07-094-dp farm, rural and urban families and the incidence of low income in canada second meeting of...

23
07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development and Agriculture Household Income June 11-12, 2009 Rome, Italy

Upload: edwin-sullivan

Post on 23-Dec-2015

215 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

07-094-dp

Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income

in Canada

Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development and Agriculture Household Income

June 11-12, 2009Rome, Italy

Page 2: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

2

07-094-dp

Purpose

1. To illustrate, using Canadian data, the complexities of measuring farm family income and well-being

2. To compare the income levels and incidence of low income for farm, rural and urban families in Canada

Page 3: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

3

07-094-dp

Presentation Outline

1. Family Data in Canada

2. Type and composition of families

3. Annual versus Longitudinal Data

4. Measures of Low Income

5. Summary

Page 4: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

4

07-094-dp

Family Data in Canada

Tax records provide both annual and longitudinal data on Canadian families

Annual data

• 24 million tax filers in 2006

• Individual tax filers are matched with family members

• Series available from 1982 to 2006

Longitudinal data

• 20% sample of the annual tax family file

• Sample of 5 million tax filers in 2006

• Series available from 1982 to 2006

Page 5: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

07-094-dp

Type and Composition of FamiliesType and Composition of Families

Page 6: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

6

07-094-dp

Family composition is a major factor in determining family income levels

Median and Per Capita Income of Individuals and Families, Canada, 2006

Median income ($)

Per capita income ($)

Individuals 22,800 32,800

Families 63,600 28,200

Couple families 70,400 30,000

Lone-parent families 33,000 16,700

Page 7: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

7

07-094-dp

Farm families account for a small share of all Canadian families; most farm families are couple families

2002-2006 Average All families and individuals Couple families

Couple families as a % of all families and

individuals

% of all families %

Small-Farm 1.8 2.5 77.9

Medium-Farm 0.3 0.5 86.5

Large-Farm 0.1 0.2 89.5

Very Large-Farm 0.1 0.1 86.6

All Farm Families 2.2 3.3 80.0

Rural Non-Farm 17.7 18.4 56.0

Urban Non-Farm 80.0 78.3 52.8

All Families 100.0 100.0 54.0

Page 8: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

8

07-094-dp

Mean and median income levels of all families and individuals were generally higher for farm families compared to non-farm families

All families and individuals (2002-2006)

Mean Family income

Median Family Income

Mean-Median difference

Small farm 70,460 51,100 19,360

Medium farm 65,140 50,520 14,620

Large farm 74,540 56,660 17,880

Very large farm 94,880 54,840 40,040

Rural non-farm 49,960 38,140 11,820

Urban non-farm 60,820 42,960 17,860

…The larger difference between the mean and median income for very large farm families indicates high incomes in this population

Page 9: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

9

07-094-dp

Mean and median income levels of couple families were generally higher for large and very large farm and urban non-farm families

Couple families (2002-2006)

Mean Family income

Median Family Income

Mean-Median difference

Small farm 78,640 58,580 20,060

Medium farm 68,100 53,580 14,520

Large farm 76,660 59,060 17,600

Very large farm 98,080 57,440 40,640

Rural non-farm 67,320 56,840 10,480

Urban non-farm 85,540 68,000 17,540

Page 10: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

10

07-094-dp

Family definition has a significant impact on the median income of non-farm families

• For farm families, the family definition had much less of an impact on the median income level

2002-2006

0

20

40

60

80

Sm

all Fa

rm

Med

ium

Farm

Larg

e Fa

rm

Ver

y La

rge

Farm

Rura

l N

on-

Farm

Urb

an N

on-

Farm

Med

ian fam

ily inco

me

($'0

00)

All Families andIndividuals

Couple Families Only

Page 11: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

11

07-094-dp

The incidence of low income was higher for farm couple families compared to non-farm couple families

All families and individuals

Couple families

Small-Farm 14.4 12.0

Medium-Farm 18.6 17.5

Large-Farm 17.5 16.9

Very large-Farm 25.1 23.6

All Farm Families 15.5 13.5

Rural-Non-Farm 22.7 10.5

Urban-Non-Farm 21.6 10.8

All Families 21.7 10.8

Incidence of low income, by family definition and family type, using LIM-IBT*, (%), 2002-2006, Canada

* Low Income Measure – Income Before Tax (LIM-IBT)

