case of most exchange-traded financial derivatives, all
the positions are cash settled. Cash settlement involves paying up the difference in
prices between the time the contract was entered into and the time the contract
was closed. In case of commodity derivatives however, there is a possibility of
physical settlement. Which means that if the seller chooses to hand over the
commodity instead of the difference in cash, the buyer must take physical
delivery of the underlying asset. This requires the exchange to make an
arrangement with warehouses to handle the settlements. The efficacy of the
commodities settlements depends on the warehousing system available. Most
international commodity exchanges used certified warehouses (CWH) for the
purpose of handling physical settlements. Such CWH are required to provide
storage facilities for participants in the commodities markets and to certify the
quantity and quality of the underlying commodity. In India, the warehousing
system is not as efficient as it is in some of the other developed markets.
Quality of underlying assets:
A derivatives contract is written on a given underlying. Variance in quality is not
an issue in case of financial derivatives as the physical attribute is missing. When
the underlying asset is a commodity, the quality of the underlying asset is of
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prime importance. There may be quite some variation in the quality of what is
available in the marketplace. When the asset is specified, it is therefore important
that the exchange stipulate the grade or grades of the commodity that are
acceptable. Commodity derivatives demand good standards and quality assurance/
certification procedures. A good grading system allows commodities to be traded
by specification. Currently there are various agencies that are responsible for
specifying grades for commodities. For example, the Bureau of Indian Standards
(BIS) under Ministry of Consumer Affairs specifies standards for processed
agricultural commodities whereas AGMARK under the department of rural
development under Ministry of Agriculture is responsible for promulgatingstandards for basic agricultural commodities. Apart from these, there are other
agencies like EIA, which specify standards for export oriented commodities.
Commodity Futures
Derivatives as a tool for managing risk first originated in the Commodities markets. They
were then found useful as a hedging tool in financial markets as well. The basic concept
of a derivative contract remains the same whether the underlying happens to be a
commodity or a financial asset. However there are some features, which are very peculiar
to commodity derivative markets. In the case of financial derivatives, most of these
contracts are cash settled. Even in the case of physical settlement, financial assets are not
bulky and do not need special facility for storage. Due to the bulky nature of the
underlying assets, physical settlement in commodity derivatives creates the need for
warehousing. Similarly, the concept of varying quality of asset does not really exist as far
as financial underlying assets are concerned. However in the case of commodities, the
quality of the asset underlying a contract can vary largely.
Futures trading perform two important functions of price discovery and price risk
management with reference to the given commodity. It is useful to all segments of the
economy. It is useful to the producer because he can get an idea of the price likely to
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prevail at a future point of time and therefore can decide between various competing
commodities, the best that suits him. It enables the consumer, in that he gets an idea of
the price at which the commodity would be available at a future point of time. He can do
proper costing and also cover his purchases by making forward contracts. Futures’
trading is very useful to the exporters as it provides an advance indication of the price
likely to prevail and thereby help the exporter in quoting a realistic price and thereby
secure export contract in a competitive market. Having entered into an export contract, it
enables him to hedge his risk by operating in futures market.
Types of Future Contracts
Future contracts are broadly of two types:
Specific delivery contracts:
Specific delivery contracts are essentially merchandising contracts, which enable
producers and consumers of commodities to market their produce and cover their
requirements respectively. These contracts are generally negotiated directly between parties depending on availability and requirement of produce. During
negotiation, terms of quality, quantity, price, period of delivery, place of delivery,
payment term, etc. are incorporated in the contracts. Specific delivery contracts
are of two types:
o Transferable specific delivery contracts (T.S.D.)
o Non-transferable specific delivery contracts (NTSD).
In the TSD contracts, transfer of the rights or obligations under the contract is
permitted while in NTSD it is not permitted.
Other than specific delivery contracts:
Though this contract has not been specifically defined under the act, these are
called as ‘future contracts’. Futures contracts are forward contracts other than
specific delivery contracts. These contracts are usually entered into under the
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auspices of an Exchange or Association. In the futures contracts, the quality and
quantity of commodity, the time of maturity of contract, place of delivery etc. are
all standardized and contracting parties have to negotiate only the rate at which
contract is entered into.
Forward trading in TSD and NTSD contracts is regulated by the government. As per the
section 15 of the FCRA, 1952, every forward contract in notified goods that entered into
except those between members of a recognized association or through or with any such
member is treated as illegal or void. The section 18(1) of the Act exempts the NTSD
contracts from the regulatory provisions.
Forward Contracts
A forward contract is an agreement to buy or sell an asset on a specified date for a
specified price. One of the parties to the contract assumes a long position and agrees to
buy the underlying asset on a certain specified future date for a certain specified price.
The other party assumes a short position and agrees to sell the asset on the same date for
the same price. Other contract details like delivery date, price and quantity are negotiated
bilaterally by the parties to the contract. The forward contracts are normally traded
outside the exchanges.
The salient features of forward contracts are:
They are bilateral contracts and hence exposed to counter party risk.
Each contract is custom designed, and hence is unique in terms of contract size,
expiration date and the asset type and quality.
The contract price is generally not available in public domain.
On the expiration date, the contract has to be settled by delivery of the asset.
If the party wishes to reverse the contract, it has to compulsorily go to the same
counterparty, which often results in high prices being charged.
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However forward contracts in certain markets have become very standardized, as in the
case of foreign exchange, thereby reducing transaction costs and increasing transactions
volume. This process of standardization reaches its limit in the organized futures market.
Forward contracts are very useful in hedging and speculation. The classic hedging
application would be that of an exporter who expects to receive payment in dollars three
months later. He is exposed to the risk of exchange rate fluctuations. By using the
currency forward market to sell dollars forward, he can lock on to a rate today and reduce
his uncertainty. Similarly an importer who is required to make a payment in dollars two
months hence can reduce his exposure to exchange rate fluctuations by buying dollarsforward.
If a speculator has information or analysis, which forecasts an upturn in a price, then he
can go long on the forward market instead of the cash market. The speculator would go
long on the forward, wait for the price to rise, and then take a reversing transaction to
book profits. Speculators may well be required to deposit a margin upfront. However, this
is generally a relatively small proportion of the value of the assets underlying the forward
contract. The use of forward markets here supplies leverage to the speculator.
Forward/futures trading involves a passage of time between entering into a contract and
its performance making thereby the contracts susceptible to risks, uncertainties, etc.
Hence there is a need for the regulatory functions to be exercised by an exchange that is
the Forward Markets Commission (FMC). FMC is a regulatory authority, which is
overseen by the Ministry of Consumer Affairs and Public Distribution, Govt. of India. It
is a statutory body under the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952.
Limitations of Forward Markets
Forward markets world-wide are afflicted by several problems:
Lack of centralization of trading,
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Illiquidity, and
Counterparty risk
In the first two of these, the basic problem is that of too much flexibility and generality.
The forward market is like a real estate market in that any two consenting adults can form
contracts against each other. This often makes them design terms of the deal, which are
very convenient in that specific situation, but makes the contracts non-tradeable.
Counterparty risk arises from the possibility of default by any one party to the
transaction. When one of the two sides to the transaction declares bankruptcy, the other
suffers. Even when forward markets trade standardized contracts, and hence avoid the
problem of illiquidity, still the counterparty risk remains a very serious issue.
Options
Futures contracts are similar to Options. Both represent actions that occur in future. ButOptions are contract on the underlying futures contract where as futures are either to
accept or deliver the actual physical commodity. To make a decision between using a
futures contract or an options contract, producers need to evaluate both alternatives. An
option on futures gives the right to but not the obligation on the part of the holder to buy
or sell the underlying futures contract by a certain date at a certain price.
Types of Options
There are two types of options
A call option is a contract that gives the owner of the call option the right, but not
obligation to buy the underlying asset by a specified date and a specified price.
A put option is a contract that gives the owner of the put option, the right, but not
obligation to sell the underlying asset by a specified date and a specified price.
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A Commodity option gives the owner a right to buy or sell a commodity at a specified
price and before a specified time.
Options can be traded either in an exchange or over the counter. Over the counter option
contracts are tailor-made contracts matching the specific needs of investors. The initial
cash transfer (premium) is to be paid by the buyer of the option to the seller (option
writer). The purchase of an option limits the maximum loss and at the same time allows
the buyer to take advantage of favorable price movements. Sellers of option contracts
(option writers) are exposed to margin requirements. Commodity options are exercisable
into the corresponding future contracts of the commodity rather than the physicalcommodity.
Based on the exercise mode, there are two types of options that are currently traded:
American Style Options: In an American option, the buyer of the option can
choose to exercise his option at any given period of time between the purchase
date and the expiry date of the underlying futures contract.
European Style Options: In a European option, the buyer of the option can choose
to exercise his option only on the date of expiration of the underlying futures
contract.
Since the American option provides greater degree of flexibility to the investor, the
premium paid to buy an American Style Option is equal to or greater than the European
Style Option. However in India options have still not been introduced as necessary legal
formalities are yet to be completed.
Pricing Commodity Futures
The process of arriving at a figure at which a person buys and another sells a futures
contract at a specific expiration date is called price discovery. In an active futures market,
the process of price discovery continues from the market's opening until its close. The
prices are freely and competitively derived. Future prices are therefore considered to be
superior to the administered prices or the prices that are determined privately. Further, the
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low transaction costs and frequent trading encourages wide participation in futures
markets lessening the opportunity for control by a few buyers and sellers.
In an active futures markets the free flow of information is vital. Futures exchanges act as
a focal point for the collection and dissemination of statistics on supplies, transportation,
storage, purchases, exports, imports, currency values, interest rates and other pertinent
information. Any significant change in this data is immediately reflected in the trading
pits as traders digest the new information and adjust their bids and offers accordingly. As
a result of this free flow of information the market determines the best estimate of today
and tomorrow's prices and it is considered to be the accurate reflection of the supply anddemand for the underlying commodity. The cost-of-carry model explains the dynamics of
pricing that constitute the estimation of fair value of futures.
The cost of carry model
This model uses arbitrage arguments to arrive at the fair value of futures. For pricing
purposes, it treats the forward and the futures market as one and the same. A futures
contract is nothing but a forward contract that is exchange traded and that is settled at the
end of each day. The buyer who needs an asset in the future has the choice between
buying the underlying asset today in the spot market and holding it, or buying it in the
forward market. If he buys it in the spot market today, it involves opportunity costs. He
incurs the cash outlay for buying the asset and he also incurs costs for storing it. If instead
he buys the asset in the forward market, he does not incur an initial outlay. However the
costs of holding the asset are now incurred by the seller of the forward contract who
charges the buyer a price that is higher than the price of the asset in the spot market. This
forms the basis for the cost-of-carry model where the price of the futures contract is
defined as:
F= S + C
Where: F = Futures price
S = Spot price
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C = Holding costs or carry costs
The fair value of a futures contract can also be expressed as:
F = Ser T
Where: r = Percent cost of financing
T = Time till expiration
In the case of commodity futures, the holding cost is the cost of financing plus cost of
storage and insurance purchased.
Storage costs add to the cost of carry. If U is the present value of all the storage costs that
will be incurred during the life of a futures contract, it follows that the futures price will
be equal to
F = (S + U) er T
Where: r = Cost of financing (annualized)
T = Time till expiration
U = Present value of all storage costs
Participants of Commodity Derivatives
The structure of commodity markets dictates that there are several types of participantsactive in the trading of commodities and commodity derivatives. The structure of the
participants and the nature of their activities/motivations are more complex than in other
asset classes.
The major participants in commodity markets include:
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Commodity Producers/Consumers: These participants have natural underlying
outright long (producers) and short (consumers) positions in the relevant
commodity. The inherent risk-exposure drives the use of commodity derivatives
by producers and users. The application of commodity derivatives in frequently
driven by the pattern of cash flows. Producers must generally make significant
capital investments (sometime significant in scale) to undertake the production of
the commodity. This investment must generally be made in advance of production
and sale of the commodity. This means that the producer is exposed to the price
fluctuations in the commodity.
If prices decline sharply, then revenues may be insufficient to cover the cost of
servicing the capital investment (including debt service). This means that there is
a natural tendency for producers to hedge at levels that ensure adequate returns
without seeking to optimize the potential returns from higher returns. This may
also be necessitated by the need to secure financing for the project.
Consumer hedging behavior is more complex. Consumer desire to undertake
hedges is influenced by availability of substitute products and the ability to pass
on higher input costs in its own product market. In many commodities, producer
and consumer deal directly with each other. The form of arrangement may include
negotiated bilateral long term supply or purchase contracts between the producers
and consumers. The contracts may include fixed price arrangements to reduce the
price risk for both parties.
These arrangements create a number of difficulties. These include lack of
transparency, low liquidity and exposure to counterparty credit risk. The bilateral
structure also creates potential adverse performance incentives. This reflects the
fact that the contracts combine supply/purchase obligations and price risk
elements in a single contract.
Commodity Processors: These participants have limited outright price exposure.
This reflects the fact the processors have a spread exposure to the price
differential between the cost of the input and the cost of the output. For example,
oil refiners are exposed to the differential between the price of the crude oil and
the price of the refined oil products (diesel, gasoline, heating oil, aviation fuel,
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etc.). The nature of the exposure drives the types of hedging activity and the
instruments used.
Commodity Traders: Commodity markets have complex trading arrangements.
This may include the involvement of trading companies (such as the Japanese
trading companies and specialized commodity traders). Where involved, the
traders act as an agent or principal to secure the sale/purchase of the commodity.
Traders increasingly seek to add value to pure trading relationship by providing
derivative/risk management expertise.
Traders also occasionally provide financing and other services. Commodity
traders have complex hedging requirements, depending on the nature of their
activities. A trader as a pure agent will generally have no price exposure. Where a
trader acts as a principal, it will generally have outright commodity price risk that
requires hedging. Where traders provide ancillary services such as commodity
derivatives as the principal, the market risk assumed will need to be hedged or
managed.
Financial Institution/Dealers: Dealer participation in commodity markets is
primarily as a provider of finance or provider of risk management products. The
dealers' role is similar to that in the derivative market in other asset classes. The
dealers provide credit enhancement, speed, immediacy of execution and structural
flexibility. Dealers frequently bundle risk management products with other
financial services such as provision of finance.
Investors: This covers financial investors seeking to invest in commodities as a
distinct and a separate asset class of financial investment. The gradual recognition
of commodities as a specific class of investment assets is an important factor that
has influenced the structure of commodity derivatives markets.
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Economic Functions of Commodity Futures Market
The two major economic functions of a commodity futures market are price risk
management and price discovery. Among these, the price risk management is by far the
most important. The need for price risk management, through what is commonly called
"hedging", arises from price risks in most commodities. The larger, the more frequent and
the more unforeseen is the price variability in a commodity, the greater is the price risk in
it. Whereas insurance companies offer suitable policies to cover the risks of physical
commodity losses due to fire, pilferage, transport mishaps, etc., they do not cover
similarly the risks of value losses resulting from adverse price variations. The reason for
this is obvious. The value losses emerging from price risks are much larger and the
probability of the recurrence is far more frequent than the physical losses in both the
quantity and quality of goods caused by accidental fires and mishaps, or occasional
thefts. Commodity producers, merchants, stockists and importers face the risks of large
value losses on their production, purchases, stocks and imports from the fall in prices.
Likewise, the processors, manufacturers, exporters and other market functionaries,
entering into forward sale commitments in either the domestic or export markets, are
exposed to heavy risks from adverse price changes. True, price variability may also lead
to windfalls, when prices move favorably. In the long run, such gains may even offset the
losses from adverse price movements. But the losses, when incurred, are, at times, so
huge that these may often cause insolvencies. The greater the exposure to commodity
price risks, the greater is the share of the commodity in the total earnings or production
costs. Hence, the need for price risks management or hedging through the use of futures
contracts.
Price Discovery
The buyers and sellers at Futures Exchange conduct trading based on their assessment of
inputs regarding specific market information, expert views and comments, the demand
and supply equilibrium, government policies, inflation rates, weather forecasts, market
dynamics, hopes and fears which transforms into a continuous price discovery
mechanism. The execution of trades between buyers and sellers leads to assessment of
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the fair value of a particular commodity that is immediately disseminated on the trading
terminal.
Futures exchanges do not act as a mode for setting the prices of commodities. These are
free markets that act as a platform to bring together, in open auction, all forces that
influence the pricing of the commodity. When these markets keep on assimilating and
absorbing new information on a continuous basis throughout the trading day, this
information gets transformed into a single benchmark figure. This figure is the market
price agreed upon by both the buyer and seller. It is for this reason that rational market
participants and commodity traders view futures as a lending price indicator.
Margins for trading in Commodity Futures
Margin is the deposit money that needs to be paid to buy or sell each contract. The
margin required for a futures contract is better described as performance bond or good
faith money. The margin levels are set by the exchanges based on volatility (market
conditions) and can be changed at any time. The margin requirements for most futures
contracts range from 2% to 15% of the value of the contract.