Page 12: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

07-094-dp

Type and Composition of FamiliesAnnual versus Longitudinal data

Page 13: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

13

07-094-dp

Comparing annual data with longitudinal data is complex

Annual data Longitudinal data

Families

Family members of all tax filers matched annually to create a family file

20% sample of tax filersLongitudinal profile is created (of individual tax filers and their families over years) using a special identification number to select same individual tax filer in each year

Farm families

Farm families are families with Gross Farm Income (GFI) >0 in that year

Farm families must report GFI>0 in all five years

Page 14: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

14

07-094-dp

Annual data Longitudinal data

Rural-Urban

Families living in a rural/urban area in that year

Families must have been living in a rural/urban area in all five years

Low Income

Families with income below the low income threshold level in that year

Families with five-year average family income below five-year average low income threshold level

…Comparing annual data with longitudinal data is complex

Page 15: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

15

07-094-dp

Longitudinal data has certain advantages over annual data

• Performance can be measured over time taking into account both low and high income years

• The persistence of both high and low income over years can be measured

• Variability of incomes of individual farms over more than one year can be measured

• Farms that enter and exit can be eliminated from the sample

Page 16: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

16

07-094-dp

Longitudinal data resulted in a lower incidence of low income for all farm families except those operating a small farm, compared to non-farm families

Percentage of families with income below LIM-IBT, 2002 to 2006

Annual data (Couple families)

Longitudinal data (All families)

Small-Farm 12.0 15.0

Medium-Farm 17.5 16.2

Large-Farm 16.9 15.1

Very large-Farm 23.6 18.9

All Farm Families 13.5 15.3

Rural-Non-Farm 10.5 19.4

Urban-Non-Farm 10.8 15.8

All Families 10.8 16.4

Page 17: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

07-094-dp

Type and Composition of FamiliesMeasures of low income

Page 18: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

18

07-094-dp

The frequency of low income can change depending on the low income measure used

• The Low Income Cut-Off (LICO)

– Based on consumption: the percentage of family income spent on the basic necessities of food, clothing and shelter

• The Low Income Measure (LIM)

– A relative measure based on income

– Equal to one-half of the median of adjusted family income

– Family income adjusted according to the number of family members using an equivalence scale

Page 19: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

19

07-094-dp

The LICO

• Based on expenditures on basic necessities (food, clothing and shelter) of an average Canadian family in a base year (1992)

• The average family spent 43% of income on basic necessities in 1992; the LICO = the income level at which 63% of income would be spent on basic necessities

• Adjusted for inflation every year

• A separate LICO is calculated for each of:

– income before-tax and income after-tax;

– rural areas and for four urban community sizes; and

– up to seven family members

Page 20: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

20

07-094-dp

The LICO varies over a wider range of values compared to the LIM

Rural areas

Urban areas

Less than

30,000

30,000 to

99,999

100,000 to

499,999

500,000 and over

LICO-IBT

Family of 4 27,118 30,851 33,716 33,925 39,393

LIM-IBT

1 adult, 3 children

34,874

2 adults, 2 children

34,874

3 adults, 1 child

36,618

4 adults 38,361

Low Income Threshold Levels for a family of four, LICO-IBT vs. LIM-IBT, Canada, ($), 2006

Page 21: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

21

07-094-dp

A lower percentage of farm families were in low income using the LICO-IBT

Incidence of low income, by family type, LIM-IBT and LICO-IBT, 2002-2006, Canada

Percentage with income below LIM-IBT

Percentage with income below LICO-IBT

Small-Farm 14.4 11.4

Medium-Farm 18.6 11.6

Large-Farm 17.5 13.2

Very large-Farm 25.1 18.8

All Farm Families 15.5 11.7

Rural-Non-Farm 22.7 26.8

Urban-Non-Farm 21.6 30.0

All Families 21.7 29.0

Page 22: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

22

07-094-dp

Summary

• This presentation illustrates some of the complexities of comparing income levels between farm and non-farm families

• The majority of farm families are couple families; therefore couple families provide the most direct farm vs. non-farm comparisons of income

• Using a broad definition of family is useful in identifying overall low income rates in a country

• Longitudinal data has certain advantages over annual data

– The family income situation can be observed over more than one year

– Income variability can be smoothed by averaging income over years which had the largest impact on large and very large farms

• The method used to determine the low income threshold level can lead to different results

• Taking into account a lower cost-of-living in rural areas results in a lower percentage of families in low income in rural areas

Page 23: 07-094-dp Farm, Rural and Urban Families and the Incidence of Low Income in Canada Second Meeting of the Wye City Group on Statistics on Rural Development

07-094-dp