With respect to the contracts that are transacted in the exchanges, buyers and sellers will
be required to maintain a certain amount as initial margin, including special margin (as
applicable) on their respective future positions. These margins vary for each commodity
and for different contract months depending upon factors such as market volatility,
government policies, macro-economic factors, international price movements, etc.
Margin provisions, subject to margin requirements, are determined by applying the
methodology as specified by the exchange and are settled by the clearing house of the
exchange. For example, the exchange can levy an initial margin on derivatives contracts
using the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) or any other concept as prescribed. Additional
margins are levied for deliverable positions on the basis of VaR from the expiry of the
contract till the actual settlement date, including a mark-up in case of default. The
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estimated margin (based on the prescribed methodology) may be on gross position basis,
net position basis, client level basis or in any other manner determined by the exchange.
Every clearing member is also required to maintain an appropriate margin account with
the clearing house of the exchange against the aggregate open positions cleared by the
clearing member in respect of (i) the clearing member’s own account, (ii) for other
members of the exchange with whom the clearing member has an agreement and, (iii)
clients, where applicable.
Margin accounts of all exchange members are marked daily to the market and theexchange members are required to pay the amount prescribed by the clearinghouse. The
entire day’s trades and open positions on the exchange are marked to closing price for the
respective futures contract, on the basis of which the hypothetical gain or loss is
estimated. The investor is required to collect or make compensation for this amount at the
end of each trading day. The exchange also prescribes additional or special margins as
may be considered necessary during the delivery period and emergencies. Every member
of the exchange executing transactions on behalf of clients is required to regularly (time
interval is exchange specified) collect the margins from their clients against their open
positions.
So, in the futures market, there are different types of margins that a trader has to
maintain. Different types of margins as they apply on most futures exchanges are:
Initial margin: The amount that must be deposited by a customer at the time of
entering into a contract is called initial margin. This margin is meant to cover the
largest potential loss in one day. The margin is a mandatory requirement for
parties who are entering into the contract.
Maintenance margin: A trader is entitled to withdraw any balance in the margin
account in excess of the initial margin. To ensure that the balance in the margin
account never becomes negative, a maintenance margin, which is somewhat lower
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than the initial margin, is set. If the balance in the margin account falls below the
maintenance margin, the trader receives a margin call and is requested to deposit
extra funds to bring it to the initial margin level within a very short period of time.
The extra funds deposited are known as a variation margin. If the trader does not
provide the variation margin, the broker closes out the position by offsetting the
contract.
Additional margin: In case of sudden higher than expected volatility, the
exchange calls for an additional margin, which is a preemptive move to prevent
breakdown. This is imposed when the exchange fears that the markets have
become too volatile and may result in some payments crisis.
Mark-to-Market margin (MTM): At the end of each trading day, the margin
account is adjusted to reflect the trader's gain or loss. This is known as marking to
market the account of each trader. All futures contracts are settled daily reducing
the credit exposure to one day's movement. Based on the settlement price, the
value of all positions is marked-to-market each day after the official close i.e. the
accounts are either debited or credited based on how well the positions fared in
that day's trading session. If the account falls below the maintenance margin level
the trader needs to replenish the account by giving additional funds. On the other
hand, if the position generates a gain, the funds can be withdrawn (those funds
above the required initial margin) or can be used to fund additional trades.
Risks Associated
For spot or physical trading, the directional risk arising from a change in the spot price is
the most important risk. Banks using portfolio strategies involving forward and derivative
contracts are exposed to a variety of additional risks, which may well be larger than the
risk of a change in spot prices. These include:
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Basis Risk: The risk that the relationship between the prices of similar
commodities alters through time.
Interest Rate Risk: The risk of a change in the cost of carry for forward positions.
Forward Gap Risk: The risk that the forward price may change for reasons other
than a change in interest rates.
In addition banks may face credit counterparty risk on over-the-counter derivatives. It
should also pay attention to the risk of surprise events such as crop reports, freezes,
floods, currency interventions and wars. One should not overtrade in markets where these
kinds of events are possible.
Regulation of Commodity Futures/Forwards
In general, commodity futures trading, merchandising and stockholding of many
commodities in India have always been regulated through various legislations such as the
Essential Commodities Act (ECA), 1955, Forward Contract (Regulation) Act (FCRA),
1952 and Prevention of Black-marketing and Maintenance of Supplies of Commodities
Act, 1980. The FCRA, 1952 envisages a three-tier regulation for commodity futures
trading in India. These are (a) an association recognised by the Government of India on
the recommendation of the FMC, (b) the FMC and (c) the central government. As per the
act, the exchange that organizes forward trading in regulated commodities can prepare its
own rules (Articles of Association) and bylaws and regulate trading on a day-to-day
basis. The FMC approves those rules and byelaws and provides a regulatory overview.
The ECA, 1955 came into powers to control production, supply, distribution, etc. of
essential commodities for maintaining or increasing supplies and for securing their
equitable distribution and availability at fair prices. Using the powers under the ECA,
1955, various departments of the central government have issued control orders for
regulating production, distribution and quality of products, movements, etc. pertaining to
the commodities that are essential and administered by them.
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The provisions of FCRA, 1952 govern all types of forward contracts in India. The act
categorized commodities into three groups based on the extent of regulation: (a) the
commodities in which futures trading can be organized under the auspices of a
recognised association (b) the commodities in which futures trading is prohibited (c) the
free commodities which are neither regulated nor prohibited. However, options in goods
are prohibited by the FCRA, 1952 but the ready delivery contracts remain outside its
purview. The ready delivery contract, as defined by the act, is the one that provides for
the delivery of goods and payment of a price, either immediately or within a period not
exceeding 11 days after the date of the contract. All ready delivery contracts where the
delivery of goods and/or payment for goods is not completed within 11 days from thedate of the contract are defined as forward contracts. The act classifies forward contracts
into two—specific delivery contracts and those excluding specific delivery contracts or
futures contracts. Specific delivery contracts are forward contracts that provide for the
actual delivery of specific qualities or types of goods during a specified time period at a
price fixed thereby or to be fixed in the manner thereby agreed and in which the names of
both the buyer and the seller are mentioned. Specific delivery contracts are distinguished
as transferable and non-transferable. The distinction between the transferable specific
delivery (TSD) contracts and non-transferable specific delivery (NTSD) contracts is
based on the transferability of the rights or obligations under the contract. Forward
trading in TSD and NTSD contracts are regulated by FCRA, 1952. As per section 15 of
the act, every forward contract in notified goods (currently 103 commodity items), which
is entered into except those between members of a recognised association or through or
with any such member, is treated as illegal or void. As per the section 17(1) of the act, 82
items are prohibited from entering into forward contracts. Section 18(1) of the act
exempts NTSD contracts from regulatory provisions. However, over the years, regulatory
provisions of the act were applied to the NTSD contracts, and 79 commodity items are
currently prohibited from NTSD contracts under section 17 of the act. Moreover, another
15 commodity items have been brought under the regulatory provisions of section 15 of
the act, out of which trading in NTSD contracts has been suspended for 12 items. At
present, the NTSD contracts in cotton, raw jute and jute goods are permitted only
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between, through or with the members of the associations specifically recognised for the
purpose.
The main features of the act are as follows:
The Act applies to goods, which are defined as any movable property other than
security, currency, and actionable claims.
The very preamble of the Act announces the intention of the legislature to prohibit
options in goods. By a specific provision, section 19, such agreements are prohibited.
(The proposal to regulate options in goods is under consideration of Government)
The Act classifies contracts/agreements into two broad categories, viz., ready delivery
contract and forward contract. Ready delivery contract are those where delivery of
goods and full payment of price therefore is made within a period of eleven days.
(The proposal to extend the period to thirty days is under consideration of
Government). It is further clarified that notwithstanding the period of performance
contract, if the contract is performed by payment of money difference it would not be
a ready delivery contract
The Act defines forward contract as the contract for delivery of goods that are not a
ready delivery contract. Forward contracts are implicitly classified into two broad
categories, viz., specific delivery contract and non-specific delivery contract or
standardized contract. Though, de-facto, the focus of the regulation are standardized
contracts i.e., futures contracts, these are not defined in the present Act (it is proposed
to introduce definition of "futures contract" in the Act)
Specific delivery contracts (where the terms of the contracts are specific to each
contract - customized contracts) in which, the buyer does not transfer the contract by
merely transferring document of title to the goods and exchanging money difference
between the sale and purchase price, termed as Non-transferable Specific Delivery
Contract are normally outside the purview of the Act, but there is an enabling
provision empowering the Government to regulate or prohibit such contracts.
The Act provides for either regulation of the other forward contract in specified
commodities or prohibition of specified commodities. Such contracts in the
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commodities that do not figure in regulated or prohibited categories are outside the
purview of the Act, except when they are organized by some Exchange.
The Act envisages three-tier regulation. The Exchange that organizes forward trading
in regulated commodities can prepare its own rules (articles of association) and
byelaws and regulate trading on a day-to-day basis. The Forward Markets
Commission approves those rules and Byelaws and provides regulatory oversight. It
also acquires concurrent powers of regulation either while approving the rules and
byelaws or by making such rules and byelaws under the delegated powers. The
Central Government - Department of Consumer Affairs, Ministry of Consumer
Affairs, Food and Public Distribution - is the ultimate regulatory authority. Only
those associations, which are granted recognition by the Government, are allowed to
organize forward trading in regulated commodities. Presently the recognition is
commodity-specific. Government has original powers to suspend trading, call for
information, require the Exchanges to submit periodical returns, nominate directors
on the Boards of the Exchanges, supersede Board of Directors of the Exchange etc.
Most of these powers are delegated to the FMC; otherwise the role of FMC is
recommendatory in nature. (The Government has full control over the FMC, which is
the subordinate office of the Department of Consumer Affairs, depending upon the
budget allocation for its existence. The FMC also is subject to the rules and
regulations relating to all matters including appointment of staff and officers,
incurring office expenses and conducting tours etc. as are applicable to any
Government Department.)
Only police authorities have powers to enforce illegal trading in prohibited
commodities and options in goods. FMC can merely forward information and render
technical assistance to police. The penalties provided under the Act are nominal and
does not have deterrent effect. Since judicial magistrate first class has jurisdiction to
try offences under this Act, the fine cannot exceed Rs.10, 000. The minimum fine
prescribed for the second offence is Rs. 1,000 only. There is no provision to relate the
penalty to the amount involved in the offence. (The Government is considering
amending the Act to raise the fine to Rs.5000).
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The Forward Contract Regulations Act (1952) has been amended over the years. Various
committees have worked on and reshaped the act in varying capacities. An example is the
Kabra Committee in 1993, which proposed strengthening of the FMC and a few
amendments to the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952. The major amendments
included allowing options in goods, increase in outer limit for delivery and payment from
11 days to 30 days for the contract to remain as a ready delivery contract and registration
of brokers with the FMC. The government accepted most of these recommendations and
futures trading have been permitted in all recommended commodities.
The FMC has imposed several regulatory measures that are implemented in developed
markets such as daily mark to market margining, time stamping of trades, innovation of
contracts and creation of a trade guarantee fund, back office computerization for the
existing single commodity exchange and online trading for the new exchanges,
demutualisation for the new exchanges, one-third representation of independent directors
on the boards of existing exchanges, etc. Though these measures were intended to
promote financial integrity, market integrity and transparency, most of these have met
with strong resistance from the trade.
The government has taken a landmark decision to deregulate long duration margining
contracts (non-transferable specific delivery contracts) from the purview of the Forward
Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952. There is a need for radically pruning the negative list
of commodities in which futures trading is not allowed. The reasons, whether right or
wrong, which led the government to ban a large number of commodities no longer exist
today. Prior to 1960, futures trading used to be conducted in traditional commodities at
the conventional places of trading as per the set terms and conditions. When futures
trading in these traditional commodities were prohibited, either non-transferable specific
delivery contracts or futures trading in the commodities of minor nature, which had no
tradition of futures trading were used as a guise for conducting futures trading in
traditional commodities. Most of these minor commodities were included in the negative
list to prevent such disguised trading. Now that most of these conventional commodities
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such as edible oil and cotton are legally allowed, the need for using minor commodities
as a guise has disappeared.
Secondly, futures trading can generally be conducted only in commodities, which have
competitive markets. It is necessary that the market forces of demand and supply largely
determine the prices. India has already made a transition from being a food importing
country to a food surplus country. The Government will have to substantially dilute the
administered price mechanisms and integrate the internal food grains market with the
global markets. The shortage conditions have changed, in addition to the perception that
futures market is volatile, aggravating the impact in a shortage situation. It is appreciatedin the policy circles that even in a shortage situation, futures markets help to balance the
demand for the commodity and has a salutary impact of reducing intra-seasonal price-
spread.
LIST OF COMMODITIES NOTIFIED UNDER SECTION 15 OF THE F.C.(R.) ACT 1952.
Fibers and Manufactures
rt arn otton ot otton po s
Cotton Yarn
Indian Cotton (Full pressed, half pressed
or loose)
ute goo s ess an an ac ngs an
cloth and /or bags, twines and/or yarns
mfd by any of the mills and/or any other
manufacturers of whatever nature made
from jute)
apas aw ute nc u ng esta tap e er arn
r ar un a ra ar ey
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ram ram a uar
owar u t a esar
a ze asur ot
ung ung un ung a
eas ag ce or a y
ma ets o an u t , o ra, orra,
Vargu, Sawan, Rala, Kakun, Samai, Vari
& Banti)
Tur Dal (Arhar Dal) Tur(Arhar)
ra as ra a eat
Metals
opper, nc, ea o r nGold
ver ver o ns
see s an s
e erysee opra oconut opra ca e oconut ca e
opra oconut ottonsee ottonsee
ottonsee ca e e ne ru e a m
ru e a m ve roun nut roun nut
roun nut ca e nsee nsee o
nsee ca e apesee ustar apesee ca e ustar see ca e
apesee ustar see a mo e n ce ran
ce ran ce ran ca e a ower
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a ower a ower ca e esamum or
esamum esamum ca e oy mea
oy oy ean un ower
un ower ca e un ower ee
p ces
n see ete nuts ar amom
es nnamon oves
or an er see nger et
utmegs epper urmer c
t ers
amp or astor see
ru e ara or erseem nc u ng
charaseed or berseemseed)
Gram Husk (Gram Chilka) Gur
an sar ugar o ymer otato
u er ee ac e ac
ugar urnace t ano
o ng oa ectr c ty ent a o atura as
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The Forward Contract (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2008
The Forward Contract (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2008 introduced in the Lok Sabha
seeks to make the following amendments:
To transform the role of the FMC from a government department to an
independent regulator.
The powers and responsibilities of FMC with regard to regulating commodity
forward and derivatives market similar to that of SEBI in the Securities Market.
Permits trading in commodity derivatives that derive their value from differences
in prices of goods or services, activities or events.
An increase in the maximum number of members of FMC from four to nine out
of which three should be whole time members and a Chairman
Conferring powers upon the FMC to levy fees
The constitution of FMC General Fund to which all grants, fees and all sums
received by the FMC shall be credited except penalty and application of such
funds for meeting the expenses of the Commission.
Making provisions for corporatization and demoralization of recognized
associations in accordance with the scheme to be approved by the FMC.
Making provisions for registration of members and intermediaries.
Allowing trading in options.
Making provision for investigation, enforcement and penalty in case of
contravention of the provisions of the FCR Act, 1952.
Securities Appellant Tribunal (SAT) would be designated as the appellate tribunal
for the purpose of FCR Act. The Bill provides for an appeal from the order of
Forward Market Commission and adjudication officer to SAT. Dissatisfied over
the SAT order, an appellant can move the Supreme Court—under proposed new
Section 24A, no civil court would have any jurisdiction to entertain any suit under
FCR Act.
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Apart from “The Forward Contract (Regulation) Amendment Bill, 2008”, many more
bills (e.g. Amendment Bill, 2006) were introduced in the Lok Sabha but none were
passed. The Amendment Bill, 2008 is also yet to become an Act.
RBI Guidelines
Apart from FMC, the RBI also has a role to play if banks are to deal in future/forward
contracts in commodities. The regulation a bank may have to follow in order to deal in
forward is as follows:
Regulation by RBI – Commodity Derivatives
Commercial bank ADs, authorized by Reserve Bank, can grant permission to
companies listed on a recognized stock exchange to hedge the price risk in respect of
any commodity (except gold, silver, petroleum and petroleum products other than
aviation turbine fuel) in the international commodity exchanges/ markets. ADs may
grant permission to Corporates only after obtaining approval from the Reserve Bank
that also retains the right to withdraw the permission granted to the bank, if
considered necessary. Commercial bank ADs interested in extending this facility to
their customers should satisfy the minimum norms as given below:
1. Continuous profitability for at least three years
2. Minimum CRAR of 9%
3. Net NPA at reasonable level but not more than 4 per cent of net advances
4. Minimum net worth of Rs 300 crore.
Corporates to undertake hedge transactions should submit a Board resolution to the
ADs indicating
1. The Board understands the risks involved in these transactions
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2. Nature of hedge transactions that the corporate would undertake during the
ensuing year, and
3. The company would undertake hedge transaction only where it is exposed to price
risk.
ADs may refuse to undertake any hedge transaction if it has a doubt about the
bonafides of the transaction or the corporate is not exposed to price risk. It is clarified
that hedging the price risk on domestic sale/purchase transactions in the international
exchanges/markets, even if the domestic price is linked to the international price of
the commodity, is not permitted.
Banks which have been granted permission to approve commodity hedging may
submit an annual report to the Chief General Manager, Reserve Bank of India,
Foreign Exchange Department as on March 31 every year, within one month, giving
the names of the corporates to whom they have granted permission for commodity
hedging and the name of the commodity hedged.
Applications from customers to undertake hedge transactions not covered under the
delegated authority may continue to be forwarded to Reserve Bank by the Authorised
Dealers Category-I, for approval.
Commodity Hedging for Domestic Transactions - Select Metals
As announced in the Annual Policy Statement for the year 2007-08 (para 139), it has
been decided that AD Category – I banks may, henceforth, permit domestic producers
/ users to hedge their price risk on aluminium, copper, lead, nickel and zinc in
international commodity exchanges based on their underlying economic exposures.
Hedging may be permitted up to the average of previous three financial years' (April
to March) actual purchases / sales or the previous year's actual purchases / sales
turnover, whichever is higher, of the above commodities. Further, only standard
exchange traded futures and options (purchases only) may be permitted.
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Commodity Hedging for Domestic Purchases –Aviation Turbine Fuel (ATF)
AD Category – I banks, may also permit actual users of aviation turbine fuel (ATF) to
hedge their economic exposures in the international commodity exchanges based on
their domestic purchases. If the risk profile warrants, the actual users of ATF may
also use OTC contracts. AD Category – I banks should ensure that permission for
hedging ATF is granted only against firm orders and the necessary documentary
evidence should be retained by them.
The following points are to be noted in the above two cases:
1. AD Category – I banks should ensure that the entities entering into hedging activities
above should have Board approved policies which define the overall framework
within which derivatives activities should be conducted and the risks controlled.
2. Applications from customers to undertake hedge transactions not covered under the
delegated authority may continue to be forwarded to Reserve Bank by the AD
Category – I banks, for approval as hitherto.
Oil Refining and Marketing Companies
As announced in the Mid – Term Review of Annual Policy Statement for the Year 2007-
08 (para 135), it has been decided to permit domestic oil marketing and refining
companies to hedge their commodity price risk to the extent of 50 per cent of their
inventory based on the volumes in the quarter preceding the previous quarter. The
hedging may be undertaken through AD Category – I banks, which have been authorised
by Reserve Bank. The hedges may be undertaken using over-the-counter (OTC) /
exchange traded derivatives overseas with the tenor restricted to a maximum of one-year
forward.
AD Category – I banks should ensure that the entities hedging their exposures should
have Board approved policies which define the overall framework within which
derivatives activities should be undertaken and the risks contained. AD Category-I banks
should approve this facility only after ensuring that the Board’s approval has been
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obtained for the specific activity (i.e. hedging of inventories) and also for dealing in OTC
markets. The Board approval must include explicitly the mark-to-market policy, the
counterparties permitted for OTC derivatives, etc. The entities must put up the list of
OTC transactions to the Board on a half yearly basis, which must be evidenced by the
AD before permitting continuation of hedging facilities under this scheme. The AD
Category – I banks should also carry out due diligence regarding "user appropriateness"
and "suitability" of the hedging activity of the customer.
Procedure for application for approval for hedging of commodity price risk
(According to Foreign Exchange Management (Foreign Exchange Derivative
Contracts) (Second Amendment) Regulations, 2006)
1. A person resident in India, engaged in export-import trade, who seeks to hedge price
risk in respect of any commodity, excluding gold, silver, petroleum and petroleum
products (but including ATF), in the international commodity exchanges/markets may
submit an application to the International Banking Division of an authorized dealer
giving the following details.
a. A brief description of the hedging strategy proposed namely:
i. Description of business activity and nature of risk
ii. Instruments proposed to be used for hedging
iii. Names of commodity exchange and brokers through whom the risk is
proposed to be hedged and credit lines proposed to be availed. The
name and address of the regulatory authority in the country concerned
may also be given
iv. Size/average tenure of exposure and/or total turnover in a year,
together with expected peak positions thereof and the basis of
calculation
b. Copy of the Risk Management Policy approved by the Management covering:
i. Risk identification
ii. Risk measurements
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iii. Guidelines and procedures to be followed with respect to revaluation
and/or monitoring of positions
iv. Names and designations of the officials authorized to undertake
transactions and limits
c. Any other relevant information.
2. Authorised dealer after ensuring that the application is supported by documents
indicated in paragraph 1, may forward the application with its recommendations to
Reserve Bank where applicable. In all other cases, the application may be forwarded
by the company concerned to an authorized dealer bank authorized to grant
permission under sub-regulation (ii) of regulation 6, for consideration.
Regulation 6 of Foreign Exchange Management (Foreign Exchange Derivative
Contracts) (Second Amendment) Regulations, 2006
(i) Reserve Bank may, on an application made in accordance with the procedure
specified above, permit subject to such terms and conditions as it may consider
necessary, a person resident in India to enter into a contract in a commodity exchange
or market outside India to hedge the price risk in a commodity.
(ii) Notwithstanding anything contained in sub-regulation (i), an authorized dealer bank
specially authorized in that behalf by the Reserve Bank may permit a company,
resident in India and listed on a recognized stock exchange, to enter into contracts in a
commodity exchange or market outside India, to hedge the price risk in a commodity
imported/exported by it subject to such terms and conditions as may be stipulated bythe Reserve Bank from time to time.
Provided that such authorized dealer bank shall exercise such authority subject to the
directions and guidelines issued to them by the Reserve Bank in that behalf.
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(iii) An authorized dealer bank may apply to the Reserve Bank of India, Foreign
Exchange Department for grant of authority to grant permission under sub-regulation
(ii) to its customers.
(iv) Notwithstanding anything contained in this regulation a unit in the Special Economic
Zone (SEZ) may enter into contracts in a commodity exchange or market outside
India to hedge the price risk of the commodity of export/import, subject to the
condition that such contract is entered into on a 'stand-alone' basis (The term stand-
alone means that the unit in the SEZ is completely isolated from financial contracts
with its parent or subsidiary in the mainland or within the SEZ(s) as far as its
import/export transactions are concerned).
Conditions/ Guidelines for undertaking hedging transactions in the international
commodity exchanges/ markets
The focus of hedge transactions shall be on risk containment. Only offset hedge is
permitted.
All standard exchange traded futures and options (purchases only) are permitted. If
the risk profile warrants, the corporate/firm may also use OTC contracts. It is also
open to the Corporate/firm to use combinations of option strategies involving a
simultaneous purchase and sale of options as long as there is no net inflow of
premium direct or implied. Corporates/firms are allowed to cancel an option position
with an opposite transaction with the same broker.
The corporate/firm should open a Special Account with the authorized dealer
category-I. All payments/receipts incidental to hedging may be effected by the
authorized dealer category-I through this account without further reference to the
Reserve Bank.
A copy of the Broker’s Month-end Report(s), duly confirmed/countersigned by the
corporate’s Financial Controller should be verified by the bank to ensure that all off-
shore positions are/were backed by physical exposures.
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The periodic statements submitted by Brokers, particularly those furnishing details of
transactions booked and contracts closed out and the amount due/payable in
settlement should be checked by the corporate/firm. Unreconciled items should be
followed up with the Broker and reconciliation completed within three months.
The corporate/firm should not undertake any arbitraging/speculative transactions.
The responsibility of monitoring transactions in this regard will be that of the
authorized dealer category-I.
An annual certificate from Statutory Auditors should be submitted by the
company/firm to the authorized dealer category-I. The certificate should confirm that
the prescribed terms and conditions have been complied with and that the
corporate/firm’s internal controls are satisfactory. These certificates may be kept on
record for internal audit/inspection.
Constraints and Major Challenges of Commodity Futures Market
Commodity futures markets are the strength of an agricultural surplus country like India.
Commodity exchanges play a pivotal role in ensuring stronger growth, transparency and
efficiency of the commodity futures markets. This role is defined by their functions,
infrastructure capabilities, trading procedures, settlement and risk management practices.
Indian commodity market is still at a nascent stage of development as there are numerous
bottlenecks hampering its growth. The institutional and policy-level issues associated
with commodity trading have to be addressed by the government in coordination with the
FMC in order to take necessary measures to pave the way for a significant expansion andfurther development of the commodity markets. Some of the major problems associated
with commodity markets in India are discussed below:
Infrastructure: The lack of efficient and sophisticated infrastructural facilities is
the major growth inhibitor of the Indian commodity markets. Though some
exchanges occupy large premises, they are deficient in terms of the necessary
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institutional infrastructure, including warehousing facilities, independent and
automated clearing houses, transparent trading platforms, etc.
Trading System: Though the operations of national exchanges are carried out
through the electronic trading system, a majority of the regional exchanges
continue to trade via the open outcry system. In order to attract a greater number
of investors towards sector-specific commodities, regional exchanges must
introduce the electronic trading system to assure the investors of transparency and
fairly priced commodities.
Controlled Market: Price variability is an essential pre-condition for futures
markets. Any deviation in the market mechanism or where the free play of supply
and demand forces for commodities does not determine commodity prices will
dilute the variability of prices and potential risk. For a vibrant futures market, it is
imperative that commodity pricing must be left to market forces, without
monopolistic government control. However, in India, scores of commodities in
which futures trading is permitted are still protected under the ECA, 1955.
Integration of Regional and National Exchanges: From a wider standpoint, it is
essential to integrate the regional exchanges with the national exchanges to
achieve price discovery for regional exchanges to be driven by broad-level prices
prevailing at the national exchanges. Secondly, this integration will facilitate the
creation of more efficient markets as price discovery will become dependent on
domestic demand and supply of commodities.
Integration of the Spot and Futures Markets: The integration of the spot and
futures market is another critical factor for the expansion of the commodity
futures market in India. The spot market in commodities is largely controlled by
the state governments. Restrictions exist on stockholding, turnover, and
movement of goods, and variations persist in the level of duties levied by the
different state governments.
In spite of these constraints, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs), mutual funds and
banks may soon become active participants in the Indian commodity derivatives markets.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), along with the Ministry of Finance and Consumer
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Affairs, is considering a proposal to grant permission to overseas institutional investors to
hold stakes in the Indian commodity derivatives markets (Business Line, 23 February
2005). If these institutional investors are permitted to operate in the Indian commodity
derivatives markets, they could provide for the much required breadth and depth to these
markets. Moreover, since such a move would warrant the convergence of the commodity
derivatives markets with the financial derivatives markets, the commodity derivatives
markets could reap better gains. The convergence of commodity futures markets with
other derivatives markets will induce eminent economies of scale and would help in the
utilization of capital and institution building, which has already taken place for the
derivatives markets for the purposes of India’s agricultural sector.
Major Commodities Traded in India
Gold
Indian Gold Market
Gold is valued in India as a savings and investment vehicle and is the second
preferred investment after bank deposits.
India is the world's largest consumer of gold in jewellery as investment.
In July 1997 the RBI authorized the commercial banks to import gold for sale or
loan to jewellers and exporters. At present, 13 banks are active in the import of
gold.
This reduced the disparity between international and domestic prices of gold from
57 percent during 1986 to 1991 to 8.5 percent in 2001.
The gold hoarding tendency is well ingrained in Indian society.
Domestic consumption is dictated by monsoon, harvest and marriage season.
Indian jewellery offtake is sensitive to price increases and even more so to
volatility.
In the cities gold is facing competition from the stock market and a wide range of
consumer goods.
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Facilities for refining, assaying, making them into standard bars in India, as
compared to the rest of the world, are insignificant, both qualitatively and
quantitatively.
Market Moving Factors
Above ground supply from sales by central banks, reclaimed scrap and official
gold loans
Producer / miner hedging interest
World macro-economic factors - US Dollar, Interest rate
Comparative returns on stock markets
Domestic demand based on monsoon and agricultural output
Aluminium
Supply and Demand:
Global Scenario
Aluminium ore, most commonly bauxite, is plentiful and occurs mainly in
tropical and sub-tropical areas - Africa, West Indies, South America and
Australia. There are also some deposits in Europe
The leading producing countries include the United States, Russia, Canada, the
European Union, China, Australia, Brazil, Norway, South Africa, Venezuela, the
Gulf States (Bahrain and United Arab Emirates), India and New Zealand; together
they represent more than 90 percent of the world primary aluminium production.
The largest aluminium markets are North America, Europe and East Asia.
The global production of aluminium is about 27.7 and 28.9 million tons in 2003
and 2004 respectively.
China, Russia, Canada and United States produced about 6.1, 3.6, 2.64 and 2.5
million tons of aluminium in year 2004 respectively.
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Indian Scenario
India is considered the fifth largest producer of aluminium in the world.
It is estimated at about 3037 million tonnes for all categories of bauxite (proved,
probable and possible). With the present level of consumption of aluminum, the
identified reserves would have an estimated life of over 350 years. India's reserves
are estimated to be 7.5 per cent of the total deposits and installed capacity is about
3 per cent of the world.
In terms of demand and supply, the situation is not only self-sufficient, but it also
has export potential on a competitive basis. India's annual export of aluminium is
about 82,000 tonnes.
India’s annual consumption of Aluminum is around 6.18 lakh tons and is
projected to increase to 7.8 lakh tones by 2007.
About a decade back, the primary Indian aluminium producers were BALCO,
NALCO, INDAL, HINDALCO and MALCO. Of the five, two (BALCO and
NALCO) were in the public sector while the other three were in the private sector
As a result of the process of liberalization of trade in aluminium, India has
emerged as a net exporter of aluminium, on competitive terms. Government
monopoly, in terms of aluminium production, removal of price and distribution
control over aluminium, has been diluted in favour of private sector. The
ownership pattern in private sector has undergone changes. With the takeover of
INDAL by the HINDALCO, it has emerged as the major producer of aluminium
in the country.
World Aluminium Markets
LME, TOCOM, SHFE and NYMEX are the important international markets that
provide direction to the aluminium prices.
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Copper
Supply and Demand:
Global Scenario
Economic, technological and societal factors influence the supply and demand of
copper. As society's need for copper increases, new mines and plants are introduced
and existing ones expanded.
Land-based resources are estimated at 1.6 billion tons of copper, and resources in
deep-sea nodules are estimated at 0.7 billion tons.
The global production of refined copper is around 15 million tons.
The major copper-consuming nations are Western Europe (28.5%), the United States
(19.1%), Japan (14%), and China (5.3%).
Copper and copper alloy scrap composes a significant share of the world's supply.
The largest international sources for scrap are the United States and Europe. Chile,
Indonesia, Canada and Australia are the major exporters and Japan, Spain, China,
Germany and Philippines are the major importers.
Indian Scenario
The size of Indian Copper Industry is around 4 lakh tons, which as percentage of
world copper market is 3 %.
Birla Copper, Sterilite Industries are two major private producers and Hindustan
Copper Ltd the public sector producers.
India is emerging as net exporter of copper from the status of net importer on account
of rise in production by three companies.
Copper goes into various usage such as Building, Cabling for power and
telecommunications, Automobiles etc. Two major states owned telecommunications
service providers; BSNL and MTNL consume 10% of country's copper production.
Growth in the building construction and automobile sector would keep demand of
copper high.
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World Copper Markets
LME and NYMEX are the two international markets, which provide direction to the
copper prices.
The eight leading refining nations, viz., United States,Japan, Chile, Canada, Zambia,
Belgium, and the Federal Republic of Germany account for 67% of total refined
metal production.
Factors Influencing Copper Markets
Copper prices in India are fixed on the basis of the rates that rule on LME the
preceding day.
World copper mine production through exploration of new mine and expansion of
existing mine.
Economic growth of the major consuming countries such as China, Japan, Germany
etc.
Growth and development in the Building, electronics and electrical industry.
Lead
Supply & Demand Scenario
Domestic Scenario
Lead production equaled approximately 82,000 tons in 2004, mostly from secondary
sources.
The main constraint in lead production in the country is the lack of lead ore reserves,
which necessitates large-scale imports and recycling.
Lead demand in India was estimated at 150,000 tons for 2004. Due to huge gap in
demand-supply, India imported nearly about 50% of its domestic demand.
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The major suppliers for the imports were China, the Republic of Korea and Australia:
54%, 15% and 10% respectively.
The domestic industry is characterized by the presence of only a few players in the
primary segment. The primary lead industry in India is divided between the following
main players: Binani Industries Limited and Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd.
(Hindustan Zinc Ltd.). Due to increasing use of lead in domestic market both players
are expanding their smelting capacities for lead.
World Scenario
USA, Japan, China, EU and India are the major consumers of Lead
Supply is controlled by Australia and China.
Lead in the global market is traded as soft lead, animated lead, lead alloys and
copper-base scrap.
Factor influencing demand and supply
Changes in inventory level at LME warehouses
Economic growth rate of major consuming countries
Global growth and demand in major consuming industries
Prices of the alternative metal(s)
Participation of funds
Nickel
Characteristics of World Nickel Market
Nickel world market is characterized by rising demand and constrained supply.
More than 54% if world total supply comes from only five companies.
Global nickel consumption is growing by an average 3.1 per cent a year.
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Supply and Demand
Major producers of Nickel are Russia, followed by Australia, Canada, New Caledonia
and Indonesia, which represents over 65% of total world production.
World primary nickel consumption is about 1 million tons. Consumption centers are
Japan 2 lakh tons and European Union 3.74 lakh tons.
Rapid expansion of global stainless steel production is fuelling demand for primary
nickel.
Important World Nickel Markets
London Metal Exchange.
Indian Nickel Market
Nickel market in India is of total import dependent.
India imports around 30,000 tons of Nickel.
Import duty on Nickel is 15%.
With growth in the stainless steel sector Nickel import demand is expected to increase
in the coming years.
India in World Nickel Industry
India meets its Nickel Requirement through import.
Factors Influencing Nickel Markets
Above ground supply from scrap.
New mines discovery.
Nickel demand is derived demand thus the situation in the various industries.
Growth in consumption of Stainless steel.
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Tin
Global Scenario
The world tin production fluctuates between 2.4 to 3.1 lakh tons. The production in
2001, is estimated at 2.49 lakh tons.
China (80000 - 1,00,000 tons), Indonesia (54000-90000 tons), Peru (50000 - 70000
tons), Bolivia (12000 - 15000 tons) and Brazil (12000 to 14000 tons) are the major
producers of tin in the world. These five producers account for around 91% of the
world's total production. The other important producers are Australia, Vietnam and
Malaysia are the other major producers.
United States is believed to be the world's largest producer of secondary tin.
World tin consumption is estimated to have exceeded supply by 15000 tons in 2003.
Japan is estimated to be the largest consumer of tin in the world. The other major
consumers are China and USA.
Globally, the demand is estimated to be above the supply.
Major Tin Markets
The London Metal exchange is the major referral market for futures trading in tin.
Indian Scenario
India's tin production is a meager 10 tons.
India meets most of her tin requirements through imports. It is estimated that India
imports around 4000 tons of tin and its alloys (including scrap).
Tinplate packaging is picking up in the country. The market size of tin plate
packaging is estimated to be around 3,00,000 tons. In India, tin plate is mainly used
for packaging in three categories: edible oil & cashew, processed food and non-food.
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Zinc
Domestic Scenario
The Indian zinc industry entered its transformation phase with the privatization of the
largest zinc producer, Hindustan Zinc Ltd, in favor of the Sterlite group in April
2002. The domestic zinc industry is now completely under the private sector and is in
the midst of a serious expansion program.
By 2010, India is expected to attain complete self-sufficiency in meeting its zinc
demand. Thereafter, the process of India becoming an important zinc supplier to the
world would be initiated, provided that another phase of capacity expansion is
effected.
The country's zinc demand, which stood at 3.5 lakh tonnes in 2003-04, is expected to
rise to 4 lakh tonnes in 2004-05, including imports 65,000 tonnes.
Over the next five-six years, zinc demand is likely to grow at 12-15 per cent annually,
against the global average of 5 per cent.
Even if one assumes that zinc demand grows by 10 per cent till 2010 and at slower 7
per cent thereafter, India would require zinc capacity of 14 lakh tpa by 2020, in order
to be self-reliant. The next round of large capacity additions would, therefore, be
warranted from 2008 onwards.
Buoyancy in domestic zinc demand primarily emanates from the boom in the steel
industry, given that over 70 per cent of zinc is used for galvanizing. The steel industry
has bright prospects with demand drivers being the construction industry and exports.
Other sources for demand would be die-casting, guard rails for highways and
imported-substituted zinc alloys.
Global Scenario
Substitutes: Aluminum, steel, and plastics substitute for galvanized sheet. Aluminum,
plastics, and magnesium are major competitors as diecasting materials. Plastic coatings,
paint, and cadmium and aluminum alloy coatings replace zinc for corrosion protection;
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aluminum alloys are used in place of brass. Many elements are substitutes for zinc in
chemical, electronic, and pigment uses.
Factors Influencing Zinc Market
Changes in inventory level at LME warehouses
Economic growth rate of major consuming countries
Global growth and demand in major consuming industries
Prices of the alternative metal(s)
Participation of funds
Crude Oil
Global Scenario
Oil accounts for 40 per cent of the world's total energy demand.
The world consumes about 76 million bbl/day of oil.
United States (20 million bbl/d), followed by China (5.6 million bbl/d) and Japan
(5.4 million bbl/d) are the top oil consuming countries.
Balance recoverable reserve was estimated at about 142.7 billion tones (in 2002),
of which OPEC was 112 billion tones.
OPEC fact sheet
OPEC stands for 'Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries'. It is an organization of
eleven developing countries that are heavily dependent on oil revenues as their main
source of income. The current Members are Algeria, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya,
Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela.
OPEC controls almost 40 percent of the world's crude oil.
It accounts for about 75 per cent of the world's proven oil reserves.
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Its exports represent 55 per cent of the oil traded internationally.
Indian Scenario
India ranks among the top 10 largest oil-consuming countries.
Oil accounts for about 30 per cent of India's total energy consumption. The
country's total oil consumption is about 2.2 million barrels per day. India imports
about 70 per cent of its total oil consumption and it makes no exports.
India faces a large supply deficit, as domestic oil production is unlikely to keep
pace with demand. India's rough production was only 0.8 million barrels per day.
The oil reserves of the country (about 5.4 billion barrels) are located primarily in
Mumbai High, Upper Assam, Cambay, Krishna-Godavari and Cauvery basins.
Balance recoverable reserve was about 733 million tones (in 2003) of which
offshore was 394 million tones and on shore was 339 million tones.
India had a total of 2.1 million barrels per day in refining capacity.
Government has permitted foreign participation in oil exploration, an activity
restricted earlier to state owned entities.
Indian government in 2002 officially ended the Administered Pricing Mechanism(APM). Now crude price is having a high correlation with the international
market price. As on date, even the prices of crude bi-products are allowed to vary
+/- 10% keeping in line with international crude price, subject to certain
government laid down norms/ formulae.
Disinvestment/restructuring of public sector units and complete deregulation of
Indian retail petroleum products sector is under way.
Market Influencing Factors
OPEC output and supply .
Terrorism, Weather/storms, War and any other unforeseen geopolitical factors
that causes supply disruptions.
Global demand particularly from emerging nations.
Dollar fluctuations.
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DOE / API imports and stocks.
Refinery fires & funds buying.
Exchanges dealing in crude futures
The New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) .
The International Petroleum Exchange of London (IPE).
The Tokyo Commodity Exchange (TOCOM).
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Conclusion
Commodity derivatives play a pivotal role in the price-risk management process
especially in any agricultural surplus country. Unique hedging instruments derivatives
such as forwards, futures, swaps, options and exotic derivative products are extensively
used in the global market. However, Indian market is limited to commodity futures and
forwards only.
India is rapidly doing away with its barriers on commodity imports and exports, opening
up the country’s commodity sector to foreign competition. In order for the domestic
industry to be able to compete on an equal footing to its counterparts in other countries,
India must develop its commodity market to meet international standards. Unless these
standards are met, exchanges will make only minor contributions to the growth and
stability of the Indian economy, and international firms and large domestic firms with
significant hedging needs will not use these exchanges.
The thirty-year ban on futures exchanges has had an adverse repercussion on the growth
and functioning of Indian commodity exchanges. It has forced people, skills and money
to flow to other international markets. While commodity exchanges have done
remarkably well in the face of adverse conditions, these conditions have now changed.
What was appropriate for the exchanges in the mid-1990s is no longer so today. The
FMC has been trying to modernize the exchanges by requiring them to implement
changes and using the withdrawal or even suspension of approval for trading in some
commodities. Many of the commodity exchanges are now responding and have been
making efforts to deal with their problems and imperfections.
In its Annual Report 1993, the RBI suggested granting of industry status to commodity
futures. This would have provided enhanced access to institutional funds. RBI also
observed “Participation in futures market needs to be enlarged by including mutual funds,
financial institutions and Foreign Institutional Investors (FII), under appropriate
regulatory supervision”. The banks and financial institutions can play the vital role of
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price discovery and price risk management. Somehow, for some extraneous reasons the
initiatives did not take shape as the ‘nascent’ phase of futures market could not encourage
the Central Government to take bold steps. The traditional hawala markets continued to
occupy the pivotal position in the market. But, there appears to be a strong case for
allowing banks to participate in futures market. This boosts liquidity and turnover
volumes. Indirectly banks would have got a cover against fluctuations in commodity
security values of financing. The possible arrangement would be to encourage lending by
banks to farmers or cooperatives with a condition that they should sell their commodities
in the market under futures contracts.
The commodity futures market in India is facing the test of efficacy due to strong and
extreme views of political parties. In March 2007 India banned futures trading in wheat
and rice in the wake of uproar over import of wheat. The ban which is driven by political
risk is posing challenge to the new players to enter the market. The government decides
the maintenance of buffer stocks, price fixation and import-export trade of sensitive
commodities. This approach has not helped either the farmer or the consumer in the long
run. It is in this context the role of futures market appears crucial for leveling the price
fluctuations with wider range extending beyond domestic market. Having recognized the
commodity futures market as an essential integral part of liberalization this new
alternative must have been allowed to the willing players including banks. If major
commodities are not allowed for trading through hasty interventions of government, India
will end up with small gains.
The apprehensions over misuse of futures market are misplaced as physical delivery in
most cases tones down the undue speculation and futures market in fact can break the
power of vested interests operating in private and fragmented markets. A transparent
electronic exchange with wider access to new players can be the right answer as futures
market can be made more competitive by allowing the participation of mutual funds,
banks and other financial institutions. Banks are getting used to playing with the
derivatives which are facilitating the reallocation and mitigation of credit risks for banks.
RBI is already functioning as an effective regulator by laying down policies and issuing
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directions to banks operating in securities and derivatives. RBI can also be empowered to
regulate the futures trading in commodities by banks. Banks as main suppliers of food
credit and major financiers of trading in commodities can play a significant role in
stabilizing the futures market.
RBI has taken steps towards the same and has issued the guidelines to be followed by
banks and its clients to hedge their risk using commodity futures/ forwards contract.
Thus, ING should look into this section of derivatives market so as to spread its risk
among various asset classes. This would also help in its portfolio diversification. Today,
the commodity derivative market is multiplying and many financial institutions are tryingto take advantage of this and a bank like ING Vysya should stay ahead in the race. The
government is playing its role and is relaxing terms for players to enter the commodity
market. If the amendment bill 2008 is passed, Options in commodities will also be
allowed in India and this would offer huge potential for a bank like ING which already
deals in many derivative products effectively and efficiently.
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Learning from the Project
The experience at ING Vysya Bank was very enriching. I came to know how exactly a
treasury of a bank operates, what all tools they use, how they deal with their clients and
how they react to the market volatility i.e. how they react when a news hits the market
and the forex rates fluctuate. There I also learnt the basics of forex trading, how the
exchange rates are determined and computed, how the bank gives the trading rates to
their clients, how they deal with the bid/ask spread and how they make money on each
forex derivative contract (be it with the exporter or the importer). The bank’s main
treasury is at Mumbai (I worked at Delhi office), so the Delhi office had to close their
books each day. For this purpose, they used the inter bank rates for selling or buying
currency (mainly USD, EUR, JPY, CHF, etc) from the main treasury and thus booked
their profits or loss.
During my training, I also learned a lot about derivatives. I had the access to the
Bloomberg terminal wherein I could try my hand at all kind of derivatives be it swaps,
options or other derivatives. After gaining knowledge about few of the derivatives, Iswitched on to study commodity derivatives wherein I gained a lot of knowledge as to
what regulations bank will have to follow in order to float commodity forward contract
and how exactly are commodity derivatives dealt around the globe. I also got to interact
with the employees of ING Vysya bank and came to know about the functioning and
coordination between the different sections of the bank.
Apart from this, I came to know that how difficult it is to dig information from treasuries
of banks or corporate. The strategy they follow to hedge their price risk is very
confidential to the company and only two to three managerial level employees in the
company know about it. Thus, they are reluctant to share information with the outsiders
or even other employees of the firm because of its possible negative use like competitors
copying it.
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ANNEXTURES
ANNEX 1
Questionnaire on OTC Commodity Derivative Trading
Bank:
Identification of the Respondent:
Phone:
Email:
1. OTC Commodity Products covered by your bank (Multiple Options can be ticked):
a) Precious Metals: Gold, Silver, Platinum etc. b) Other Metals: Nickel, Aluminum, Copper etc.
c) Agro-Based Commodities: Wheat, Corn, Cotton, Oils, Oilseeds, etc.
d) Soft Commodities: Coffee, Cocoa, Sugar etc.
e) Livestock: Live Cattle, Pork Bellies etc.f) Energy: Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Gasoline etc.
2. Please provide the percentage each product contributes to your OTC trading in
Commodity Derivatives (e.g. Oil contributes 35% of your total OTC commodity
trading, etc.):
Commodity Percentage
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
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3. With which counterparties do you engage in OTC trading in Commodity Derivative.
Please specify the main OTC commodities traded with them (e.g. power with largeindustrial companies or energy trading companies, etc.):
4. Do you give importance to the credit rating (long term) of the counterparty you deal
with in OTC Commodity Derivatives (Yes/No): ______
If yes, then what is the minimum acceptable rating considered as credit worthy
(e.g. BBB): ______
5. Is the rating of the counterparty Commodity specific (e.g. you trade in power with acounterparty only if his minimum rating is say A) (Yes/No): ______
If yes, please specify the minimum acceptable credit rating for each commoditytraded by you:
Commodity Minimum Acceptable rating
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
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6. Is your OTC trading in Commodity Derivative state specific (e.g. Surendranagar is
the major center for Cotton, etc.) i.e. do you trade a certain commodity mostly in acertain state (Yes/No): _____
If yes, please specify the states (along with the kind of Commodity Derivative tradedin that state) for the major Commodity Derivatives you trade in (e.g. Gold in
Mumbai, etc.):
Commodity State
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
7. What do you think are the risks associated with OTC trading in Commodity
Derivatives (Multiple options can be ticked)
a) Credit risk b) Market risk
c) Operational risk d) Liquidity risk
e) Legal risk f) Settlement risk g) Reputation risk
h) Others (Please specify): ______________
Which is the most important risk associated with OTC trading in Commodityderivatives: _____________________
8. What is the risk management methodology (for each of the risks ticked above) used
by your company (e.g. VaR, etc.)? Please specify.
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9. What is the usual margin percentage you ask for while booking a forward contract?
Is it different for different customers (Yes/No): ______
10. If yes, what is the usual percentage you demand: _____
11. A change in price of the Commodity Derivative could be caused due to (Multiple
options can be ticked):a. The model or style of pricing b) Packaging
c) Components d) Labor
e) Supplier’s or manufacturer’s prices f) Exchange rates
g) Competition h) New tax structure
i) Adjustments to profit margins
12. Has any counterparty ever failed to fulfill a Commodity Derivative contract
(Yes/No): _____ If yes, in the event of failure of counterparty to fulfill the contract, how would your bank unwind its position (e.g. your bank engages in agreements with counterparties,etc.)?
13. Have you ever faced a major crisis while trading in Commodity Derivatives (OTC)?
If yes, what was the cause of this crisis and in what way were you affected by it?
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14. In your opinion, do you see any major crisis happening in OTC market of Commodity
Derivatives in the near future (like the imposition of Commodity Transaction Tax(CTT) may drive the share of unofficial commodity trading (i.e. “DABBA”) thus
leading to a lower usage of commodity derivatives, etc.)?
15. What all documents do you ask for while booking an OTC commodity derivative
contract?
16. OTC Commodity Derivatives your company is planning to trade in the future and are
not being traded presently:
17. OTC Commodity Derivatives your company do not intend to handle in the near future(Please state the reason for not trading the commodity in short if possible):
18. Which bank you think gives the toughest competition to you in OTC traded
Commodity Derivatives: _____________________________